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Fall 2023/2024 17.11.

2023

IE 361 Stochastic Models in Operations Research


Recitation 5

1. Consider the DTMC with state space {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} with the following transition matrix

0.2 0.3 0.1 0 0.1 0.3


0.5 0 0.3 0.1 0 0.1
P
G
0 0 0.4 0.6 0 0
P= .
0 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0.5 0.5
[0 0 0 0 0.4 0.6] P
a. Classify the states, define open and closed communicating classes.

b. Calculate π.

n ergod c cha ns
Zi

özÖÖ
IFFETI 7
çöl aa

CI Ş 1,22 open
C2 3,41 closed
C3 55,61 closed

b f we end up n 23,4
T IP
Tz 518
g 4 Es Tu
t 36
Tz t Tu 1
for 95,61
5 9
Its to s to
76 519
Is't MÖ 1

Case I the process starts n class 2

10 0 010

Case 2 starts n class 3

T 10,0 0 0

Case 3 starts n state 1

110,010 0,01 n t al probab l ty


D
absorbed n class 2
f n53,47 the process w ll be

f 55,61 w ll be absorbed n class 3


o

0.3 6753441
f ş 3 uz 0.1 t 0.2 f ş 3,41 taş3,43 0.4

253,41 O.at 0.5 fnss ust 0 1


fjij.nl
195101

37g f215,67 5

le o
717,001 w th probab l ty

0 0 0 o
g II ğ
az
case 4 starts n state 2

w th probab l ty
10 0
7,010 If
o o o o
g II ğ
General case

F Ipn Pz Ps Pu pa pol
10 o
17,010 w th probab l ty pztputpnfnh.nl
Pafassıu

aa orası Tt

ayr E E E E
o

I 0 0 518 318
0 0 518 318
o o
o 0 O
6

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