Professional Documents
Culture Documents
June:2018
Mizan Aman:Ethiopia
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II
Acknowledgement
First and for most we would like to thank the God for endowing with the staying power and courage of going
through all up and down to reach the stage where we are now. Next to that I can highly appreciate my advisor,
Mengesha Molla for his strive going through each point by wasting his precious time in reading the paper as
well as for his supportive criticism.
As final point I want to appreciate my family specially my father and my brother seifu, you are the case for to
be happen you are my side in financial assistance and advisor.
Table of Contents
Content Page
Acknowledgement.......................................................................................................................................................................... I
Abstract....................................................................................................................................................................................... IV
Acronym....................................................................................................................................................................................... V
List of Tables................................................................................................................................................................................ VI
CHAPTER FOUR............................................................................................................................................................................ 15
CHAPTER FIVE.............................................................................................................................................................................. 29
5.1. Conclusion.................................................................................................................................................................................. 29
II
5.2. Recommendation.........................................................................................................................................................................30
REFERENCE.................................................................................................................................................................................. 31
Abstract
This study focused on the effects of rapid population growth on socio- economic development in case of Mizan
aman twon.The number of population are increasing from time to time which is shown by high fertilities and
migration and this has a greater impacts on increasing number of unemployed peoples, lack of job opportunity,
decrease in land share and infrastructure which directly affects the quality life of the society. The General
objective of this study is to assess the effect of rapid population growth on socio-economic development of
Mizan aman town
own of South bench maji zone NNPS regional state. Moreover, the specific objective is to analyze the
relationship and consequence of rapid population growth on socio-economic development.
To get data from target population in the town questionnaires, interviews and secondary data from different
office of the town have been used. To analyze data obtained by questionnaire and interviews the researchers
used descriptive analysis, which includes tabulation, percentages, averages, and graphical. Sampling is also
used to get representative sample from household of population of the Town.
For the greatest causes of rapid population growth on socio-economic development, different policy
applications are needed. These policies are different measures to be taken by the government to avoid the effect
of rapid population growth on socio-economic development.
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Acronym
CSA-Central Statistical Agency
DC-Developed Country
EC - Ethiopian Calendar
EEA-Ethiopian Economic Association
FDRE-Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
GDP-Growth Domestic Production
ILO-International Labor Organization
LDC- Less Developed County
MOFED - Minister of Finance and Economic Development
NGO-Non-governmental Organization
NPPE-National Population Policy of Ethiopia
UN–United Nation
List of Tables
Table 4.1 Age distribution of the respondents………………………………………………………………15
Table 4.2 Sex distribution of the respondents…………………………………………………………........16
Table 4.3 Family size distribution of the respondents …………..…………………………………………..16
Table 4.4 Education level of the respondents……………….………………………………………………17
Table 4.5 Work condition, kinds of work and monthly income…………………………………………….18
Table 4.6 Income analysis…………………………………………………………………………………...19
Table 4.7 House Condition……………………………………………………………………………….....20
Table 4.8 Migrant, dweller and for work identification of the respondents…………………………………20
Table 4.9 Teji town population by Kebeles…………………………………………………………….....22
Table 4.10 Economically active population of the town…..…………………………………..……………23
Table 4.11Unemployment of the town………………….…………………………………………………...24
Table 4.12 Total numbers of school, students, teachers and quality measures of the town in 2007EC…..…26
IV
Table 4.13 Total numbers of health center, its ratio and human power in the town in 2007EC…………..27
List of Figures
Fig 4.1 Family size and economy of the town ………………………………………………17
Fig 4.2 Land share of Teji town………………………………………………………......18
Fig 4.3 Population of Teji town by Kebeles…………………………………………….....22
Fig 4.4 Unemployment of Teji town by Kebeles from 2001-2007EC………………….....24
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VIII
CHAPTER ONE
1.Introduction
According to Martin (2009),high population growth is a growing concern throughout the world and a challenge
to countries’ economies.The world’s population was about a billion in 1800 and rose to 2.5 billion in 1950. In
the year 2010 the world’s population was 6.7 billion and is projected to rise to 9.2 billion by 2050 with almost
all population growth projected to occur in what are now considered less developed regions. Between 1950 and
2000, when the world’s population increased from 2.5 billion to 6.1 billion, the major shifts in population
weights by continent were the result of changes in fertility and mortality rather than large-scale migration.
