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To cite this article: P. J. Ward, W. P. Pauw, M. W. van Buuren & M. A. Marfai (2013):
Governance of flood risk management in a time of climate change: the cases of Jakarta
and Rotterdam, Environmental Politics, 22:3, 518-536
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Environmental Politics, 2013
Vol. 22, No. 3, 518–536, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09644016.2012.683155
More than half the world’s population lives in cities, and over two-thirds
of the world’s cities will be exposed to flooding within the next 30 years
due to factors including climate change, land subsidence, sea level rise,
and socio-economic development. Traditionally, flood management has
concentrated on providing protection against floods using technical
measures, but there is currently an international shift towards more
integrated flood risk management, whereby flood risk is defined as the
probability of flooding multiplied by the potential consequences.
Governance plays a key role in this transition. However, relatively little
has been written on how climate governance lessons are implemented on a
city-scale. Several characteristics of recent climate change adaptation
governance, relating to its structure, orientation, content, and timeframe,
are gleaned from the research literature. Flood risk management of two
cities – Jakarta and Rotterdam – is examined.
Keywords: adaptation governance; city-scale adaptation; climate change;
flood risk; Jakarta; Rotterdam
Introduction
Flooding poses serious threats to coastal cities, including economic damage
and loss of lives. More than 50% of the world’s population lives in cities, and
the exposure of these cities to flooding is expected to increase due to factors
including climate change, land subsidence and socio-economic changes. Even if
emissions of greenhouse gases were stabilised today, human-induced climate
change would continue for centuries (IPCC 2007). Climate change is projected
to lead to a rise in sea level and, in some coastal cities, more intense rainfall
and/or increased peak riverflow. Accordingly, the need for adaptation to
flooding has gained much attention.
Traditionally, flood management has concentrated on preventing floods
through technological measures, like storm surge barriers and dikes. However,
there is currently an international shift towards more adaptive and integrated
systems of flood risk management. In this context, flood risk is defined as the
probability of flooding multiplied by the potential consequences, like loss of
lives and economic damage (Aerts et al. 2011). This shift is being increasingly
adopted at regional and national levels. For example, in Europe flood risk
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Methods
Governance characteristics related to climate change adaptation are drawn
from a literature review on adaptation and flood risk at the city-scale. The
empirical information on Rotterdam and Jakarta is derived from several
research and networking activities. The information for Jakarta is based on:
discussions with policy-makers, businesses, non-governmental organizations
(NGOs) and scientists in November 2008, October 2010 and January 20111;
two workshops in Indonesia on flood risk management with attendees from the
listed institutes and others; and a focus group meeting on flood risk in Jakarta
at the conference ‘Deltas in Times of Climate Change’ in Rotterdam. The
information for Rotterdam is based on: expert meetings of RCP; interviews
with the City of Rotterdam (Van Buuren 2010); and the supervision of theses
on flood risk management at Erasmus University Rotterdam (Abo Sheer 2010,
520 P.J. Ward et al.
De Haas 2011, Kalweit 2011). Moreover, insights from the two cities were
gleaned during a CDC workshop on the issues in New York (June 2009).
Brief history
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The Netherlands and Rotterdam have long histories of flood management (e.g.
Borger and Ligtendag 1998, Van Koningsveld et al. 2008). The city was
narrowly spared flooding from the North Sea storm surge of 1953, which led to
the establishment of the Delta Works project. The city also avoided inundation
during the Meuse river floods of 1993, which caused substantial flood damage
further upstream. However, record rainfall in August 2006 led to flooding in
the city, and increased awareness of Rotterdam’s vulnerability. Although
Rotterdam’s population of nearly one million has been relatively stable in the
last decade,2 the chance of flooding is increasing due to relative sea level rise
(including land subsidence) and changing precipitation patterns.
