Professional Documents
Culture Documents
By
John W. Bagby & Kimberly A. Houser2
1
Abstract:
Artificial Intelligence (AI) innovation is most strongly impacted by AI Critical
Infrastructures. These are the conditions, capacities, assets and inputs that create
an environment conducive to the advancement of the AI technologies. Close
inspection of AI’s generalized architecture reveals a supply chain that implies
six AI critical infrastructures. There are at least seven necessary steps or
processes contained in a generalized AI architecture. These steps are: (1)
occurrences, events, facts or conditions transpire enabling the creation of
potentially useful data, (2) these data are logged through capture and
(increasingly computer and telecommunications enabled) initial storage, (3)
such data are aggregated, often by numerous data repositories or AI operators,
(4) human intelligence performs iterative analysis as derived from deployment
of algorithms, (5) initial machine learning occurs, (6) near constant feedback
loops are deployed by many AI applications that adapt the underlying model as
new data is incorporated, and (7) based on insights resulting from AI, decision-
making occurs, both automatically by computer or by human intervention,.
Successful Machine Learning requires ample supply of the six broad AI critical
infrastructures: (i) strategic insight/vision largely expressed as regional and/or
national Industrial Policy, which is paramount in impacting all four other AI
critical infrastructures, (ii) human intellect is needed to foster a deep-bench,
from a competent AI Workforce, (iii) R&D Investment in AI, (iv) AI Hardware,
both Computing Power and Connectivity (ICT), (v) bountiful and ever growing
supply of Accessible Data, and (vi) market receptivity as sustainable demand for
AI knowledge to monetize successful AI innovation. This article provides an
initial foundation for a comparative of the three world economies (regions)
seemingly best positioned to make substantial AI advancements. Predictably,
significant differences among the political and cultural drivers in these three
regions are likely to impact needed commitment to AI critical infrastructures:
China (Asia) vs. the United States (North America) vs. European Union (EU).
The harsh reality of AI innovation is that delays in commitment and deployment
of AI critical infrastructures will relegate the losing region(s) to become, at best,
a chronic AI customer rather than a major successful AI supplier.
Introduction
AI Critical Infrastructures are all those necessary conditions to any
national or multi-national/regional economy to produce AI innovation
1
Professor Emeritus, Colleges of Information Sciences & Technology and Smeal College
of Business, the Pennsylvania State University.
2
Clinical Assistant Professor, University of North Texas, and Visiting Scholar, Indiana
University Bloomington, Ostrom Workshop.
3
AI is a general term and machine learning is one of the more successful components of
AI. Machine learning uses algorithms, finite programmable steps, that build dynamic
models, initially based on sample a/k/a “training data.” Machines can continuously learn as
new, more complete data guides the revision of the model. Machine learning is an
important AI tool to predict outcomes or provide decision support in many fields of use or
domains, see e.g., Tom Mitchell, MACHINE LEARNING (1997 McGraw Hill). AI also
includes techniques such as expert systems, fuzzy logic, neural networks, robotics and
natural language processing. However, there are numerous AI typologies or ontologies, the
differentiation of which is well beyond the scope of this work.
The Gartner Hype Cycle is one proprietary model visually standardizing the
repetitive, near-identical stages in the widespread expectations about various technologies’
development through: (i) technological breakthrough that initially triggers public interest,
(ii) a quick, steep rise in optimism to a peak of inflated expectations, (iii) a plummeting
disappointment that successful prospects fail to materialize quickly enough, plunging into
the trough of disillusionment, (iv) a recovery towards a more gently, rising-slope of
enlightenment as the technology achieves some sustainable, yet limited success, and (v)
settling on a plateau of productivity as the technology attains some mainstream viability.
See generally, Dedehayir, Ozgur & Martin Steinert, The hype cycle model: A review and
future directions, 108 TECH.FORECAST.& SOC.CHANGE 28-41 (July 2016) accessible at:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.04.005 (subscription required) (analyzing hype
cycle models of innovation maturity useful in describing history, current conditions, and
forecasting that informs strategic planning).
