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STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL

Mar-20
Happy Hour Co — MODEL
Assumptions
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Key assumptions

Last Historical FYE 30-Mar-19


Transaction date 31-Mar-20

Enterprise value calculation

Current share price (c) 165.0 p_price


NOSH (m) 199.0
Market cap ($m) 328.4
Net debt / (cash) ($m) 84.6
Minority interests ($m) 0.0
Pension liability ($m) 0.0
Investment in associates ($m) 0.0

EV ($m) 413.0
Happy Hour Co - 5 Year plan

5 Year Plan
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Revenue 1,149 1,256 1,354 1,447 1,443
YoY growth % 9.3% 7.8% 6.9% -0.3%
GP $ 583 634 689 737 753
GM% 50.7% 50.5% 50.9% 50.9% 52.2%
Opex (523) (580) (622) (662) (678)
Operating profit 60 54 67 75 75
Operating margin % 5.2% 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 5.2%
Interest and Amortisation (5) (6) (6) (6) (6)
Group PBT (Underlying) 55 48 61 68 69

Exceptionals (18) (7) 1 (5)


Group PBT post exceptionals 55 30 54 70 64
Add back: Interest 3 4 4 4 4
Add back: Amortisation 2 2 2 2 2
Add back: Depreciation 34 38 45 50 53
EBITDA post exceptionals 94 75 105 126 123

Adjust for non-cash exceptionals 0 0 0 24 0


Capex (36) (51) (50) (50) (50)
Acquisition (9) (9) 0 0 0
Tax (18) (9) (11) (12) (12)
Interest (3) (4) (4) (4) (4)
Working Capital 6 16 15 11 4
Dividend (37) (24) (24) (24) (24)
Other 0 (5) (5) (5)

Net Cash flow (3) (6) 26 65 31


Free Cash Flow 43 27 50 89 55

Opening Net Debt (82) (85) (91) (65) 0


Closing Net Debt (85) (91) (65) 0 32
Net debt : EBITDA 0.9x 1.0x 0.6x (0.0x) (0.2x)
Income statement
Actuals CMD case Extrapolations

March YE ($mm) 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E 2030E

Total revenue 939.7 1,004.9 1,021.5 1,095.0 1,135.1 1,138.6 1,149.2 1,255.6 1,353.8 1,447.0 1,442.6 1,471.5 1,498.0 1,521.9 1,543.2 1,561.8 1,577.4
Management case 1,149.2 1,255.6 1,353.8 1,447.0 1,442.6
% forecast growth 0.9% 9.3% 7.8% 6.9% (0.3%) 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0%

EBITDA 101.1 109.9 114.6 108.7 109.5 98.2 94.1 92.6 111.8 124.4 127.6 130.5 133.2 135.8 138.1 140.1 142.0
Management case 94.1 92.6 111.8 124.4 127.6
% growth n.a. 8.7% 4.3% (5.1%) 0.7% (10.3%) (4.1%) (1.6%) 20.7% 11.3% 2.6% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.3%
% forecast margin 8.2% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 9.0%

Depreciation and amortisation (23.3) (25.3) (30.1) (31.6) (34.9) (36.0) (36.1) (40.5) (47.2) (51.8) (54.8) (53.6) (52.4) (51.1) (49.9) (48.7) (47.5)
% growth n.a. 8.6% 19.0% 5.0% 10.4% 3.2% 0.4% 12.0% 16.7% 9.8% 5.7% (2.2%) (2.3%) (2.3%) (2.4%) (2.4%) (2.5%)
% capex 76.6% 67.5% 74.7% 87.5% 93.6% 116.1% 100.4% 79.3% 94.4% 103.7% 109.6% 107.2% 104.7% 102.3% 99.9% 97.4% 95.0%
% margin 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 3.2% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.2% 3.1% 3.0%

