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Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.

Stock & Watson (2019), Chapter 7


Hypothesis Tests & Confidence Intervals
in Multiple Regression

Brittany Almquist Lewis

FIN 560A 470A


Research Methods in Finance

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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

Hypothesis Tests for a Single Coefficient


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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

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Confidence Intervals for a Single Coefficient

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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

Application to Test Scores & the Student-Teacher Ratio

\ = 686.0 - 1.10 ⇥ STR - 0.650 ⇥ PctEL


I TestScore
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(8.7) (0.43) E W N
(0.031) X %24074"7 #""&"%

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Brittany Almquist Lewis !G+C/ 5+*H
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Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

Testing Hypotheses on Two or More Coefficients

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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

The F -Statistic

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I F -statistic with q restrictions


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I Computing the heteroskedasticity-robust F -statistic in
statistical software

I Computing the p-value using the F -statistic


I p-value = Pr(Fq,1 > F act )

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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

The F -Statistic

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I The overall regression F -statistic
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I H1 : j 6= 0, at least one j, j = 1, . . . , k

I The F -statistic when q = 1 ) F = t4


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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

The Homosdedasticity-Only F -Statistic


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(SRRrestricted -SSRunrestricted )/q


I F = SSRunrestricted /[n-(kunrestricted +1)]

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I F =
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I Using the homoskedasticity-only F -statistic when n is small


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I Application to test scores & the student–teacher ratio


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I F = (1-0.4366)/(420-3-1) = 8.01
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I 8.01 > 4.61 The F-stat at the 1% level with 2 degrees of


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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

Model Specification for Multiple Regression

I Model specification and choosing control variables


I Base specification
I Alternative specifications

I The R 2 and R̄ 2 do not tell you whether


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I You have chosen the most appropriate set of regressors

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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7
Section 7.1 Section 7.2 Section 7.5 Section 7.6

Analysis of the Test Score Data Set

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Brittany Almquist Lewis
Chapter 7

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