Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2.1
Nominal rate(%)(NR) 5 10 20 60
Inflation rate(%) ( IR) 2 4 10 40
Real rate by the rule of thumb(%) 3 6 10 20
= NR - IR
Correct real rate (%) 2.94 5.77 9.09 14.29
=(1+NR)/(1+IR) -1
Error from using the rule of thumb(%) 0.06 0.23 0.91 5.71
Chapter 3
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, TAXES AND CASH FLOW
3.1.
Rs. in million
A. CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
PROFIT BEFORE TAX 90
Adjustments for:
Depreciation and amortization 30
Finance costs 30
OPERATING PROFIT BEFORE WORKING CAPITAL CHANGES 150
Adjustments for changes in working capital:
Trade receivables -20
Inventories -20
Trade payables 20
CASH GENERATED FROM OPERATIONS 130
Direct taxes paid -30
NET CASH FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 100
B.CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Purchase of fixed assets -50
NET CASH USED IN INVESTING ACTIVITIES -50
C.CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Increase in share capital 20
Increase in long- term debt -10
Increase in short-term debt 20
Dividend paid -40
Finance costs -30
NET CASH FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES -40
NET CASH GENERATED (A+B+C) 10
CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS AT THE BEGINNING OF PERIOD 20
CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS AT THE END OF PERIOD 30
Chapter 4
ANALYSING FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Net profit
4.1. Return on equity =
Equity
1
= 0.05 x 1.5 x = 0.25 or 25 per cent
0.3
Debt Equity
Note : = 0.7 So = 1-0.7 = 0.3
Total assets Total assets
So PBIT = 6 x Interest
PBIT – Interest = PBT = Rs.40 million
6 x Interest = Rs.40 million
Hence Interest = Rs.8 million
4.3
Sales = Rs.7,000,000
Net profit margin = 6 per cent
Net profit = Rs.7000000 x 0.06 = 420,000
Tax rate = 60 per cent
420,000
So, Profit before tax = = Rs.1,050,000
(1-.6)
Interest charge = Rs.150,000
So Profit before interest and taxes = Rs.1,200,000
Hence
1,200,000
Times interest earned ratio = = 8
150,000
CA+BB
= 1.5
CL+BB
1500+BB
= 1.5
600+BB
BB = 1200
1,000,000
4.5. Average daily credit sales = = 2740
365
If the accounts receivable has to be reduced to 120,000 the ACP must be:
120,000
= 43.8days
2740
Current assets
4.6. Current ratio = = 1.5
Current liabilities
Current assets - Inventories
Acid-test ratio = = 1.2
Current liabilities
Current liabilities = 800,000
Sales
Inventory turnover ratio = = 5
Inventories
Current assets - Inventories
Acid-test ratio = = 1.2
Current liabilities
Inventories
1.5 - = 1.2
800,000
Inventories
= 0.3
800,000
Inventories = 240,000
Sales
= 5 So Sales = 1,200,000
2,40,000
264,000
= x 40 = 29,333
360
So Inventory = 42,240
Plant and equipment = Total assets - inventories – trade s receivables – cash and cash equivalents
= 176,000 - 42240 - 29333 – 49867
= 54560
176,000
176,000
4.8.
(Amounts in Rs.)
45,000,000
= = 1.5
30,000,000
Current assets – Inventories 25,000,000
(ii) Acid-test ratio = = = 0.83
Current liabilities 30,000,000
12,500,000 + 15,000,000+10,000,000+5,000,000
= =1.31
10,000,000 + 22,500,000
Profit before interest and tax
(iv) Times interest coverage ratio =
Interest
15,100,000
= = 3.02
5,000,000
(vii)
Net sales 95,000,000
Total assets turnover ratio = = = 1.27
Total assets 75 ,000,000
PBIT 15,100,000
(x) Earning power = = = 20.13 %
Total assets 75,000,000
Omex Standard
Current ratio 1.5 1.5
Acid-test ratio 0.8 0.8
Debt-equity ratio 1.3 1.5
Times interest covered ratio 3.0 3.5
Inventory turnover ratio 3.6 4.0
Average collection period 57.6 days 60 days
Total assets turnover ratio 1.3 1.0
Net profit margin ratio 5.4% 6%
Earning power 20.1% 18%
Return on equity 15.7% 15%
4.9
20X1 20X2 20X3 20X4 20X5
Current ratio 1.68 1.47 1.50 1.53 1.67
Debt-equity
ratio 1.23 1.32 1.38 1.44 1.37
Total assets
turnover ratio 0.84 0.84 0.79 0.87
Net profit
margin 5.00% 6.56% 3.85% 5.49% 6.25%
15.07 10.75 11.35 15.56
Earning power % % % %
Return on 12.50 10.53 13.08
equity % 7.59% % %
MINICASE: 1
a)
Common Base Balance Sheets
Regular( in crore) Common Base (%)
2,016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018
Fixed assets 328,222 420,860 482,251 100 128 147
Inventory 46,486 48,951 60,837 100 105 131
Trade receivables 4,465 8,177 17,555 100 183 393
All other assets 219,824 234,351 255,705 100 107 116
Total 598,997 712,339 816,348 100 119 136
Equity 234,912 266,626 297,045 100 114 126
Borrowings 165,192 183,676 181,604 100 111 110
Trade Payables 60,296 76,595 106,861 100 127 177
All other liabilities 138,597 185,442 230,838 100 134 167
Total 598,997 712,339 816,348 100 119 136
Ratio analysis
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Current ratio 0.69 0.62 0.59
Debt-equity ratio 1.55 1.67 1.75
Asset turnover ratio 0.56 0.52 0.55
Return on equity(%) 13.4 11.9 12.8
Return on capital employed(%) 6.1 5.2 6.0
c)
Net profit margin(%) 9.8 8.8 8.6
Observations from the comparative statements:
In the last two years fixed assets proportion has significantly increased and both the borrowings
and receivables have doubled. Total expenses and the net profit as a proportion of revenues
slightly worsened in the last two years as compared to 2016 but are steady thereafter. However
while the revenues increased by only 11 percent in 2017 that rate doubled during 2018 .
Observations from the ratios:
Liquidity and solvency are not quite good and have been steadily worsening in the past two years.
Being a company with more than half the investment in fixed assets, the asset turnover ratio of
0.55 may be considered satisfactory and the same is almost steady. Also for the fixed asset heavy
company, the return on capital employed of 6 percent is quite good and so is the return on equity
of 12.8 percent. The profitability which had taken a slight dip in 2017 has since recovered to its
previous levels, though not the net profit margin which is slowly declining.
MINICASE: 2
a.
Ratio Formula 31-3-2018
Current ratio =3440/2434 1.41
Acid-test ratio =(3440-1256)/2434 0.90
Debt-equity ratio =(534+2434)/5733 0.52
Debt ratio =(534+2434)/8702 0.34
Interest coverage ratio =(1693+53)/53 32.91
Inventory turnover =7748/((1107+1256)/2) 6.56
Debtors turnover =7748/((650+706)/2) 11.42
Fixed assets turnover =7748/((1576+1648)/2) 4.81
Average collection period in
days =365/11.43 31.95
Total assets turnover =8054/((7732+8702)/2) 0.98
Net profit margin =1358/8054 16.9%
Return on assets =1358/((7732+8702)/2) 16.52%
Earning power =(1693+53)/((7732+8702)/2) 21.3%
Return on capital employed =0.2125x(1-371/1693) 16.6%
Return on equity =1358/((4872+5733)/2) 25.6%
Price-earnings ratio =328/(1358/176) 42.55
Yield =(2.3+(328-277))/277 19.24%
Market value to book value
ratio =328/(5733/176) 10.08
b)
Du Pont Chart (Amounts in Rs. crore)
- Total Revenues
8054
Net Profit
1358 ÷
X
x Net Profit Total Costs
Margin 6696
16.86 %
Total Revenues
+
8054
Return on
Assets Average Non-
16.52 % current assets
4940
Total Revenues
c)
Common Base Balance Sheets
Regular( in crore) Common Base (%)
5.1 Pro Forma Statement of Profit and Loss for Modern Electronics for year 3 Based on Per
cent of Sales Method
5.2 Pro Forma Statement of Profit and Loss for Modern Electronics for year 3
Combination Method
Historical data
Average Pro forma statement of
per cent profit and loss of year 3
of sales assuming revenues from
Year 1 Year 2 operations of 1400
Revenues from Operations 800 890 100 1,020.00
Other income 0.00 0.00
Total revenues 800 890 @ 1,020.00
Expenses
Material expenses 407 453 50.89 519.05
Employee benefit expenses 203 227 25.44 259.49
Finance costs 10 11 Budgeted 12.00
Depreciation and 50 64 Budgeted 60.00
amortisation expenses
Other expenses 120 117 Budgeted 124.00
Total expenses 790 872 @ 974.54
Profit before exceptional items and other income 10 18 @ 45.46
Exceptional Items 8 10 1.06 10.83
Profit before Extraordinary Items and Tax 18 28 @ 56.29
Extraordinary Items
Profit Before Tax 18 28 @ 56.29
Tax Expense 7 10 1.00 10.19
Profit (Loss) for the period 11 18 @ 46.10
Dividends 6 7 Budgeted 8.00
Retained earnings 5 11 @ 38.10
@ These items are obtained using accounting identities.
5.3 Pro Forma Balance Sheet of Modern Electronics at the end of year 3
Historical data Average Pro forma balance sheet
per cent of of year 3 assuming
of sales revenues from operations
Year 1 Year 2 of 1020
Revenues from operations 800 890 100 1020
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Shareholders’ Funds
No
150 150
Share capital (Par value Rs.10) change 150
Pro forma
118 129 statement
Reserves and surplus of P&L 167
Non-current Liabilities
Long-term borrowings 144 175 18.83 192
No
13 19
Long-term provisions change 19
Current Liabilities
Short-term borrowings 150 180 19.49 199
Trade payables 126 167 17.26 176
Short-term provisions 40 45 5.03 51
External funds requirement 5
959
ASSETS
Non-current Assets
Fixed assets 300 380 40.10 409
No
20 20
Non-current investments change 20
Long-term loans and advances 15 14 1.72 18
Current Assets
No
21 20
Current investments change 20
Inventories 173 192 21.60 220
Trade receivables 180 200 22.49 229
Cash and cash equivalents 12 14 1.54 16
Short-term loans and advances 20 25 2.65 27
959
A L
5.4. EFR = - S – m S1 (1-d)
S S
(1)
800 190
= - 300 – 0.06 x 1,300 (1-0.5)
1000 1000
= 183 – 39 = Rs.144.
(2)
Projected Income Statement for Year Ending 31st December , 20X1
Sales 1,300
Profits before tax 195
Taxes 117
Profit after tax (6% on sales) 78
Dividends 39
Retained earnings 39
Liabilities Assets
1,040 1,040
A L
5.5. (a) EFR = - S – m S1 (1 –d)
S S
150 30
= - x 80 – (0.0625) x 240 x (0.5)
160 160
Liabilities Assets
225.00 225.00
(d)
A L
EFR 20X1= - S – mS1 (1 – d)
S S
150 30
= - 20 – 0.0625 x 180 x 0.5
160 160
= 9.38
168.75 33.75
= - x 20 –0.0625 x 220 x 0.5
180 180
= 8.75
168.75 x (1.11) 33.75 x (1.11)
EFR 20X3 = - 20 – 0.0625 x 220 x 0.5
200 200
187.31 37.46
= - x 20 – 6.88
200 200
= 8.11
= 7.49
225.00 225.00
(0.05)(1+g)(0.4)
(0.8-0.5) - =0
g
(0.05)(1+g)(0.4)
i.e. 0.3 - =0
g
Solving the above equation we get g = 7.14%
A L
5.7. (a) EFR = - S – mS1 (1-d)
S S
320 70
= - x 100 – (0.05) (500) (0.5)
400 400
= Rs.50
CA
STL +SCL
50.00
A L
5.8. EFR = - S – m S1 (1-d)
S S
A S
Therefore, mS1(1-d) – - S represents surplus funds
S S
Given m= 0.06, S1 =11,000, d= 0.6 , L= 3,000 S= 10,000 and
surplus funds = 150 we have
A 3,000
(0.06) 11,000 (1-0.6) - - 1,000 = 150
10,000 10,000
A – 3,000
= (0.06) (0.4) (11,000) – 150 = 114
10
d = 0.466
The dividend payout ratio must be reduced from 60 per cent to 46.6 per cent
m (1-0.6) 2.5
(d) .06 = m = 7.92 per cent
1.4 – m (1-0.6) x 2.5
The net profit margin must increase from 5 per cent to 7.92 per cent
MINICASE
At present : DER = 1.31( Int. bearing debt to equity), Current ratio= 0.89
For the first year : S = 2400x 0.2 =480, S1= 2880, m = 192/2400 = 0.08
A L
EFR = [ -- - - ]S - m S1 (1-d) = 0
S S
(1240/2400 - 340/2400)x 480 = 0.08 x 2880 x (1-d)
1-d = 0.78125 or d = 21.9 %
Projected abridged income statement and balance sheet for year 1
Income Statement:
Sales 2880.0
Profits before tax 329.1
Taxes (30%) 98.7
Profit after tax (8% on sales) 230.4
Dividends (21.9%) 50.5
Retained earnings 179.9
Balance sheet:
Share capital 100 = 100 Fixed assets 620 x 1.2=744
Retained Earnings 290 + 179.9 = 470 Inventories 360 x 1.2 = 432
Term Loans 150 = 150 Receivables 170 x 1.2 = 204
Short-term Bank Borrowings 360 = 360 Cash 90 x 1.2 = 108
Accounts Payable 250 x1.2 = 300
Provisions 90 x 1.2 = 108
1488 1488
DER = 510 / 570 = 0.89 Current ratio = 744/768=0.97
For the second year:
S1 = 2x 2400=4800 , S= (4800 - 2880) =1920
EFR = (1488/2880 - 408/2880)1920 - 0.08 x 4800 x(1-0.40) = 489.6
Projected abridged income statement:
Sales 4800.0
Profits before tax 548.6
Taxes (30%) 164.6
Profit after tax (8% on sales) 384
Dividends (40%) 153.6
Retained earnings 230.4
At the end of year two, if the entire external funds required is sought by way of an additional term
loan then the total interest bearing debt would be 510 +489.6 = 999.6 and equity would be 570 +
230.4 = 800.4 and consequently DER would be 999.6/800.4=1.25. As this ratio is above the bank’s
norm they would insist on a reduced loan amount.
Let x be the amount that should be reduced from debt and added to equity to have a DER = 1
((510 +(489.6 -x)) / (569.9 + 230.4 +x) =1
i.e 999.6 - x = 800.4 + x
2x = 199.2 or x = 99.6 or say 100
So the additional term loan to be sought is 389.6
Projected balance sheet for year 2:
Share capital 100 + 100 = 200.0 Fixed assets 744 x 4800/2880= 1240.0
Retained Earnings 470 + 230.4 = 700.4 Inventories 432 x 4800/2880 = 720.0
Term Loans 150+ (489.6-100)=539.6 Receivables 204 x 4800/2880 = 340.0
Short-term Bank Borrowings = 360.0 Cash 108 x4800/2880 = 180.0
Accounts Payable 300 x 4800/2880= 500.0
Provisions 108 x 4800/2880 = 180.0
2480.0 2480.0
DER = 899.6 /900.4 = 1.0 CR = 1240/1040 = 1.19
Chapter 6
TIME VALUE OF MONEY
6.1 Value five years hence of a deposit of Rs.1,000 at various interest rates is as follows:
(5.000 – 4.411) x 2%
r = 16% + = 17.4%
(5.234 – 4.411)
6.8 The present value of Rs.10,000 receivable after 8 years for various discount rates (r ) are:
r = 10% PV = 10,000 x PVIF(r = 10%, 8 years)
= 10,000 x 0.467 = Rs.4,670
6.10 The present value of an annual pension of Rs.10,000 for 15 years when r = 15% is:
10,000 x PVIFA (15%, 15 years)
= 10,000 x 5.847 = Rs.58,470
Obviously, Mr. Jingo will be better off with the annual pension amount of Rs.10,000.
