1.

P(A^B^C)= P(A) P(C^A|A) P(B|A^C)

A) True
B) False
Solution: (A)
The above statement is true. You would need to know that
P(A|B) = P(A^B)/P(B)
P(C^A|A) = P(C^A^A)/P(A) = P(C^A)/P(A)
P(A^C)=P(A)P(C^A|A) (1)
P(B|A ^ C) = P(A^B^C)/P(A ^ C) (2)
2. When an event A independent of itself?
A) Always
B) If and only if P(A)=0
C) If and only if P(A)=1
D) If and only if P(A)=0 or 1
Solution: (D)
The event can only be independent of itself when either there is no chance of it
happening or when it is certain to happen. Event A and B is independent when
P(A^B) = P(A)*P(B). Now if B=A, P(A^A) = P(A) when P(A) = 0 or 1.
3. A roulette wheel has 38 slots – 18 red, 18 black, and 2 green. You
play five games and always bet on red slots. How many games can you
expect to win?
A) 1.1165
B) 2.3684
C) 2.6316
D) 4.7368
Solution: (B)
The probability that it would be Red in any spin is 18/38. Now, you are playing
the game 5 times and all the games are independent of each other. Thus, the
number of games that you can win would be 5*(18/38) = 2.3684
 4. A box contains three coins: two regular coins and one fake two-
headed coin P(H)=1
• You pick a coin at random and toss it, and get heads. What is the
probability that it is the two-headed coin?
a) 1/3
b) ¼
c) ½
d) 1

Solution:

Let C1 be the event that you choose a regular coin, and let C2 be the event
that you choose the two-headed coin. Note that C1 and C2 form a partition of
the sample space. We already know that
P(H|C1)=0.5
P(H|C2)=1
we are interested in P(C2|H)). We use Bayes' rule

5. The probability of b given a is equal to the probability of a given b,

times the probability of b, divided by the probability of a.
a) true
b) false
6. The probability of event Y occurring at the same time that event X
occurs.
a) Independent probability
b) Dependent probability
c) Joint Probability

7. P(a ∨ b) = P(a) + P(b) − P(a ∧ b)

a) Marginalization Rule
b) Probability Rules
c) Inclusion-Exclusion Rule
d) b,c together
8. A Bayesian network is a data structure that represents the
…………….. among random variables.

a) Independent probability
 b) Dependent probability
9. Bayesian networks have the following property:

a) Directed graphs.
b) the probability distribution of Y depends on the value of X.
c) Each node on the graph represents a random variable.
d) all of the above