EBIT 77.8 84.6 84.5 77.1 74.6 62.2 58.0 52.2 64.6 72.6 72.8 76.9 80.9 84.6 88.1 91.4 94.5
% growth n.a. 8.7% (0.1%) (8.8%) (3.2%) (16.6%) (6.7%) (10.1%) 23.8% 12.3% 0.3% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 4.2% 3.7% 3.3%
% margin 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% 7.0% 6.6% 5.5% 5.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9% 6.0%

% tax rate 19.0% 19.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0%

x Net income 55.5 65.8 64.9 59.5 58.4 48.3 44.5 39.9 50.2 56.8 57.0
% growth n.a. 18.6% (1.4%) (8.3%) (1.8%) (17.3%) (7.9%) (10.3%) 25.9% 13.2% 0.3%
% margin 5.9% 6.5% 6.4% 5.4% 5.1% 4.2% 3.9% 3.2% 3.7% 3.9% 4.0%

Cashflow statement

Capex (30.4) (37.5) (40.3) (36.1) (37.3) (31.0) (36.0) (51.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0)
% growth n.a. 23.4% 7.5% (10.4%) 3.3% (16.9%) 16.1% 41.7% (2.0%) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
% sales 3.2% 3.7% 3.9% 3.3% 3.3% 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
% Cash conversion 69.9% 65.9% 64.8% 66.8% 65.9% 68.4% 61.8% 44.9% 55.3% 59.8% 60.8% 61.7% 62.5% 63.2% 63.8% 64.3% 64.8%

Change in Working Capital (5.3) 25.1 (11.2) (16.3) (12.6) (10.4) 6.0 16.1 15.2 11.1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
% growth n.a. (573.6%) (144.6%) 45.5% (22.7%) (17.5%) (157.7%) 168.5% (5.9%) (26.8%) (64.4%) (100.0%) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
% sales (0.6%) 2.5% (1.1%) (1.5%) (1.1%) (0.9%) 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Other Cashflows (1.5) 0.7 0.0 0.0 (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0)
% growth n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. (149.3%) (100.0%) n.a. n.a. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
% sales 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% (0.1%) 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Exceptional items 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (18.0) (6.8) 25.1 (4.9) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
% growth n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. (62.5%) (472.3%) (119.4%) (100.0%) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
% sales 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 0.5% (1.7%) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Summary financials
March Y/E 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E 2030E

Revenue 940 1,005 1,022 1,095 1,135 1,139 1,149 1,256 1,354 1,447 1,443 1,471 1,498 1,522 1,543 1,562 1,577
% growth n.a. 6.9% 1.7% 7.2% 3.7% 0.3% 0.9% 9.3% 7.8% 6.9% (0.3%) 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0%
EBITDA 101 110 115 109 110 98 94 93 112 124 128 131 133 136 138 140 142
% growth n.a. 8.7% 4.3% (5.1%) 0.7% (10.3%) (4.1%) (1.6%) 20.7% 11.3% 2.6% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.3%
% margin 10.8% 10.9% 11.2% 9.9% 9.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 9.0%
D&A (23) (25) (30) (32) (35) (36) (36) (40) (47) (52) (55) (54) (52) (51) (50) (49) (48)
% of revenue (2.5%) (2.5%) (2.9%) (2.9%) (3.1%) (3.2%) (3.1%) (3.2%) (3.5%) (3.6%) (3.8%) (3.6%) (3.5%) (3.4%) (3.2%) (3.1%) (3.0%)
% of capex 76.6% 67.5% 74.7% 87.5% 93.6% 116.1% 100.4% 79.3% 94.4% 103.7% 109.6% 107.2% 104.7% 102.3% 99.9% 97.4% 95.0%
EBIT 78 85 85 77 75 62 58 52 65 73 73 77 81 85 88 91 94
% growth n.a. 8.7% (0.1%) (8.8%) (3.2%) (16.6%) (6.7%) (10.1%) 23.8% 12.3% 0.3% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 4.2% 3.7% 3.3%
% margin 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% 7.0% 6.6% 5.5% 5.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9% 6.0%
EBITDA 101 110 115 109 110 98 94 93 112 124 128 131 133 136 138 140 142
Capex (30) (38) (40) (36) (37) (31) (36) (51) (50) (50) (50) (50) (50) (50) (50) (50) (50)
% revenue 3.2% 3.7% 3.9% 3.3% 3.3% 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
Change in NWC (5) 25 (11) (16) (13) (10) 6 16 15 11 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
% revenue (0.6%) 2.5% (1.1%) (1.5%) (1.1%) (0.9%) 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Other Cashflows 0 0 0 0 (2) 1 0 0 (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5)
% revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% (0.1%) 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Exceptional items 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (18) (7) 25 (5) 0 0 0 0 0 0
% revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 0.5% (1.7%) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DCF
Key assumptions
Transaction date 31-Mar-20
Next financial YE 31-Mar-21
Perpetuity growth rate 0.5% <<< Put down the assumptions after discussing with your senior
TV exit EBITDA multiple 8.5x
WACC used for sensitivity analy 8.5%

