li~ : 21s W~ir~JtJ*~ 103 ~1Ftrm±mm~~~m

~?JT~l3.5JU : ilfl~gft~~1G-~gft~~m
~~f4 § : ~$Megt ~GitBM : 0222 • ~=Jz : 3

1. A delivery truck travels from point A to point Band back using the same route each day. There are
four traffic lights on the route. Let X1 denote the number of red lights the truck encounters going
from A to Band X2 denote the number encountered on the return trip. Data collected over a long
period suggest that the joint probability distribution for (X1 ,X2 ) is given by:
X:z
0 1 2 3 4
0 0. 01 0. 01 0.03 0.07 0.01
1 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.03 0.02
2 0.03 0. 11 0. 15 0.01 0. 01
3 0. 02 0.07 0. 10 0.03 0. 01
4 0.01 0.06 0.03 0. 01 0. 01
(1) Give the conditional density distribution of X1 given X2 = 3. (5%)
(2) Give E(X1 ). (5%)
(3) Give E(X1 1X2 = 3). (5%)
(4) Give the standard deviation of X. (5%)

2. A chemical system that results from a chemical reaction has two important components among others
in a blend. The joint distribution describing the proportion X1 and Xz of these two components is
given by
f(x1r X ) = (2, 0 < x1 < x 2 < 1
z 0, elsewhrer
(1) What is the probabi 1i ty that component proportions produce the results X1 < 0.2 and X2 > 0.5
(10%)
(2) Give the conditional distribution fxdx!l(x1 jx2 ) 00%)

3. The density function of the time Z in minutes between calls to an electrical supply store is given
by

{
~ e-z/1.0 O<z<oa
f {z ) = 10 J

0, I
otherwise

(1) What is the mean time between calls? (5%)

(2) What is the variance in the time between calls? (7%)
(3) What is the probability that the time between calls exceeds the mean? (8%)
~~ : 21s II:D:JVGJ:JJ:;k~ 103 ~~ll~±1Hf-B§::1f~Jm
~PJT~_§.5JU : f1Mjlgf\~~1C-Jigf\~ti1
~~f-+ § : M$~1Cgt ~ID'tBWJ : 0222 • fl'i~: 3

4. Suppose a filling machine is used to fill cartons with a liquid product. The specification that
is strictly enforced for the filling machine is 9 ± 1. 5 oz. If any carton is produced with weight
outside these bounds, it is considered by the supplier to be defective. It is hoped that at least
99% of cartons wi 11 meet these specifications. With the conditions 11 = 9 and a = I,
(I) What proportion of cartons from the process are defective (See table A.3)? (10%)
(2) If changes are made to reduce variability, what must a be reduced' to in order to meet
specifications with probability 0.99? Assume a normal distribution for the weight. (10%)

5. The random variables X and Y, representing the weights of creams and toffees, respectively, in
1-ki logram boxes of chocolates containing a mixture of creams, toffees, and cordials, have the joint
density function
f(x,y) = {24xy, 0S X S 1 1 0 S y S 11 X +y S 1
0, el.sewhere

