Professional Documents
Culture Documents
YEAR 5
NOTES BOOKLET
VOLUME I
YEAR: 2023-2024
NAME:
TEACHER:
1
YEAR 5
Contents page
Specification 11 - 31
2. Government Policies
Ch. 31 – 33
132 - 172
250-273
2. International Trade
Ch. 37 - 40
202 - 235
304-332
3. Exchange Rates
Ch. 41 - 42
236 - 257
333-347
2
Year-5 Formative Assessment Plan
1Presentation Pupils are expected to take pride in their presentation. All work should have a
date, title and c/w or h/w in the margin as appropriate. These should be
underlined. Pupils should write in black or blue ink although other colours
and/or highlighters may be used for emphasis. All self and peer assessment and
responses to teacher marking should be visible. Teachers will challenge work of
poor quality and will ask students to resubmit.
Homework At least 1 substantive piece of homework every half term linking in with the
main syllabus areas that will focus on Knowledge, Application, Analysis and
Evaluation for Year 4/5. This homework assignment could be an extended
writing task drawn from a past paper or a task that is exam style.
3
Class Participation Grade Descriptors
Some criteria to consider for class participation
Response to questioning
Punctuality to lessons
Participation in group activities
Attitudes to peer assessment
Completion and quality of assignments
Initiative in verbal and written work
Attentiveness
Frequency of participation in discussions
Home preparation to assist in class participation
Following instructions for class activities
7-8 Points
Strong participation demonstrates active engagement in written and verbal work. The student
plays an active role in the classroom but does not always add new insight to the discussions.
Reading and writing assignments are completed on time. In discussions and activities, comments
to peers are tactful, specific, and helpful. The student comes to his/her lessons well-prepared
with a good punctuality record.
5-6 Points
Satisfactory participation demonstrates consistent, satisfactory written and verbal work. Overall,
the student completes assigned reading and writing tasks on time, and contributes to small group
activities and large class discussions. In discussions and activities, comments to peers are tactful
and prompt, but could benefit from more attentive reading and/or specific detail when giving
comments. The student has done some preparation for the lesson. Student may occasionally be
disruptive and late more than once a week.
4
3-4 Points
Weak participation demonstrates inconsistent written and verbal work. The student may be late
to class, unprepared, and may contribute infrequently or unproductively to classroom discussions
or small group activities. Reading and writing assignments are not turned in or are insufficient. In
discussions and activities, comments to peers may be missing, disrespectful, or far too brief and
general to be of help or to be insightful. Student may also be disruptive and frequently late to
class.
1-2 points
Unacceptable participation shows ineffective written and verbal work. The student may be
excessively late to class, completely unprepared, and not able to contribute to classroom
discussions or small group activities. This student may also be disruptive in class. Reading and
writing assignments are not turned in or are insufficient. In discussions and activities, the student
is completely unprepared, disruptive, or sleeping and otherwise not participating. Almost no
preparation for lessons and student may be consistently disruptive and persistently late to
lessons.
0 points
The student is absent from class, or leaves early from class.
5
IGCSE Economics
Success and Assessment Criteria
The table below shows the command words that may be used in different types of questions as well
as the steps you need to take to answer the questions successfully.
6
ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT ASSESSMENT FEEDBACK SHEET
Question Title:
Use accurate and relevant Explain the cause and Be specific and accurate in
theory to answer the effects of your points. Use interpreting and quoting data (dates
question relevant link words like / calculating numbers
therefore, consequently, /trends/quotes)
and so.
Presentation
1 (excellent) 2 3 4 5 (poor)
7
8
ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT ASSESSMENT FEEDBACK SHEET
Question Title
Ensure that your point Use accurate Write your answer in Extend your
is relevant to the relevant diagrams to the context of the evaluative points
question asked support your answer question
and explain them
Presentation
1 (excellent) 2 3 4 5 (poor)
9
10
ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT ASSESSMENT FEEDBACK SHEET
Question Title
Ensure that your point Explain the cause Use relevant examples Extend your
is relevant to the and effects of your from the extract to evaluative
question asked points support your analysis points
Use accurate and Provide balance by Write your answer in Evaluate in the
relevant theory to assessing both sides the context of the context of the
answer the question of the argument question data given
Presentation
1 (excellent) 2 3 4 5 (poor)
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
COURSE OUTLINE
34
2. International Trade • Advantages and disadvantages of free trade
• Reasons for protection
• Methods of protection
• Modern trading blocs
• Role of the WTO (World Trade Organisation)
• Trade patterns of developed and developing
countries
35
Evaluation skills
There are several ways to evaluate when completing economics questions, including:
Consider alternatives
This means looking at alternative explanations for the data being considered, or
considering alternative remedies and policies. For example, 'road pricing may not be as
effective as increasing parking charges in reducing urban congestion'.
It does not really matter which policy is the most effective - it simply enables you to
present an alternative view or policy.
36
For example, 'a consequence of expansionary fiscal policy might be the unintended effect
of raising the rate of inflation1 - or, 'the fall in house prices might put downward pressure
on interest rates, which reduces rates for savers and may have a negative effect on those
pensioners who rely on investment income from saving.'
Time lags
It is always important to remember that the effects of any policy change or any market
change may be slow, and will create a time lag between implementation/change and
effect. In other words, there will be a difference in effects between the short-run and the
long-run.
Weak effects
Similarly, changes on policies or the implementation of a new remedy may have a weak
effect on the behaviour which has been targeted. For example, the effect of a minimum
price on alcohol may have a very weak effect on the behaviour of drinkers.
37
Useful Websites
General websites
www.bbc.co.uk As well as topical issues there is also an education section. ww.bbc.co.uk/learning Online
learning support and advice.
www.bized.co.uk Originally designed for Business Studies and now incorporates a wealth of useful
information for both teachers and students.
www.s-cool.co.uk Although available for AS/A level only, many topics are also relevant for the IGCSE
specification and are dealt with simply with revision questions.
www.tutor2u.net Originally for AS/A2 but developing more resources for GCSE level.
UK data
www.bankofengland.co.uk - for information on current interest rates and the UK’s financial system.
www.direct.gov.uk - the website of the UK government, providing information for citizens from various
government departments.
www.hm-treasury.gov.uk - the UK’s economic and finance ministry. Access to budget reports and policy
information.
www.statistics.gov.uk - Holds all national statistics, for example economy, census, population, labour market.
World data
www.europa.eu.int/en/comm/eurostat - Holds statistics on all nations in the European Economic Community.
www.oecd.org - The website holds comparable statistics, economic and social data from countries committed
to democracy and market economy.
www.worldbank.org - Source of loans, credits and grants to developing countries. Website has a section on
world data and research.
www.wto.org - The World Trade Organization deals with rules of trade between nations. Includes a section on
trade statistics.
38
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
AD/AS analysis
Economic growth
Low unemployment
Redistribution of income
39
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Introduction
ernment
go
1. To have healthy public finances
40
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
In the model below, assume an economy where there only households (people) and firms.
There is no government, banking sector or international sector. In this economy,
households (H) provide factors land, labour and capital to firms (F) in return for factor
payments (rent, wages and interest). Firms use the factors of production to produce goods
and services in return for payment. If households were paid £100, the economy’s national
income (NY) will be £100. Households will spend this on the output produced, national
product (NP). Thus, national expenditure (NE) will be £100, which in turn will be used to
produce NP of £100, which becomes firms’ income and so on. Hence, this is referred to as
the circular flow of income.
Notice the flow of income in the diagram below as opposed to the non-monetary flow of
goods/services and factors.
supplygood revile
housen.to expenV
we
tonsumer
firms
Leakage
i I Savings
I
2 Imports
supply resources 31 Taxes
Injettion
land labour
1 Investments yapped entrepreneurship
21Exports
31 Government National Income
spending e g totalintome of a National product
lountryfoveragearl
roads NY = NE = NP output Total value
of goods and
f servile produced
in a year
National expenditure
totalspending of a country
on goods services over
consumers
all
41 by
a
year
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Leakages/withdrawals (W) refer to income that flows out of the circular flow. These are
savings (S), imports (M) and taxation (T).
Injections (J) refer to income that flows into the circular flow of income which comes from
outside the model. These are investment (I), exports (X) and government spending (G).
If withdrawals are greater than injections, the circular flow of income will fall.
W ˃ J = NY
J ˃ W = NY
Core Activity:
Increase in imports
14 151 Intl
Lt Nt t
Increase in savings
Li Ne t
Decrease in taxation
t t Nt t
Decrease in government
spending
t t Ne t
Increase in exports
II Ne P
Decrease in investment
Il Nt t
Extension:
What happens when interest rates change? Explain your answer – give specific application
to the UK economy.
42
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Introduction
Demand is the quantity of a particular good or service that consumers are willing and able
to buy at a given price over a given period of time. This is individual demand.
AGGREGATE DEMAND
NE = AD
AD = C + I + G + X – M
Where,
X = Exports are the goods produced in the domestic economy that foreigners spend money
on.
othercountries
pin
M = Imports are goods produced abroad. They do not form part of national expenditure and
do not contribute to national income.
43
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
AGGREGATE DEMAND
Definition: The aggregate demand curve shows the inverse relationship between the
price level and output in the economy.
Real output is the value of goods and services produced in an economy over a given period
of time. You may see real output expressed as GDP.
expansion
Phi pg
B
6Plz I J i
i
i
NY NY NY
Generaldemand
If a household is on a fixed income, a rise in average prices will mean that they can buy
fewer goods and services than before i.e. the higher the price level, the lower the demand
of the whole economy and vice versa.
44
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Assuming price level remains the same, changes in non-price factors will cause the AD
curve to shift.
A change in unemployment
fall in income tax and/or corporation tax
A change CT IT All r fshifts right
A change in the rate of interest
For example, if unemployment increases, incomes fall causing consumption to fall. This will
shift the AD curve to the left to AD1. If on the other hand for example, the rate of interest
falls, this will cause more people and businesses to borrow making consumption and
investment increase. This will cause AD to shift to the right to AD2. See graph above.
ont n increase in AD
GPL p
t
I i
n I
i 1
i s
2000 2200 NY
E million
45
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
Definition: Aggregate supply (AS) is the total amount a country’s supply at any given
price. In other words, it shows the level of output in the whole economy at any given
level of average prices.
The aggregate supply curve is upward sloping suggesting that total output increases as the
price level increases. This can be explained by the profit motive.
At low levels of output, the AS curve is horizontal showing that firms can increase output
without raising prices due to excess capacity.
