You are on page 1of 18

Non-performing loans, Corporate Governance, Firm-

Specific attributes and Macro-economic determinants:


Evidence from Bangladesh

Mohammad Omar Faruq Tamanna Akter


Assistant Professor Post Graduate
Department of Accounting and Information Systems Department of Accounting and Information Systems
Faculty of Business Studies, Comilla University Faculty of Business Studies, Jahangirnagar University
Cumilla, Bangladesh Savar, Dhaka, Bangladesh

Md. Mosharraf Hossain Ishrat Jahan Ikra


Assistant Professor, Post Graduate
Department of Management Studies, Department of Accounting and Information Systems
Faculty of Business Studies, Comilla University Faculty of Business Studies, University of Dhaka
Cumilla Dhaka, Bangladesh

Lamina Binta Jahan


Assistant professor
Department of Accounting and Information Systems,
Faculty of Business Studies, Comilla University,
Cumilla, Bangladesh.

Abstract
This paper attempts to identify the key determinants of Non-performing Loans in Bangladesh for the listed banks.
The sample for the study includes all the listed banks from the year 2015 to 2021. Panel Data Random Effect
regression analysis has been used to assess the relationship above. The study’s findings suggest that Board Size
significantly reduces the existence of non-performing loans in Bangladesh. In addition, Capital Adequacy Ratio,
Return on Assets, Asset Turnover Ratio, GDP growth rate, Private Sector Credit Growth rate and Inflation
are a significant determinant of non-performing loan and possesses a negative relationship. From an overall
perspective, non-performing loan can be reduced through the use of larger boards, increased focus on firm specific
measures of performance and growth in private sector credit facilities. Future researches are recommended to
use additional controls for corporate governance to improve the explanatory power of the model.
Keywords: Non-Performing Loan, Corporate Governance, Panel Data, DSE (Dhaka Stock Exchange).

4 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
have witnessed such pollution with incidental effects.
1.0 Introduction
For example, during the 1980s saving and loan crisis
The global financial crisis led to the reformation of
in the USA, the NPL cycle in Asian countries in the
the banking industry. In the past couple of years,
1990s in the last century (Saba et al., 2012), and in
due to the financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic
this era global economic crisis in 2008-2009 (Manz,
time, numerous countries have suffered big time.
2019), and a recent addition is COVID-19 pandemic
Soedarmono, Machrouh and Tarazi (2011) stated that
(Ahmed, Majeed, Thalassinos & Thalassinos, 2021)
money laundering and excessive outflow of economic
and the ongoing regional war in Euro-zone. Rising
benefits from importing caused many East Asian
NPL originated sharply from increasing mortgage
countries to suffer significantly. Financing with outside
loan defaults in the US economy (Manz, 2019)
capital is tough in emerging economies as they suffer
and excessive risk of credit (Ghosh, 2015). Strong
from inefficient and lowly developed financial markets
monetary system and control mechanisms reflect
(Godlewski, 2005). NPL (Non-Performing Loan) is
lower NPL ratio, and increased non-performing ratio
a health indicator of any given financial ecosystem.
signals weak financial and management systems of a
A higher level of NPL indicates a weak market
bank (Khan et al., 2020; Ahmed et al., 2021). Vouldis
structure resulting in a crumbled national economy. In
and Louzis (2018) quoted that commercial banks
comparison, a low level of NPL is characterised as an
firstly get impacted by non-performing loan ratio
efficient one and ensures expansion of credit growth
and, in the long-run country’s economic condition
(Feijó, 2011). NPL is a great cause of the financial crisis
get hampered. Financial Reporting Council (FRC)
(Amin, Imam & Malik, 2019). Non-performing Loan
establishment, the central bank’s independence from
(NPL) has become a major concern for the banking
the Bangladesh government for regulating commercial
industry, especially in developing countries. Bank’s
banks, ensuring operational stability and enhancing
survival capacity and profitability are highly affected by
the efficiency of the banking companies (Roy et al.,
the volume of NPL (Roy, Dey & Bhowmik, 2014)
2014). Williams (2004) detected that capitalisation,
Correspondingly, the NPL ratio is an indicator of a management efficiency and behavioural modes of top
bank’s credit policy failure (Saba, Kouser & Azeem, management are causing bad loans in the European
2012). During the post-pandemic time and the banking industry. So, following the corporate
Russia-Ukraine war, international trading relationships governance guidelines of 2018 in the Bangladesh
are impacted and causing the default of loans and context can be helpful in ensuring shareholder interest
mortgages. Loan or mortgage default is caused by a protection and asset quality. Manz (2019) pointed out
borrower’s low-level repayment capacity, decreased that bank-specific and macroeconomic variables still
per capita income, high rate of interest, the extremely have to lack profound understanding and requires
flexible policy of credit rationing and weak monitoring additional variables and circumstance to cover with
policy of central regulatory bodies and internal empirical research.
systems of banks (Saba et al., 2012; Ivanović, 2016).
Increasing non-performing loans are diminishing 1.1 Institutional background of the Banking
banks’ earnings, prolonging instability and down- industry in Bangladesh
turning economic growth (Partovi & Matousek, The development of the banking industry is boosting
2019). Khan, Siddique and Sarwar (2020) stated the rapid growth of Bangladesh’s economy. The country
that unpaid loans and advances are called NPL. IMF has observed spectacular growth and expansion of
(International Monetary Fund) explained that loans the banking sector. With microfinance and mobile
and advances, if they fail to generate interest and banking systems, the monetary system is expanded
main principal value for 90 days of minimum time, are in rural areas, and financial inclusion is ensured. The
considered non-performing loans (NPLs). An unpaid financial system of Bangladesh is comprised of three
loan amount with due interest payment on the date sub-sectors: formal, semi-formal and informal. Banks
of maturity is called NPL. With its wide impact, the and non-banking financial institutions are part of the
non-performing loan is quoted as ‘financial pollution’ formal sector to be regulated by Bangladesh Bank.
(Makri, Tsagkanos & Bellas, 2014; Ghosh, 2015). Bangladesh bank is the regulatory authority of the
Historically various countries and economic regions money market and foreign exchange market. The

5 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
bank was established on December 16, 1971, with empirical models. Chapter four provides the output
the Bangladesh Bank order-1972 as a corporate of various statistical and econometric analyses. In the
regulatory body1. There are primarily two types of final chapter, we have summarised our study with
banks under Bangladesh Bank: scheduled banks and reference to future research orientation and current
non-scheduled banks. limitations.
The Bangladesh Bank website directs that the
scheduled bank classification includes six state-
2.0 Literature review and development
owned commercial banks, three specialised banks,
43 private commercial banks, 33 conventional private
of testable hypothesis
Recent pandemic outbreaks and regional wars have
commercial banks, 10 Islamic Shariah-based private
sparked researchers’ interest in understanding the
commercial banks, and nine foreign commercial banks
existing and potential drivers of non-performing
as of the year ended 2022. Subsequently, there are
loans in different economic regions. For country-
five non-scheduled banks in the banking sector of
specific or cross-country analysis, panel data study is
Bangladesh. All the banks are operated under the
widely used (Saba et al., 2012). The prior literature
direct supervision and full control of Bangladesh bank
on the determinants of NPL is mainly based on wide
through Bangladesh bank order-1972 and Banking
theoretical models to cover the business cycle of
Companies Act-1991. A non-performing loan is
the banking industry with an explicit role in financial
increasing in Bangladesh as business enterprises are
excellency.
defaulting or near to being defaulted. It has become
a threat for banks to achieve sustainable economic
growth as the banking system is facing a slow-motion 2.1 Theoretical framework of Non-performing Loan
financial crisis. Non-performing loans are seen as the most important
factor in a bank’s productivity and profitability. When
Roy et al. (2014) conducted their study on the
there are more non-performing loans, the bank has
banking industry of Bangladesh during the period of
to set aside more money and write off more bad
2004 to 2013 that examined the macroeconomic
debt. Increasing NPL also affects the capital structure,
determinants of the NPL ratio. The inclusive
asset management, and profitability of banks. The
macroeconomic variables are the GDP growth rate,
hilarious consequence is that non-performing loans
inflation rate and interest spread rate in Bangladesh’s
are increasing relative to the capital structure of
economy. Khatun and Ghosh (2019) evaluated the
a large number of banks, which compounds the
relationship between corporate governance variables
banks’ extreme financial crisis. According to empirical
and the non-performing loan ratio in Bangladesh.
research (Ombaba, 2013; Kingu et al., 2018), the higher
The considered corporate governance variables are
the non-performing loans, the lower the operational
Board size, the number of independent directors, the
management efficiency and profitability. So, the four
independence of the audit committee and the role of
prime theoretical perspectives (Agency Theory,
the chairman. In both of the papers in the Bangladesh
Bad Management Theory, Stakeholders Theory,
banking industry context, bank-specific variables are
and Information Asymmetry Theory) signified this
not considered, while prior literature in the emerging
research as well as the hypotheses used to examine
economy context (Rajha, 2016; Tanasković & Jandrić,
the relationship of a non-performing loan with
2015; Umar & Sun, 2018) conducted their study on
corporate governance, firm-specific determinants,
the macro-economic and bank-specific determinants
and macro-economic determinants.
of non-performing loan ratio.
This study is organised as follows. The second
chapter of the study discusses the various relevant Stakeholders Theory
theories and literature that are prevalent in the field In 1984, the “stakeholders’ theory” was given the
of study. Additionally, on the basis of past studies spotlight as a tool to make decisions. The theory’s main
and theories, we have developed the hypotheses thrust is to strike a balance between the interests of
for our study. In the next chapter, we have briefly all stakeholders, which are affected by each and every
discussed the methodology adopted for the analysis decision of a well-established business establishment,
of the relationships with reference to the data and in order to achieve well-designed strategic business

