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Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279


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Data sets for energy rating of photovoltaic modules


Thomas Huld a,⇑, Ewan Dunlop a, Hans Georg Beyer b, Ralph Gottschalg c
a
European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Italy
b
University of Agder, Department of Engineering, Norway
c
Loughborough University, Centre for Renewable Energy Systems Technology, United Kingdom

Received 14 July 2011; received in revised form 12 October 2012; accepted 23 April 2013
Available online 16 May 2013

Communicated by: Associate Editor Jan Kleissl

Abstract

A proposal for generating standard climatic data sets for use in energy rating of photovoltaic (PV) modules is presented which will
give a good comparability between different technologies. The current proposal of standard data sets consisting of “typical days” do not
give realistic estimates of PV performance and thus is not sufficient as a rating standard. A dataset striking the balance between being
significant for any location but does not consisting of too much data is required. A method to generate such a dataset is presented, meet-
ing all the requirements of an international standard while being sufficiently accurate to differentiate between different devices of different
manufacturers. It is suggested to work with annual data-sets for specific climatic zones, and compare devices based on their module per-
formance ratio. Using geographical information systems and proven modeling approaches, it is demonstrated that seven such annual
data sets give sufficient detail and relevance to allow a comparison of different PV device technologies in all European operating envi-
ronments. The method to use GIS datasets to identify suitable sites and then use more accurate, specific measurement data based on
long-term averages for chosen sites. It is shown that the year-to-year variation is minimal, thus making these datasets suitable for com-
paring typical energy yields of different devices, i.e. carry out an energy rating. The study is currently limited to European data and cli-
matic zones, which is sufficient to derive the methodology for generating and classifying the data. An international standard will,
however, need a wider coverage. The extension to other data-sets and climatic zones is proposed and will have to be carried out by
the appropriate standards bodies if this is to become an internationally accepted standard.
Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Photovoltaics; Energy rating; Solar radiation

1. Introduction normal operation. Nevertheless, this standard power rating


is the one declared by the manufacturer as the power of the
Traditionally, photovoltaic (PV) modules are described module. The PV industry has matured in recent years and
by their maximum power, which is measured under Stan- rating is now moving towards a measure of the output of
dard Test Conditions (STC).1 The combination of environ- photovoltaic modules, i.e. the energy production. This
mental conditions in STC is not representative of real needs to take into account differences between modules
operating conditions, and is also hardly ever seen during with respect to performance at low irradiance or high mod-
ule temperature. To obtain comparability between technol-
ogies and devices it is crucial to have an energy rating
⇑ Corresponding author. Tel.: +39 0332 785273. available, analogously to the power rating. Power rating
E-mail address: Thomas.Huld@jrc.ec.europa.eu (T. Huld). is an excellent tool for comparing modules in production,
1
STC is defined by the International Electrotechnical Commission
(IEC) in standard no. 61215. The conditions are in-plane irradiance of
but what is required is to give planners and users the option
1000 W/m2, module temperature of 25 °C, perpendicular incidence of the to have a first order comparison of typical energy yields for
irradiance and standard clear sky spectrum with an Air Mass of 1.5. different design options.

0038-092X/$ - see front matter Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2013.04.014
268 T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279

Nomenclature

grel module efficiency relative to efficiency at STC, kT coefficient for module temperature as a function
also known as Module Performance Ratio of irradiance (°Cm2 W1)
(MPR) (dimensionless) MPR Module Performance Ratio (dimensionless)
Eyear total energy produced in a year (kW h) P instantaneous PV module power (W)
G in-plane irradiance (W/m2) PSTC nominal power of PV module under Standard
GSTC in-plane irradiance at STC (=1000 W/m2) Test Conditions
Ǵ normalized irradiance Ǵ = G/1000 (dimension- STC Standard test conditions, G = 1000 W/m2,
less) Tmod = 25 °C, air mass = 1.5 global
Hyear total in-plane irradiation in one year T temperature (°C)
k 1 . . . k 6 coefficients of the module power model Tmod module temperature (°C)
k 01 . . . k 06 coefficients of the module power model, scaled Tamb ambient temperature (°C)
to a nominal module power of 1 W T0 module temperature relative to standard test
conditions, T0 = Tmod  25 (°C)

In principle it is of course possible for PV plant inves- 1.3. Energy rating


tors/installers to conduct a measurement campaign at a
specific site of interest, involving several module types for A set of specific power measurements used in conjunc-
an extended period covering seasonal changes (i.e. mini- tion with a standardized calculation methodology and
mum 1 year duration). However, this would be prohibi- standard data sets. This makes it possible to compare the
tively expensive, even for very large installations, as the relative performance of different module types. This is a
time delay would not be acceptable. A detailed yield predic- ‘typical’ energy yield for this technology for the given con-
tion could also be carried out by commissioning measure- ditions, not a site specific prediction. The key is to obtain
ments for energy prediction for module types to be comparability not absolute modeling accuracy (as the latter
considered for an installation. This will be done only for will include some very specific conditions that will actually
a very small number of modules and most likely only for interfere with the comparability). Typically this will deliver
one type as this quickly becomes very costly. What is the Module Performance Ratio (MPR), as this enables
required is a method that allows a potential buyer to pre- comparison over much wider areas then the kW h/kWp
select types for a closer analysis. This is done by an energy which are normally being used for the yield prediction.
rating, where devices can be quickly compared based on
data-sheet values for typical, similar locations. Such a stan- 1.4. Standard data set for energy rating
dard is currently under development and this paper aims at
giving the missing part, the standard data sets, or better the A data set is the data used for the energy rating, speci-
methodology to derive this as the specific data sets need to fying time scale and conditions of the rating. The require-
be developed by the appropriate standards committee, but ments for this are discussed below and a method to
the methodology will be very useful for this or the develop- develop this is derived in the paper.
ment of standard datasets for other purposes.
The IEC is currently developing such an energy rating. 1.5. Yield prediction
What is currently missing are standard datasets, as these
have proven to be the most controversial parts in this stan- An estimate of the total energy production for a PV
dard. This paper will deliver a methodology to create such system at a specific site. The difference to the rating is that
datasets with wide acceptability. The aim is to achieve a rat- an estimate is performed of the specific yield (kW h/kWp)
ing, i.e. values that potentially can be added to a datasheet. for a specific site and system. This requires much more
In order to clarify the nature of this contribution it detailed site assessment and modeling than the rating
would be useful to state some definitions: itself and is carried out in a different stage of potential
projects (where the costs for specific measurements are
1.1. Power rating more acceptable).
The aim of this paper is to provide a methodology to
The power of a module when measured at STC. generate the ‘Standard Data Sets’ for an Energy Rating
standard. This is more complicated than in the case of
1.2. Specific power measurements power rating, as performance is site dependent. The num-
ber of different possible installations and sites is near infi-
A set of measurements of module power under different nite, thus this paper is concerned how to reduce this to a
conditions (irradiance, temperature, spectrum etc.). number that can potentially be added to a datasheet.
T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279 269

