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4. Because the spectrum strategy diversifies the thus eliminated from further analysis. The results are not
active risk budget, we believe investors can sensitive to exclusion of these managers.
achieve a higher return per unit of active risk by Classification using realized tracking errors is likely
including structured equity products in their to result in misidentification of some managers. A man-
portfolios (i.e., process diversification). ager could intentionally switch between low- and high-
tracking error regimes as part of active decision-making.
We first examine the historical track records of struc- A traditional manager with unusually good perfor-
tured and traditional active equity managers. Then we mance, for example, might decide to lock in this good
explore the methodological differences that drive these per- performance by reducing risk. If the change in risk is con-
formance differences. Finally, we show how investors can siderable, and if the manager spends too little time in the
apply these findings, together with active risk budgeting high-tracking error regime, we could mistakenly classify
techniques, to their large-cap U.S. equity portfolios. the manager as structured. Similarly, a structured manager
with a low target tracking error might just happen to have
EVALUATING STRUCTURED a high realized tracking error if risk increases dramatically.
AND TRADITIONAL MANAGERS In this case we might incorrectly put the manager in the
traditional category.
Many investors implement their long-term asset allo- Unfortunately, we do not have enough information
cations to large-cap U.S. equities by combining passive and to detect regime-switching behavior or to know whether
traditional active management. Because we believe investors a particular manager has underestimated (or overesti-
should also include structured equity in the mix, we start mated risk). Any resulting misclassification of managers
with a review of the historical risk and performance char- adds noise to the analysis, which weakens the power of
acteristics of traditional and structured managers. the tests and makes it more difficult to differentiate struc-
Our sample of structured and traditional managers tured and traditional managers. Our strong results lead us
is taken from the Plan Sponsor Network (PSN) database to believe that misclassification of managers is not a seri-
of institutional manager returns.2 We first construct quar- ous problem, and that our database is sufficiently rich both
terly time series returns for 1,052 large-cap U.S. equity to classify managers and to produce historical differences
managers over the period 1989 through 2001. We then that merit discussion.
drop all managers with fewer than 24 quarters of perfor- Exhibit 1 shows the summary performance and risk
mance history. characteristics for each group of managers, including the
We use historical tracking errors to segregate man- historical average, median, and top-quartile and bottom-
agers, classifying lower-tracking error managers as struc- quartile figures for four performance and risk character-
tured, and higher-tracking error managers as traditional. istics: active return, tracking error, information ratio, and
Market conventions place structured equity managers in a pairwise correlation. We calculate the quartile cutoff
target tracking error range of 100 to 250 basis points (bp). points independently for each risk or performance char-
Given that realized (or historical) tracking errors could acteristic. For example, the structured manager with the
exceed targets, we identify structured managers as those median active return may not be the same as the manager
with realized tracking error levels between 100 and 300 bp. with the median tracking error.
Market convention also suggests traditional managers The performance and risk figures in Exhibit 1 indi-
have tracking error targets—to the extent they are bench- cate why selection among different types of managers is
mark-sensitive and have tracking error targets—in excess such a challenge for institutional investors. Let’s look at
include traditional managers in the mix at all. The rea- ple. For example, the top quartile represents the 25th best
son for including traditional managers is straightforward: portfolio of managers in the sample according to the indi-
Most institutional investors hold portfolios of managers. cated statistic. Thus, we can think of these breakpoints as
Thus, the choice is not between a structured manager and representing an investor’s skill level in developing a port-
a traditional manager, but between alternative portfolios folio of managers.
of managers. What happens if we view the historical The results in Exhibit 2 are consistent with those in
experience in this light? Exhibit 1. Compared to portfolios of traditional man-
To assess the differences between structured and agers, the portfolios of structured managers have higher
traditional strategies at the portfolio level, we create com- median active returns (with less risk), and higher infor-
posites of structured and traditional active managers for mation ratios at all levels. For example, for the results with
the period between 1992 and 2001. As with our earlier four managers, the median information ratio for portfo-
analysis, we distinguish between the different manager lios of structured managers is 0.24 versus –0.12 for
types using realized tracking errors—but this time, to portfolios of traditional managers. Not surprisingly, the
ensure we have an investable strategy, we use the prior portfolios of structured managers also have lower average
three years to classify managers for the next three-year tracking errors and less dispersion in tracking errors and
holding period. We continue to measure performance active returns. Thus, we see again that skilled manager
against the S&P 500. selection is much more important when developing a port-
For each three-year time period, we form two folio of traditional managers.4
groups: structured equity managers (1%–3% tracking The results in Exhibits 1 and 2 raise an interesting
error) and traditional active managers (5%–15% tracking question. Why did structured managers perform so well
error). Within each group, we next create 100 randomly (on a risk-adjusted basis) compared to their traditional
selected composite portfolios of two and four managers counterparts? To answer this question, we must dig more
(equally weighted), and then calculate average buy-and- deeply into the underlying investment methodologies of
hold returns for each subsequent three-year period. structured and traditional managers.
