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ABSTRACT: Several techniques may be used to evaluate fetal acid-base status during
the ante- and intrapartum periods. Percutaneous blood sampling (cordocentesis) may be
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used to measure standard blood-gas parameters while the fetus is still in utero, but because
of the risks associated with such procedures and the limited clinical utility of the results,
this procedure is recommended for blood gas analysis only as part of a research protocol.
Intrapartum blood specimens may be safely obtained via fetal scalp sampling, but the
need for such sampling has been dramatically reduced by the use of other noninvasive
tests such as fetal scalp stimulation or vibroacoustic stimulation. Finally, assay of blood
obtained from a segment of umbilical cord collected at delivery indicates acid-base status
at birth, but the range of normal values is wide, and only the most abnormal results have
any prognostic significance.
I. INTRODUCTION
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407
access. Nonetheless, by sampling blood from the fetal scalp or umbilical cord
segments, fetal acid-base balance may be evaluated and the information
obtained used by clinicians either to make ante- and intrapartum manage-
ment decisions or to counsel parents regarding neonatal prognosis.
The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG)
stated in 1995 that “umbilical cord blood acid-base analysis provides an
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phyxia,” and “fetal distress.” In individual studies these conditions are often
poorly defined and, between studies, there is considerable variability as to
their definitions. Rather than use such terms, we will endeavor to describe
and define specific blood gas abnormalities (acidemia, hypercarbia, etc.), but
when we review specific studies, we may of necessity be forced to use the
authors’ stated outcomes, however poorly named. Similarly, we will employ
the commonly used terms “reassuring” or “nonreassuring heart rate pattern”
in recognition of the extraordinary false-positive rate such tracings have
when labeled as demonstrative of “fetal distress.” At the conclusion of our
survey, we review the criteria recently proposed by the American College
of Obstetricians and Gynecologists for making the diagnosis of birth as-
phyxia. As we shall see, blood gas analysis is an integral part of this new
definition and the criteria they have developed are considerably more restric-
tive than the general use of the term.
Before examining the usefulness of fetal blood gas sampling and analy-
sis, it is essential to understand the anatomy and physiology of normal fetal
gas exchange. Such an understanding in turn requires familiarity with both
the anatomy and biochemistry of the fetal-maternal interface.
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408
A. Anatomy of Maternal-Fetal Placental Exchange
The fetus relies on the mother’s circulatory system both to provide the
nutrients necessary for growth (e.g., O2 and glucose as fuel for aerobic
respiration) and to remove metabolic wastes (e.g., CO2, the end-product of
aerobic respiration, and urea). The placenta serves as the organ of exchange
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409
The mother’s uterine arteries supply oxygenated blood to the uterus
and placenta contained within its cavity. At term, uterine blood flow is about
700 ml/min and accounts for 10% of maternal cardiac output in contrast to
the 3% the uterus receives in the nonpregnant state. Approximately 20%
of this flow perfuses the myometrium: the majority moves from the uterine
arteries to smaller arterioles that perfuse the intervillous space, which in turn
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ple, cannot be greater than that in blood returning to the mother’s system
(in the uterine vein).
Fetal capillaries join to form a single umbilical vein that returns from
the placenta to the fetus through the umbilical cord. After entering the ab-
dominal wall, the umbilical vein enters the fetal liver where it joins with
the left portal vein. Much of this blood is shunted past the portal microcir-
culation by passing through the ductus venousus to the inferior vena cava
(IVC). Upon entering the heart, much of the IVC flow—which represents
the most highly oxygenated fetal blood—is diverted to the systemic circula-
tion by passage through the foramen ovale, an aperture in the fetal interatrial
septum. The majority of the blood that the right ventricle pumps through
the pulmonary artery (that portion of the IVC return not diverted across the
foramen ovale and the blood returned to the atrium through the superior
vena cava) is in turn shunted to the systemic circulation by passage through
the ductous arteriosus, which connects the pulmonary artery to the descend-
ing aorta. Indeed, the system is designed to minimize circulation through
the pulmonary system which, in utero, can provide no gas exchange. The
left side of the heart receives a small amount of blood from the pulmonary
veins and a larger volume of well-oxygenated blood shunted through the
foramen ovale and pumps the mixture out through the aorta. Blood leaving
the left ventricle—in contrast to that which passes through the ductus
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411
A
FIGURE 2. (A) The circulation of blood in the primate placenta. Fetal circulation is shown in the two panels at the left and in
the umbilical cord above. The panels at the right show the maternal blood spurting from spiral arteries in the basal area through
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layers that separate fetal and maternal blood in the human placenta. The cytotrophoblastic layer is much less distinct in the third
trimester than is depicted here.