Due to its naturally flood-prone location and seasonal rainfall intensity,
Jakarta has a long history of coastal and riverine flooding (Caljouw et al. 2005,
Steinberg 2007). Rapid urbanisation and land-use change over the last half
century (e.g. Firman 2009a) have intensified the problem. Jakarta’s population
has risen from 2.7 million in 1960 to 9.6 million in 2010 (BPS Jakarta 2010)
which also led to an increase in the value of assets vulnerable to flooding. This
has been compounded by rapid land subsidence. Furthermore, the city’s
waterways have often been clogged with sediment from deforested land
upstream and with garbage (Steinberg 2007). As a result, there have been
several devastating floods recently; the flood of February 2007 was the worst in
Jakarta’s history, causing at least 58 deaths (Texier 2008) and direct economic
losses of US$453 million (Steinberg 2007).
Afsluitdijk, and the disastrous floods of 1953 triggered the Delta Works, a
series of dams, sluices, levees and storm surge barriers connecting the islands of
South Holland and Zeeland (e.g. Van Koningsveld et al. 2008).
The 1993 and 1995 Meuse floods were a turning point in Dutch flood risk
management. Although the initial response was rather technical (with a law
aimed at dike enforcement), the development of a new policy line was started
with the ‘Room for the River’ directive, and rapidly evolved into a general
policy where spatial planning is considered key to water management (Wolsink
2006). However, at the local level, Neuvel and Van den Brink (2009) state that,
although spatial planning measures are considered, they are rarely implemen-
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divided into several municipalities (Kota) and districts (Kabupaten), each with
Public Works offices that have some authority over water resources (Firman
2009b). Several other Ministries (e.g. Forestry, Agriculture, Environment and
Finance) have roles at all three levels in terms of flood management. Land-use
planning is managed by BAPPENAS (National Development Planning
Agency), whilst river monitoring is carried out by BAPEDAL (Environmental
Impact Management Agency). The Coordinating Body for Jakarta Metropo-
litan Region Development (BKSP) is tasked with coordinating, planning and
monitoring development in the Jakarta Metropolitan Region.
In Table 1 we present an overview of the main trends and changes in
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Table 1. Overview of projected changes in physical and socio-economic parameters from existing studies (to 2100 unless otherwise stated).
Notes: *At present, *40% of DKI Jakarta is at about or just below sea level (PT Mirah Sakethi 2010). The majority of Rotterdam is below sea level, with
depths up to *8m below mean sea level. For Rotterdam, estimates of current and future subsidence rates are highly uncertain and currently receiving increased
attention. Rijkswaterstaat (http://www.geofoon.nl/Bodemdaling.html) suggests land subsidence of 2–10 cm by 2050 compared to present. However, recent
research suggests that the rate may be higher (Van de Meulen et al. 2007; Van Asselen 2011), especially in areas facing peat oxidation and compaction towards
the northeast of the city. **Globally, IPCC (2007) projects the likely minimum and maximum global average mean sea level rise until 2100 to be 18 cm and 59
cm; recent sea level rise in Jakarta is within this likely range.
Environmental Politics
523
524 P.J. Ward et al.
with socio-economic impacts at the city level that are highly uncertain (Van
Buuren et al. 2009). This uncertainty predicates the need for multi-level, multi-
scale and multi-actor governance.
Multi-level governance
Since the flood problem transcends geographical scales and sectors, adaptation
benefits from the capacity to function within a multi-level government
structure. An example is the cooperation between the municipality of
Rotterdam and regional water boards, which resulted in Waterplan Rotterdam
2 (Municipality of Rotterdam 2007). This plan provides a framework and
programme of measures for coping with the impact of climate change on water,
including a strategy indicating what needs to be done now to achieve long-term
objectives. However, there are problems in aligning these urban adaptation
strategies with national and regional policy processes that follow a different
and often more gradual path. For example, where the city of Rotterdam thinks
about climate-proof buildings, the province of South Holland develops a policy
assessment for buildings along the river, and the national government discusses
the ‘policy line [for] large rivers’ (Ministerie van Verkeer & Waterstaat/Ministerie
van VROM 2006). Strategies to strengthen the multi-level structure seem to be
mainly informal and process-oriented, and focused on generating possibilities for
interaction and communication instead of adding more hierarchical components.