Exhibit 2 shows the active returns, tracking errors,
and information ratios for various cutoff points in the sam-
the total information ratio and tracking error, as shown 80 20 125 146 0.86
in Exhibit 4. 70 30 140 160 0.87
An interesting pattern emerges in Exhibit 4. The 60 40 154 184 0.84
information ratio hits its maximum when the investor
50 50 168 214 0.79
blends structured and traditional managers. Under our
40 60 183 248 0.74
assumptions, the optimal portfolio allocates 70% to struc-
tured managers and 30% to traditional strategies. Of 30 70 197 284 0.69
course, the optimal proportions will vary depending on 20 80 211 321 0.66
the underlying information ratio assumptions.9 10 90 226 360 0.63
The central point remains the same. As long as the 0 100 240 400 0.60
expected information ratios for each strategy are positive
Assuming zero correlation between structured and traditional managers. The
and not perfectly correlated, investors achieve a higher structured portfolio comprises two uncorrelated managers, and the traditional
information ratio by combining strategies than they do by portfolio comprises four uncorrelated managers.
relying on either strategy exclusively.
Introduce Passive Management agers, the combined tracking error would hit its target of
to the Portfolio 200 bp. Under our assumptions, the expected informa-
tion ratio for the total domestic equity portfolio would
So far, we have focused on the split between struc- be 0.60. This, in essence, is the barbell strategy.
tured and active equity products, without discussing pas-
sive management. The reason is that, in active risk Evaluate Spectrum
budgeting, passive management is both a risk-free and Versus Barbell Approaches
return-free strategy, while we have been focused on the
allocation of active risk between the two active return- With a spectrum strategy, however, investors can do
generating (i.e., risk-taking) strategies. How does passive better. In Exhibit 4, a 70/30 mix of structured and tra-
management fit into the mix? ditional managers achieves the highest information ratio
The risk-free nature of passive management means (0.87). The tracking error of this mix, however, is 160 bp,
that investors can use it to dampen the total active risk of lower than the target of 200 bp.
their equity portfolios. The first step is to decide on an Assuming the investor cannot lever the optimal
appropriate level of total active risk (expressed in track- information ratio portfolio, the next best solution is to pick
ing error terms), and then to blend the optimal portfolio the mix in Exhibit 4 that has a tracking error closest to
of active strategies with passive management to hit this tar- the target. This portfolio has roughly 55% invested in
get (see Winkelmann and Howard [2001] for more details). structured strategies and the remaining 45% invested with
For example, suppose an investor decides that the traditional managers. The new information ratio of 0.81
tracking error target for a U.S. equity program should be is almost 7% lower than the optimal information ratio. This
200 bp. Suppose further the investor estimates that the shortfall amounts to about 12 bp (200 bp ¥ [0.87 – 0.81])
portfolio of traditional managers has a tracking error of in expected active return, which equals the efficiency
400 bp (as shown earlier) and an information ratio of 0.60. cost of the no-leverage constraint.
If the investor allocates 50% of the total portfolio to a pas- Relative to the barbell strategy, however, this new
sive manager and 50% to the portfolio of traditional man- mix represents a 35% improvement in efficiency (i.e.,
FALL 2003 THE JOURNAL OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT 55
EXHIBIT 5
Results for Spectrum and Barbell Approaches at Selected Target Risk Levels
Spectrum Barbell
The spectrum approach combines passive, structured, and traditional strategies, and the barbell approach combines passive and traditional strategies. The structured
portfolio comprises two uncorrelated top-quartile managers, and the traditional portfolio comprises four uncorrelated top-quartile managers.
