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STAT 1012: Statistics for Life Sciences

2022-23 Term 1
Assignment #3

Due: Nov 9th, 2022 (Wed) at 6:30pm


Total Score: 100 points
This assignment covers material in Chapter 4 and Chapter 5 of the lecture notes.
You are encouraged to show your calculation steps in details, so as to obtain partial scores in
case of incorrect answers.
How to turn in the assignment? (1) Written Softcopy Via Blackboard System (2) During the
lecture/ tutorial sessions, or (2) Assignment drop box outside Lady Shaw Building (LSB)
Room 123

Problem 1 [10 Points] Consider a continuous


Random Variable 𝑋 with pdf 𝑓(𝑥) define
on 0 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 6 as the chart on the right, and
𝑓(𝑥) = 0 elsewhere. If we have 3𝑓(1) = 2𝑓(4),
please calculate the following value:
(a) [4 points] 𝑓(0.5), 𝑓(5), Pr(𝑋 = 0.5)
(b) [3 points] Pr(4 ≤ 𝑋 < 6)
(c) [3 points] Pr⁡(2 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 3|1 < 𝑋 < 4)

Problem 2 [9 Points]: If random variable 𝑋 follows Normal distribution⁡𝑁(𝜇, 𝜎 2 )


(a) [2 points] If we know 𝐸(𝑋) = 50 and 𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑋) = 100 please find Pr⁡(X < 60) and
Pr⁡(40 < X < 70)
(b) [3 points] Find 𝑏 so that Pr(−𝑏 < (𝑋 − 𝜇)/𝜎 < 𝑏) = 0.90
(c) [4 points] Find 𝜇 and 𝜎 2 so that Pr(X > 89) = 0.90 and Pr(X < 99) = 0.99

Problem 3 [12 Points]: The average height of a woman is increasing from 1960 to 2002. The
average height of a woman aged 20-74 years is 160 cm in 2002. Suppose the height of a
woman is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 10 cm.
(a) [3 points] What is the probability a randomly selected woman in this population is
between 135 cm and 185 cm?
(b) [3 points] What are the quartiles of this distribution?
(c) [3 points] Determine 𝑎 and 𝑏, which is symmetric about the mean and Pr(𝑎 < 𝑋 <
𝑏) = 95%
(d) [3 points] What is the probability that five women selected at random from this
population all exceed 170 cm?

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Problem 4 [24 Points] If the class in our university lasts that is Uniformly Distributed
between 120 min to 170 min.
(a) [4 points] What is the probability that the time interval randomly selected a class length
is longer than 145 minutes (Class delay)?
(b) [4 points] There are 25 classes in university per week for all year one students, let Y be
the number of classes would delay (class length is longer than 145 minutes) in each
week for year one students, so what’s the distribution of Y? And please write out the
parameter of this distribution.
(c) [4 Points] Please calculate the probability that at least 14 classes delay in each week for
year one students. Can we apply the approximation method here? Which method
should be used for calculating this probability?
(d) [4 Points] Please calculate the probability that exact 10 classes delay in each week for
year one students by using the exact method AND approximation method in part (c).
Compare the results, are they close?
(e) [4 Points] Let Z be the number of classes would dismiss the class early (class length is
shorter than 124 minutes) in each week (25 classes) for year one students, so what’s the
distribution of Z? And please write out the parameter of this distribution. Can we apply
the approximation method for Z in here?
(f) [4 Points] Please calculate the probability that exact 5 classes dismiss early in each week
for year one students by using the exact method AND approximation method in part (e).
Compare the results, are they close?

Problem 5 [19 points]: Assume that the income of new graduate students follows normal
probability distribution, and the mean is 78 HKD per hour; the standard deviation is 12 HKD
per hour.
(a) [3 points] What is the probability that a randomly selected new graduate students will
have income between 54 HKD and 90 HKD dollars per hour?
(b) [3 points] What is the probability that a randomly selected new graduate students will
have income smaller than 72 HKD
(c) [3 points] What is the 80th percentile income of the new graduate students?
(d) [3 points] What is the IQR of income of the new graduate students?
(e) [3 points] If the mean income increases to 80 HKD (the standard deviation is fixed), will
the percentage of the new graduate students that have income more than 85 HKD
increases or decreases? Why?
(f) [4 points] If the standard deviation of the incomes decreases to 10 HKD (the mean is
fixed), will the percentage of the new graduate students that have income more than 85
HKD increases or decreases? Why?

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Problem 6 [11 Points] Suppose that the prevalence rate of breast cancer among 50- to
54-year-old women whose mothers have had breast cancer is 4%. We have collected 150
such female staffs in faculty and let 𝑋 be the number of such female staffs who had the
breast cancer at some point in their lives in faculty.
(a) [2 Points] What’s the distribution of 𝑋 ? And please wrote out the parameter of this
distribution. Can we apply the approximation method here? Which approximation
method should be used?
(b) [3 Points] Please calculate the probability that over 7 (Not include 7) such female staffs
who had the breast cancer in faculty.
(c) [6 Points] If the faculty need to pay 2 million HKD Medical Fee for each female staff with
breast cancer, how many deposit 𝑁(million HKD) should be prepared so as to ensure
that the total Medical Fee (2𝑋) can be paid with at least 80%? [Hints: Pr(2𝑋 ≤ 𝑁) ≥
80%)]]

Problem 7 [15 points]: A random sample consists of 5 independent observations


𝑋1 , 𝑋2 , 𝑋3 , 𝑋4 , 𝑋5 . Let 𝑋̅ = (𝑋1 + 𝑋2 + 𝑋3 + 𝑋4 + 𝑋5 )/5, consider following estimators:
𝑋̅ + 𝑋2 + 𝑋5 𝑋̅ 𝑋1
𝐴̂ = 𝑋̅, 𝐵̂ = , 𝐶̂ = 3𝑋4 − 𝑋3 , ̂= ,
𝐷 𝐸̂ =
3 2 2

If 𝑋1 , 𝑋2 , 𝑋3 , 𝑋4 , 𝑋5 ~⁡𝑖𝑖𝑑⁡𝑵𝒐𝒓𝒎𝒂𝒍(𝜇, 5)
(a) [4 points] Which of the above is/are the unbiased estimator(s) for 𝜇 ? Justify your
answer.
(b) [4 points] Which of the above is the best unbiased estimator for 𝜇 ? Justify your
answer.
(c) [3 points] What’s the distribution of 𝑌 = 𝐷 ̂ − 𝐸̂ , and please wrote out the parameter of
this distribution.
(d) [4 points] Based on the Part c), please calculate the probability that the distance
̂ and 𝐸̂ is over 0.3. [Hints: Pr(|𝐷
between 𝐷 ̂ − 𝐸̂ | > 0.3)]

- End of Assignment -

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