Ethiopia is one of the less developing countries (LDCs) and characterized by rapid population growth which is
not balanced with economic development of the country. In 1998, Ethiopia ranked 20 th with 60 million
populations. The projected population of 169 million in 2050 were ranked country 9 th most populated in the
world and 2nd in Africa following Nigeria. The Ethiopia annual growth rate was 2.4% with the doubling time of
population is about 24 years. Such rapid growth population change in fact strains socio-economic development
of our country seriously. In Ethiopia rapid population growth brought a reduction in per capital income, social
service provision, unemployment, dependency ratio, natural resource and environment degradation, job
opportunity, basic need self-sufficient provision of good and service and size of land available for farming and
housing (EEA,2008).
South nation nationalities people regional state is one of the largest regions in the Federal Democratic Republic
of Ethiopia (FDRE) that share boarder with other regions and highly populated with different unique features.
The region is rich in natural resource and have very good environment for investment and agricultural
production. The region is characterized by rapid population growth especially around urban areas.SNNP is
ranked second in terms of population size with a population density 140 people per square kilometer. The
regional population growth is not balanced with the economic development and this brought various impacts
(Population Annual Report of SNNP, 2007).
Mizan-aman twon is one of the twons found in south nation nationalities people regional state of Etiopia in
bench maji zone.In majority of economic activity of mizan-aman twon under take into informal sector and the
rest of population engaged on formal economic activities .
It is undeniable that Ethiopia population is growing in alarming rate. At the begining 20 Centuries.
Ethiopian population was estimated 11.75 million with 0.2% annual growth rate and its doubling time
was expected to be in 346 years .But then population grew very fast and took only 60years to
double . Thus between 1960 and 1990,population onice agin doubel (EEA,1999)According to three
population census report,which have been carried out in(CSA 1984,199
4 and 2007).Ethiopia population was registered at 42.04,53
,48 and 73.3 million respectively .
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In Ethiopia, population growth is a real problem of economic development because unrestricted population
increase is seen as the major crisis causing low level of living, malnutrition, ill
health,environmentaldegradation and other social problem. Mizan-aman town is also one of the areas in
Ethiopia, which faces many problems from population growth; this problems are on distribution of land,
social service, job opportunity food security and etc. Moreover, rapidly growing population exposes the town
to serious problems like unemployment and environmental ecological imbalance, this and other problems
are put the town in vicious circle of poverty. Consequently, the town has less accessibility of education and
health sector facilities, to fill the need and demand of the whole society and country: This problem came
from population growth. (Todaro, 2008).
Many research scholars showed that the rapid population growth has its own consequences on socio-economic
development in urban areas. These unsolved and non-conclusive problems include decrease in land holding,
high rate of unemployment, shortage of social service and housing issues and etc. Thus, by taking the above
noted problems into account this research paper assesses the effect of population growth on socio-economic
development of Mizan-aman town. In line with this the following research questions are raised:
What is the causal relationship between population growth and socio- economic development of the town?
How do socio-economic developments respond due to dynamics in Population growth?
What should be the plausible policy recommendations ought to be taken into account in order to reduce the
rapid population growth and bring its socio-economic improvement?
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1.5 Scope of the study
The studies limited on the effect of population growth on socio-economic development.The researcher would
focus on the effects of rapid population growth on the town’s socio-economic development. The research cover
2011-2015 year data source of the town population status. The motivation to conduct these analyses is to assess
some consequence of population growth on socio-economic development of Mizan-aman town. The study is
conducted on the kebeles of the town.
1.6 Limitation of the study
The study of this paper analysis are limited by shortage of primary and secondary data source, lack of available
current data profiles, shortage of reference book, internet service, time and budget are some limitation of the
study that reduce expected finding of research paper analysis.