0.81 versus 0.60), and an improvement in expected active passive portfolio. This portfolio would have an informa-
return of 42 bp. The source of this efficiency gain is tion ratio of 0.60. We can easily see that the structured
moving from passive to structured management. In fact, equity allocation comes almost entirely from the passive
in this example, for any tracking error target above 160 position. By putting more of the passive assets to work in
bp, investors should have no passive exposure, and should a structured equity program, the information ratio for the
instead allocate all their equity assets to the structured and total U.S. equity portfolio increases from 0.60 to 0.87, or
traditional programs. almost 45%.
Next let’s look at an active risk target that is below Exhibit 5 summarizes these two examples, and pro-
160 bp. Suppose the targeted tracking error is 100 bp for vides the strategy split and information ratios for other
the total U.S. equity portfolio. We know from Exhibit 4 tracking error targets. It contrasts these figures with the
that a mix of 70% invested in structured equity and 30% barbell strategy. The information ratio increases as risk is
invested with traditional managers has the highest infor- taken along the active risk spectrum. What is more strik-
mation ratio. This portfolio has a tracking error of 160 bp. ing, though, is that for the most part, funding for the struc-
If we construct a portfolio that has 38% invested pas- tured equity position comes out of the passive allocation.
sively, and 62% invested in the optimal blend portfolio,
the total portfolio will hit the tracking error target of 100 Change the Correlation Assumption
bp. Thus, the passive position effectively diminishes the
active risk in the optimal blend portfolio without reduc- So far, our analysis has assumed active returns are
ing the total portfolio’s information ratio. The total port- uncorrelated across management type and across managers
folio now has an information ratio of 0.87, and an within each management style. This assumption has been
expected active return of 87 bp, with 38% invested pas- roughly consistent with the observed median correla-
sively, 43% invested with structured managers, and 19% tion, as shown in Exhibit 1. What happens to the infor-
invested in traditional strategies. Thus, this portfolio mation ratio if we assume the correlations are higher?
clearly takes risk across the spectrum. Suppose the pairwise correlations are close to the top-
How does this optimal portfolio compare to the bar- quartile level in Exhibit 1, an average active return corre-
bell strategy? To achieve a targeted tracking error of 100 lation among structured managers of 0.25, and an average
bp in the barbell strategy, the investor would need to correlation among traditional managers of 0.35. We will
allocate 25% to the traditional portfolio and 75% to the continue to assume each prospective manager in each strat-
egy can generate top-quartile risk-adjusted performance. increases more (and its information ratio falls more).
In the two-manager structured equity program, the Consequently, investors should allocate more assets
tracking error increases by about 12%, going from 152 bp to the structured program in order to neutralize the
to 170 bp. This increase in tracking error reduces the infor- impact of higher active risk in the traditional program. In
mation ratio for the structured portfolio from 0.64 to 0.57. fact, it now takes a 70/30 mix to hit the risk target of 200
For the traditional equity program, the higher correlations bp. The information ratio for the combined program is
increase the overall tracking error by 44%, from 400 bp now 0.67, which amounts to a decline in expected return
(with four managers) to around 575 bp. As with the of 28 bp relative to the zero-correlation case. This high-
structured program, the information ratio declines, going lights the importance of finding managers with indepen-
from 0.60 to 0.42. Thus, the higher increased correlation dent and uncorrelated sources of active return.
among traditional managers produces more significant
deterioration in their total tracking error and information Assume Median Skill Levels
ratios.
Suppose an investor decides to improve the efficiency The expected information ratio for the U.S. equity
of the traditional program by doubling the number of program will also vary with the investor’s views about
managers. The tracking error for the traditional program manager selection skill. By using first-quartile informa-
would fall from 575 bp to 525 bp. Correspondingly, the tion ratios for both structured and traditional managers,
information ratio would increase from 0.42 to 0.46. Thus, our examples implicitly assume skill in manager selection.
the higher correlation of active returns among traditional Suppose we are less confident in our ability to pick man-
managers may produce an incentive to hold more tradi- agers, and instead decide to use median information ratios
tional managers in a portfolio.10 in our analysis. What happens to the mix of passive, struc-
This higher correlation does not mean, however, that tured, and traditional managers?