A method enabling an unbiased comparison of devices An example of the proposed data sets described in this
in a representative environment has been proposed by the paper can be downloaded from the web page of supplemen-
IEC. This employs various simplification and validation tary material, which can be found at: http://re.jrc.ec.euro-
steps to ensure a practical and applicable standard, pa.eu/esti/standard_data_sets.
although it is limited to fixed installations of flat plate col-
lectors. This has resulted in a standard currently consisting 2. Data required for a standard data set
of four separate parts.
The first is the measurement of key module parameters 2.1. Quantities needed for a standard data set
in dependence of temperature and irradiance (published
as IEC 61853 part 1 2010). This is often referred to as The required meteorological inputs for the proposed
the performance surface. Part 2: Measurement required energy rating standards are defined in part three of the pro-
for estimation effects of angle of incidence, spectral posed standard IEC 61853, which currently is under discus-
response and module operating temperature (part 2 is at sion. The environmental conditions required for the
the time of writing this paper in its final stage of voting). calculations are:
Part 3 gives a suggested algorithm to be used for the calcu-
lation and is close to being submitted as a New Work Item  Irradiance in plane of the array. Typical meteorological
(this is the official start for any draft standard). Part 4 will data sets are measured using horizontal irradiance sen-
prescribe the standard environments to be considered for sors and ambient temperatures. Only very few installa-
the rating to be defined. This part has not yet been written tions will be at this elevation angle, most installations
due to a mixture of political and scientific reasons and a will be inclined at optimum angle. This can be calculated
way out of the current impasse is urgently required and will from standard data sets as demonstrated in Šúri et al.
be delivered by this paper. (2005). To ensure relevance of the standard, it is pro-
It must be known what standard data set will be consid- posed to use optimum angle as a standard mounting
ered in order to devise and adjust the modeling algorithms. for an energy rating and thus the standard data set
This lack of a data set has led to a significant difficulty in should be given at this condition. Alternatively, the solar
defining the parts 2 and 3 of the ER standard as it is a radiation data sets could be provided as the direct and
key input and also defines the required measurements. This diffuse components of the irradiance, together with
paper presents a proposal for the formation of these stan- information about the sun position in the sky at each
dard data sets to be contained in an energy rating standard. time in the data set. However, this would require that
Key characteristics of such standard data sets should be: the Standard include a model for how to calculate the
in-plane irradiance from these components, as well as
1. Appropriate for all technologies, i.e. include all data as a requirement that a specific inclination angle be used.
required.  Effective irradiance, which would be spectrally corrected
2. Unbiased to all technologies, i.e. not exclude informa- irradiance. While there is clear evidence that spectral
tion which could favor or disadvantage certain effects have an effect on the energy yield of devices
technologies. (Gottschalg et al., 2003), there is very limited data avail-
3. Informative for the user, i.e. give an indication of how able for covering the geographical variation of average
much energy can be generated, given a known perfor- annual spectra. In the future this should be included in
mance surface for the module being investigated. a standard, but the required data sets must be generated
4. Realistic, i.e. have appropriate combinations of irradi- and validated prior to this. The models available today
ance, temperature for a given site and not only statistical are SMARTS (Gueymard, 2001) and SPCTRL (Bird
distributions of un-correlated values and not only a col- and Riordan, 1986) which cover sunny climates only.
lection of extreme values. Not considering cloud cover can result in very signifi-
cant uncertainties in the description of device perfor-
This will impact on what these data sets contain and mance (Gottschalg et al., 2004) and affects different
how they can be constructed as discussed in this paper. technologies differently. The unbiased constraint given
This paper is structured in the following way: Section 2 in the introduction thus requires either to consider the
reviews in detail the requirements for the standard data effect of clouds or exclude spectral effects completely.
sets. Section 3 describes the tools used to generate the sug- The current models for cloud cover SEDES (Nann
gested standard datasets, followed by an identification of and Riordan, 1991) and ASPIRE (Betts et al., 2003)
suitable data sets in Section 4. This will deliver a method- are validated for a single type of spectroradiometer each
ology to derive the required standard data sets as well as and thus may rather represent the idiosyncrasies of the
give a selection criterion of which data sets might be appro- given measurement device than real changes in the envi-
priate to use. Sections 5 and 6 describe the construction ronment. It has also been shown that using clear sky
and analysis of the suggested data sets. Finally, Section 7 models, which today are the best validated models,
provides an outline of a suggested extension of the work results in a reduced agreement of modeling with mea-
to cover the whole world. surements (Friesen et al., 2009). Thus the authors feel
270 T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279

that at this point in time it is not possible to create spec- 40

tral data that are robust and unbiased enough to be part 35


HIHT
MIHT
of a standard and it is best to stick initially to broad- 30
band irradiance only.

