Warning!!

untuk diskon yang lebih dari 50%, harus dikroscek ke intrinsic valuation, atau dianalisa apakah a
Warning!! setelah fundamental perusahaan masuk secara kuantitatif, silahkan dianalisa secara kualitatif (ap
Apabila ingin mendownload spreadsheet ini, silahkan klik File > Download > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)
Update harga: real- QUALITY
time Revenue Net Income QUANTITATIVE
Average
Payment Net Profit
Symbol Stock Price (Growth: 3 (Growth: 3 ROE 5 Year
Streak Margin 5
IDX:BBCA 9,400 Year)
9.0% Year)
11.5% 12 (%) 18.9 34.3%
IDX:BBRI 5,725 9.3% 9.5% 12 20.06 28.8%
IDX:TLKM 3,950 8.5% 5.2% 11 21.45 15.8%
IDX:BMRI 6,050 6.0% 25.8% 12 14.42 23.8%
IDX:HMSP 895 3.6% 2.4% 11 44.11 12.6%
IDX:ASII 5,650 9.4% 12.7% 11 14.7 8.7%
IDX:ICBP 10,575 7.1% 11.9% 9 19.8 10.2%
IDX:GGRM 20,325 13.2% 17.7% 11 18.18 9.0%
IDX:CPIN 5,025 15.3% 17.9% 10 17.15 6.3%
IDX:BBNI 5,375 9.4% 10.7% 12 14.17 25.2%
IDX:KLBF 1,610 5.3% 2.9% 11 17.83 11.5%
IDX:UNVR 3,530 2.3% 5.0% 11 130.53 17.6%
IDX:INDF 6,450 4.7% 5.8% 11 13.21 5.7%
IDX:MYOR 2,490 10.9% 13.6% 11 19.8 6.7%
IDX:MEGA 5,100 6.6% 20.0% 6 10.6 21.2%
IDX:PTBA 2,440 15.7% 26.5% 11 25.59 18.9%
IDX:ACES 720 18.2% 13.2% 11 22.83 13.1%
IDX:MLBI 7,750 4.4% 7.1% 11 103.77 30.7%
IDX:SIDO 525 6.2% 18.9% 7 20.38 21.9%
IDX:PWON 454 15.3% 26.3% 8 23.16 39.1%
 luation, atau dianalisa apakah ada potensi penurunan laba permanen
an dianalisa secara kualitatif (apa keunggulan kompetitifnya, bagaimana prospek ke depan, dsb)
> Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)
LITY
E QUALITATIVE
Economic Current RELATIVE ( Earning and Book V
Market Cap Equity INTRINSIC d d
Moat, EPS PE Ratio
(milyar) Ratio Deviatio Deviatio
1,147,198 0.02 prospect 1158.6 (TTM)8.1 25.0 22.5
858,998 0.02 278.7 20.5 14.3 13.0
25 0.51 204.5 19.3 19.6 20.3
559,020 0.02 588.9 10.3 15.3 14.4
104,105 0.01 118.0 7.6 30.0 34.1
228,732 0.66 526.2 10.7 15.1 16.8
123,325 0.09 432.1 24.5 26.3 27.3
39,107 0.09 5702.4 3.6 17.2 17.7
82,400 0.24 221.7 22.7 25.6 26.3
198,468 0 825.0 6.5 10.2 10.1
75,469 0.07 55.1 29.2 29.0 30.9
134,670 0.28 196.8 17.9 46.5 48.8
56,634 0.62 559.0 11.5 15.1 16.4
55,673 0.6 88.9 28.0 33.0 31.9
59,280 0.08 314.3 16.2 21.3 21.6
28,110 0.01 331.8 7.4 8.2 9.2
12,348 0.03 60.1 12.0 27.6 25.7
16,329 0.89 525.0 14.8 27.6 28.1
15,750 0 55.4 9.5 20.3 19.4
21,864 0.35 60.5 7.5 13.7 14.3
 VALUATION
LATIVE ( Earning and Book Value Multiples)