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FIGURE 2B
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412
Additionally, concentrations of those metabolites (e.g., organic acids) inef-
ficiently cleared by the placenta may be accurately measured in both arterial
and venous samples.
The body has mechanisms that attempt to maintain the hydrogen ion
concentration ([H+]) within narrow limits so that cellular biochemical re-
actions are optimized. In the fetus, H+ may be liberated by two types of
acids—carbonic and noncarbonic.
Carbonic acid (H2CO3) is formed by the hydration of CO2, the main by-
product of oxidative respiration. In the adult, PCO2 is primarily regulated
by alveolar ventilation, which normally is set to maintain a CO2 pressure
of 40 mmHg in the alveoli (and thus also in arterial blood). In pregnant
women, this set-point is lower—34 mmHg. In the human fetus, CO2 dif-
fuses rapidly across the placenta and, as a result, concentrations of H2CO3
in fetal plasma are actually quite low because elimination is limited only
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413
constant for the dissociation of H+ for the relevant acid. The pK for the
acid-base pair of carbonic acid and bicarbonate is 6.1; [HCO3] in blood is
normally 24 mm/l; [H2CO3] in blood is normally 1.2 mm/l (calculated as
the product of CO2 pressure—normally 40 mmHg—and the solubility con-
stant for CO2—0.03). Using these figures, “normal” pH is calculated as 7.4.
As predicted by the Henderson-Hasselbalch equation, a change in either
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are known, clinicians may use the equation to calculate the third factor. In
clinical practice, pH and CO2 pressure are measured, and bicarbonate con-
centration is determined using either a nomogram drawn using the Henderson-
Hasselbalch relationship or the microprocessor, which is part of the auto-
mated blood gas analyzer.
Values for pH, PCO2, and bicarbonate do not tell the whole story, how-
ever, for bicarbonate concentration can change in two ways: it may react
with fixed (noncarbonic) acids and may vary with changes in [CO2] that
occur as the gas is buffered by hemoglobin. As a result of these alternate
possibilities, [HCO3] is of value only for determining the degree of de-
rangement of metabolic activity when CO2 pressure is normal (i.e., 40 mm
Hg). The concept of base excess (BE) was introduced as a measure of the
magnitude of the metabolic acid-base component in the presence of con-
comitant respiratory change and refers to the amount of buffer above or
below normal levels. When depletion of a buffer base (e.g., H2CO3) occurs,
for example, a base deficit exists.
BE is reported along with the other values as part of an umbilical cord
gas result, but it is not measured directly. Instead, BE is calculated from
measured values of pH and CO2 tension by means of a nomogram or
microprocessor. In such calculations, a small correction may be made for
variations in hemoglobin concentration, but by convention, the value is
usually read assuming a concentration of 5 g/dl. This convention is felt to
be a better approximation of whole-body equilibrium.
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414
C. Normal Fetal and Neonatal Blood Gas Values
TABLE 1
Acid-Base and Blood Gas Values in Umbilical Cord
Vessels in the In Utero Human Fetus at Approximately
35 Weeks’ Gestation
Note: n = ≥50.
a Mean ± 2 SD.
Modified from Nicolaides KH, Kypros HN, Rodeck, CH, et al. Effect of
gestational age on fetal and intervillous blood gas and acid-base values
in human pregnancy. Fetal Therapy 1986; 1: 168–175.
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415
As described below, intrapartum fetal scalp sampling has permitted in-
vestigators to assess what blood gas parameters are to be expected during
labor. Such work demonstrates that fetuses often develop a mild respira-
tory and metabolic acidosis by the second stage of labor. (The second stage
of labor is the point at which dilatation is complete and pushing begins.)
It has, of course, been considerably easier to study acid-base balance at
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TABLE 2
Mean and Median Values of Acid-Base and Blood Gas Values in Umbilical Arterial (UA) and Venous (UV)
Cord Blood in Fetuses with Apgar Scores ≥7 at 5 Minutes
Mean Std dev 2.5 percentile 5th percentile Median 95 percentile 97.5 percentile
417
From Helwig IT, Parer JT, Kilpatrick SJ, et al. Umbilical cord blood acid base state: what is normal? Am J Obstet Gynecol 1996:
174: 1807–1814. Used by permission.