9
See generally, McCorduck, Pamela, MACHINES WHO THINK, 2nd ed., (2004, A. K. Peters,
Ltd.). There may be 7 identifiable phases of AI history: the birth of AI (1952-1956), AI’s
Golden Years (1956-1974), AI’s first winter (1974-1980), the 1980s AI boom (1980-1987),
the second AI winter (bust) (1987-1993), (1993-2011) and the present (2011-present). See
also, Buchanan, Bruce G., A (Very) Brief History of Artificial Intelligence. 26 A.I. MAG. 53
(Winter 2005). accessible at: https://doi.org/10.1609/aimag.v26i4.1848
Data Formation
In the data creation stage, an AI system, or its commercial data
suppliers, engage in observation of some activity or phenomena. Much data
used in contemporary AI systems has been low hanging fruit, it already
exists and can be easily captured, purchased or bartered.17 To go beyond the
obvious, future AI entrepreneurs must first recognize that some phenomena
or activity is or could occur and that it could become potential data. Then, a
14
While it may seem counter-intuitive that regulating AI might constitute a Critical
Infrastructure, nevertheless, regulation often becomes an acceptable compromise in some
industries such as when regulation is an exaction the regulated industry needs to tolerate in
order to achieve market access through regulatory enablement. For example, broadcast and
telecommunications firms, perhaps begrudgingly, accept restrictive licensing in exchange
for access to the wireless spectrum. See e.g., Harvey J. Levin, THE INVISIBLE RESOURCE:
USE AND REGULATION OF THE RADIO SPECTRUM (Routledge, 2013). Under this interpretation
of telecommunication licensing, the airwaves are a form of commons that cannot be
adequately or optimally managed by unregulated competition.
15
See id.
16
See generally, Bagby, John W., ECOMMERCE LAW: ISSUES FOR BUSINESS , Ch.13 Privacy,
at 570-573 (West 2003) (modeling distribution chain custody and data management
sequence of personally identifiable information).
17
See e.g., Patrick Laube, The Low Hanging Fruit is Gone: Achievements and Challenges
of Computational Movement Analysis, 7 SIGSPATIAL 3-10 (2015).
18
M. Lynne Markus & Heikki Topi, Big Data, Big Decisions for Science, Society, and
Business. NAT.SCI.FOUND. (2015) accessible at:
http://www.marktplatzcloud.ch/fileadmin/Dateien/PDF/Themenkategorien/bigdata/BigData
_Big_Decisions.pdf
19
See e.g., Peter Grabosky, Russell G. Smith & Gillian Dempsey, ELECTRONIC THEFT:
UNLAWFUL ACQUISITION IN CYBERSPACE, (Cambridge Univ.Press, 2001) and Sybil Sharpe,
NATIONAL SECURITY, PERSONAL PRIVACY AND THE LAW: SURVEYING ELECTRONIC
SURVEILLANCE AND DATA ACQUISITION , (Routledge, 2019) (arguing for balancing societal
needs with individual privacy rights in outlawing surveillance and disclosure).
20
Some major contracting methods include: (1) end user license agreements (EULAs), (2)
wholesale access grants to existing data feeds from government or private sources (e.g.,
financial transactions, camera arrays, archival data), and (3) licensing of proprietary
databases.
Data Aggregation
Step three in contemporary AI deployment is data aggregation. This
involves organization and threshold analysis of captured data to enable
analysis through pragmatic initial “triage,” then deeper evaluation. It
requires systematic handling, at one time known as data warehousing.25
Initial, impromptu analysis in real time is often conducted to facilitate its
later and deeper analysis, the latter is known as data mining.26 Data
aggregators manage databases by combining partial bits of data from single
21
While beyond the scope of this discussion, the standardization and conversion to
standardized format, the interoperability problem, presents a major challenge in big data
acquisition because of the errors introduced when used as feedstock to AI, see e.g., Moritz
Lehne, Julian Sass, Andrea Essenwanger, Josef Schepers & Sylvia Thun, Why Digital
Medicine Depends on Interoperability, 2 NPJ Dig.Med. 1-5 (2019) accessible at:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41746-019-0158-1 (arguing interoperability depends on
collaboration among healthcare professionals, researchers, IT experts, data engineers and
public policy influencers).
22
Bagby, John W. Outlook: Who Owns the Data? RESEARCH PENN STATE (January 2003)
accessible at: https://news.psu.edu/story/140724/2003/01/01/research/who-owns-data
23
Despite this right to learn, some nations impose privacy-rights driven limitations on
archiving, passing data onward and some uses of that data or the knowledge developed
therefrom.
24
U.S.CONST. amend I accessible at:
https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/amendment-1/
25
At one time, aggregation was termed data warehousing, see e.g., Barbara H. Wixom &
Hugh J. Watson, An Empirical Investigation of the Factors Affecting Data Warehousing
Success 25 MIS QUART. 17-41 (2001): accessible at: https://www.jstor.org/stable/3250957
26
Data mining involves initial sense-making of structures in warehoused data using pattern
analysis, statistical analysis, correlations, trends and anomolies, see generally, H. Michael
Chung & Paul Gray, Data Mining,16 J.MGT.INFO.SYS . 11-16 (1999).
