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© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 2
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 3
Page 482
1. How does a government budget surplus or deficit influence the loanable funds market?
A government budget surplus adds to the supply of loanable funds. A government budget deficit adds
to the demand for loanable funds.
2. What is the crowding-out effect and how does it work?
The crowding out effect refers to the decrease in investment that occurs when the government budget
deficit increases. An increase in the government budget deficit increases the demand for loanable
funds. As a result the real interest rate rises. The rise in the real interest rate decreases—“crowds
out”—investment.
3. What is the Ricardo–Barro effect and how does it modify the crowding-out effect?
The Ricardo–Barro effect points out that the crowding out effect is less than predicted by looking only
at the effect of a budget deficit on the demand for loanable funds. The Ricardo–Barro effect asserts
that as a result of a government budget deficit households increase their saving to pay the higher taxes
that will be needed in the future to repay the debt issued to fund the deficit. The increase in saving
increases the supply of loanable funds. This increase in the supply of loanable funds offsets the rise in
the real interest rate from the increase in the demand for loanable funds caused by the budget deficit.
Because the real interest rate does not rise as much, the decrease in investment, that is the amount of
crowding out, is less in the presence of the Ricardo–Barro effect.
Page 485
1. Why do loanable funds flow among countries?
Loanable funds flow among countries because savers are searching for the highest (risk-adjusted) real
interest rate and borrowers are searching for the lowest (risk-adjusted) real interest rate.
2. What determines the demand for and supply of loanable funds in an individual economy?
The demand for and supply of loanable funds in an economy with international lending and borrowing
depend on the same factors as in an economy without international lending and borrowing with one
exception: Demand is determined by the country’s demand but supply is determined by the world
supply. In particular, if at the world real interest rate, the country has a surplus of funds, it can lend the
surplus to the rest of the world while if at the world real interest rate, the country has a shortage of
funds, it can borrow from the rest of the world.
3. What happens if a country has a shortage of loanable funds at the world real interest rate?
If a country has a shortage of loanable funds at the world real interest rate, it borrows from other
nations and becomes an international borrower.
4. What happens if a country has a surplus of loanable funds at the world interest rate?
If a country has a surplus of loanable funds at the world real interest rate, it loans to other nations and
becomes an international lender.
5. How is a government budget deficit financed in an open economy?
A government budget deficit increases the demand for loanable funds. In an open economy, the
increase in the demand for loanable funds means the country lends less to the rest of the world (if it
initially was an international lender) or borrows more from the rest of the world (if it initially was an
international borrower). These changes in lending or borrowing finance the budget deficit.
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 4
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 5
b. How does the Australian government go into debt? In which financial markets and from what
types of financial institutions does it borrow?
Governments borrow funds to finance government deficit spending by selling bonds in the bond
market. The buyer of a government bond makes a loan to the government and is entitled to the
payments promised by the bond.
5. Outlook for Australian Banks
An Australian bank that has $100 in assets will now need about $6.00 of capital or shareholders
equity to maintain its banking licence. Australian banks have substantial low-risk mortgage
assets. Banks with more risky assets require a capital ratio of 8 per cent.The G-20 aims to take
stock of the G-20 economic recovery. One achievement in Pittsburgh could be a deal to require
that financial institutions hold more capital.
Source: Australian Investors Association Equities
Bulletin, Issue 54, May 2010
What exactly is the “capital” referred to in the news clip? What is the risk that makes it necessary
for banks to hold “capital”? How might the requirement to hold more capital make a bank safer?
The “capital” referred to in the news clip is the financial institution’s net worth to its shareholders, not
its physical capital. By holding more capital—net worth—the firms are less likely to become insolvent.
By making the firms less likely to become insolvent, the G-20 was prescribing a policy that would
make them safer.
Use the following information to work Problems 6 and 7.
First Call, Inc., is a mobile phone company. It plans to build an assembly plant that costs $10
million if the real interest rate is 6 per cent a year. If the real interest rate is 5 per cent a year,
First Call will build a larger plant that costs $12 million. And if the real interest rate is 7 per cent
a year, First Call will build a smaller plant that costs $8 million.
6. Draw a graph of First Call’s demand for
loanable funds curve.
Figure 21.1 shows First Call’s demand for
loanable funds curve.
7. First Call expects its profit from the sale of
mobile phones to double next year. If other
things remain the same, explain how this
increase in expected profit influences First
Call’s demand for loanable funds.