Current PBV (3 PBV (5 PBV (10 AvgRV1 RV2 RV3
d PE (3 Avg PE (5 Avg PE (10
BVPS PBV Year) Year) Year)
Deviatio Year) Year) Year)
20.6 7049.7 (TTM)
1.3 4.3 4.1 4.3 28,976 26,115 23,890
12.0 1671.0 3.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 3,996 3,617 3,352
16.9 1006.3 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.1 4,012 4,160 3,462
13.8 4375.0 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.4 9,004 8,457 8,097
28.8 306.5 2.9 12.3 15.9 19.0 3,541 4,024 3,398
15.6 3816.3 1.5 2.3 2.5 3.5 7,940 8,851 8,230
24.6 2167.8 4.9 5.4 5.5 5.0 11,363 11,800 10,616
19.8 27704.4 0.7 3.2 3.1 3.5 98,082 100,933 112,623
23.3 1285.3 3.9 4.4 4.3 5.6 5,670 5,838 5,173
11.3 6551.7 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.7 8,373 8,316 9,314
30.6 350.9 4.6 5.1 5.8 6.7 1,598 1,700 1,683
43.5 189.2 18.7 55.8 56.1 46.8 9,142 9,609 8,558
16.2 4301.9 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.4 8,424 9,145 9,028
27.2 432.0 5.8 7.0 6.6 5.8 2,932 2,839 2,416
16.9 2258.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 6,691 6,775 5,308
12.7 1716.7 1.4 2.5 2.3 3.9 2,704 3,059 4,204
26.1 275.9 2.6 6.5 6.0 6.2 1,655 1,541 1,565
28.0 609.4 12.7 39.5 37.0 37.6 14,490 14,768 14,694
20.9 219.9 2.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 1,125 1,073 1,158
20.1 299.2 1.5 2.6 2.9 4.0 830 864 1,217
 Relative
RV4 RV5 RV6 Relative Discount
Fair Value Discount
Avg PBV (3 Avg PBV (5 Avg PBV (minimum Fair Value (minimum (median)
Year) Year) (10 Year) (median) )
)
30,455 28,622 30,455 23,890 28,799 61% 67%
4,244 4,127 4,913 3,352 4,062 -71% -41%
4,317 4,448 4,096 3,462 4,128 -14% 4%
8,356 8,356 10,544 8,097 8,406 25% 28%
3,777 4,877 5,821 3,398 3,900 74% 77%
8,739 9,541 13,166 7,940 8,795 29% 36%
11,598 11,945 10,904 10,616 11,481 0% 8%
87,823 86,992 96,688 86,992 97,385 77% 79%
5,681 5,463 7,236 5,173 5,675 3% 11%
9,303 9,172 11,334 8,316 9,238 35% 42%
1,804 2,032 2,361 1,598 1,752 -1% 8%
10,562 10,617 8,858 8,558 9,375 59% 62%
8,475 8,948 10,454 8,424 8,988 23% 28%
3,042 2,856 2,484 2,416 2,847 -3% 13%
5,261 5,103 4,855 4,855 5,285 -5% 3%
4,240 4,017 6,661 2,704 4,111 10% 41%
1,779 1,644 1,697 1,541 1,650 53% 56%
24,097 22,518 22,926 14,490 18,643 47% 58%
961 847 866 847 1,017 38% 48%
769 868 1,206 769 866 41% 48%
Apabila ingin mendownload spreadsheet ini, silahkan klik File > Download > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