3
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
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Population ageing thus may be exercising a negative impact on economic growth. While many problems such
as congestion, pollution, and slum settlements are caused by urban growth in contemporary developing
countries, cities are often described as ‘engines’ of growth (Beall and Fox, 2009).
Cities also provide large and concentrated markets, allowing for economies of scale in the production of
manufactured goods as well as low transportation costs. It is in urban areas that firms can better match their
labor demands with the supply of skills, while the returns to infrastructure such as roads, port facilities, and
electricity grids are greater due to the concentration of industries and firms. By analyzing international data for
the period since 1975 and find that urban growth has been positively associated with per capita GDP growth.
Hypothesize that per capita GDP growth in a developing country is a function of the following factors: the level
of urbanization, urban growth, population growth, and population growth squared, young and old dependency
ratios, the mortality rate, the total fertility rate (Fox and Dyson, 2008).
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2.2 Empirical Literature
Evidences on Ethiopia economy showed that rapid population growth in the country has seriously affected the
development of the economy. The growth rate of GDP and perception GDP have been declining with growth of
population for instance. The GDP growth rate in 1978 was four times higher than that of the 1990 while per
capita GDP declined to almost zero in 1990 from 2.6 in 1978 (Berhanu and Befekadu, 2007/2008).
Experiences over the last couple of decades in Ethiopia have shown that when human numbers increased the
population carrying capacity of the environment decreased.
“…. High population growth rate included in increased demand for resources and the rate all which these
resources are exploited. In Ethiopia where technology has not kept pace with the demands for greater
productivity, environmentally harmful and economic country productive methods or exploiting land associated
resources are resorted in order to meet immediate needs. As a consequence; climatic condition became erratic
and soil quality declined at an alarming rate” (national population policy of Ethiopia 2005).
Empirical evidence on Ethiopia agriculture and population growth shows as that there is a wide gap between
population growth and the corresponding in food production. “Declining per capital production, low caloric
consumption and increasing food insecurity and resource exploitations are the likely consequence of population
pressure in Ethiopia (NPPOE, 2005).
In an Africa context in general and Ethiopia in particularly the growth in food production has failed to keep
pace with population growth. In sub-Saharan Africa, for example the growth of per capital food production is
2% while the population is growing at 3% per annum” (Abbi, 2011).
Rapid population growth in Ethiopia aggravated the existing gap of unmet need for social services. The quality
of health and education services in the country have been and continued being deteriorated by the rapid growth
of population. A report presented to the office of prime minister of the transitional government of Ethiopia in
2001 put the effect of population growth on the service sector as “In spite of the facts that during the last several
decades, environment figures in absolute terms, at various levels of education have significantly increased, large
proportions of the school age population still remained outside the school system of the more rapid rate at which
enrolment increased relative to facilities. The quality of education has seriously deteriorated.” (National
population policy of Ethiopia. 2009).
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
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Mizan -aman town is one of the town of south nation nationality poeple regional state of Ethiopia. which
is locted at a distance of 586km from addis abeba it is found in the south west part of Ethiopia in bench maji
zone. in majority of economic activity of mizan-aman town under take into informal sector and the rest of
population engaged on formal economic activity the total population of bench-maji zone according to
ciunces ,2007E.C 652,531 from this male population 18,138 and female 15,242 for administrative simplicity the
town has 10 kebeles adminstrative (Mizan-aman town administration office,2007).
The physical location of town is situated between 6.73’-7.01 o latitude and 35.37- 36.7 longitudes. It s average
temperature and rainfall are 15.1-25 and 1800-2000Mm respectively .
N o Name of Town Number of Kebeles in the town Total population of the town Number of Households Sample size of respondents
1 . Mizan-aman 1 0 6 5 2 5 3 1 3 6 4 1 7 3
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3.5 Methods of data analysis
The descriptive way of data analysis includes statistical tools such as tabulation, percentage, ratio, average and
diagram representation are applied to explain the impact of rapid population growth on social and economic
development of the town in clear qualitative and quantitative ways. And also data will be analiyzed by
desciptive statics.