AI Enabled Decision-Making
The AI supply chain generally suggests there will be production of
results in the form of advisories to human decision-makers. Alternatively,
AI results can enable automated systems that make deterministic,
mechanical (smart) contracts.28 Early AI efforts seemingly were based
largely on intellectual curiosity. However, as AI is maturing, AI will be
expected to produce useful knowledge. Ostensibly, successful AI results in
data with value realized as knowledge when either utilized in-house or as a
deliverable product as advisories to third party clients. Data thus collected
and information thereby produced can be for direct use by the aggregator’s
data manager or for secondary use when sold or licensed to clients, such as
when “shared” with “partner” firms or when bartered in exchange for other
information.
27
Lubars, Brian & Chenhao Tan, Ask Not What AI Can Do, But What AI Should Do:
Towards a Framework of Task Delegability, ARXIV:1902.03245 (2019) accessibile at:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1902.03245 but see, Howard, Philip N., Trusted Innovation–Junk
Science, Fake News, and Public Understanding of Artificial Intelligence and Climate
Change, (arguing junk science besmirches AI) accessible at: https://blogs.oii.ox.ac.uk/wp-
content/uploads/sites/89/2015/01/Trusted-Innovation-Project-Executive-Summary.pdf.
28
Of course, some AI enabled systems are also expected to refuse to make contracts such
as the denial of underwriting loans or insurance coverage based on AI decision-making,
see e.g., Aaron Klein, Credit Denial in the Age of AI, BROOKINGS RPT. (April 11, 2019)
accessible at: https://www.brookings.edu/research/credit-denial-in-the-age-of-ai/
SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3795633
34
See generally, Bagby, John W. & Gary L. Gittings. The Elusive Discretionary Function
Exception From Government Tort Liability: The Narrowing Scope of Federal Liability, 30
AM.BUS.L.J. 223-269 (1992) (discussing how design and control over operations constitute
traditional private-sector activities but expands to include proprietary functions conducted
by government-related entities).
35
NATIONAL STRATEGY FOR HOMELAND SECURITY 2002, Office for Homeland Security (July
2002) at 33 accessible at: https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/publications/nat-strat-hls-
2002.pdf but see, Bruce Schneier, Is 85% of US Critical Infrastructure in Private Hands?
SCHNEIER ON SECURITY accessible at: https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2021/05/is-
85-of-us-critical-infrastructure-in-private-hands.html (arguing the 85% claim of private
sector ownership of the U.S. Critical Infrastructure is poorly documented, but the
proportion nevertheless remains substantial).
36
See e.g., Laurie A. Harris, Artificial Intelligence: Background, Selected Issues, and
Policy Considerations, CONG.RES.SERV. No. R46795 (May 19, 2021) accessible at:
https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46795
37
See generally, Jean Brown, Difference Between Basic Research and Applied Research,
(Dec 11, 2018) accessible at: http://www.differencebetween.net/science/difference-
between-basic-research-and-applied-research See also, Corbin, Juliet and Strauss, Anselm,
BASICS OF QUALITATIVE RESEARCH (Sage, 2015); Gliner, Jeffrey , Morgan, George & Leech,
Nancy, RESEARCH METHODS IN APPLIED SETTINGS (Routledge, 2016) and Turabian, Kate, A
MANUAL FOR WRITERS OF RESEARCH PAPERS, THESES, AND DISSERTATIONS (Univ.Chic.Press,
2013).
38
Virginia Hughes, The Science of Big Science, NATI’L.GEO. Sep 4, 2013 accessible at:
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/the-science-of-big-science
39
Funding for (mostly) basic research conducted at research universities migrated from
general funding sourced largely from tuition and historically more generous state budget
allotments to externally-sourced competitive funding from outside sources (e.g.,
government agencies, private foundations, big pharmaceutical firms). This tilts basic
research into sponsored research because state-support for higher education continues to
suffer declines since the 1990s, see generally, Tandberg, David A., Politics, Interest
Groups And State Funding of Public Higher Education, 51 RES.HIGHER ED. 416-450
(2010) accessible at: https://www.academia.edu/download/30593623/RHE_2010_Final.pdf
and Issue Brief, Two Decades of Change in Federal and State Higher Education Funding,
PEW TRUST (Oct.2019) accessible at:
https://www.pewtrusts.org/-/media/assets/2019/10/fedstatefundinghigheredu_chartbook_v1
.pdf
40
See generally, INNOVATION POLICY-A GUIDE FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES , (World Bank,
2010) accessible at:
https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/967391468336085017/pdf/548930PUB0v20I
00Box379796B00PUBLIC0.pdf
41
Cimoli, Mario; Dosi, Giovanni; Stiglitz, Joseph E., eds.. INDUSTRIAL POLICY AND
DEVELOPMENT: THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF CAPABILITIES ACCUMULATION (Oxford
Univ.Press 2009).