INTRINSIC VALUATION
BBCA
EPS = 0 - 10
Growth 1158
years = Rate
Discount 9% p.a.
=
Growth after 10 8.50% nilai harus > 4.5% (BI Rate); pe
years = 3% p.a.

Nilai intrinsik = 34,374

"dengan metode Discounted Cash Flow"
yang
Tahun ke - Proyeksi EPS disetarakan nilai
1 1262 1163
2 1376 1169
3 1500 1174
4 1635 1179
5 1782 1185
6 1942 1190
7 2117 1196
8 2307 1201
9 2515 1207
10 2741 1212
11 2824 1151
12 2908 1093
13 2996 1037
14 3085 985
15 3178 935
16 3273 887
17 3372 842
18 3473 800
19 3577 759
20 3684 721
21 3795 684
22 3909 649
23 4026 617
24 4147 585
25 4271 556
26 4399 527
27 4531 501
28 4667 475
29 4807 451
30 4951 428
31 5100 407
32 5253 386
33 5410 366
34 5573 348
35 5740 330
36 5912 314
37 6089 298
38 6272 283
39 6460 268
40 6654 255
41 6854 242
42 7059 229
43 7271 218
44 7489 207
45 7714 196
46 7945 186
47 8184 177
48 8429 168
49 8682 159
50 8943 151
51 9211 144
52 9487 136
53 9772 129
54 10065 123
55 10367 117
56 10678 111
57 10998 105
58 11328 100
59 11668 95
60 12018 90
61 12379 85
62 12750 81
63 13132 77
64 13526 73
65 13932 69
66 14350 66
67 14781 63
68 15224 59
 69 15681 56
70 16151 53
71 16636 51
72 17135 48
73 17649 46
74 18178 43
75 18724 41
76 19285 39
77 19864 37
78 20460 35
79 21074 33
80 21706 32
81 22357 30
82 23028 29
83 23719 27
84 24430 26
85 25163 25
86 25918 23
87 26696 22
88 27496 21
89 28321 20
90 29171 19
91 30046 18
92 30948 17
93 31876 16
94 32832 15
95 33817 15
96 34832 14
97 35877 13
98 36953 12
99 38062 12
100 39203 11
t Excel (.xlsx)

4.5% (BI Rate); pedoman IHSG = 12%

Apabila ingin mendownload spreadsheet ini, silahkan klik File > Download > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

Rasio Campuran
1 Current Ratio = Aset lancar / Liabilitas Jangka Pendek

PWON DILD
Aset lancar = 9587 4762
Liabilitas Jangka Pendek = 3611 3651
Current Ratio = 2.65 1.30

2 Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) = Utang berbunga / Ekuitas entitas induk

PWON DILD
Utang berbunga = 5037 5202
Ekuitas Entitas Induk = 14410 5952
Debt to Equity Ratio = 0.35 0.87

3 Net Profit Margin (NPM) = Laba bersih periode berjalan / Pendapatan

PWON DILD
Laba bersih periode berjalan 2494 82.929
Pendapatan = 5240 1854
Net Profit Margin = 47.60% 4.47%

4 Return on Equity (ROE) = Laba bersih periode berjalan entitas induk / Eku

Laba bersih periode berjalan PWON DILD

entitas induk = 2868 8.67
Ekuitas Entitas Induk = 14410 5952
Return on Equity (ROE) 19.90% 0.15%

5 Return on Capital (ROC) = Laba usaha / (Ekuitas + utang berbunga)

PWON DILD
Laba usaha = 3,529.33 322.67
Ekuitas = 17360 6515
Utang berbunga = 5037 5202
Return on Capital (ROC) 15.76% 2.75%
ad > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

Liabilitas Jangka PendekEPS 9M 44.65 * (Laba bersih berjalan yang diatribusikan kepada entitas induk)
=2150176250*1000/48159602400
EPS 1Y = 59.53

ga / Ekuitas entitas induk

eriode berjalan / Pendapatan

eriode berjalan entitas induk / Ekuitas entitas induk

(Ekuitas + utang berbunga)

ada entitas induk)
Apabila ingin mendownload spreadsheet ini, silahkan klik File > Download > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

IDX:BBRI

price 5,725
jml lembar 123.35 Milyar P/E ratio 20.54
market cap 706,150 Milyar PBV 3.42
Net Profit 2019 34,372 Milyar
Ekuitas 2019 206,323 Milyar
Net profit per lembar 279
Ekuitas per lembar 1,673

IDX:BRIS

price 1,740
jml lembar 9.72 Milyar P/E ratio ###
market cap 16,906 Milyar PBV 3.32
Net Profit 2019 74 Milyar
Ekuitas 2019 5,088 Milyar
Net profit per lembar 8
Ekuitas per lembar 524
d > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)
P/S ratio
 Relative Valuation

Rata-rata P/E ratio

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
PBV

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
P/S ratio

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
Apabila ingin mendownload spreadsheet ini, silahkan klik File > Download > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

IDX:BBRI
Saat ini avg 5y
price 5,725 P/E ratio 20.54 12.8
jml lembar 123.35 Milyar PBV 3.42 2.5
market cap 706,150 Milyar
Net Profit Entitas Induk 2019 34,372 Milyar Nilai wajar
Ekuitas Entitas Induk 2019 206,323 Milyar P/E ratio 3,560
Net profit per lembar 279 PBV 4,182
Ekuitas per lembar 1,673 Konservatif
Moderat

