Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ES2007-36217
Gregory J Kolb
Sandia National Laboratories
Solar Systems Department
Albuquerque, NM, 87123 USA
(505) 844-1887(p), (505) 844-7786 (f)
gjkolb@sandia.gov
Matthew Donnelly
Sandia National Laboratories
565 o C
Hot Salt Cold Salt 290 o C
Storage Tank Storage Tank
Steam Generator
Conventional
EPGS
Fig. 1 Power tower concepts of current interest to the USDOE solar energy program
Heliostats are the most important cost element of a power Given different prices for heliostats we used standard DOE
tower plant because they typically contribute ~50% to the total methods [1,3] to calculate the levelized energy cost (LEC) for
cost of the plant. Consequently, it is important to reduce the the plants shown in Figure 1. Power tower LECs are attractive
cost of heliostats to as low as possible to improve the economic given a heliostat price of $100/m2 and may be low enough to be
viability of solar power towers. competitive on the open market, especially if carbon-offset
trading becomes the norm. A price ~$100/m2 thus appears to
be a reasonable goal for heliostats.
MARTIN MARIETTA
ARCO
nd
BOEING 2 Gen
SOLARAMICS
Fig. 2 Heliostat concepts developed in the USA between 1975 and 1982
The heyday of heliostat development in the USA occurred producing 50,000 McDonnell Douglas heliostats/yr. The
during the 2nd generation period ending in 1981. The DOE second-generation studies predicted heliostat price to be $100
budget for heliostat development was $7.3 M, equivalent to $19 to $150/m2 ($1980) for a ~60 m2 size.
M in today’s dollars. This budget level allowed for extensive
optimization and cost studies and more than 100 technical Shortly after the second-generation period McDonnell
references can be found in Mavis [5]. An example is the Douglas continued to optimize their heliostat. They examined
detailed mass-manufacturing analysis performed by General many design variables and decided the best way to reduce cost
Motors [6] in which assembly-lines were proposed capable of was to increase heliostat size to at least 100 m2 [7]. Their
analysis showed a 20% cost reduction. To further reduce cost, contribution from these elements. The SM concept was
Sandia [5] proposed even larger 150 m2 heliostats and also proposed because it was lighter and simpler (i.e. fewer parts)
began to investigate a large, circular stretched-membrane (SM) than the glass-metal heliostat. The mid 1980’s path to low-cost
concept. Bigger was predicted to be better due to the heliostats is summarized in Figure 3. This led to the
improved economies of scale for the heliostat components. In construction of full-scale (148 m2) glass-metal and a sub-scale
addition, fixed costs per heliostat (controls, installation, and (50 m2) SM prototypes in the late 1980’s.
O&M) could be spread over more area to reduce the $/m2
Fig. 3 Mid 1980’s path to low-cost heliostats [5]. Also shown are the 148 m2 glass metal (top) and 50 m2 SM prototypes.
150 m2 Stretched
Membrane 148 m2 ATS Glass/Metal
Heliostat Price Heliostat Price
Mirror Module $ 42.99 $ 23.06
Support Structure $ 19.08 $ 21.21
Drive $ 26.67 $ 27.11
Drive electrical $ 1.76 $ 1.78
Controls $ 1.87 $ 1.94
Pedestal $ 16.73 $ 16.96
Total Direct Cost: $ 109.11 $ 92.06
Overhead/Profit (20%) $ 21.82 $ 18.41
Total Fabricated Price: $ 130.93 $ 110.47
Field wiring $ 7.30 $ 7.40
Foundation $ 2.30 $ 2.28
Field alignment/checkout $ 2.41 $ 6.34
Total Installed Price: $ 142.9 $ 126.5
1
Historical deployments of wind turbines over a similar time period
suggest this progress ratio is reasonable. For example, the Danish
deployed 10 GW of wind turbines with a progress ratio of 92%.
http://www.iset.uni-kassel.de/extool/Extoolframe.htm.To a first order,
wind turbines and heliostats can be viewed as similar; both are large
steel outdoor structures with gear drives.