42
International tax compacts, sometimes in the form of international trade restrictions, may
also serve as industrial policy tools. See e.g., 130 Countries and Jurisdictions Join Bold
New Framework for International Tax Reform, Organisation for Economic Co-operation
and Development (July 1, 2021) accessible at: https://www.oecd.org/newsroom/130-
countries-and-jurisdictions-join-bold-new-framework-for-international-tax-reform.htm
43
The U.S.’s “Farm Bill,” enacted every five years, reconfirms agricultural support policies
authorizes direct payments to farmers for particular crops, such as when market prices fall
and sometimes pay farmers not to plant under the theory that over-production is
unsustainable by exhausting fertility, compare, Frandsen, Søren E., Birgitte Gersfelt &
Hans G. Jensen., The Impacts Of Redesigning European Agricultural Support in
COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACHES IN URBAN AND REGIONAL POLICY
STUDIES, pp. 231-267 (20060 with Gale, H. Frederick, Growth and Evolution in China's
Agricultural Support Policies, USDA-ERS ECONOMIC RESEARCH REPORT at 153 (2013)
accessible at: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/155385/files/err153.pdf and Winters, L.
Alan, The Economic Consequences of Agricultural Support: A Survey, 9 OECD
ECON.STUD. 7-54 (1987) accessible at: https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?
doi=10.1.1.412.1477&rep=rep1&type=pdf
Planned economies can use some or all of the above policies but
often have included additional tools, including inter alia, enforced
production goals for most industries, rationed luxury goods, imposition of
price controls, and a proliferation of state-controlled monopolies.
Nationalistic protective policies45 have occurred under both industrial policy
models. They generally defend domestic industries in decline; sometimes to
preserve national security strategic supply. By contrast, modern industrial
policy generally seeks to develop emergent industries with medium to long-
term growth potential, like AI.46
48
Sui generis database property rights are examples of how IP laws might be directed at
incentivizing and monetizing aspects of the machine learning supply chain, see generally
EU Database Protection, EU Directive on the Legal Protection of Databases, Directive
96/9/EC (March 1996) accessible at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?
uri=CELEX:31996L0009:EN:HTML
49
Adam Thierer & Connor Haaland, The Future of Innovation: Should the U.S. Copy
China’s Industrial Policy? DISCOURSE (Mar.11, 2021) accessible at:
https://www.discoursemagazine.com/economics/2021/03/11/should-the-u-s-copy-chinas-
industrial-policy/
50
See e.g., Coase, Ronald, The Regulated Industries: Discussion, 54 AM.ECON.REV. 1,95
(1964) and McKean, Roland N., The Unseen Hand in Government, 55 AM.ECON.REV. 496-
506 (1965).
51
See e.g., Graham, Otis L., LOSING TIME: THE INDUSTRIAL POLICY DEBATE
(Harv.Univ.Press 1994).
The watershed 2016 strategic plan and two Executive Orders have
triggered efforts at various agencies to promulgate AI industrial policy
frameworks in their strategic plans, reports, and memoranda. For example,
OMB and the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) are
key to coordinating other agencies’ AI industrial policy efforts. NIST
responded to Exec.Order No.13859 as it marshaled broad public and
private-sector input to inspire deep, long-term AI standards development
“to speed the pace of reliable, robust, and trustworthy AI technology
development.”65 OMB, which also coordinates federal agencies,66 declared
develop shared public datasets and environments for AI training and testing, (6) measure
and evaluate AI technologies through standards and benchmarks, and (7) better understand
the national AI R&D workforce needs. A 2019 NSTC update added an 8th strategy to
expand public-private partnerships, see NSTC Select Committee on Artificial Intelligence,
The National Artificial Intelligence R&D Strategic Plan-2019 Update (June 2019)
accessible at: https://www.nitrd.gov/pubs/National-AI-RD-Strategy-2019.pdf.
