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Article history: For the production of renewable hydrogen in Egypt and its transport to growing hydrogen
Received 25 April 2023 demand centers such as Germany, relatively low costs are given in the literature. These low
Received in revised form costs are attracting investors. However, due to the scope of the respective studies, not all
24 June 2023 techno-economic aspects of the supply-chain that influence levelized costs of hydrogen are
Accepted 10 July 2023 considered. This work represents a systematical analysis of the levelized costs of hydrogen in
Available online xxx Egypt by using wind and solar power for producing 40 kt per year of green hydrogen. A
maximal investment volume of four billion euros, and an available area of 37 km2 in central
Keywords: Egypt is assumed. The techno-economic evaluation of the system, from the production site
Green hydrogen to the selling location, is conducted by a mixed-integer linear optimization model. Depending
Levelized cost of energy on the system configuration and production site, the study reveals energy losses of 52e61%
Egypt resources of the harvested energy and a levelized costs of hydrogen of 7.17e12.31 V/kg.
Techno-economic analysis © 2023 Hydrogen Energy Publications LLC. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Global supply chains
Mixed-integer linear programming
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: larissa.breuning@tum.de (L. Breuning).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
0360-3199/© 2023 Hydrogen Energy Publications LLC. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
2 international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx 3
in the tool [17,18]. The availability of LH2 tankers and hydrogen capacity factors of PV and wind and demand time series pro-
pipelines is assumed from 2020 [17,18]. Only intercontinental files in their analyses. Runge et al. [16] and Bra€ ndle et al. [17]
transport is considered as a transport route, but no domestic consider the impact of intercontinental hydrogen transport
transport [17,18]. Using the H2 Cost Tool of Bra € ndle et al. [17,18], from Egypt to Germany on the LCOH. Bra € ndle et al. [17] de-
LCOH can range from 6.07 V/kg1 (PV1) to 6.75 V/kg1 (PV4) in the scribes the costs for hydrogen transport from 2020 to 2050. In
base case and between 4.91 V/kg1 (PV1) and 5.43 V/kg1 (PV4) in 2020 it is not mentioned that they currently have no infra-
the optimistic case. Studies [19,20] do not consider transport to structure for LH2 tankers or that liquefaction in the seaport
hydrogen demand centers as an additional cost component terminals is not available yet. In the study of Runge et al. [16]
because it was not part of their investigations. Considering this, the costs and technology assumptions relate to the year 2035.
Habib et al. [19] calculated hydrogen production costs with Power grid usage concepts like wheeling scheme2 as well as buy
polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) electrolysis of 2.64 V/kg1 - and sell principle3 can influence the costs and operation of a
5.38 V/kg1 or with alkaline water electrolysis (AEL) 2.49 V/kg1 - PV-wind-supplied electrolyzer system, which none of the
5.43 V/kg1. In their study the costs of the electricity generated aforementioned studies in Egypt has addressed. From a private
from renewable sources are covered by an assumed electricity investor perspective investigating the influence of these factors
price. Nasser et al. [20] aims to perform a complete assessment is crucial.
of a hydrogen production system from PV and wind in a case
study for Egypt. For the production costs of gaseous hydrogen Scope and objective of this study
from a water electrolysis, this study determines 3.62 V/kg1 e
4.52 V/kg1 [20]. A hydrogen gas compressor and tank are used This study's goal is to examine a cost-optimal plant from an
for gaseous hydrogen storage in their study. An electricity investor's perspective for geen hydrogen production from
storage is not necessary, since no hourly demand profile is solar and wind energy in Egypt for domestic usage and export
taken into account. to Germany. Hydrogen should be sold both domestically and
Green hydrogen production is also being discussed in other abroad to enable a certain modularity of the plant, so that it
suitable regions besides Egypt with a comparable climate loca- can be scaled up and extended step by step. It is assumed that
tion, like Oman, a country in Western Asia. Okonkwo et al. [21] total investment volume is contraint to V4 billion and that
(wind and PV resources), Barhoumi et al. [22] (wind resources) available area accounts to 37 km2. The plant is to be con-
and Barhoumi et al. [23] (PV resources) conducted a techno- structed in the year 2023. The key novelties compared to the
economical analysis of green hydrogen production for literature discussed in Section Green hydrogen production in
different system configurations in Salalah city, Oman. Okonkwo Egypt - active research field can be summarized as follows:
et al. [21] study a hybrid energy system given by a wind-PV-fuel
cell-hydrogen tank to meet Salalah electrical and hydrogen Use of currently available generation, storage, and trans-
needs. This study determines 1.12 V/kg1 for the production of port technologies.