MoS = 30%
Diskon saat ini -47.5%

IDX:BBCA
Saat ini avg 5y
price 9,400 P/E ratio 40.16 21.8
jml lembar 122.04 Milyar PBV 6.59 4.005
market cap ### Milyar
Net Profit Entitas Induk 2019 28,565 Milyar Nilai wajar
Ekuitas Entitas Induk 2019 174,042 Milyar P/E ratio 5,095
Net profit per lembar 234 PBV 5,711
Ekuitas per lembar 1,426 Konservatif
Moderat

MoS = 10%
Diskon saat ini -76.7%

IDX:PWON
Saat ini avg 5y
price 454 P/E ratio 7.51 14.5
jml lembar 48.16 Milyar PBV 1.52 3
market cap 21,864 Milyar
Net Profit Entitas Induk 2019 2,913 Milyar Nilai wajar
Ekuitas Entitas Induk 2019 14,411 Milyar P/E ratio 879
Net profit per lembar 60 PBV 898
Ekuitas per lembar 299 Konservatif
Moderat
MoS = 50%
Diskon saat ini 53.3%
Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
avg 10+y 2019 2019 2019 2019 2018 2018 2018 2018 2017 2017 2017 2017 2016
11.3 15.8 15.1 16.0 15.4 14.0 12.2 11.5 14.9 15.5 13.6 13.7 12.0 11.0
2.77 2.63 2.58 2.85 2.64 2.47 2.24 2.13 2.77 2.69 2.38 2.5 2.23 1.97

3,146
4,633
3,146
3,880

2,716

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
avg 10+y 2019 2019 2019 2019 2018 2018 2018 2018 2017 2017 2017 2017 2016
19.4 28.9 26.5 27.1 25.9 24.8 23.8 21.9 24.1 23.2 22.4 20.8 19.4 18.6
4.17 4.74 4.46 4.63 4.31 4.23 4.15 3.87 4.21 4.11 3.93 3.71 3.45 3.4

4,529
5,947
4,529
5,321

4,789

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
avg 10+y 2019 2019 2019 2019 2018 2018 2018 2018 2017 2017 2017 2017 2016
16.4 11.0 12.7 12.3 11.7 11.1 12.1 14.5 17.6 16.5 17.7 20.1 16.3
3.735 2.22 2.58 2.49 2.37 2.1 2.29 2.79 3.2 2.97 3.16 3.28 3.13

992
1,118
879
972
486
 2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012
11.6 10.4 11.1 11.1 8.7 10.5 13.4 11.9 10.7 11.1 10.6 8.4 8.5 9.5 11.1 9.2
2.14 2 2.5 2.5 1.99 2.5 3.41 2.95 2.82 3 2.99 2.26 2.43 2.79 3.34 2.65

2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012
19.6 17.2 17.8 18.2 17.1 19.4 21.7 19.6 20.0 17.2 17.4 16.6 17.9 19.4 22.8 19.1
3.55 3.18 3.25 3.67 3.52 4.08 4.58 4.17 4.32 3.86 3.85 3.71 4.03 4.28 4.97 4.33

2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012
23.1 21.1 15.8 18.9 6.7 8.8 10.1 9.9 12.5 12.0 13.9 11.5 12.9 16.3 20.9 14.5
3.92 3.75 3 3.31 2.35 3.09 3.82 4.02 3.91 3.68 3.95 3.35 3.77 4.92 5.76 3.72
2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2008
10.3 9.2 10.7 11.0 9.5 11.5 11.3 11.3 14.2 14.1 13.1 12.9 13.2 11.7 8.3 9.5
3.07 2.84 3.14 3.35 3.21 3.88 3.53 3.53 3.77 3.76 3.36 3.46 3.58 2.97 2.14 2.52

2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2008
17.0 15.9 17.8 18.2 18.9 20.3 20.0 18.6 21.1 19.6 19.1 17.6 16.6 13.1 12.2 13.9
3.96 3.96 4.45 4.7 4.77 5.08 4.75 4.63 5.09 4.86 4.55 4.29 4.22 3.46 3.05 3.44