6.14 To earn an annual income of Rs.5,000 beginning from the end of 15 years from now, if the
deposit earns 10% per year a sum of
Rs.5,000 / 0.10 = Rs.50,000
is required at the end of 14 years. The amount that must be deposited to get this sum is:
Rs.50,000 / FVIF (10%, 14 years) = Rs.50,000 / 3.797 = Rs.13,165
6.15 Rs.20,000 =- Rs.4,000 x PVIFA (r, 10 years)
PVIFA (r,10 years) = Rs.20,000 / Rs.4,000 = 5.00
= 15.1%
= Rs.2590.9
Similarly,
PV (Stream B) = Rs.3,625.2
PV (Stream C) = Rs. 2,825.1
6.20 Investment required at the end of 8th year to yield an income of Rs.12,000 per year from the
end of 9th year (beginning of 10th year) for ever:
Rs.12,000 x PVIFA(12%, ∞ )
= Rs.12,000 / 0.12 = Rs.100,000
To have a sum of Rs.100,000 at the end of 8th year , the amount to be deposited now is:
Rs.100,000 Rs.100,000
= = Rs.40,388
PVIF(12%, 8 years) 2.476
6.21 The interest rate implicit in the offer of Rs.20,000 after 10 years in lieu of Rs.5,000 now
is:
Rs.5,000 x FVIF (r,10 years) = Rs.20,000
Rs.20,000
FVIF (r,10 years) = = 4.000
Rs.5,000
If the inflation rate is 8% per year, the value of Rs.26,530 10 years from now, in terms of
the current rupees is:
Rs.26,530 x PVIF (8%,10 years)
= Rs.26,530 x 0.463 = Rs.12,283
6.23. A constant deposit at the beginning of each year represents an annuity due.
PVIFA of an annuity due is equal to : PVIFA of an ordinary annuity x (1 + r)
To provide a sum of Rs.50,000 at the end of 10 years the annual deposit should
be , assuming an interest rate of 12 percent:
Rs.50,000
A = FVIFA(12%, 10 years) x (1.12)
Rs.50,000
= = Rs.2544
17.549 x 1.12
6.24 The discounted value of Rs.20,000 receivable at the beginning of each year from 2025 to
2029, evaluated as at the beginning of 2024 (or end of 2023) is:
Rs.20,000 x PVIFA (12%, 5 years)
= Rs.20,000 x 3.605 = Rs.72,100.
If A is the amount deposited at the end of each year from 2015 to 2020 then
A x FVIFA (12%, 6 years) = Rs.51,335
A x 8.115 = Rs.51,335
A = Rs.51,335 / 8.115 = Rs.6326
6.25 The discounted value of the annuity of Rs.2000 receivable for 30 years, evaluated as at the
end of 9th year is:
Rs.2,000 x PVIFA (10%, 30 years) = Rs.2,000 x 9.427 = Rs.18,854
Assuming that the monthly interest rate corresponding to an annual interest rate of 12% is
1%, the discounted value of an annuity of Rs.1800 receivable at the end of each month for 180
months (15 years) is:
Rs.1800 x PVIFA (1%, 180)
(1.01)180 - 1
Rs.1800 x ---------------- = Rs.149,980
.01 (1.01)180
If Mr. Ramesh borrows Rs.P today on which the monthly interest rate is 1%
P x (1.01)60 = Rs.149,980
P x 1.817 = Rs.149,980
Rs.149,980
P = ------------ = Rs.82,540
1.817
= 1.53%
6.28 The discounted value of the debentures to be redeemed between 8 to 10 years evaluated at
the end of the 5th year is:
Rs.1000 million x PVIF (8%, 3 years)
+ Rs.1000 million x PVIF (8%, 4 years)
+ Rs.1000 million x PVIF (8%, 5 years)
If A is the annual deposit to be made in the sinking fund for the years 1 to 5,
then
A x FVIFA (8%, 5 years) = Rs.2210 million
A x 5.867 = Rs.2210 million
A = Rs.2210 million / 5.867 = Rs.376.68 million
6.29 Let `n’ be the number of years for which a sum of Rs.200,000 can be withdrawn annually.
5.000 – 4.868
n=7+ ----------------- x 1 = 7.3 years
5.335 – 4.868
6.32. Expected value of iron ore mined during year 1 = Rs.300 million
Expected present value of the iron ore that can be mined over the next 15 years
assuming a price escalation of 6% per annum in the price per tonne of iron
1 – (1 + g)n / (1 + i)n
= Rs.300 million x ------------------------
i-g
1+g n
1 - -------
(b) 1+r
PV = A(1+g) ----------------- = 12 x 0.9725 / 0.15 = Rs.77.8 crore
r- g
6.35. It may be noted that if g1 is the growth rate in the no. of units and g2 the growth rate in
price per unit, then the growth rate of their product, g = (1+g1)(1+g2) - 1
In this problem the growth rate in the value of oil produced, g = (1- 0.05)(1 +0.03) - 1 = -
0.0215
1+g n
1 - -------
1+r
PV = A(1+g) -----------------
r- g
= $ 16,654,633
6.36.
The growth rate in the value of the oil production g = (1- 0.06)(1 +0.04) - 1
= - 0.0224
1+g n
1 - -------
1+r
PV = A(1+g) -----------------
r- g
= $ 30,781,328.93
= Rs. 9,434,536
6.38
Assuming 52 weeks in an year, the effective interest rate is
52
0.08
1 + - 1 = 1.0832 - 1 = 8.32 percent
52
6.39
We have ( 1+ r/365)365x7 = 2
( 1+ r/365)2555 = 2
r = (21/2555- 1)x365 = 0.099 or 9.9 percent
6.40
If A is the equated annual instalment, we have A x PVIFA(9.5%,5 yrs) = 100,000
A x[ (1- 1/1.0955)/0.095] = 100,000
A x 3.8397 = 100,000 or A = Rs.26,044
6.41
Future Value Interest Factor for Growing Annuity,
( 1+ i )n – ( 1 + g)n
FVIFGA =
i-g
Let us try say 5 years
(1. 08)6 – ( 1.10)6
Savings at the end of 6 years = 10,00,000 x
0.08 – 0.10
6.42 If Rs 50 million is required after 20 years, the current requirement at a discount rate
of 9% is Rs 50,000,000/ (1.09)20 = Rs 8,921,544. If percentage is saved annually the
first saving will be x 30,0000 at the end of year 1. This wil grow at a rate of 10 percent
(g = 0.10). It will earn 9 percent (r = 0.09). This will continue for 20 years (n = 20). The
present value of this growing annuity should be Rs. 8,921,544.
1 – (1.10)20
(1.09)20
x 3,000,000
.09 - .10
= 8,921,544
= 0.1484
6.43
100000
85000 =
(1+r)
100000
1+ r = = 1.1765
85000
So r = 0.1765 or 17.65 percent
6.44
1
500000 1– r = 300000
(1+r)10 r
1
500000 1- = 300000
(1+r)10
6.45
The interest rate for a four year period is
ern – 1 = 0.6161 or 61.61 percent
We have to calculate the present value of a Rs. 1,000,000 annuity over 10 periods (40/4)
with an interest rate of 61.61 percent. This works out to
1
1-
(1.6161)10
1,000,000 = 1,609,757
0.6161
MINICASE--1
Solution:
2. How much money should Ramesh save each year for the next 15 years to be able to meet his
investment objective?
This means that his savings in the next 15 years must grow to :
3. How much money would Ramesh need when he reaches the age of 60 to meet his donation
objective?
46
1 2 15
15
1.12
1–
1.08
= 400,000
0.08 – 0.12
= Rs.7,254,962
MINICASE--2
Solution: 1)
Re.1 deposit each at the
end of month 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 12 40 44
MBA expenses for year I at present = 20 lakhs. After 10 years it would be = 20(1+0.05) 10 = 32.58 lakhs
MBA expenses for year II at present = 25 lakhs. After 11 years it would be = 25(1+0.05) 11 = 42.76 lakhs
At the end of 3 months, each 1 Rupee deposited in the RD account becomes = FVIFA(0.08/12,3)
= [{(1+0.08/12)3 -1} / (0.08/12)] x (1+0.08/12) = {(1.00667)3-1}/0.00667 x 1.00667 = Rs.3.0402 which when
compounded quarterly becomes at the end of 10 years = 3.0402 x [(1+0.08/4)4x10 - 1]/ (0.08/4)
= 3.0402 x [(1.02)40 – 1] / 0.02 = Rs. 183.634
For a RD maturity value of Rs.183.634 if the deposit to be made is Rs.1, for a maturity value of
Rs.32.58 lakhs, the monthly deposit to be made will be = 32,58,000/183.634 = Rs.17,742
Similarly for a maturity value of Rs.42.76 lakhs the monthly deposit needed .will be
= 42,76,000 / [3.0402 x {(1.02)44 – 1} / 0.02] = Rs. 20,236
2)
Amount required for Jasleen’s marriage at the end of 20 years = Rs.300 lakhs
Cumulative fixed deposit to be made now to get the above amount = 300,00,000 / (1+0.08/4) 4x20
= Rs.61,53,292
3)
Annuity Period
Year end 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
What deposit? Annuity Payments 12L 12L 12L 12L 12L 12L 12L 12L 12L 12L
Annuity needed per annum at the beginning of each year in real terms after 10 years = Rs.12 lakhs
With inflation at 5 percent, in nominal terms, this may be considered as a growing annuity for
10 years at a growth rate of 5 percent and discount rate of 10 percent.
Present value of the annuity , as at the beginning of the 10th year from now
= 12,00,000 x (1+0.05)[ 1 –(1+0.05)/(1+0.10)10 /(0.10-0.05)] = Rs.93,74,163
Amount to be deposited in cumulative fixed deposit now, to have a maturity value of
Rs.93,74,163 at the end of 9 years = 93,74,163/(1+0.08/4)4x9 = Rs.45,95,432
Chapter 7
7.1. 5 11 100
P = +
t=1 (1.15)t (1.15)5
Note that when the discount rate and the coupon rate are the same the value is equal to
par value.
7.3. The yield to maturity is the value of r that satisfies the following equality.
7 120 1,000
Rs.750 = +
t
t=1 (1+r) (1+r)7
Try r = 18%. The right hand side (RHS) of the above equation is:
Rs.120 x PVIFA (18%, 7 years) + Rs.1,000 x PVIF (18%, 7 years)
= Rs.120 x 3.812 + Rs.1,000 x 0.314
= Rs.771.44
Try r = 20%. The right hand side (RHS) of the above equation is:
Rs.120 x PVIFA (20%, 7 years) + Rs.1,000 x PVIF (20%, 7 years)
= Rs.120 x 3.605 + Rs.1,000 x 0.279
= Rs.711.60
Thus the value of r at which the RHS becomes equal to Rs.750 lies between 18% and 20%.
771.44 – 750.00
Yield to maturity = 18% + 771.44 – 711.60 x 2%
= 18.7%
7.4.
10 14 100
80 = +
t=1 (1+r) t (1+r)10
82 - 80
Yield to maturity = 18% + ----------- x 2%
82 – 74.9
= 18.56%
7.5
12 6 100
P = +
t=1 (1.08) t (1.08)12
Bond A Bond B
The post-tax YTM, using the approximate YTM formula is calculated below
8.4 + (97-70)/10
Bond A : Post-tax YTM = --------------------
0.6 x 70 + 0.4 x 97
= 13.73%
7 + (96 – 60)/6
Bond B : Post-tax YTM = ----------------------
0.6x 60 + 0.4 x 96
= 17. 47%
7.7
14 6 100
P = +
t=1 (1.08) t (1.08)14
Po = D1 / (r – g) = Do (1 + g) / (r – g)
Since the growth rate of 6% applies to dividends as well as market price, the market price
at the end of the 2nd year will be:
P2 = Po x (1 + g)2 = Rs.35.33 (1.06)2
= Rs.39.70
7.9. Po = D1 / (r – g) = Do (1 + g) / (r – g)
= Rs.12.00 (1.10) / (0.15 – 0.10) = Rs.264
7.10. Po = D1 / (r – g)
7.12 The market price per share of Commonwealth Corporation will be the sum of three
components:
C = P8 / (1.14)8
7.13 Let us assume a required rate of return of 12 percent. Using the two stage formula, the
intrinsic value of the equity share will be :
Intrinsic value of the equity share (using the 2-stage growth model)
(1.15)5
2.30 x 1 - ----------- 2.30 x (1.15)4 x (1.10)
5
(1.12)
= --------------------------------- + -----------------------------------
0.12 – 0.15 (0.12 – 0.10) x (1.12)5
- 0.1413
= 2.30 x ----------- + 125.54
- 0.03
= Rs.136.37
Define r as the yield to maturity. The value of r can be obtained from the equation
7.15 Intrinsic value of the equity share (using the 2-stage growth model)
(1.18)6
2.36 x 1 - ----------- 2.36 x (1.18)5 x (1.12)
6
(1.16)
= --------------------------------- + -----------------------------------
0.16 – 0.18 (0.16 – 0.12) x (1.16)6
- 0.10801
= 2.36 x ----------- + 62.05
- 0.02
= Rs.74.80
= 55 + 20
= Rs.75
7.17.
Po = D1
r–g
Po
Rs. 8 = Rs. 266.7
=
0.15-0.12
Po = E1 + PVGO
r
Po = Rs. 20 + PVGO
0.15
Rs. 266.7 = Rs. 133.3 + PVGO
7.18
Terminal value of the coupon proceeds of a bond
= 5.5 x FVIFA (4.5%,10)
= 5.5 x (1.045)10-1)/0.045
= 5.5 x 12.29
= Rs.67.59
Define r as the yield to maturity. The value of r can be obtained from the equation
7.19
Post-tax interest (C ) = 100(1 – 0.3) = Rs.70
The post-tax YTM, using the approximate YTM formula is calculated below
70 + (989.2 -880)/8
Post-tax YTM = --------------------
0.6 x 880 + 0.4 x 989.2
= 9.06 %
7.20
Net profit expected = 800 x 0.10 = Rs.80 million
Dividend next expected = 80 x 0.4 = Rs.32 million
P0 = (32/10) / (0.14 – 0.09) = Rs.64
Po = E1 + PVGO
r
= 8/0.14 + PVGO
So PVGO = 64 – 8/0.14 =Rs. 6.86
7.21
Dividend next expected = 200 x1.30x 0.12 x0.10 = Rs.3.12 crore
DPS next year = 3.12/0.8 = Rs.3.9
Intrinsic value of the equity share (using the 2-stage growth model)
(1.30)3
3.9 x 1 - ----------- 3.9 x (1.30)2 x (1.10)
(1.16)3
= --------------------------------- + -----------------------------------
0.16 – 0.30 (0.16 – 0.10) x (1.16)3
= 11.35 +77.41
= Rs.88.76
7.22
Do = Rs.6.00, g = 0.05, r = 0.20
Po = D1 / (r – g) = Do (1 + g) / (r – g)
The market price at the end of the 2nd year will be:
7.23
100 + (-50/12)
= 9.30 percent
0.4 x 1000 + 0.6 x 1050
7.24
5 100 1000
Price of Bond A = +
t=1 (1.09)t(1.09)5
= 100 x 3.890 + 1000 x 0.650
= 389 + 650 = Rs 1039
5 80 1000
Price of Bond B = +
t=1 (1.09)t (1.09)5
= 80 x 3.890 + 1000 + 0.650
= Rs 961
100
Current yield of A = = 9.62%
1039
80
Current yield of B = = 8.32%
961
Price of Bond A, a year hence “
5 100 1000
+
t=1 (1.09) t (1.09)4
= 100 x 3.240 = 1000 x 0.708
= Rs 1032
Capital gains yield for Bond A
1032 -1039
Over the next year = = -0.67%
1039
Price of Bond B, a year hence:
4 80 1000
+
t=1 (1.09)t (1.09)4
= 80 x 3.240 + 1000 + 0.708
= Rs 967.2
Capital gains yield for Bond B over the next year :
967.2 – 961.0
= 0.65%
961. 0
7.25
Implicit yield at the time of issue :
100,000 1/20
- 1 = 12.20%
10,000
1. Return to investor who sells on January 1, 2019:
30,040 1/9
- 1 = 13 %
10,000
2. Return expected by an investor who buys on January 1,2019
100,000 1/11
- 1 = 11.55%
30,040
7.26
Given that investors require a return of 14 percent and the constant dividend growth rate
is 8 percent, the dividend yield is 6%. On the current price of Rs. 90, the dividend
expected a year from now will be Rs. 90 x 0.06 = Rs 5.4. This means that the dividend
paid per share recently was = Rs 5.4 = Rs 5.00
(1.08)
MINICASE 1
(b) Value of the bond = 100 PVIFA8% , 5years + 1000 PVIF8% , 5years
= 100 x 3.993 + 1000 x 0.681 = Rs.1080.30
100 + ( 1000 – 1060)/8
(c) Approximate YTM = = 8.93%
0.4 x 1000 + 0.6 x 1060
t=1 (1+r)t
D1
P0 =
r-g
where D1 is the dividend expected a year hence, r is the required rate of return and g is the
constant growth rate
(g)
(i) The expected value of the stock a year from now
D2 6 x (1+0.12)2
P1 = = = Rs.250.88
r- g 0.15 – 0.12
6 x 1.12
(ii) Price of the stock at present, P0 = = Rs.224
0.15 – 0.12
4
1.25
1 - 1.16 (10 x 1.25) x (1.25)3 x 1.10 1
= (10 x 1.25) + x
0.16 – 0.10 (1.16)4
0.16 – 0.25
D0 [(1+gn) + H (ga-gn)]
P0 =
r - gn
MINICASE 2
Solution:
1)
The approximate yield to maturity of the existing unsecured bonds is the return required by the
investors on the company’s bonds. The same is:
= [8+ (100-90)/5]/ (0.4 x 100 + 0.6 x 90) = 10.64 %
So the company will have to offer a coupon rate of 10.64 percent to issue the new debentures at
par.