At higher levels of output, the AS curve becomes vertical. This shows the total productive
capacity of the economy, i.e., the total amount of goods and services the economy can
produce using all its factors of production as efficiently as possible. In other words, firms are
producing at full capacity. This is known as the full employment level of output (Yf).
I AS
i
unemployed
i resources
X Ye NY
46
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
1. Changes in costs of production. For example, changes in wage rates, prices of raw
materials, energy, rate of interest, etc.
An increase for example, in wages, will cause the AS curve to shift upwards. On the
other hand, a decrease for example, in the cost of raw materials, will cause the AS
curve to shift downwards.
Sos 2. Changes in the resources of the economy. For example, changes in the quantity and
quality of land, labour, capital and enterprise. e Moreimmigration means more
g
labour or more investment whichmeans morecapital
If the resources of the economy were either to increase or improve or technology
was to improve, then the AS curve will shift to the right to AS1, showing that the
economy can now produce more goods and services with its resources. The full
employment level of output is now greater. This is more a long-run phenomenon,
given that the long-run is defined as that period of time when all factors of production
are variable. See graph on the next page.
of As As
Long run
economic
growth
NY
He rife
47
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
The equilibrium level of output in the graph below is Ye and equilibrium prices are Pe where
AD equals AS. The aggregate demand in the economy was inadequate to keep all factors
of production fully employed. Potential output of distance AB is not produced. There is,
thus, unemployment in this economy. At the same time, the level of AD in the economy
results in higher prices, distance CD. There is, thus, inflation in this economy also.
Gry
o
te
Ife Ife NY
National
output
L potential or
equilibrium maximum
output
full employment leet
48
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
AGGREGATE DEMAND
Core Activity
exports import
Ct i t G t
X M
AD
3) Draw an AD curve and label all the axes.
org
Is
4) Draw an AD curve shifting to the left and identify four factors that would cause it to shift
to the left.
1 A rise inincome tax
onya 2 A fall in wages
3 A rise in unemployment
4 A fall in
At government spending
5) Draw an AD curve shifting to the right and identify four factors that would cause it to shift
to the right.
49
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Core Activity
What effects might each of the following have upon AD/AS analysis?
In each case draw an AD/AS diagram showing the effects on the equilibrium price and the
real level of national income.
1. Rise in wages
2. Fall in consumption
Cd Apt Pd Ney
3. Rise in the price of oil
9. Increase in imports
Extension task:
Draft a test on AD/AS for your class with 10 questions. Produce a mark scheme.
50
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Topic Review
51
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
ECONOMIC GROWTH
Introduction
An increase in Aggregate Demand will cause an increase in national output (GDP) hence
there is actual economic growth. This is short – run economic growth.
É i I AD
1
n I
l
I Ye
An in increase in Long-run Aggregate Supply will increase the productive potential of the
economy and allow for a higher level of national output, hence there is long term economic
growth when the productive potential of the economy increase. This is long-run economic
growth.
E
Pe P E
p i i
He Yfe
. potential output
rises
52
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
The production and sale of goods and services generates income for people, thus,
economists measure economic growth by how much national income or Gross Domestic
Product increases.
National income is often used as the main indicator of the standard of living in an economy.
Therefore, a rise in real GDP per head is not only an indication of economic growth but also
a rise in living standards.
Standard of living - How well off an individual or nation is at a point in time. One
important, but not perfect measure is the level of GDP, more specifically GDP per
head.
capita
GDP of Cyprus 2213
GDP per Head = GDP Population IM
Population g pp head 22
However, national income or GDP may appear to rise without more goods and services
being produced because of a rise in prices (inflation). Thus, to find out how real output has
changed we must account for inflation.
Output or income or GDP that includes inflation is known as nominal output or income or
GDP. If the inflation rate is discounted from this, then this gives rise to real output or
income or GDP. Nominal GDP, in this context, is the same as money GDP.
Real GDP is the value of goods and services produced in an economy over a given period
of time, after adjusting for inflation.
money GDP is the value of goods and services produced in an economy over a given
Nominal
period of time at current market prices, i.e. before adjusting for inflation
53
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Core Activity:
GDP OF CYPRUS
3. Calculate the Real economic growth rate in % terms for 2006 and 2007.
4. What is the difference between total (absolute) growth and real (%) growth rates?
54
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Increase in population size – if there is a rise in population goods and output have to be
shared amongst more people making individuals worse off. This is whywe use GDP per
person as a measureoflivingstandards
good
Hidden economy – Certain paid activitiesfor
are unrecorded and form part of the black
market/ informal economy (e.g., drugs and prostitution), as a result GDP is underestimated.
illegal smuggling ofgoods tax evasion
Home produced goods - GDP doesn’t take into account home produced goods (e.g., DIY,
vegetables grown at home i.e. subsistence farming. This is especially a problem in
developing countries where subsistence farming plays a major role. It not only
underestimated GDP but also makes comparison between countries more difficult because
inevitably countries with a bigger informal economy will appear worse off.
e gpaintingyourown house
alcohol
orcigarettes
for
GDP doesn’t consider what goods are produced if more weapons are being produced it
doesn’t increase the standard of living even though national output has increased. It also
ignores changes in quality of goods and service.
External costs are ignored - it ignores any environmental and any other external costs
that the higher levels of production might have on the wellbeing of society.
Statistical error.
Ignores income distribution – it does not say anything about the way the extra income is
shared between population. Often owns of businesses benefit much more compared to the
workers in the businesses.
Not everyone benefits thesame by economic growth
55
Section C: Government and the Economy CA 12110
Macroeconomic Objectives
If real output increases over time there has been economic growth. Plotted against time it
should look like a steadily rising line as shown below.
GDP activity
felonomi high
conomilactivity is
Boom
GDP
I Consumption Trend rate of growth
AD
Employment y F
prices
recovery
feconomil
activityvises
o
recession
flow economic
activity TIME
Although there tends to be economic growth in the long-run, in the short-run national
income/output experiences many ups and downs. These ups and downs are shown in the:
Economic Cycle/ Business Cycle/ Trade Cycle.
When real output and national income grow faster than usual the economy is said to be
experiencing a boom. A boom is associated with a high level of aggregate demand, high
level of investment, low unemployment, rising prices (inflation) and profits as well as high
tax revenues.
When real national output and national income fall the economy is in downturn. Downturn
is associated with falling aggregate demand, a fall in investment and consumption as well
as rising unemployment. Tax revenues fall and government spending on unemployment
benefits begin to rise.
56
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
In a recovery, economic growth becomes positive again. National output and incomes
begin to rise, unemployment falls, and confidence starts to rise and so investment and
spending start increasing too.
In the AD/AS graph below, a fall in spending shifts the AD curve to the left to AD1, causing
the price level to fall and more importantly for real GDP to fall from Ye to Y1. There is a fall
in short-run economic growth and the economy is in the recession phase of the trade cycle.
Recession
Of As
bi AD
Ay
Ni
E 57
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
In the AD/AS graph below, an increase in spending shifts the AD curve to the right to AD,
causing the price level to rise and more importantly for real GDP to increase from Y1 to Ye.
There is an increase in short-run economic growth and the economy is in the recovery
phase of the trade cycle.
Gry AS
TI it an
I ADA
N
Y
In the long-run, economic growth can increase the potential of the economy to produce
more goods and services. This will not occur with increases in AD (which leads to short-run
economic growth) but when AS shifts to the right. See the following graph.
Longrungrowth of Cause
PPFshiftsoutwards As As
1 Inirease in
amount of resourier
2 Improvement in
Pi pl quality of resourie
Ppe i g
AD
I i
N
E
58
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
The AS curve can shift to the right for any of the following reasons:
Availability and discovery of new natural resources – For example, the difference in
the availability of natural resources between the USA and Mali is regarded as a major
reason why the US has a faster growth rate. New oil supplies in Cyprus might enable it to
achieve a faster rate of growth in the future.
59
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Employment
During times of economic growth incomes tend to be rising, so with people earning more
money consumption will rise, thus as consumption rises AD rises causing an increase in
demand for workers as labour is derived demand. Furthermore, in times of economic
growth firms tend to invest more thus creating more jobs. Thus, the rise in AS and AD will
create employment opportunities.
more employment
Standard of living
During economic growth incomes tend to be rising thus giving people a better material
standard of living as they can afford to buy more goods and services and even follow a
healthier diet. Economic growth also allows people more leisure time due to improvements
in efficiency in the workplace. Also the government has more to spend on improving public
services like education and health care, parks, road networks etc. All of these factors have
also contributed to longer life expectancy.
On the other hand, some people argue that during times of economic growth stress level
increase. During periods of rapid growth, people may be forced out of towns and villages,
as they are being developed.
Poverty
In some countries economic growth has managed to reduce poverty as jobs have been
created. Furthermore, the fact that the government has more tax revenues in times of
growth has allowed the government to improve public services like health care, education,
welfare benefits which are mostly consumed by the poor; this has helped improve their
living standards and reduced the gap between the rich and the poor.
However, growth may be associated with exploitation. It is often argued that owners of
business and workers in higher paid jobs have benefited more than low-income earners
thus the extent to which income inequality has been reduced is debatable. Although the
national cake gets bigger and the piece of the cake grows for each group in society, large
corporations have gained by far more than workers.
60
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
EV However, if economic growth is fuelled by a rise in AS, inflation should not be a problem in
the long term. longrungrowth p58
61
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
For consumers
It allows consumers to buy more goods and services, increasing their material standard
of living. This is becauseeconomicgrowthisassociatedwithhigherincome and therefore consumption
The government receives higher tax revenues because incomes are rising. Note they
will receive more in income tax as well as in indirect taxes e.g. VAT as consumers
spend more.
The government also will spend less on unemployment benefits given that with
economic growth there will be less unemployment.
For firms
Firms should benefit from higher sales revenue and higher profits. more funds
availablefor investments for training workers etc However
morecompetition loweringprices
For workers Labourcostsp wagest
Job security
Sinceduringgrowth
thereis moredemand
forworkers
Lowerfearofunemployment
Higherwagesas DLT
Mightneedto workovertime
lessleisuretime
Lowskilledworkers in developed
mightnotsee a risein
countries
theirwages
62
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
recession
covid
63
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
1. In Sri Lanka, economic growth has seen the increased use of pesticides and chemical
fertilisers to increase the amount of crops produced. The growth of the tourism industry
has brought about an increase in the construction of roads, hotels and guest houses.
This has created jobs but at a cost of natural wildlife habitats.
