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DQ4 Simulation and Modelling
DQ4 Simulation and Modelling
likelihood of drawing a red ball first, a blue ball second, and a white ball third.
The probability of red balls to all other balls determines the likelihood of drawing a red ball first:
P (Red first) equals the ratio of the number of red balls to all other balls.
Here, out of a total of 4 + 5 + 11 = 20 balls, there are 5 red balls: P = 5/20 = 1/4 (Red first)
There are now 19 balls left in the container after drawing a red ball (4 blue balls and 11 white
balls). The likelihood of drawing a blue ball second is thus: P (Blue second) equals (the number
There are now 18 balls (11 white balls) left in the container after drawing a red and a blue ball.
As a result, P (White third) = (number of white balls) / (total remaining balls) is the probability
We multiply the individual probabilities to obtain the total probability: P(Red first, Blue second,
and White third) is equal to the product of P(Red first) and P(Blue second, White third).
As a result, the likelihood of drawing a red ball first, followed by a blue ball, and a white ball, is
11/342.