2)
Addition Additional Additional debt
to assets = retained +
earnings
4
1.4
1 -
1.15 2.075 (1.4)3 (1.12) 1
= 2.075 +
0.15 – 0.4 0.15 – 0.12 (1.15)4
E2
P1 = + PVGO
r
131.47 =( 2.47 x 1.4) / 0.15 + PVGO
PVGO = Rs. 108.42 million
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chapter 8
RISK AND RETURN
8.1 (a) Expected price per share a year hence will be:
8.2 (a) For Rs.1,000, 20 shares of Alpha’s stock can be acquired. The probability distribution of
the return on 20 shares is
Expected return = (1,100 x 0.3) + (1,000 x 0.3) + (1,200 x 0.2) + (1,400 x 0.2)
(b) For Rs.1,000, 20 shares of Beta’s stock can be acquired. The probability distribution of the
return on 20 shares is:
Economic condition Return (Rs) Probability
Expected return = (1,500 x 0.3) + (1,300 x 0.3) + (1,000 x 0.2) + (800 x 0.2)
= Rs.1,200
(c ) For Rs.500, 10 shares of Alpha’s stock can be acquired; likewise for Rs.500, 10
shares of Beta’s stock can be acquired. The probability distribution of this option is:
Return (Rs) Probability
(10 x 55) + (10 x 75) = 1,300 0.3
(10 x 50) + (10 x 65) = 1,150 0.3
(10 x 60) + (10 x 50) = 1,100 0.2
(10 x 70) + (10 x 40) = 1,100 0.2
Expected return = (1,220 x 0.3) + (1,090 x 0.3) + (1,140 x 0.2) + (1,220 x 0.2)
= Rs.1,165
Standard deviation = [(1,220 – 1,165)2 x 0.3 + (1,090 – 1,165)2 x 0.3 +
(1,140 – 1,165)2 x 0.2 + (1,220 – 1,165)2 x 0.2]1/2
= Rs.57.66
Option `d’ is the most preferred option because it has the highest return to risk ratio.
8.3.(a) Define RA and RM as the returns on the equity stock of Auto Electricals Limited a and
Market portfolio respectively. The calculations relevant for calculating the beta of the
stock are shown below:
RA = 15.09 RM = 15.18
(RA – RA)2 = 1116.93 (RM – RM) 2 = 975.61 (RA – RA) (RM – RM) = 935.86
(RM – RM) 2
= 935.86 = 0.96
975.61
(b)
Alpha = RA – βA RM
RA = 0.52 + 0.96 RM
RA = RF + βA (RM – RF)
= 0.10 + 1.5 (0.15 – 0.10)
= 0.175
= Rs.22.74
0.07
i.e.βA = = 1.75
0.04
We are given 0.15 = 0.09 + 1.5 (RM – 0.09) i.e., 1.5 RM = 0.195
or RM = 0.13%
Po = D1 / (r - g)
Rx = Rf + βx (RM – Rf)
So Rf = 0.06 or 6%.
Original Revised
Rf 6% 8%
RM – Rf 6% 4%
g 5% 4%
βx 2.0 1.8
3.71 (1.04)
= Rs.34.45
0.152 – 0.04
8.8
We know that:
Debt (1-tc)
β equity = β assets 1 +
Equity
i.e
β equity 1.1
β assets = = = 0.71
Debt(1-tc) 4
1 + ----------- 1 + --- ( 1 – 0.30)
Equity 5
8.9
Average for A = 9.833
Standard Deviation of A = 12.88%
Variance of A = 165.77
8.10
6+ 42 – 10 + 25 – 5
Arithmetic mean return = = 11.6%
5
Geometric mean return = (1.06) (1.42) (0.90) (1.25) (0.95) 1/5 – 1
= .0.10 or 10%
8.11
Expected return = 7 + 1.2 (13 -7) = 14.2%
8.12
13.3 = RFR + 0.9 (14 – RFR)
= 12.6 + 0.1 RFR
0.1 RFR = 0.7
So RFR = 7.0
MINICASE 1
a)
Month Monthly returns on
Nifty:
The Arithmetic mean monthly return = 0.97 percent
The geometric mean monthly return =
(1.0423 x1.0171 x0.9801 x1.0017 x0.9535 x0.9953 x1.0459 x1.0372 x1.0331
x 1.0142 x1.0341 x0.9896 x1.0584 x0.9842 x0.9870 x1.0559 x0.9895 x1.0297
x 1.0472 x0.9515 x0.9639 x1.0619 x0.9997 x0.9980 x1.0599 x1.0285 x0.9358
x 0.9502 x1.0472 x0.9987) 1/30-1 = (1.3107)1/30-1 = 0.0091 or 0.91 %
c)
Month R(TM) R(TCS) R(HUL) R(Nifty) (R( TM)- (R(TCS)- (R(HUL)- (R(Nifty-
(%) (%) (%) (%) R'( TM))2 R'(TCS))2 R'(HUL))2 R'(Nifty))2
2016
June
July 9.57% 2.59% 2.67% 4.23% 0.0154 0.0001 0.0000 0.0011
August 6.86% -4.12% -0.60% 1.71% 0.0094 0.0034 0.0010 0.0001
MINICASE 2
For NTPC:
Financial
year (Annual
Price per Dividend Dividend Capital Annual 1+Annual
ended return -
share per share yield gain return return
A.M)2
Financial
year
ended Price per Dividend Dividend Capital Annual 1+Annual (Annual return -
share per share yield gain return return A.M)2
For MRF:
Financial
year Price per Dividend Dividend Capital Annual 1+Annual (Annual return
ended share per share yield gain return return - A.M)2
(b) The covariance between the returns on assets 1 and 2 is calculated below
State of Probability Return on Deviation Return on Deviation Product of
nature asset 1 of return asset 2 of the deviation
on asset 1 return on times
from its asset 2 probability
mean from its
mean
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (2)x(4)x(6)
1 0.2 -5% -17.9% 10% -3% 10.7
2 0.3 15% 2.1% 12% -1% -0.6
3 0.4 18% 5.1% 14% 1% 2.0
4 0.1 22% 9.1% 18% 5% 4.6
Sum = 16.7
Thus the covariance between the returns of the two assets is 16.7.
(c) The coefficient of correlation between the returns on assets 1 and 2 is:
Covariance12 16.7
= = 0.81
σ1 x σ 2 9.17 x 2.24
9.2. Expected rates of returns on equity stock A, B, C and D can be computed as follows:
9.4
p p.dp.dq
0.3 7.78
0.4 3.89
0.3 -23.18
p.dp.dq = -11.51
9.5
P2 = WA2 A2 + WB2 B2 + 2AB A B
= 0.52 x 202 + 0.52 x 252 + 2 x 0.4 x 20 x 25
= 100 + 156.25 + 400 = 656.25
P = (656.25)1/2 = 25.62
9.6
RFR = 8%, E (RM) = 14%
The expected return of a portfolio that comprises of the risk – free return and the
market portfolio is:
MINICASE
a. For stock A:
Standard deviation = [ 0.2 ( -15 -19)2 + 0.5 (20-19)2 + 0.3 (40 – 19)2 ] 1/2
For stock B:
For stock C:
Standard deviation = [0.2 (-5 – 14)2 + 0.5 (15 -14)2 + 0.3 (25-14)2] ½
= [72.2 + 0.5 + 36.3] ½ = 10.44
b.
199
Coefficient of correlaton between the returns of A and C = = 1
19.08 x 10.44
Expected return of the portfolio = (0.2 x 7.5) + (0.5 x 12.5) + (0.3 x 12.5)
= 0.7 + 6.25 + 4.5 = 11.5
Portfolio in which weights assigned to stocks A, B and C are 0.4, 0.4 and 0.2 respectively.
For calculating the standard deviation of the portfolio we also need covariance between B and
C, which is calculated as under:
Standard deviation
= [ (0.4 x 19.08)2 + (0.4 x 15.62)2 + (0.2 x 10.44)2 + [ 2 x 0.4 x 0.4 x (-) 296 ] +
+ [2 x 0.4 x 0.2 x 199] + [2 x 0.4 x 0.2 x (-) 161]1/2
For stock B:
Required return = 6 % - 0.70 x 9 % = - 0.3 %; Expected return = 4 %
Alpha = 4 + 0.3 = 4.3 %
For stock C:
Required return = 6% + 0.9 x 9 % = 14.1 %; Expected return = 14%
Alpha = 14 – 14.1 = (-) 0.1 %
f.
2
Period RD (%) RM (%) RD-RD RM-RM (RM-RM ) (RD-RD) (RM-RM)
1 -12 -5 -18.4 -11.2 125.44 206.08
2 6 4 -0.4 -2.2 4.84 0.88
3 12 8 5.6 1.8 3.24 10.08
4 20 15 13.6 8.8 77.44 119.68
5 6 9 -0.4 2.8 7.84 -1.12
Mean= 6.4 6.2 SUM= 218.8 335.6
σ2m = 218.8/4 = 54.7 Cov (D,M) = 335.6/4 = 83.9 ß = 83.9 / 54.7 = 1.53
Interpretation: The change in return of D is expected to be 1.53 times the expected change in
return on the market portfolio.
h.
CAPM assumes that return on a stock/portfolio is solely influenced by the market factor whereas
the APT assumes that the return is influenced by a set of factors called risk factors.
Chapter 10
OPTIONS AND THEIR VALUATION
The values of ∆ (hedge ratio) and B (amount borrowed) can be obtained as follows:
Cu – Cd
∆ =
(u – d) S
45 – 0 45 9
∆ = = = = 0.6429
0.7 x 100 70 14
u.Cd – d.Cu
B =
(u-d) R
-36
= = - 45.92
0.784
C = ∆S+B
= 0.6429 x 100 – 45.92
= 18.37
We will assume that the current market price of the call is equal to the pair value of the call
as per the Binomial model.
Given the above data
∆ Cu – Cd R
= x
B u Cd – d Cu S
∆ Cu – 0 1.10
= x
B -0.8Cu 40
= (-) 0.034375
∆ = - 0.34375 B (1)
C = ∆S+B
8 = ∆ x 40 + B (2)
8 = (-0.034365 x 40) B + B
8 = -0.375 B
or B = - 21.33
or
u x 40 x 0.7332 – 23.46 = 0
u = 0.8
10.3 Using the standard notations of the Black-Scholes model we get the following results:
ln (S/E) + rt + σ2 t/2
d1 =
t
= 0.7675
d2 = d1 - t
= 0.7675 – 0.4
= 0.3675
Value of the call as per the Black and Scholes model is Rs.31.90.
10.4
l (S/E) + (r + σ2 /2) t
d1 =
t
= -0.0247 + 0.1703
0.2
= 0.7280
d2 = d1 - t
= 0.7280 – 0.2
= 0.5280
N(d1) = N (0.7280).
From the tables we have N(0.70) = 1- 0.2420 = 0.7580
and N(0.75)= 1- 0.2264 = 0.7736
By linear extrapolation, we get
N(0.7280) = 0.7580 + (0.7280 – 0.7000)(0.7736-0.7580)/0.05
= 0.7580 + 0.008736 = 0.7667
N(d2) = N(0.5280)
From the tables we have N(0.50) = 1- 0.3085 = 0.6915
N(0.55) = 1- 0.2912 = 0.7088
By linear extrapolation, we get
N(0.5280) = 0.6915 + (0.5280 – 0.5000)(0.7088 – 0.6915)/0.05
= 0.6915 + 0.009688 = 0.7012
E/ert = 82/1.1622 = 70.5558
C = So N(d1) – E. e-rt. N(d2)
= 80 x 0.7667 -70.5558 x 0.7012 = 11.86
10.5
l (S/E) + (r + σ2 /2) t
d1 =
t
= -0.060625 + 0.1703
0.2
= 0.5484
d2 = d1 - t
= 0.5484 – 0.2
= 0.3484
N(d1) = N (0.5484).
From the tables we have N(0.50) = 1- 0.3085 = 0.6915
and N(0.55)= 1- 0.2912 = 0.7088
By linear extrapolation, we get
N(0.5484) = 0.6915 + (0.5484 – 0.5000)(0.7088-0.6915)/0.05
= 0.6915 + 0.0167 = 0.7082
N(d2) = N(0.3484)
From the tables we have N(0.30) = 1- 0.3821 = 0.6179
N(0.35) = 1- 0.3632 = 0.6368
By linear extrapolation, we get
N(0.3484) = 0.6179 + (0.3484 – 0.3000)(0.6368 – 0.6179)/0.05
= 0.6179 + 0.0183= 0.6362
rt
E/e = 85/1.1622 = 73.1372
C = So N(d1) – E. e-rt. N(d2)
= 80 x 0.7082 -73.1372 x 0.6362 = 10.13
P = C –S + E/ert
= 10.13 – 80 + 73.1372 = 3.27
MINICASE
b)
Call options with strike prices 280, 300 and 320 and put options with
strike prices 340and 360 are in - the – money.
Call options with strike prices 340 and 360 and put options with strike
prices 280, 300 and 320 are out of – the – money.
c) (i) If Pradeep Sharma sells Jan/340 call on 1000 shares, he will earn a
call premium of Rs.5000 now. However, he will forfeit the gains
that he would have enjoyed if the price of Newage Hospitals rises
above Rs.340.
(ii) If Pradeep Sharma sells Mar/300 call on 1000 shares, he will earn
a call premium of Rs.41,000 now. However, he will forfeit the gains
he would have enjoyed if the price of Newage Hospital remains
above Rs.300.
d) Let s be the stock price, p1 and p2 the call premia for March/ 340 and
March/ 360 calls respectively. When s is greater than 360, both the calls
will be exercised and the profit will be { s-340-p1} – { s-360-p2 } =Rs. 11
The maximum loss will be the initial investment , i.e. p1-p2 =Rs. 9
The break even will occur when the gain on purchased call equals the
net premium paid
i.e. s-340 = p1 – p2 =9 Therefore s= Rs. 349
e) If the stock price goes below Rs.300, Mr. Sharma can execute the put option and ensure that
his portfolio value does not go below Rs. 300 per share. However , if stock price goes above
Rs. 340, the call will be exercised and the stocks in the portfolio will have to be delivered/
sold to meet the obligation, thus limiting the upper value of the portfolio to Rs. 340 per share.
So long as the share price hovers between R. 300 and Rs. 340, Mr. Sharma will be gainer
by Rs. 8 ( net premium received).
Pay off
Profit
0
Stock price
305 340 375
·
S0 σ2
ln ------ + r + -----
E 2
d1 =
σ t
d2 = d1 - σ √ t
325 (0.30)2
ln + 0.06 + x 0.25
320 2
d1 =
0.30 x 0.25
= - 44837
= - 1,000,000
+ 100,000
(1.12)
+ 200,000
(1.12) (1.13)
+ 300,000
+ 600,000
+ 300,000
11.2 IRR (r) can be calculated by solving the following equations for the value of r.
60000 x PVIFA (r,7) = 300,000
i.e., PVIFA (r,7) = 5.000
Through a process of trial and error it can be verified that r = 9.20% pa.
11.3 The IRR (r) for the given cashflow stream can be obtained by solving the following equation
for the value of r.
NOTE: Given two changes in the signs of cashflow, we get two values for the
IRR of the cashflow stream. In such cases, the IRR rule breaks down.
