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ME6226, Product Reliability

Dr. Piyush Shakya

Engineering Asset Management (EAM) Group


Department of Mechanical Engineering
Indian Institute of Technology Madras
pshakya@iitm.ac.in
https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/

April 26, 2023

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 1 / 29


Contents

1 Accelerated Life Testing (ALT)

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Accelerated Life Testing (ALT)

1 Traditional life data analysis includes analyzing the time to failure


data of a component/system obtained under normal operating con-
ditions.

2 In many cases, life data analysis under normal condition is very


difficult to obtain as life of the components may be very high (e.g.
For ball bearing life may be in years.)

3 Therefore, testing engineers have came up with methods to force


these components/systems to fail more quickly that they would
under normal conditions.

4 The purpose of ALT is to quickly find and correct design related


defects that will cause product failure during its specified lifetime.
(Without changing failure modes due to acceleration)

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 3 / 29


Accelerated Life Testing (ALT)

The accelerated life testing may be performed in the following manners:-

Accelerated Cycling/ Accelerated Duty Cycling

The components which are expected to operate for only a few hours a
day can be operated continuously for full day.

Overstress (Testing for Constant Stress)

An accelerated test is a test in which the applied stress is chosen to exceed


that encountered in field operation, but still below the technological
limits.

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Accelerated Cycling/ Accelerated Duty Cycling

1 Examples:
1 Key lock motorcycle 30000 turns

2 RH & LH Indicator in motorcycles switches

3 Bump test

4 TV receiver is typically operated for 6 hours a day. If the ALT is run


continuously for 24 hours a day, it would be accelerated by a factor
of 4 over average use.
2 Many times accelerated cycling is not sufficient to reduce the
overall time.

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Accelerated Cycling/ Accelerated Duty Cycling
It is assumed that no new failure modes are introduced as a result of
increasing the no. of cycles per unit time and that failures occur due to
cycling only.

xn = No. of cycles per unit of time under normal operating condition.


xs = No. of cycles per unit of time under accelerated conditions.
tn = Time to failure under xn cycles per unit of time.
ts = Time to failure under xs cycles per unit of time.
As the no. of operating cycles is the same for both normal and acceler-
ated condition. Therefore,

ts × xs = tn × xn
xn
ts = tn ( )
xs
& Rn (tn ) = Rs (ts )
Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 6 / 29
Acceleration Factor
Acceleration Factor:
xs tn
=
xn ts
Life under normal condition
AF =
Life under elevated stress level
For the Weibull distribution:
−( ηtnn )βn
Rn (tn ) = e
−( ηtss )βs
=e
−( tηnsxxns )βs
=e

Therefore βs = βn = β ( shape factor remains same )


ηn xn ηn
ηs = ηs =
xs AF

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Example 1

Example 1
TV receiver is typically operated for 6 hours a day. If the ALT is run
continuously for 24 hours a day, it would be accelerated by a factor of 4
over average use.

Unit of time = 1 day


&
xn = 6 hours/day
&
xs = 24 hours/day
Therefore, ts = tn (xn /xs ) = tn /4

ts = tn /4 Receptor will fail in 1/4th no. of days than normal condition.

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 8 / 29


Example 2

Example 2
The average use of a washing machine is 10 hours per week. The
washing machine drum rotates 1000 cycles(rotations)/hour. If the drum
is rotated for a full week without any break, what is the A.F ?

xn = 10000 × 10 cycles/week
xs = 10000 × 168 cycles/week
168 · 10000
Therefore, A.F = = 16.8
10 · 10000

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 9 / 29


Example 3
Example 3
A component was tested at an accelerated life test (accelerated cycling)
at 100 cycles/hour. The resultant failure data were found to have a
Weibull distribution, with β = 2.5 & ηs = 1000 hours, if the normal
cycle time is 5/hour. What is the scale parameter for normal operating
conditions & what is the reliability function?

Ans :- For normal operating condition :


ηs = ηn · (xn /xs )
Therefore, ηn = ηs · (xs /xn )
= 1000 · (100/5) = 20000 hrs
βn = βs = β = 2.5
2.5
Therefore, R(t) = e(−t/20000)
In many Life tests, Rolling bearing run at multiple times (speed) than
their normal speed. Sometimes as high as 3 times.
Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 10 / 29
Example 4

Example 4
For an electrical insulator AC Voltage in the test was cycled at 412 Hz
instead of normal 50 Hz, what is the A.F. ?