green hydrogen in Salalah [21]. Barhoumi et al. [22] analyze Consideration of current domestic and intercontinental
three configurations, standalone wind-park hydrogen refueling infrastructural and infrastructure-related flexibility expan-
station with backup batteries, wind-park hydrogen refueling sion constraints along the potential hydrogen transport
station with backup fuel cells, and grid-connected wind-park chain.
hydrogen refueling station. The LCOH of the grid-connected Investigation of the impact of flexibility on the entire supply
wind-park hydrogen refueling solution results in 6.24 V/kg, chain costs and operation. Flexibilization is considered in
whereas the wind-park hydrogen refueling station with backup terms of reduced minimal part load of the liquefaction
batteries amounts to 11.50 V/kg [22]. The analysis of Barhoumi plant and interaction of a power-to-liquified hydrogen
et al. [23] has shown that grid-connected PV refueling station plant (P2LH2) with a virtual market design (power grid
system for green hydrogen production results in LCOH of 5.5 usage, considering contract concepts for Egypt). An hourly
V/kg. The LCOH for a stand-alone PV system with batteries, and temporal resolution is taken into account.
stand-alone PV system with fuel cells are 5.74 V/kg and 7.38 Systematic scenario analysis to investigate the impact of
V/kg [23]. The hydrogen transport from production location to land use criteria, site selection, different electrolysis and
possible more distant demand centers influencing the LCOH is transport concepts on the costs and operation of a indi-
not the subject of the aforementioned studies in Oman. vidual PV-wind-electrolysis plants taking into account the
The wide range of potential costs for hydrogen production in transport to domestic and more distant demand centers.
Egypt and comparable climate locations, as well as its transport
costs to the demand centers partly results from different as-
sumptions. If the hourly capacity factors of PV and wind do not Methods and optimization model
match the hourly hydrogen demand profile, flexibilities such as
storage are necessary. Therefore, in studies like [17,19] flexi- An overview of the used methods and tools is represented in
bilities are not needed, since they take into account average Fig. 1. To find the cost-optimal supply solution, taking into
capacity factors for PV and wind, which affects the costs.
Nasser et al. [20] includes the possibility of storing hydrogen in 2
At the end of the year electrical energy fed into grid must be
a tank with an hourly resolution, but neglects to meet a given
equal to the energy taken from the grid. There are grid connection
hourly hydrogen demand profile due to a different research fees (wheeling charge) via network connection contracts.
objective. Consequently, storing electricity is not necessary in 3
Buying and selling electrical energy from and to the grid for a
this study. Studies like [16,21e23] include the merging of hourly given price.
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
4 international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx
Fig. 1 e Combined PV and wind power plant planning for the production and transportation of liquefied green hydrogen in
Egypt using the renewable-potential-map-generator pyGRETA and energy-system-generator urbs. (For interpretation of the
references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the Web version of this article.)
account technical, geographical and infrastructural re- Transport infrastructure and concept, and include processes,
strictions, the linear optimization model urbs [24], an energy- storages and transport systems, infrastructural constraints as
system-generator, is used for expansion planning of distrib- well as demand time series. The introduced reference energy
uted energy systems. In the present work, a single year calcu- system in urbs is shown in Section Resulting reference energy
lation with an hourly resolution was chosen. For the system.
geographical resolution, the production site was modeled as a
single node in the model urbs. The renewable-potential-map- Site selection and load profile of solar and wind
generator pyGRETA [25] is used to generate high-resolution
potential maps and availability time series profiles of solar The technical usability of PV and wind onshore systems is
and wind energy for Egypt. The tool pyGRETA takes MERRA-2 as limited by land use criteria such as highly populated areas or
well as Global Wind Atlas data to provide high resolution natural reserves. Satellite data for weather conditions in
renewable energy potentials and capacity factors for user- 2019 are used as input data for pyGRETA [25]. To choose a
defined regions within the globe [25]. It takes into account the suitable location, a combined analysis of the available po-
land use availability, topography, bathymetry, slope, etc. [25]. tential of the region and the full load hours is conducted.