11.4 Define NCF as the minimum constant annual net cashflow that justifies the purchase of the
given equipment. The value of NCF can be obtained from the equation
11.5 Define I as the initial investment that is justified in relation to a net annual cash
inflow of 25000 for 10 years at a discount rate of 12% per annum. The value
of I can be obtained from the following equation
Project
P Q R
Discount rate
0% 400 500 600
5% 223 251 312
10% 69 40 70
15% - 66 - 142 - 135
25% - 291 - 435 - 461
30% - 386 - 555 - 591
11.7 NPV profiles for Projects P and Q for selected discount rates are as follows:
(a)
Project
P Q
Discount rate (%)
0 2950 500
5 1876 208
10 1075 - 28
15 471 - 222
20 11 - 382
-1000 -1200 x PVIF (r,1) – 600 x PVIF (r,2) – 250 x PVIF (r,3)
+ 2000 x PVIF (r,4) + 4000 x PVIF (r,5) = 0
(ii) The IRR (r') of project Q can be obtained by solving the following equation for r'
-1600 + 200 x PVIF (r',1) + 400 x PVIF (r',2) + 600 x PVIF (r',3)
+ 800 x PVIF (r',4) + 100 x PVIF (r',5) = 0
Given that NPV (P) . NPV (Q); and NPV (P) > 0, I would choose project P.
NPV (P) = 11
Again NPV (P) > NPV (Q); and NPV (P) > 0. I would choose project P.
d) Project P
PV of investment-related costs
(1 + MIRR)5 = 2.2874
MIRR = 18%
Project Q
MIRR = 10.41%
11.8.
(a) Project A
= - Rs.0.67 million
IRR (r'') of the differential project can be obtained from the equation
12 x PVIFA (r'', 6) = 50
i.e., r'' = 11.53%
11.9.
(a) Project M
The pay back period of the project lies between 2 and 3 years. Interpolating in
this range we get an approximate pay back period of 2.63 years/
Project N
The pay back period lies between 1 and 2 years. Interpolating in this range we
get an approximate pay back period of 1.55 years.
(b) Project M
Cost of capital = 12% p.a
PV of cash flows up to the end of year 1 = 9.82
PV of cash flows up to the end of year 2 = 24.97
PV of cash flows up to the end of year 3 = 47.75
PV of cash flows up to the end of year 4 = 71.26
Discounted pay back period (DPB) lies between 3 and 4 years. Interpolating in this range
we get an approximate DPB of 3.1 years.
Project N
Cost of capital = 12% per annum
PV of cash flows up to the end of year 1 = 33.93
PV of cash flows up to the end of year 2 = 51.47
DPB lies between 1 and 2 years. Interpolating in this range we get an approximate
DPB of 1.92 years.
(c ) Project M
Cost of capital = 12% per annum
NPV = - 50 + 11 x PVIF (12,1)
+ 19 x PVIF (12,2) + 32 x PVIF (12,3)
+ 37 x PVIF (12,4)
= Rs.21.26 million
Project N
Cost of capital = 12% per annum
NPV = Rs.20.63 million
Since the two projects are independent and the NPV of each project is (+) ve,
both the projects can be accepted. This assumes that there is no capital constraint.
(d) Project M
Cost of capital = 10% per annum
NPV = Rs.25.02 million
Project N
Cost of capital = 10% per annum
NPV = Rs.23.08 million
Since the two projects are mutually exclusive, we need to choose the project with the
higher NPV i.e., choose project M.
NOTE: The MIRR can also be used as a criterion of merit for choosing between the two
projects because their initial outlays are equal.
(e) Project M
Cost of capital = 15% per annum
NPV = 16.13 million
Project N
Cost of capital: 15% per annum
NPV = Rs.17.23 million
Again the two projects are mutually exclusive. So we choose the project with the
higher NPV, i.e., choose project N.
(f) Project M
Terminal value of the cash inflows: 114.47
MIRR of the project is given by the equation
50 (1 + MIRR)4 = 114.47
i.e., MIRR = 23.01%
Project N
Terminal value of the cash inflows: 115.41
MIRR of the project is given by the equation
50 ( 1+ MIRR)4 = 115.41
i.e., MIRR = 23.26%
11.10
Trying r = 17%,
LHS = 120/(1.17) + 400/(1.17)2 + 480/(1.17)3+380/(1.17)4+300/(1.17)5
= 1034
Trying r = 18%,
LHS = 120/(1.18) + 400/(1.18)2 + 480/(1.18)3+380/(1.18)4+300/(1.18)5
= 1008
Trying r = 19%,
LHS = 120/(1.19) + 400/(1.19)2 + 480/(1.19)3+380/(1.19)4+300/(1.19)5
= 983
By linear interpolation:
r = 18 % + (1008-1000)/(1008-983) % =18.32 %
b) We have the terminal value of cash inflows with interest rate as the cost of capital
= 120(1.10) 4 + 400(1.1)3 + 480(1.1)2+380(1.1)+300 = 2007.89
Present value of costs = 1000
So, 1000(1+MIRR)5 =2007.89
(1+MIRR)5 =2.00789
MIRR = 2.007891/5 -1 = 14.96 %
11.11
Let the IRR be r percent.
We have -50-200PVIF(r,1) + 80PVIFA(r,5)x PVIF(r,1) = 0
Trying r = 16%, LHS = -50-200 x 0.862 + 80x 3.274 x 0.862 = 3.38
Trying r = 17%, LHS = -50-200 x 0.855 + 80x 3.199 x 0.855 = -2.19
By linear interpolation
r = 16+ 3.38/(3.38+2.19) = 16.61 percent
11.12
PV of the net cash flow = 40/1.06 +60/1.06 2+ 100/1.063 +70/1.064 +60/1.065
= Rs.275.38 lakhs
NPV of the project = 275.38 – 200 = Rs.75.38 lakhs
NBCR = 275.38/200 -1 = 0.38
11.13
The IRR rules breaks down.
11.14
r = 0.15 75 or 15.75%
MINICASE
(a) Project A
Payback period is between 1 and 2 years. By linear interpolation we get the payback
period = 1 + 4,000 /(4,000 + 3,000) = 1.57 years.
Discounted payback period = 1 + 5,177 / ( 5,177 + 402) = 1.93 years
Project B
Cumulative Discounting Cumulative net
Cash net cash factor Present cash flow after
Year flow inflow @12% value discounting
0 (15,000) (15,000) 1.000 (15,000) (15,000)
1 3,500 (11,500) 0.893 3,126 (11,875)
2 8,000 (3,500) 0.797 6,376 (5,499)
3 13,000 9,500 0.712 9,256 3,757
Payback period is between 2 and 3 years. By linear interpolation we get the payback period = 2 +
3,500 /(3,500 + 9,500) = 2.27 years.
Discounted payback period = 2 + 5,499 / ( 5,499 + 3,757) = 2.59 years
(b)Project A
Discounting
Cash factor Present
Year flow @12% value
0 (15,000) 1.000 (15,000)
1 11,000 0.893 9,823
2 7,000 0.797 5,579
3 4,800 0.712 3,418
Net present value= 3,820
Project B
Discounting
Cash factor Present
Year flow @12% value
0 (15,000) 1.000 (15,000)
1 3,500 0.893 3,126
2 8,000 0.797 6,376
3 13,000 0.712 9,256
Net present value= 3,758
Project C
Discounting
Cash factor Present
Year flow @12% value
0 (15,000) 1.000 (15,000)
1 42,000 0.893 37,506
2 (4,000) 0.797 (3,188)
3
Net present value= 19,318
(c)
Project A
As this value is slightly higher than 15,000, we try a higher discount rate of 24%
for r to get 3,500 / (1.24) + 8,000 / (1.24)2 + 13,000 / (1.24)3
= 14,844
Project C
IRR rule breaks down as the cash flows are non conventional.
Project B
Terminal value of cash flows if reinvested at the cost of capital of 12% is
= 3,500 x (1.12)2 + 8,000 x 1.12 + 13,000 = 26,350
MIRR is the value of r in the equation: 26,350 / (1+r) 3 =15,000
r = (26,350 / 15,000)1/3 -1 = 20.7 %
Therefore MIRR = 20.7 %
Project C
Terminal value of cash flow if reinvested at the cost of capital of 12% is
= 42,000 x 1.12 = 47,040
Present value of the costs = 15,000 + 4,000 / (1.12) 2 = 18,189
MIRR is the value of r in the equation: 47,040 / (1+r) 2 =18,189
r = (47,040 / 18,189)1/2 -1 = 60.8 %
Therefore MIRR = 60.8 %
Chapter 12
ESTIMATION OF PROJECT CASH FLOWS
12.1.
(a) Project Cash Flows (Rs. in million)
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
14. NCF (200) 116.25 113.44 111.33 109.75 108.56 107.67 205
(b) IRR (r) of the project can be obtained by solving the following equation for r
-200 + 116.25 x PVIF (r,1) + 113.44 x PVIF (r,2)
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
21. Net cash flow (140) 10.20 20.55 31.46 62.80 49.25 35.94 55.00
(17+18-19+20)
(b) NPV of the net cash flow stream @ 15% per discount rate
Year 1 2 3 4 5
i. Post-tax savings in
manufacturing costs 455,000 455,000 455,000 455,000 455,000
ii. Incremental
depreciation 550,000 412,500 309,375 232,031 174,023
D. Net cash flows associated with the replacement project (in Rs)
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Year 1 2 3 4 5
i. Depreciation
of old machine 18000 14400 11520 9216 7373
ii. Depreciation
of new machine 100000 75000 56250 42188 31641
iii. Incremental
depreciation
( ii – i) 82000 60600 44730 32972 24268
v. Operating cash
flow 28700 21210 15656 11540 8494
C. Terminal cash flow (year 5)
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
a. Cash flows from the point of all investors (which is also called the explicit cost funds point of
view)
Rs.in million
Item 0 1 2 3 4 5
Rs.in million
Item 0 1 2 3 4 5
(Rs.in lakhs)
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Equity 15
Revenues 80 100 120 110 80
Expenses
Depreciation on computer & accessories 12 4.8 1.92 0.768 0.307
Depreciation on furniture & fixtures 3 2.7 2.43 2.187 1.968
Rent paid 5 5
Opportunity cost of rent foregone 5 5 5
Transportation expenses 3 3 3 3 3
Salary 50 54 58.32 62.99 68.02
Opportunity cost of salary foregone 15 16.2 17.5 18.9 20.41
Electricity & water charges 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Misc. expenses 1 1 1 1 1
Term loan interest 3.6 3.6 2.7 1.8 0.9
Relocation expenses 2
Total expenses 94.1 91.8 95.37 97.14 102.1
Profit before tax -14.1 8.2 24.63 12.86 -22.1
Tax @ 33% -4.653 2.71 8.129 4.245 -7.3
Profit after tax -9.447 5.49 16.5 8.619 -14.8
Rent deposit -2
Rent deposit refund 2
NSV of fixed assets 25
NSV of current assets 0.25
Refund of deposits and advances 2
Term Loan instalment -10 -10 -10 -10
Initial cash flow -15
Operational cash flow 5.553 15.7 20.85 11.57 -12.5
terminal cash flow -2 -8 -10 -10 17.25
Net cash flow -15 3.553 4.99 10.85 1.574 4.714
Chapter 13
RISK ANALYSIS IN CAPITAL BUDGETING
13.1.
NPV of the project = -250 + 50 x PVIFA (13,10)
= Rs.21.31 million
Assumptions: (1) The useful life is assumed to be 10 years under all three
scenarios. It is also assumed that the salvage value of the
investment after ten years is zero.
(2) The investment is assumed to be depreciated at 10% per annum; and
it is also assumed that this method and rate of depreciation are
acceptable to the IT (income tax) authorities.
(3) The tax rate has been calculated from the given table i.e. 10 / 35 x 100
= 28.57%.
(4) It is assumed that only loss on this project can be offset against the
taxable profit on other projects of the company; and thus the company
can claim a tax shield on the loss in the same year.
ii. PV (net cash flows) = [0.2857 sales – 7.14 ] x PVIFA (13,10) 5.426
= 1.5502 sales – 38.74
13.2.
(a) (i) Sensitivity of NPV with respect to quantity manufactured and sold:
(in Rs)
Pessimistic Expected Optimistic
13.3 Define At as the random variable denoting net cash flow in year t.
12 = 0.41
22 = 0.56
32 = 0.49
= 1.00
(NPV) = Rs.1.00 million
The required probability is given by the shaded area in the following normal curve.
MINICASE
Solution:
1. The expected NPV of the turboprop aircraft
0.65 [0.8 (17500) + 0.2 (3000)] + 0.35 [0.4 (17500) + 0.6 (3000)]
+
(1.12)2
= 2369
2. If Southern Airways buys the piston engine aircraft and the demand in year 1 turns out to be
high, a further decision has to be made with respect to capacity expansion. To evaluate the
piston engine aircraft, proceed as follows:
First, calculate the NPV of the two options viz., ‘expand’ and ‘do not expand’ at decision
point D2:
= 6600
0.8 (6500) + 0.2 (2400)
Do not expand : NPV =
1.12
= 5071
Second, truncate the ‘do not expand’ option as it is inferior to the ‘expand’ option. This
means that the NPV at decision point D2 will be 6600
3. The value of the option to expand in the case of piston engine aircraft
If Southern Airways does not have the option of expanding capacity at the end of year 1, the
NPV of the piston engine aircraft would be:
0.65 [0.8 (6500) + 0.2 (2400)] + 0.35 [0.2 (6500) + 0.8 (2400)]
+
(1.12)2
4. Value of the option to abandon if the turboprop aircraft can be sold for 8000 at the end of year
1
If the demand in year 1 turns out to be low, the payoffs for the ‘continuation’ and
‘abandonment’ options as of year 1 are as follows.
Abandonment : 8000
Thus it makes sense to sell off the aircraft after year 1, if the demand in year 1 turns out to be
low.
0.65 [5500 +{0.8 (17500) + 0.2 (3000)}/ (1.12)] + 0.35 (500 +8000)
NPV = - 11,000 +
(1.12)
12048 + 2975
= - 11,000 + = 2413
1.12
Since the turboprop aircraft without the abandonment option has a value of 2369, the
value of the abandonment option is : 2413 – 2369 = 44
5 The value of the option to abandon if the piston engine aircraft can be sold for 4400 at the
end of year 1:
If the demand in year 1 turns out to be low, the payoffs for the ‘continuation’ and
‘abandonment’ options as of year 1 are as follows:
Abandonment : 4400
Thus, it makes sense to sell off the aircraft after year 1, if the demand in year 1 turns out to
be low.
The NPV of the piston engine aircraft with abandonment possibility is:
For the piston engine aircraft the possibility of abandonment increases the NPV from 929 to
1406. Hence the value of the abandonment option is 477.
Minicase 2
a)
Sensitivity analysis (Rs.in lakhs)
Year 0 Years 1-10
On 10 % fall
Projected
in sales
Initial investment -400.00
Sales 500.00 450.00
Variable costs(60 % of sales) 300.00 270.00
Fixed costs 20.00 20.00
Depreciation 40.00 40.00
Profit bef ore tax 140.00 120.00
Tax (33 %) 46.20 39.60
profit after tax 93.80 80.40
NPV at cost of capital 12 % 129.99 54.28
For a 10 percent in sales, the NPV would fall by:
(1 – 54.28/129.99) x 100 = 58.24 percent.
b)
Financial break even point for an IRR of 25 percent:
Annual net cash flow = 0.67 [ 0.4 x sales – 60 ] + 40
= 0.268 sales – 0.2
PV (net cash flows) = [0.268 sales – 0.2 ] x PVIFA (25%,10) = [0.268
sales – 0.2 ] x 3.57
= 0.957 sales – 0.714
Initial investment = 400
Financial break-even level of sales = 400.714 / 0.957 = Rs.418 million
So the annual sales could come down by: (1-418/500) or 16.4 percent.
Chapter 14
THE COST OF CAPITAL
14.1(a) Define rD as the pre-tax cost of debt. Using the approximate yield formula, rD
can be calculated as follows:
14 + (100 – 108)/10
rD = ------------------------ x 100 = 12.60%
0.4 x 100 + 0.6x108
14.2 Define rp as the cost of preference capital. Using the approximate yield formula rp can be
calculated as follows:
9 + (100 – 92)/6
rp = --------------------
0.4 x100 + 0.6x92
= 14.68%
14.5. Given
0.5 x 14% x (1 – 0.35) + 0.5 x rE = 12%
Therefore rE – 14.9%
Using the SML equation we get
11% + 8% x β = 14.9%
14.6(a) The cost of debt of 12% represents the historical interest rate at the time the debt was
originally issued. But we need to calculate the marginal cost of debt (cost of raising new
debt); and for this purpose we need to calculate the yield to maturity of the debt as on the
balance sheet date. The yield to maturity will not be equal to12% unless the book value of
debt is equal to the market value of debt on the balance sheet date.
(b) The cost of equity has been taken as D1/P0 ( = 6/100) whereas the cost of equity is
(D1/P0) + g where g represents the expected constant growth rate in dividend per share.
14.7. (a) The book value and market values of the different sources of finance are
provided in the following table. The book value weights and the market value
weights are provided within parenthesis in the table.