A.F. = 412/50 = 8.24

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 11 / 29


Overstress (Testing for Constant Stress)
For electronic items, hazard rate may be between 10−10 /hour to 10−7 /hour
(components) & for system assembly, it may be between 10−7 /hour to
10−5 /hour. Therefore, accelerated testing is required for parameter esti-
mation of the population.
An accelerated test is a test in which the applied stress is chosen
to exceed that encountered in field operation, but still below the
technological limits. This is in order to shorten the time to failure
of the item considered by avoiding an alteration of the involved
failure mechanism (genuine acceleration)
In accelerated tests, failure mechanisms are assumed to be acti-
vated selectively by increased stress. The quantitative relationship
between degree of activation and extent of stress is called accelera-
tion factor.
It is assumed that higher stress levels in acceleration tests will ac-
celerate the same failure mode as in normal stress conditions.
Failure will happen more quickly; only a transformation of time
scale, no new failure mode are introduced.
Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 12 / 29
Overstress (Testing for Constant Stress)
tn = Time to failure under normal stress
ts = Time to failure under high stress

tn = AF · ts where AF is acceleration factor.


Pr (Tn < tn ) = Fn (tn ) = Pr (Ts < ts ) = Fs (ts ) = Fs (tn /AF)
Fs (tn /AF) is the CDF of failure distribution
Fn (tn ) = Fs (tn /AF). Differentiating both sides with respect to time:
d n  tn o
fn (tn ) = Fs
dt AF
1  tn 
fn (tn ) = fs
AF AF
As now there is only one time variable tn , it may be replaced by t.
1  t 
fn (t) = fs
AF AF
Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 13 / 29
Example 5

Example 5
For the CFR model, a component is tested at 120 ◦ C & found to be having
MTTF = 500 hrs. Normal use is 25 ◦ C. Assuming AF = 15, determine
the component’s MTTF & reliability function of normal stress levels.

Fn (t) = Fs (t/AF) = 1 − e−λs (t/AF)


1
= 500 hrs
λs
λs = 1/500 per hrs
t
Fn (t) = 1 − e− 500×15
t
Fn (t) = 1 − e− 7500
Therefore, MTTF(normal stress) = 7500 hrs
Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 14 / 29
Common stresses in ALT
1 Temperature
2 Vibration
3 Humidity
4 Pressure
5 Voltage

Proposed by Svante Arrhenius in 1889 for experimental study of inver-


sion of sucrose.
Arrhenius Model : - When failures are accelerated primarily as a result
of an increase in temperature, a common approach is based on Arrhenius
model.
r = Ae-B/T [ r is called reaction rate as initially Arrhenius equation was
developed for chemical reactions, r is inversely proportional to life pa-
rameters ]

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 15 / 29


Arrhenius Model

As AFns = (tnormal /tstress ) = (rstress /rnormal ) (if reaction rate is high, life
will be less)
Where r is reaction or process rate, A & B are constants & T is
temperature in kelvin.
A e(−B/T2 ) − TB + TB B( T1 − T1 )
AF12 = A e(−B/T1 )
=e 2 1 AF12 = e 1 2

The constant B may be calculated by testing at 2 different temperatures


& computing the AF on the basis of the fitted distributions.
ln(AF )
Therefore, B = ( 1 − 121 ) Where AF12 =(η1 /η2 ) where ηi is the scale
T1 T2

parameter

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 16 / 29


Example 6

Example 6
An electronic component has a normal operating temp. of 21 ◦ C. Under
stress condition of 157 ◦ C, a Weibull distribution was obtained with η =
254 hrs and at 177 ◦ C, a Weibull distribution was obtained with η= 183
hrs. The shape parameter did not change with β= 1.72. What are the
shape parameter & scale parameter at normal operating temperature?

Ans:
η1
AF12 = (for Temp.T1 = 430K & T2 = 450K)
η2
254
AF12 = = 1.388
183
ln(AF12 ) ln(1.388)
B= 1 1
= 1 1
= 3172
( T1 − T2 ) ( 430 − 450 )

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 17 / 29


Example 6

Example 6
An electronic component has a normal operating temp. of 21 ◦ C. Under
stress condition of 157 ◦ C a Weibull distribution was obtained with η =
254 hrs and at 177 ◦ C, a Weibull distribution was obtained with η= 183
hrs. The shape parameter did not change with β= 1.72. What are the
shape parameter & scale parameter at normal operating temperature?

Ans: AF12 ( Acceleration factor between normal & T2 )


B( T1n − T1 )
=e 2 , Tn = 21 + 273 = 294 K
1 1
AFn2 = e3172( 294 − 450 ) = 42.1
ηn ηn
AFn2 = = = 42.1
η2 183
Therefore ηn = 7704.3 hrs & βn = β = 1.72
Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 18 / 29
Example 7

Example 7
The following failure data (in hours) were obtained from accelerated
life testing a sample of ten units to failure.