(a) Discuss the potential long-term impacts of growth in Sri Lanka and whether the benefits
outweigh the costs. (9 marks)
Identify and develop one advantage (APPLY)
The growth in Sri Lankafrom increased tourism hasresulted in more Ib in hotels and
construction companies thatbuild thehotels Therefore morejob lead to more
economi growth andpeople can afford to buymoregoods and services as incomes
will rise and this will lead to improved living standards
However, .....
É noise polution
The government in Sri Lanka will benefit fromhigher tax revenues and
unemployment benefits since more people will havejobs
lower spending on
that
Therefore this extra revenue can be used to improve public services
improve livingstandards
However, …….
Using the data above assess whether economic growth always lead to an increase in the
standard of living? (9 marks)
65
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
China has enjoyed a long period of economic growth in recent decades. However, this has put a strain
on its environment. Pollution-related problems, from acid rain to contaminated rivers, are now common in
China. In northern China, drought has left more than two million people without enough drinking water,
partly because the water is supply contaminated.
On the other hand, developed countries like the UK had been hit by the ‘credit crunch’. This meant that
banks and other financial institutions reduced their lending to consumers and firms. In a very short period
of time the UK moved into recession. There was a fall in demand, a rise in unemployment, an increase in
business closures, a fall in stock markets and a fall in house prices.
recession
To what extent are the problems associated with negative economic growth greater
than the problems associated with positive economic growth? (12 marks)
Conclusion:
66
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Exam practice
In Bali, economic growth has seen the increase use of pesticides and fertilisers in order to
improve the production of crops. The growth of the tourist industry has increased the
construction of roads, hotels, etc. This has created an increase in job opportunities at the
expense of extensive destruction of the environment.
(a) Discuss the potential long-term impacts of economic growth in Bali and whether the
advantages outweigh the disadvantages. (12 marks)
However, .....
However, .....
Conclusion:
67
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
External costs Price increases can mean that growth rates are
68
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Extension Task:
CA ADP GPLP
homeworkfor 2 10
69
Monday
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Topic Review
Economic
growth Causes of
economic
growth
Limitations
of GDP as
a measure of
she E
growth impact of growth
Benefit Drawbacks
70
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
INFLATION
Inflation: can be defined as the persistent rise in the general level of prices of
goods and services over a given period of time.
For example, if it is said that prices rose by 2.5% in 2009, this means that what would
have cost, say £100 to buy in December 2008, would cost £102.50 in December 2009.
i
Inflation rate: the change in average prices in an economy over a given period of
time.
Inflation target: is an economic policy in which a central bank estimates and makes
public a projected, or "target", inflation rate and then attempts to steer actual inflation
towards the target through the use of interest rate changes and other monetary tools.
In the EU andUK theinflationtarget is 21 but theyallow I 11
Why is controlling inflation important?
Ensuring inflation is low and stable and within target is one of the main
macroeconomic objectives. Governments aim to maintain the inflation targets,
because fluctuating prices create uncertainty which, discourages investment so
restricts future growth, reduce living standards because the purchasing power falls as
the prices rise. There is also an impact on unemployment – higher prices mean lower
AD so there is less demand for workers and the balance of payments worsens as our
goods becomes less price competitive.
exports fall as they
become moreexpensive
Core Activity
The inflation rates for Fiji are as follows:
Year Annual rate of inflation % Effect on the Price level
2000 1.1
2001 4.3
Rise Faster
2002 t 0.8 Rise Slower disinflation
2003 4.2
Rise Faster
2004 -0.2
O
Explain what happened to prices in Fiji between 2000 and 2003.
fall deflation
71
Section C: Government and the Economy
Macroeconomic Objectives
Deflation: is the persistent or sustained decrease in the general level of prices (the
inflation rate is negative), over a given period of time.
slower
Disinflation: describes a situation when prices are rising but at a lower rate, e.g.,
prices rise by 3% in 2017, and by 2.5% in 2018 (prices are rising but the actual price
increase is dropping.
It is a fall in the rate of inflation (the period in which inflation falls relative to the
previous period, in other words, prices rise but at a decreasing rate).
Hyperinflation: describes a situation where inflation levels are very high say, 100% or
200% per annum. Zimbabwe Venezuela Libanon
e.g
Stagflation: high levels of inflation accompanied with high levels of unemployment.
PP unemployment
inflation
disinflation
disinflation
inflation
deflation
Core Activity:
Discuss the following chart.
When did the UK experience inflation, disinflation and deflation?
Homework Task:
Rob jones Page 205 q 1-3 hw
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Measuring Inflation
by one organisationof National Statistic
Changes in the cost of living are measured by changes in prices.
Inflation is measured by:
Extension Activity
Year CPI % Change Rate Effect on the price
alwaystoointhe (inflation) level
base
BASE YEAR 1 year
100 -
2 103 3% Inflation
3 106
2,91 Disinflation
4 110
Inflation
5 109
3,81
0,91 l Deflation
Inflation'rate
New pl old Pl
t 100
Old p
The main cause for this inflation is ‘too much money chasing too few goods’, and can
occur during a boom where AD is rising at a faster rate than AS.
In the following graph, AD shifts to the right causing prices to rise from Pe to P1
alongside an increase in output from Ye to Y1. Distance Pe to P1 shows the extent of
demand-pull inflation.
PL
i KRIAS
Py É
i
i Ifan AD
RealGDP
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G
Pg
ASI
SRI A
r
i n
I i
n
i
AD
i
i I
Y te Real GDP
Inflation can become permanent if a wage spiral comes about. This occurs when an
initial increase in prices makes workers ask for higher wages. These higher wages
add to firm’s costs of production and make prices rise even further. This sets off
further demand for wage increases and so it goes on. (This is known as the wage spiral.)
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y
Erosion of values/ income distribution effects of living
Purchasing power of money – inflation reduces the value of what money can buy. E.g.,
in 1975 £1 could have bought 16 pints of beer – fifty years later the same £1 would
only buy just 1 pint of beer.
Rising prices do not cause a problem for everyone in the economy because some
people’s incomes go up even more quickly than prices leaving them better off. This is
especially true for those workers that belong to powerful trade unions.
Exports
As inflation rises, the prices of domestic goods and services rise, making our exports
less competitive in overseas markets. Thus, exports fall, causing a fall in AD and as a
result a fall in demand for workers. The balance of payments will worsen as exports
fall. And as imports may now be relatively cheaper imports will rise worsening the BOP
further.
Unemployment
Inflation reduces the competitiveness of British goods. Imports become cheaper;
exports more expensive. Fewer workers are now needed in the UK to produce goods
and services. Therefore, inflation causes unemployment.
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Uncertainty
Inflation is a cost to the economy because it creates uncertainty about the future. High
inflation means that people find it difficult to keep a record of what is the right price to
pay for a good. Firms do not know for how much they will be able to sell the products
for in three years time. They don’t know how much it will cost to produce the good.
Shoe-leather costs
When inflation rises, consumers and producers are unclear as to what constitutes a
fair price, thus, leading them to shop around to find the cheapest prices.
Menu costs
Increasing costs for firms that have to keep changing their menus, price lists, vending
machines, etc whenever prices rise.
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Core Exercises:
1. Define ‘demand pull inflation’.
3. Look at each scenario in the table below and identify whether it is demand pull or cost
push inflation. Write the correct answer in the right-hand column.
Wage increase
Increase in taxation
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Exam practice
1. One of the governments’ macroeconomic objectives is to keep inflation within target. Inflation
can cause problems for consumers, firms and the economy. In recent years, Venezuela has
seen some unbelievable price increases. In Venezuela the government has declared a state
of emergency. Inflation at this level can have some serious consequences.
(a) Describe two negative impacts that households in Venezuela have experienced as a
result of inflation. (6 marks)
Remember a 6-mark question requires: Knowledge (K), Application (Ap), Analysis (An)
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Exam practice
2. On the main contributors to the rising global demand for zinc has been the growth in
the motorcar industry in China. The rising demand has resulted in higher prices for
zinc.
(a) Calculate the percentage change in the price of zinc between 2016 and 2017. (3)
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(b) Using the information above, what is meant by demand-pull inflation? (3)
3. The data below show the inflation rates for a country over three years.
Year 1 2 3
(b) Using the table above, explain why prices were at their highest level in the third year.
(3)
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Exam practice
The news that prices are rising far faster than expected will cause more misery for
many consumers who are seeing their family finances squeezed, with food and fuel
bills rising, but wages staying flat.
Pensioners – Those on a fixed income are hit hardest by rising prices, as this
effectively reduces the buying power of their pensions. To make matters worse, those
aged 65 or over spend a far greater proportion of their income on fuel and food – two
areas that have seen some of the biggest price increases.
Borrowers – inflation is good news for those who have large debts, as it effectively
reduces the size of the debt in real terms. With inflation at 3 % (December 2017) your
debt effectively halves in 12 years. So those with large mortgage debt, outstanding
loans and credit cards will benefit from higher inflation.
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Think-Pair-Share Activity:
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Extension Activity
Based on the data on UK CPI inflation for goods and services answer the following
questions:
2. Describe what has been happening to inflation in the UK in the last 10 years and why?
3. Comment on UK’s target inflation and relate this to the data given.
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Topic Review
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UNEMPLOYMENT
Introduction
The unemployed are measured as the people within the working population who
are able and willing to work at the going wage rate but cannot find a job.
Measuring unemployment
Two measures of unemployment are currently used in the UK:
1. International Labour Organization (ILO)
This measure of unemployment is drawn from the Labour Force Survey. This is a
quarterly survey based on a random sample of 60000 households from across the UK
of which private households account for 99%.
ILO counts the unemployed as those people who are without a job who:
- have looked for a job in the past four weeks
- are available to start a job in the next two weeks
- are waiting to start a job they have already obtained.
Advantage of ILO
- Uses an internationally standardised definition of unemployment
Disadvantages of ILO
- Costly and it takes time to compile and publish
- It is out of date by the time it is published and subject to sampling errors
- The survey may underestimate the number of unemployed as it does not include:
o Part – time workers who are looking for full time work. Those who are out of
work and who are not actively seeking work, but who are receiving benefit
and would take job if it were offered to them.
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Types of unemployment
Frictional unemployment – occurs when workers change jobs and spend some
time looking for a new one.
Seasonal unemployment – occurs because consumer demand for some goods and
services is seasonal. E.g., tourist industry – hotels, water parks, ski resorts,
Christmas tree sellers.
Cyclical unemployment – occurs when there is too little aggregate demand for
goods and services in the economy during an economic recession. Firms will reduce
production and lay off workers creating unemployment. In the following graph, AD
shifts to the left to AD1 causing output to fall from Ye to Y1. This shows the amount
of output lost due to unemployment.