(Rs. in million)
Source Book value Market value
Equity 800 (0.54) 2400 (0.78)
Debentures – first series 300 (0.20) 270 (0.09)
Debentures – second series 200 (0.13) 204 (0.06)
Bank loan 200 (0.13) 200 (0.07)
Total 1500 (1.00) 3074 (1.00)
(b) I would use weights based on the market value because to justify its valuation Samanta
must earn competitive returns for investors on its market value
14.8.
(a) Given
rD x (1 – 0.3) x 4/9 + 20% x 5/9 = 15%
rD = 12.5%,where rD represents the pre-tax cost of debt.
(b) Given
13% x (1 – 0.3) x 4/9 + rE x 5/9 = 15%
rE = 19.72%, where rE represents the cost of equity.
14.9. Cost of equity = D1/P0 + g
= 3.00 / 30.00 + 0.05
= 15%
(a) The first chunk of financing will comprise of Rs.5 million of retained earnings costing
15 percent and Rs.2.5 million of debt costing 14 (1-.3) = 9.8 per cent
The second chunk of financing will comprise of Rs.5 million of additional equity
costing 15 per cent and Rs.2.5 million of debt costing 15 (1-.3) = 10.5 per cent
11 + (100-75)/10
rP = = 15.9%
0.6 x 75 + 0.4 x 100
The pre-tax cost of debentures, using the approximate formula, is :
13.5 + (100-80)/6
rD = = 19.1%
0.6x80 + 0.4x100
(ii) The average cost of capital using market value proportions is calculated below :
Equity capital
and retained earnings 14.5% 200 0.62 8.99
Preference capital 15.9% 7.5 0.02 0.32
Debentures 9.6% 40 0.12 1.15
Term loans 6.0% 80 0.24 1.44
(b)
The Rs.100 million to be raised will consist of the following:
Retained earnings Rs.15 million
Additional equity Rs. 35 million
Debt Rs. 50 million
The first batch will consist of Rs. 15 million each of retained earnings
and debt costing 14.5 percent and 14(1-0.5)= 7 percent respectively. The
second batch will consist of Rs. 10 million each of additional equity and
debt at 14.5 percent and 7percent respectively. The third chunk will
consist of Rs.25 million each of additional equity and debt costing 14.5
percent and 15(1-0.5) = 7.5 percent respectively.
The marginal cost of capital in the chunks will be as under
First batch: (0.5x14.5 ) + (0.5 x 7) = 10.75 %
Second batch: (0.5x14.5 ) + (0.5 x 7) = 10.75 %
Third batch : (0.5x14.5 ) + (0.5 x 7.5) = 11 %
The marginal cost of capital schedule for the firm will be as under.
Range of total financing Weighted marginal cost of
( Rs. in million) capital ( %)
0 - 50 10.75
50-100 11.00
Here it is assumed that the Rs.100 million to be raised is inclusive of floatation costs.
14.11
(a) WACC = 1/3 x 13% x (1 – 0.3)
+ 2/3 x 20%
= 16.37%
(c) NPV of the proposal after taking into account the floatation costs
P 0.6 14.8 13
Q 0.9 17.2 14
R 1.5 22.0 16
S 1.5 22.0 20
Given a hurdle rate of 18% (the firm’s cost of capital), projects P, Q and R would have been
rejected because the expected returns on these projects are below 18%. Project S would be accepted
because the expected return on this project exceeds 18%. An appropriate basis for accepting or
rejecting the projects would be to compare the expected rate of return and the required rate of return
for each project. Based on this comparison, we find that all the four projects need to be rejected.
rejected because the expected returns on these projects are below 18%. Project S would be accepted
because the expected return on this project exceeds 18%. An appropriate basis for accepting or
rejecting the projects would be to compare the expected rate of return and the required rate of return
for each project. Based on this comparison, we find that all the four projects need to be rejected.
MINICASE
Solution:
rd (1 – 0.3) = 5.55
2.80 (1.10)
+ 0.10 = 0.385 + 0.10
80
= 0.1385 = 13.85%
7 + 1.1(7) = 14.70%
WACC
0.50 x 14.70 + 0.10 x 7.53 + 0.40 x 5.55
= 7.35 + 0.75 + 2.22
= 10.32%
Summing up:
a. Post-tax cost of debt = 5.55 %
. Post-tax cost of preference= 7.53%
b.
Cost of equity as per the dividend discount model = 13.85%
Cost of equity as per CAPM= 14.70%
c.
WACC, using CAPM for the cost of equity = 10.32%
d.
WACC for the new business = 12.60%
Chapter 15
CAPITAL BUDGETING: EXTENSIONS
EAC
(Distemper Painting) = 180000 / PVIFA (12,3)
= 180000 / 2.402
= Rs.74938
Since EAC of plastic emulsion is less than that of distemper painting, it is the preferred
alternative.
15.2
PV of the net costs associated with the internal transportation system
= 1 500 000 + 300 000 x PVIF (13,1) + 360 000 x PVIF (13,2)
+ 400 000 x PVIF (13,3) + 450 000 x PVIF (13,4)
+ 500 000 x PVIF (13,5) - 300 000 x PVIF (13,5)
= 2709185
Since (B) < (A), the less costly overhaul is preferred alternative.
15.4.
NOTE: In the problem it has been omitted to mention that an amount of Rs.6,000,000 can be
raised by way of a term loan to partly finance the project.
(a) Base case NPV
= Rs.818 182
= - 2,022,000 – 818,182
= - Rs.2,840,182
15.5.
(a) Base case BPV
(b) Adjusted NPV after adjustment for issue cost of external equity
As the UAE of plastic emulsion is cheaper, that would be the better option.
15.7
EAC [ first offer]
Since (A) < (B), the first offer is the better alternative.
15.8
Base case NPV
= -40,000,000 + 20,000,000 x PVIFA (18%,5 yrs)
= -40,000,000 + 20,000,000 x 3.127
= Rs.22,540,000
Issue costs = 20,000,000 / 0.95 - 20,000,000
= Rs. 1,052,632
The present value of interest tax shield is calculated below :
Adjusted NPV after adjusting for issue costs and tax shield on loan interest
= Rs. 22,540,000- 1,052,632 + 1,932,122 = Rs. 23,419,490
MINICASE
Solution:
1. Import option:
To raise Rs.800 million an amount of 800,000,000/0.92 =Rs. 869,565,217
would have to be raised by way of equity
So the NPV of the imported plant
= - 869,565,217+ 176,500,000 PVIFA(14%, 10yrs) +
50,000,000PVIF(14%,10 yrs)
= - 869,565,217+ 177,000,000 x 5.216 + 50,000,000 x 0.270
= Rs. 64,558,783
2.
As the adjusted NPV of the SIDCO offer is only very slightly less than the import option and it
would indeed be worthwhile to oblige the regulator, I would accept their proposal in principle,
subject to confirmation after a detailed study of their offer.
Chapter 18
RAISING LONG TERM FINANCE
5 x 180 + 100
= Rs.166.7
5+1
Chapter 19
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND FIRM VALUE
(b) If Box Corporation employs Rs.30 million of debt to finance a project that yields
Rs.4 million net operating income, its financials will be as follows.
19.3. rE = rA + (rA-rD)D/E
20 = 12 + (12-8) D/E
So D/E = 2
19.4. (a) If you own Rs.10,000 worth of Bharat Company, the levered company
which is valued more, you would sell shares of Bharat Company, resort
to personal leverage, and buy the shares of Charat Company.
(b) The arbitrage will cease when Charat Company and Bharat Company
are valued alike
= 0.37 rupee
Chapter 20
CAPITAL STRUCTURE DECISION
20.1
.(a) Currently
No. of shares = 1,500,000
EBIT = Rs 7.2 million
Interest = 0
Preference dividend = Rs.12 x 50,000 = Rs.0.6 million
EPS = Rs.2
The EPS – EBIT indifference point can be obtained by equating EPSA and EPSB
Solving the above we get EBIT = Rs.4,950,000 and at that EBIT, EPS is Rs.0.75
under both the plans
(b) As long as EBIT is less than Rs.4,950,000 equity financing maximixes EPS.
When EBIT exceeds Rs.4,950,000 debt financing maximises EPS.
20.2.
(a) EPS – EBIT equation for alternative A
EBIT ( 1 – 0.5)
EPSA =
2,000,000
(b) EPS – EBIT equation for alternative B
EBIT ( 1 – 0.5 ) – 440,000
EPSB =
1,600,000
(d) The three alternative plans of financing ranked in terms of EPS over varying
Levels of EBIT are given the following table
Ranking of Alternatives
20.3 Plan A : Issue 0.8 million equity shares at Rs. 12.5 per share.
Plan B : Issue Rs.10 million of debt carrying interest rate of 15 per cent.
(EBIT – 0 ) (1 – 0.6)
EPSA =
1,800,000
(EBIT – 1,500,000) (1 – 0.6)
EPSB =
1,000,000
Thus the debt alternative is better than the equity alternative when
EBIT > 3.375 million
20.5
ROE = [12 + (12 – 9 ) 0.6 ] (1 – 0.6)
= 5.52 per cent
15
=
4
= 3.75
EBIT + Depreciation
b. Cash flow coverage ratio =
Loan repayment instalment
Int.on debt +
(1 – Tax rate)
= 15 + 3
4+5
= 2
20.8 The debt service coverage ratio for Pioneer Automobiles Limited is given by :
5
PAT i + Depi + Inti)
i=1
DSCR = 5
Inti + LRIi)
i=1
95.80 + 72.00
= 277.94
167.80
= 1.66
20.9 (a) If the entire outlay of Rs. 300 million is raised by way of debt carrying 15 per cent
interest, the interest burden will be Rs. 45 million.
Considering the interest burden the net cash flows of the firm during
a recessionary year will have an expected value of Rs. 35 million (Rs.80 million - Rs. 45
million ) and a standard deviation of Rs. 40 million .
Since the net cash flow (X) is distributed normally
X – 35
40
has a standard normal deviation
Cash flow inadequacy means that X is less than 0.
0.35
Prob(X<0) = Prob (z< ) = Prob (z<- 0.875)
40
= 0.1909
(b) Since µ = Rs.80 million, = Rs.40 million , and the Z value corresponding to the risk
tolerance limit of 5 per cent is – 1.645, the cash available from the operations to service the
debt is equal to X which is defined as :
X – 80
= - 1.645
40
X = Rs.14.2 million
Given 15 per cent interest rate, the debt than be serviced is
14.2
= Rs. 94.67 million
0.15
20.10
The effect of alternative financing plans on share price is as under:
Plan A Plan B
PBIT 36 36
Int 6 9.6
PBT 30 26.4
Tax 15 13.2
PAT 15 13.2
No of equity Shares 5m 4m
EPS 3.00 4.40
P/E 10.20 9.8
M.P 30.60 33.34
20.11
DOL ( Q = 8000) = 1.75, DFL (Q = 8000) = 1.23, DTL (Q= 8000) = 2.15
DOL (Q = 10000) = 1.52, DFL (Q = 10000) = 1.15, DTL (Q= 10000) = 1.75
MINICASE
(a) If the firm chooses the equity option, it will have to issue 2 crore shares and its interest
burden will remain at the current level of Rs.20 crore. If the firm chooses the debt option,
the interest burden will go upto Rs.36 crore, but the number of equity shares will remain
unchanged at 14 crore. So, the EPS – PBIT indifference point is the value of PBIT in the
following equation.
(b) The projected EPS under the two financing options is given below
Projected
Current Equity option Debt option
Revenues 800 1040 1040
Variable costs 480 624 624
Contribution margin 320 416 416
Fixed operating costs 180 230 230
PBIT 140 186 186
Interest 20 20 36
PBT 120 166 150
Tax 36 55.33 50
PAT 84 110.67 100
No.of equity shares 14 16 14
EPS 6 6.92 7.14
(c)
Contribution margin
The degree of total leverage (DTL) is defined as :
PBIT
So, the DTL will be as follows:
DTL
3(0.5)+3(0.5) 0.15
0.5
0.12
= Rs. 28.13
0.12
3(1.00)
1.00 = Rs. 25.00
0.12
(b)
21.2.
P Q
Next year’s price 80 74
Dividend 0 6
Current price P Q
Capital appreciation (80-P) (74-Q)
Post-tax capital appreciation 0.9(80-P) 0.9 (74-Q)
Post-tax dividend income 0 0.8 x 6
Total return 0.9 (80-P) 0.9 (74-Q) + 4.8
P Q
= 14% =14%
Current price (obtained by solving P = Rs.69.23 Q = Rs.68.65
the preceding equation)
Chapter 22
DIVIDEND DECISION
22.1. a. Under a pure residual dividend policy, the dividend per share over the 4 year
period will be as follows:
Year 1 2 3 4
b. The external financing required over the 4 year period (under the assumption that the
company plans to raise dividends by 10 percents every two years) is given below :
Required Level of External Financing
(in Rs.)
Year 1 2 3 4
F. External financing
requirement 3,000 500 6,500 Nil
(E-D)if E > D or 0 otherwise
c. Given that the company follows a constant 60 per cent payout ratio, the dividend per share
and external financing requirement over the 4 year period are given below
Dividend Per Share and External Financing Requirement
(in Rs.)
Year 1 2 3 4
E. External financing
(D-C)if D>C, or 0 4,000 2,200 6,400 2,000
otherwise
22.2
Given the constraints imposed by the management, the dividend per share has to
be between Rs.1.00 (the dividend for the previous year) and Rs.1.60 (80 per
cent of earnings per share)
Since share holders have a preference for dividend, the dividend should be
raised over the previous dividend of Rs.1.00 . However, the firm has substantial
investment requirements and it would be reluctant to issue additional equity
because of high issue costs ( in the form of underpricing and floatation costs)
Considering the conflicting requirements, it seems to make sense to pay
Rs.1.20 per share by way of dividend. Put differently the pay out ratio may be
set at 60 per cent.
MINICASE
(c)
Rs.in million
1 2 3 4 5 Total
Earnings 96 108 84 115 147 550
Net investments 104 94 90 108 192 588
Equity investment 69.33 62.67 60.00 72.00 128.00 392
Pure residual
dividends 26.67 45.33 24.00 43.00 19.00 158
Dividends under fixed
dividend payout ratio 28.8 32.4 25.2 34.5 44.1 165
Dividends under
smoothed residual
dividend policy 30 30 30 34 34 158
(d)
DPS for the current year : Dt = cr EPSt + (1-c) Dt-1
= 0.6 x 0.3 x 9 + (1-0.6) x 2 = Rs.2.42
(e)
Bonus Issue Stock Split
The par value of the share is unchanged The par value of the share is reduced.
A part of reserves is capitalised There is no capitalisation of reserves
The shareholders' proportional The shareholders' proportional
ownership remains unchanged ownership remains unchanged
The book value per share, the earnings The book value per share, the earnings
per share, and the market price per per share, and the market price per share
share decline decline
The market price per share is brought The market price per share is brought
within a popular trading range. within a more popular trading range.
Chapter 23
WORKING CAPITAL POLICY
Average inventory
23.1 Inventory period =
Annual cost of goods sold/365
(60+64)/2
= = 62.9 days
360/365
(80+88)/2
= = 61.3 days
500/365
(40+46)/2
= = 43.43 days
360/365
(110+120)/2
23.2. Inventory period = = 56.0 days
750/365
(140+150)/2
Accounts receivable = = 52.9 days
period 1000/365
(60+66)/2
Accounts payable = = 30.7 days
period 750/365
B. Current Liabilities
Working Notes
1. Manufacturing expenses
Sales 3000,000
Less : Gross profit (20%) 600,000
Total manufacturing cost 2400,000
Less: Materials 700,000
Wages 600,000
1300,000
Manufacturing expenses 1100,000
2. Cash manufacturing expenses 840,000
(Rs.70,000 x 12)
3. Depreciation: (1) –(2) 260,000
4. Total cash cost
Total manufacturing cost 2400,000
Less : Depreciation 260,000
Cash manufacturing cost 2140,000
Add Total administrative expenses 200,000
Sales promotion expenses 100,000
Total cash cost 2440,000
MINICASE
(1)
Less Depreciation 30
Cash manufacturing cost 600
Add Administration and selling expenses 30
Total cash cost 630
Raw material purchase = 800 x 449/701 = 512
Wages = 68 x 1.10 = 75
Other cash manufacturing expenses = 600 – 512 -75 = 13
(Total cash manufacturing cost – material purchase-wages)
(2)
A: Current Assets
Rs. in million
B: Current Liabilities
Rs. in million
Item Calculation Amount
24.1 The projected cash inflows and outflows for the quarter, January through March, is shown
below .