63
Exec.Order No.13,859 Maintaining American Leadership in Artificial Intelligence,
(Feb.11, 2019) 84 FED.REG.3967, accessible at: https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-
2019-02-14/pdf/2019-02544.pdf
64
Exec.Order No.13,960, Promoting the Use of Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence in the
Federal Government (Dec.3, 2020) 85 FED.REG.78939, accessible at:
https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2020-12-08/pdf/2020-27065.pdf
65
National Institute of Standards and Technology, U.S. Leadership in AI: A Plan for
Federal Engagement in Developing Technical Standards and Related Tools, (Aug.9, 2019)
at 3-6 accessible at:
https://www.nist.gov/system/files/documents/2019/08/10/ai_standards_fedengagement_pla
n_9aug2019.pdf
66
The President has power to require policy conformance and dismiss agency heads
without due cause and for political reasons if the agency is housed in the administration’s
Cabinet, see e.g., Regulatory Planning Process, Exec.Order No.12,498, 50 FED.REG. 1036,
3 CFR (Jan. 4, 1985) accessible at: https://www.archives.gov/federal-
register/codification/executive-order/12498.html However, the President cannot require
policy conformance and must show cause to dismiss incompliant independent agency
heads, Humphrey's Executor v. U. S., 295 U.S. 602 (1935) accessible at:
https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/295/602/ see also, Bagby, John W., Regulatory
Impact Analyses: Towards a Reasonable Economic Impact from Federal Regulations, 19
NEW ENG.L.REV. 533-550 (1984).
67
Office of Management and Budget and Office of Science and Technology Policy,
Memorandum for the Heads of Executive Departments and Agencies: Fiscal Year (FY)
2022 Administration Research and Development Budget Priorities and Cross-cutting
Actions, (Aug.14, 2020) https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/M-20-
29.pdf
68
Russell Vought, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Guidance for
Regulation of Artificial Intelligence Applications, Memorandum for the heads of executive
departments and agencies, (Nov.17, 2020), accessible at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-
content/uploads/2020/11/M-21-06.pdf
69
These include, inter alia, National Science Foundation (NSF), Defense Advanced
Research Projects Agency (DARPA), Department of Energy (DoE), Veterans Affairs
(VA), National Institute for Justice (NIJ), National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), Social Security Administration, Department of Health and
Human Services (HHS), National Aeronautical and Space Administration (NASA),
General Services Administration (GSA) and the Administrative Conference of the United
States (courts).
70
See generally, Laurie A. Harris, Artificial Intelligence: Background, Selected Issues, and
Policy Considerations, CONG.RES.SERV. No. R46795 (May 19, 2021) accessible at:
https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46795 at 23-27.
71
Pub.L.No. 116-283, H.R.6216, 116th Cong. accessible at:
https://www.congress.gov/116/bills/hr6395/BILLS-116hr6395enr.pdf
72
National Artificial Intelligence Initiative Act of 2020 (Div. E, §5001) §5102 of the
NDAA.
Just over a year after the 2020 White Paper, 75 the European
Commission tabled (published as a proposal) an Artificial Intelligence Act
that would standardize an AI definition;76 establish rules for AI
development, marketing and use; and require risk-based evaluation of AI
deployments including a standardized and mandatory risk evaluation
methodology. Certain “harmful” AI practices would be restricted, such as
those involving biometric identification systems, e.g., facial recognition. As
is typical with EU Directives and legislation, jurisdictional matters are well-
detailed ex ante. Sanctions and enforcement powers are also detailed. The
focus in the EU now shifts to its member states for separate national
implementation. The new AI Act conceivably could apply as early as 2024.
Nevertheless, the EU situation remains somewhat unstable as perspectives
from the EU data protection (privacy) regulatory entities already seek
modification to further reinforce privacy protections likely to restrict AI
access to data.77
73
Adam Thierer & Connor Haaland, The Future of Innovation: Can European-Style
Industrial Policies Create Tech Supremacy?, DISCOURSE (Feb.11, 2021) (arguing well-
developed European-style industrial policy will relegate its technology development to
third place) accessible at: https://www.discoursemagazine.com/economics/2021/02/11/can-
european-style-industrial-policies-create-technological-supremacy/
74
European Commission. (February 2020). White paper on artificial intelligence: a
European approach to excellence and trust. OCLC 1141850140 accessible at:
https://www.worldcat.org/oclc/1141850140
75
See generally, Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council
Laying Down Harmonised Rules on Artificial Intelligence (Artificial Intelligence Act) and
Amending Certain Union Legislative Acts, COM/2021/206 final (April 21, 2021)
accessible at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?
uri=CELEX:52021PC0206&from=EN
76
AI defiiinition: “software that is developed with one or more of the techniques and
approaches listed in Annex I and can, for a given set of human-defined objectives, generate
outputs such as content, predictions, recommendations, or decisions influencing
environments they interact with.” Id. At Article 3(1).