6 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
goals. The theory defined stakeholders as “individuals power of attorney for making business decisions to
or any group who can affect or get affected by the managers. To maximize the value of the organization
achievement of an organization’s objectives” (Freeman, as well as shareholder wealth, managers of banks are
1999). In addition, stakeholders have a legal claim to expected to make effective decisions for increasing
the establishment. Freeman et al. (2010) suggests that productivity and profitability as well as avoid conflict
in modern times, stakeholders have emphasized that of interests with stakeholders (Akter and Roy, 2017).
the organization’s management possesses a long-term As the stakeholder’s resources are delegated to the
network of value-added and effective relationships agents of banks, a number of conflicting issues arise.
with employees, business partners, and suppliers. The stakeholder theory points out that information
To mitigate risks, this value-added relationship of asymmetry and conflict of interest (principal-agent
related parties is far more significant and influential relationship dilemma) may occur in this circumstance
than the principal-agent relationship of agency theory. (Riadi, 2018). Principal-agent problems in terms of
To protect all stakeholders’ value, a well-designed moral hazard happen when agents work for their own
corporate governance mechanism is required to interests instead of the principal’s. At the same time,
mitigate information asymmetry, enhance supervisory principals incur agency costs such as external audits by
control, and monitor management’s self-interest a renowned audit firm to monitor agents inside trading
behavior (Khan et al., 2020). Corporate governance and self-interested activities. It has become necessary
has the main aim of aligning shareholders’ interests to assess the achievement of stakeholder interests
with organizational goals and designing an efficient and manager actions through effective corporate
and effective mechanism for ensuring managers’ governance mechanisms. As a result, agency theory
accountability for their operational decisions validates this study on non-performing loans, as
(Balagobei, 2019). managers may embarrass themselves by engaging in
Furthermore, stakeholders’ theory has broadened self-serving activities while jeopardizing the interests
the limitations of firing employees and joblessness of stakeholders.
during the economic recession by incorporating
other contracts, such as revenue-related or funding- Bad management theory
related contracts (Christaria & Kurnia, 2016). So, the
Berger and DeYoung (1997) suggested that bad
stakeholders’ theory is important because the top
management theory was developed to demonstrate
management has to clearly define the goals of the
the relationship between a bank’s cost efficiency and
organization that can best explain the interests of all
NPL ratio. Poor management, according to the bad
stakeholders as well as cope with country-specific
management concept, leads to low-cost efficiency
macro-economic conditions for the well-being of
and questioned loan underwriting and monitoring
stakeholders.
mechanisms (Tanaskovi & Jandri, 2015). The NPL
ratio in the Turkish banking industry is rising due
Agency Theory to technical inefficiency, which supports the bad
Ross and Mitnick are the famous researchers who management theory (Boudriga et al., 2010). Bank
developed the agency theory in 1973. Here, the management may be more responsive to incentives
agency theory has greater concern about the agent- by enhancing the bank’s loan portfolio, which will
principal relationship. Shareholders or owners are finally increase the NPL ratio (Klein 2013). The bank’s
called principals, while the management team is management team may be inefficient in evaluating the
treated as an agent, and the contractual relationship credit applications of customers, granting loans, and
between the parties is called an agency relationship. managing the loan portfolio, which will result in rising
Riadi (2018) discussed that the principal provides non-performing loans.
a mandate to agents for acting on their behalf, and Bad and inefficient management can be the result
agents are obliged to perform all the responsibilities of agency conflict between stakeholders and bank
for which they are provided with the mandate. management. Tanasković and Jandrić (2015) found
In the banking sector, managers are the agents and that due to bad management and agency conflict,
shareholders are the principals, while they relinquish information asymmetry is created between creditors

7 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
or investors and bank management. The 2018 related variables. In our study, macroeconomic
corporate governance guidelines were issued with variables are- GDP growth rate, Private Sector Credit
the purpose of ensuring information symmetry in the Growth and Inflation Rate; Bank Specific Variables-
stock market. To reduce agency conflict and the impact Capital Adequacy Ratio, Loan Deposit Ratio, Return
of bad management, in our analysis, we consider the on Asset, Asset Turnover Ratio, Bank Size in terms
corporate governance and firm-specific determinants of total asset and Leverage (Debt to Asset ratio);
of the non-performing loan ratio. and lastly corporate governance related variables
are Board Size, Board Meeting Frequency, Board
Independence and Board Gender Diversity. Here,
Information asymmetry theory
below we are going to discuss empirical literature on
The information asymmetry theory states that the association of all these factors with the rate of
information asymmetry occurs when, in a transaction, NPL.
one party has transaction-related information
Meeker and Gray (1987) mentioned that general
over another party (Kingu et al., 2018). Because of
people got the opportunity to evaluate asset quality
the information gap between two parties, earlier
in terms of non-performing loans first time ever in
literature on asymmetric information always looked
1983. Their analysis also resulted in the classification
for the impact of the information gap on business
of loans as bad loans or non-performing loans, aiding
decisions. Borrowers collect funding from creditors to
the examination of the bank’s asset quality.
face business risks with the certainty of repayment,
though creditors have no clue about the borrower’s From 1984-2013 all banking and financial institutes in
actions and characteristics. So, both parties (borrower the USA faced an increased rate of non-performing
and creditor) of a transaction are expected to have loans due to bank-specific, state-level and regional
balanced information regarding the transaction before economic factors. Ghosh (2015), using GMM
it proceeds, unless one party with more material estimators, found out that capital adequacy, weak
information may cause the issue of adverse selection. credit quality, inefficiency of cost management, firm,
Furthermore, adverse selection illustrates the worst as well as industry size, are significantly increasing NPL,
implication of bad management decisions on loan but bank profitability has a negative impact on the
management and cost control and management NPL ratio. Among all the macroeconomic variables,
(Makri et al., 2014). the GDP growth rate decreases the NPL ratio. On the
other hand, Inflation and public financing significantly
Adverse selection consequently leads to a situation
increase the NPL ratio (Ghosh, 2015; Manz, 2019).
where low-quality borrowers displace the high-quality
borrowers, and in the long run, it causes deterioration Following the blending approach of bank-specific and
of the quality of banking loan portfolio management macroeconomic variables, Saba et al. (2012) found
and non-performing loan accumulation, deduction that GDP growth rate, inflation rate and total loan
of profitability, and withdrawal of capital (Bofondi & volume have a significant impact on non-performing
Ropele, 2011; Aronokhale, 2022). Also, information loans during the period of 1985-2010 in the US
asymmetry arises when one party is engaged in risky economy. A suggestion is made to amend the credit
business decisions because of macro-economic or control policy and improve monitoring mechanisms to
bank-specific conditions, even though the decisions lower the rate of non-performing loans.
aren’t affected by the outcomes. After the financial crisis, various banks of the European
economic zone suffered from acute loan distress,
even subsequent recovery couldn’t cover up loan
2.2 Non-performing Loan
losses, and banks are dramatically fallen behind other
Researchers, in their earlier research, tried to cover
advanced economies.
up the widespread and contemporary issues of the
banking industry. Due to its significance, NPL has an Tölö and Virén (2021) conducted an analysis of post-
impact on bank survival and profitability. As we are economic crisis time during the period of 2014-2019
discussing the determinants of NPL, various categories to find out how the NPL ratio is hindering the bank
of factors are involved. Firstly, macroeconomic loan in Europe over 200 banking companies in 30
factors, bank-specific variables and governance- countries. The analysis resulted out that increasing

