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ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 2 0.1243212434541 0.062160621727 21.3078614696801
Residual 16 0.0466761973766 0.002917262336
Total 18 0.1709974408307
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Significance F
0.0000
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 85.39% ln M2=1,2393+ 0,5243ln pibreal - 0,0255ln TJCP
R Square 72.92% Ep = ( 0,6245) (0,1456) (0,0513)
Adjusted R Square 69.54% R2= 0,7270
Standard Error 0.0537963328601
Observations 19
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 0.124692713964 0.062346357 21.54297799 0.0000
Residual 16 0.046304726867 0.0028940454
Total 18 0.170997440831
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 84.27%
R Square 71.02%
Adjusted R Squar 69.31%
Standard Error 0.08433270516659
Observations 19
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.2962641268823 0.2962641269 41.65690549815 0.0000
Residual 17 0.1209040877322 0.0071120052
Total 18 0.4171682146145
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 88.19%
R Square 77.77%
Adjusted R Square 76.46%
Standard Error 0.073859426
Observations 19
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.3244295617 0.3244295617474 59.471454234 0.0000
Residual 17 0.0927386529 0.0054552148745
Total 18 0.4171682146
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
mesma nos DOIS modelos, pode-se ver que o modelo da TJLP apresenta um ajuste
melhor (R
2
dos na TJCP
s a hipótese nula. Assim, rejeitamos o modelo restrito e concluímos que a verdadeira elasticidade renda é MENOR do que 1.
ENOR do que 1.
ano m2 pib ipc tjlp tjcp mreal pibreal lnmreal
1980 1600.4 2795.6 82.4 11.27 11.506 19.42233 33.92718 2.966423
1981 1756.1 3131.3 90.9 13.45 14.029 19.31903 34.44774 2.961091
1982 1911.2 3259.2 96.5 12.76 10.686 19.80518 33.77409 2.985944
1983 2127.8 3534.9 99.6 11.18 8.63 21.36345 35.49096 3.061682
1984 2311.7 3932.7 103.9 12.41 9.58 22.24928 37.85082 3.10231
1985 2497.4 4213 107.6 10.79 7.48 23.21004 39.15428 3.144585
1986 2734 4452.9 109.6 7.78 5.98 24.94526 40.62865 3.216684
1987 2832.8 4742.5 113.6 8.59 5.82 24.93662 41.74736 3.216337
1988 2995.8 5108.3 118.3 8.96 6.69 25.32375 43.1809 3.231743
1989 3159.9 5489.1 124 8.45 8.12 25.48306 44.26694 3.238014
1990 3279.1 5803.2 130.7 8.61 7.51 25.08875 44.40092 3.22242
1991 3379.8 5986.2 136.2 8.14 5.42 24.81498 43.95154 3.211447
1992 3434.1 6318.9 140.3 7.67 3.45 24.47684 45.03849 3.197727
1993 3487.5 6642.3 144.5 6.59 3.02 24.13495 45.96747 3.183661
1994 3502.2 7054.3 148.2 7.37 4.29 23.63158 47.59987 3.162584
1995 3649.3 7400.5 152.4 6.88 5.51 23.94554 48.55971 3.175782
1996 3824.2 7813.2 156.9 6.71 5.02 24.37349 49.79732 3.193496
1997 4046.7 8300.8 160.5 6.61 5.07 25.21308 51.71838 3.227363
1998 4401.4 8759.9 163 5.58 4.81 27.00245 53.74172 3.295928
lnpibreal lntjcp lntjlp k lnk m2/ipc= mreal
3.524217 2.442869 2.422144 47.17161 3.853792 pib/ipc= pibreal
3.539444 2.641127 2.598979 50.97866 3.931407 ln(mreal)=lnmreal
3.519694 2.368934 2.546315 56.58775 4.035793 ln(pibreal=lnpibreal
3.569278 2.155245 2.414126 59.95329 4.093566
3.633653 2.259678 2.518503 61.07398 4.112086 m2/pibreal=k
3.66751 2.012233 2.37862 63.78358 4.155496 ln(k)=lnk
3.704473 1.788421 2.051556 67.29242 4.209048 ln(tjcp)=lntjcp
3.731636 1.7613 2.150599 67.85579 4.217385
3.765398 1.900614 2.19277 69.3779 4.239568
3.790238 2.09433 2.134166 71.38285 4.268058
3.79326 2.016235 2.152924 73.85208 4.302064 a) As elasticidades Renda (0,5243 ou 0,4946) e a ta
3.783088 1.690096 2.09679 76.89833 4.342484 estatisticos ( valores do teste ''t sap maiores).
3.807517 1.238374 2.037317 76.24812 4.333993
3.827934 1.105257 1.885553 75.86886 4.329006 b)
3.86283 1.456287 1.997418 73.57584 4.298317
3.882794 1.706565 1.928619 75.15078 4.319496
3.907961 1.61343 1.903599 76.79529 4.341143 ln
3.945813 1.623341 1.888584 78.24491 4.359844
3.98419 1.570697 1.719189 81.89913 4.405488
enda (0,5243 ou 0,4946) e a taxa de juros (-0,0255 ou -0,0516) Não são muito diferentes , mas a regressão usando a TJCP apresenta melho
es do teste ''t sap maiores).
sando a TJCP apresenta melhores resultados