Project 5 – Large single fabric-based SM facet Today’s R&D PROJECT SELECTION GIVEN UNCERTAINTY
SM facets are created by welding multiple strips of stainless AND A CONSTRAINED R&D BUDGET
steel across a ring. The welding process is complex and The price reductions from the proposed heliostat R&D
cumbersome. The brainstorming group thought that significant projects are highly uncertain. For each project we developed a
cost reduction for the facet could be achieved if the stainless best estimate, an optimistic bound, a pessimistic bound as well
steel strips were replaced with a single large piece of fabric. as the cost of each R&D project. Since the purpose of R&D is
Besides eliminating expensive stainless steel, connection to the to reduce uncertainty, the bounds will shrink as the work
outer ring could be greatly simplified by using an “embroidery- progresses. However, given our current state of knowledge we
hoop” method, i.e. 2 concentric hoop are press fit to form the need to decide which R&D projects should be given highest
connection between the material and the ring. The fabric must priority. If money were no object, all the projects could be
not leak air to maintain the vacuum within the facet plenum. pursued. However, we live in a world of limited R&D budgets
Thus, the fabric would need to be impregnated with a sealer. and need to identify those that will give the “most bang for the
Rough calculations suggest this facet could lead to an buck.” Fortunately, there are tools available to help the
additional cost reduction of ~$7/m2 relative to the carousel decision maker.
heliostat described in Project 4. However, due to unresolved
engineering issues, the core team believes there is only a 50/50 Crystal Ball software [11] is being used by USDOE and
chance of actually achieving this cost reduction. many other organizations to assess the risk/uncertainty of
achieving the goals of proposed R&D projects. Uncertain
Project 6 – Mega heliostat Arizona Public Service parameters are propagated via Monte Carlo simulation. Many
currently operates several large-area 2-axis PV concentrators pre-programmed models exist that can be adapted to solve a
(see Figure 5). This device could be converted to a heliostat by particular problem. One such model, “Budget-Constrained
replacing the Fresnel-PV modules with mirrors. At this size the Project Selection,” was adapted to solve the problem at hand.
use of hydraulic type azimuth and elevation drives appears to
be justified. The brainstorming group generally concluded that Crystal Ball predicts ~$8M in R&D is needed to achieve a
hydraulic drive systems are more complex and require more mean price reduction of $17/m2 [4]. However, a $5M budget
maintenance than mechanical drive systems, thus mechanical achieves $16/m2 and gets the “most bang for the buck.” For
drives are preferred for smaller heliostats. However, they are this case Crystal Ball predicts there is an 80% chance of
very strong and could be the preferred low-cost approach for achieving at least a $10/m2 price reduction, a 50% chance of
mega heliostats. Engineering scaling laws [4] indicate the cost achieving $16, and a 20% chance of achieving $24. Given a
of this heliostat could be $21/m2 less than the 148 m2 ATS $5M budget, priority should be given to developing the mega-
heliostat. However, the optical quality of the mega heliostat helio, the carousel heliostat, and the fabric-membrane mirror
will be worse than the ATS because the reflected beam will be facet. Given a $1 to $2 M budget, a mean price reduction of
larger. DELSOL predicts an optical penalty is ~$3/m2. Thus, ~$10/m2 is expected and priority should be given to developing
the net cost reduction is ~$18/m2. a less-conservative azimuth drive and the mega-helio.
R&D should be able to reduce the heliostat price by at [7] Dietrich, et. al., Optimization of the Second Generation
least $17/m2. A price reduction from $126/m2 to $109/m2 was Heliostat Specification, McDonnell Douglas Astronautics
estimated by evaluating TIO’s proposed by 30 heliostat and Company, SAND82-8181, Sandia National Laboratories,
manufacturing experts. Continued price reduction from May 1982.
$109/m2 to ~$90/m2 is expected through learning during the [8] Monterreal, R. and P. Heller, Large Area Heliostat
deployment of the initial 9 GW of power plants over a decade Comparison at PSA, Internal Report, Plataforma Solar de
or more. Almeria, Spain, November 1997.