An example of this is the provincial assessment framework ‘building in the
riverbed area’ where municipalities are informed about the location-specific risks
but the decision to build is up to them (De Haas 2011).
Responsibility for Jakarta’s drainage system is also based on a three-tier
government system. However, there is a high level of political and
administrative fragmentation at the metropolitan level (Laquian 2005, Firman
et al. 2011). According to Firman (2011), there is no particular agency or
institution that is assigned to oversee and account for risk and vulnerability
assessments; to manage climate change data; or to disseminate climate-related
information to the public. As mentioned earlier, in Jakarta the BKSP is tasked
with coordinating, planning and monitoring development in the metropolitan
region. However, BKSP has no authority over implementation, which
according to Firman (2009b) and Firman et al. (2011) makes it powerless
Environmental Politics 525
has been formalised in the EU Flood Directive. Moreover, the main rivers flowing
into the Dutch delta around Rotterdam (Rhine and Meuse) have international
commissions to coordinate and advise on integrated water management.
Solutions to make Rotterdam climate-proof are dependent on choices made
along the main rivers and in the entire basin. As a result of the Delta Programme,
there is an institutional structure that enables both regional coalitions to develop
proposals and a national coordinator (Delta Commissariat) to safeguard
coherence and overall effectiveness. At the same time – although there are
many interfaces between the various governance levels – there is also ambiguity
about who is responsible and which policy frameworks are applicable, especially
in regard to new developments within the riverbed area (Abo Sheer 2010).
In Jakarta, too, flood risks are related to upstream activities, including
land-use change. Expert reports state that the whole system of water-
catchments must be taken into account when addressing the city’s flood
problem (Caljouw et al. 2005). Upstream river basin rehabilitation projects and
reforestation programmes have been set up to regulate water flows of the
Ciliwung river (the main river flowing through Jakarta). However, in the past
the high cost of acquiring land has stalled the progress of such schemes
(Steinberg 2007). A presidential decree on Spatial Planning (Perpres 54/2008)
was introduced in 2008 to ensure that future developments reserve a portion of
green land. This, however, is a national document, and, whilst it provides a
framework for future developments, its success ultimately depends on basin-
scale implementation. The need to integrate upstream–downstream activities in
water-related management is stressed in the Jakarta Spatial Plan 2030.
local stakeholder groups (like the roof park project and the Green-Blue String:
Kalweit 2011).
Steinberg (2007) suggests that, in Jakarta, a main challenge for
modernisation in a general sense is the need for true cooperation and
transparency between citizens, the private sector and local government.
Steinberg (2007) points to the example of a Strategic Development Plan that
was drawn up for 2002–2007 behind closed doors, thus bypassing local values,
problems and knowledge. In the past this has led to mistrust. The Spatial Plan
2030 does mention the need to increase community participation (Articles 200
and 230). Indeed, a website was launched in December 2009 to publicise the
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programme rather than a sector on the one hand robust aims can be set, while
on the other different organisations are able to cooperate on a project basis.
Therefore, programme management provides opportunities for adjustment,
equalisation and synergy, and the flexibility to include different sets of aims or
policies (Van Buuren et al. 2010a). The RCP is a good example. This
programme stimulates cross-sectoral climate change adaptation, and activities
are arranged so that investments not only provide climate change adaptation
measures, but simultaneously increase the attractiveness of the city and port for
its citizens, businesses and knowledge institutes. As well as considering
traditional types of interventions, this has led to innovations such as green
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roofs, water plazas, the floating pavilion and underground water storage. The
innovation and focus on experiments aim to develop more insight into the
possibilities of realising adaptation options that are also attractive from other
perspectives (e.g. tourism and branding as an innovative and climate-proof
city).