(Figure 3), the mean +/– 2 SDs were similar to these values (Table 2). The
authors separately analyzed these babies by method of delivery, gesta-
tional age, presentation, and presence of thick meconium and found that
although the means were significantly different in all groups, the differ-
ences between groups were relatively small (e.g., mean umbilical artery
pH 7.24 ± 0.07 vs. 7.26 ± 0.07 for babies with and without meconium,
respectively). The results of this study will be central to our later consid-
eration of what should be defined as an abnormal blood gas value.
Many measures of neonatal well being are affected by the neonate’s
gestational age. Because of immaturity of neurologic development and the
frequent need for assistance with ventilation, prematurity, for example, is
associated with lower Apgar scores even after controlling for potential
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419
FIGURE 3. Frequency distribution of umbilical arterial blood pH in 15,073 preterm and term babies born vaginally or by
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Umbilical cord blood acid base state: what is normal? Am J Obstet Gynecol 1996, 174: 1807–14. Used with permission.)
[n = 1228] = 10%) even though low one min Apgar scores were found
more commonly in the preterm group (1 min Apgar ≤ 6: preterm = 36% vs.
term = 2.4%).10
concern or intervention.
Traditionally, a cutoff of 7.20 has been used to distinguish normal from
abnormal umbilical artery pHs,1 but such a cutoff seems unreasonably high.
For many laboratory measures, a value 2 SDs below the mean is used to
establish the “lower limit of normal”, but 7.20 is not 2 SDs below the mean
umbilical artery pH. Recognizing this discrepancy, Thorpe et al. 13 argued
from their own analyses that a value of pH = 7.10 was a more appropriate
cutoff. More recently, Helwig and colleagues determined that in their large
population the 2.5th percentile was 7.10.9 According to their analysis, using
a definition of 7.20 would include neonates up to approximately the 20th
percentile.
Perhaps more relevant, using a value of pH = 7.20 has little prognostic
significance, for the overwhelming majority of neonates with umbilical
artery pHs < 7.20 will be normal at birth and beyond. Specifically, the
majority of newborns with pH < 7.20 are vigorous, have Apgar scores >7,
and later manifest no neurologic deficits.5,14 As clinicians have evaluated
cord pH as a predictor of later pathology, they have recognized that not
until a threshold pH of 7.00 is reached, does the test carry the sensitivity,
specificity, and positive predictive value needed for clinical utility.5,14,15 In-
deed, some investigators have argued that a cutoff of pH = 6.80 is more ap-
propriate for making clinical decisions.16,17 (These and other studies of cord
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420
gases as predictors of later outcome are discussed in detail below.) These
new, lower threshold criteria have been incorporated into contemporary
definitions of birth asphyxia, but it is again important to recognize that
even at these more extreme thresholds, the majority of neonates will have
normal outcomes.18 Hence, there is little statistical or clinical support for
the most traditional dictum that defines all pHs below 7.20 as abnormal.
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421
metabolic fuels sufficient at any time depends greatly on maternal and fetal
demands, which are a reflection of and vary with underlying conditions,
pathologies and stresses. Clearly, either maternal or fetal pathophysiology
may disrupt maternal-fetal gas exchange. Specifically, maternal hypoxia
or acidemia, uterine or placental hypoperfusion, placental dysfunction,
compression of the umbilical cord, or inherent fetal conditions may lead
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422
fetus compresses its own cord, occlusion is almost always transient,
but, occlusion resulting from cord prolapse is generally not self-
limiting and may require urgent Cesarean delivery to minimize fetal
metabolic or mixed acidosis.
5. Fetal complications: Stresses on the fetus’s metabolism may result
in acidosis and an increased demand for oxygen, a demand that may
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423
age or death are not rigidly predicted by a fetus’s acid-base state, it is not
yet possible to assign any particular value or set of values to the diagnosis
term “asphyxia.” The duration and extent of metabolic acidosis and hy-
poxia that will result in neurologic damage to the human fetus are not
known, and in fact it appears that an extremely wide variation of severity
and duration of asphyxia ultimately result in such damage. In any individ-
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different techniques are used for sampling at each stage, the goal of sam-
pling is the same: to predict those babies at risk for morbidity and therefore
likely to benefit from intervention.