77
See, EDPB-EDPS Joint Opinion (May 2021)on the proposal for a Regulation of the
European Parliament and of the Council laying down harmonised rules on artificial
AI Workforce
Humans represent a three-legged AI paradox. First, predicting
human behavior may be the most prevalent current AI objective. Second,
many AI proponents have long promised that AI would replace human
work. However, the third should be juxtaposed against this automation
threat; it is that AI has always relied heavily on human-directed ingenuity to
produce AI research, execute conforming R&D, and make AI deployment
choices in various fields of use/application domains. Of course, this is the
skills-gap problem. AI will flourish despite a shrinking supply of low-
skilled, physical labor.81 Instead, at a foundational level,82 the future AI
workforce must be well-trained in science, technology, engineering and
mathematics (STEM).83 Indeed, some AI proponents argue data scientists
effectiveness is enhanced when domain experts participation in AI projects
is limited.84 But the successful AI workforce must think differently than has
been the traditional content and methods of STEM education. Cultivating
human capital in AI requires curricula that, in addition to conventional
technical proficiencies, also focuses more on critical thinking, humanities
and social sciences. This additional content and should help avoid the
unfortunate but too widely prevalent “silo training” by equipping an AI
81
See e.g., Daron Acemoglu & Pascual Restrepo, Low-Skill and High-Skill Automation, 12
J. HUM.CAP. 204-232 (2018) but see, Nicola Croce & Moh Musa, The New Assembly
Lines: Why AI Needs Low-Skilled Workers Too, WORLD ECON, F. (Aug.12, 2019)
accessible at: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/08/ai-low-skilled-workers/
82
Joe McKendrick, Beyond STEM: Why AI Demands Higher-Level Skills, FORBES (Sept.20,
2018) accessible at: https://www.forbes.com/sites/joemckendrick/2018/09/20/beyond-
stem-why-ai-demands-higher-level-skills/
83
The Future of Jobs Report-2018, Centre for the New Economy and Society, World
Economic Forum (Sept.2018) at 23 accessible at:
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2018.pdf
84
See, Jesper Jeeninga, Improving Communication Between Computer Programmers and
Domain Experts: Creating A Generic Scenario Description Language to Aid the Process of
Describing Scenarios for Emergency Response Training Simulators, Master's thesis,
Univ.Twente, (2011) accessible at:
http://essay.utwente.nl/60139/1/MA_thesis_J_Jeeninga.pdf
85
Shirley Malcom, David A. Bray & Michael Krigsman, AI: Impact on Jobs and Training,
CXO TALK (Aug.10, 2018) accessible at: https://www.cxotalk.com/episode/ai-impact-jobs-
training
86
Mark Muro, Robert Maxim & Jacob Whiton, REPORT-AUTOMATION AND ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE: HOW MACHINES ARE AFFECTING PEOPLE AND PLACES, Brookings Inst. (Jan.24,
2019) accessible at: https://www.brookings.edu/research/automation-and-artificial-
intelligence-how-machines-affect-people-and-places/
87
Diana Gehlhaus & Ilya Rahkovsky, U.S. AI Workforce - Labor Market Dynamics, CSET
ISSUE BRIEF, Center for Security and Emerging Technology, Georgetown Univ. (April
2021) accessible at: https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/CSET-U.S.-AI-
Workforce-Labor-Market-Dynamics.pdf (partitioning the U.S. AI workforce into sub-
classes, predicting considerable barriers to entry for many AI careers, and noting the AI
workforce is geographically concentrated).
88
Id. at 46, Fig.11.
89
Muyi Xiao, Human Resources Both Drive and Limit China’s Push for Automation, NEW
AMERICA (Feb. 3, 2020) accessible at: https://www.newamerica.org/cybersecurity-
initiative/digichina/blog/human-resources-both-drive-and-limit-chinas-push-for-
automation/ (arguing China’s aging population will constrict workforce requiring pressures
to enhance training of high technology talent to become the future AI Workforce).
90
Sue Duke, Understanding AI in Europe: Where the Workforce is Today, and Where it
Needs to Go, LINKEDIN (Nov 18, 2019) accessible at:
https://economicgraph.linkedin.com/blog/understanding-ai-in-europe-where-the-
workforce-is-today-and-where-it-needs-to-go (arguing AI workforce lags the U.S. and is
geographically concentrated).