CHAPTER: FOUR
˂ 2 0 8 1 1 2
2 0 - 3 5 3 2 4 4 8
3 6 - 6 5 2 1 2 9 5
˃ 6 5 1 2 1 6 3
T o t a l 7 3 1 0 0 1 8
Source: Own survey, 2017
As the above table shows the high percentage of respondent’s age is between 20-35 ages that is44 percent. It
can also be seen that more of the town’s household’s age is found to be between 20-35 years and 36-65 years.
The result shows that more of the societies are economically active in productive activity. And also 12 of
respondents are elder person who cannot contribution to economy, this increase dependence ratio of the town.
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Table 4.2: Sex distribution of the respondent.
This table explains about marital status of the household of the town.
S e x Frequency P e r c e n t ( % ) Average
M a l e 4 7 6 4 3 2
Female 2 6 3 6 1 8
T o t a l 7 3 1 0 0 5 0
Source: Own survey, 2017
The above table shows that from 73 respondent 26females arethose lives alone with children without husband.
It also implies that these families come to this town to search better job opportunity and for education purpose.
This shows us that children without father but only mother cannot gain the education opportunity. This will
make in particular this family to fail under poverty and in general hindrance country’s development.
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Population growth and economy of the town.
Frequency
250
200
150
frequency
economy
100
50
0
<4 >5&<9 >9
Family size
Fig: 4.1, family size & economy of the town.
This graph shows that population growth affect economic development. When family size is increase over the
economy. This implies that when population growth over economy there is no economic development rather
than subsistence food only. This is start from <4 family - >5&<9 family the economy increase and after that
decrease, this shows as family size increase economic development decrease. Then there is adverse relationship
between economic development and population growth.
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Majority of the households attained 1-8(30%), Diploma(14%) and BA (5%). This shows more or less shortage
of social service by side of education. This is one problem that rise from the rapidly increase of population
growth.
Monthly income(birr)
˂ 5 0 0 1 4 1 9 3 . 5
5 0 0 - 1 0 0 0 2 1 3 0 5 . 2
1 0 0 0 - 2 0 0 0 2 8 3 8 7
˃ 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 . 5
T o t a l 7 3 1 0 0 1 8
Source: own survey, 2017
The above table shows that majority of the respondent are currently unemployed that is 62percent or 22 .5on
average and those who did employ are 38 percent or 14 on average. Majority of respondent monthly income is
income of 1000-2000 that accounts 28(38 percent or 7 on average), 500-1000 and >2000 are about 30 percent
or 5.2 on average, and 13 percent on average 2.5 respectivily and income less than 500 is 19 percent or 3.5 on
average.
Also it shows that majority of society have no job; earn low monthly income means when we compare with
currently living cost condition, many people earn monthly income b/n 1000-2000 this not survive there living
standard and day work that account for 28 (38percent or 7 on average). So that this shows the mismatch of
economy and population growth.
4.1.2.4, Analyzing income of respondent, how it surviving and contribute to economy.
Income growth led to economic development. But, the area is densely populated in general and large families in
particular have no any contribution to economic development rather than surviving life if more. On another
hand in other area there is no self-surviving than subsistent consumption.
Table 4.6: Income analysis.
Is your income surviving you? Frequency P e r c e n t ( % ) Average
Y e s 2 7 4 0 1 3 . 5
N o 4 6 6 0 2 3
T o t a l 7 3 1 0 0 3 6 . 5
14
S a v i n g
Y e s 2 0 2 7 1 0
N o 5 3 7 3 2 6 . 5
T o t a l 7 3 1 0 0 3 6 . 5
Source: own survey, 2017
The above table shows that although most of respondent can’t survive by their income this is 53(73%), there is
no saving by them from income because respondent who no saving(33) is greater than who have saving (20)
and 27(40%) can survive their life. This implies there is no contribution to economic development rather than
subsistence consumption. This shows what population growth makes on economic development adversely.
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or 12 average migrate to the town and added to the dwellers this makes increase the town’s population and
affect the town socio- economic development.
4.2, Secondary data analysis
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15 percent
10
5
0
e e y t bo
us ad ice rt in or
ho tr rv us om p ga
ls
e
in
d nd ns
o ra
ocia c t
s
Types of services
Fig: 4.2 land share ofMizan-amantown.
