Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Ashikur Rahman
Lecturer, Dept. of CE
What is a Project?
Every project has one specific purpose: it starts at some specific moment,
and it is finished when its objective have been fulfilled.
What is a Project?
Input
Project Planning
• It provides direction
• It provides unifying framework
• It provides helps to reveal future opportunities and threats
• It provides performance standards
In the Planning phase, Plan is made, and Strategies are set, taking
into consideration the company’s policies and rules.
Steps in Project Planning
• The beginning and end of each Bar represents the time of start and
time of finish of that activity
• The length of Bar charts therefore represents the time required for
the completion of that job or activity.
Activity
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Week
BAR Charts
Example 2:
Draw the Bar chart for “Finalization of Design and work order” for a building
project.
Duration
Activity Description
(week)
A Site selection and Survey 4
B Design 6
C Preparation of Drawings 3
D Preparation of Specifications and Tender Documents 2
E Tendering Process 4
F Selection of Contractor 1
G Award of Work order 1
What is the project duration?
BAR Charts
Activity
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
PERT Network
Successor events: The event or events that follow another event are
called Successor events to that event. The event or events that
immediately follow another event without any intervening ones are
called immediate Successor events to that event.
Predecessor events: The event or events that occur before another
event are called Predecessor events to that event. The event or events
that immediately come before another event without any intervening
ones are called immediate predecessor events to that event.
Dummy Activity
A dummy is a type of operation in the network, which neither requires any time
nor any resources, but merely a device to identify a dependency among
operations.
Activity
Dummy
Dummy Activity
A C
1 2 3
Dummy
B
D
4 5
Example:1
Draw a network diagram for the project having 9 activities, with the following
interrelationships:
• A and B start at the same time C
• C follows D but precedes F 3 4
H
• C follows B but precedes H B F
• G follows F but precedes I
• E follows A but precedes I D
• D follows A 1 5 7
• H and I terminate at the same time.
G
A
I
2 6
E
Planning for Network Construction
Depending upon the sense of thinking with respect to the end configuration of the plan,
networks can be constructed either by forward planning or by backward planning or by
combination of both forward and backward planning.
1. Forward Planning: In this method, the planner starts from the initial event and builds up
the events and activities logically and sequentially until the end event is reached. In this
method, while considering an activity, a planner asks him the following questions:
• What event comes next?
• What are dependent events?
• What events can take place concurrently?
The answer to these questions is not that simple, specially in a complex situation.
2. Backward Planning: In this method, the planner starts with the final or end event, and
arranges the events and activities until the initial event is reached. Keeping the goal in
view, the planner asks himself “if we want to achieve this, what events or activities should have
taken place?
Planning for Network Construction
The average time taken for the completion of an activity or job is defined
as expected time and denoted by 𝒕𝑬 .
• In computing the expected time, a weightage of 1 is given to the optimistic
time(𝑡0 ), a weightage of 4 is given to the most likely time(𝑡𝐿 ) and a weightage of
1 is given to the pessimistic time(𝑡𝑃 ).
𝑡𝑝 −𝑡𝑜
Standard Deviation, 𝜎 =
6
Variance = 𝜎 2
Expected Time: Example
Expected Time: Example
Expected Time: Example
PERT: Time Computations
Optimistic time, Most likely time and Pessimistic time are referring to an
activity while Earlier expected time and Latest allowable occurrence time refer
to an event.
Earliest Expected Time 𝑻𝑬
The earliest expected time is the time when an event can be expected to occur.
It is represented by 𝑻𝑬 and appears above or below the node (event circle) in a
network.
The earliest expected time (𝑻𝑬 ) is computed by adding the expected times (𝒕𝑬 )
of all the activities along an activities path leading to that event. If more than
one activity paths lead to that event, then the maximum of the sum of 𝒕𝑬
along the various paths will give the earliest expected time.
Earliest Expected Time 𝑻𝑬
Earliest Expected Time 𝑻𝑬
A planner is concerned with the completion of the project within the schedule
time. For each event, therefore, some time limit is allotted by which that event
must occur. The latest time, by which an event must occur, to keep the
project on schedule is called the latest allowable occurrence time. It is
denoted by symbol 𝑻𝑳
𝑡𝐸𝑖𝑗
i j
𝑇𝐿𝑖 𝑇𝐿𝑗
𝑻𝑳𝒊 = 𝑻𝑳𝒋 − 𝒕𝑬𝒊𝒋
The following figure shows the network for a construction project, with three-time estimates of
each activity marked. Determine:
(a) Critical path and its standard deviation.
(b) Probability of completion of project in 40 days.
(c) Time duration that will provide 95% probability of its completion in time.
Assignment
Determine the earliest expected time and latest allowable occurrence time for each events.
Show detailed calculation.
PERT Example
The following figure shows the network for a construction project, with three-time estimates of
each activity marked. Determine: Expected time for each event.
PERT Example
17
PERT Example
PERT Example
PERT Example
PERT Example
𝑇𝑠 − 𝑇𝐸 40 − 35
𝑍= = = 1.74
𝜎 2.87
𝒁 𝒗𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆𝒔
Probability values
or P values
𝒁 = 𝟏. 𝟕𝟒
P = 0.959
= 96%
PERT Example
(c) Time duration that will provide 95% probability of its completion in time.
P = 95% = 0.95
Z = 1.65
PERT Example
(c) Time duration that will provide 95% probability of its completion in time.
P = 95% = 0.95
Z = 1.65
𝑇𝑠 − 𝑇𝐸
𝑍=
𝜎
𝑇𝑠 − 35
1.65 =
2.87
𝑻𝒔 = 𝟑𝟗. 𝟕𝟒