91
Julia Anderson, Paco Viry & Guntram B. Wolff, Europe Has an Artificial-Intelligence
Skills Shortage, BRUEGEL BLOG (Aug. 27, 2020) accessible at:
https://www.bruegel.org/2020/08/europe-has-an-artificial-intelligence-skills-shortage/
92
See e.g., Kai-Fu Lee, AI SUPERPOWERS: CHINA, SILICON VALLEY, AND THE NEW WORLD
ORDER, (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt 2018) (arguing China dominates in several of the AI
R&D Investment in AI
AI is a complex and thorny set of challenges, perhaps even a set of
wicked problems93 that defies resolution without major investment in human
inspired and directed R&D.94 Early-on, useful AI research largely consumed
basic research investment. AI development now largely relies on iterative
research, by alternatively consuming basic and then applied research. All
R&D research requires considerable funding. Government funded,
academic, think tank and private investment in basic research, in which
success is not primarily dependant on immediate return on investment
(ROI) calculations, continues to currently consume considerable AI
attention. However, AI basic research provides medium-term to long-term
returns and must then be refined for deployment by applied research
investment in the targeted field of use, application domain.95
AI Hardware - ICT
AI runs on high performance computing hardware, collects its data
from an abundance of diverse networked sensors and then stores such data
in dispersed data aggregations.103 While this model might be revised, these
elements in the AI supply chain would require replacement by adequate or
superior substitutes. In the near to medium term, AI is unlikely to advance
without replete cloud data storage, broad data accessibility using ICT
97
Zachary Arnold, What Investment Trends Reveal About the Global AI Landscape,
BOOKINGS INST . (Sept.29, 2020) accessible at: https://www.brookings.edu/techstream/what-
investment-trends-reveal-about-the-global-ai-landscape/ (arguing more aggressive U.S.
industrial policies in R&D, immigration, antitrust, and government contracting directly
impact successful growth or stagnation for U.S.’s AI industry).
98
Jeff Loucks, Susanne Hupfer, David Jarvis & Timothy Murphy Future in the Balance?
How Countries are Pursuing an AI Advantage, DELOITTE INSIGHTS (May 1, 2019)
accessible at:, https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/focus/cognitive-technologies/ai-
investment-by-country.html
99
Ashwin Acharya & Zachary Arnold, Chinese Public AI R&D Spending: Provisional
Findings, CSET ISSUE BRIEF , Center for Security and Emerging Technology, Georgetown
Univ. (Dec.2019) accessible at: https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/Chinese-
Public-AI-RD-Spending-Provisional-Findings-1.pdf
100
Karen Hao, Yes, China Is Probably Outspending the US in AI—But Not on Defense,
MIT TECH.REV. (Dec.5, 2019) accessible at:
https://www.technologyreview.com/2019/12/05/65019/china-us-ai-military-spending/
101
-- Why Europe is Lagging in the AI Race with the US and China? PLANT AUTOMATION
accessible at: https://www.plantautomation-technology.com/articles/why-europe-is-
lagging-in-the-ai-race-with-the-us-and-china
102
Corinne Cath, Sandra Wachter, Brent Mittelstadt, Mariarosaria Taddeo & Luciano
Floridi, Artificial Intelligence and the ‘Good Society’: the US, EU, and UK Approach, 24
SCI.& ENGR.ETHICS 505-528 accessible at: https://philpapers.org/archive/FLOAIA.pdf
(comparing AI studies of AI policies in the U.S. EU and the UK).
103
The National Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Strategic Plan, National
Science and Technology Council, Networking and Information Technology Research and
Development Subcommittee (Oct.2016) accessible at:
https://www.nitrd.gov/pubs/national_ai_rd_strategic_plan.pdf at 21.
110
See e.g., Petit, Nicolas and De Cooman, Jerome, Models of Law and Regulation for AI
(October 1, 2020). Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies Research Paper No.
