You are on page 1of 7

Ans 1.

Let
W be the even that out team win the championship and
F be the event that they win the first game
(So Wc is the event we loose the championship and Fc is the event that we lose the first
game).
Given (W) = 0.6
(F | W) = 0.7
(F | Wc) = 0.25

Using Formulae
P(A) + P(Ac) = 1 and
(Bc | A) + (B | A) = 1
We find
P(Wc) = 1 – P(W)
= 1 – 0.6
P(Wc) = 0.4
and (Fc | W) = 1 - (F | W)
= 1 – 0.7
(Fc | W) = 0.3
(Fc | Wc) = 1 – P(F | Wc)
= 1 – 0.25
(Fc | Wc) = 0.75

So, our Probability Tree is: F | W 0.7


W 0.6
Fc | W 0.3

F | Wc 0.25
Wc 0.4
Fc | Wc 0.75
Now, since we want to compute (W | Fc) = P(W ∩ Fc)/ P(Fc)
We only need to find P(W ∩ Fc) and P(Fc)

Next, P(W ∩ Fc) = P(Fc | W)*P(W) = 0.3 * 0.6 = 0.18


We note that P(Fc) = P(W ∩ Fc) + P(Wc ∩ Fc)
(The team either loses the first game and wins the series or loses the first game and the series,
and these are mutually exclusive events).

We already know P(W ∩ Fc), So we only need to find P(Wc ∩ Fc):


P(Wc ∩ Fc) = P(Fc | Wc) * P(Wc)
= 0.75 * 0.4
= 0.3
So P(Fc) = P(W ∩ Fc) + P(Wc ∩ Fc)
= 0.18 + 0.3
= 0.48
Thus, P(W | Fc) = P(W ∩ Fc)/ P(Fc)
= 0.18/0.48
P(W | Fc)= 0.375

Hence the probability of our team winning the series is 0.375


Ans 2.
Regression Analysis based on the given data

Customer Satisfaction Quality Ratings given by


Y^2 X^2 X*Y
Score (Y) Customer (X)
5 5 25 25 25
5 5 25 25 25
5 4 25 16 20
5 4 25 16 20
5 5 25 25 25
5 5 25 25 25
5 3 25 9 15
5 5 25 25 25
4 4 16 16 16
4 4 16 16 16
4 4 16 16 16
4 4 16 16 16
4 3 16 9 12
4 3 16 9 12
4 4 16 16 16
4 2 16 4 8
3 3 9 9 9
3 3 9 9 9
3 3 9 9 9
3 2 9 4 6
2 2 4 4 4
2 2 4 4 4
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
1 3 1 9 3
1 1 1 1 1
ΣY = 93 ΣX = 86 ΣY^2 = 377 ΣX^2 = 320 ΣX*Y = 340
Here N = 27

Mean of X = ΣX/N = 86/27 = 3.185

Mean of Y = ΣY/N = 93/27 = 3.444

NΣXY- ΣX*ΣY
Byx = NΣX^2 -ΣX^2

27*340 - 86*93
=
27*320 - 86^2

9180 - 7998
=
8640 - 7396

1182
=
1244

= 0.9502
Regression Line of Y on X
Y – Mean of Y = Byx (X – Mean of X)
Y – 3.444 = 0.9502 (X – 3.185)
Y – 3.444 = 0.9502*X – 3.026
Y = 0.9502*X – 3.026 + 3.444
Y = 0.9502 *X + 0.418

The most commonly used form of regression is linear regression, and the most common type
of Linear regression is called ordinary least squares regression.
Linear regression use is the value from an existing dataset consisting of measurement of the
value of two variables X and Y to develop a model that is useful for predicting the value of
the dependent variable Y for given value of X.
A linear regression line has an equation of the form Y= a + b*X, Where X is the explanatory
variable and why is the dependent variable. The slope of the line is b and a is the intercept
(the value of y when X=0).

B1 or Beta is the coefficient of X; The of the regression line also represents how much Y
changes for each one unit change in X.
Ans 3 (a).
Relative frequency is the proportion of the total frequency that is in any given class interval
in a frequency distribution. Relative frequency is the individual class frequency divided by
the total frequency.

State Name District Name Total MSMEs Relative Frequency


TRIPURA WEST TRIPURA 2915 43.83%
TRIPURA SOUTH TRIPURA 586 8.81%
TRIPURA DHALAI 439 6.60%
TRIPURA NORTH TRIPURA 854 12.84%
TRIPURA KHOWAI 514 7.73%
TRIPURA UNAKOTI 447 6.72%
TRIPURA SEPAHIJALA 383 5.76%
TRIPURA GOMATI 513 7.71%
6651

(Note: Relative Frequency = Individual frequency/ Total frequency)


For Example: WEST TRIPURA = 2916/6651 = 43.83 %
KHOWAI = 514/6651 = 7.73 % and so on
Ans 3(b) (1).

Hence looking at the above bar chart we can say that the Top 2 districts are:
1. SPSR Nellore
2. Prakasam
Ans 3(b) (2).

Number of Micro, Small and


State Name District Name
Medium Enterprises
ANDHRA PRADESH SRIKAKULAM 10895
ANDHRA PRADESH KURNOOL 15362
ANDHRA PRADESH ANANTHAPUR 21193
ANDHRA PRADESH KRISHNA 23231
ANDHRA PRADESH GUNTUR 25479
ANDHRA PRADESH EAST GODAVARI 26546
ANDHRA PRADESH CHITOOR 27670
ANDHRA PRADESH VISAKHAPATNAM 29070
ANDHRA PRADESH VIZIANAGARAM 30186
ANDHRA PRADESH WEST GODAVARI 33541
ANDHRA PRADESH Y.S.R 37500
ANDHRA PRADESH PRAKASAM 45171
ANDHRA PRADESH SPSR NELLORE 54059

Since the Sample Size n =13 is odd number,


We know that (n+1)/2 = (13+1)/2 = 7 is an integer value.

The median is computed by directly finding the value located at position 7th.
Therefore, based on the sample data provided the median is 27670.
List of District above median values are listed below.
1. VISAKHAPATNAM
2. VIZIANAGARAM
3. WEST GODAVARI
4. Y.S.R
5. PRAKASAM
6. SPSR NELLORE

You might also like