8 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
NPL is downing bank profit, raising financing costs and Quality of loan and bank performance stability is
risking capital adequacy for banks. enhanced by good corporate governance mechanisms.
There is always a cause and effect of a bank’s financial If the banking regulatory body imposes strict policy,
crisis, the recession after COVID-19 has had a then it negatively triggers the NPL ratio and curbs the
considerable impact on increasing the NPL ratio and appetite for excessive loan risk. Adegboye, Ojeka and
weakening the financial health of banking companies Adegboye (2020) have shown that good corporate
in Europe (Ari, Chen & Ratnovski, 2021). governance mechanisms have a statistically significant
effect on the NPL ratio of the Nigerian banking
In the European banking companies for the period of
sector. Khatun and Ghosh (2019) conducted a study
19990-2015, Dimitrios, Helen and Mike (2016) found
on corporate governance-oriented determinants of
that GDP growth has a strongly significant relation to
the NPL ratio in the banking industry of Bangladesh
NPL ratio while bank-specific variables such as ROA
for the period of 2008-2017 and found that NPL has
and leverage also significantly shape the level of NPL.
a statistically significant and positive correlation with
corporate governance-oriented determinants. So,
2.3 Non-Performing Loan and Corporate Governance
with good governance and quality mechanisms, it is
To disclose all required information to shareholders
possible to reduce the rate of NPL in the Bangladeshi
and prevent fraudulent financial reporting Sarbanes-
banking industry.
Oxley act 2002 was passed. Corporate governance
is receiving extensive importance due to fraud of
management and several financial crimes during the 2.4 Non-Performing Loan and Bank-Specific
past decade in developed economies. Tarchouna, attributes
Jarraya and Bouri (2017) revealed that recognition NPL is negatively influential on a bank’s profitability
and prevention of excessive risky appetites in the in terms of return on assets (ROA) and positively
banking sector are quite impossible with ineffective influential on provisions for loan loss reserve to total
governance structure and mechanisms. The small- sanctioned loans in the European countries after the
sized commercial banks of the US have sound financial crisis in 2008 (Messai & Jouini, 2013). With the
governance systems to reduce NPL, while medium GMM estimator, as NPL is increasing in the Pakistan
and large-sized banks are allowing loans on excessively banking industry, Ahmed et al. (2021) attempt first to
risky projects and are headed to enormous loan examine the link among macroeconomic, bank-related
losses. For better governance, small-sized banks rely and non-performing loans in the emerging economic
on personal connections and experts, while large- context. Bank-related variables, including credit
sized banks have neutralised governance systems. So, growth and provision for loan loss, have a significant
in further analysis, Tarchouna et al. (2022) found that positive impact on NPL; other variables, such as ROA,
the influence of corporate governance on loan quality bank size and operating efficiency, decrease non-
is highly influenced by the size of the banks in the USA. performing loans. In the Taiwanese banking industry,
In an emerging country in South-East Asia, Sri Lanka Hu, Li and CHIU (2006) demonstrated that bank
is going through an immense economic recession size in terms of total assets is negatively associated
and a rising rate of Inflation ever in the history of with NPL. Increased NPL ratio hampers the capital
the country. Balagobei (2019) demonstrated that adequacy, bank profitability and financing costs of
boardroom activities have a significant impact on the the industry (Aiyar, Calomiris & Wieladek, 2015).
NPL ratio. While board size, board independence The mechanism of holding increased provisions for
and role duality of the CEO have an insignificant bad debt and lower revenue is actually deteriorating
impact on non-performing loans. Irawati, Maksum, the bank’s profitability. Deteriorated profitability
Sadalia and Muda (2019) conducted an analysis of the stimulates banks to raise financing costs, which triggers
banking companies in Indonesia to justify the impact operational expenses and again, profitability gets
of NPL On a bank’s financial performance and found lower. If banks can increase interest income, as well as
that capital adequacy has a statistically significant and increase financing costs directly, that will enhance the
positive impact on a bank’s financial performance, rate of lending and trigger the lending amount. Banks
though NPL has a statistically insignificant and negative view capital adequacy, and profitability rates have a
correlation with the financial performance of banks. high impact on loan sanctioning. Dagher, Dell’Ariccia,

9 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
Laeven, Ratnovski and Tong (2016) explained that over seven CEE countries (Hungary, Romania, Croatia,
higher buffering of capital and higher interest income Bulgaria, Latvia, Slovakia and Czech Republic), and the
work positively for banks to avoid the issue of new suggested result is economic slowdown is the cause of
equity for financing and keeping down lending costs. increasing NPL for the period of 2007-2012. GDP and
Vinh (2017) found that higher capital adequacy and inflation rate have a significant impact on NPL with a
profitability lead banks to increase lending growth. On large coefficient value. In their earlier study, Roy et al.
the other hand, Dagher et al. (2016) found that banks (2014) regarding the banking industry of Bangladesh
with weak profitability tend to grant less volume of evaluated the impact of macroeconomic variables on
loans. Both of the findings are consistent with three the NPL ratio. Consequently, found that the inflation
factors of Aiyar et al. (2015) for standard credit rate positively affects NPL while the GDP growth rate
channels. The listed Pakistani Commercial banks is negatively related to NPL. The findings support the
also suffered from increasing NPL ratios during the theoretical relationship of NPL with macroeconomic
period of 2005-2017. Khan et al. (2020) found that factors in the Bangladeshi banking sector. In the
bank profitability and operational efficiency have a Taiwanese banking industry, Hu et al. (2006) found that
significantly negative correlation with NPL, while the government ownership in private banks reduces the
capital adequacy ratio has a statistically insignificant and NPL ratio. Farhan, Sattar, Chaudhry and Khalil (2012)
negative correlation with NPL. Partovi and Matousek conducted a study on the Pakistani banking sector
(2019) found that the operational and technical since 2006 which resulted in Inflation and interest
efficiency of Turkish banks is highly dependent on the rate having a positive correlation with NPL, but the
firm’s ownership structure. GDP growth rate negatively correlated with the NPL
ratio. Similarly, Inflation has a positive correlation
with an increased rate of NPL in the UK (Hoggarth,
2.5 Non-Performing Loan and Macro-economic
Sorensen & Zicchino, 2005). Controversially, in Latin
variables
American countries, Adivojević et al. (2019) found
During the period 2006-2016, World Bank and
that macroeconomic variables (GDP growth rate and
International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported that
inflation rate) and microeconomics variables (capital
NPLs have a significant role in bank stability and credit
adequacy ratio and loan-to-asset ratio) have an
quality in the transition countries. Mazreku, Morina,
insignificant impact on the NPL ratio.
Misiri, Spiteri and Grima (2018) found that Inflation
and GDP growth rate are significantly and negatively As the European economy was the middle point of
related to NPLs rate, though the unemployment rate the unprecedented crisis in 2008-2009, Makri et
is related positively. The equilibrium value of NPLs in al. (2014) found that capital adequacy ratio (CAR),
Chinese state-owned banks is significantly dependent return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE)
on Chinese macroeconomic variables (Zeng, 2012). are significantly correlated with non-performing loans,
A global study conducted by Beck, Jakubik and Piloiu other hand macroeconomic variables such as GDP
(2015) found that major macroeconomic variables, rate and public financing have strong relation with
foreign exchange rate, GDP growth rate, and prices non-performing loans. Umar and Sun (2018), using
of shares have an impact on NPLs rate, while the panel data regression on Chinese banking companies,
impact direction is dependent on lending on foreign resulted out that types of variables vary according to the
exchange. listed or non-listed banking industry. Macroeconomic
variables for determining NPL in the listed-banking
In the share market in the global context, the share
industry include credit quality, risk-taking behaviour of
price is dependent on the stock market size to GDP
banks and GDP growth rate, while in the non-listed
and the ownership structure of the banks. In the earlier
banking industry, foreign exchange rate and inflation
period of the financial crisis in 2008-2009 in the top
rate are also considered. The findings indicate that
three economies of Europe (Italy, Spain and Greece),
bank-related or macroeconomic variables are not the
Non-performing loans (NPL) were negatively
only and most appropriate approach in determining a
correlated with GDP growth rate and positively with
Non-performing Loan (NPL) but also for drawing an
the real rate of interest (Messai & Jouini, 2013).
error-free and correct conclusion. In the developing
Škarica (2014) has conducted a panel data regression economic context of Jordan, the loan-to-assets ratio is