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region due to past location factors, then we can see ‘regional unemployment’.
Technological unemployment - occurs when machines replace workers.
Causes of unemployment
Recession
Low productivity
Lack of information
Lack of mobility
New technology
High wages
Impact of unemployment
Costs for the unemployed
- Loss of income
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Think-Pair-Share Activity
Work in your groups/pairs to come up with ways through which we can tackle the
following types of unemployment?
Frictional unemployment
Seasonal unemployment
Cyclical unemployment
Structural unemployment
Voluntary unemployment
Technological unemployment
Exam Practice
2) Briefly explain one reason why the government of Germany might regard
structural unemployment as more serious than frictional unemployment. (2)
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Exercises
1. Define ‘unemployment’.
4. Extension task: The government should give benefits to people who are
unemployed’. To what extent do you agree with this statement?
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5. Draw lines to match each type of unemployment with the correct explanation.
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Extension Task:
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SOW
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In the space below, graphically represent the situation in statements P and J. Give a brief
explanation of your graph.
Graph 1
Graph 2
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Topic Review
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BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
The balance of payments is a record of all inward and outward transactions with
other countries. It is a record of all money flowing into and out of a country from
international trade.
Introduction
International trade is the exchange of goods and services across international
boundaries or territories. In most countries, it represents a significant part of GDP. As a
result of this exchange of international trade money flows into and out of a country; thus,
these inflows and outflows of money from international trade are recorded in the balance
of payments.
Imports – all goods and services bought from other countries. Imports
represent a flow of money leaving a country/ a leakage in the
circular flow of income
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Visible trade - now referred to as trade in goods. These can be seen, weighed or
touched as they pass through ports or across borders.
Balance of trade – measures the flow of money coming into and going out of
a country from visible exports and imports i.e. goods.
Invisible trade now referred to as trade in services. These cannot be seen, weighed or
touched as they pass through ports or across borders.
Balance of invisible trade –measures the flow of money coming into and
going out of a country from invisible exports and imports i.e., services.
Current balance – the sum of the balance of trade plus the balance of invisible
trade.
Activity:
Calculate the balance of trade and the invisible balance from the following figures:
$ million
Invisible imports 10000
visible exports 15000
Invisible exports 20000
visible imports 17000
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BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
The Balance of payments is split up into three main accounts:
1. Current Account: This is a record of all money flowing into and out of the
country for trade in goods and services and primary and secondary income
from abroad.
In detail it includes:
- Trade in goods (previously known as visible trade), which includes imports and
exports of goods
- Primary income which is composed of income paid to foreigners for the use of
factors of production i.e., wages, interest, profit, dividends minus income earned
by UK residents working overseas or from overseas investments.
- Secondary income, which includes government transfers that do not involve any
trade e.g., contributions to the EU, foreign aid, etc.
2. Capital and Financial Account: It measures all the short term and long-term
monetary transactions between the UK and the rest of the world. These flows of
money are associated with saving, borrowing, investment and speculation.
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3. A deficit might mean that reserves of gold and foreign currency have to be run
down to pay for the deficit. This means the country will be decreasing its assets.
4. Loans to pay for the deficit may have to be made, and in future repaid with
interest.
6. May cause inflation if prices of foreign goods increase. Imports will be more
expensive leading to a rise in average prices in our domestic economy especially
if the imported goods are important raw materials like oil, as this will create cost-
push inflation.
7. Exchange rates are affected by the BOP – if our exports are less than imports
there will be less demand for our currency from foreigners as they don’t need it to
purchase our goods; thus, as demand for our currency falls the exchange rate will
depreciate. This will increase the risk of imported inflation as we will need to give
more of our currency to pay for imports.
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1. The surplus is large and made year after year. This must mean that some countries
are making deficits and these countries may have to limit their future trade. Japan
has usually had a BOP surplus since 1950, but it had re-valued its currency at times
to reduce its surplus.
2. The surplus could be inflationary because it will mean money flowing into the
economy is increasing the money supply and also demand, which may cause
prices to rise (as X is a component of AD).
Identify two gains from a surplus Identify two problems from a surplus
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1) Explain two ways in which rising inflation might influence the current account of
the balance of payments. (6)
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2. Define an export.
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Quality of domestic
goods
Quality of foreign
goods
Price of domestic
goods
Price of foreign
goods
Exchange rates
between countries
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Extension:
Study the table and answer the questions below
Exports/imports £million
3. Explain how the UK’s current account balance would be affected by:
4. How might a slowdown in the UK economy’s rate of growth affect the balance of
payments? Explain your answer. (6)
5. In what ways could a strong £ and high interest rate policies affect a car
manufacturer in the UK? (6)
6. What do you think are the main factors that determine the main export markets for
UK goods and services? (6)
7. Explain 2 ways in which a country might protect its domestic market from imports.
(6)
8. Do you think that British membership of the single European currency will benefit UK
firms? Give economic reasons for your decision. (9)
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Topic Review
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APPLICATION:
Who are the biggest polluters?
Theoretically, the more one produces, the more pollution there will be. The richer the
country, the more consumption there will be. Hence, you would expect the rich
industrialised countries, for example, USA, Japan, Germany, etc to be the biggest
polluters, with the newly emerging economies like China and India following. Growth
in pollution though, has not been keeping up with growth in GDP because of more
efficient fuel technology and strict environmental control that rich countries have.
The newly industrialised countries are big polluters because of lack of environmental
control and the use of old fuel inefficient technology.
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Find the following key terms in the word search, then define as many of the
terms as you can.
I N N O I T N E V R E T N I
N D E F O R E S T A T I O N
O C O N T A M I N A T I O N
I C I E E N N N N E S T R N
T N I T U L T A N U E N I E
C E N T S T F L E T D E P D
U I T E C O L U L C I M O C
R T M A S M D E E A C N L C
T E T R I N N S T N I O L V
S O O T N L R S N T T R U N
N N A C L N I N A E S I T T
O T R N C O T N E C E V I E
C I T T C A A N G T P N O V
L N I U P I M I O S I E N L
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Activity
Tick (🗸)
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
The Council of Ministers has the overall responsibility for the formulation of
environmental policy.
The Ministry of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Environment (MANRE) has the
primary responsibility for many different aspects of the environment.
Environment service duties and responsibilities are summarized in the table below:
Research task:
Choose one of the topics from the box above and investigate how Cyprus has
dealt with one area. For example, packaging waste has been dealt with by local
authorities through working with Green Dot.
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Topic Review
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Redistribution of income
Brainstorming Activity
What does
poverty mean?
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Think-Pair-Share Activity:
1. Estimate how much the following people would earn in your country.
a) someone who works in a shop
c) Teacher
d) Pensioner.
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Macroeconomic Objectives
Income inequality
This refers to the gap between rich and poor, seen via differences in percentages of
income going to the richest or poorest groups in the population.
Absolute poverty
This is where people have insufficient income to buy basic necessities such as
food and shelter, their basic human needs cannot be met.
Application
Developed countries such as the UK and the US face the problem of homeless
people.
In Africa, millions of people live in absolute poverty and thousands die every week
because of hunger and disease.
Measures of absolute poverty are: measured by those living on less than $1.25 a
day at 2005 PPP GDP or those living on less than $2 a day. The World Bank now
uses $1.90 a day measure.
Relative poverty
This refers to people who are poorer compared to others in society the poverty line
is often measured at below 60% average income.
Application
In terms of global income inequality, the poorest two-thirds of the world’s people
are estimated to receive less than 13 per cent of world income, while the richest 1
per cent take nearly 15 per cent (Source: UNDP HDI report for 2014)
Causes of poverty
High and persistent unemployment
Lack of human capital
Pensioner poverty
Inheritance- the ‘cycle of poverty’
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Productivity increases =
economic growth: a more
educated and healthier
society = a more productive
society = more chance of
economic growth.
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5. Increase the minimum wage or living 5. Empower women and tackle sex
wage and/or fixing a maximum wage discrimination
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Plenary
Complete the table below, giving an explanation and an example of each type of poverty.
absolute
poverty
relative
poverty
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EXTENSION MATERIAL
SEE PAGE 242 OF ROB JONES (OPTIONAL)
Measures of income inequality
Two measures of income inequality are the Lorenz curve & the Gini co-efficient. These
are based on relative income levels earned by different groups of individuals in an
economy.
Diagram of Lorenz* curve Gini co-efficient
Diagonal represents complete The Gini coefficient is used to show the degree of
income inequality between different groups of
equality households in the population.
Usually
130 increases when there is a recession
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Assess one policy that the UK government could use to reduce the level of relative
poverty. (9 mark)
However
However
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Using the model answer below, mark your partner’s answer by completing the Peer
Assessment Sheet provided on the next page. Try to provide a detailed justification of your
comments and ticks (🗸) wherever possible.
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Name
Question Title
Assess one policy that the UK government could use to reduce the level of relative
poverty.
Knowledge Analysis Application Evaluation
Define the key term in the Extend your chains of Use relevant examples Evaluate as you end
question analysis and explain the from the data to support each paragraph
cause and effects of your your point
points
Ensure that your point is Use accurate relevant Write your answer in the Extend your
relevant to the question diagrams to support context of the question evaluative points
asked your answer and explain
them
Use accurate and relevant Provide balance by Be specific and accurate in Evaluate in the
theory to answer the assessing both sides of interpreting and quoting context of the data
question the argument data (dates / calculating given
numbers /trends/quotes)
Mark Awarded: /9 Grade:
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Government Policies
Topic Review
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Section C: Government and the Economy
Government Policies
Monetary policy
Supply-side policy
Government controls
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Government Policies
FISCAL POLICY
When private sector spending is low the government can increase its spending
say on education, healthcare, roads, civil servants pay etc to increase AD. It can
also cut taxes to increase individual’s incomes and firm’s profits. This should
increase private sector spending, hence increasing AD.
Risk = leakages, individuals and firms may save this extra money or spend
it on imports.
When AD is too high the government may cut back on its spending e.g. by cutting
nurses salaries or defence expenditure to decrease AD. It can also raise taxes
which will reduce people disposable income and hence AD will fall.
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Government Policies
Conflict of objectives
For the macroeconomic objective of protecting the environment, fiscal policy will be
specific for the purpose, e.g., raise fuel taxes, raise carbon taxes, etc. Government
spending for this objective will also be selective for the purpose, e.g., spend more to
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NB: Fiscal policy also has a supply-side effect i.e. it affects AS as well as AD. This will be explored
later.