Taweight [ ºC]
25
 Directionally resolved radiance (sky radiance as a func-
tion of position in the sky and sun position) which is 20
NICE
used for calculating the angle of incidence effects. Simi- 15 MIMT
larly to the spectral modifiers, there are hardly any mea- 10
sured data available for this and the existing studies are
5
often limited to single sites, e.g. (Brunger and Hooper, LILT HILT
0
1993). Similarly to spectral modifiers, the use of such a 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
model does not necessarily improve modeling quality Daily Insolation [kWh/m2/d]
(Friesen et al., 2009). Thus the authors feel that a simple
split into beam and diffuse irradiance will create as rep- Fig. 1. Applicability of currently proposed standard data sets for a
location in central Europe. The days proposed do hardly map to any of
resentative a data set as adding the additional complica- the days observed in a given year.
tions of anisotropic sky modeling and it is proposed to
include beam and diffuse irradiance only in the standard was to find rather extreme conditions that would allow
data sets. an umbrella around all different operating environments.
 Air temperature (the standard 2-m air temperature mea- Days which were proposed were Low-Irradiance-Low-
surements from meteorological stations), which is used Temperature (LILT), Medium-Irradiance-Medium-Tem-
to calculate the module temperature. This can be perature (MIMT), Medium-Irradiance-High-Temperature
obtained from standard meteorological stations, as has (MIHT), High-Irradiance-Low-Temperature (HILT),
been done in this work. It is also shown not to increase High-Irradiance-High-Temperature (HIHT) and Normal-
modeling uncertainty significantly (Friesen et al., 2009). Irradiance-Cool-Environment (NICE). Only NICE and
 Wind speed is a very site specific effect. It depends MIMT are seen in the real measurements, albeit in rather
strongly on the local environment and as such is very rare cases. However, it is the opinion of the authors that
difficult to give as a representative value. The effect this is not sufficient. This is for two reasons. First, it has
depends further on the correlation of irradiance, ambi- been shown that for energy rating a minimum period of
ent temperature and wind speed. There is a correlation 1 year is the most appropriate to obtain repeatable and reli-
between high wind speeds and less sunny conditions at able ratings (Friesen et al., 2009; Dittmann et al., 2010).
many (though not all) sites. Thus, even on high wind Second, standard days do not give a direct indication of
speed sites, one would not expect to see the full impact the energy yield at any given site. This is illustrated in
of wind cooling when considering annual datasets. Fig. 1, where the daily irradiation and average temperature
There have discussions on wind speed variations within values are plotted for all days measured at a central Euro-
larger fields, resulting in reduced cooling e.g. in the cen- pean location as presented in (Roy et al., 2008). The use of
tre of a PV system. Overall the authors feel that a spe- extreme data sets will not deliver the information required
cific wind speed might decrease the representativeness by the user. It is paramount to use more realistic data sets.
of the data set. Furthermore, a round robin intercom- Long-term time series of irradiance and temperature
parison of energy modeling programs (Friesen et al., values are not yet freely available for every possible given
2009), demonstrated that one could achieve excellent site. This would also be impracticable for datasheet inclu-
agreement of the energy yield of devices without consid- sion. The amount of data will need to be reduced. This
ering wind speed. paper suggests to do this by using climatic regions covering
all relevant parts of the world. One needs to keep in mind
The conclusion from this analysis is that at the very min- that the aim is to arrive at a ‘standard rating dataset’,
imum a meteorological data set for energy rating should which excludes spatial data sets (such as satellite-based
contain broadband irradiance and air temperature. Based maps or GIS data), containing data series for very large
upon this analysis, the paper will identify regions and clas- numbers of locations. As pointed out above, these could
sifications for the environment that can be used as standard hardly be included in a datasheet. In this context, a “cli-
environments. matic region” would not be a contiguous geographical
region but the set of all geographical regions in which a
2.2. Number and length of data sets PV module has a similar average Module Performance
Ratio (MPR).2 For instance, southern New Zealand might
The informative constraint requires the data sets to be of
a meaningful length and number. Standard days were sug- 2
The module performance ratio is the ratio of the actual PV module
gested in a previous draft of the IEC 61853 standard. These energy output to the theoretical output that would be obtained if the
days are renamed versions of the days proposed by Marion module always had the same conversion efficiency as under Standard Test
et al. (1999). The philosophy behind selecting these days Conditions. It is defined in Section 3.
T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279 271

