Test 4 Solutions 3(i)

1 25 Lee – 4 SM + 5 SW + 8 C - the event that a light is faulty is independent of any other light.
11 Chan – 2 SM + 3 SW + 3C - the probability of any light being faulty is constant.

25
C2 25(24) 10 (ii)
(i) Prob(2 Lee) = 36
 
C2 36(35) 21
X ~ number of faulty lights in a box of 12.
11
C1 11 11 X ~ B 12, 0.08
(ii) Prob(1 C)= 
36

C2 18(35) 630
P  X  1  1  P  X  0   0.63233  0.632
P(Lee and C) 8
(iii) Prob(2 Lee|C)= 
P(C) 11 (iii)
(iv) Prob(C|M, W with same name)=
P(Lee and C)+P(Chan and C) 83 11 20
 P  X  1   0.000104
 
P(M and W with same name) 12(13)  5(6) 186

2 2 1 (iv)
2 (i) P(X=1) = P(WR)=  
4 3 3
Y ~ number of faulty lights in a carton.
2 1 Y ~ B  240, 0.08 
P(X= 0) = P(R) = 
4 2 P Y  20   1  P  Y  19  0.458
2 1 2 1 4(i) X = times spent on homework assignments
P(X=2) = P(WWR)=   
4 3 2 6 X~N(35, 82)
Prob distribution of X: P(X < 25) = 0.106
x 0 1 2 (ii) P(X < a ) = 0.9
P(X = x) 1 1 1
2 3 6 a = 45.3 min
1 1 2 (iii) Prob required = [P(X > 40)]3= 0.0188
(ii) E(X) =  xP( X  x) 1  2  
x 3 6 3
(iv) P(X1+ X2+ X3> 120) =0.140 where X1+ X2+ X3~N(105, 192)
2
1 1 2 5
Var(X) =  x P( X  x)   E( X )
x
2 2
1   22     
2

3 6 3 9

 5 
2 
(iii) Since n = 80, by CLT, X ~ N  , 9  approx
 3 80 
 

P( X >0.75)=0.159