The obtained solar and wind time series are subsequently input Fig. 2 shows the results of the solar and wind energy poten-
parameters, explained in Section Site selection and load profile tial investigation in Egypt using pyGRETA [25]. The site se-
of solar and wind, for the energy-system-generator urbs. lection analysis show that PV production in terms of
Further input parameters implemented in urbs are described in potential and full load hours is similar across Egypt
Sections Hydrogen production system, Hydrogen consumption, (~2,100 h). Furthermore, due to smoother time series,
Fig. 2 e Potential analysis of wind a) and solar b) energy in Egypt using pyGRETA.
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx 5
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
6 international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx
electricity, sea water, process water, GH2 (low pressure), GH2 (high
pressure), LH2, heavy oil, diesel oil, diesel}. The losses per means of transport ldir
tra;LH2 are calculated by
ltra;LH2
multiplying the boil-off losses per day d
with the duration
Additional mathematical formulations in urbs Dtdirof the transmission, where sdir
tra tra stands for the distance of a
transmission direction route and vtra for the velocity of a means
urbs is extended for the selection of suitable consumption of transport (see Eq. (3)). The number of means of transport
locations given a multiple domestical consumer set. It further ndir
tra;LH2 required per transmission route can be determined with
decides, subject to constraints, with which quantities are the
the loading quantity of one transport unit mtra;LH2 (see Eq. (4)).
selected locations supplied. The binary decision variable Xloc
LH2
describes if the location will be supplied or not. Considered ltra;LH2 ltra;LH2 sdir
tra;LH2 ¼
ldir $Dtdir
tra ¼ $ tra (3)
locations loc are Germany, Alexandria, Cairo, Suez, and Ain d d vtra
Sokhna. Since hydrogen supply of Germany is part of the
Germany
study's scope XLH2 ¼ 1. For each supplied domestic con- Dloc
cov;LH2;d Dttra
dir
tra;LH2 ¼
ndir $ (4)
sumer, a coverage rate of at least 10% of its demand is mtra;LH2 24h=d
assumed, which results in the demand Dloc
cov;LH2 . Coverage rate Investment costs of means of transport results from their
for Germany is 100%, based on assumptions in Section equipment units i and life time a (see Eq. (5)). Outbound and
Hydrogen consumption. Furthermore, it is assumed that at return journeys are also included in the calculation (with nR :
prodloc number of routes). The fixed costs consider personnel costs
least 1/3 of the maximal yearly LH2 yield YLH2 should be
sold domestically (see Eq. (1)). Eq. (2) describes the relationship Cp;tra;LH2 , maintenance and repairs CM&R;tra;LH2 and other fixed
between energy flows for timestep t and LH2 demand. costs COthers;tra;LH2 (see Eq. (6)). As shown in Fig. 4, fuel costs in
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx 7
6
Own calculations based on the reference.
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
8 international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx
Table 2 e Scenarios investigated in this study and their characteristics compared to the base case.
Scenario name Characteristics
Base case Baseline for system configuration and parametrization.
P2LH2 plant: Section Hydrogen production system.
Production site of electricity and LH2: location 1.
Transport and demand: Section Hydrogen consumption and Transport
infrastructure and concept.
Available area: 37 km2.
Location 2 (Loc. 2) Relocation closer to water resources. Investigation of locations near the coast.
Production site of electricity and LH2: location 2.
Transport distances change accordingly.
Location 3 (Loc. 3) Relocation closer to water resources. Investigation of locations near the coast, ports,
and consumption locations.
Production site of electricity and LH2: location 3.
Transport distances change accordingly.
Alkaline electrolysis (AEL) Assessing impact of AEL electrolyzer with lower cost and lower flexibility.
P2LH2 plant: instead of PEM, an AEL electrolyzer is installed.
Wheeling Scheme AEL (Wheel. AEL) Assessing impact of the wheeling scheme and examination, if the costs from the
“AEL” scenario can be further reduced.
Electricity and LH2 production: decoupled.
Production of electricity: location 1.
Production of LH2: location 3 (with the described system in scenario “AEL”).
Transport distances is same as in scenario “Loc. 3”.
Power grid usage: wheeling scheme2.
Wheeling AEL Flex.-Liq. (Wheel. AEL Assessing advantages of flexibilization of the liquefaction plant and examination if
Flex.-Liq.) the costs from the “Wheel. AEL” scenario can be further reduced.