be grouped with parts of Europe in terms of PV IEC 61853 part 1. The model assumes the instantaneous
performance. power P to be given by:
2
PðG0 ; T 0 Þ ¼ G0 ðP STC;m þ k 1 lnðG0 Þ þ k 2 lnðG0 Þ þ k 3 T 0
3. Modeling PV performance þ k 4 T 0 lnðG0 Þ þ k 5 T 0 lnðG0 Þ2 þ k 6 T 2 Þ ð1Þ
where the normalized in-plane irradiance and module tem-
The proposed standard data sets must of course be use-
ful for estimating PV performance. They should therefore peratures are given by:
be applicable to mathematical models of PV power output. G0  G=GSTC
A very specific standard has been proposed by the IEC as T 0  T mod  T STC ð2Þ
part 3 of the proposed standard IEC 61853, but this is not
2
as validated as some other approaches presented in the lit- with GSTC = 1000 W/m and TSTC = 25 °C being the irra-
erature. However, the model specifics do not matter in diance and temperature at standard test conditions. Here,
terms of suitability of standard datasets as long as the PSTC,n is the nominal power of the PV module or system,
model is intrinsically consistent and reproduces all and the coefficients k1 to k6 depend empirically on the type
device-specific effects. of module. In Huld et al. (2010), values were determined
In the literature there exist several different mathemat- for these coefficients for crystalline silicon, for CIS/CIGS
ical models for the performance of PV modules as func- and for CdTe modules.
tions of in-plane irradiance and module. Other models The module temperature Tmod can be estimated from the
estimate the module temperature from ambient tempera- irradiance and the ambient temperature using a simple lin-
ture, irradiance, and sometimes wind speed and direction ear relation:
(Skoplaki et al., 2008). Friesen et al. (2009) compared T mod  T amb  k T G ð3Þ
several of these models and found that for crystalline sil-
icon PV modules and for most thin-film technologies the The empirical constant kT typically has a value of 0.03–
models yield very similar results when predicting the 0.035 °C m2/W for free-standing modules.
annual energy output from the modules. Apart from Another way of expressing the PV module performance
amorphous silicon, all models agreed very well for differ- is in terms of the relative conversion efficiency, defined as:
ent locations, typically within 3% and constant trends. grel ðG0 ; T 0 Þ  P ðG0 ; T 0 Þ=ðP STC;m G0 Þ ð4Þ
The conclusion from this is that it is possible to accu-
The relative efficiency represents the ratio of the PV con-
rately model the performance of a large variety of PV
version efficiency under given conditions to that which is
modules using a representative data set of irradiance
found at Standard Test Conditions (STCs). It is closely
and temperature values. The differences in modeling
related to the Performance Ratio which is the ratio of the
accuracy were not in the models themselves, but largely
energy output of a complete PV system to the theoretical
due to the parametrization of the devices.
output with the PV modules performing as under STC
The model chosen for the simulations in this paper is
and no balance-of-system losses. In the following we will
described in Huld et al. (2010). The application of the
therefore refer to this quantity as the Module Performance
model to crystalline silicon modules has been investigated
Ratio, MPR.
in more detail in Huld et al. (2011). This model has been
The expression in Eq. (4) refers to the instantaneous
compared with a number of other models (Dittmann
power of the module under the given conditions. In itself,
et al., 2010) where it was found that the models under
this is not very useful to compare PV modules since it
investigation performed well for a range of PV module
depends on the instantaneous conditions which may favor
technologies and gave very similar results. The advantage
one module over another. It is therefore useful to define the
of using this model is that it is possible to combine mea-
average MPR:
sured data from many PV modules to obtain a general RT
model for a given PV technology. Thus, (Huld et al., 1000 W =m2 t¼0 Pdt
2011) presents the results of applying the model to 18 hgrel i  RT
P STC;m t¼0 Gdt
crystalline silicon modules and shows that the perfor-
mance (measured as the module performance ratio, see Terming the total in-plane irradiation in a year Hyear,
below) varies between modules with a standard deviation and the total module energy output Eyear, this can also be
of only 1.2% for a central European climate. In this way written:
the results will not depend on a particular set of measure- 1000 W =m2 Eyear
ments on a particular module. (Once the model coeffi- grel;year ¼ ð5Þ
P STC;m H year
cients have been found by fitting to measured module
data, the model requires only the in-plane irradiance From this expression it is clear that if two different
and the ambient temperature as an input, which was seen yearly time series of irradiance and temperature yield the
as desirable earlier. Essentially it is a simplified descrip- same MPR, the module energy output Eyear is proportional
tion of the performance surfaces also being used by the to the total in-plane irradiation Hyear.
272 T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279