(1) Find the probability density function of the random variable Z=X+Y. (10%)
(2) Using the density function of Z, find the probability that in a given box, the sum of the weight
of creams and toffees accounts for at least 1/2 but less than 3/4 of the total weight. (10%)
,/
""' 0
)!IT( f-;< ~
(") {C!. +
~ ~till
~
**'
iliR
)!IT( El
~[ .~
C<")
rniWI ~ Tnble A.3 Aro·n> nuder the Nonnul Curv<'
::j:j(
i ~D f k-
'
; % .oo .01 .o2 .0:1
·--~_,...,__r--•·-~-~~---
.04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .011
~ l-a.4 o.ooo3 o.oooJ O.()(J(i3~-ii.ooo:l o.oom n.ooo:1 o.()(J(J:l o.I.Hloa o.oom o.O<XJ2 0.5279
..L.j r-3.3 0.0005 0.0005 0.000.'} O.lliJ04 O.IJIJ04 OJml 0.0004 11.0004 (J.OOIJ4 O.O<Ml:l O.O 0.5517 0.5557 0.5&\16 0.5671i
~ i:-3.2 Q.(~ o.5910 o.sn.ts o.~,9s; 0.6(~1
~ (::""3.1
0.0007
0.0010
0.0007
0.0009
0.0006
0.0009
0.1.)006
O.!KKJ1J
0.0006
O.(J(XJ8
0.0006
0.0008 0.0008
O.OW5
0.0008
0.()()05
0.0007
0.0(1(15 O.l
0.0007 °·; 0 , 93
·"~
~: 4 ~:~~~
0.6293 O.Ga:u O.G:Jflll o.&J-13
O.H808
~ t:a.o O.OOl:l 0.0013 0.0013 0.0012 0.0012 0.0011 0.0011 O.!Klll O.OOlU 0.0010 0,6591 0.66114 0.6700 0.673(i
0.7123 0.7157
* f-'"2.9 o.no;~ o.oo.1~ o.oo.w o.oo.w o.nu.J:i n.O!ll4 o.!Xll·l 0.7019 0.7054 0.70SS
o.oo;8 o.oo.n o.(l(ll5 0•6 0.6915 0.6950 o.6985
0. 7·1&1 O.iol86
mm ~ !;-2.8 n.!Kl~~ o.tJO~a o.oo~:t o.ool~ o.oo23 o.oo22 o.O!J21 o.oo21 o.oo2o o.oow 0•6 0.7257 0.7291 o.r.m 0.7357 0.7389 0.7·12'2
1ila 0.00.1~ 0.7673 0.7704 O.i73cl o. m~t o. 779-1
r-2.7 O.!JO..\: 11.00.!.! O.(Xl32 0.11031 0.0030 0.0029 0.0028 0.0027 0.0026 0.7 0.75SO 0.7611 0.76-12
0.8051 0.()()78
1ila ~D t-~2.6 O.!JU.-11 0.004u 0.0044 0.0043 0.0041 IJ.tl040 0.()():19 O.Oo:IS 0.0037 0.0036 o8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7007 0.79!15 O.S<J2:J
1-2.5 ().(X)(~) 0.82G~ 0.831& 0.83·10
~
O.!l1Ki2 0.1Xl5!J (J.(J(J5i IJ.OO:i5 O.()()f,4 0.0052 0.0051 O.OQ..I9 O.O!J.l8 o:g O.SlS9 O.StS6 0.8212 0.8238 0.8289
~
i-2.4 O.Ootl: O.IXJlil1 U.ll078 0.0!175 0.()(173 0.0071 0.0069 O.OOtiS 0.0066 O.OOf>-1 l.O O.MI 3 O.S-138 0.8-161 0.8-185 0.8508 0.8531 0.8&5-1 0.8577
-¥ O.Olt.Jt~
I
-H
i
l-2.3
f-2.2
(-2.1