The above graph shows in Teji town the land shares for house is larger that is 47%. Land for transport (17%),
land for social service (12%), land for trade (9%), land for industry (5%), land for condominium house (5%),
and land for Gabo (for agricultural service) (5%). This show because of population growth large share of land
can be for household house. And also the land for industry, for social service, land for transport and for trade is
very important for economic development but they are less in percent that is 5%, 12%, 17%, 9% respectively.
This implies that population growth affect the land share capacity of the town in development of industry,
transport, trade and social service. This makes the deterioration of economic development.
Table 4.9:Mizan-aman town’s populations by kebeles.
K e b e l e s
Male Female Total Percent
H i b r e t 5 2 0 6 5 4 1 2 1 0 6 2 4 1 5
K o m e t a 3 5 3 6 3 6 8 0 1 0 0 2 5 4 1
16
T o t a l 2 5 7 6 2 2 7 0 1 5 5 2 7 7 7 1 9
P e r c e n t 4 9 5 1 1 0 0 1 0 0
Source: Mizan-aman town labor and social affair and Own survey, 2017
The above table shows that yearly population growth of the town is about 3.4%. Out of the 4 kebeles of the
town, majority of the populations are found in kebele 02. Compared to other kebeles, 01 kebele has few
populations. This is because of lack of family planning program. This may result in an increase of
unemployment.
Number of population
25000
20000
15000
population
10000
5000
0
1 2 3 4
Kebele
Fig: 4.3 population of Teji town by kebeles.
This grat 150 person.
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4.3 Population growth and socio-economic development in the town
In developing urban area like Mizan-aman town, the relationship between rapid population growth and socio-
economic development have indirect relationship due to imbalance between population growth and economic
development.
The influence on population operates through population dynamic (fertility, mortality, migration), while that of
population on development of economy can be explained in terms of size, structure, age, and growth of
population. According to Mizan-aman town since population size and growth are high, it is difficult to improve
over all social and economic development of the town. As the population of the town is dominated by economic
group inactive groups and which are totally dependent on their parents.
CHAPTER FIVE
5.1. Conclusion
The main determinants of population growth of the town emanate from large family size because of high
fertility rate, and increase urban migration over the study period. In this respect, the study provide that rapid
population growth in the town is the result of high birth rate and rise in migration of people from surrounding
rural area in to the town. The stage of socio-economic and demographic development factor (social, cultural,
economic and political) of the town societies in turn determines the level of fertility and urban migration.
Fertility rate and immigration increases the population growth, while mortality and emigration decrease
population of the town.
Moreover, the study confirmed that the impact of rapid population growth is the outcome of unbalanced growth
between population and socio-economic activities of the town. Rapid population growth of the town resulted in:
diminishing land share, increase in unemployment; high urban migration and inadequate creation of job
opportunity, rise in less than 15 age population, dependence ratio, and shortage of social service provision are
the main impacts of population that adversely affect the process of social and economic development in the
town. In the town high growth of population with limited supply of goods and services, result in low
development of social and economic transformation of the societies.
Regarding to this as the study proved in the Teji town the relationship between population growth and economic
development of the town were negatively related. This is because of the mismatch between rapid population
growth and economic development. The strong relationship between population growth and socio-economic
development is the area of food production, per capital income, investment and production of goods,
distribution of social service, land share , basic need, infrastructure facilities, natural resources and sustainable
economic development that unbalanced with the present population growth ofkebeles of society.
5.2. Recommendation
Government should reduce rapid population growth through well conducted population policy. Because the
Imbalance between population growth and economic development are a great headache of most developing
countries today. That population growth can address the main problem such as; lacks of job opportunity, lack of
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social service distribution, improper utilization or immobilization of land, wastages of environment and rapid
urban migration.
To reduce unemployment for living population, Government should motivate the participation of private and
NGOs investment by creating better conducive environment for investment to expand more job opportunity, to
increase production of goods and services, to reduce dependence ratio, to increase per capital income and
improving living standard of the society.