investors should allocate more assets to traditional man- Clearly, the expected information ratio for the total
agers. In fact, the opposite is true. When the correlations U.S. equity portfolio will decline at all tracking error lev-
among traditional managers increase, investors should els. Exhibit 7 illustrates this point by showing the active
allocate more assets (i.e., more of the active risk budget) return, tracking error, and information ratio for alterna-
to the structured equity program. We can see the impact tive allocations between structured and traditional man-
on the active risk budget in Exhibit 6. agers. As in Exhibit 4, we assume portfolios of two
Suppose an investor has a tracking error target for structured managers and four traditional managers. Con-
the overall active program of 200 bp. When the correla- sistent with the median values in Exhibit 1, we also assume
tion of active returns is zero, we determine that a 55/45 each structured manager has an expected information
blend of structured and traditional managers achieves the ratio of 0.30, and each traditional manager has an expected
target tracking error. This blend has an expected infor- information ratio of 0.10. If we further assume there is no
mation ratio of 0.81. correlation between managers’ active returns, the portfo-
All else equal, higher correlations mean higher lio of two structured managers has an expected informa-
tracking errors and lower information ratios for both tion ratio of 0.42, while the portfolio of four traditional
active programs. Because the correlation increases more managers has an expected information ratio of 0.20.
for the traditional program, however, its tracking error also Notice in Exhibit 7 that the maximum information
70 30 69 160 0.43 tured, and traditional managers at the 100 bp tracking error
60 40 71 184 0.38 target under our two assumptions for manager informa-
tion ratios.
50 50 72 214 0.34
The results in Exhibit 8 are quite interesting. When
40 60 74 248 0.30
investors use the median information ratios (i.e., no par-
30 70 75 284 0.27 ticular skill in manager selection), the allocation to struc-
20 80 77 321 0.24 tured equity increases. Moreover, while the allocation to
10 90 78 360 0.22 structured equity is funded out of both the passive and tra-
0 100 80 400 0.20 ditional strategies, the impact is more pronounced on
the passive program.
ratio is achieved when the portfolio has between 80% and Assume Equal Skill Levels of
90% allocated to structured equities and 10% to 20% Structured and Traditional Managers
allocated to traditional strategies. This portfolio has an
expected information ratio of around 0.46 and a track- The assumptions underlying the analysis of Exhibits
ing error between 143 bp and 146 bp. Compared to 4 and 5 are that there are differences between structured
Exhibit 4, the tracking error for the optimal mix is lower, and traditional managers, and that investors are skilled in
while the allocation to structured equity strategies is manager selection. In Exhibits 7 and 8, we assume that
higher. This result should not be surprising, given the rel- investors are neutral in their abilities to pick managers, but
ative declines in information ratios (from top-quartile to that the differences between structured and traditional
median) for the two strategies. managers are expected to continue.
Now, let’s suppose the target tracking error for the The implication for portfolio strategy in both cases
total U.S. equity program is 200 bp. Since this target is is that investors should move away from a barbell strategy
higher than the tracking error for the optimal portfolio, and take active risk across the active risk spectrum. They
we know risk considerations will determine the optimal should do so by reducing their passive positions and
split between structured and traditional strategies. In par- adding structured active equity programs.
ticular, the allocation to structured strategies will be There is a final possibility that deserves consideration.
exactly the same as when we used first-quartile manager Suppose investors believe there are no long-term perfor-
information ratios. mance differences between structured and traditional man-
As Exhibit 7 suggests, we will still allocate 55% to agers, and that they are not skilled in manager selection.
EXHIBIT 8
Results for Optimal Allocations at 100 bp Tracking Error
to the traditional program, with an overall tracking error rate account data, we have shown that the median and top-
of 184 bp and an overall information ratio of 0.49. quartile information ratios for structured managers have
The dollar allocation to the structured program is exceeded those of traditional managers. This result is not
higher, despite the lower information ratio, because risks, surprising. Given their lower tracking error objectives,
not dollars, are allocated in proportion to the information their focus on reducing unintended risks, and their rela-
ratio. That is, we actually allocate more risk to the tradi- tive freedom from the no-short constraint, we would
tional program despite the lower dollar allocation. expect realized information ratios to be higher for struc-
Suppose the total tracking error target is 200 bp. As tured managers.
