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Exercises 18 Apr - With Solutions - Tagged
Exercises 18 Apr - With Solutions - Tagged
Answers:
V ( X )=E( X 2 )−[ E ( X ) ] =∑ x 2 P ( x )−μ2x= 100 . 000. 000⋅0 ,15+1 . 000 .000⋅0 , 85−650 2
2
2
V (Z )=E( Z 2 )−[ E ( Z ) ] =160 .000−160 .000=0
The third strategy is the one with the lowest expected profit, but without
variance in the result.
Exercise 2
Answers:
a)
X = “Result of a 6 sided die”, it is distributed with a uniform discrete
distribution, k = 6.
b) E(X) = 1*1/6+2*1/6+3*1/6+4*1/6+5*1/6+6*1/6=3.5
(we can use also the result of the uniform discrete distribution, E(X) =
(k+1)/2 = 7/2 = 3.5)
c) V(X) = 1*1/6+4*1/6+9*1/6+16*1/6+25*1/6+36*1/6-(7/2) 2=
= 91/6 – 49/4 = 182/12 – 147/12 = 35/12 = 2.92
(we can use also the result of the uniform discrete distribution, V(X) = (k 2-
1)/12 = 35/12 = 2.92)
Exercise 3
E(Y)=p=0.25
V(Y)=p(1-p)=0.25*0.75=0.1875
c) E(X)= np = 20*0.25 = 5
V(X)= np(1-p)= 20*0.25*0.75= 3.75
(20 )
d) P(X = 0) = 0 0.25 0.75
0 20−0
= 0.7520 = 0.00317 = 0.317%
e) n=20-7=13 ; x=10-7=3
13
( )
3 13−3
P(X=3)= 3 0.25 0.75 =21772800*0.01562*0.05631=0,2516
Exercise 4
Answers:
Mean and variance of a Bernoulli random variable with p = 0.8:
μ x =E ( X )=∑ xp ( x ) =( 0 ) ( 1− p ) + ( 1 ) p= p=0.8
For a binomial distribution probability with p = 0.4 and n = 10, find the
probability that the number of successes is equal to 5 and the probability
that the number of successes is fewer than 2.
Answers:
(105)= 5 ! ( 10−5
10 !
=
10 x 9 x 8 x 7 x 6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1
) ! ( 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 ) (5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1)
=504
Exercise 6
a) What is the probability that a return visit will be needed in all these
cases?
b) What is the probability that a return visit will be needed in none of these
cases?
c) What is the probability that a return visit will be needed in more than 1
of these cases?
Answers:
a) Probability Distribution Function
Binomial with n = 5 and p = 0.17
x p(x) = P( X = x)
0 0.393904064
1 0.403395729
2 0.165246443
3 0.033845657
4 0.003466122
5 0.000141986
()
n x n−x 5 5
() 5−5
P(X=5)= x p (1− p) =¿ 5 0.17 (0.83) =¿ 0.175 = 0.0001419
b) ()
n x n− x 5 0
() 5−0
P(X=0) ¿ x p (1− p) =¿ 0 0.17 (0.83) =¿ 0.835 =0.3939
c) P (X>1)=1-P(X=0)-P(X=1)=1-0.3939-0.4033=1-0.7972=0.2028
5*0.17*0.4745=0.4033
Exercise 7
A campus finance officer finds that, for all parking tickets issued, fines are
paid for 78% of the tickets. The fine is 2$. In the most recent week, 620
parking tickets have been issued.
a) Find the mean and the standard deviation of the number of these tickets
for which the fines will be paid.
b) Find the mean and the standard deviation of the amount of money that
will be obtained from the payment of these fines.
Answers:
b) Z = 2X
Exercise 8
A family of mutual funds maintains a service that allows clients to switch
money among accounts through a telephone call. It was estimated that
3.2% of callers either get a busy signal or are kept on hold so long that they
may hang up. Fund management assesses any failure of this sort as a $10
goodwill loss. Suppose that 2000 calls are attempted over a particular
period.
a) Find the mean and standard deviation of the number of callers who will
either get a busy signal or may hang up after being kept on hold
b) Find the mean and standard deviation of the total goodwill loss to the
mutual fund company from these 2000 calls.
Answers:
a) X ~ Bin(0.032,2000)
E(X) = 2000*0.032 = 64
V(X) = 2000*0.032*0.968=61.952
σX = 7.8710
b) Z = 10X
Exercise 9
( 5) (5 )
c) P(x>3) P(4)+P(5)= 4 0.1340.875-4 + 5 0.135 0.875-5 =
=5*0.1340.87+0.135=0.0012+0.000037=0.001237