Introduction
Governments are like any other economic agent. They have many expenses and must
raise enough money to finance these. Government budgets are concerned with
government spending and government income.
The total stock of government borrowing is known as the national debt. Interest payable
on this is part of G and is payable from T.
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Government Policies
Fiscal deficits
When government spending is greater than government revenue, there will be a budget
or fiscal deficit and the government will have to borrow to fund the deficit. The PSNCR,
public sector net cash requirement in this instant will be positive.
If fiscal deficits build up, they add to national debt. This means that it will be more difficult
to repay. The government will need to spend more and more of its revenue to repay the
debt and interest payments that accompany the debt. This not only creates an opportunity
cost as the money spent of interest repayments could have been used elsewhere, but it
also results in a loss of confidence in the economy making it very difficult for the
government to borrow money in the future as investors fear the government will not be
able to repay them. In some cases, economies have been forced into “austerity
programmes” to reduce their deficit; such programmes require a cut in government
spending, involving job losses and a rise in taxes which will limit private sector spending
and investment.
NOTE: the size of a fiscal deficit must be looked at as a percentage of the country’s GDP;
as the bigger percentage of GDP the deficit takes up the more difficult it will be to repay.
Fiscal Surplus
When government spending is less than government revenue, there will be a budget or
fiscal surplus and the government will be able to repay its debts or spend on making
provisions for future public services. The PSNCR, public sector net cash requirement in
this instant will be negative.
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Government Policies
Taxation
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Government Policies
Types of Taxation
1. Direct taxes. These are taxes levied on incomes and wealth. These include:
Income tax. This is a tax on income, which includes wages, rents, dividends
and interest on savings.
Capital gains tax. This is tax on any gain in value from the assets held, such
as shares and property.
Transfer taxes. This is a tax levied on transfers of assets from one person to
another, whether a person makes the transfer while they are alive or after they
are dead (inheritance).
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VAT, e.g., a percentage tax levied on the selling price of a good or service (Ad
valorem tax).
Tariffs. This is a tax levied on imported goods as they enter the country. They
are also known as custom duties.
Excise duties. These are taxes on specific goods, such as alcohol, cigarettes
and petrol (specific tax).
are cheap for the government to adds to costs so can lead to cost
collect push inflation
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Government Policies
Progressive tax is one which takes an increasing proportion of income as incomes rise,
such as income tax. Income of let’s say less than £10,000 may be taxed at 20% and
above £10,000 at 40%. Direct taxes tend to progressive.
Proportionate tax is one that takes a constant proportion of tax from people’s incomes.
Regressive tax is one which takes a decreasing proportion of income as incomes rise. In
other words, the percentage paid in tax falls as incomes increase. For example, a 10%
sales tax on a fridge that costs £1,000 is £100. £100 must be paid by the consumer
whether they are a high or a low-income earner. On an income of £1,000 per month, the
tax paid is 10% but on a lower income of let’s say, £400 per month, the tax paid is 25%.
Most indirect taxes are regressive e.g fuel and tobacco taxes.
control inflation
reduce a BOP deficit on current account
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Government Policies
Amount paid % Paid in tax Amount paid % Paid in tax Amount paid % Paid in tax
in tax in tax in tax
Core Activity
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Exam Practice
2) Identify two ways , other than taxation , in which a government can raise revenue (2)
3) Examine whether the benefits of taxing petrol outweigh the disadvantages for the
economy (12).
4) Examine the extent to which an increase in income tax is likely to affect the current
account of the balance of payments (9).
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Extension:
Suppose the government’s revenues total £865 billion and its expenditure is £879 billion.
(b) Calculate the value of the country’s budget deficit in this case. (2 marks)
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Government Policies
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Government Policies
Using the following mark scheme mark your partners work. Try to justify your mark with
detailed comments.
E.g., Indirect taxes have an element of choice (1 mark) – buy the good pay the tax or don’t
buy it (1 mark). They are regressive (1 mark) as the poor pay the same tax on a good as
the rich (1 mark). If the good is a necessity, then the poor have no choice (1 mark), they
have to pay the tax and so their living standards fall (1 mark). This shows that the
disadvantages outweigh the advantages for the poor (1 mark).
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Topic Review
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MONETARY POLICY
Introduction
Monetary policy has traditionally been associated with controlling interest rates, which
in turn, controls spending and AD with its main objective being the control of inflation.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England is responsible for
achieving the target level of inflation, which is set by the government and is currently
at 2% with +/- 1% variation. This inflation target is achieved by changing the base
rate.
The base rate is the interest rate set by the central bank and it influences all interest
rates in the economy (the rates paid by borrowers and the rates paid to savers set by
commercial banks).
Interest rates are known as the cost of borrowing and the return on savings.
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3. Interest rates can be used to affect the value of the pound and the BOP.
High interest rates say in the UK cause an increase in the demand for the £ as
foreigners will prefer to save their money in UK banks. An increase in demand for
the £ causes its value to go up (appreciate).
NOTE: It is not possible to control both the interest rate and the money supply
at the same time. They must be controlled ONE at a time
Higher interest rates increase the value of the UK exchange rate (i.e., causing it to
appreciate) and this holds down the prices of imports.
If inflation is expected to fall, there might be a recession, so the MPC will reduce
interest rates to encourage borrowing and cause AD to rise.
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1. How does the Bank of England / the MPC change interest rates?
The BOE changes interest rates in the economy by changing the interest rate it
charges on loans to commercial banks; i.e., the base rate.
Base Rate = the rate of interest charged by the BOE to other banks.
So to raise interest rates it must increase the base rate. This causes the costs of
commercial banks to rise so to cover the higher costs the commercial banks
increase interest rates to the general public. If the BOE wishes to reduce interest
rates it will reduce the base rate to commercial banks.
Risk of future inflation: this is because the money used by the government does not
exist; it is created electronically. The government buys financial assets from commercial
banks and increases the cash balances in their accounts without actually giving them
any cash. It is like printing money.
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Opportunity cost: Is £435bn of QE the best use of the Bank of England’s money? How
much of it has filtered through to the small businesses likely to lead the way in creating
new jobs in the next few years? Much of the money created by QE was given as credit
to households which spent it on housing, pushing house prices up making
accommodation in London unaffordable.
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It may take 6 to 18 months for the full impact to be felt by the economy of a change
in interest rates
A change in interest rates can have adverse side effects. For example, a rise in
interest rates designed to reduce inflation may also cause a fall in output and
employment (conflict of policies).
The effects of interest rate changes do not fall equally on everyone. A rise in interest
rates will benefit savers but harm borrowers and have a more harmful effect on
manufacturers than on service firms (conflict of policies).
The central bank is restricted by the interest rates of other countries as a big
difference could result in undesirable hot capital flows.
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Exam practice
4) One policy to reduce the rate of inflation is raising the rate of interest.
Assess the effects of this policy on other economic objectives. (9)
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b) Unemployment
A decrease in interest rates is likely to ____________ consumer and business
borrowing. This, in turn, will increase ____________, leading to an increase in
____________ of goods and services. Businesses will need to recruit more
employees to meet the demand, so unemployment will ____________.
c) Economic growth
Governments can use monetary policy to encourage an economy out of a recession.
If base rates are set very ____________, this will encourage businesses and
consumers to borrow more because it will be ____________ for them to
____________ the loan than it might be if rates go ____________.
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Topic Review
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SUPPLY-SIDE POLICIES
These refer to government policies that aim to increase the productive potential
in the economy by using measures to increase productivity, efficiency and
competition in markets and generate incentives to work and invest. This should
promote jobs, lower inflation, improve competitiveness and encourage economic
growth.
In the graph below, supply-side policies increase the potential of the economy to
produce more thus, shifting the AS curve to the right to AS1 causing prices to fall to P1
and output to increase to Y1. This is known as long-term economic growth.
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2. Privatisation
Promotes efficiency as there is more competition in private industries and private
sector companies are driven by profit. Competition encourages efficiency because
if a firm wishes to survive in the private sector, it must reduce costs, offer lower
prices and offer better quality of goods and services than its competitors.
3. Deregulation
The removal of regulations and restrictions (e.g., on opening hours of shops, on
what each shop is allowed to sell etc) increases output, reduces costs and helps
lower prices for consumers.
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6. Infrastructure spending
By investing in infrastructure to improve transport and communication private sector
firms will be able to distribute goods more easily thus increasing productivity, people will
be more geographically mobile thus making it easier for them to find jobs.
Investing in education and healthcare will improve the quality of human capital, creating
a more educated and healthier society which will increase productivity of labour, thus
increasing AS.
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By pursuing sustainable growth, supply-side policies can also control environmental costs.
Sustainable growth is pursuing growth that "meets the needs of the present without
compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."
Time lag
Exam Practice
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GOVERNMENT CONTROLS
The government can use controls other than fiscal, monetary and supply-side policies when
managing the economy and to achieve its macro-objectives. Such policies have been
looked at in the previous chapters e.g., legislation to protect the environment, fines,
pollution permits, regulation, policies that protect against consumer exploitation etc.
Core Activity: Summarise the advantages and disadvantages of these government controls
in the table below:
Advantages Disadvantages
Regulation
Legislation
Fines
Pollution
permits
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Topic Review
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CONFLICTS BETWEEN MACROECONOMIC OBJECTIVES
Introduction
Unfortunately, it is virtually impossible for a government to achieve all the
macroeconomic objectives at the same time. This is because there are conflicts
between the objectives which result in trade-offs. A trade-off is when one variable
increases while another falls.
The 'trend' rate of growth is seen as the rate of growth an economy can grow
without igniting inflation. It is calculated as the average growth rate over a
number of years. In the UK, the trend rate of growth is estimated to be around
2.5%.
The government can cure deficits by increasing import controls, which is hard
given that the UK is a member of the EU and with the World Trade Organisation
overlooking international trade. The government can deflate the economy by
increasing taxes or reducing government spending. The fall in consumption will
reduce the number of imports bought but it will also lead to a lower standard of
living and a lower rate of economic growth. It is, thus, difficult to achieve both
aims.
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3. Low unemployment (or full employment) and low inflation
This is the classic conflict. These two variables have, in theory, an inverse
relationship. If a government tries to reduce unemployment through reflationary
measures, such as lower interest rates or increased public spending, then the
resulting reduction in unemployment will push wages higher (as employers try to
attract workers from a diminishing pool of the unemployed). This will lead to
higher prices.
On the other hand, when the government tries to control high inflation with higher
interest rates and reduced spending, the resulting reduced consumption and
investment will result in job losses. It is, thus, difficult to achieve both aims.