in our earlier examples, the allocations to each strategy are Thus, investors should not be alarmed by the rela-
driven by risk rather than information ratio considerations. tive differences in historical information ratios. If these dif-
Consequently, 55% of the portfolio is allocated to the port- ferences persist, the practical implication is that investors
folio of structured strategies, and 45% is allocated to the will continue to need traditional managers on their active
portfolio of traditional strategies. manager rosters—although possibly with somewhat
Now, let’s see what happens at a lower tracking smaller allocations. Our analysis also shows that manager
error target. Suppose the tracking error target is 100 bp. selection is extremely important among traditional man-
In this case, the proper strategy is to make allocations to agers. Investors developing a portfolio of traditional
the optimal information ratio portfolio and the passive managers should balance the benefits of diversification
strategy. The optimal blend is now 46% allocated to pas- against the higher fees and monitoring costs that come
sive, 32% allocated to the structured portfolio, and 22% with manager proliferation.
allocated to traditional strategies. This allocation pro- Our main conclusion is that investors should allo-
duces an expected information ratio of 0.49. cate risks across the entire active risk spectrum. Moreover,
So, even when investors believe there is no infor- when moving from a barbell approach to a spectrum
mation ratio advantage to structured strategies, and they strategy, the allocation to structured managers is more
have no skill at manager selection, it is still optimal to fol- likely to come from the passive side than from the tradi-
low the spectrum strategy, and allocate substantial dollar tional active side.
amounts to structured equities. Finally, this conclusion is reasonably insensitive to dif-
ferent assumptions about manager information ratios and
CONCLUSION correlations. Given reasonable expectations based on his-
torical experience, most investors can benefit from adding
We have reviewed a basic issue most institutional a healthy percentage of structured management to their
investors face: how to allocate assets between active and active equity programs.
passive strategies. Many investors adopt a barbell approach
that achieves their active risk targets by blending traditional, ENDNOTES
high-tracking error, active managers with passive index
funds. By including passive management, however, This article represents the work of its authors, and should
investors are forgoing active returns on what may be a sig- not be taken to reflect any opinion of their employer.
1
nificant portion of their portfolios. Structured refers to low-tracking error managers, who are
We believe most investors would benefit from often called enhanced-index or benchmark-sensitive managers. Tra-
ditional refers to concentrated active managers who usually
putting this capital to work in structured equity pro-
have higher tracking errors and are less benchmark-sensitive.
grams. Most investors can achieve potentially significant
tent with a study of mutual funds by Brown and Harlow get for total active risk in the U.S. equity portfolio, and then
[2002], which shows a clear connection between consistency optimizes the manager structure.
10
of investment style and active risk levels and persistence of per- Of course, the diversification benefit of adding more man-
formance. Generally, a high level of consistency corresponds agers must be balanced against the real cost of potentially higher
to lower active risk levels and more persistent benchmark fees and monitoring costs. Adding more managers with lower
outperformance. allocations per manager makes it less likely that investors will be
4
Untabulated results show that investors can improve able to achieve fee breaks. In addition, selection and monitor-
the expected information ratio of the portfolio of traditional ing costs are likely to rise as the investor adds more managers.
managers by classifying managers by style (growth versus value)
and selecting from each group in equal proportions.
5
REFERENCES
For example, the t-statistic on the difference between
median information ratios for portfolios of four structured and Brown, Keith C., and W.V. Harlow. “Staying the Course: The
traditional managers is 1.72, which is significant at the 11% level. Impact of Investment Style Consistency on Mutual Fund Per-
This result means that we cannot reject the hypothesis of no formance.” Working paper, McCombs School of Business,
difference between manager types at the 95% confidence level, University of Texas at Austin, March 2002.
but we can at the 89% level.
6
Of course, this works only if we assume active risk is Winkelmann, Kurt, and Ron Howard. “Developing an Opti-
uncorrelated with the underlying strategic asset allocation. If the mal Active Risk Budget.” Goldman Sachs Investment Man-
active returns are negatively correlated with the underlying agement Research, July 2001.
assets, then the total portfolio information ratio could be
improved by using a suboptimal active portfolio. In practice,
the correlation between active risk and the strategic asset allo- To order reprints of this article, please contact Ajani Malik at
cation is quite low. amalik@iijournals.com or 212-224-3205.
7
The tracking error of 152 bp for the portfolio of two
structured managers is calculated as the square root of the sum:
(1/2 ¥ 215)2 + 2 ¥ 1/2 ¥ 1/2 ¥ 0 ¥ 215 + (1/2 ¥ 215)2. The
zero in the middle term represents the correlation assumption.
A similar approach applies to the portfolio of the four traditional
managers.