A. Cordocentesis
1. Technique
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424
is cleaned with an antiseptic solution. Local anesthesia is usually all that
is required to comfortably complete the procedure, but if the anticipated
procedure is lengthy or the patient’s tolerance of discomfort low, systemic
analgesia or regional anesthesia may be required. A 20- to 22-gauge spinal
needle is introduced through the anesthetized skin and directed with
sonographic guidance toward the cord. A sharp stab is then used to
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2. Indications
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3. Contraindications
4. Complications
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426
reflex results in cord occlusion and subsequent fetal bradycardia. Pro-
longed fetal bradycardia may lead to emergent Cesarean delivery.
Although the precise amount of fetal-maternal hemorrhage resulting
from PUBS is difficult to quantify, it has been estimated that some exchange
occurs in nearly half of the cases. Fetomaternal hemorrhage appears to be
reduced when the placenta is not traversed by the sampling needle, and
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pling be limited to a few sites. It also appears that morbidity and mortality
is increased when blood samples are obtained by puncturing the fetal heart
or hepatic vessels in cases in which the cord circulation is inaccessible.29
Such approaches should therefore be used only as a last resort, for example
to permit intrauterine transfusion in an hydropic fetus whose cord cannot
be punctured.
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427
pH = 7.41, O2 = 42.7, CO2 = 34.9, SGA vs. AGA, respectively; umbilical
artery: pH = 7.32, O2 = 20.8, CO2 = 47.3 vs. pH = 7.37, O2 = 28.0, CO2 =
35.0 , SGA vs. AGA, respectively).30 This initial study raised the hope that
blood gas values might be of clinical use in fetuses in which other testing
of fetal well being was otherwise equivocal. Nicolini et al., however, found
that similar differences in blood gas values did not predict fetal outcome
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1. Technique32
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429
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FIGURE 4. Technique of obtaining fetal blood from the scalp during labor. (From Creasy RK, Parer JT. Prenatal care and
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diagnosis. In: Rudolph AM, ed. Pediatrics, 16th ed. p 121. New York: Appleton-Century-Crofts, 1977. Used with permission.)
probably results from respiratory acidosis, but it can depress pH profound-
ly. Furthermore, it has been shown that the fetal oxygen tension falls during
slowing of the heart rate by more than 15 beats/min with contractions. Hence,
some have recommended that FBS be performed just before the next expect-
ed contraction, because sampling then will best reflect the baseline state of
the fetus.
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2. Contraindications to FBS
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430
delayed by scalp sampling. Other contraindications to FBS are concern for
vertical transmission of maternal infection (e.g., HIV) or for fetal bleeding
disorders (e.g., hemophilia). Because FBS may be performed only after
rupture of membranes, any contraindication to membrane rupture is also
a contraindication to FBS. Minimal cervical dilatation or excessive fetal
caput (edema) may limit one’s ability to successfully obtain a scalp sample
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3. Complications of FBS
neonate may have a small scar at the site of sampling but this will be
hidden by the baby’s hair. Finally, although there is no theoretical limit to
the number of samples that can be taken, as a practical matter, numerous
samples (e.g., greater than 10) can result in soft tissue trauma to the fetus.
Use of a vacuum extractor for delivery is not contraindicated after FBS,
but one should be wary of it use in the fetus who has already had several
samplings.
In summary, if mortality resulting from coagulopathies is excluded,
the complications of FBS are quantitatively minor and are of less impor-
tance than is the potentially irreversible problem of asphyxial brain injury
or maternal morbidity of Cesarean delivery, both of which FBS may assist
in avoiding.
4. Utility of FBS
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431
normal cord blood gases if delivered immediately (e.g., by Cesarean). Fetal
scalp blood sampling, introduced by Erich Saling of Berlin in the early
1960s,35 has been used by many as a second test to highlight those fetuses
truly in need of delivery or in utero resuscitation. FBS, for example, ap-
peared to be an important preliminary step in the Dublin description of the
active management of labor, a protocol that produced remarkably low rates
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FIGURE 5. Relationship between fetal blood pH and Apgar score at 2 min. All
samples were taken shortly before delivery. The arbitrary lines separate fetuses
regarded as vigorous (Apgar score 7 or above) and those with normal pH (above
7.2). Note that there is a general relationship between the two variables (seg-
ments A and X) and also approximately 30% spillover into the false-normal and
false-abnormal groups (B and Y). (From Beard RW, Morris ED, Clayton SG, pH
of foetal capillary blood as an indicator of the condition of the foetus. J Obstet
Gynaecol Br Commonw 1967; 74: 812-22. Used with permission.)