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RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OBJECTIVES AND POLICIES
Activity
Relationships between objectives and policies
Complete the tables below, identifying the most suitable policies to meet each
objective and explaining their impact on consumers and firms.
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Other policies:
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Topic Review
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SECTION D: Globalisation
2.2.1 Globalisation
Multinational companies
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Trading Bloc A Trading Bloc is a group of countries which have a free trade
agreement between members and sometimes common external
tariffs.
The World Trade The World Trade Organization (WTO) is an international body
Organization whose purpose is to promote free trade by persuading countries
to abolish import tariffs and other barriers.
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What is Globalisation?
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The Role of Multinational Companies (MNCs)
Definition: MNCs are defined as companies that produce in more than one
country.
MNCs are creating global factories, where production takes place in a number of
countries, taking advantages of the different costs in those countries.
They might produce certain parts in a country that has a certain raw material, they
may produce another part that needs lots of workers in another country where labour
costs are low, they might put the final product together in yet another country. This is
known as integrated international production. MNCs have, therefore, contributed
greatly to the process of globalisation and global economic growth.
MNCs are associated with foreign direct investment (FDI).
To develop knowledge and gain finance. MNCs have the knowledge, technology and
financial muscle to bring new products to the market, e.g., oil, genetic engineering and
microchips
To gain access to natural resources/ cheap materials. E.g., Nestle in Brazil who is rich in
cocoa and coffee beans
To gain global branding and marketing. Some MNCs use little technology but rely instead
on branding and marketing to make their presence worldwide. Heavy use of patenting,
advertising and other forms of sales promotion enable the firm to become global, e.g.,
Coca-Cola and McDonald’s
To obtain market and political power. MNCs often start out as national monopolies on
legitimate grounds but then build on their strength by using anti-competitive practices.
Some MNCs become so powerful that they can subvert governments to achieve their
aims.
To gain access to lucrative markets eg. China and growing consumer demand.
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Foreign Direct Investment
Definition: FDI is long term investment by multinational companies in countries
overseas, where flows of private capital move from one country to another,
normally funding for business ventures.
The USA is the largest recipient of FDI, followed by the China and then the UK. In
2013 China received 18% of all FDI inflows while Africa as a whole only received
2.8%.
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China and FDI
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Impact of Globalisation and Global Companies
FDI fills the savings gap and can lead to economic growth. A necessary condition for
economic growth is increased savings and developing countries tend to suffer from a lack of
savings – FDI fills this gap. This is because MNCs can afford to save hence banks get
deposits so they have more liquidity available for lending therefore it is easier for local firms
to borrow and invest.
MNCs provide employment, education and training. This results in a more skilful workforce
and improves managerial capabilities.
Allows developing countries greater access to research and development, technology and
marketing expertise – these boost industrialization.
Host government may gain tax revenue. This can be invested in infrastructure, used to
improve public services e.g. healthcare and education – such investments promote
economic development, lead to economic growth and improve living standards.
Sometimes MNCs improve infrastructure either physically or through financing or they act
as incentive to governments to improve them in order to attract MNCs.
MNCs provide more choice for consumers at lower prices, and provide goods that are not
available domestically.
MNCs along with international free trade can result to a more efficient allocation of world
resources.
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Disadvantages to developing countries from receiving FDI from MNCs
MNCs create large external costs to the environment – MNCs tend to locate where laws on
pollution are poor, thus they can reduce their private cost by creating external costs e.g.,
Coca-Cola in India & recent Chinese FDI in Sub-Saharan Africa
MNCs exploit local workers, use child labour – MNCs tend to locate where labour laws are
weak or almost non-existent, this allows them to take advantage of workers through low
pay and poor working conditions e.g., Nike in Vietnam.
MNCs may enter countries to extract particular resources. It can strip the country of these
resources and then leave.
MNCs might employ capital intensive production methods. This will not improve levels of
employment in the country as machines will do the jobs of workers.
MNCs may repatriate their profits – MNCs might transfer their profits back to their country of
origin e.g., J&P sending profits back to Cyprus.
Given the rate at which news travels through the media and the Internet and strong public
interest groups globally e.g., Green Peace, it is becoming difficult for MNCs to cover up
activities that contribute to these problems as it will be negative publicity.
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Core Activity 1
Given the increase in FDI going to developing countries in the last 20 years, discuss
the costs and benefits of this to developing economies.
Costs Benefits
Evaluation:
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Evaluation:
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Exam practice
Sri Lanka signed agreements for FDI worth $1.6dollars in 2015, up from 2014’s total
$1.5 billion. New projects include a $26.5 million assembly plant from Volkswagen and
$100 million investment in the sugar industry by companies from Singapore. Other
multinational already operating in Sri Lanka include Unilever, Nestle, Holcim, Coca-
Cola and Reckitt Benckiser.
Evaluate the impact that FDI might have on a developing economy such as Sri
Lanka. (12)
Activity 3
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Extension:
Do firms like Nestlé always need government incentives when deciding to setup
in foreign countries? Give reasons for your answer. (12)
e.g. The decision to move/set up in a foreign country will depend on many factors.
Government incentives form part of this but may be outweighed by other factors like
proximity to large market, cheap labour and political stability of country.
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Winners and Losers from Globalisation
Greater inequality.
- Many African countries have gained very little from globalisation and
continue to be very poor. They are hindered by additional problems of aids,
corruption and civil wars.
- On a more general note, there is a continuing development gap between the
Southern and the Northern hemispheres.
- Profits of MNCs are growing at the expense of wages, thus, favouring the
developed world.
- Wages in developing countries, like China and South Korea, have been
growing. Wages of unskilled workers in developed economies, like the USA,
have been falling.
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Reduced competition and choice. This is true when local producers cannot
compete with MNCs and have to exit the market.
More homogenised goods and services. Goods and services are the same
around the world. High streets look the same. National variation is reduced.
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Activity
Fill in the tables below
Benefits to developed economies of Benefits to developing economies of
Globalisation Globalisation
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Core: Exam Practice
Multinational companies are attracted to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) because of its low
taxes, political stability, and high GDP per capita. Examples of MNCs in the UAE are
Microsoft, Marriott Group, DHL and Ericsson, along with a number of engineering, law and
accountancy firms. An influx of MNCs to the area brings workers from many countries and this
creates a demand for international goods, services and schools. There are many shopping
malls and Dubai has gained a reputation as a destination for shopping.
(a) Analyse the costs and benefits of MNEs locating in the UAE. (12 marks)
However, .....
However, .....
Conclusion: is the location of an MNE good or bad for a country? Why? Or what does
it depend on?
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Top 10 MNCs
There are approximately 70,000 MNCs operating internationally.
The table below shows the largest 10 MNCs in 2014, ranked in terms of revenue.
Source: Wikipedia
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Flower farms may be killing Kenya's Lake Naivasha
Heavily polluted and shrinking, Lake Naivasha is in dire trouble. Environmentalists say the
cause is clear: flower farms. Some 60 flower farms line the entire lakeside, growing cut
flowers for export largely to the EU. While the flowers industry is Kenya's largest
horticultural export (405.5 million last year) it may have also produced an environmental
nightmare.
Environmentalists say that flower farms have taken water from the lake for irrigation and
then dumped pesticide-waste back into the lake. Long-ignored by policymakers, the
situation has recently reached a head due to thousands of fish and other freshwater
organisms perishing in the lake. Fishing, once common in the lake, has since been banned.
Samples of the water, fish, and sediments have been taken by government agencies for
testing. If it turns out that the flower farms are responsible for the lake's pollution problems,
the government could revoke farm licenses. A preliminary inquiry has already linked the
flower farms to the lake's troubles stating that the fish mortality was likely caused by low
levels of dissolved oxygen.
The lake is also shrinking due to a variety of factors: over-irrigation from the farms, water
requirements for nearby Naviasha town, and climate change.
85% of all roses sold in the UK come from Kenya. Lake Naivasha’s cut flower industry
amounts to nearly 75% of the countries horticultural exports. In 2008, 93,000 tonnes of
flowers were exported. About 97% of exports are to the EU. The following year President
Mwai Kibaki’s government warned that nearly 10 million people – more than a quarter of the
population – were at risk from food shortages.
The rapid growth of this industry in a unique and biodiverse ecosystem has had disastrous
consequences. The lake’s water level has dropped by three metres from its maximum and
its surface area has shrunk to half its size. Precious wetlands have been degraded and
wildlife no longer comes to drink at the crowded and polluted shores.
The cost for the people is terrible too. The international companies that extract the water
(and money) and grow the roses have been repeatedly slammed for failing to protect
workers. Hundreds at a time are sacked for trying to protect their rights. Workers are
exposed to extremely harsh conditions but so many job seekers come in from the
surrounding parched landscape that workers who complain are simply sacked and replaced.
Finally the evil was exposed for what it was with the murder of a celebrated (68 year old,
female) environmentalist, Joan Root, who tried to make a stand.
In the meantime, the international companies operating there extract ever more water,
diverting it from agricultural production and its ecological purpose of sustaining the land.
University of Leicester biologist and Earthwatch scientist Dr David Harper who has
conducted research for over 25 years at Lake Naivasha: “Roses that come cheap are grown
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by companies that have no concern for the environment, who cut corners and avoid
legislation, who sell their flowers into the auction in Amsterdam so that all the buyer knows
is the flowers ‘come from Holland’. In reality, they have come from Kenya where the
industry is – literally – draining that country dry.”
Food & Water Watch, in their report, Lake Naivasha: Withering under the Assault of
International Flower Vendors, write: “I witnessed chemical spraying while people working
nearby wore no protective gear…The pesticides applied on the farms and in the
greenhouses eventually end up in Lake Naivasha and in the groundwater, threatening
people and wildlife.”
Activity:
Read the above passage and from your own knowledge answer the following
evaluation question.
Do the disadvantages outweigh the advantages that multinational companies
bring to the developing host country? Give reasons for your answer using the
case study above or an economy of your choice.
Think – Pair - Share Activity
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To what extent does globalisation benefit developing more than developed countries?
Definition:
Opinion/Conclusion
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Extension: GLOBALISATION
Activity
GDP, GDP per head, population, life expectancy, literacy rate, HDI, national debt,
inflation, unemployment, current account and economic growth.
You will be allocated which countries to research. The aim is to collect information on
all the countries above to share with the whole class.
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International Trade ________
Topic Review
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Methods of protection
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Introduction
While international trade has been present throughout much of history, its economic,
social and political importance has risen over recent centuries.