Although many laws and regulations are in place in Indonesia to deal with
flood-related issues, such as the Disaster Management Law of 24/2007, the
Water Law of 7/2004 and the Spatial Planning Law of 26/2007 (Katsuhama
and Grigg 2010), to date programme management in terms of climate change
adaptation is limited. Firman et al. (2011) state that Jakarta lacks an agency or
institution to manage climate change data and activities. There may therefore
be a lack of capacity to provide the impetus needed to develop a programmatic
approach, even though the need for integrative programme management is
recognised by local and regional government bodies. The increasing
decentralisation and the expressed willingness of local government to engage
in adaptation provide a window of opportunity for such programmes.
Programme management could also improve the major ongoing project to
clear the city’s waterways of sediments and solid waste as it would allow for
the linking of problems that are currently separated in policy-making, but still
have an impact on each other. Benefits of clearing the waterways would be
short-lived if not linked to improved public services in other areas, such as
solid waste management, land-use, sanitation and housing. The Spatial Plan
2030 can be seen as an explicit attempt to integrate spatial planning with a
plurality of other values. For example, it explicitly mentions aspects such as
climate change adaptation (e.g. Articles 5 and 13), conservation (e.g. Articles
5, 10, 39, 43, 54, 64, 65, 75 and 95), and flood control and hazard zoning (e.g.
70 and 77).
floating houses and other buildings. A preliminary idea was to raise the level of
the whole area in a classical approach, but during the last decade various
alternatives have been presented (by research groups, urban designers and
transition thinkers) and a climate-robust spatial vision has been approved by
the city government. However, to date, the implementation of such risk-
reducing measures is in an early phase.
In Jakarta, several reports suggested that a key issue hampering flood
reduction was a lack of planning across policy sectors (Caljouw et al. 2005). A
flood risk management approach can be key to this integration, since it
considers both the causes and consequences of flooding. An important facet is
the preparation of flood risk maps, which can be used to communicate risk to
inhabitants and businesses, potentially leading to risk-reducing behaviour;
flood risk mapping has commenced in Jakarta (Ward et al. 2011).
Technical measures continue to dominate the political discourse; for example
DKI Jakarta’s book on flooding in the city mainly refers to planned structural
measures (PT Mirah Sakethi 2010). However, Jakarta has seen more investment
in non-structural measures, such as: awareness raising, law enforcement and
upper watershed planning and management. Another example is that Jakarta’s
city government has developed an automatic weather station that functions as an
early warning system of flood disasters. Also, the Ministry of Forestry has
developed a programme to increase the area of mangroves along the coast near
Jakarta, offering non-structural protection against coastal flooding, whilst also
providing ecosystem and aesthetic services (Aerts et al. 2009).
Moreover, private adaptation measures have been taken by individuals,
such as placing sandbags along streets and raising floor levels in houses
(Caljouw et al. 2005). However, many are carried out on an ad hoc basis, and
Firman et al. (2011) state that in both practice and in scientific research
institutions little attention has been paid to the specific incorporation of
climate risk aspects in spatial and urban development planning. The Jakarta
Spatial Plan 2030 does explicitly mention the need to improve adaptation
against increased risks resulting from climate change. Moreover, its vision
incorporates a plurality of values, such as promoting Jakarta as a comfortable,
sustainable and prosperous city. Again, the intention to act is clear, but the
next step is to define processes and systems to implement the rhetoric.
Environmental Politics 529
530
Table 2. Summary of how the shift towards flood risk management in Jakarta and Rotterdam reflects key characteristics of the governance
of climate change adaptation.
Structure Strong move towards three-tier government system Strong development (last 15 years) towards multi-level,
(decentralisation). multi-domain and multi-actor water governance.