Inflows :
Sales collection 50,000 55,000 60,000
Outflows :
Purchases 22,000 20,000 22,000 25,000
Payment to sundry creditors 22,000 20,000 22,000
Rent 5,000 5,000 5,000
Drawings 5,000 5,000 5,000
Salaries & other expenses 15,000 18,000 20,000
Purchase of furniture - 25,000 -
Given an opening cash balance of Rs.5000 and a target cash balance of Rs.8000, the
surplus/deficit in relation to the target cash balance is worked out below :
(Rs.)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Books of
Datta
Co:
30,000 46,000 62,000 78,000 94,000 1,10,000 1,26,000 1,42,000 1,58,000 1,74,000
Opening
Balance
Add: 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
Cheque
received
Less: 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
Cheque
issued
46,000 62,000 78,000 94,000 1,10,000 1,26,000 1,42,000 1,58,000 1,74,000 1,90,000
Closing
Balance
Books of
the
Bank:
30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 50,000 70,000 90,000 1,06,000
Opening
Balance
Add: - - - - - 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
Cheques
realised
Less: - - - - - - - - 4,000 4,000
Cheques
debited
30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 50,000 70,000 90,000 1,06,000 1,22,000
Closing
Balance
From day 9 we find that the balance as per the bank’s books is less than the balance as per Datta
Company’s books by a constant sum of Rs.68,000. Hence in the steady situation Datta Company has
a negative net float of Rs.68,000.
24.3. Optimal conversion size is
2bT
C =
I
b = Rs.1200, T= Rs.2,500,000, I = 5% (10% dividend by two)
So,
2 x 1200 x 2,500,000
C = = Rs.346,410
0.05
24.4.
3 b2
RP = 3 + LL
4I
UL = 3 RP – 2 LL
24.5
. Optimal conversion size is
2bT
C =
I
b = Rs.2800, T= Rs.35,000,000, I = 5% (10% dividend by two)
So,
2 x 2800 x 35,000,000
C = = Rs.1,979,899
0.05
24.6
3 3 b2
RP = + LL
4I
UL = 3 RP – 2 LL
MINICASE
360
= Rs. 207,500
So ΔS
Δ I = (ACPN – ACPo) +V(ACPN)
360 360
360 360
= 123750 – 123750 = Rs. 0
So ΔS
ΔI = (ACPo-ACPN) - x ACPN x V
360 360
= Rs.79,200
So ΔS
ΔI = (ACPN –ACPo) + x ACPN x V
360 360
Rs.50,000,000 Rs.6,000,000
- 0.15 (40-25) + x 40 x 0.75
360 360
= - Rs.289,495
Rs.40,000,000
Value of receivables = x 38
360
= Rs.4,222,222
Assuming that V is the proportion of variable costs to sales, the investment in
receivables is :
Rs.4,222,222 x V
25.6 30% of sales are collected on the 5th day and 70% of sales are collected on the
25th day. So,
(a) ACP = 0.3 x 5 + 0.7 x 25 = 19 days
Rs.10,000,000
Value of receivables = x 19
360
= Rs.527,778
(b) Investment in receivables = 0.7 x 527,778
= Rs.395,833
25.7 Since the change in credit terms increases the investment in receivables,
ΔRI = [ΔS(1-V)- ΔDIS](1-t) + kΔI
So=Rs.50 million, ΔS=Rs.10 million, do=0.02, po=0.70, dn=0.03,pn=0.60,
ACPo=20 days, ACPN=24 days, V=0.85, k=0.12 , and t = 0.40
ΔDIS = 0.60 x 60 x 0.03 – 0.70 x 50 x 0.2
= Rs.0.38 million
50 10
ΔI= (20-24) - x 24 x 0.85
360 360
= -Rs.1.1222 million
Δ RI = [ 10,000,000 (1-.85) – 380,000 ] (1-.4) - 0.12 x 1,122,222
= Rs. 537,333
Customer pays(0.95)
Grant credit Profit 1500
Customer pays(0.85)
Grant credit Customer defaults(0.05)
Profit 1500 Refuse credit
Loss 8500
Customer defaults(0.15)
Loss 8500
Refuse credit
The expected profit from granting credit, ignoring the time value of money, is :
MINICASE I
Solution:
Present Data
Sales : Rs.800 million
Credit period : 30 days to those deemed eligible
Cash discount : 1/10, net 30
Proportion of credit sales and cash sales are 0.7 and 0.3. 50 percent of the credit customers
avail of cash discount
Contribution margin ratio : 0.20
Tax rate : 30 percent
Post-tax cost of capital : 12 percent
ACP on credit sales : 20 days
∆S
where ∆ I = x ACP x V
360
50,000,000
- 0.12 x x 20 x 0.8
360
So ∆S
where ∆I = (ACPn – ACPo) + V (ACPn)
360 360
800,000,000 50,000,000
- 0.12 (50 – 20) x + 0.8 x 50 x
360 360
= 7,000,000 – 8,666,667
= - Rs.1,666,667
800,000,000 20,000,000
= (20 – 16) – 0.8 x x 16
360 360
MINICASE II
Average collection period under the new policy = 0.70 x10 + 0.3 x 20 = 13 days
Old policy New policy
Sales 12,000,000 15,600,000
Variable cost(40%) 4,800,000 6,240,000
Contribution 7,200,000 9,360,000
Bad debts 360,000 156,000
Discount on online payment 187,200
Discount on cheque payment 15,600
Cashier salary 180,000 300,000
Collection staff salary 120,000
Investment in receivables
(Sales/365)x ACP x 0.40 394,521 222,247
Chapter 26
INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
26.1.
a. No. of Order Ordering Cost Carrying Cost Total Cost
Orders Per Quantity (U/Q x F) Q/2xPxC of Ordering
Year (Q) (where and Carrying
(U/Q) PxC=Rs.30)
Units Rs. Rs. Rs.
2 x 10,000 x 300
EOQ = = 980
6.25
10000
b. Number of orders that will be placed is = 10.20
980
Note that though fractional orders cannot be placed, the number of orders
relevant for the year will be 10.2 . In practice 11 orders will be placed during the year.
However, the 11th order will serve partly(to the extent of 20 percent) the present year and
partly(to the extent of 80 per cent) the following year. So only 20 per cent of the ordering cost
of the 11th order relates to the present year. Hence the ordering cost for the present year will be
10.2 x Rs.300
c.
Here it is assumed that what was intended in the question was to calculate the total cost if the order
is of EOQ
Total cost of carrying and ordering inventories
980
= [ 10.2 x 300 + x 6.25 ] = Rs.6122.5
2
2 x 6,000 x 400
EOQ = = 490 units
20
U U Q’(P-D)C Q* PC
Δπ = UD + - F- -
Q* Q’ 2 2
6,000 6,000
= 6000 x 5 + - x 400
490 1,000
2 x 5000 x 300
EOQ = = 707 units
6
If 1000 units are ordered the discount is : .05 x Rs.30 = Rs.1.5 Change in
profit when 1,000 units are ordered is :
5,000 5,000
Δπ = 5000 x 1.5 + - x 300
707 1,000
If 2000 units are ordered the discount is : .10 x Rs.30 = Rs.3 Change in profit
when 2,000 units are ordered is :
26.5 The quantities required for different combinations of daily usage rate(DUR) and lead
times(LT) along with their probabilities are given in the following table
LT
(Days)
DUR 5(0.6) 10(0.2) 15(0.2)
(Units)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
[3x4] [(1)x1,000] [5+6]
1,35,200
15 135,200
MINICASE
(a) The normal usage is:
[Average daily usage] [Average lead time in days]
[4(0.3) + 5(0.5) + 6(0.2)] [15(0.4) + 20(0.3) + 28(0.3)]
= 100 tons
The possible levels of usage which are higher than 100 tonnes are underlined in the third column of the
following table. The safety stock required to meet these levels of usage is shown in the last column of the
following table.
The possible levels of usage are shown below:
Daily usage rate ( Lead time in days Possible levels of usage ( Safety
tonnes) tonnes) stock(tonnes)
15 60
4 20 80
28 112
15 75
5 20 100
28 140 40
15 90
6 20 120 20
28 168 68
(b)
The stockout cost, carrying cost, and total cost for different levels of safety stock are shown below:
35,280
0 68 Rs.408,000 0.06 24,480 0 67,680
40 Rs.240,000 0.15 36,000
20 Rs.120,000 0.06 7,200
67,280
The optimal level of safety stock is 0 tonnes because at that level the cost is minimised.
The probability of stockout when there is no safety stock is: (0.06 + 0.15+0.06) = 0.27
So, in hindsight, I was right in not holding any safety stocks last year, though my reasons for doing so were
quite different.
(c)
Annual usage (U) = 1,300 tonnes
Fixed cost per order (F) = Rs.30,000
Price pre unit (P) = Purchase price per unit = Rs.80,000
Therefore, the annual per cent interest cost for the given credit terms will be as
follows:
a. 0.01 360
x = 0.182 = 18.2%
0.99 20
b. 0.02 360
x = 0.367 = 36.7%
0.98 20
c. 0.03 360
x = 0.318 = 31.8%
0.97 35
d. 0.01 360
x = 0.364 = 36.4%
0.99 10
27.2.
a.
0.01 360
x = 0.104 = 10.4%
0.99 35
b. 0.02 360
x = 0.21 = 21%
0.98 35
c. 0.03 360
x = 0.223 = 22.3%
0.97 50
d. 0.01 360
x = 0.145 = 14.5%
0.99 25
27.3 The maximum permissible bank finance under the three methods suggested by
The Tandon Committee are :
MINICASE
1)
Raw materials and stores consumed = 180
Cost of production = Cost of goods sold +
Opening stock of work-in-process – Closing stock of work-in-process
= 380 + 10 – 20 = 370
Cost of sales = Cost of production + Opening stock of finished goods – Closing stock of finished
goods
= 370 + 60 – 50 = 380
Holding level of raw material and stores and spares(months consumption)
=( 60 x 12) / 180 = 4 months
Holding level of work-in-process ( months cost of production)
= ( 20 x 12) / 370 = 0.6 months
Holding level of finished goods(months cost of sales)
= (50 x 12)/ 380 = 1.6 months
Holding level of receivables = 240 x 12/700 = 4.1 months
Level of credit taken = 130 x 12/190 = 8.2 months.
[raw material and stores consumed = Opening stock of raw materials and stores + Purchases –
closing stock of raw material and stores]
So, purchases = 180-50 + 60 = 190]
2)
It may be pointed out to the borrower that his working capital has been tied up in maintaining
stocks and receivables much in excess of the industry norms and he has to make rigorous efforts to
reduce the storage level and tighten the collection mechanism. Also he should bring the working
capital borrowing to within the permissible level of Rs.101 lacs immediately by reducing the
dividend payout suitably . .
Chapter 28
WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT: EXTENSIONS
Zi = aXi + bYi
where Zi = discriminant score for the ith account
Xi = quick ratio for the ith account
Yi = EBDIT/Sales ratio for the ith account
x 2. dy xy . dx
b =
x 2 y 2 xy xy
The basic calculations for deriving the estimates of a and b are given
the accompanying table.
1 0.8311
x 2 = Xi –X)2 = = 0.0346
n-1 25-1
1 1661.76
y =
2
Yi – Y) =
2
= 69.24
n-1 25-1
1 10.0007
xy = Xi-X)(Yi-Y) = = 0.4167
n-1 25-1
1 7.1046
2 6.7373
3 7.4720
4 6.6918
5 5.6938
6 9.4728
7 8.0847
8 7.9378
9 6.8514
10 6.7018
11 7.1426
12 8.9231
13 7.7554
14 7.8870
15 9.2498
16 5.7090
17 5.4405
18 3.8398
19 5.7292
20 5.1571
21 5.7038
22 5.1265
23 4.7946
24 3.3890
25 4.4097
24 3.3890 B
18 3.8398 B
25 4.4097 B
23 4.7946 B
22 5.1265 B
20 5.1571 B
17 5.4405 B
5 5.6938 G
21 5.7038 B
16 5.7090 B
19 5.7292 B
4 6.6918 G
10 6.7018 G
2 6.7373 G
9 6.8514 G
1 7.1046 G
11 7.1426 G
3 7.4720 G
13 7.7554 G
14 7.8870 G
8 7.9378 G
7 8.0847 G
12 8.9231 G
15 9.2498 G
6 9.4728 G
From the above table, it is evident that a Zi score which represents the mid-point between
the Zi scores of account numbers 19 and 4 results in the minimum number of misclassifications .
This Zi score is :
5.7292 + 6.6918
= 6.2105
2
Given this cut-off Zi score, there is just one misclassification (Account number 5)
CA
28.2 WCL =
(CA + NFA)– 0.2 CA
1
=1
1 +( NFA/CA) -0.2
1 -55.975
xy = Xi-X)(Yi-Y) = = - 3.73
n-1 16 -1
Chapter 29
Debt Analysis and Management
29.1 (i) Initial Outlay
(a) Cost of calling the old bonds
Face value of the old bonds 250,000,000
Call premium 15,000,000
265,000,000
(b) Net proceeds of the new bonds
Gross proceeds 250,000,000
Issue costs 10,000,000
240,000,000
(c) Tax savings on tax-deductible expenses
Tax rate[Call premium+Unamortised issue cost on
the old bonds] 9,200,000
0.4 [ 15,000,000 + 8,000,000]
Initial outlay i(a) – i(b) – i(c) 15,800,000
124,800,000
(b) Net proceeds of the new issue
Gross proceeds 120,000,000
Issue costs 2,400,000
117,600,000
(c) Tax savings on tax-deductible expenses 3,120,000
Tax rate[Call premium+Unamortised issue costs on
the old bond issue]
0.4 [ 4,800,000 + 3,000,000]
Initial outlay i(a) – i(b) – i(c) 4,080,000
MINICASE
388,000,000
(f) Tax savings on tax-deductible expenses
Tax rate[Call premium+Unamortised issue cost on
the existing bonds] 9,600,000
0.32 [ 20,000,000 + 10,000,000]
Initial outlay i(a) – i(b) – i(c) 22,400,000
30.1
30.2. Under the hire purchase proposal the total interest payment is
2,000,000 x 0.12 x 3 = Rs. 720,000
The interest payment of Rs. 720,000 is allocated over the 3 years period using
the sum of the years digits method as follows:
Year Interest allocation
366
1 x Rs.720,000 = Rs.395,676
666
222
2 x Rs.720,000 = Rs.240,000
666
78
3 x Rs.720,000 = Rs.84,324
666
Rs.2,000,000 + Rs.720,000
= Rs.906,667
3
5 336,000 10 12,000
= - = - 1,302,207
t=1 (1.10)t t=6 (1.10) t
20,023 215,017
+
(1.10)9 (1.10)10
= - 1,369,383
Since the leasing option costs less than the hire purchase option , Apex should choose the
leasing option.
MINICASE
(a)
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Principal repayment -6 -6 -6 -6 -6
Interest payment -3.6 -2.88 -2.16 -1.44 -0.72
Depreciation 12 7.20 4.32 2.59 1.56 0.93 0.56 0.34 0.20 0.12
Tax shield on depn. 4.00 2.40 1.44 0.86 0.52 0.31 0.19 0.11 0.07 0.04
Post tax interest
payment -2.4 -1.92 -1.44 -0.96 -0.48
Net salvage value 6
Net cash flow -4.40 -5.52 -6.00 -6.10 -5.96 0.31 0.19 0.11 0.07 6.04
Present value of the cash ‘ borrowing cum buying option’ is
4.40 5.52 6.00 6.10 5.96 0.31 0.19 0.11 0.07 6.04
= - ----- - ------ - ------ - ----- - ----- + ----- + ------ + ------ + ------- + ------
(1.08) (1.08)2 (1.08)3 (1.08)4 (1.08)5 (1.08)6 (1.08)7 (1.08)8 (1.08)9 (1.08)10
= - 4.07 – 4.73 – 4.76 – 4.48 – 4.06 + 0.20 + 0.11 + 0.06 + 0.04 + 2.80
= - 18.89 million
(b)
Present value of lease cash flows =-7(1-0.3333)PVIFA8%, 5years –0.5(1- 0.3333)PVIFA8%, 5years
PVIF8% , 5years
Present value of the cash flows under the HP option = - Rs.15.09 million
Chapter 31
HYBRID FINANCING
31.1.
l (S/E) + (r + σ2 /2) t
d1 =
t
= 0.4700 + 0.4425
0.4950
= 1.8434
d2 = d1 - t
= 1.8434 – 0.35
= 1.3484
N(d1) = N (1.8434).