Below fill in the blanks by linking from the Financials tab update formula, growth is expressed vs previous year and margin is vs sales update as noted
DCF FCF Calculation

Stub period (731) (366) 0 365 730 1,095 1,461 1,826 2,191 2,556 2,922 3,287 3,652
Stub factor 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Actuals Estimates
March YE ($mm) 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E 2030E

Revenue 1,095.0 1,135.1 1,138.6 1,149.2 1,255.6 1,353.8 1,447.0 1,442.6 1,471.5 1,498.0 1,521.9 1,543.2 1,561.8 1,577.4
% growth 0.0% 3.7% 0.3% 0.9% 9.3% 7.8% 6.9% -0.3% 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0%

EBITDA 108.7 109.5 98.2 94.1 92.6 111.8 124.4 127.6 130.5 133.2 135.8 138.1 140.1 142.0
% margin 9.9% 9.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 9.0%
% growth 0.0% 0.7% -10.3% -4.1% -1.6% 20.7% 11.3% 2.6% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.3%

D&A (31.6) (34.9) (36.0) (36.1) (40.5) (47.2) (51.8) (54.8) (53.6) (52.4) (51.1) (49.9) (48.7) (47.5)
% sales (2.9%) (3.1%) (3.2%) (3.1%) (3.2%) (3.5%) (3.6%) (3.8%) (3.6%) (3.5%) (3.4%) (3.2%) (3.1%) (3.0%)
% of capex 87.5% 93.6% 116.1% 100.4% 79.3% 94.4% 103.7% 109.6% 107.2% 104.7% 102.3% 99.9% 97.4% 95.0%

EBIT 77.1 74.6 62.2 58.0 52.2 64.6 72.6 72.8 76.9 80.9 84.6 88.1 91.4 94.5
% margin 7.0% 6.6% 5.5% 5.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9% 6.0%
% growth 0.0% -3.2% -16.6% -6.7% -10.1% 23.8% 12.3% 0.3% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 4.2% 3.7% 3.3%

Tax 11.0 8.9 11.0 12.3 12.4 13.1 13.7 14.4 15.0 15.5 16.1 << EBIT*tax rate
% tax rate 19.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0%

EBIAT 47.0 43.3 53.6 60.2 60.4 63.8 67.1 70.2 73.2 75.9 78.4 << EBIT+tax
% margin 4.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 4.6% 4.7% 4.9% 5.0%
% growth 0.0% (7.9%) 23.8% 12.3% 0.3% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 4.2% 3.7% 3.3%

D&A 36.1 40.5 47.2 51.8 54.8 53.6 52.4 51.1 49.9 48.7 47.5

Capex (36.1) (37.3) (31.0) (36.0) (51.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0)
% sales (3.3%) (3.3%) (2.7%) (3.1%) (4.1%) (3.7%) (3.5%) (3.5%) (3.4%) (3.3%) (3.3%) (3.2%) (3.2%) (3.2%)
% D&A 114.2% 106.9% 86.1% 99.6% 126.1% 105.9% 96.5% 91.2% 93.3% 95.5% 97.8% 100.1% 102.6% 105.3%