10 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
positively related to NPL, while economic growth and 2.7 Development of testable hypothesis
inflation rate have a significant and negative impact on Corporate governance and non-performing loans
NPLs (Rajha, 2016). The financial crisis in the global
Few authors have assessed the effect of corporate
market has impact on Jordanian banking industry even
governance attributes on non-performing loans using a
though banks are not operating that effectively for
composite index (Tarchouna et al., 2017). The findings
loan screening. In the SEE and CEFC countries for the
of their study suggest that small banks in the United
period of 2006-2013, Tanasković and Jandrić (2015)
States are successful in reducing NPL using proper
found that GDP is negatively correlated with the NPL
corporate governance mechanisms. Well-structured
ratio. On the other hand, Inflation has statistically
corporate governance mechanism is deemed to
no significant impact on NPL. An interesting finding
reduce the ratio of NPL in banks (Adegboye, Ojeka,
is that the development of the financial market has
& Adegboye, 2020). In addition, the authors have also
a significantly negative correlation with NPL as a
noted that there is an insignificant amount of literature
lower NPL ratio with increased financial market
that explores the relationship between corporate
development. Kauko (2012) conducted a cross-nation
governance and NPL in emerging economy settings.
analysis of 34 countries with the data set from the
Effective corporate governance mechanisms can
IMF (international monetary fund) and found that the
reduce the inherent agency problem, and this is rarely
current deficit of depositors’ accounts in the banks,
discussed in the light of NPL (Lee, Chen, Chang & Chen,
along with rapid loan growth, has a contributory
2022). Drawing reference to the previous studies, we
impact on the rising amount of NPL.
expect that corporate governance attributes will be
2.6 Knowledge gap inversely related to NPL. Contrary to the previous
Past studies have used an insufficient number of studies, we have used various indicators of corporate
controls for corporate governance and firm-specific governance measures separately to identify the most
attributes (Khatun & Ghosh, 2019). In Bangladesh, crucial piece of determinants. However, we have also
there is an absence of strong governance measures. assumed that the Corporate Governance attributes
As a result, in any research design, corporate possess similar essence in influencing NPL, for which
governance variables should be used to identify we expect these to behave similarly. Hence, we
the causes of non-performing loans (Towhid et develop the following hypotheses.
al., 2019). Hosen et al. (2020) recommended that H1: The relationship between various corporate
future researches include a longer time period and governance attributes and the NPL ratio is
additional variables. Amin et al. (2021) urged the expected to be negative.
inclusion of corporate governance along with other
variables to improve the explanatory power of the
Bank Specific attributes and non-performing
study model. Akter et al. (2021) suggested that for
loans
deeper insights, large data sets and variables such
as bank-specific and macro-economic determinants Various studies in the past have assessed the impact
should be used together within the same research of bank-specific attributes on the level of NPL. We
model. Hence, there is a knowledge gap to be filled have also deployed several measures of bank-specific
in respect of using a long time period, more variables, factors to achieve a complete view of the situation. As
and the inclusion of all three dimensions (corporate a corollary to the aforementioned discussion, in the
governance, firm specifics, and macroeconomics) following discussion, we will outline a brief description
within a single research model. Our study contributes of the measures that are used.
to the existing literature by answering the specific CAR (Capital Adequacy Ratio)
question: Which corporate governance, firm-specific, A stable banking operation can effectively safeguard
and macroeconomic factors can lower the likelihood depositors from any unwanted circumstances (Khan
of non-performing loans? For a holistic perspective, et al., 2020). Central banks or regulators can ensure
we have utilized relevant corporate governance, firm- that there is an effective mechanism put in place
specific, and macroeconomic aspects over a longer that safeguards the interest of numerous agents
time span in our analysis to fill the current knowledge (Ghosh, 2015). Solvency is the key determinant for
gap.

11 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
a stable banking operation. The solvency of a bank H5: The relationship between Asset Turnover
is quantified using the Capital Adequacy Ratio (Koju, Ratio and the NPL ratio is expected to be
Koju, & Wang, 2018). Bangladesh Bank requires that negative.
all the listed banks report and maintain 10 per cent SIZE (Total Assets)
of their total RWA (Risk Weighted Assets) as CAR. Bank Size mirrors the level of strength that a bank
Previous literature has found that there is an inverse possesses in terms of its skilled manpower and
relationship between the CAR and NPL (Makri et al., available financial resources (Koju et al., 2018).
2014; Kumar & Kishore, 2019; Koju, Koju & Wang, Larger banks are highly unlikely to fail in the long run.
2018). Consequently, we also expect a negative Following the study of Tarchouna et al. (2022), we
relationship between CAR and NPL. have also measured bank size as the natural logarithm
H2: The relationship between Capital Adequacy of the total assets of a bank for a particular year. We
Ratio and the NPL ratio is expected to be negative. have assumed a negative association between SIZE
LDR (Loan to Deposit Ratio) and NPL ratio based on the previous studies that are
developed upon the explanation of diversification
Bank liquidity is also one of the key factors that banks
(Biekpe, 2011; Salas & Saurina, 2002).
may face challenges with in difficult times. The LDR is
a measure to assess the liquidity position of a given H6: The relationship between Firm Size and NPL
bank. A large value of LDR indicates proper utilisation ratio is expected to be negative.
of deposits for revenue generation, which results in LEV (Leverage)
a reduced amount of bad loans (Koju et al., 2018). Leverage is an important determinant of NPL (Ghosh,
Previous studies have found an inverse relationship 2005; Umar & Sun, 2018). The leverage ratio measures
between LDR and NPL ( Jameel, 2014; Anjom & the level of solvency that is present in a given bank
Karim, 2016). We expect that increase in LDR will (Serrano, 2021). Kim Quoc Trung (2022) found a
reduce the chance of NPL in the banking industry of significantly negative association between LEV and
Bangladesh. NPL. We have also assumed the negative association
H3: The association between the Loan to Deposit between LEV and NPL.
Ratio and the NPL ratio is expected to be H7: The relationship between Leverage and NPL
negative. ratio is expected to be negative.
ROA (Return on Assets) Macro-economic Variables and Non-performing
Profitable banks enjoy more comfort while investing in Loan
risky projects (Koju et al., 2018). ROA is widely used GDPG (Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate)
to measure bank profitability, where a large value of We have used several macroeconomic control
ROA indicates a stable banking environment (Khan et variables to control for any unobserved effect
al., 2020). ROA is found to be negatively correlated arising from the general economic condition. GDPG
with NPL in previous literature (Boudriga, Boulila can improve the situation of bad loans with newer
Taktak & Jellouli, 2009; Khan et al., 2020). Hence, we employment opportunities. Previous studies have
assume the following hypothesis. found a significantly negative impact of GDPG on NPL
H4: The relationship between Return on Assets (Louzis, Vouldis & Metaxas, 2012; Koju et al., 2018).
and NPL ratio is expected to be negative. Hence, we expect that the growth of the economy
can reduce the NPL.
ATO (Asset Turnover Ratio)
H8: The relationship between Gross Domestic
This study further uses the ATO as a measure to quantify
Product Growth Rate and the NPL ratio is
the ability of asset utilisation by banks. Literature
expected to be negative.
supports that ATO provides a measure for productivity
and prediction of future profitability (Fairfield & Yohn, PCG (Private Sector Credit Growth)
2001). In other studies, ATO is commonly used as a Rachman, Kadarusman, Anggriono and Setiadi (2018)
measure of efficiency (Chowdhury, Rana & Azim, found an inverse relationship between PCG and NPL.
2019). We expect that productive banks, aka efficient Similarly, other studies have also found that growth in
banks, will have lower NPL. private-sector credit essentially reduces the chance of