From the tables we have N(1.80) = 1- 0.0359 = 0.9641
and N(1.85)= 1- 0.0322= 0.9678
By linear extrapolation, we get
N(1.8434) = 0.9641 + (1.8434 – 1.8000)(0.9678-0.9641)/0.05
= 0.9641 + 0.003212 = 0.9673
N(d2) = N(1.3484)
From the tables we have N(1.30) = 1- 0.0968 = 0.9032
N(1.35) = 1- 0.0885 = 0.9115
By linear extrapolation, we get
N(1.3484) = 0.9032 + (1.3484 – 1.3000)(0.9115 – 0.9032)/0.05
= 0.9032 + 0.008034 = 0.9112
rt
E/e = 25/1.3771 = 18.1541
C = So N(d1) – E. e-rt. N(d2)
= 40 x 0.9673 – 18.1541 x 0.9112= 22.15
Value of the warrant is Rs.22.15.
31.2
l (S/E) + (r + σ2 /2) t
d1 =
t
= 1.6100
d2 = d1 - t
= 1.6100 – 0.40
= 1.0443
N(d1) = N (1.6100).
From the tables we have N(1.60) = 1- 0.0548 = 0.9452
and N(1.65)= 1- 0.0495= 0.9505
By linear extrapolation, we get
N(1.6100) = 0.9452 + (1.6100 – 1.6000)(0.9505-0.9452)/0.05
= 0.9452 + 0.00106 = 0.9463
N(d2) = N(1.0443)
From the tables we have N(1.00) = 1- 0.1587 = 0.8413
N(1.05) = 1- 0.1469 = 0.8531
By linear extrapolation, we get
N(1.0443) = 0.8413 + (1.0443 – 1.0000)(0.8531 – 0.8413)/0.05
= 0.8413 + 0.01045 = 0.8517
E/ert = 30/1.2712 = 23.60
C = So N(d1) – E. e-rt. N(d2)
= 50 x 0.9463 – 23.60 x 0.8517= 27.21
Value of the warrant = Rs.27.21
31.3.
(a) No.of shares after conversion in one year = 2
Value of the shares at the price of Rs.150 = 2 x 150 = Rs.300
PV of the convertible portion at the required rate of 15% = 300/1.15 = Rs.260.87
Payments that would be received from the debenture portion:
Year Payments PVIF10%,t PV
1 60 0.909 54.55
2 40 0.826 33.06
3 40 0.751 30.05
4 40 0.683 27.32
5 240 0.621 149.02
6 220 0.564 124.18
Total= 418.18
The post-tax cost of the convertible debenture to Shiva is the IRR of the above
cash flow stream.
Let us try a discount rate of 9%. The PV of the cash flow will then be
= 600 – 282/(1.09) -28/(1.09)2 - 28/(1.09)3 -28/(1.09)4-228/(1.09)5-214/(1.09)6
= 600 – 258.72 – 23.57 – 21.62 – 19.84 – 148.18 – 127.60 = 0.47 which is very near to zero.
So the post –tax cost of the convertible debenture to Shiva is 9%
MINICASE
1.
The straight debt cost is 12%. At a coupon rate of 10 percent, the straight debt value of the
convertible at the time of issue will be:
4.
If the coupon on the convertible is 9.5 percent, the cost of the convertible at the end of the 3 rd year
will be the value of r in the following equation:
300 = 28.5 PVIFA(r%, 3yrs) + 393 .5x PVIF(r%,3 yrs)
r works out to 15.7 %
5.
At a coupon of 10% and conversion at the end of the 4 th year the cost of the convertible will be the
value of r in the following equation:
300 = 30 PVIFA(r%, 4yrs) + (40x1.154 x6 + 30)x PVIF(r%,4 yrs)
r works out to 17.69%
As the company has no worthwhile track record to show off and the investor sentiment towards it
evidently lukewarm as seen by its share price languishing at the same price for a long period, it
would be prudent to make the issue as attractive as possible to the investors, even at the prospects
of incurring higher costs ( which can always be made good in due course, on other occasions! ). So,
I will recommend a convertible issue of Rs.300 par at a coupon of 10 percent and a maturity of 6
years at a conversion ratio of 6, which can be called from the end of the 4 th year at a price of Rs.330
which would reduce by Rs.10 per year thereafter.
Chapter 32
CORPORATE VALUATION
32.1. (a) The calculations for Hitech Limited are shown below :
Year 2 Year3
EBIT
PBT 86 102
+ Interest expense 24 28
- Interest income (10) (15)
- Non-operating income (5) (10)
EBIT 95 105
Tax on EBIT
Tax provision on income statement 26 32
+ Tax shield on interest expense 9.6 11.2
- Tax on interest income (4) (6)
- Tax on non-operating income (2) (4)
Tax on EBIT 29.6 33.2
0 1 2 3 4 5
Base year
The FCFF for years 1 to 11 is calculated below. The present value of the
FCFF for the years 1 to 10 is also calculated below.
Forecasted FCF (amounts in Rupees million)
Capital
Growth expend
Period rate EBIT(1-t) iture Depn. NWC ∆NWC FCF WACC PV factor Present value of FCF
1 40% 126 140.0 84 89.6 25.6 44.4 17.60% 0.85034 37.76
2 40% 176.4 196.0 117.6 125.4 35.8 62.2 17.15% 0.725856 45.12
3 40% 246.96 274.4 164.64 175.6 50.2 87.0 16.70% 0.621984 54.13
4 40% 345.74 384.2 230.50 245.9 70.2 121.8 16.25% 0.53504 65.19
5 40% 484.042 537.8 322.69 344.2 98.3 170.6 15.80% 0.462038 78.81
6 34% 648.62 720.7 432.41 461.2 117.0 243.3 14.13% 0.404823 98.50
7 28% 830.23 922.5 553.49 590.4 129.1 332.1 14.13% 0.354693 117.79
8 22% 1012.88 1125.4 675.25 720.3 129.9 432.8 14.13% 0.310771 134.51
9 16% 1174.94 1305.5 783.29 835.5 115.2 537.5 14.13% 0.272288 146.35
10 10% 1292.43 1436.0 861.62 919.1 83.6 634.5 14.13% 0.23857 151.36
SUM = 929.51
Solution:
1 2 3 4 5 6
1. Revenues 950 1,000 1,200 1,450 1,660 1,770
2. PBIT 140 115 130 222 245 287
3. NOPAT = PBIT 91 74.8 84.5 144.3 159.3 186.6
(1 – .35)
4. Depreciation 55 85 80 83 85 87
5. Gross cash flow 146 159.8 164.5 227.3 244.3 273.7
6. Gross investment 100 250 85 100 105 120
in fixed assets
7. Investment in net 10 15 70 70 70 54
current assets
8. Total investment 110 265 155 170 175 174
9. FCFF (5) – (8) 36 (105.2) 9.5 57.3 69.3 99.6
0.4 1.0
WACC = x 12 x (1 – 0.35) + {8 + 1.06 (8)}
1.4 1.4
= 14%
99.6 (1.10)
Continuing Value = = 2739.00
0.14 – 0.10
2739
Present value of continuing value = = 1249
(1.14)6
= 72.4
Firm value = 72.4 + 1249 = 1321.4
(c). The key factors that explain the differences in the valuation ratios of the three firms
are profitability, financial leverage, expected EPS growth, and size.
(d). Sundaram Paints, compares favourably with all the three listed companies in terms of
net profit margin, debt- equity ratio, and expected EPS growth.
Among the three listed companies, International Paints has the best profitability,
leverage, and growth numbers. Further it has the largest size (measured in terms of
revenues, profits, and assets). Hence it commands the highest EV/EBITDA (9.96) and P/E
(14.63) multiples. Sundaram Paints compares slightly favaourably with even International
Paints in terms of profitability, financial leverage, and expected EPS growth. However, size-
wise it is significantly smaller.
Considering everything, Sundaram Paints should command multiples which are a
notch below (say 5 percent below) that of International Paints. So, the valuation metrics
for Sundaram Paints would be as follows:
Applying these multiples to Sundaram Paints results in the following value for equity
share
Sundaram may price its IPO at a discount of 5 percent over its value of Rs. 94.85. This
works out to Rs. 90.11. The same can be rounded to Rs. 90.00
Chapter 33
VALUE BASED MANAGEMENT
33.1 The value created by the new strategy is calculated below :
Current Income statement projections
values
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Sales 2,000 2,240 2,509 2,810 3,147 3,147
Gross margin 400 448 502 562 629 629
Selling and general 160 179 201 225 252 252
administration
Profit before tax 240 269 301 337 378 378
Tax 72 81 90 101 113 113
Profit after tax 168 188 211 236 264 264
Balance sheet projections
Fixed assets 600 672 753 843 944 944
Current assets 600 672 753 843 944 944
Total assets 1,200 1,344 1,505 1,686 1,888 1,888
Equity 1,200 1,344 1,505 1,686 1,888 1,888
Cash Flow projections
Profit after tax 188 211 236 264 264
Depreciation 72 81 90 101 101
Capital expenditure 144 161 181 202 101
Increase in net current 72 81 90 101
assets
Operating cash flow 44 49 55 62 264
Present value of the operating cash flow = 147
Residual value = 264 / 0.15 = 1760
Present value of residual value = 1760 / (1.15)4 = 1007
Total shareholder value = 147 + 1007 = 1154
Pre-strategy value = 168/0.15 = 1120
Value of the strategy = 1154 – 1120 = 34
33.2
I = Rs.200 million
r = 0.40
c* = 0.20
T = 5 years
200 (0.40 – 0.20) 5
Value of forward plan =
0.20 (1.20)
= Rs.833.3 million
33.3(a)
Cost of capital = 0.5 x 0.10 + 0.5 x 0.18 = 0.14 or 14 per cent
EVAt
NPV = ∑ = 100 x 0.877 + 128 x 0.769 + 156 x 0.675 + 184 x 0.592 +
(1.14)t 212 x 0.519
= 510.3
33.4. Equipment cost = 1,000,000
Economic life = 4 years
Salvage value = Rs.200,000
Cost of capital = 14 per cent
881,600 881,600
Annuity amount = =
PVIFA14%, 4yrs 2.914
= Rs.302,540
2,000,000
Economic depreciation =
FVIFA(10yrs, 15%)
2,000,000
= = 98,503
20.304
33.6.
Investment : Rs.5,000,000
Life : 5 years
Cost of capital : 12 per cent
Salvage value : Nil
5,000,000
Economic depreciation =
FVIFA(5yrs, 12%)
5,000,000
= = Rs.787,030
6.353
80 80
Economic depreciation = = = Rs.5.828 million
FVIFA(8, 15%) 13.727
Year 1 Year 4
Profit after tax 11.618 11.618
Depreciation 10.000 10.000
Cash flow 21.618 21.618
Book capital100 70
(Beginning)
ROCE 11.62% 16.59%
ROGI 21.62% 21.62%
CFROI 15.79% 15.79%
(b)
Year 1 Year 4
33.8
I = Rs.400 million
r = 0.50
c* = 0.15
T = 6 years
400 (0.50 – 0.15) 6
Value of forward plan =
0.15 (1.15)
= Rs.4869.6 million
33.9
Cost of capital = (2/3) x 0.09 + (1/3) x 0.20 = 0.1267 or 12.67 per cent
(Rs.in million)
Year 1 2 3 4 5
1.Revenues 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
2. Costs 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
3. PBDIT 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800
4. Depreciation 400 400 400 400 400
5. PBIT 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400
6. NOPAT 980 980 980 980 980
7. Cash flow(4+6) 1380 1380 1380 1380 1380
8. Capital at charge 2000 1600 1200 800 400
9. Capital charge(
8x0.1267) 253.4 202.72 152.04 101.36 50.68
(i) EVA(6-9) 726.6 777.28 827.96 878.64 929.32
33.10
Equipment cost = 10,000,000
Economic life = 5 years
Salvage value = Rs.3,000,000
Cost of capital = 16 per cent
Present value of salvage value = 3,000,000 /1.165
= 1,428,339
8,571,661 8,571,661
Annuity amount = =
PVIFA16%, 5yrs 3.274
= Rs.2,618,100
33.11
300 300
Economic depreciation = = = Rs. 14.07 million
FVIFA(10, 16%) 21.3215
1. Generally, in EVA calculation NOPAT is defined as PBIT (1-T). HUL defines it as PAT
+ INT (1-T)
The two, however, are equivalent because
PBIT (1-T) = (PBT + INT) (1-T)
= PBT (1-T) + INT (1-T)
= PAT + INT (1-T)
2. HUL has not specified how it calculated the Market risk premium or Beta variant.
The Market risk premium figure of 11% used by HUL seems to be somewhat high.
The Beta variant of 0.481 used by HUL seems to be somewhat low. Given the
compensating errors in these two, it appears that the product of 11% and 0.481 i.e.
5.29% is not much off the mark.
Chapter 34
MERGERS, ACQUISITIONS AND RESTRUCTURING
1. The pre-amalgamation balance sheets of Cox Company and Box Company and the post-
amalgamation balance sheet of the combined entity, Cox and Box Company, under the ‘pooling’
method as well as the ‘purchase’ method are shown below :
(amounts in Rs.million unless otherwise mentioned)
Before amalgamation After amalgamation
Pooling Purchase
Cox Company Box Company method method
Fixed assets 25 10 35 45
Current assets 20 7.5 27.5 30
Total assets 45 17.5 62.5 75
Share capital (face value Rs.10) 20 5 25 30
Reserve and surplus 10 10 20 27.5
Debt 15 2.5 17.5 17.5
Total liabilities 45 17.5 62.5 75
2.
Post-merger EPS of International Corporation will be
2 x 100,000 + 2 x100,000
100,000 + ER x 100,000
Setting this equal to Rs.2.5 and solving for ER gives
ER = 0.6
34.3
PVA = Rs.25 million, PVB = Rs.10 million
Benefit = Rs.4 million, Cash compensation = Rs.11 million
Cost = Cash compensation – PVB = Rs.1 million
NPV to Alpha = Benefit – Cost = Rs.3 million
NPV to Beta = Cash Compensation – PVB = Rs.1 million
b) NPV to Ajeet
= Benefit - Cost
= 4 - 1.75 = Rs.2.25 million
Rs.1.20 (1.05)
Rs.12 =
k - .05
If the growth rate of Unibex rises to 7 per cent as a sequel to merger, the intrinsic
value per share would become :
1.20 (1.07)
= Rs.15.11
0.155 - .07
Thus the value per share increases by Rs.3.11 Hence the benefit of the
acquisition is
2 million x Rs.3.11 = Rs.6.22 million
(b) (i) If Multibex pays Rs.15 per share cash compensation, the cost of the
merger is 2 million x (Rs.15 – Rs.12) = Rs.6 million.
(ii) If Multibex offers 1 share for every 3 shares it has to issue 2/3 million
shares to shareholders of Unibex.
0.667
= 0.1177 or 11.77 per cent
5+0.667
34.6
The expected profile of the combined entity A&B after the merger is shown in the last column
below.
A B A&B
Number of shares 5000 2000 6333
Aggregate earnings Rs.45000 Rs.4000 Rs.49000
Market value Rs.90000 Rs.24000 Rs.114000
P/E 2 6 2.33
34.7.
It is assumed that the discount rate applicable to the acquisition is 12 percent
Value of Alpha Limited’s equity as a stand-alone company.
50 55 60 64 70 70 (1.06) 1
+ + + + + x
(1.12) (1.12)2 (1.12)3 (1.12)4 (1.12)5 0.12 – 0.06 (1.12)5
Let a be the maximum exchange ratio acceptable to the shareholders of Alpha Limited. Since the
management of Alpha Limited wants to ensure that the net present value of equity-related cash flows
increases by at least 5 percent, the value of a is obtained as follows.
10
x 1518.98 = 1.05 x 912.79
10 + a 8
a = 0.7311
Note that the number of outstanding shares of Alpha Limited and Beta Limited are 10 million and 8
million respectively.
34.8. (a) The maximum exchange ratio acceptable to shareholders of Vijay Limited is :
S1 (E1+E2) PE12
ER1 = - +
S2 P1S2
12 (36+12) 8
= - + = 0.1
8 30 x 8
9 x 12
= = 0.3
9 (36+12) - 9 x 8
Equating ER1 and ER2 and solving for PE12 gives, PE12 = 9
When PE12 = 9
ER1 = ER2 = 0.3
Thus ER1 and ER2 intersect at 0.3
0 10.2 16.7
+ + +
(1.12)5 (1.12)6 (1.12)7
= - Rs.19.90 million
The horizon value at the end of seven years, applying the constant growth model is
FCF8 18
V4 = = = Rs.450 million
0.12-0.08 0.12 – 0.08
1
PV (VH) = 450 x = Rs.203.6 million
7
(1.12)
(a)
Modern Pharma Magnum Drugs Exchange
Ratio
Book value per share 2300 650 65
= Rs.115 = Rs.65
20 10 115
Earnings per share 450 95 9.5
= Rs.22.5 = Rs.9.5
20 10 22.5
Market price per share Rs.320 Rs.102 102
320
Exchange ratio that gives equal weightage to book value per share, earnings per share, and market
price per share
65 9.5 102
+ +
115 22.5 320 0.57 + 0.42 + 0.32
= = 0.44
3 3
(b) An exchange ratio based on earnings per share fails to take into account the
following:
(i) The difference in the growth rate of earnings of the two companies.
