QUESTION 1

There are three identical cards except that both sides of the first card are red, both sides of
the second card are blue, and the third card is red on one side and blue on the other. One
card is randomly selected from these three cards and placed down. The visible side of the
card is red. What is the probability that the other side is blue?
QUESTION 2

In a certain neighborhood, 90% of children fell ill due to the flu and 10% due to measles, with
no other diseases reported. The probability of observing rashes for measles is 0.95 and for
the flu is 0.08. If a child develops rashes, find the probability of the child having the flu.
QUESTION 3

Three factories, A, B and C, produce engine components for a major automaker. Factory A
produces 27% of the components, factory B produced 39% of the components, and factory C
produces the remaining 34% of the components. Of the components produced at factory A,
5% do not meet specifications. Of the components produced at factory B, 3% do not meet
specifications. Of the components produced at factory C, 4% do not meet specifications. One
component is selected at random and is found to be defective. What is the probability it
came from factory C?
QUESTION 4

A pile of 8 playing cards has 4 aces, 2 kings and 2 queens. A second pile of 8 playing cards has
1 ace, 4 kings and 3 queens. You conduct an experiment in which you randomly choose a card
from the first pile and place it on the second pile. The second pile is then shuffled and you
randomly choose a card from the second pile. If the card drawn from the second deck was an
ace, what is the probability that the first card was also an ace?
QUESTION 5

A, B, and C are candidates for a managerial position at a private firm, with selection chances
in the ratio 4:1:2. Their probabilities of implementing changes in marketing strategies are 0.3,
0.8, and 0.5, respectively. If a change has occurred, find the probability that it is due to B's
selection.