4. Identifying relevant climatic regions PV systems at the two locations will differ in performance
only in proportion to the difference in annual irradiation
The rationale for the present study is the fact that PV at the two sites. Hence, an estimate of PV performance
performance depends on the climatic conditions, which based on data from one of the sites can then be trans-
are more general than using longitude and latitude alone. lated to the other site using only the yearly total irradia-
This should also help to overcome the ‘in-my-backyard’ tion at the two sites. This is useful because the yearly
attitude which in many ways has hindered an agreement global irradiation is more likely to be known for a given
on specific standard data sets. Since it is not feasible to site than the detailed irradiance and temperature time
measure or even model the performance of a PV module series.
for all possible combinations of climatic conditions, it is For these reasons it is proposed to use the yearly average
useful to define regions within the region of interest where MPR as a measure to discriminate between climatic zones.
the climate is similar, and then use a data set from a single Of course, in principle this determination of climatic zones
location representative of that region. This is required if should be done for each different PV technology. In prac-
these data sets are useful for data sheet inclusions. One also tice, the results will tend to be similar. Figs. 2 and 3 show
needs to keep in mind that energy rating is a service which maps of grel,year for two PV technologies: crystalline silicon
will be offered by specialized laboratories and these labora- (c-Si), and CdTe (Huld et al., 2010). Although the absolute
tories need to work with the same data. Thus it is imprac- value of grel,year varies considerably between technologies
tical to require spatially resolved data such as satellite data (in particular it is higher for CdTe), the geographical vari-
or any other GIS based system. However, to arrive at rep- ation is quite similar. The main difference is that c-Si shows
resentative sites, one needs to establish using exactly these higher MPR at high altitude, while CdTe only displays this
geographic mappings that the chosen sites are representa- to a small degree. The data for the maps of MPR in
tive for a specified region. Figs. 2 and 3 are available at the web page with supplemen-
This strategy requires a definition of what constitutes tary material (http://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/esti/standard_
“similar climatic conditions”. In one of the earlier data_sets).
attempts, the European Solar Radiation Atlas (Scharmer Based on these maps, seven different climatic regions
and Greif, 2000), climatic regions are based on yearly aver- were identified in Europe. The selection was made essen-
age clearness index, which is the ratio of annual horizontal tially by visual inspection of the map, choosing contiguous
global irradiation at the earth surface to that which would areas with similar module performance ratio. A similar
be seen in the absence of the atmosphere. ESRA deals with comparison should be done in the future for other parts
Europe only and there are nowadays data sets covering of the world to identify a manageable number of climatic
other continents as well, but it serves as a good case in regions. The regions are described in the following,
point for the following discussion. There are a number of together with a comparison with the climatic regions
problems with this simple definition of climatic zones. defined in ESRA.
First, given the large latitudinal extension of Europe (from Regions 1–5 are specifically for the low-lying
35°N to 70°N), the yearly irradiation can vary quite (<600 m) parts of the regions in question. Higher-eleva-
strongly even with a similar clearness index. Second, nei- tion areas tend to have somewhat different climatic
ther air temperature nor its correlation to irradiance are properties.
considered.
A method was demonstrated for estimating the PV per-
formance for various PV technologies using data sets of 4.1. Region 1
irradiance and temperature for a large number of locations
in Europe (Huld et al., 2010). In this work the PV perfor- The British Isles except for Southern England, plus
mance was described as the relative efficiency or Module Central Scandinavia and Southern Finland. Summers
Performance Ratio (MPR), grel, grel was calculated using are cool, and the position is fairly far north, meaning that
the model in Eqs. (1)–(4). In Huld et al. (2010), the MPR a most of the solar energy is delivered during the summer
was calculated using hourly radiation values derived from months. These effects combine to give a high MPR (0.93
satellite (Hammer et al., 1998; Lorenz, 2004). These satel- for c-Si).
lite-derived data have been extensively validated, showing This area corresponds to ESRA Area 1, but without the
not just a low mean bias error, but also that the resulting Low Countries and Northern Germany.
data have a probability density function similar to mea-
sured data from the BSRN network of radiation measure-
ment stations (see Section 7). For this reason, they will be 4.2. Region 2
suitable for use with the models presented in Section 3
(Beyer et al., 2009). South-East England, Normandy, Low Countries, Den-
The MPR can also be calculated as an annual average mark and southern Sweden, Northern Germany, Poland
value, grel,year, as shown in Eq. (5). If two locations have and the Baltic Countries. Summer temperatures are some-
the same grel,year for a given PV technology, it means that what higher than in Area 1, and the irradiation is less
T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279 273

Fig. 2. Map of annual average MPR for a generic crystalline silicon module in Europe. Calculated using data and methods described in Huld et al. (2010).
The locations shown are the ones for which the standard data sets will be defined (see Section 5 below).

concentrated in summer. MPR of c-Si is 0.92. This area 4.5. Region 5


corresponds roughly to ESRA Areas 2 and 3.
Southern Spain, Sicily, Southern Mediterranean coast,
4.3. Region 3 some parts of Greece. The highest temperatures and the
highest irradiation (among the low-lying regions) in Eur-
North-West Spain, Central France, Southern ope. MPR of c-Si is 0.88–0.89. This corresponds to parts
Germany, Czech Republic & Slovakia, Austria, Hungary, of ESRA Area 8.
most of Romania and Bulgaria. Climate is hotter and
more sunny than in Areas 1 and 2, but not yet mediterra-
nean. Despite the varying climate (wet and cloudy in the 4.6. Region 6
West, drier and with cold winters in the East), the behav-
ior of the 3 PV technologies is very similar, at least on an Pre-alpine areas, altitude 600–1500 m. These areas are
annual basis. MPR of c-Si is 0.91. This area corre- found in the Alps, Appenines, Massif Central,
sponds roughly to ESRA areas 4 and 5, but excluding Carpathians, Pyrenees and the Balkan mountains.
Northern Italy. Temperatures are lower than in the adjacent low-lying
areas, and the irradiation moderately higher. MPR of
c-Si is 0.92–0.94. This corresponds roughly to ESRA
4.4. Region 4 Area 7.
Portugal, Central Spain, southern France and Corsica,
most of Italy, Croatia and Serbia, most of Greece. Temper- 4.7. Region 7
atures are higher, and there is more radiation also in win-
ter. However, the effects of high temperature are High mountain areas of the Alps, Pyrenees, Carpathians
dominant. MPR of c-Si is 0.90. This area corresponds and Balkans, above 1500 m altitude. Temperatures are
roughly to ESRA area 8. low and irradiation almost as high as in Southern Spain/
274 T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279

Fig. 3. Map of annual average MPR for a CdTe module in Europe. Calculated using data and methods described in Huld et al. (2010). The locations
shown are the ones for which the standard data sets will be defined (see Section 5 below).

Northern Africa. Relative MPR of c-Si is 0.94–0.96. This 5. Constructing data sets for the climatic regions
corresponds roughly to ESRA Area 9.
As mentioned above, CdTe is less sensitive to the partic- Having defined a set of climatic regions in Europe, it is
ular climatic conditions found in high mountains. It would possible to construct PV-relevant data sets, as defined in
therefore be expected that CdTe modules have similar per- Section 4, for each of the regions. The data sets should con-
formance in Regions 3, 6 and 7. sist of a collection of instantaneous values of the necessary
For crystalline silicon the difference between parameters, for a period covering at least a full year in
climatic zones in terms of MPR is about 1%. This means order to resolve seasonal effects. Such a data set should
that if more climatic zones are selected within the area be produced for each of the climatic regions identified.
covered by Figs. 2 and 3, the difference in The data that were used for the analysis performed in
estimated PV performance between zones would become Huld et al. (2010) are proprietary and may not be released
very small. The number of climatic zones is hence without the consent of the copyright holders. This excludes
sufficient. them from being used as a standard data set. It was there-
This section established a limited number of perfor- fore decided not to use these data directly, but to produce
mance-relevant zones. While some (minor) differences in synthetic time series of data in such a way that the statisti-
the precise cut-off points are seen between two radically cal properties (mean values, standard deviation, cumulative
different technologies, this does not detract from the cen- probability density) are maintained. Such a data set can
tral values in these regions are representative for large then be generated for the standard and archived without
areas of land. The remaining challenge is now to find any copyright issues.
limited data sets that can be passed on between different The procedure for generating data sets for the climatic
service providers. This will be done in the following regions is the following:
sections.
T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279 275

