CLIMATE REVIEW

July – August 21, 2023

#BantayKlima

Presented by:
JUNIE G. RUIZ
Weather Specialist II
CLIMPS-CAD
CONTENT OUTLINE
RECENT ENSO CONDITION

WEATHER SYSTEMS

CLIMATE ASSESSMENT

SUMMARY
ENSO Alert System Status:
EL NIÑO ADVISORY

Weak El Niño is present and may strengthen into moderate to strong

towards the latter part of the year.
(03 Aug 2023)
El Nino Advisory #2 issued

El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring
negative impacts (such as dry spells and droughts) in some areas of the country.
However, over the western part of the country, above-normal rainfall conditions during the
Southwest monsoon season (Habagat) may also be expected.
 Oceanic Indicator
EL NIÑO SOUTHERN OSCILATION Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST)

(ENSO) INDICATORS 1.50

Monthly SSTA (JuLY 2021 - JULY 2023)

1.00
El Niño
0.50

Anomaly °C
0.00
Neutral
-0.50

-1.00

-1.50 La Niña

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/ersst5.nino.mth.91-20.ascii

Both atmospheric (SOI) and oceanic (SSTA) Atmospheric Indicator

indicators are in the El Niño levels. Southern Oscillation Index (SOI)

Monthly SOI (JULY 2021 - JULY 2023)

25
20
15

Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) standardized 10 La Niña

Pressure diff.
5
anomaly of the mean sea level pressure difference 0 Neutral
between Tahiti and Darwin -5
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/soi/ -10
-15
El Niño
-20
-25
PAGASA ISSUANCES
El Niño Watch : 23 March 2023
El Niño Alert : 02 May 2023
El Niño Press Statement : 04 July 2023
El Nino Advisory # 1 : 04 July 2023
El Nino Advisory # 2: 03 August 2023

El Niño Advisory- El Niño is observed and expected to

continue within the next 5 consecutive overlapping
3-months and the probability is 80% or more.
Narrative:
https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/climate/el-nino-la-nina/advisories Simplified: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/climate/el-nino-la-nina/advisories
 CLIMATE
ASSESSMENT
Weather Systems that affected the country
July – August 21, 2023

INTER-TROPICAL RIDGE OF HIGH

LOCALIZED
SOUTHWEST CONVERGENCE ZONE (ITCZ) PRESSURE AREA (HPA)
THUNDERSTORMS
MONSOON

Enhanced Southwest Monsoon due

to:
1. “DODONG” from 16 to 17 July
2. "EGAY" from 22 to 28 July
2. "FALCON" from 29 July to 03
August
LOW PRESSURE
AREAS (LPAs) Three (3) TROPICAL CYCLONES
On 04 August 2023, the effect of EASTERLIES
1. TS “Dodong” July 13 - 15, 2023
Southwest Monsoon has weakened.
2. STY “Egay” Jul 21 – July 27, 2023
3. TY “Falcon” Jul 29 – Aug 1, 2023
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENTS
TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK AND ACCUMULATED RAINFALL (July – August 21, 2023)
July 13, 2023: The LPA east of Aurora developed
into TROPICAL DEPRESSION DODONG.
July 14, 2023: TD DODONG MAKES LANDFALL IN
DINAPIGUE, ISABELA
July 15, 2023: TD DODONG intensifies into a
TROPICAL STORM as it exited the PAR
21 July 2023: The LPA east of Southeastern Luzon developed 29 July 2023
into Tropical Depression "EGAY". The weather system "FALCON" entered PAR and continuously enhanced the
enhanced the Southwest Monsoon and was forecasted to Southwest Monsoon even after its exit in the PAR on 01
bring significant amount of rain for the next three days. August 2023.
26 July 2023: "EGAY" has made landfall over Fuga Island in
Aparri, Cagayan, and Dalupiri Island, Cagayan.
27 July 2023: "EGAY" maintained its strength and exited the
Philippine Area of Responsibility. However, Southwest
Monsoon enhanced by "EGAY" continued to bring occasional
to monsoon rains over the western portions of Northern and
Central Luzon and Southern Luzon.
Combined Effects of Southwest Monsoon
enhanced by TS DODONG (2023)