But political and administrative fragmentation has led But problems in aligning local, regional and national
to lack of clarity on responsibilities, tasks and policies
implementation powers. Stakeholder participation strong.
Community involvement in early phases.
Orientation Limited focus on programme management. RCP connects visioning and scenario-building with
New windows of opportunity exist, and draft Spatial concrete projects and ambitions.
Plan 2030 explicitly integrates spatial planning with
other values.
Content Technical flood defence measures still dominate Waterplan explicitly aims to connect water challenges to
discourse. other urban challenges (added value). Many pilot
But examples of non-structural adaptation increasing, projects show possibilities for synchronising flood risk
e.g. flood risk mapping, awareness raising, upper management and urban planning (e.g. water squares,
watershed management. green roofs, roof parks).
Spatial Plan 2030 may help link measures, leading to less But attention needed to continue implementation.
ad hoc adaptation.
Timeframe Spatial Plan 2030 has clear long-term focus. Various long-term programmes: Deltaprogram long-
term;
Urban Waterplan (2035);
Transformation City Harbours (2040).
Environmental Politics 531
levels are more successful at finding sustainable solutions. Also, the currently
low implementation powers of regional organisations such as BKSP support
the argument of Olsson et al. (2007) that bridging organisations are critical for
multi-level governance structures.
In terms of the orientation of adaptation, flexibility and robustness in
regulation are necessary to deal with the complexities of climate change and to
secure stakeholder support. Programme management can be helpful in
combining attractive portfolios of alternative pathways for adaptation and
binding targets that have to be met within fixed timeframes and between a
variety of stakeholders (Van Buuren et al. 2010a). Our observations support
this: programme management is a key facet of RCP that ensures an orientation
towards flexibility and robustness. In Jakarta, examples of programme
management are thin on the ground. The Spatial Plan 2030 provides a window
of opportunity but the unanswered question is how it will be implemented.
In Rotterdam, there is a constant opportunity-driven striving to ensure that
the content of adaptation focuses on creating synergy with other policy aims,
such as spatial planning and flood management. However, continued
implementation of the plans will require attention in the coming years. In
Jakarta, several examples of ad hoc adaptation combining flood management
and spatial planning of other values have been described. Moreover, flood risk
mapping and research into how flood risk assessment can enhance the decision-
making process are heading upwards on the political agenda, and several
concrete examples of non-structural risk reduction measures have been
described (e.g. awareness raising, flood warning systems, mangroves along
the coast, upstream watershed management). In the last few years both cities
have taken part in several collaborative events on risk reduction, including
high-level workshops and conferences, in which concrete examples have been
exchanged. A key lesson learned is that the content of adaptation is not just
driven by an awareness of issues, in which both cities seem well equipped, but
also by the ability to integrate different aims in order to actually implement
projects that serve multiple agendas.
The timeframe of adaptation governance requires the integration of long-
term ambitions and short-term needs. Both cities appear to be focusing
activities on the long-term, but also work on short-term projects to realise their
adaptation ambitions step by step. Important in this respect is the concept of
532 P.J. Ward et al.
Concluding remarks
Internationally, flood management is shifting from a traditional safety
standard approach to a more risk-based and adaptive approach. Governance
plays an important role in this shift, but has received little attention at the city-
scale. We distilled four characteristics of climate change governance from
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Acknowledgements
We thank three anonymous reviewers and the editor, Arthur Mol, for
constructive comments on earlier versions. The research was supported by
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Notes
1. Including representatives of the city government of Jakarta; several national
ministries; Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics;
Indonesian Institute for Water Research; Netherlands Embassy in Jakarta; several
consulting companies; Japan International Cooperation Agency; German Technical
Cooperation; Institute of Technology Bandung; Bogor Agricultural University; and
Indonesian Institute of Sciences.
2. StatLine website of CBS (Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek), http://statline. cbs.nl/
statweb/ (accessed 20 November 2011).
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