Table 1
Locations representing the seven different climatic zones.
Location Country Latitude Longitude Altitude (m) Region Optimum angle
0 00 0 00
Glasgow United Kingdom 55°52 12 N 4°25 48 W 8 1 37
Brussels Belgium 50°500 1300 N 4°220 300 E 70 2 34
Bratislava Slovakia 48°80 5400 N 17°60 2600 E 160 3 35
Marseille France 43°170 5400 N 5°220 5900 E 27 4 37
Almeria Spain 36°500 2400 N 2°280 400 W 40 5 33
Bormio Italy 46°280 300 N 10°220 4100 E 1219 6 37
Gutsch Switzerland 46°390 000 N 8°370 1200 E 2287 7 31

1. Identify for each of the climatic regions a location where ues of the clear-sky index for given values of the monthly
irradiance and ambient temperature data are available average as presented by Markov-Transition matrices. The
in the database used to generate the maps of PV procedure for the generation of time series from given tran-
performance. sition matrices described by Aguiar and Collares-Pereira
2. For each of these locations, calculate monthly averages (1988). As second step, hourly time series are generated
of average daily global irradiation on a horizontal plane, on the basis of the daily averages. In this time scale, the sto-
as well as monthly average temperatures. chastic components of the data are modeled as a first order
3. Use the Meteonorm software (Remund et al., 2007), autoregressive process (AR1) (Aguiar and Collares-Pereira,
which is a commercially available database, able to sup- 1992).
ply high quality data sets. Use monthly average values The procedures for the generation of temperature sets
as input to generate a synthetic time series of hourly val- had been developed within the EU IST Project SoDa. It
ues of irradiance and temperature covering one year. is based on the thorough decomposition of the temperature
This is done for each of the chosen locations. variability in its systematic and to stochastic components,
4. Check that the hourly values from Meteonorm yield val- taking into account their coupling to the irradiance condi-
ues of grel,year that are close to those obtained from the tions. For the time series generation, basically AR1 pro-
original data sets. cesses are applied.
The total procedure for both, irradiance and tempera-
The chosen locations are listed in Table 1. ture data has been validated by e.g. (Remund, 2008b). As
For each of these locations, monthly values of global the procedures used are well documented in the Meteo-
horizontal irradiation and average temperature were norm handbook, they may in principle as well be applied
extracted from the database. The monthly average temper- independently of the Meteonorm software together with
atures are found as the average of the daily minimum and high quality data sets of monthly average irradiance and
maximum temperatures measured during the month. temperature from other sources.
These averages are used as input to the METEONORM The data license for Meteonorm contains provisions for
software, which is able to generate hourly data sets of irra- the publication of synthetical data series to be used in
diance and temperature showing realistic stochastic International standards. Thus, the data sets could be incor-
properties. porated into international standards without requiring the
The data generation procedures are described by use of Meteonorm by the users of these standards.
Remund et al. (2007). The procedures for the generation
of irradiance data are basically derived from works of Agu- 6. Results
iar and Collares-Pereira (1988, 1992) which had been devel-
oped further by Remund and coworkers and are described 6.1. Variation in performance from year to year
in Remund et al. (1998) and Remund (2008a).
The data generation is performed in two steps. First, a The proposed standard data sets contain one full year of
set of daily values is established., making use of universal solar radiation and temperature data for the chosen loca-
characteristics of the probability distribution of daily val- tions. It is therefore useful to determine how much the

Table 2
Average MPR grel and the standard deviation of yearly values of grel for each of the PV three technologies, calculated for six different locations
(coordinates given in Table 1).
Glasgow Brussels Bratislava Marseille Almeria Gutsch
c-Si grel 0.928 0.918 0.908 0.900 0.890 0.961
SD(grel) 0.0025 0.0024 0.0036 0.0031 0.0016 0.0057
CIGS grel 0.936 0.929 0.922 0.914 0.907 0.973
SD(grel) 0.0019 0.0025 0.0028 0.0024 0.014 0.0047
CdTe grel 1.040 1.031 1.022 1.009 1.002 1.028
SD(grel) 0.0018 0.0028 0.0023 0.0012 0.0008 0.0030
276 T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279