Countries specialise in the production of certain goods and services. They tend to
specialise in those goods for which they have the resources and the skills. E.g.,
Cyprus will specialise in oranges, halloumi and tourism while Japan will specialise in
technology.
So, countries will specialise in those goods at which they are better at producing
than other countries. They are said to have an absolute advantage in these goods.
Countries might also specialise in goods that they can produce at a relatively
cheaper cost than another country. E.g., the UK can grow tropical fruit but at a much
higher price than say South Africa that has the climate for them.
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Countries specialise and then exchange a part of their total production for goods
made in other countries.
Variety
Without international trade countries would have to go without certain goods
e.g., petrol, gold, cars. International trade enables countries to enjoy a greater
variety of goods and services.
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Disadvantages of international trade (arguments against international trade)
Balance of payments deficit
Countries might land up spending more on imports than what they earn
from exports i.e. they spend more abroad than what they receive from abroad
e.g UK, Greece, Cyprus
Unfair competition
Some countries find it hard to compete with other countries especially if
overseas producers are receiving subsidies from their governments.
Some small firms will be forced out of business if they cannot compete with
cheaper imports, this will create unemployment.
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FREE TRADE vs PROTECTIONISM
Free trade: Free trade refers to the international trade of goods and services
without tariffs or other trade barriers. Free trade is believed to make society
richer. This is because the free trade increases the global level of output due to the
specialisation involved in world trade.
Protectionism: This involves the use of tariffs and other trade barriers by
governments to restrict overseas trade.
Protectionism
Reasons for protectionism
Free trade is not always desirable. There are several reasons for protectionism:
To protect an infant industry
Sometimes an economy may wish to set up an important industry. In its early
stages it will not be able to withstand competition from similar industries of other
countries. It will have high start up costs and will not be in a position to produce in
large enough numbers to experience economies of scale. A young industry
needs to overcome its teething problems to obtain customers. Government
therefore needs to help these infant industries through giving them subsidies and
protecting their home market from foreign competition at least until these
industries are strong enough to compete internationally.
To prevent unemployment
When there is a general world depression in world trade, countries have been
known to impose trade barriers on imports to ensure that income is spent on
home produced goods, thus proving employment at home.
It is the same for declining industries. For example, as the UK ship-building
industry started to decline as Malaysia became better at building ships, many
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jobs were lost in the UK. If there were restrictions on trade some jobs may have
been saved.
To prevent dumping
Dumping is when one country sells goods to another country below cost. This will
force some UK producers say out o business as they can’t compete with the
lower cost imports.
To prevent over-specialisation
Given that demand for goods and services keeps on changing, if a country relies
on the production of just one or two goods it is taking a huge risk. This is because
tastes keep on changing and people might not demand the goods the country
specializes in any more. Obviously, they will lose their income. So, protectionism
allows a country to be more diversified.
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Methods of Protectionism
Imports may be limited by:
Quotas – limits on the quantity of the commodity allowed to come into the
country. In the graph below, the quota is represented by a perfectly inelastic
supply curve. If the government imposes a quota of let’s say 10,000 tons of
coal, then the supply curve will be vertical at 10,000 tons, which is less than
the free market determined quantity of imports of Qe. This has the effect of
reducing imports at this point and raising prices from Pe to P1.
Advantages Disadvantages
Evaluation:
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Tariffs – taxes on imported goods. These raise the price of imports therefore
reducing demand. In the graph below, the tariff on imports shifts the supply
curve to the left causing price of imports to rise from Pe to P1 and the quantity
imported to fall from Qe to Q1.
Advantages Disadvantages
Evaluation:
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Subsidies – a country might decide to subsidise certain domestic industries.
This will reduce their costs of production, lower prices and increase AD for
domestic goods. It will also reduce the competitiveness of similar imported
goods. In the graph below, the subsidies on the domestic good shifts the supply
curve to the right causing price to fall from Pe to P1 and the quantity demanded
of the domestic good to rise from Qe to Q1.
Advantages Disadvantages
Evaluation:
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Exchange controls – restrictions on getting foreign exchange to pay for imports
or to undertake investment abroad. The Central Bank can restrict the amount of
foreign currency that can be bought by British citizens, thus limiting their power to
import large amounts.
Health and safety regulations – sometimes countries impose health and safety
regulations to keep out imports.
Retaliation- in its worst form, this could result to a trade war (all lose in a trade
war)
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Activity
Complete the following chart.
Arguments for protectionism Arguments against protectionism
Analyse why Sri Lanka might impose higher tariffs on agricultural imports. (6)
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Activity: Protectionism
Sorting the boxes to match their definitions
Reason for Description
protectionism
This is when foreign producers sell goods below cost
in a domestic market. They do this to deliberately
To gain tariff revenue destroy overseas competitors. Businesses that do
this are often heavily subsidised by their government
so they have an unfair advantage over foreign rivals.
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Topic Review
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Trading blocs
Definition: A trading bloc is a group of countries which have a free trade
agreement between members and sometimes common external tariffs.
Customs unions
Free movement of goods plus common external tariffs (towards non-member
countries) e.g.
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Examples of trading blocs:
European Union (EU) – a single market with a single currency * for the
members of the Eurozone (28 EU countries are inside the single market and
19 nations have joined the EU single currency bloc)
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) involving the USA, Mexico
and Canada
market and profit rise due to lower costs from eco of scale.
Invites FDI – foreign companies want to access a larger and free trade area =
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Disadvantages to members:
Less efficient firms may close down = loss of output and jobs, this is because
less efficient firms can’t cope with the increased competition from
High financial cost to the government and hence, the taxpayer member
annually, Cyprus contributes 180 million to the EU but of course they also
receive money back from EU funding e.g. money spent to build the
Countries may rely too much on trade within the bloc i.e. most of their
exports might be sold within the trading bloc and so they don’t look for
new markets to sell to and if they decide to leave the bloc they will see a
huge fall in exports e.g. the UK sold 45% of its exports to the EU so
after BREXIT they will need to find new markets otherwise their X will
face tariffs.
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Advantages to non-members:
Greater flexibility in trade decisions as countries that are not part of trading
blocs are not binded by common agreements concerning trade with other
countries
No administration fees
Disadvantages to non-members:
Difficult to trade within the trading bloc especially if the bloc has common
incomes and are thus big spenders so we lose the opportunity to sell our
exports extension]
Their products may be taxed heavily (tariffs); as a result, their exports fall,
and economic growth suffers e.g. CAP and its impact on many African
countries. (CAP is the common agricultural policy which is an EU policy to
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CURRENT AFFAIRS
Discussion: Britain inside the European Union
BREXIT has become the short-hand for the UK deciding to leave the EU
The EU is the UK’s major trading partner, accounting for 45% of exports and
53% of imports in 2014
Over £4 billion worth of exports are sold by the UK to EU countries each week
Discussion: Brexit
Arguments for staying inside the European Union
costs, bureaucracy)
• Moves to limit free movement of labour with Brexit might worsen skills
shortages for many UK businesses (many industries like construction rely
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Arguments for Brexit (i.e., leaving the EU)
• Britain could negotiate new trade agreements with EU trade partners and
many emerging countries
• Britain would free itself from many of the EU's complex and expensive laws &
regulations
• Leaving the EU would cut contributions to EU budget i.e. they would save
The WTO exists to promote free trade. It aims to reach agreements between its
members to reduce trade barriers such as tariffs, quotas, subsidies or overly
demanding safety or technical standards which are used to restrict imports. It was
established in 1995 as a successor to GATT.
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Supporters of the WTO argue that it is democratic, in that its rules were written
by its member states. Because member countries are given the right to vote
The agreement also imposes rules on agricultural export subsidies and domestic
subsidies. This is especially helpful for developing countries that rely on
prevention of dumping, which will thus allow the farmers to grow and
compete against imports and also sell their own goods overseas (so X+ = AD+
+ eco growth).
The greatest achievement of the WTO is the fact that global world trade has
increased. There has been a 250% increase in global exports in the 20 years
from 1990 to 2010. (i.e. X+ = AD+ + eco growth and M+ = more choice).
It favours the rights of corporations over those of workers e.g. child labour in
developing countries.
It favours wealthy nations; negitiators from poor countries are often not invited or
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are not qualified to take part in the negotiations. some can’t afford to attend the
negotiations
It is causing hardship for poorer countries. It is argued that the corporate control of
food distribution means 800 million people worldwide suffer from malnutrition.
(e.g. preventing dumping is good for companies/ producers but its bad for
consumers because dumping would have given them access to cheaper food
Overall, the WTO aims to promote free trade between countries. To what extent
is it successful?
Successful Unsuccessful
The WTO organises trade talks where Not all members agree to the reductions,
member countries agree to reduce trade so the success of the WTO is limited by
between themselves. This can be a % some countries who, although members
reduction in tariff barriers. This is seen by protect their own interests.
the increased volume of international trade
If a dispute arises the WTO can intervene Unfortunately the WTO has no sanctions it
and negotiate a satisfactory outcome can impose. It has to rely on countries
which will promote free trade. agreeing to work towards free trade so
barriers still exist. It has no power to
punish
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Exam practice: Rob Jones 325.
In 2016, Brazil complained to the World Trade Organisation (WTO) about Thaliand’s
use of sugar subsidies.
1) The WTO aims to promote free trade between countries. To what extent
do you consider the WTO to have been successful in recent years? Give
reasons for your answer (9).
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World Trade Patterns
The graphs below show the changes in world, developed and developing exports and
imports from 2010 to 2014.
Activity
Identify the changes in exports and imports in the graphs above.
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Trade Patterns of Developed and Developing Countries
Core Activity: 1. Using pages 328-330 of Rob Jones take brief notes - filling in the
chart below (add one example).
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The Pattern of World Trade
Trade is the exchange of goods and services between countries. Goods bought into
a country are called imports, and those sold to another country are called exports.
Developed countries have a greater share of global trade than developing countries.
Usually developed countries export valuable manufactured goods such as
electronics and cars and import cheaper primary products such as tea and coffee.
Trading blocs, such as the European Union, dominate world exports.
The greatest volume of trade occurs between the developed, rich countries,
especially between industrial leaders such as Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom
and the United States.
The value of Africa’s merchandise exports rose from $100 billion in 1995 to $560
billion in 2010. Its share in world trade improved modestly from 2.0 per cent to 3.2
per cent. East and South Asia include three of the most dynamic emerging
economies: China, India and the Republic of Korea. Between 1980 and 2011,
developing economies raised their share in world exports from 34 per cent to 47 per
cent and their share in world imports from 29 per cent to 42 per cent.
