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Fundamental Counting Principle

STATISTICS AND
● To find the total number of ways that
PROBABILITY two or more events can occur, multiply
THIRD QUARTER REVIEWER the number of ways each event can
Team President, Academics Committee
happen.
● Number of Elements/Ways = E1 ⨉ E2
⨉ ... ⨉ En
LESSON 1: Introduction to
Probability Example 2
Sample Space You take a multiple choice test made up of 10
● Denoted by letter S questions. Each question has 4 possible answers.
● Collection of ALL possible events How many different ways are there to answer
the test (assuming you don’t leave a question
Sample Points blank)?
● Elements in the sample space

Event
● Subset of a sample space

Probability
● A numerical measure of the likelihood
that a specific event will occur

Example 1
A family has 3 children – using B to stand for Basic Probability Rules
boy and G for girl ● The probability of an event
is within the range 0 to 1. 0
≤ P(E) ≤ 1.
● The sum of the probabilities of all
simple events for an experiment is
always 1.
● If an event cannot occur, its probability
is 0 (Impossible event).
● If an event is certain, its probability is 1
(Sure event).

Classical or Theoretical Probability Example


Two dice are rolled. What is the probability of
getting a sum of 2? 8? an even sum?
Example 1
Toss a coin twice. Let x be the number of heads
that occur. Find the probability mass function of
x.

LESSON 2: Random Variables and


Probability Distribution
Mean
Variable ● the mean denoted by μ
● The characteristic or property of the ● Also known as the mew
element. ● is the sum of the products formed by
multiplying the possible values of x with
Random Variable their probabilities.
● A variable being measured to produce ● μ = Σ𝑋 · P(x)
numerical observations associated with
the random outcomes of a chance Example 2
experiment. Roll a die. If the face that comes up is odd, you
● Discrete Random Variable: Only win an amount equivalent to that odd number. If
whole numbers it is even, you lose P4. Identify your expected
● Continuous Random Variable: Has profit in the long run if you play the game.
decimals

Probability Mass Function


● A discrete random variable x is given by
P(X = x) for all possible values of x.
This function can be represented using a
table, graph, or formula.

Expected Value = μ = -0.5 pesos


Standard Deviation (𝜎) LESSON 3: Normal Distribution
● Is used to measure the variability of
possible outcomes. Types of Data Distribution
1. Normal/Symmetric (DESIRED)
Variance (𝜎^2)
● Is the square of the standard deviation.
2
● 𝜎^2 = Σ𝑋 · 𝑃(𝑥) − μ^2

Example 3
A laboratory supervisor in a type III hospital is
investigating a number of reported on-the-job
training accidents over a period of one month.
Based on past records, she has derived the
following probability distribution for x; where x
is the number of reported accidents per month.

2. Skewed to the Right

3. Skewed to the Left


8. Along the horizontal line, the distance
from one integral standard score to the
next integral standard is equal to 1.

9. The probability that the standard random


variable 𝑍 will fall into an interval a to b
is equal to the area shaded region under
the standard normal curve between two
points a to b.

The Standard Normal Distribution has the


following properties
1. The distribution curve is bell-shaped.

2. The total area under the standard normal Areas Under Normal Distribution
curve is equal to 1.

3. The standard normal distribution is


symmetrical about the mean (μ=0).

4. The area to the right and to the left of


the mean (μ=0) is 0.5, because it's half
of the distribution.
Normal distribution
5. The three measures of central tendency,
which are the mean, the median and the
mode, are equal and are located at the
axis of symmetry.

6. The tails of a standard normal curve are


asymptotic(Never touches) relative to
the horizontal line.

7. It can be divided into at least 3 standard


scores, left, right and middle.
Example 1
The average weekly income of 1500 workers is
P1,500 with a standard deviation of P80.
Assuming that the weekly incomes are normally
distributed, find the number of workers who
earn:
Case 1: between ₱1,440 and ₱1,640

Case 3: At least how much a worker should


receive to be included in the top 10% earners?

Case 2: Not more than ₱1,350

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