Photos from NDRRMC website

Combined Effects of Southwest Monsoon enhanced by STY EGAY and TY FALCON (2023)

STATION NAME STY EGAY and SW

TALAGUIO 791.0
BAGUIO CITY 784.4
ABUCAY, BATAAN 703.0
VIGAN 652.6
LAOAG CITY 632.4
SUBIC BAY 585.3
IBA 556.3
MAPUTI 492.0
MATULID 402.0
DAGUPAN CITY 381.5
APARRI 327.6
ANGAT 319.0
TCA-Camiling 313.5
TANAY 302.0
Hda. Luisita 300.0
SAN JOSE 299.5
Benguet Flooding and Landslide: Photos: Representative Eric Yap
BSU, Benguet 292.9
CLARK FIELD 281.9
SCIENCE GARDEN 277.9
CORON ISLAND 272.3

STATION NAME TY FALCON and SW

ABUCAY, BATAAN 489.5

IBA 476.1
SUBIC BAY 468.2
SCIENCE GARDEN 294.6
BAGUIO CITY 287.5
PORT AREA 268.6
TALAGUIO 245.0
ANGAT 242.0
MATULID 208.0
TANAY 162.9
MAPUTI 162.0
VIGAN 156.3
SANGLEY POINT 150.6

www.inquirer.net

www.philstar.com
https://monitoring-dashboard.ndrrmc.gov.ph/page/situation/combined-effects-of-southwest-monsoon-enhanced-by-tc-dodong-2023
Situational Report for Southwest Monsoon enhanced by TCs EGAY and FALCON (2023)
as of 18 August 2023
https://monitoring-dashboard.ndrrmc.gov.ph/page/situation/situational-report-for-southwest-monsoon-enhanced-by-tcs-egay-and-falcon-2023
 Actual Rainfall for July 2023
Normal RR(mm) Actual Rainfall
(1991-2020) Observed (mm) % Normal
RAINFALL PER PROVINCE
0 - Way Below Normal

19 - Below Normal

37 - Near Normal

27 - Above Normal

• Near to above normal rainfall conditions were observed in most parts of the country.
• Below normal rainfall in the provinces of Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Aklan, Capiz, Bohol and most parts of Northern Mindanao, BARMM
and SOCCKSKARGEN.
 Actual Rainfall for August 1-21, 2023
Normal RR(mm) Actual Rainfall
(1991-2020) Observed (mm) % Normal
RAINFALL PER PROVINCE
40 - Way Below Normal

33 - Below Normal

8 - Near Normal

2 - Above Normal

• Below to way below normal rainfall conditions were observed in most parts of the country.
• Near to above normal rainfall in the provinces of Leyte, Eastern Samar, most parts of Eastern Mindanao and Basilan
 OVER DIFFERENT PROVINCES
As of August 21, 2023 (ACTUAL)
AREAS DRY CONDITION DRY SPELL DROUGHT
(2) NONE NONE
LUZON NUEVA VIZCAYA
QUIRINO
(1) (2) NONE
VISAYAS BOHOL AKLAN
CAPIZ

(5) (8) NONE

BUKIDNON ZAMBOANGA DEL SUR
CAMIGUIN DAVAO DEL SUR
LANAO DEL NORTE DAVAO OCCIDENTAL
MINDANAO MISAMIS ORIENTAL SOUTH COTABATO
LANAO DEL SUR COTABATO
SARANGANI
SULTAN KUDARAT
MAGUINDANAO

TOTAL 8 10 0
 Temperature Assessment as of JULY 2023

Tmax (daytime temperatures) were generally near to warmer than average, while Near-average to above-average mean
Tmin (night time) were generally slightly warmer to warmer than average. surface air temperatures were observed
in most parts of the country.
 Temperature Assessment as of AUGUST 1-21, 2023

Both Tmax and TMin were generally slightly above-average to way above- average Slightly above-average to way above-
over most parts of the country. average mean surface air temperatures
were observed in most parts of the country.
 Highest/Lowest Recorded Temperatures for the Month