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World exports
Although global trade collapsed during the recent financial crisis (2008), it has since
bounced back strongly, led by trade among emerging markets, like Brazil and the
Philippines. The bar chart below clearly shows the continued dominance of
developed countries in world trade. For developed countries, and China, profits from
world trade run into thousands of billions of dollars. This is compared to Brazil 242
580 (USD Million), Philippines 51 995, Malawi 11184, Uganda 2357 and Rwanda
591.
Experts believe that rapid growth markets will become an even more dominant force
in global trade over the coming decade, with the Asia-Pacific region set to
experience the fastest growth in global trade to 2020. **Trade will also be
increasingly focused around Asia, the Middle East and Africa, suggesting that the
key geographical location for companies will change. ** thus instigated a trade war
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Europe’s exports to Africa and the Middle East by 2020 are forecast to be almost
twice as large as Europe’s exports to the US.
China’s dominance in low cost manufactured goods will come under pressure from
countries such as Bangladesh, Vietnam and parts of Africa. The fastest-growing
trade route will be between India and China. Some experts believe trade between
China and India alone will account for almost one-fifth of global trade flows by 2020.
There is a huge amount of trade across borders. This however, may reflect trade
within and between companies, rather than flows to final consumers. Many
companies export finished goods across borders within their own organisation.
Summary
Changing Volume and Patterns of World Trade:
Increase in the volume of global exports
Volume of global exports has increased more than the increase in GDP
Dominance of developed countries
Shift of manufacturing to the East (because of MNCs)
Increase in exports from developing countries, with exports from East Asian
countries forming the greatest proportion (due to MNCs setting up there)
Homework task
Page 332 Rob Jones questions 5 and 6
Exam Practice: Sample Assessment Paper question 2 f
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EXTENSION
Commodity Prices and the Developing World
Many lower-income developing nations still rely on specialising in and exporting low
value added primary commodities. The prices of these goods can be volatile on
world markets. When prices fall, an economy will see a sharp reduction in export
incomes, risks of a higher trade deficit and a danger that a nation will not be able to
finance investment in education, healthcare and core infrastructure.
Commodities are split into two types: hard and soft commodities. Hard commodities
are typically natural resources that must be mined or extracted (such as gold, and
oil), whereas soft commodities are agricultural products or livestock (such as corn,
beef).
Commodities
Primary goods
Example:
Angola and Nigeria are producers of oil.
India and China are producers of wheat.
Zambia and Congo are producers of copper.
Ethiopia and Uganda are producers of coffee.
Why
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Effects of Decreasing Commodity Prices
Inelastic demand so TR for farmers (primary producers) ↓
Less revenue from exporting the commodities
Difficulty in paying for imports and repaying old international debts
Current account deteriorates
International borrowing ↑
Farmers and commodity producers see a fall in profits/increase in losses
Farmers and commodity producers exit the market
Job losses in the industry ↑
Activity
What are the effects of an increase in the prices of agricultural goods and
commodities on farmers in the developing world?
1.
2.
3.
However,
Can raise cost of living for consumers in both developing and developed
countries
Can worsen Balance of Payments for importing countries, mainly developed
countries, such as the UK.
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Dependence of Developing Countries (% share of total exports)
Here are some examples of export dependence for a selection of countries in Sub-
Saharan Africa: The data shows the % of total exports in 2014:
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Extension Activity : Discuss the data
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Topic Review
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Introduction- Key concepts
€1=£1.17 or £1=0.85c
Supply of currency: UK sells pounds (£s) in return for foreign currency, say $s or
€s to pay for goods and services from abroad i.e., imports.
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Appreciation/ depreciation happened due to changes in demand and supply whilst
devaluation/revaluation are done intentionally by the government.
The Exchange Rate
The market for Sterling (i.e. how many $ per £1; so how much is each £1
in terms of $) e.g. $2 = £1
P of £ in $ - S£ - Demand for UK imports by
UK residents
($/£)
Q. of £
The exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. It is determined
by the interaction of supply and demand in the foreign exchange market.
The demand for £ sterling is by foreigners to pay for imports of UK goods and
services, and to pay for investment in real or financial assets in the UK.
The supply of £ sterling arises when the UK residents require foreign currencies
(over a period of time) for importing or investing overseas.
1) The demand for UK exports – if the UK goods are competitive (in terms of
price and non-price factors) then the demand for UK exports should increase.
2) Capital flows:
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b. Long-term flows (FDI inward movements) – if MNCs desire to set up
plants in the UK for investment purposes, then the demand for sterling
should increase.
3) Speculation – if speculators believe that the price of sterling will rise, they will
rush to buy sterling. This itself might cause the price of £ to rise.
Activity
services from overseas they must give their pounds (i.e. supply £s) to
the £ increases; as more £s are given to pay and receive more foreign
goods.
2) Capital flows:
order to save in the foreign banks. E.g. if interest rates are higher in
to carry out their FDI; to receive the foreign currency they must give
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When the exchange rate rises, we say that the exchange rate has appreciated.
Complete the diagrams in the boxes below.
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Depreciation of the exchange rate
When the exchange rate falls, we say that the exchange rate has depreciated.
Complete the diagrams in the boxes below.
Core Activity
If the value of the pound goes up then it will cause a rise in the currency
If the value of the pound goes down then it will cause a fall in the currency
2.) Explain two reasons why the currency may go down? Depreciates
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Impact of Exchange Rate Changes on Imports And Exports
EXPORTS
What happens to the price of UK exports when the value of £ appreciates?
i.e., £1=$1 £1 = $2, i.e., to get the same amount of goods the Americans need
to give more dollars i.e., UK exports are more expensive
The price of exports rises
Demand for exports falls
Balance of payments on current account gets worse (i.e., injections fall)
Demand for workers will fall and unemployment will rise (X falls = AD falls =
demand for workers falls i.e., because labour is in derived demand)
Output in the UK will fall i.e., as AD falls (NE = NO) so GDP falls
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IMPORTS
What happens to import prices when the value of £ appreciates?
i.e., £1=$1 £1 = $2 i.e., UK citizens now can get $2 worth of goods with their
same £1
The price of imports falls (M cheaper)
Demand for imports rises
Balance of payments on current account gets worse (leakages increase = AD
falls)
Demand for UK workers will fall and unemployment will rise (as M rises = AD
falls = demand for UK workers falls as less local goods are demanded)
Output in the UK will fall (as M falls = AD falls = GDP falls)
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Price Elasticity of Demand for Imports and Exports and The Effect on B.O.P
IMPORTS
IF DEMAND FOR IMPORTS IS PRICE ELASTIC it means that a change in import
prices leads to a larger change in quantity demanded.
Effects on B.O.P
A rise in import prices will cause the demand for imports to fall. This will mean
less money leaving our country thus improving the B.O.P
A fall in imports prices will cause a rise in the demand for imports. This means
more money leaving our country thus making the B.O.P worse.
Effects on B.O.P
A rise in import prices will leave the demand for imports unchanged (e.g., oil).
This will simply mean more money leaving our country to pay for the same level of
imports thus worsening the B.O.P
A fall in imports prices will leave demand for imports unchanged. This means
less money leaving our country for the same amount of goods thus improving
B.O.P.
EXPORTS
IF DEMAND FOR EXPORTS IS ELASTIC it means that a change in the price of
domestic goods will lead to a large change in demand for exports.
Effects on B.O.P
A rise in export prices will cause the demand for exports to fall. This will mean
less money coming into our country thus worsening the B.O.P
A fall in exports prices will cause demand for exports to raise significantly thus
improving B.O.P.
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IF DEMAND FOR EXPORTS IS INELASTIC it means that a change in the price of
domestic goods will have little or no effect on the demand for exports.
Effects on B.O.P
A rise in export prices will cause the demand for exports to remain unchanged.
This will mean more money coming into our country thus improving the B.O.P.
A fall in exports prices will leave demand for exports unchanged. This means
less money coming into our country for the same amount of goods thus worsening
B.O.P.
Remember
SPICED
WPIDEC
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It’s the rise in the Price of X rises so DX will fall Little or no Imports are cheaper dM will Improve
value of one demand for X falls by a smaller effect on so dM will rise increase by because
currency % than the the BOP a smaller % they are
compared to price rise than the buying
another. i.e., with change in nearly the
my every £1 I price same
receive more $ amount
but at a
lower
price due
to the
strong
currency
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EFFECTS OF APPRECIATION/REVALUATION OF £
PRICE ELASTIC B.O. P INELASTIC B.O. P
IMPORTS Cheaper Demand Worsens as Demand Improves as
rises by a people buy rises by a people buy
larger more smaller ‘similar’ amount
proportion imports proportion but just pay a
than the fall than the lower price
in price increase in
price
EXPORTS More Demand falls Worsens as Demand Improves as
expensive by a larger foreigners falls by a people buy
proportion demand smaller ‘similar’ amount
than the rise less proportion of goods but
in price than the just pay more
rise in price
EFFECTS OF DEPRECIATION/DEVALUATION OF £
PRICE ELASTIC B.O. P INELASTIC B.O. P
IMPORTS More Demand Improves as Demand Gets worse as
expensive falls by a people buy falls by a people buy
larger less smaller ‘similar’ amount
proportion proportion but just pay
than the than the higher price
increase in increase in
price price
EXPORTS Cheaper Demand ↑ Improves as Demand ↑ Gets worse as
by a larger foreigners by a people buy
proportion demand smaller ‘similar’ amount
than the fall more proportion of goods but just
in price than the ↓ pay less
in price
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Extension material: The J Curve
The J curve shows what can happen to a country’s balance of payments when it
devalues its currency, when the depreciation of the currency takes place, the
current account deficit will worsen before improving, suggesting a time lag effect.
The J-Curve effect exists because households and firms may not respond
immediately to a change in price caused by a change in the exchange rate.
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3) Explain, with the aid of a numerical example, what is meant by the term
appreciation of a currency. (3)
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THE IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATES ON IMPORTS AND EXPORTS
Activity
a. How many £s does the UK have to pay for the €100,000 potatoes?
3. What conclusions can you derive about changes in exchange rates and their
effects on imports and exports?
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7. Demand for foreign holidays increases S pound increases and demand for
British primary products increases. D pound increases
Graphically represent the changes you have identified and explain the effect
on the exchange rate. You will need to draw a graph for each situation. Use
the space below.
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Extension Activity – Fluctuating Exchange Rates
Consider how the exchange rate for the £ would be affected if:
c) The interest rates in the UK are higher than those of international trading
partners.
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Topic Review
270