2750 3100 3400 3800 4100


4400 4700 5100 5700 6400

The accelerated life test was conducted at 150 ◦ C. The expected use
operating temp. is 85 ◦ C. Use the Arrhenius model & determine the
mean life at the use temperature?

Ans: Given B = 2321 & that the life distribution is Weibull,


Mean life = 4345 hrs = MTTF
 1
MTTF = ηΓ 1 +
β

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 19 / 29


Example 7

MTTF1 η1
= = AF12 (as β1 = β2 = β)
MTTF2 η2
MTTFn ηn B( 1 − 1 )
= = AFn1 = e Tn T1
MTTF1 η1

Tn = 85 + 273 = 358 Kelvin


T1 = 150 + 273 = 423 Kelvin
1 1
MTTFn = 4345 · e2321( 358 − 423 )

MTTFn = 4345 × 2.7 = 11766.61 hrs

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Eyring Model

1 The Eyring model in its simplest form may be written as:

r = ATα e T e[C+ T ]S1 ,


−B D
(T is in Kelvin)

Where r is the process rate & A, B, C, D, and α are constants. The S1


is the additional stress.

2 The Arrhenius model is limited to only one stress (temperature).


Cases where stresses other than temperature should also be ac-
counted, the Eyring model is used.

3 If there are 2 stresses other than temperature

r = ATα e T e[C+ T ]S1 e[E+ T ]S2


−B D F

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 21 / 29


Eyring Model

1 For two stresses (temperature & one non-thermal stress), five differ-
ent constants are required to be estimated. Therefore experiments
should be conducted for 5 distinct stress combination.
2 With every additional non-thermal stress, two more constants should
be evaluated/ estimated.
3 If alpha is close to zero & if second stress is absent the Eyring model
is close to Arrhenius model.
4 For one non-thermal stress & Temp:
 T2 α B( T1 − T1 ) [C+ TD ]S′1 −[C+ TD ]S1
AF12 = e 1 2 e 2 1
T1
Where S′1 is second level of S1

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 22 / 29


Example 8

Example 8
For a simplified Eyring model, α & D are assumed to be 0 for 2 stresses
(one thermal & other non-thermal). The time for 10% components to
fail is given below. Assume that process rate is equal to 1/t10 . Find the
parameters of the eyring model. [Take ln V as second stress]

10th percentile Time Temperature(◦ C) Voltage


253 40 60
148 80 60
97 40 120

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 23 / 29


Example 8

r = ATα e T e[C+ T ]S1


−B D

Taking α & D = 0,
−B
r = Ae T eCS1
−B
r = Ae T V C
Taking ln both sides
B
ln r = ln A −+ C ln V , r = 1/t10
T
B
− ln t10 = ln A − + C ln V
T
B
ln t10 = − ln A + − C ln V
T
B
ln t10 = A1 + − C ln V
T
where A1 = − ln A
Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 24 / 29
Example 8

t10 ln t10 Temp.(◦ C) Temp. (K) V 1/T (K) -ln V


253 5.5334 40 313.16 60 0.00319 -4.0943
148 4.9972 80 353.16 60 0.00283 -4.0943
97 4.1109 40 313.16 120 0.00319 -4.7875

Based on the data given, different parameters of the eyring model can
be estimated.
IMP :- If no. of conducted experiments are more than 3 (for this case)
then the best fit curve has to be fitted.

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 25 / 29


Highly accelerated life test (HALT)

1 In HALT, the stresses are way beyond the operating condition tech-
nological limits.

2 HALT are used in early design and development phase to reveal


the potential failure modes.

3 The purpose of HALT is not to measure but to improve reliability.


(By eleminating the new revealed failure modes)

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 26 / 29


Highly accelerated Stress Screen (HASS)

1 The HASS is a reliability screening to identify failure attributed to


inherent variability of manufacturing process that is not detected
by Burn in or other traditional methods.

2 The HALT is performed during the product development stage


to identify the possible failure modes and remove them through
robust design. The HASS is performed during the manufacturing
to remove latent flaws.

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 27 / 29


Highly accelerated Stress Screen (HASS)

Source: “TT electronics" blog by David Phillips


Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 28 / 29
Thank You

“The summit of happiness is reached when a person is ready to be what


he is” — Erasmus

Dr. Piyush Shakya (EAM, IITM) https://home.iitm.ac.in/pshakya/ April 26, 2023 29 / 29

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