yearly average PV performance varies between years. This annual time series of irradiance and temperature for each
has been done for six different locations in Europe, taken to of the three technologies for the locations given in Table 1.
be identical with the locations in Table 1, with the excep- The results of the calculation are shown in Table 3,
tion of Bormio for which no time series of temperature which shows values of annual average MPR for c-Si, CIGS
was available. and CdTe, calculated using the original hourly data and
The data used represent the period from 1996 to 2006 using the synthetically generated data.
for a total of 11 years (for Bratislava the period 1998– The relative difference in the results from the two perfor-
2006 was used) For each of the three different PV technol- mance estimates is generally low, i.e. below 1%, except in
ogies considered in this report, the average MPR was cal- the case of Bratislava and Brussels, where the estimate
culated for each of the 11 years. the standard deviation of for c-Si using the synthetic data is 1.0–1.25% higher than
the MPR from these 11 values was calculated for each loca- that using the hourly data. In addition, it should be noted
tion and for three PV technologies. Models for these three that the estimates using synthetic data are consistently
technologies are taken from Huld et al. (2010). Table 2 higher than those using the measured data when estimating
shows the average MPR and standard deviation for each the performance of c-Si and CIGS modules, whereas the
location and technology. differences are very small when estimating the performance
The standard deviation of the MPR is very low, ranging of CdTe modules.
between 0.1% and 0.6%. This is in marked contrast to the The differences in predictions should be seen in relation
year-on-year variation of the irradiation itself where the to other sources of uncertainty and in relation to the over-
standard deviation ranges from about 1.5% in Almeria to all magnitude of the effects of irradiance and temperature
4% in Glasgow. This shows that for the purposes of gener- on the performance of PV modules.
ating a representative data set for assessing the perfor- According to the study presented earlier (Huld et al.,
mance of a PV module under real conditions, a one-year 2010), the deviation in performance of c-Si PV modules
data set of hourly values of irradiance and temperature from the performance at STC amounts to a yearly average
should be sufficient. of 5–11% depending on location (less deviation in cold or
high-altitude climates). For CIGS the values are slightly
lower, while for CdTe the deviation is in the range 4%
6.2. Performance estimates from hourly data and to +1% (negative numbers mean performance that is
reconstructed time series higher than STC values). Angle-of-incidence effects add
another 2–4% deviation (Martin and Ruiz, 2001; Huld
The hourly irradiance and temperature data described in et al., 2008). Thus it is seen that the discrepancies between
Section 5 have been used to calculate the performance of the estimates in Table 3 are nearly 10 times smaller than the
various PV technologies as described in Huld et al. difference between performance in Northern and Southern
(2010). (see Fig. 1 and 3 for a graphical representation of Europe or between c-Si and CdTe modules. More impor-
the results). The performance is expressed as the annual tantly, the trends in devices and locations are reproduced
average MPR of the modules taking into account the accurately. This indicates that the use of the synthetic data
effects of irradiance and temperature. would not modify the ranking. A slight deviation is
The aim is to find a set of data based on non-proprietary expected in absolute terms, as discussed above, but in terms
data. The same modeling procedure can be applied to other of energy rating this consistency in the rating is crucial.
time series. If the results are consistent with those gener- In the present study the PV performance has been mea-
ated using the proprietary data sets, it would be an indica- sured in terms of the annual average MPR, grel,year . How-
tion that this is a suitable approach. Here a data set is ever, as shown in Eq. (5), given grel,year, the actual energy
generated using METEONORM. This program has the output of a PV system is nearly proportional to the annual
advantage that a representative year is constructed by gen- in-plane irradiation. The differences in performance esti-
erating synthetic data, which may be published as part of a mates should therefore also be compared to the uncertainty
standard. The PV performance model is applied to the

Table 3
Comparison between calculated PV performance (expressed as MPR) using hourly data and using synthetic data. For each technology and location, also
the MPR is shown.
c-Si CIGS CdTe
Location Hour Syn. Diff. (%) Hour Syn. Diff. (%) Hour Syn. Diff. (%)
Glasgow 0.926 0.932 0.74 0.936 0.943 0.70 1.040 1.037 0.28
Brussels 0.916 0.927 1.25 0.929 0.938 0.96 1.031 1.030 0.05
Bratislava 0.907 0.917 1.08 0.922 0.930 0.90 1.022 1.023 0.09
Marseille 0.907 0.904 0.34 0.914 0.920 0.61 1.009 1.008 0.13
Almeria 0.889 0.893 0.38 0.907 0.912 0.59 1.002 1.001 0.08
Bormio 0.934 0.943 0.96 0.945 0.953 0.84 1.020 1.022 0.19
Gutsch 0.961 0.970 0.92 0.973 0.980 0.74 1.028 1.028 0.05
T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279 277

Table 4
Calculated yearly average MPR grel,year for a number of BSRN stations.
Station Latitude Longitude Altitude (m) Inclination Year grel,year
Bermuda 32.267N 64.667W 8 35 1999 0.873
Boulder (US) 40.125N 105.237W 1577 35 2004 0.898
De Aar (ZA) 30.667S 23.993E 1287 5 2002 0.880
Florianopolis (BR) 27.533S 48.517W 11 5 2002 0.863
Ilorin (NG) 8.533N 4.567E 350 10 1997 0.859
Ny Ålesund (NO) 78.925N 11.95E 11 60 2002 0.957
Sde Boqer (IL) 30.985N 34.782E 500 30 2006 0.876
Solar Village (SA) 24.91N 46.41E 650 25 2000 0.855

