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  • Khayle Cedric E

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    Ravelyn Villere
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    The document compares three forecasting methods - naive, moving average, and weighted average - to predict sales figures for July and August. [1] For July, the naive forecast is 50,000, the moving average is 57,400, and the weighted average is 56,050. [2] For August, the naive forecast remains at 78,000, while the moving average is 62,000 and the weighted average is 62,400. [3] March's actual sales number of 67,000 is identified as an outlier compared to other months.

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    Case Study Analysis

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    The document compares three forecasting methods - naive, moving average, and weighted average - to predict sales figures for July and August. [1] For July, the naive forecast is 50,000, the moving average is 57,400, and the weighted average is 56,050. [2] For August, the naive forecast remains at 78,000, while the moving average is 62,000 and the weighted average is 62,400. [3] March's actual sales number of 67,000 is identified as an outlier compared to other months.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    10 views1 page

    Khayle Cedric E

    Uploaded by

    Ravelyn Villere
    The document compares three forecasting methods - naive, moving average, and weighted average - to predict sales figures for July and August. [1] For July, the naive forecast is 50,000, the moving average is 57,400, and the weighted average is 56,050. [2] For August, the naive forecast remains at 78,000, while the moving average is 62,000 and the weighted average is 62,400. [3] March's actual sales number of 67,000 is identified as an outlier compared to other months.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Khayle Cedric E.

    Galicto

    1. A. Naive 50,000 is the forecast

    B. Moving Average

    January- 45,000 February- 55,000 March- 67,000 April- 60,000 May- 55,000 June- 50,000

    55,000 + 67,000 + 60,000 + 55,000 + 50,000 = 287,000

    287,000 / 5 = 57,400 is the forecast for July

    C. Weighted Average

    February- 55,000 (10%) 5,500 March- 67,000 (15%) 10,050 April- 60,000 (20%) 12,000 May- 55,000
    (25%) 13,750 June- 50,000 (30%)

    11,000 + 6,000 + 10,050 + 12,500 + 16,500= 56,050 is the forecast for July

    2. A. Naive

    78,000 would still be the forecast for the month of August

    B. Moving Average

    March- 67,000 April- 60,000 May- 55,000 June- 50,000 July- 78,000

    67,000 + 60,000 + 55,000 + 50,000 +78,000 = 310,000

    310,000 / 5 = 62,000 is the forecast for August

    C. Weighted Average

    March- 67,000 (20%) 10,050 April- 60,000 (15%) 12,000 May- 55,000 (10%) 13,750 June- 50,000 (30%)
    July – 78,000 (25%)

    13,400 + 5,500 + 9,000 + 19,500 + 15,000 =62,400 is the forecast for July

    3. March will be the outlier, 67,000

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