2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2008
18.2 17.5 24.5 26.1 23.2 28.9 26.5 27.4 88.4 50.9 21.2 33.5 27.2 27.6 -33.0 ###
4.75 3.7 4.11 4.05 4.61 5.9 5.56 6.09 7.29 5.98 4.71 4.53 3.89 2.89 1.91 3.92
WEBINAR 3 - SIMULASI TABUNGAN RUTIN

Pengeluaran bulanan = 10 jt
Pengeluaran tahunan = 120 jt
Inflasi = 4%
Pensiun kita brp tahun lagi = 20

25 x pengeluaran = 3000 juta

Dana Pensiun (FV) = $6,573.37 juta

Modal awal (PV) = 0 juta

Ekspektasi return investasi = 10%

Nabung rutin tahunan = $114.77 juta

Nabung rutin bulanan = $9.56 juta
Apabila ingin mendownload spreadsheet ini, silahkan klik File > Download > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

IDX:BBRI
Saat ini avg 5y
price 5,725 P/E ratio 20.54 12.16
jml lembar 123.35 Milyar PBV 3.98 2.5
market cap 858,998 Milyar
Net Profit Entitas Induk 2019 34,372 Milyar x Nilai wajar
Ekuitas Entitas Induk 2019 206,323 Milyar x P/E ratio 3,389
Net profit per lembar 279 PBV 3,593
Ekuitas per lembar 1,437 Konservatif
Moderat

MoS = 30%
Diskon saat ini -63.0%

IDX:BBNI
Saat ini avg 5y
price 5,375 P/E ratio 6.44 9.8
jml lembar 36.92 Milyar PBV 0.93 1.345
market cap 198,468 Milyar
Net Profit Entitas Induk 2019 Milyar Nilai wajar
Ekuitas Entitas Induk 2019 Milyar P/E ratio 8,186
Net profit per lembar 834 PBV 7,751
Ekuitas per lembar 5,763 Konservatif
Moderat

MoS = 40%
Diskon saat ini 37.1%

IDX:PWON
Saat ini avg 5y
price 454 P/E ratio 7.51 13.6
jml lembar 48.16 Milyar PBV 1.52 2.985
market cap 21,864 Milyar
Net Profit Entitas Induk 2019 2,913 Milyar Nilai wajar
Ekuitas Entitas Induk 2019 14,411 Milyar P/E ratio 822
Net profit per lembar 60 PBV 893
Ekuitas per lembar 299 Konservatif
Moderat
MoS = 50%
Diskon saat ini 52.4%
Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
avg 10+y 2020 2019 2019 2019 2019 2018 2018 2018 2018 2017 2017 2017 2017
11.28 10.84 15.8 15.1 16.0 15.4 14.0 12.2 11.5 14.9 15.5 13.6 13.7 12.0
2.73 2.1 2.63 2.58 2.85 2.64 2.47 2.24 2.13 2.77 2.69 2.38 2.5 2.23

3,143
3,923
3,143
3,512

2,458

Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
avg 10+y 2020 2019 2019 2019 2019 2018 2018 2018 2018 2017 2017 2017 2017
10.6 4.6 9.5 8.8 11.3 11.4 10.9 9.3 9.0 11.5 13.6 10.0 9.2 10.4
1.64 0.66 1.19 1.15 1.5 1.55 1.52 1.36 1.34 1.67 1.87 1.45 1.35 1.38

8,804
9,452
7,751
8,548

5,129

Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
avg 10+y 2019 2019 2019 2019 2018 2018 2018 2018 2017 2017 2017 2017 2016
16.3 10.1 11.0 12.7 12.3 11.7 11.1 12.1 14.5 17.6 16.5 17.7 20.1 16.3
3.72 1.83 2.22 2.58 2.49 2.37 2.1 2.29 2.79 3.2 2.97 3.16 3.28 3.13

986
1,113
822
954
477
 2016 2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013
11.0 11.6 10.4 11.1 11.1 8.7 10.5 13.4 11.9 10.7 11.1 10.6 8.4 8.5 9.5 11.1
1.97 2.14 2 2.5 2.5 1.99 2.5 3.41 2.95 2.82 3 2.99 2.26 2.43 2.79 3.34