RSCAS 2020/63, EUI Department of Law Research Paper, Available at SSRN:
https://ssrn.com/abstract=3706771 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3706771
111
Compare Jamie Horsley, China’s Orwellian Social Credit Score Isn’t Real, FOREIGN
POL’Y (2018) accessible at:
https://law.yale.edu/sites/default/files/area/center/china/document/2018-11-
16_horsley_chinas_orwellian_social_credit_system_isnt_real.pdf with John Glynn, The
New Privacy Threat from China's Social Credit Surveillance Systems, 24 SKEPTIC 38-41
(Spring 2019) accessible at: https://www.survivorshandbook.com/wp-
content/articles/china-1984.pdf
112
See e.g., Laura He, China is Cracking Down on Data Privacy. That's Terrible News for
Some of its Biggest Tech Companies, CNN BUS. (July 7, 2021) accessible at:
https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/07/tech/china-didi-data-tech-crackdown-intl-hnk/index.html
113
Government data is often a goldmine although periodically governments should be
expected to purge information viewed as embarrassing, undermining to its current goals or
exposing particular administrations to political retribution or law enforcement scrutiny.
Pressures to eliminate large swaths of these data recur periodically, but may be cloaked as
measures to achieve government efficiency achieved by eliminating “costly” regulatory
programs. For example, The Bush Administration effort at suppressing data ostensibly
because it might inspire intensified regulatory decision-making was led by then Vice-
President Dick Cheney. Several cabinet level agencies were proposed for elimination, most
notably one proposal targeted the Department of Commerce, as a major collector, manager
and disseminator of commercial-sector performance data useful to regulatory effectiveness.
See e.g., Tara McKelvey How Bush Broke the Government, AM.PROSPECT (Dec.11, 2008)
(arguing Bush's legacy is a systematic and politically motivated weakening of several
federal agencies responsibilities for inputs/outputs data) accessible at:
https://prospect.org/features/bush-broke-government/ and Chris Chocola, Eliminate the
Commerce Department, THE HILL (June 27, 2012) https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-
blog/economy-a-budget/235183-eliminate-the-commerce-department
114
Daniel Castro & Michael McLaughlin, Who Is Winning the AI Race: China,the EU, or
the United States? — 2021 Update, CENTER FOR DATA INNOVATION (Jan.2021) accessible
at: https://www2.datainnovation.org/2021-china-eu-us-ai.pdf (comparing the US, China
and the EU as to all AI Critical Infrastructure components).
115
See e.g., Martin S. Feldstein, Supply Side Economics: Old Truths and New Claims,
(1986) accessible at: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w1792/w1792.pdf
116
See e.g., Dora Manoj, Ashwani Kumar, Sachin Kumar Mangla, Abhay Pant &
Muhammad Mustafa Kamal, Critical Success Factors Influencing Artificial Intelligence
Adoption in Food Supply Chains, 59 INT’L.J.PROD.RES .1-20 (Aug.10, 2021) accessible at:
https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2021.1959665
Analysis/Discussion
This article reveals that the three international regions surveyed
provide quite different AI Critical Infrastructure environments. Such
differences are likely to inspire different AI innovations and ultimately
result in different levels and intensities of successful AI deployments. All
three regions - Asia, the EU and North America - are developing AI
industrial policies, but each is demonstrably different. As to relative
regional advantages, a few key observations seem immutable: (1) the U.S.
likely outspends other regions in R&D, (2) China is surpassing the other
regions in AI research citations, (3) Asia is well-known to have a
regional/cultural-specific advantage excelling in STEM education and AI
workforce readiness, (4) the EU will throttle AI deployment consistent with
continental human values as evidenced by the EU’s strong privacy and
human rights responses to perceived AI negative externalities, and (5)
cross-border mobility in research findings, the human AI workforce, cloud
storage resources and R&D capital flows could both equalize some
comparative regional AI advantages but might also exacerbate others.
117
See e.g., Andrew Smith, Using Artificial Intelligence and Algorithms, FTC BUS.BLOG
(April 8, 2020) accessible at: https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/blogs/business-
blog/2020/04/using-artificial-intelligence-algorithms
118
Te Ping Chen & Miriam Jordon, Why So Many Chinese Students Come to the U.S.
WALL ST.J. (May 1, 2016) but see, --, Visa Restrictions on Chinese Sudents Will
Disadvantage US, says Queens College President, THE WORLD (WGBH, July 8, 2020)
accessible at: https://www.pri.org/stories/2020-07-08/visa-restrictions-chinese-students-
will-disadvantage-us-says-queens-college
119
See generally, Bagby, John W. and Mitra, Prasenjit and Purao, Sandeep, Standards
Development, Disruptive Innovation and the Nature of Participation: Lock-In, Lock-Out,
Holdup (August 15, 2006). TPRC 2006, Available at SSRN:
https://ssrn.com/abstract=2115235
120
The authors gratefully acknowledge comments from scholars exposed to earlier drafts,
including, Robert A. Prentice, Sharon Dunn, Rita Marie Cain-Reed and Sean Miller.