(ii) The gains in earnings arising out of merger.
(iii) The differential risk associated with the earnings of the two companies.
20 + ER X 10
Equating this with Rs.22.5, we get
(450 + 95) (1.05)
= 22.5
20 + 10ER
This gives ER = 0.54
Thus the maximum exchange ratio Modern Pharma should accept to avoid initial dilution of EPS is
0.54
(d) Post-merger EPS of Modern Pharma if the exchange ratio is 1:4, assuming no
synergy gain:
450 + 95
= Rs.24.2
20 + 0.25 x 10
(e) The maximum exchange ratio acceptable to the shareholders of Modern Pharma if
the P/E ratio of the combined entity is 13 and there is no synergy gain
- 20 (450 + 95) 13
= + = 0.21
10 320 x 10
(f) The minimum exchange ratio acceptable to the shareholders of Magnum Drugs if
the P/E ratio of the combined entity is 12 and the synergy benefit is 2 percent
P2S1
ER2 =
(P/E12) (E1 + E2) (1 + S) – P2S2
102 x 20
=
12 (450 + 95) (1.02) – 102 X 10
= 0.36
(g) The level of P/E ratio where the lines ER1 and ER2 intersect.
70.50 – 70.00 12
= x = 2.86 %
70.00 3
37.2 Let F be the forward rate that makes investing in the two countries have the same return.
We then have :
( F/1.320) = (1.02/1.016) So, F = (1.02/1.016)x 1.320 = 1.3252
37.3.
(a) The annual percentage discount of the dollar on the yen may be calculated with
reference to 30-day forwards
118 – 112 360
x = 61.02 %
118 30
(b) The most likely spot rate 6 months hence will be : 103 yen / dollar
9077.2 7290.4
+ +
(1.18)4 (1.18)5
F 1 + .0055
=
1.32 1 + .004
F = $ 1.3220 / £
37.6. Expected spot rate a year from now 1 + expected inflation in home country
=
Current spot rate 1 + expected inflation in foreign country
So, the expected spot rate a year from now is : 96 x (1.06 / 1.02) = Rs.99.76
37.7.
(a) The spot exchange rate of one US dollar should be :
28,000
= Rs.38.89
720
(b) One year forward rate of one US dollar should be :
36,000
= Rs.45
800
(1.007)2
= 144 x = 140.35 yen / £
(1.02)2
37.9 (i) Determine the present value of the foreign currency liability (£100,000) by using
90-day money market lending rate applicable to the foreign country. This works
out to :
£100,000
= £ 98522
(1.015)
(ii) Obtain £98522 on today’s spot market
(iii) Invest £98522 in the UK money market. This investment will grow to
£100,000 after 90 days
37.10. (i) Determine the present value of the foreign currency asset (£100,000) by using
the 90-day money market borrowing rate of 2 per cent.
100,000
= £98039
(1.02)
(ii) Borrow £98039 in the UK money market and convert them to dollars in the spot
market.
(iii) Repay the borrowing of £98039 which will compound to £100000 after 90 days
with the collection of the receivable
37.11
. A lower interest rate in the Swiss market will be offset by the depreciation of theUS
dollar vis-à-vis the Swiss franc. So Mr.Sehgal’s argument is not tenable.
37. 12
INR/GBP = (INR/USD) x (USD/GBP) = 0.0141 x 0.7692 = 0.0108
37.13
As the forward bid in points is more than the offer rate in points the forward rate is at a
discount. So we have to subtract the points from the respective spot rate. The outright one
month forward quotation for USD/INR is therefore: 70.3524 / 70.3534
( Note that one swap point = 0.0001)
37.14
MINICASE
a)
Proceeds of the DD at TT buying rate = 10,000 x 71.19 = Rs. 711,900
b)
Outright 6 month USD/INR forward rate = (71.62 + 2.30) / (71.65 + 2.35)
=73.92 / 74.00
Mid spot rate = (71.62 + 71.65) /2 = 71.635
Mid forward rate = (73.92 + 74.00) /2 = 73.96
Premium on USD as indicated by the forward rate = [(73.96 – 71.635) / 71.635] x2 x100
= 6.49 %
c)
Expected 6 month forward buying rate as indicated by the CIP:
= 71.62 x (1+ 0.0765/2) / (1 + 0.0260/2)
= 73.41
As this rate is worse than the one based on the prevailing market forward rate, it is advantageous to leave the exposure
uncovered..
d)
EUR / USD 3months outright forward ask rate: 1.1290 – 0.0032 = 1.1258
USD / INR 3months outright forward ask rate: 71.65 + 1.33 = 72.98
EUR /INR = [EUR / USD] x [ USD / INR ]
EUR / INR three months forward ask rate = 1.1258 x 72.98 = 82.16
Rupee cost of the import = 7,000 x 82.16 = Rs. 575,120
e)
Bill discounting proceeds (gross) = 40,000 x 73.92 = Rs.29,56,800
Total cost of export = 12, 63,000 + 575,120+ 29, 56,800 x 0.01 = Rs.18,67,688
Percentage of gross profit made = (711,900+ 29,56,800– 18,67,688) / (711,900+ 29,56,800)
= 49.1%
Chapter 40
CORPORATE RISK MANAGEMENT
40.1 (a) The investor must short sell Rs.1.43 million (Rs.1 million / 0.70) of B
(b) His hedge ratio is 0.70
(c) To create a zero value hedge he must deposit Rs.0.43 million
The dividend yield on a six months basis is 2 per cent. On an annual basis it is approximately 4
per cent.
5400
= 5000 + 250 – Present value of convenience yield
(1.15)1
5.25% 5%
EXCEL APPLE
EXCEL CORPN. LTD.
LIBOR+ 50BP 5%
b)
Comments on the ratios and their trend:
Liquidity: The liquidity position is very sound with even the acid-test ratio above 2 as it should be for a rather
conservative company of such standing. In the last three years, the excess liquidity is getting trimmed, perhaps to put
the assets to more profitable use.
Solvency: The solvency is very high with debt-equity ratio at around just 0.2 and a steady debt ratio of 0.18 is an
indicator of the company’s policy of relying mostly on own funds. The interest coverage ratio is very high because of
their almost insignificant borrowings.
Utilisation of assets: The following turnover ratios indicate the asset utilisation ( 2016 to 2018)
Inventory turnover 6.27 6.83 6.11
Debtors turnover 28.27 26.74 18.50
Fixed assets turnover 3.29 3.27 2.37
Average collection period in
days 12.91 13.65 19.73
Total assets turnover 1.15 1.12 0.82
For a multi-product company like ITC, inventory turnover which is maintained above 6, seems to be satisfactory. The
total assets turnover, which is just 0.82 in 2018, is showing a declining trend as the increase in fixed assets is not
matched by the revenue growth. In FY 2008, the company had purchased a five star hotel in Goa and this raised the
fixed assets by around Rs.2,000 crores, the revenues thereof yet to materialise. So the decline in total turnover does not
seem to be indicative any emerging weakness in operations. But there is a clear declining trend in the efficiency of
their collection mechanism, what with the average collection period increasing from 13 to 20 days, unless of course
the same is attributable to some deliberate strategy or to trade compulsions.
Profitability:
Net profit margin 16.8% 17.3% 23.2%
Return on assets 19.34% 19.47% 19.12%
Earning power 30.4% 29.8% 29.1%
Return on capital employed 19.8% 19.5% 19.3%
Return on equity 23.3% 23.4% 23.1%
All the profitability ratios are high and steady over the three years. The increase in net profit margin in 2018 should be
ignored as it is only due to the rearrangement of figures in the income statement on account of the introduction of GST
etc. which decreased the denominator of that ratio for that year.
c)
DuPont chart for 2017-18:
ITC 2017-18 DuPont Chart
==============================================
Net Profit Total Costs
Margin ÷
23.02%
X 38,440 cr.
Total Revenues
49,933 cr.
Return on ÷
+
Assets Average Non-
19.11 % current assets
33,785 cr.
Total Revenues
49,933 cr.
Total Assets ÷
Turnover Average
0.83
Total +
Assets Average
+
60,117 cr. current assets
26,332 cr.
2.
For
ITC
year ITC Nifty
DPS adjusted Adjusted Nifty ITC Nifty total
ended Nifty Market Bonus Split price
(Rs.) price DPS (Rs.) yield(%) return return
March Price(Rs.) return
(Rs.)
31
R(M) -
Year ended R(ITC) R(M) R(ITC) -R'(ITC)
R'(M) 3x4 [R(M)-R'(M)]2
31 March (1) (2) (3)
(4)
1998
-
1999 0.3776 0.0201 0.1674 -0.1891 -0.0317 0.0358
2000 -0.2344 0.4279 -0.4446 0.2590 -0.1151 0.0671
-
2001 0.1086 0.2374 -0.1016 -0.4064 0.0413 0.1651
-
2002 -0.1314 0.0023 -0.3417 -0.1712 0.0585 0.0293
-
2003 -0.0796 0.1052 -0.2898 -0.2742 0.0795 0.0752
2004 0.6847 0.8296 0.4745 0.6606 0.3135 0.4364
2005 0.3058 0.1687 0.0956 -0.0003 0.0000 0.0000
2006 1.2027 0.6847 0.9925 0.5158 0.5119 0.2660
2007 -0.2121 0.1356 -0.4223 -0.0333 0.0141 0.0011
2008 0.3848 0.2492 0.1746 0.0803 0.0140 0.0064
-
2009 -0.0898 0.3434 -0.3000 -0.5123 0.1537 0.2625
2010 0.4495 0.7469 0.2393 0.5779 0.1383 0.3340
2011 0.4221 0.1221 0.2118 -0.0468 -0.0099 0.0022
-
2012 0.2717 0.0772 0.0615 -0.2462 -0.0151 0.0606
2013 0.3811 0.0877 0.1709 -0.0813 -0.0139 0.0066
2014 0.1594 0.1934 -0.0508 0.0244 -0.0012 0.0006
2015 -0.0595 0.2794 -0.2697 0.1104 -0.0298 0.0122
-
2016 0.0253 0.0738 -0.1849 -0.2427 0.0449 0.0589
2017 0.3064 0.1981 0.0962 0.0291 0.0028 0.0008
2018 -0.0688 0.1154 -0.2790 -0.0536 0.0150 0.0029
R'(ITC) 0.2102 R'(M) 0.1690 sum 1.1705 1.8237
3
Year 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
adjusted
DPS 4 4.5 5.5 7.5 10 13.5 15 20 31 39.75 46.5 52.5
Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
adjusted
DPS 55.5 150 133.5 135 157.5 180 187.5 255 213.8
CAGR of dividends = (213.8/4)1/20- 1 = 22.01 percent
As the borrowings are not significant, the cost of capital may be set equal to the cost of equity. The
H Model of the dividend discount method is used as follows:
Cost of equity using CAPM = 7.76 + 0.6418(16.9 – 7.76) = 13.63 %
WACC = 13.63 %
= Rs.223
4
Rs.in crore
Year ending March 31 2016 2017 2018
Cost of materials consumed 11,169 11,979 11,944
Purchases of Stock-in-Trade 2,595 3,478 2,884
Changes in inventories -195 593 1,028
Employee benefits expense
(assuming 50%) 1,720 1,816 1,880
Other expenses (assuming
50%) 3,862 3,830 3,675
Cost of goods sold 19,151 21,695 21,411
2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018
Sales 55,061 58,705 47,689 Inventory 9,062 8,116 7,495
COGS 19,151 21,695 21,411 Trade receivable 1,917 2,474 2,682
Trade payable 2,339 2,659 3,496
2016-17 2017-18
Inventory period (days) 144.50 133.07 improved
Accounts receivable
period(days) 13.65 19.73 worsened
Accounts payable period
(days) 42.05 52.47 improved
Operating cycle (days) 158.16 152.80 improved
5.
:
Year ended March 31 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017 2018
Payout ratio 56.22% 54.52% 53.67% 51.85% 69.01% 55.07% 54.69%
The payout ratio is steady at around 54 percent which corroborates the company’s stated policy of striving to declare a
steady stream of dividends to their shareholders. It could be that the high networth individuals and
institutions are staying invested for stable, safe and steady dividend income besides capital gains.
In this sense there clearly is a clientele effect.
i)
There were three bonus issues and one stock split in the past thirteen years. The stock cannot be split any further. Half
of all the earnings are being paid out steadily to the shareholders. The compounded annual growth rate of dividends is
22 percent. The picture one gets is that of a sturdy and steady investor friendly company.
6.
Cigarettes fall under the highest tax bracket and all tobacco products are required to carry pictorial warning covering
most of their packaging space. The anti-smoking lobby will only gain more strength in future resulting in still higher
penalties. This is a mounting threat to the profitability and even the sustainability of their main cigarette business. In
such a scenario the company’s strategy seems to be to attain a position where it would not be dependent on its
tobacco/cigarette income for growth, by entering various other lucrative segments. As cigarettes are considered ‘sin
goods’ and ITC is the undisputed leader in that segment, they are making persistent efforts to shed their ‘cigarette
company’ image, lest the notoriety thereof rubs on their reputation in the new businesses.
Way back in 1990, ITC had decided to focus only on areas where they could lead viz. cigarettes/tobacco, hotels,
packaging and paper. The segments chosen for diversification have been those where their organisational strengths
like the well-knit distribution network could be effectively leveraged. Also those segments are the ones having
backward integration with established existing businesses as can be seen from the following value chains:
Agriculture - tobacco – cigarettes- hotels-lifestyle products etc.
- e- choupal – IT- rural connect- agricultural procurements- branded food products etc.
- paper-notebooks- stationery etc.
Despite relatively heavy investment in the non-cigarette FMCG segment, about 80 percent of the company’s profit is
still derived from the cigarettes segment even after sixteen years.
7.
It is seen that 96.7 percent of the shareholders are holding less than 10,000 shares and their combined shareholding is
just 3.2 percent. The fact that there is no promoter and there is a predominance of institutional investors ensures that
the company is professionally managed. For that same reason, the equity analysts would be after this stock regularly
which would reduce the scope for any sudden large fluctuations of the share price. As the stock is almost wholly held
by very strong long term players, its beta would necessarily be low.
8.
a)
As per the company’s Annual Report, the important risk factors at the business level and the
measures used to manage them are as under:
i) Commodities:
The risk assessment framework consists of monitoring market dynamics on an ongoing basis,
continuous tracking of net open positions & ‘value at risk’ against approved limits and hedging
with futures contracts as applicable. Also they go in for backward integration where feasible in
respect of sourcing of agri commodities and paper besides protecting margins by suitable
management of product mix and input prices. For agricultural commodities held for trading
futures contracts are used to hedge price risk.
ii) Treasury operations:
The Company has established risk management policies to hedge the volatility arising from
exchange rate fluctuations in respect of firm commitments and highly probable forecast
transactions, through foreign exchange forwards and plain vanilla options contracts with reputed
banks as counterparties. The proportion of forecast transactions that are to be hedged is decided
based on the size of the forecast transaction and market conditions. Investment of its large
temporary surplus is supported by appropriate control mechanisms including independent check of
100% of transactions by its audit department. Both market risk, and interest rate risk are not
significant as it is not an active investor in equity markets and also is almost debt free. The
company’s debt investments are centralised and are made within ‘acceptable’ risk parameters
under a set of approved policies and procedures after due evaluation. Such investments are mostly
in bonds/debentures, fixed deposits and debt mutual funds, all with government undertakings,
reputed banks/companies with investment grade credit ratings and for short durations. As such the
price risk, credit risk and counterparty risk are not significant. Credit concentration risk is also
negligible as its customer base is large and diverse.
b.
The company’s borrowings are negligible and so there is no effort at managing financial risk. As to
business risk, the management of the same is made an integral part of the strategy for developing a
business portfolio.
The Risk Management Committee, constituted by the Board, monitors and reviews the strategic
risk management plans of the Company as a whole. Independent Internal Audit at the corporate
level carries out risk focused audits across all businesses. The Audit Committee of the Board
reviews Internal Audit findings and the Audit Compliance Review Committee monitors the
internal control environment.