12 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
NPL. Banks lend credit when the borrower has a good rating score in terms of credit and management of risks.
Hence, the growth of credit in the private sector may indicate that fund management is also in check and balance
to reduce the possibility of bad loans.
H9: The relationship between Private Sector Credit Growth and NPL ratio is expected to be negative.
INF (Inflation)
Inflation is defined as the price level increase in an economy (Koju et al., 2018). The rate of inflation measures
whether an economy is stable or not. The findings of the previous study are mixed in terms of the impact of
Inflation (Škarica, 2014). A higher level of Inflation is associated with a weakened economic condition. However,
the level of money supply will also increase, which means more opportunities for business and employment.
Inflation and the supply of money are closely related (Van, 2019). Vogiazas & Nikolaidou (2011) have observed
an inverse relationship between INF and NPL.
H10: The relationship between Inflation and the NPL ratio can be positive or negative.

Figure1: Conceptual Model for the Study

3.0 Methodology:
3.1 Data
Our dataset is sourced from secondary sources. We have used the annual reports published by listed banks
on their respective websites. In addition, we have also used the API of BIZDATA Insights (https://data.
bizdatainsights.com/) for data extraction, which is the country’s first complete data terminal for banks and
related industries. We have selected all the listed banks under DSE (Dhaka Stock Exchange) for our study. There
are 33 listed banks under DSE. We have dropped ICB Islamic Bank Limited from our sample due to insufficient
data. Our study period ranges from 2015 to 2021. Hence, our final sample results in 224 firm-year observations.

3.2 Empirical Model


We have tested our empirical model using panel data econometric analysis, which is superior to Pooled OLS
(Ordinary Least Squares) method for several reasons. In addition, we have used robust standard errors clustered
by banks to weed out the chance of autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity. Panel data diagnostic tests support
the use of the RE (Random Effect) parameter estimation technique. We have motivation from the past papers
(Ghosh, 2015; Umar & Sun, 2018; Partovi & Matousek, 2019; Manz, 2019; Khan et al., 2020; Tarchouna, Jarraya
& Bouri, 2022) to design our empirical model.

13 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
Our first model [1] will test the relationship between Corporate Governance attributes and Non-performing
Loans.
NPLit =β0+β1BSIZEit+β2BMEETit+β3BINDit+β4BGDIVit+Year Dummies+εit …....[1]
We have further developed an equation [2] to assess the linear impact of Banks specific attributes on non-
performing loans in the banking industry.
NPLitγ0+γ1CARit+γ2LDRit+3ROAit+γ4ATOit+γ5SIZEit+γ6LEVit+Year Dummies+εit ……... [2]
Our final model [3] will combinedly assess the relationships previously developed in the model [1] and [2] along
with a few macroeconomic variables for a comprehensive overview. We are primarily interested in our model
[3] as it takes into account the various possible determinants of non-performing loans.
NPLit=λ0+λ1BSIZEit+λ2BMEETit+λ3BINDit+λ4BGDIVit+λ5CARit+λ6LDRit+λ7ROAit+λ8ATOit
+λ9SIZEit+λ10LEVit+λ11GDPGit+λ12PCGit+λ13INFit+Year Dummies+εit ……... [3]
We have also used year-effect dummies for a more accurate prediction of the model. Our dataset ranges from
the year 2015 to 2021. Our models are analysed using STATA 17 econometric software. Furthermore, in the
robust analysis section, we have used GEE (Generalized Estimating Equations) method for further clarification.
Detailed definitions of the variables used in the study are listed in Table I.

Table: I Variable Descriptions


Variables Measure Definition Source
Non-Performing The ratio of Non-Performing Loan to Total
NPL Annual Report
Loan Ratio Loans and Advances.
The total number of members in the
BSIZE Board Size Annual Report
boardroom.
Total Number of Board Meetings Held in a
BMEET Board Meeting Annual Report
Year.
The ratio of Independent Members to Total
BIND Board Independence Annual Report
Board of Directors.
Board Gender The ratio of Female Members to Total Board
BGDIV Annual Report
Diversity of Directors.
Capital Adequacy The ratio of total Eligible Regulatory Capital
CAR Annual Report
Ratio to Total Risk-Weighted Assets.
Loan to Deposit The ratio of Total Loans and Advances to
LDR Annual Report
Ratio Total Deposits.
ROA Return on Assets The ratio of Profit After Tax to Total Assets. Author
ATO Asset Turnover The ratio of Total Revenue to Total Assets. Author
SIZE Firm Size Natural Logarithm Value of Total Assets. Author
LEV Leverage The ratio of Total Debt to Total Assets. Author
Percentage Change in Gross Domestic
GDPG GDP Growth Rate Data Terminal*
Product.
Private Sector
PCG Percentage Change in Private Sector Credit. Data Terminal*
Credit Growth
INF Inflation Percentage of Inflation. Data Terminal*
*Data Terminal is the name for the API of BIZDATA Insights.

14 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
4.0 Empirical Results:
4.1 Unit roots test
Given the relatively long time series nature of our observations, we have initially tested for the presence of any
unit roots. Assuming the null hypothesis of panels containing unit roots, we have used LLC (Levin-Lin-Chu) and
HT (Harris-Tzavalis) tests. Table II displays the output of the unit root test, which shows that all the variables are
stationary at a level other than SIZE in the case of HT. However, after first differencing, we can observe that the
variable is stationary.
Table: II Panel Unit roots
Levin-Lin-Chu Harris-Tzavalis
Variable Level P-Value Level P-Value Difference P-Value
NPL -10.74 0.000 0.25 0.000 -0.3713 0.000
BSIZE -11.0827 0.000 0.4232 0.001 -0.1876 0.000
BMEET -5.5009 0.000 0.1573 0.000 -0.5047 0.000
BIND -9.8580 0.000 0.3667 0.000 -0.3014 0.000
BGDIV -2.9838 0.001 0.2795 0.000 -0.2317 0.000
CAR -7.3275 0.000 0.4302 0.001 -0.2799 0.000
LDR -28.4722 0.000 -0.0221 0.000 -0.4038 0.000
ROA -26.7234 0.000 0.3928 0.000 -0.2443 0.000
ATO -3.8375 0.000 0.2323 0.000 -0.2093 0.000
SIZE -4.9998 0.000 0.5940 0.318 -1.0926 0.000
LEV -14.1205 0.000 -0.0999 0.000 -0.9894 0.000
GDPG -3.7786 0.000 0.3503 0.000 -0.1779 0.000
PCG -4.2796 0.000 0.4515 0.004 -0.4687 0.000
INF -3.602 0.000 0.0423 0.000 -0.3282 0.000
Furthermore, we have also tested for the presence of any first-order autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity.
Our findings imply that our dataset suffers from both first-order autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity.
Correspondingly, we have used the robust standard errors clustered by the firm, which is consistent with
heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation (Hoechle, 2007).