JULY 2023 AUGUST 1-21, 2023

14.8 oC 16.8 oC
BAGUIO CITY
38.1 oC BAGUIO CITY
Aug 13
38.0 oC Jul 26
ISU, ECHAGUE, ISABELA
Aug 06
ISU, ECHAGUE, ISABELA
Jul 06 15.4 oC 16.7 oC
BSU LA TRINIDAD
BSU LA TRINIDAD
Aug 13
Jul 09
METRO MANILA METRO MANILA METRO MANILA
37.0 oC METRO MANILA
33.9 oC 24.5 oC
PORT AREA, MANILA 23.0 oC PORT AREA, MANILA SCIENCE GARDEN, QC
Jul 05 PORT AREA, MANILA Aug 02
Aug 10
Jul 28 & 29
 OBSERVED TEMPERATURE EXTREMES

Surpassed Record: TMax

STATIONS NEW RECORD (JULY) HISTORICAL EXTREMES (JULY)
CLARK 36.1 07-05-2023 36.0 07-09-2020
PORT AREA,MLA 37.0 07-05-2023 36.5 07-02-1973
SANGLEY PT. 36.4 07-06-2023 36.3 07-25-2007
DAET,CAMARINES 36.5 07-06 & 07-2023 36.0 07-05-1992
MALAYBALAY 33.5 07-07-2023 33.4 07-12-2021

ZAMBOANGA CITY 36.3 07-06-2023 36.2 07-15-2020,07-24-2021

Surpassed Record: TMax

STATIONS NEW RECORD (AUGUST) HISTORICAL EXTREMES (AUGUST)
INFANTA, QUEZON 37.7 08-17-2023 37.0 08-27-1989

ZAMBOANGA CITY 36.2 08-02-2023 35.8 08-06-2021,08-14-2021

FOR: 2023 (JANUARY - JULY 31, 2023)

For: All Stations Monitored For: Metro Manila Stations
o ISU, ECHAGUE, ISABELA (May 7) o NAIA, PASAY CITY (May 8)
39.0 C 37.4 C
Highest

10.2oC BAGUIO CITY (Feb 16) 19.5 oC SCIENCE GARDEN, QC (Mar 5)

Lowest
8.7oC BSU, LA TRINIDAD (Feb 12)

HISTORICAL RECORD
For: All Stations Monitored (All Months) For: Metro Manila Stations (All Months)
Highest 42.2 oC Tuguegarao (4-22-1912 & 5-11-1969) 38.6 oC Port Area, Manila (05-17-1915)
Lowest 6.3 oC Baguio (1-18-1961) 14.5 oC Port Area, Manila (01-11-1914)
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202306
WILFIRES ALL OVER THE WORLD
Hawaii fire: Maps and before and after
images reveal Maui devastation

https://www.bbc.com/news

https://apnews.com/

https://www.philstar.com/
www.nytimes.com www.reuters.com
 SUMMARY
#BantayKlima
ENSO Alert System Status El Niño Advisory # 2
Rainfall Temperature
JULY 2023

• Near to above normal rainfall conditions were observed in • Near-average to above-average mean surface air
most parts of the country. temperatures were observed in most parts of the country.
• Below normal rainfall conditions in the provinces of Quirino,
Nueva Vizcaya, Aklan, Capiz, Bohol and most parts of Northern
Mindanao, BARMM and SOCCKSKARGEN.

AUGUST 1-21, 2023

• Below to way below normal rainfall conditions were observed • Slightly above-average to way above-average mean surface
in most parts of the country. air temperatures were observed in most parts of the country.
• Near to above normal rainfall in the provinces of Leyte, Eastern
Samar, most parts of Eastern Mindanao and Basilan
 www.bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph

www.facebook.com/pagasa.dost.gov.ph
@dost_pagasa

TRUNKLINE: (02) 8284- 0800

TYPHOON: 927-1541
LOCAL 805
FLOOD: LOCAL 808
CLIMATE: LOCAL 905/906
IEC: LOCAL 102/103