in the yearly irradiation since this uncertainty will cause a The climatic regions of the stations in Table 4 range
similar uncertainty in the estimate of total energy produc- from arctic (Ny Ålesund in Svalbard), to high-altitude tem-
tion from a PV system. perate (Boulder), humid subtropical (Bermuda and Floria-
Šúri et al. (2008) have investigated six different solar nopolis) to semi-arid (De Aar) and desertic climates (Sde
radiation products for Europe. It was found that there Boqer and Solar Village). At less than 10° from the equa-
were a number of regions in Europe where the different tor, Ilorin is situated in the tropics. It would be expected
solar irradiation estimates differ widely. In 22% of the ter- that of these stations only Boulder might show a similar
ritory considered, the standard deviation of the irradiation PV performance as some of the climatic regions in Europe.
values are higher than 6% and in a few locations may reach This expectation is borne out by the results of Table 4.
12%. This means that depending on the choice of data Comparing with Fig. 2 we see that in Europe the MPR
source, a user may make PV energy output estimates that for c-Si modules ranges from 0.88 to 0.94 except in the high
can vary by 6% or more in many regions. This “user’s mountains. In contrast to this, the arctic station in Table 4
uncertainty” is an order of magnitude larger than the dis- shows a MPR estimate higher than any found at low alti-
crepancy between the performance estimates described tude in the European climatic regions, while all the other
above. stations in Table 4 except Boulder show a lower MPR than
found anywhere in Europe. Furthermore, it can be seen
7. Future extension to other climatic regions that even though two stations may belong to a nominally
similar climate, there can still be significant differences in
The preceding analysis has focused on typical climatic PV performance. Thus, Bermuda and Florianopolis (both
regions in Europe. While Europe spans a wide range of cli- humid subtropical) show a difference of about 1% while
matic regions from nearly arctic to subtropical and cover- Sede Boqer and Solar Village have a 2% difference, even
ing both maritime and continental climates, there clearly though both are in desert climates. This difference is mainly
exist climatic regions that are not well represented if the due to the difference in daytime temperatures.
analysis is restricted to Europe. In the following, it will The results in Table 4 are not enough on their own to
not be attempted to exhaustively analyse all possible cli- establish a set of climatic zones for PV performance. The
matic regions in the world. However, it is possible to get results show that there are climatic regions that are not
an impression of the range of possible values of PV perfor- covered by the data sets suggested for Europe, but they
mance by examining data from climatic regions not found do not say anything about the geographical extent of these
in Europe. climatic regions. In order to suggest a comprehensive set of
The Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN)3 is a yearly data series for PV energy rating it would be neces-
collaboration of organizations maintaining high-quality sary to calculate maps of PV performance covering all rel-
ground measurement stations which include the measure- evant regions on the Earth. This in turn requires solar
ment of incoming solar radiation. Data from a number radiation and air temperature data sets covering the whole
of these stations were used to estimate the PV performance Earth with a reasonable spatial resolution (sufficient to dis-
in climatic regions for which there presumably are no tinguish lowlands from mountains). At present such data
equivalents in Europe. For each of these stations the global sets are not freely available though this situation may
horizontal and diffuse horizontal irradiance, as well as the change in the next few years. However, wide areas could
ambient temperature were used to calculate the yearly aver- be covered in a collaborative work with further groups to
age MPR for c-Si modules according to the method characterize the earth according to photovoltaic zones.
described in Huld et al. (2010). The stations used and the A proposal for a work programme to establish standard
resulting estimated MPR are given in Table 4. For each sta- data sets for energy rating could look like the following:
tion, the inclination was chosen to be a reasonable guess at
the optimum angle. 1. Identify large-scale regions with similar values of MPR
on the basis of long term (10 years) data sets. For the
3
The BSRN web site: www.bsrn.awi.de present study for Europe this was done using the work
278 T. Huld et al. / Solar Energy 93 (2013) 267–279

presented in Huld et al. (2010). For the rest of the world zones in the world. To overcome this problem it has been
similar maps of MPR would need to be produced. This demonstrated in this paper, that for the purposes of an
could be done by combining satellite-based radiation energy rating standard it is also possible to use synthetic
data and temperature maps from one of the global data, such as those generated by the Meteonorm software,
reanalysis projects, such as the ERA-Interim reanalysis whose license permits the output to be incorporated in
produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range standards.
Weather Forecast (www.ecmwf.int). This would depend With the definition of an Energy rating standard which
on suitable satellite data being available. For Europe, contains the PV module performance surface, the energy
African and Western Asia such data sets are freely avail- rating calculation, the standard environmental data sets,
able, for instance from the CM-SAF collaboration and the translation algorithms for different irradiance
(www.cmsaf.eu), but for the rest of the world the situa- and temperature conditions we will have developed a stan-
tion is less clear, though some areas are covered, such as dard which is sufficiently specific to be used (i.e. practical)
for instance Australia, via the Australian Bureau of while containing the necessary tools to be generally
Meteorology (www.bom.au). The low spatial resolution applicable.
of the reanalysis data sets means that the method is This work is currently limited to Europe, and a preli-
applicable only to low-lying areas and fairly flat high minary analysis shows that there are regions in the world
plateaus. that are not well represented by the climatic regions iden-
2. Once the regions have been identified, one-year time ser- tified for Europe. However, applying this methodology to
ies of solar radiation and ambient temperature should be similar data sets from different geographic regions, which
collected for at least one location in each of the regions. may be reproduced from satellite data, will make it possi-
Data of that year should give MPR values as close as ble to identify a limited number of climatic zones and
possible to the long-term mean MOR. If these data thus a limited amount of data sets that need to be derived
are freely available, they can be published as part of for an international standard. Given that these data sets
the standard data sets. are generic and don’t need to match the specific environ-
3. If the data cannot be published freely, use the data as ment perfectly to fulfill the purpose of an energy rating,
input to generate synthetic time series as described in this is a significant advance on the suggestion of standard
this paper, which may then be distributed freely. days. One could also extend the study purely based on
synthetic data and use this as an input to world-wide
mapping, provided some links with reality are
8. Conclusions demonstrated.

Any energy rating requires a standardized data set as Acknowledgements


integral part of its definition. This data set is difficult to
agree upon internationally, especially because of people This work was partially funded by the PERFOR-
wanting it be ‘their’ environment and thus it is near impos- MANCE project of the European Commission under con-
sible to agree on a given site. It is shown that climatic zones tract number SES-019718 within FP6. Ralph Gottschalg’s
are entirely sufficient at giving relevant information. Focus- contribution was funded by the RCUK-Energy Pro-
ing on these climatic zones will overcome several issues gramme Grant No. EP/H040331/1.
seen in the past with manageability of the data involved
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