4.2 Descriptive statistics


Table III summarises the datasets using various statistical measures. The NPL ratio is observed to be spread with
a standard deviation of (3.943) while the mean is (5.554). Accordingly, it can be pointed out that the situation
of non-performing loans within the industry varies significantly from bank to bank. Corporate governance
variables are also distributed widely from the mean with different scores. BSIZE has a minimum value of (6) and
a maximum value of (21), while the mean and standard deviations are (14.013) and (3.972). Consequently, we
find that a large number of board members are well distributed around banks on average. We have measured
all of our variables using percentage form for consistency within the dataset. Furthermore, we have deployed
other measures of corporate governance, which also seem to be well dispersed with diverse practices within the
industry. Firm-specific characteristics are also measured using various ratios. CAR is calculated using the directives
provided by the central bank of Bangladesh. We have observed that LDR has a mean and standard deviation
values of (83.54) and (9.399). In summary, the loan-to-deposit ratio, or alternatively loan-to-investment ratio, is
quite high. GDPG has a mean and standard deviation value of (6.809) and (1.04), indicating that the growth rate
of GDP follows quite similar patterns over the years for Bangladesh, where the maximum value is (8.15), which
was observed during the year 2019.

15 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
4.3 Univariate correlation analysis:
Table IV displays the output derived from the spearman correlation analysis. BSIZE is negatively correlated with
NPL at a 1 per cent level of significance which we have confirmed with further investigations. BMEET is positively
and significantly correlated with a value of (0.156). BIND and BGDIV are inversely correlated with NPL. In terms
of firm-specific characteristics, all the variables are negatively and significantly correlated with NPL except SIZE,
which is positively correlated with a value of (0.222). We have observed no significant relationship in terms of
macroeconomic variables with the NPL ratio. We have observed a minimum and maximum value of correlation
to be (0.441) and (-0.677), suggesting that our dataset is not disturbed by the presence of multicollinearity.

4.4 Multicollinearity test:


We have additionally used the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) to specifically test our assumption of multicollinearity.
From table V we have found that our dataset is well within the cutoff value of 5 with a mean VIF value of (1.709).
Hence, we can conclude the nonexistence of the multicollinearity problem in our dataset.

Table: III Descriptive Statistics


Variable NPL BSIZE BMEET BIND BGDIV CAR LDR ROA ATO SIZE LEV GDPG PCG INF
Obs. 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224
Mean 5.554 14.013 19.054 18.862 11.019 13.162 83.54 0.788 6.485 26.345 91.629 6.809 23.22 5.714
Std. Dev. 3.943 3.972 7.464 9.101 10.738 2.098 9.399 0.391 1.727 0.592 8.564 1.04 0.574 0.354
Min 0 6 0 0 0 5.56 8.11 -0.362 0.48 24.314 8.813 5.24 22.07 5.21
Max 33.07 21 53 70 42.857 21.19 109.96 2.082 23.286 29.15 97.459 8.15 24.02 6.41

Table: IV Univariate Correlation Analysis


Variables NPL BSIZE BMEET BIND BGDIV CAR LDR ROA ATO SIZE LEV GDPG PCG INF

NPL 1.000

BSIZE -0.247*** 1.000

BMEET 0.156** -0.055 1.000

BIND -0.036 -0.435*** 0.056 1.000

BGDIV -0.141** -0.125* -0.044 0.238*** 1.000

CAR -0.455*** 0.227*** -0.105 0.050 0.153** 1.000

LDR -0.188*** 0.002 -0.093 -0.096 -0.013 -0.067 1.000

ROA -0.442*** 0.028 -0.032 -0.041 0.008 0.355*** 0.079 1.000

ATO -0.154** 0.052 -0.085 -0.170** 0.044 -0.087 0.219*** 0.221*** 1.000

SIZE 0.222*** -0.129* 0.134** 0.441*** 0.072 -0.096 -0.037 -0.513*** -0.398*** 1.000

LEV 0.103 -0.004 0.031 -0.133** -0.044 -0.215*** 0.061 -0.086 0.198*** -0.110* 1.000

GDPG 0.076 -0.021 0.077 -0.054 -0.023 -0.113* 0.100 0.098 0.228*** -0.182*** 0.126* 1.000

PCG 0.030 -0.029 -0.094 0.046 0.055 0.216*** 0.036 -0.265*** -0.315*** 0.405*** 0.007 -0.347*** 1.000

INF -0.062 0.022 0.003 -0.023 -0.033 -0.097 -0.113* 0.167** 0.239*** -0.259*** -0.069 -0.109* -0.677*** 1.000

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

Table: V Variance inflation factor


VIF 1/VIF
PCG 3.358 .298
INF 2.559 .391
SIZE 2.311 .433
BIND 1.801 .555
ROA 1.74 .575
CAR 1.587 .63
GDPG 1.58 .633

16 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
ATO 1.414 .707
BSIZE 1.409 .71
LEV 1.143 .875
LDR 1.122 .892
BGDIV 1.107 .903
BMEET 1.082 .924
Mean VIF 1.709 .

4.5 Regression results:


Table VI presents the findings of the panel data regression analysis using the RE (Random-Effect) estimator for all
the models. Furthermore, we have used robust standard errors within our models to weed out the problem of
heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation that may bias our output. We have categorised our variables under three
umbrellas which are Corporate Governance Variables, Bank Specific Variables and Marco-economic Variables.
We have used decomposed measures of corporate governance, which are specific attributes of corporate
governance variables. We have found that only with the presence of corporate governance variables only BSIZE
is significantly associated with the NPL ratio in the model (1). We find that larger boards can reduce the possibility
of non-performing loans due to the increased number of presences of expertise and skills on the board, which
is consistent with the findings of Lipton and Lorsch (1992). However, other measures of corporate governance
are not found to be significant, but their directions may be interpreted carefully. For brevity, we move further
to explain the other models. Bank-specific attributes show significant relationships in most of the cases with the
NPL ratio in the model (2). We have found that CAR, ROA and ATO can significantly reduce the possibility of
non-performing loans at a 1 per cent level of significance. Finally, in the model (3), we have run all the variables
from model (1) and model (2) along with macro-economic determinants as a control to grasp the whole scenario
at a time. We have found that all previous findings remain significant with the same level of significance. Most
importantly, macroeconomic determinants are all found to be significantly and negatively affecting the NPL ratio.
For example, GDPG, which measures the GDP growth rate, is negatively correlated at a 1 per cent level of
significance, indicating that economic growth can significantly alleviate the possibility of non-performing loans.
In summary, we can evidence that larger boards, proper measures of capital adequacy ratio, higher return on
assets, efficient turnover of assets and progressive macro-economic conditions can reduce the issue of the non-
performing loan in Bangladesh.
Table: VI Regression Results (RE)

(1) (2) (3)


NPL NPL NPL
Corporate Governance Variables
BSIZE -.305* -.25*
(.171) (.14)
BMEET .057 .068
(.061) (.057)
BIND -.043 -.047
(.052) (.043)
BGDIV -.004 -.002
(.022) (.02)
Bank Specific Attributes
CAR -.493*** -.411***
(.173) (.151)

17 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
LDR -.04 -.044
(.037) (.035)
ROA -2.936*** -3.079***
(.815) (.789)
ATO -.137*** -.132***
(.053) (.051)
SIZE -.892 -.847
(1.083) (.912)
LEV .011 .012
(.019) (.015)
Macro-economic Variables
GDPG -.579**
(.284)
PCG -2.695**
(1.08)
INF -5.889***
(1.789)
CONSTANT 8.987** 40.358 142.553***
(3.58) (32.628) (40.906)
Observations 224 224 224
R2 .13 .43 .46
Hausman specification
test
Chi2-Statistic 2.43 13.38 12.59
Chi2>P-value .99 .34 .70
Robust standard errors are in parentheses
*** p<.01, ** p<.05, * p<.1