The regional and federal government should improve living condition of societies through, better provision of
social service, expansion of investment and increase in production, rising per capital income, improving
provision of contraceptive method, increasing social awareness on impact of population growth on economic
development and enabling family control of their fertility.
The Teji town administration should reduce rapid population growth and its effect on social and economic
development of town by taking some measurements as follows
Expanding modern health center, provision of better community based family planning.
Raising economic opportunity, educational status and empowerment of women because women have
more responsibility of rearing or bearing of children than man.
Increasing social awareness on low demand for children and impact of rapid population growth on the
town socio-economic development.
Maintain and improving the carrying capacity of the environment by taking appropriate environmental
protection and conservation measures to achieve sustainable development in the town.
Government should facilitate education opportunity to children who have no family, facilitate the
modern family planning program to reduce the family size, enhance job opportunity, guiding active
participation ratio and reducing unemployment to ensure economic development.
Town administration must be adopting market plan to stable the relation between land share and this
rapid population growth of the town.
REFERENCE
………… (2015) Annual population Report of Teji town, Teji town communication office
19
…Befekadu and Berhanu, N, (2007/2008), Annual report on the Ethiopian economy, volume 1, 2000E.C,
Ethiopian Economic Association Press, Addis Ababa-Ethiopia.
..Beall and Fox, National Journal academic of research science (2009).population growth and economic
development: policy question. Washington, D.C: National academic press.
..Bloom D. E., Canning D. E.2006 Booms, busts and echoes: how the biggest demographic upheaval in history
is affecting global development. Finance. Dev. 43, 8–13.
…..Dyson, T.cassen, R.andL.visaria (Ends) (2008) Twenty-first century India-population, Economy, human
development and the Environment, Oxford, Oxford University press.
…….Easterlin, Richard....’’An Economic Framework for Fertility Analysis. ‘Studies in Family planning.
….Girma, K, (2011), population, labor force and unemployment in the primitive city of Ethiopia, Volume 25,
Artistic printer press, Addis Ababa-Ethiopia.
………….Martin .P (2009) “Demographic and Economic Trends: Implications for International Mobility”
United Nations Development Program, Human Development Reports.
Michael P.T. and Stephens, S, Economic Development, tenth edition, 2009, New York University, USA.
…Ministry of Finance and Economic development (MOFED), Population andreproductive health,
2008.master printing press, Addis Ababa-Ethiopia.
…National Population Policy of Ethiopia: (2007) Addis Ababa Spiegel Henry William (1960). The Rise of
American Economic Thought: Philadelphia Chilton Book Division.
………………… (2010) populationAnnual Report of Oromia, (Oromia labor and social
affa…...............World book Wikipedia, Free Encyclopedia of Demography and population growth” volume
3.
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APPENDIX
MIZAN TEPI UNIVERSITY
COLLEGE OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
Subject:questuonaire
Dear respondent:
The researcher prepare this questionnaire. The main purpose of this questionnaire is to prepare the research
paper on the topic of “the effect of population growth on socio-economic development in case study of
Tejitown”. Therefore, you are highly requested that to fill each questions truly and sensitively to give
acceptability for this paper since your responses quality determine the accuracy of the paper.
NB: filling more than one impossible.
Specifying is more important
For choice part mark ’X”
A) Demographic information
1) Gender A) Male B) Female
2) Age A) below 20 B) 20-35 C) 36-50 D) above 50
3) Marital status: A)Single B)Married C) Divorce D) widow
5) Family size________________________________________________
6) How many children have you educated? ___________________________________________________
7) How did you come here? A) Migrant B) dweller C) for work
A) Yes B) B) No
24) As population increase in the town what effect have you observe on environment?
A) Positive B) negative
Specify__________________________________________________________________________
Explain__________________________________________________________________________
26) Have you ever thought society of the town about the effect of population growth on economy?
A) Yes B) No
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If you answer question no “26” A, answer for the question no “27”
_______________________________________________________________________________
28) Is there any effect on public expenditure if population increases in the town?
A) Yes B) No
Specify________________________________________________________________________
A) Yes B) No
Identify__________________________________________________________________________________
30) Is there land share for private sector who contributes development for town?
A) Yes B) No
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1