ated with a 2-min Apgar of >7 in 92% of infants. A pH of less than 7.15
was associated with a score of less than 6 in 80% of cases. A pH of 7.15
to 7.25 in the second stage of labor was unreliable for predicting the
condition of the baby at birth as judged by the 2-min Apgar score. Other
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433
investigators have found a similar correlation between blood pH and
Apgar score.40
Another approach to validation has been to relate fetal blood pH to
“nonreassuring” FHR patterns. Unfortunately, such an approach is not
strictly valid itself, because the former observation is often used to sub-
stantiate the latter. Nevertheless, some impressive correlations have been
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noted (Table 3).41 Kubli et al.’s 41 landmark report was felt by many to
confirm the ominousness of certain FHR patterns. Of great importance,
however, is a reanalysis of these data in a study published some years after
the initial publication.42 Instead of a continuum of acidosis in the various
groups of FHR patterns, these later investigators showed that they could
separate patients with late decelerations into two distinct groups based on
the degree of fetal heart rate variability (Figure 6). Those with average or
higher variability were significantly less acidotic than those with de-
creased variability. In fact, in the presence of mild or moderate late
decelerations with average variability (a pattern previously felt to be
ominous), the average baby was not acidotic. This surprising finding is
explained by the presence of two distinct classes of late decelerations:
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TABLE 3
Relationship Between Fetal Blood pH
and Fetal Heart Rate Patterns
in Preceding 20 Minutes
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5. Alternatives to FBS
Because not every facility has the equipment necessary for fetal scalp
blood sampling and analysis available and because FBS entails additional
time, expense, and potential discomfort, clinicians have sought alternative
tests to use when the heart rate tracing argues that the fetus may be at risk
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435
for significant metabolic acidemia. Practitioners had often observed, for
example, that some fetuses respond to the stimulation of scalp sampling
with heart rate accelerations and that such accelerations were associated
with reassuring sample pH’s.43 Such observations led investigators to
examine whether fetal scalp stimulation alone might be a useful test of
fetal well being when the heart rate tracing was otherwise “abnormal”.
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436
fetus at 1-min intervals for a maximum of three times. If after three stimula-
tions there was still no response, fetal scalp sampling was then performed,
or if this was not technically possible, a Cesarean delivery was undertaken.
Thirty of 64 responded with an acceleration of 15 bpm for >15 sec, and no
such fetus had a pH <7.25. Of 34 who did not respond, 18 (53%) had a pH
<7.25. These investigators predicted that the use of acoustic stimulation
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437
tially hazardous clinical situations such as maternal diabetes or fetal pas-
sage of thick meconium because the negative predictive value of a normal
fetal heart rate tracing is so high.
at Delivery
1. Technique
sis. The greatest accuracy is achieved with careful anaerobic collection and
collection of sufficient volume (more than 0.5 ml) to minimize dilution and
the inevitable exposure to air. Clinicians should also take care to distin-
guish which sample is arterial (usually the smaller caliber vessel) and which
venous, although the results of the individual analyses will usually make
this clear. If there is not enough blood in the artery for an adequate sample,
blood may be drawn from vessels on the placenta’s surface, where arteries
cross over veins.
It has been stated that the cord should be clamped as soon after birth
as feasible, ideally before the baby’s first breath, for the samples to be most
representative of the in utero environment. Although this is usually done
if the baby is depressed or at the time of Cesarean section, there are some
good reasons to delay clamping in the apparently normal, vigorous baby.
In patient-oriented and natural childbirth practices, for example, the new-
born is usually given immediately to the mother and father, and not infre-
quently placed on the mother’s abdomen. Immediate clamping may be
intrusive if such a delivery is planned, and getting the clamp on before the
vigorous child’s first breath may be a challenge regardless of the delivery
plan. Fortunately, vigorous babies are the ones in whom assessing cord
gases are least necessary.
In fact, considerations of blood gas sampling aside, the ideal time to
clamp the cord is still controversial, with some advocating that the atten-
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FIGURE 7. A double clamped segment of umbilical cord immediately after birth. Blood has been aspirated form the umbilical artery,
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dant clamp immediately to prevent the transfusion of blood from the pla-
centa, and others recommending the practitioners wait for the cord to stop
pulsating so that the newborn can obtain “the right amount” of blood. There
is no good evidence for either position, and we recommend an approach
of moderation with an intermediate time of clamping (about half a min)
unless, of course, there are other considerations such as resuscitation. If a
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short delay has any effect on cord gases, it is more likely to alter the res-
piratory components of the analysis (i.e., CO2 and O2) than the metabolic
components.52
Once the cord is clamped, the time at which the samples are drawn
from the cord53,54 and the interval preceding analysis in the laboratory55–57
appear to be much less critical. Neither is it important that either the cord
or filled syringes remain on ice. Duerbeck et al.54 sampled clamped seg-
ments from 25 patients for 1 h and found that there were no statistically
significant changes in pH, PCO2, or PO2 of umbilical arterial blood.