4.6 Robustness analysis:
Following previous studies, we have applied GEE (Generalized Estimating Equations) method, which is superior
to RE (Liang and Zeger, 1986). Table VII displays the output of GEE regression which is in quite a harmony with
our previous findings in table VI indicating that our findings can be conferred with strong validity.
Table: VII Robustness analysis
(1) (2) (3)
NPL NPL NPL
Corporate Governance variables
BSIZE -.305* -.25*
(.166) (.134)
BMEET .057 .068
(.06) (.055)
BIND -.044 -.048
(.051) (.041)
BGDIV -.005 -.003
(.021) (.019)
Bank Specific Attributes

18 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
CAR -.49*** -.412***
(.168) (.146)
LDR -.039 -.045
(.035) (.033)
ROA -2.937*** -3.078***
(.791) (.758)
ATO -.135*** -.132***
(.051) (.049)
SIZE -.938 -.795
(1.074) (.866)
LEV .01 .013
(.018) (.014)
Macro-economic Variables
GDPG -.577**
(.275)
PCG -2.707***
(1.044)
INF -5.877***
(1.723)
CONSTANT 8.999*** 41.474 141.458***
(3.478) (32.333) (39.041)
Year Dummies? YES YES YES
Observations 224 224 224
Robust standard errors are in parentheses
*** p<.01, ** p<.05, * p<.1

5.0 Conclusion:
The global financial crisis, pandemic outbreak and war in recent times raised critical turmoil in the financial
ecosystem. Financial institutions are the largest capital provider in Bangladesh. The development of the capital
market depends largely on the growth of the banking industry. Contemporary scandals in the banking industry
regarding money laundering, bad loans and fund embezzlement have been long ignored. This study attempted to
assess the financial reality of the banks in terms of their capacity to manage their funds. Non-performing loans
weaken individual banks in the short run, but the long-run aftermath of such aggregated industry worsening
conditions might lead to recession. Government officials are already being instructed by the prime minister’s
office to tackle any possible financial recession in the year 2023 (Roy, 2022). Drawing reference to the previous
literature, we have tried to assess the overall health of the country’s banking system to provide for measures that
may reduce the NPL, which will, in turn, reduce the chance of any possible turmoil in the economy for the better.
Our findings suggest that larger boards are effective in reducing the chance of NPL. In addition, a higher capital
adequacy ratio can also significantly reduce the possibility of any further rise in NPL. Return on assets ratio,
asset turnover ratio, GDP growth rate, private sector credit growth and Inflation all are negatively correlated
with NPL with significance. We conclude that the more credit is infused into the economy, the more stable the
development of the listed bank’s revenue will be in the coming days. We also have reasons to believe that our
study is solely based on secondary data, which may be further clarified through the use of real-time primary data
based on the opinion of economists, policymakers and academicians. Future research should focus on the critical
areas of corporate governance that can be based on other metrics of internal monitoring.

19 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
References: Monetary Fund.

1. Adegboye, A., Ojeka, S., & Adegboye, K. (2020). Corporate 17. Dimitrios, A., Helen, L., & Mike, T. (2016). Determinants of non-
governance structure, Bank externalities and sensitivity of non- performing loans: Evidence from Euro-area countries. Finance
performing loans in Nigeria. Cogent Economics & Finance, 8(1), research letters, 18, 116-119.
1816611. 18. Fairfield, P. M., & Yohn, T. L. (2001). Using asset turnover and profit
2. Ahmed, S., Majeed, M. E., Thalassinos, E., & Thalassinos, Y. (2021). margin to forecast changes in profitability. Review of accounting
The impact of bank specific and macro-economic factors on non- Studies, 6(4), 371-385.
performing loans in the banking sector: evidence from an emerging 19. Farhan, M., Sattar, A., Chaudhry, A. H., & Khalil, F. (2012). Economic
economy. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(5), 217. determinants of non-performing loans: Perception of Pakistani
3. Aiyar, S., Calomiris, C. W., & Wieladek, T. (2015). Bank bankers. European journal of business and management, 4(19),
capital regulation: Theory, empirics, and policy. IMF Economic 87-99.
Review, 63(4), 955-983. 20. Feijó, C. A. (2011). Credit risk and macroeconomic interactions:
4. Akter, A., Hossain, M. K., Alam, M. J., & Islam, M. (2021). Do Empirical evidence from the Brazilian banking system. Modern
the attributes of audit committee explain non-performing loans? Economy, 2(05), 910.
Evidence from an emerging economy. Asia-Pacific Management 21. Ghosh, A. (2015). Banking-industry specific and regional
Accounting Journal (APMAJ), 16(3), 327-357. economic determinants of non-performing loans: Evidence from
5. Amin, A. S., Imam, M. O., & Malik, M. (2019). Regulations, US states. Journal of financial stability, 20, 93-104.
governance, and resolution of non-performing loan: Evidence 22. Ghosh, S. (2005). Does leverage influence banks’ non-performing
from an emerging economy. Emerging Markets Finance and loans? Evidence from India. Applied economics letters, 12(15),
Trade, 55(10), 2275-2297. 913-918.
6. Amin, M. I., Ahsan, A., Al Muktadir, M., Azad, M., & Rezanur, 23. Godlewski, C. J. (2005). Bank capital and credit risk taking in
R. H. B. (2021). Macroeconomic and Firm-specific Factors emerging market economies. Journal of banking Regulation, 6(2),
Influencing Non-Performing Loans in Bangladesh: A Panel Data 128-145.
Regression Approach. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics
24. Hoechle, D. (2007). Robust standard errors for panel regressions
and Business, 8(12), 95-105.
with cross-sectional dependence. The Stata Journal, 7 (3), 281-
7. Anjom, W., & Karim, A. M. (2016). Relationship between non- 312.
performing loans and macroeconomic factors with bank specific
25. Hoggarth, G., Sorensen, S., & Zicchino, L. (2005). Stress tests of
factors: a case study on loan portfolios–SAARC countries
UK banks using a VAR approach.
perspective. ELK Asia Pacific Journal of Finance and Risk
Management, 7(2), 1-29. 26. Hosen, M., Broni, M. Y., & Uddin, M. N. (2020). What bank specific
and macroeconomic elements influence non-performing loans in
8. Ari, A., Chen, S., & Ratnovski, L. (2021). The dynamics of non-
Bangladesh? Evidence from conventional and Islamic banks. Green
performing loans during banking crises: A new database with
Finance, 2(2), 212-226.
post-COVID-19 implications. Journal of Banking & Finance, 133,
106140. 27. HU, J. L., Li, Y., & CHIU, Y. H. (2004). Ownership and non-
performing loans: Evidence from Taiwan’s banks. The Developing
9. Balagobei, S. (2019). Corporate Governance and Non–Performing
Economies, 42(3), 405-420.
Loans: Evidence From Listed Banks in Sri Lanka. International
Journal of Accounting & Business Finance, 5(1), 72-85. 28. Irawati, N., Maksum, A., Sadalia, I., & Muda, I. (2019). Financial
performance of Indonesian’s banking industry: The role of good
10. Beck, R., Jakubik, P., & Piloiu, A. (2015). Key determinants of
corporate governance, capital adequacy ratio, non-performing
non-performing loans: new evidence from a global sample. Open
loan and size. International Journal of Scientific and Technology
Economies Review, 26(3), 525-550.
Research, 8(4), 22-26.
11. Berger, A. N., & DeYoung, R. (1997). Problem loans and cost
29. Ivanović, M. (2016). Determinants of credit growth: The case of
efficiency in commercial banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 21(6),
Montenegro. Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, 5(2),
849-870.
101-118.
12. Biekpe, N. (2011). The competitiveness of commercial banks in
30. Jameel, K. (2014). Crucial factors of non-performing loans
Ghana. African development review, 23(1), 75-87.
evidence from Pakistani banking sector. International Journal of
13. Boudriga, A., Taktak, N. B., & Jellouli, S. (2010). Bank specific, Scientific & Engineering Research, 5(7).
business and institutional environment determinants of banks non-
31. Kauko, K. (2012). External deficits and non-performing loans in
performing loans: evidence from mena countries. In Economic
the recent financial crisis. Economics Letters, 115(2), 196-199.
research forum, working paper (Vol. 547, pp. 1-28).
32. Khan, M. A., Siddique, A., & Sarwar, Z. (2020). Determinants
14. Chowdhury, L. A. M., Rana, T., & Azim, M. I. (2019). Intellectual
of non-performing loans in the banking sector in developing
capital efficiency and organisational performance: In the context of
state. Asian Journal of Accounting Research.
the pharmaceutical industry in Bangladesh. Journal of Intellectual
Capital. 33. Khatun, A., & Ghosh, R. (2019). Corporate governance practices
and non-performing loans of banking sector of Bangladesh:
15. Dagher, J., Dell’Ariccia, M. G., Laeven, M. L., Ratnovski, M. L., &
a panel data analysis. International Journal of Accounting and
Tong, M. H. (2016). Benefits and costs of bank capital. International
Financial Reporting, 9(2), 12-28.
Monetary Fund.
34. Kim Quoc Trung, N. (2022). Does leverage fit non-performing
16. Dell’Ariccia, G., LAEVEN, L., RATNOVSKI, L., & TONG, H.
loans in the COVID-19 pandemic–evidence from the Vietnamese
(2015). Benefits and costs of bank capital. mimeo, International