When First Call expects its profit to increase,
First Call increases its investment. The increase
in its investment leads First Call to increase its
demand for loanable funds.
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 6
Use the table to work Problems 10 to 12. The Loanable Loanable funds
table shows an economy’s demand for loanable Real interest rate funds supplied
funds and the supply of loanable funds demanded
schedules, when the government’s budget is
balanced. (per cent per (billions of 2009/10 dollars)
10. Suppose that the government has a budget year)
surplus of $1 billion. What are the real 4 8.5 5.5
interest rate, the quantity of investment 5 8.0 6.0
and the quantity of private saving? Does 6 7.5 6.5
any crowding out occur? 7 7.0 7.0
The real interest rate is 6 per cent, the
8 6.5 7.5
quantity of investment is $7.5 billion, and 9 6.0 8.0
the quantity of private saving is $6.5 10 5.5 8.5
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 7
13. If the government budget is balanced, Real interest Loanable Loanable funds
what are the real interest rate, the rate funds supplied
quantity of loanable funds, investment demanded
and private saving? Does any (per cent per (billions of 2009/10 dollars)
crowding out occur? year)
The table to the right, which shows the 4 9.5 7.5
new demand for loanable funds and 5 9.0 8.0
new supply of loanable funds 6 8.5 8.5
schedules, is helpful to answer the 7 8.0 9.0
problem. The new real interest rate is 8 7.5 9.5
6 per cent, and the quantity of 9 7.0 10.0
loanable funds, private saving and 10 6.5 10.5
investment are all $8.5 billion. There
is no crowding out.
14. If the government budget becomes a deficit of $1 billion, what are the real interest rate, the
quantity of loanable funds, investment and private saving? Does any crowding out occur?
The equilibrium real interest rate becomes 7 per cent. The equilibrium quantity of loanable funds is
$9.0 billion, the equilibrium quantity of investment is $8.0 billion, and the equilibrium quantity of
private saving is $9.0 billion. There is crowding out of $500 million of investment.
15. If the government wants to stimulate investment and increase it to $9 billion, what must it do?
Assuming no Ricardo–Barro effect, the government needs to have a budget surplus of $1 billion. In
this case, the new equilibrium is at a real interest rate of 5 per cent. The quantity of investment is $9
billion and the quantity of private saving is $8 billion.
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 8
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 9
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 10
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 11
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 12
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 13
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 14
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 15
35. Could the United States stop funds from flowing in from other countries? How?
The United States could stop funds from flowing in from other countries. The United States could try
to do so directly by forbidding borrowing from abroad. However the United States would probably be
more successful if it could either decrease the demand for loanable funds (perhaps by decreasing the
government budget deficit) and/or increase the supply of loanable funds (perhaps by giving saving a
more favourable tax treatment). In this case the United States could become a net foreign lender of
funds.
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e
FINANCE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT 16
e. Illustrate your answers to parts (b), (c) and (d) with an appropriate graphical analysis of the
global loanable funds market and the loanable funds market in Australia
8 8
4 4
3 3
2 2 SLF0
1 1
DLF0 DLF1 DLF Aust
0 Q1 Q0 0 q0 q1 q1/ q0 /
Loanable funds (trillions of dollars) Loanable funds (billions of dollars)
Figure 21.8a shows the global market for loanable funds and Figure 21.8b shows the Australian market
for loanable funds. In Figure 21.8a, the turmoil in European financial markets has decreased the supply
of loanable funds and the supply curve shifts leftward from SLF0 to SLF1. The demand for loanable
funds by European governments shifts the demand curve rightwards from DLF0 to DLF1. The increase
in demand and fall in supply increases the real rate of interest in the global loanable funds market from
2 per cent to 5 per cent.
The increase in the global interest rate increased the interest rate in Australia, a net borrower of global
funds. Figure 21.8b shows that in Australia before the financial crisis interest rates were 2 per cent and
Australian financial institutions were borrowing q0/ - q0. When the interest rate rose on global funds
markets from 2 per cent to 5 per cent the quantity of loanable funds demanded in Australia fell from q 0/
to q1/ and the quantity of loanable funds supplied increased from q 0 to q1. The quantity of funds
borrowed by Australian financial institutions after the rise in global interest rates is q 1/ - q1.
© 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) – 9781442550773/McTaggart/Economics/7e