Strickland et al.55 drew 105 specimens from 33 cords immediately after
vaginal delivery and analyzed the blood at intervals over the next 2 h.55
These investigators found that after an hour’s delay, the pH in only 2 of 84
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specimens had fallen by more than 0.04 units, and pCO2 in only 5 of 84
specimens varied by more than 7 torr from the initial reading. In fact, there
was little variation even when samples were run 2 h after collection.
Neither did the investigators find a difference between iced samples and
those stored at room temperature. Together these studies argue that after
the cord is clamped, specimens may be drawn and analyzed at the clinician’s
and laboratory’s convenience. When gases are run only on select newborns
(see discussion below), the interval allows evaluation of the neonate to de-
termine those cases to be selected for blood gas analysis.
Because cord gases are drawn after delivery from a specimen that is
otherwise discarded, there are no contraindications to obtaining gases and
no complications from their sampling.
Because cord gas values obtained after delivery reflect the in utero
acid-base status, many have hoped that these analyses might predict future
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440
neonatal morbidity. But few antepartum events are strong predictors of
acidemia, and only the most marked acidemia even weakly predicts later
morbidity. Therefore, the potential clinical use of cord blood gas analysis
remains limited.
Gilstrap and Cunningham4 recently summarized the work of many
investigators who have linked differences in cord gas values to known
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441
pH cutoff with an acceptably low false-positive rate for predicting poor
neonatal outcome. Goldaber et al.5 reviewed the outcomes of 3506 neo-
nates with cord umbilical artery pH < 7.20 (Table 4). They found that
infants with pH < 7.00 had a higher risk of unexplained seizures and neonatal
death. These same infants were also more likely to have had low Apgar
scores (<3 at 1 or 5 min). Although these investigators recognized that the
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majority of neonates (72/87) with pH < 7.00 had a normal outcome, they
suggested that compared with the traditional cut off of pH < 7.20, pH <
7.00 was a more realistic cutoff for defining pathologic fetal acidemia.
Goodwin et al.16 suggested an even more extreme cutoff in their evaluation
of 129 term neonates with pHs < 7.00; in their analysis a pH <6.8 with
marked hypercarbia (PCO2 > 100 mm Hg) and metabolic acidemia (BE <
–15 mEq/l) was most predictive of later death or neurological dysfunction,
but in practice only the rarest newborn will be so markedly acidemic.
Emphasizing the difficulty of using pH as a predictor of subsequent
neurologic dysfunction, Fee et al.18 studied outcomes among 15,528
neonates. Among 110 term neonates with pH < 7.05 and base excess
< –10 mEq, 101 had normal outcomes. Further, follow-up was available
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442
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TABLE 4
Neonatal Morbidity in a Population of 3506 Neonates with Umbilical Artery
Cord pH < 7.20 at Birth
From Goldabar KG, Gilstrap LC, Leveno KJ, et al. Pathologic fetal acidemia. Obstet Gynecol
1991: 78: 1103–7.
443
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definitions of pH < 7.20—is 3 to 4/1000 births, whereas the prevalence of
cerebral palsy (CP) due to intrapartum asphyxia is only 0.25/1000 births
(10% of an overall incidence of 2.5/1000 births). Therefore, even if a pH
< 7.00 were 100% sensitive as a predictor of CP, the positive predictive
value of the test for cerebral palsy would be only 0.073.17
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444
Others have added to this list an umbilical arterial base excess of at least
–16 mEq/l and absent fetal heart rate variability on the heart rate tracing
at the time of delivery.17
An umbilical artery pH of >7.00 thereby serves as important evidence
of the absence of clinically relevant asphyxia. This negative predictive
value may be of use to pediatric neurologists or other clinicians struggling
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445
from the fetus, and there can be wide discrepancies between the values in
the umbilical vein and artery under conditions of poor umbilical blood
flow (e.g., cord prolapse).
V. CONCLUSION
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