20 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023
banking system. Cogent Business & Management, 9(1), 2119675. performing loans: Case of US banking sector. The Romanian
35. Klein, N. (2013). Non-performing loans in CESEE: Determinants Economic Journal, 44(6), 125-136.
and impact on macroeconomic performance. International 53. Salas, V., & Saurina, J. (2002). Credit risk in two institutional
Monetary Fund. regimes: Spanish commercial and savings banks. Journal of
36. Koju, L., Koju, R., & Wang, S. (2018). Macroeconomic and bank- Financial Services Research, 22(3), 203-224.
specific determinants of non-performing loans: Evidence from 54. Serrano, A. S. (2021). The impact of non-performing loans
Nepalese banking system. Journal of Central Banking Theory and on bank lending in Europe: An empirical analysis. The North
Practice, 7(3), 111-138. American Journal of Economics and Finance, 55, 101312.
37. Kumar, V., & Kishore, P. (2019). Macroeconomic and bank specific 55. Škarica, B. (2014). Determinants of non-performing loans in
determinants of non-performing loans in UAE conventional Central and Eastern European countries. Financial theory and
bank. Journal of Banking and Finance Management, 2(1), 1-12. practice, 38(1), 37-59.
38. Lee, J. M., Chen, K. H., Chang, I. C., & Chen, C. C. (2022). 56. Soedarmono, W., Machrouh, F., & Tarazi, A. (2011). Bank market
Determinants of non‐performing loans, firm’s corporate power, economic growth and financial stability: Evidence from
governance and macroeconomic factors. International Journal of Asian banks. Journal of Asian Economics, 22(6), 460-470.
Finance & Economics, 27(1), 88-98. 57. Tanasković, S., & Jandrić, M. (2015). Macroeconomic and
39. Liang, K. Y., & Zeger, S. L. (1986). Longitudinal data analysis using institutional determinants of non-performing loans. Journal of
generalised linear models. Biometrika, 73(1), 13-22. Central Banking Theory and Practice, 4(1), 47-62.
40. Lipton, M., & Lorsch, J. W. (1992). A modest proposal for 58. Tarchouna, A., Jarraya, B., & Bouri, A. (2017). How to explain
improved corporate governance. The business lawyer, 59-77. non-performing loans by many corporate governance variables
41. Louzis, D. P., Vouldis, A. T., & Metaxas, V. L. (2012). Macroeconomic simultaneously? A corporate governance index is built to US
and bank-specific determinants of non-performing loans in Greece: commercial banks. Research in International Business and
A comparative study of mortgage, business and consumer loan Finance, 42, 645-657.
portfolios. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(4), 1012-1027. 59. Tarchouna, A., Jarraya, B., & Bouri, A. (2022). Do board
42. Makri, V., Tsagkanos, A., & Bellas, A. (2014). Determinants of non- characteristics and ownership structure matter for bank non-
performing loans: The case of Eurozone. Panoeconomicus, 61(2), performing loans? Empirical evidence from US commercial
193-206. banks. Journal of Management and Governance, 26(2), 479-518.

43. Manz, F. (2019). Determinants of non-performing loans: What 60. Tölö, E., & Virén, M. (2021). How much do non-performing loans
do we know? A systematic review and avenues for future hinder loan growth in Europe?. European Economic Review, 136,
research. Management review quarterly, 69(4), 351-389. 103773.

44. Mazreku, I., Morina, F., Misiri, V., Spiteri, J. V., & Grima, S. (2018). 61. Towhid, A. S. M., Havidz, S. A. H., & Alnawah, M. A. Q. A.
Determinants of the level of non-performing loans in commercial (2019). Bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants of non-
banks of transition countries. performing loans of commercial banks in Bangladesh. Dinasti
International Journal of Management Science, 1(1), 86-101.
45. Meeker, L. G., & Gray, L. (1987). A note on non-performing loans
as an indicator of asset quality. Journal of banking & finance, 11(1), 62. Umar, M., & Sun, G. (2018). Determinants of non-performing
161-168. loans in Chinese banks. Journal of Asia Business Studies.

46. Messai, A. S., & Jouini, F. (2013). Micro and macro determinants 63. Van, D. D. (2019). Money supply and inflation impact on economic
of non-performing loans. International journal of economics and growth. Journal of Financial Economic Policy.
financial issues, 3(4), 852-860. 64. Vinh, N. T. H. (2017). The impact of non-performing loans on bank
47. Partovi, E., & Matousek, R. (2019). Bank efficiency and non- profitability and lending behavior: Evidence from Vietnam. Journal
performing loans: Evidence from Turkey. Research in international of Economic Development, (JED, Vol. 24 (3)), 27-44.
Business and Finance, 48, 287-309. 65. Vogiazas, S. D., & Nikolaidou, E. (2011). Investigating the
48. Rachman, R. A., Kadarusman, Y. B., Anggriono, K., & Setiadi, R. determinants of non-performing loans in the Romanian banking
(2018). Bank-specific factors affecting non-performing loans in system: An empirical study with reference to the Greek
developing countries: Case study of Indonesia. The Journal of crisis. Economics Research International, 2011.
Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 5(2), 35-42. 66. Vouldis, A. T., & Louzis, D. P. (2018). Leading indicators of non-
49. Rajha, K. S. (2016). Determinants of non-performing loans: performing loans in Greece: the information content of macro-,
Evidence from the Jordanian banking sector. Journal of micro-and bank-specific variables. Empirical Economics, 54(3),
Finance, 4(1), 125-136. 1187-1214.

50. Roy, N. (2022, October 14). Recession in 2023: Measures Must 67. Williams, J. (2004). Determining management behaviour in
Be Taken Now. The Daily Sun. Retrieved November 5, 2022, European banking. Journal of Banking & Finance, 28(10), 2427-
from https://www.daily-sun.com/printversion/details/650103/ 2460.
Recession-in-2023:-Measures-Must-Be-Taken-Now 68. Zeng, S. (2012). Bank non-performing loans (NPLS): A dynamic
51. Roy, S., Dey, P. K., & Bhowmik, P. (2014). Non-performing loans model and analysis in China.
in private commercial banks of Bangladesh: Macro-economic Notes:
determinants and impacts. The Jahangirnagar Journal of Business 1. Bangladesh Bank Website. Banks & FIs.
Studies, 4(1).
https://www.bb.org.bd/en/index.php/financialactivity/bankfi
52. Saba, I., Kouser, R., & Azeem, M. (2012). Determinants of non

21 THE COST AND MANAGEMENT


ISSN 1817-5090, VOLUME-51, NUMBER-01, JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2023

You might also like