Change in working capital (16.3) (12.6) (10.4) 6.0 16.1 15.2 11.1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
% sales (1.5%) (1.1%) (0.9%) 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Other Cashflows 0.0 (1.5) 0.7 0.0 0.0 (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0)
% sales 0.0% (0.1%) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% (0.4%) (0.3%) (0.3%) (0.3%) (0.3%) (0.3%) (0.3%) (0.3%) (0.3%)

Exceptional items 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (18.0) (6.8) 25.1 (4.9) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
% sales 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% (1.4%) (0.5%) 1.7% (0.3%) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

FCF 53.1 30.9 54.2 93.3 59.3 62.4 64.5 66.4 68.1 69.6 70.9 <<add EBIT+D&A+Capex(-ve)+Change in WC (-ve)+other cashflow

Stub period (53.1) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
FCF for discounting 0.0 30.8 54.2 93.3 59.3 62.4 64.5 66.4 68.1 69.6 70.9

Days to cashflow 0 365 731 1,096 1,461 1,826 2,192 2,557 2,922 3,287 3,653
Discount factor 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4

Terminal value Perpetuity growth portion 890.7


Exit EBITDA multiple 1,206.7

Perpetuity growth method Exit EBITDA multiple method


Present value ($m) (%) Present value ($m) (%)
PV of FCF 409 50.9% PV of FCF 409.1 41.4%
PV of Terminal Value 394 49.1% PV of Terminal Value 579.1 58.6%
Enterprise value 803 100.0% Enterprise value 988.2 100.0%
Net debt & adjustments (84.6) Net debt & adjustments (84.6)
Equity value 718 Equity value 903.5
Share price 361 Share price 454.0
% premium to current 118.8% % premium to current 175.2%

Sensitivity analysis
Spread rates and step-up

Perpetuity growth 0.5% Perptuity growth rate step-up 0.25% EBITDA multiple 8.5x EBITDA multiple step-up
WACC 8.5% WACC step-up 0.50% WACC 8.5% WACC step-up 0.5%

Perpetuity growth rate analysis EBITDA multiple analysis


Enterprise value ($m) Enterprise value ($m)
WACC (%) Perpetuity growth rate (%) WACC (%)Exit EBITDA multiple (x)
803.059678884 0.00% 0.25% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00% 988.1642070082 8.5x 8.5x 8.5x 8.5x 8.5x
7.5% 7.5%
8.0% 8.0%
8.5% 8.5%
9.0% 9.0%
9.5% 9.5%

Offer price (p) Offer price (p)


WACC (%) Perpetuity growth rate (%) WACC (%)Exit EBITDA multiple (x)
361.0 0.00% 0.25% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00% 454.0 8.5x 8.5x 8.5x 8.5x 8.5x
7.5% 404 412 421 431 442 7.5% 489 489 489 489 489
8.0% 374 382 389 397 406 8.0% 471 471 471 471 471
8.5% 348 355 361 368 375 8.5% 454 454 454 454 454
9.0% 325 331 336 342 348 9.0% 437 437 437 437 437
9.5% 305 309 314 319 324 9.5% 422 422 422 422 422

Summary financials
March YE ($mm) 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E 2030E
EBITDA 108.7 109.5 98.2 94.1 92.6 111.8 124.4 127.6 130.5 133.2 135.8 138.1 140.1 142.0
% margin 9.9% 9.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 9.0%
D&A 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.1 40.5 47.2 51.8 54.8 53.6 52.4 51.1 49.9 48.7 47.5
% of capex 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.4% 79.3% 94.4% 103.7% 109.6% 107.2% 104.7% 102.3% 99.9% 97.4% 95.0%
EBIT 77.1 74.6 62.2 58.0 52.2 64.6 72.6 72.8 76.9 80.9 84.6 88.1 91.4 94.5
% margin 7.0% 6.6% 5.5% 5.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9% 6.0%
Tax 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 8.9 11.0 12.3 12.4 13.1 13.7 14.4 15.0 15.5 16.1
Tax rate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 19.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0%
EBIAT 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.0 43.3 53.6 60.2 60.4 63.8 67.1 70.2 73.2 75.9 78.4
+D&A 31.6 34.9 36.0 36.1 40.5 47.2 51.8 54.8 53.6 52.4 51.1 49.9 48.7 47.5
+ Maintenance capex (36.1) (37.3) (31.0) (36.0) (51.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0) (50.0)
+Change in working capital (16.3) (12.6) (10.4) 6.0 16.1 15.2 11.1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Exceptional cash flows 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (18.0) (6.8) 25.1 (4.9) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Other cash flows 0.0 (1.5) 0.7 0.0 0.0 (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) (5.0)

