Simulation Scenario Benefit and Cost Analysis

Scenario 1 (Base Scenario ) Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 5

Description Capital Expenditure Capital Expenditure Capital Expenditure Capital Expenditure Capital Expenditure
247.849.589.703,20 247.849.589.703,20 247.849.589.703,20 247.849.589.703,20 247.849.589.703,20
Additional Capital Budget - - 50.000.000.000 50.000.000.000 50.000.000.000
50.000.000.000 50.000.000.000
Operational Expenditure Operational Expenditure Operational Expenditure Operational Expenditure Operational Expenditure
Year 1 40.152.661.349 40.152.661.349 40.152.661.349 40.152.661.349 40.152.661.349
Year 2 (+5%) 42.160.294.416 42.160.294.416 42.160.294.416 42.160.294.416 42.160.294.416
Year 3 (+5%) 44.268.309.137 44.268.309.137 44.268.309.137 44.268.309.137 44.268.309.137

Benefits Benefit Tangible Benefit Tangible Benefit Tangible Benefit Tangible Benefit Tangible
70.811.825.906 236.078.992.466 236.078.992.466 70.811.825.906 236.078.992.466

Benefit Intangible Benefit Intangible Benefit Intangible Benefit Intangible Benefit Intangible
74.445.864.733 74.445.864.733 74.445.864.733 74.445.864.733 74.445.864.733

Discount rate (BI7DDR) 3,50% 3,50% 3,50% 3,50% 3,50%

Financing period 3 year 3 year 3 year 3 year 3 year
Feasibility Indicator (CBA)
BCR (BCR > 1) 1,16 2,49 2,19 0,92 1,96
Feasible Feasible Feasible Not Feasible Feasible

NPV (NPV ≥ 0) Rp 31.428.466.909 Rp 478.789.438.468 Rp 430.480.259.724 -Rp 65.189.890.579 382.171.080.980

Feasible Feasible Feasible Not Feasible Feasible

IRR (IRR > 3,5%) 8% 64% 53% -4,13% 43%

Feasible Feasible Feasible Not Feasible Feasible

Payback period 2 years 5 months 1 year 2 months 1 year 4 months 3 years 3 months 1 year 5 months
PP < Financing period PP < Financing period PP < Financing period PP > Financing period PP < Financing period

Base scenario