Arab Academy for Science & Technology

and Maritime Transport – Aswan Branch

Basic and Applied Science Department
Course Name: Probability & Statistics Course code: BA326
Lecturer: Dr. Hamed Ahmed TA: Eng. Mohamed Adel

Sheet (3)
( Conditional Probability )
Section Problems
1) Let A and B events with P(A) = 1/2 , P(B) = 1/3 and P(A U B) = 7/12.
Find P(A/B), P(A/B’), P(A’/B) and P(A’/B’).

2) The probability that a student, selected at random from certain College, will pass a certain
economics exam is 0.8 and will pass in both economics and religion exams are 0.5.
What is the probability that he will pass religion if it is known that he had passed economics?

3) The probability that a regularly scheduled flight departs on time is 0.83, the probability that it
arrives on time is 0.82, and the probability that it departs and arrives on time is 0.78.
Find the probability that a plane
a. Arrives on time given that it departed on time.
b. Depart on time given that it has arrived on time.

4) A number is selected at random from {1, 2, . . ., 100}. Given that the number selected is
divisible by 2, find the probability that it is divisible by 3 or 5.

5) A box of fuses contains 20 fuses, of which 5 are defective. If 3 of the fuses are selected at
random and removed from the box in succession without replacement, what is the probability
that all three fuses are defective?

6) There are 90 applicants for a job with the news department of a television station some of them
are college graduates and some are not, some of them have at least three years’ experience and
some have not, with the .exact breakdown being.
 College graduate Not College Graduate
At least three years experience 18 9
Less than three years experience 36 27

If the order in which the applicants are interviewed by the station manager is random, G is the
event that the first applicant interviewed is a college graduates, and T is the event that the first
applicant interviewed as at least three years’ experience determine each of the following
probabilities directly from the entries and the row and column totals of the table:
(a) P(G) (b) P(T’) (c) P(G ∩ T) (d) P(G’ ∩ T) (e) P(T/G) (f) P(G’/T)
Homework

1) Let A and B be two events such that P(A)=0.8, P(B)=0.4, and P(A∩B)=0.3. Find
P(A’ / B’ ) and P(B’ / A’ ).

2) Let A and B be two events such that P(A’∩B’) = 0.2 , P(A∩B’) = 0.2 , and P(A’∩B) = 0.5.
Find P(A / B) and P(B / A).

3) The probability of surviving a certain transplant operation is 0.55. If a patient survives

the operation, the probability that his or her body will reject the transplant within a month is
0.20. What is the probability of surviving both of these critical stages?

4) At kennedy Middle school, the probability that a student takes technology and Spanish is
0.087 and the probability that a student takes technology is 0.68. What is the probability that
a student takes Spanish given that the student is taking Technology?

5) In the United States, 56% of all children get an allowance and 41% of all children get
an allowance and do household chores. What is the probability that a child does household
chores given that the child gets an allowance?

6) From a box containing 5 black balls and 3 green balls, 2 balls are drawn in succession, the first
ball being replaced in the box before the second draw is made.
a. What is the probability that both balls are the same color?
b. What is the probability that each color is represented?

7) From a box containing 5 black balls and 3 green balls, 2 balls are drawn in succession without
replacement; i.e. the second draw is made without replacing of the first ball in the box.
a. What is the probability that both balls are the same color?
b. What is the probability that each color is represented?
8) All 440 employees of a company were asked what hot drink they like the most.
Their responses are listed in the following table.
Regular coffee Regular tea Other
Male 110 70 110
Female 60 50 40

Determine:
(a) the probability if the chosen employee likes Regular coffee given that he is Male
(b) the probability if the chosen employee is Female given that she likes Regular tea
(c) the probability if the chosen employee likes Regular coffee and she is female
(d) the probability if the chosen employee likes Regular tea or he is male

9) The probability that three men hit a target is respectively 1/4, 1/3, 3/8 each shoots once at the
target.
a. Find the probability that exactly one of them hits the target.
b. If only one hit the target, what is the probability that it was the first man?