FCF (20.8) (16.5) (4.7) 53.1 30.9 54.2 93.3 59.3 62.4 64.5 66.4 68.1 69.6 70.9
DCF output

Summary financials and cashflow

DCF Forecast Year 0 1 2

Mar YE ($m) 2020E 2021E 2022E

Revenue 1,149 1,256 1,354

% growth 9.3% 7.8%

EBITDA 94 93 112

% margin 8.2% 7.4% 8.3%

% growth (1.6%) 20.7%

D&A (36) (40) (47)

% of revenue 3.1% 3.2% 3.5%

% of capex 79.3% 94.4%

EBIT 58 52 65

% margin 5.0% 4.2% 4.8%

Tax on EBIT (9) (11)

% tax rate 17.0% 17.0%

Capex (51) (50)

% of revenue 4.1% 3.7%

Change in NWC 16 15

Other Cashflows 0 (5)

% of revenue 0.0% 0.4%

Exceptional items (18) (7)

% of revenue 1.4% 0.5%

Unlevered free cash flow 31 54

1 2
Cashflow Timing (Years to Discount)
0.92 0.85
Discount Factor
Discounted DCF cashflows 28 46

Net Present Value based on Perpetuity Growth Method

Amount % of Sensitising firm value ($m) an


Value Based on 8.5% WACC & 0.5% TGR
($m) NPV
Present Value of Cashflows 409 50.9%

PV of Terminal Value 394 49.1% 7.5%


WACC (%)
WACC (%)
Implied Firm NPV 803 100.0% 8.0%

Net debt & adjustments (85) 8.5%

Implied equity value 718 9.0%

Implied share price ($c) 361 9.5%

% premium to current 118.8%


3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E


1,447 1,443 1,471 1,498 1,522 1,543 1,562

6.9% (0.3%) 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2%

124 128 131 133 136 138 140

8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0%

11.3% 2.6% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5%

(52) (55) (54) (52) (51) (50) (49)

3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.2% 3.1%

103.7% 109.6% 107.2% 104.7% 102.3% 99.9% 97.4%

73 73 77 81 85 88 91

5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9%

(12) (12) (13) (14) (14) (15) (16)

17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0%

(50) (50) (50) (50) (50) (50) (50)

3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2%

11 4 0 0 0 0 0

(5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5)

0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

25 (5) 0 0 0 0 0

(1.7%) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

93 59 62 64 66 68 70

3 4 5 6 7 8 9

0.78 0.72 0.67 0.61 0.56 0.52 0.48

73 43 42 40 38 35 33

ising firm value ($m) and implied offer price to WACC and TGR

Perpetuity Growth Rate (%)


0.00% 0.25% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00%

888 / 404c 905 / 412c 923 / 421c 943 / 431c 964 / 442c
830 / 374c 844 / 382c 859 / 389c 875 / 397c 893 / 406c

778 / 348c 790 / 355c 803 / 361c 817 / 368c 831 / 375c

732 / 325c 743 / 331c 754 / 336c 765 / 342c 778 / 348c

691 / 305c 700 / 309c 710 / 314c 720 / 319c 730 / 324c
10 TV

2030E
1,577

1.0%

142

9.0%

1.3%

(48)

3.0%

95.0%

94

6.0%

(16)

17.0%

(50)

3.2%

(5)

0.3%

0.0%

71 891

10

0.44

31 394

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