2016 2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013
9.1 9.6 8.8 10.5 10.3 8.4 11.9 12.0 10.6 10.2 9.2 9.9 8.1 8.9 10.0 12.4
1.18 1.22 1.2 1.24 1.22 1.25 1.67 2.25 1.93 1.84 1.66 1.81 1.55 1.67 1.82 2.09

2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012
23.1 21.1 15.8 18.9 6.7 8.8 10.1 9.9 12.5 12.0 13.9 11.5 12.9 16.3 20.9 14.5
3.92 3.75 3 3.31 2.35 3.09 3.82 4.02 3.91 3.68 3.95 3.35 3.77 4.92 5.76 3.72
2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009
9.2 10.3 9.2 10.7 11.0 9.5 11.5 11.3 11.3 14.2 14.1 13.1 12.9 13.2 11.7 8.3
2.65 3.07 2.84 3.14 3.35 3.21 3.88 3.53 3.53 3.77 3.76 3.36 3.46 3.58 2.97 2.14

2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009
9.8 10.8 11.2 12.2 12.2 13.3 14.8 17.1 17.6 14.8 10.6 11.5 11.5 13.7 12.5 6.1
1.59 1.78 1.82 1.91 1.88 1.95 2.13 2.18 2.18 2.5 1.71 1.64 1.5 1.67 1.42 0.63

2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2008
18.2 17.5 24.5 26.1 23.2 28.9 26.5 27.4 88.4 50.9 21.2 33.5 27.2 27.6 -33.0 ###
4.75 3.7 4.11 4.05 4.61 5.9 5.56 6.09 7.29 5.98 4.71 4.53 3.89 2.89 1.91 3.92
2008
9.5
2.52

2008
8.04 8.08
0.64 0.94
Apabila ingin mendownload spreadsheet ini, silahkan klik File > Download > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)
Tahun
INTRINSIC VALUATION 2014
BBRI 2015
CAEPS =Rate
Discount 241.58 2016
=
Growth 0 - 10 10.00% = 7% + 0.6*(12%-7%) 2017
years = after 10
Growth 6% p.a. 2018
years = after 20
Growth 3.0% p.a. 2019
years = 2.0% p.a. 2020

Nilai intrinsik = 4,106

"dengan metode Discounted Cash Flow"
yang
Tahun ke - Proyeksi EPS disetarakan nilai
1 139 127 asumsi laba 2020 -50%
2 209 173 asumsi laba 2021 +50%
3 288 216 asumsi normal
4 305 208
5 323 201
6 343 193
7 363 186
8 385 180
9 408 173
10 433 167
11 446 156
12 459 146
13 473 137
14 487 128
15 502 120
16 517 112
17 532 105
18 548 99
19 564 92
20 581 86
21 593 80
22 605 74
23 617 69
24 629 64
25 642 59
26 655 55
27 668 51
28 681 47
29 695 44
30 709 41
31 723 38
32 737 35
33 752 32
34 767 30
35 783 28
36 798 26
37 814 24
38 830 22
39 847 21
40 864 19
41 881 18
42 899 16
43 917 15
44 935 14
45 954 13
46 973 12
47 992 11
48 1012 10
49 1033 10
50 1053 9
51 1074 8
52 1096 8
53 1118 7
54 1140 7
55 1163 6
56 1186 6
57 1210 5
58 1234 5
59 1259 5
60 1284 4
61 1309 4
62 1336 4
63 1362 3
64 1390 3
65 1417 3
66 1446 3
67 1475 2
68 1504 2
 69 1534 2
70 1565 2
71 1596 2
72 1628 2
73 1661 2
74 1694 1
75 1728 1
76 1762 1
77 1798 1
78 1834 1
79 1870 1
80 1908 1
81 1946 1
82 1985 1
83 2024 1
84 2065 1
85 2106 1
86 2148 1
87 2191 1
88 2235 1
89 2280 0
90 2325 0
91 2372 0
92 2419 0
93 2468 0
94 2517 0
95 2567 0
96 2619 0
97 2671 0
98 2725 0
99 2779 0
100 2835 0
t Excel (.xlsx) Laba BBRI (inflation adj)
Laba BBRI Inflation CalcFaktor Inflasi = Laba BBRI x Faktor Inflasi
196.53 100.00 1.27 248.87 PE IHSG 14.93
205.91 108.36 1.17 240.62 PBV IHSG 1.3688
212.38 111.99 1.13 240.14 PS IHSG 1.2688
235.08 115.38 1.10 258.00 ROE 9.17%
262.28 119.54 1.06 277.84 NPM 8.50%
278.67 123.28 1.03 286.24
139.34 126.63 1.00 139.34
asumsi laba 2020 -50% Average = 241.58