Same description like in scenario “Wheel. AEL”.
Minimum load fraction of liquefaction plant: 31% [58].
Buy and sell principle (Buy/sell) Assessing impact of power grid usage.
P2LH2 plant: like in the base case.
Power grid usage: buy and sell principle.
Wind land-use (Wind-param.) Assessing impact of reduced wind plants land use for combined PV and wind power
plant planning.
Land-use requirements of wind power plants: 245,025 m2/MWel [47]6.
available at the production site cannot be properly inte- Supply scenario comparsion and profitability
grated into the energy system and must be curtailed
(~1,530 h), as shown in Fig. 6. Generated excess power is Location closer to the coast. Due to the relocation of the
curtailed mainly from March to September. In the base case production site, the LCOH increase to 12.07 V/kg (see Fig. 7)
Cairo is chosen by the model as the optimal domestic end in the "Loc. 2" scenario. This results from the reduced
user location for the produced hydrogen. The container port availability of renewable energies (RES) (see Fig. 2), which is
in Adabiya serves as an export terminal to Germany. The why more RES have to be installed to meet the demand. This
total distribution costs (incl. storing, conversion, etc.) make renewable generation is illustrated in Fig. 8 a. More storage
up about 20% of the total costs. Approximately 7% losses capacity is required to absorb the strong ramps in solar
occur during the transport. After deduction of all losses in production. System operation is almost identical to the base
the production and distribution chain, the end customer case. The need to enlarge the P2LH2 plant also applies to the
receives about 43 % of the initially harvested energy in form "Loc. 3" scenario, whereby due to the poorer choice of
of LH2 (see Fig. 6). location compared to Loc. 2, more PV, electrolyzers and
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx 9
Fig. 5 e Accumulated power generation and demand from optimized system in the base case a) of a representative summer
week and b) per month and representation of c) sorted power generation, demand and curtailment curves and d) monthly
storage behavior (BESS, GH2, LH2).
Fig. 6 e Energy flow based on the harvested electrical energy in the base case.
storage capacities are installed. Thus, the electrolyzer in the LCOH increases only slightly to 12.03 V/kg (see Fig. 7)
"Loc. 3" scenario is only operated for 2,551 full load hours a compared to Loc. 2, since the reduction in the transport
year. The full-load operation can be seen from the electricity distance by almost 40% (see Fig. 3) comes into play. System
demand of the electrolyzer in Fig. 8 b. Fluctuations between losses increase by 2e4% due to relocation closer to the
electrolyzer output and the liquefaction plant are smoothed coast. Reason for this is also a higher curtailment, shown in
out by the addition of GH2 storage capacity. However, the Fig. 8 d.
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
10 international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx
Fig. 8 e Sorted a) electricity generation, b) þ c) demand, and d) curtailment curves of the supply scenario comparison.
Electrolysis system. The use of the AEL reduces the LCOH Grid connection. Due to the capacity limitation of the grid
by 0.8 V/kg (see Fig. 7). The lower investment costs of the AEL connection option in the “Buy/Sell” scenario, the LCOH is
technology enable the installation of higher electrolyzer ca- reduced to 11.44 V/kg. The buy and sell principle enables the
pacity and thus the regulation of power production peaks by reduction of PV and storage capacities, which can be seen in the
the PV system (see Fig. 8 b). The required BESS capacity is cost share in Fig. 7. There is a reduction of 2% in the overall
reduced (see Fig. 7, cost share BESS). The full-load operation of system losses due to the reduced curtailment of energy. Fig. 8
the liquefaction over 5,356 h (see Fig. 8 c) is made possible by d displays grid feed-in and feed-out for different grid usage
the addition of GH2 storage capacity. Losses of the overall concepts. The system draws 127 GWhel in the “Buy/Sell” sce-
system are the same as the base case. nario from the power grid. By the power grid usage, the
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx 11
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
12 international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx
14
13 Base Case Table 3 e Percentage investment cost change in % from
LCOH in €/kg
Conclusion
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx 13
Please cite this article as: Breuning L et al., Combined photovoltaic and wind power plant planning for the production and trans-
portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
14 international journal of hydrogen energy xxx (xxxx) xxx
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portation of liquefied green hydrogen: A case study of Egypt, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.ijhydene.2023.07.108
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