NR BBRI = 3,512
NI BBRI = 4,106

NW BBRI = 3,809
Ini adalah request di Kolom Komentar WBI Ep. 19 untuk Mencari Bobot Saham IDX30
Update 4 Mei 2020, sumber: https://www.idx.co.id/data-pasar/data-saham/indeks-saham/
Market Cap
Ticker Saham Lembar Harga (Milyar)
IDX:BBCA BBCA 5,566,812,058 9400 52,328.03
IDX:BBRI BBRI 51,328,401,502 5725 293,855.10
IDX:TLKM TLKM 45,318,430,440 3950 179,007.80
IDX:BMRI BMRI 18,479,999,999 6050 111,804.00
IDX:ASII ASII 18,254,034,111 5650 103,135.29
IDX:UNVR UNVR 5,497,415,000 3530 19,405.87
IDX:CPIN CPIN 6,578,877,600 5025 33,058.86
IDX:BBNI BBNI 7,384,867,957 5375 39,693.67
IDX:BRPT BRPT 24,773,325,538 1330 32,948.52
IDX:KLBF KLBF 20,643,803,777 1610 33,236.52
IDX:SMGR SMGR 2,904,665,344 6400 18,589.86
IDX:INDF INDF 4,344,555,032 6450 28,022.38
IDX:UNTR UNTR 1,508,093,635 22625 34,120.62
IDX:INTP INTP 1,795,336,700 9400 16,876.16
IDX:ICBP ICBP 2,332,381,600 10575 24,664.94
IDX:ADRO ADRO 15,964,193,634 2380 37,994.78
IDX:GGRM GGRM 330,173,501 20325 6,710.78
IDX:HMSP HMSP 8,654,064,921 895 7,745.39
IDX:INKP INKP 2,196,052,553 8325 18,282.14
IDX:PGAS PGAS 10,433,545,128 1130 11,789.91
IDX:ACES ACES 6,865,145,000 720 4,942.90
IDX:PTBA PTBA 3,884,766,299 2440 9,478.83
IDX:JPFA JPFA 5,525,562,235 1180 6,520.16
IDX:MNCN MNCN 6,808,273,759 386 2,627.99
IDX:INCO INCO 2,014,095,859 4310 8,680.75
IDX:ANTM ANTM 8,365,109,201 1705 14,262.51
IDX:BBTN BBTN 4,193,640,000 1250 5,242.05
IDX:WSKT WSKT 4,609,713,760 202 931.16
IDX:PTPP PTPP 3,037,949,703 428 1,300.24
IDX:ERAA ERAA 1,451,131,000 426 618.18

1,157,875.41
Bobot Saham IDX30
ham/indeks-saham/
Bobot
4.52%
25.38%
15.46%
9.66%
8.91%
1.68%
2.86%
3.43%
2.85%
2.87%
1.61%
2.42%
2.95%
1.46%
2.13%
3.28%
0.58%
0.67%
1.58%
1.02%
0.43%
0.82%
0.56%
0.23%
0.75%
1.23%
0.45%
0.08%
0.11%
0.05%

100.00%
 Lower Risk Market Risk (IHSG)
Beta 0.5 0.75 1 1.5
1 ROE 25.0% 17.5% 10.0% 7.5%
2 DER 10.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100.0%
3 NPM 20.0% 10.0% 8.5% 5.0%
4 Profit Margin Stab (covariance) 2.5% 7.5% 10.0% 15.0%
5 Earning's Predictability (R) 97.5% 85.0% 75.0% 50.0%
6 Market cap (size, in Bio) 200 100 50 10
Higher Risk Input Value
2
5.0% 20.0% 0.67
200.0% 0.0% 0.50
2.5% 25.0% 0.50
20.0% 5.0% 0.63
25.0% 99.0% 0.50
1 250 0.50

BETA = 0.55
Adjustment = 0.00
FINAL BETA = 0.55

10Y Bond yield = 7.0%

IHSG = 12.0%

Discount rate = 9.74%