0.01?1
O.!ll39
OJJ17!l
0.0136
O.OJ7.1

0.0[()2
0.0132
0.0170

O.!Kl!J\1
0.0129
O.tll!i6

O.!Kl!Ki
0.012;,
0.0162

O.llO!l1
0.0122
0.0158

11.0091
0.011!)
0.0154

0.0089
O.O!Hi
0.0150

0.0087
ll.Oll:l
O.OI4G

0.008-1
0.0110
11.111~:1
l.l 0.8&1:1
1.2 0.88<19
1.3 o.!IOa2

0.8665
0.8869
o.oo49

0.86SG
0.8888
0.9006

0.8708
0.8907
O.OOS2

0.8729
0.8925
o.oo<.JlJ

0.87-19
0.89-M
0.9115

0.8770
0.8002
().91:31

O.t!i!)O
0.8980
0.\1147
~ *'
~D
~
r,:-2.0
f-1.9
illm:: . )-1.8

0.0228
0.0287
o.o:3r,!l

0.0222
0.0281
u.mfil

0.0217
0.0274
o.034,1

0.0212
0.02GS
o.03:l6

1!.0207
0.0262
0.0329

0.0202
0.0251i
o.om
0.0197
0.0250
o.o:.11-t

ll.lll!J2
0.0'2·1-1.
o.o:1m

0.0188
IJ.0239
o.o301

fJ.oJ8:!
O.o2;J:J
o.02!H

1.4 0.9192
t.S
1.6
0.93:J2
0.9452

0.9207
0.9345
o.9-16.'l

0.922'2
0.9357
o.9474

0.9236
0.9370
o.!J;IS'I

().9251
0.9382
o.!H95

0.92115
p.93!J.I
0.9505

0.9279 0.9292
0.9-106 0.9-118
o.95lfi o.%25
.lit ~llll
f-1.7 0.0-14() 0.04:1ii 0.1~127 0.0<118 (1,().1()9 0.0·101 0.0392 0.038·1 0.0375 0.03(i7 1.7 0.9554 0.95&1 0.9573 0.9582 0.95!)1 0.959!) 0.0008 0.91;16
8{~ ~ -1.6 0.0.5,18 0.0537 0.0526 0.0516 0.0505 0.(14!)5 1).0485 Ml75. 0.0465 0,045.5 1.8 0.!)6.11 0.91).19 0.9656 O.!J6(H O.!JGil 0.9678 0.!)('186 .0.9693
8.......t f-1.5 O.IJiiGS O.ll655 O.(J(H3 0.0630 0.0018 0.0606 0.0594 0.0;h~2 O.Ofi71 0.0559 1.!) 0.9713 0.97l9 0.9726 0.9732 0.9738 0.9HI 0.9750 0.9756
i§ ~-1.4
8{~
+<~
~~
•
HE1

)-1.3
:tr; !~1.2
-u

0.0808
0.11968
0.1151
n.t3r,;

(1.07!!:1
0.0951
0.1131
n.ta:Jii

O.Ui78
0.09:H
0.1112
0.1314

ll.07li-l
0.0918
0.1093
0.1292

0.074!J . 0.0735
O.O!)(ll ll.(lll85
0.1075 O.IOfiG
0.1211 0.1251

O.Oi21
0.0869
O.IO:IS
o.123o

O.Oi08
0.0853
0.10'10
O.l2IO

0.0694
0.0838
0.1003
n.tl!IO

0.0681
0.0823
0.098.5
o.mo

2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3

0.97i2
0.9821
0.9861
0.9893

0.9778
0.9826
0.986-1
o.9S96

0.9783
0.9830
0.9868
0.9898

0.9788
0.983-1
0.9871
o.9901

0.9793
0.98:!8
0.9875
O.!)(.JO·I

0.97!111
0.9842
0.987~
o.9906

0.980:1
0.98·16
0.9881
o.!)(.J09

0.9808
0.9850
11.988<1
O.!J911
~~ ~ i-1.0 0.1587 0.1562 0.1539 0.1515 (1.1492 0.1469 O.liJ.I6 0.1423 0.1401 0.1379 2.4 0.9!H8 0.9920 0.9922 0.9925 0.9H2i O.!J!J29 O.!llJ31 O.!l!l:l:!
'H~ In' i-0.9 0.18·11 . 0.1814 0.1788 0.1762 0.1736 0.1711 0.1685 0.1660 0. Hi3fi O.lli11 2.5 0.9938 0.9940 0.9941 O.!}(J~3 0.!19-15 O.!)(JI6 0.9!~18 O.!J!l.t!J
~ ~~ k- t-0.8 0.2ll!l IJ.2UC.JO 0.2001 0.2033 0.2005 0.1977 0.1949 0.1!.12~ 11.18!-"1 0.1867 2.6 O.!)(.J53 O.OOS.S 0.9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.9!160 O.!J!J61 0.9Uil2
~
~-0.7 0.2.120 0.2:JS!I 0.2:!58 0.2:m 0.2296 0.22fl6 0.2236 0.2206 0.2177 0.2J.Il! 2,7 0.{11.165 0.9966 0.9!)1)7 O.!)(.J68 0.900!.1 0.!)!.170 0.9'J71 0.9972
i
*
!-0.6 0.27·13 0.2701.J 0.2076 0.2!i43 0.2fill 0.2578 0.2546 0.2514 0.2,183 0.2,151 2.8 0.9974 0.9975 0.9976 0.9977 0.997i 0.9!)78 O.!l9i9 0.9<J795
~ -;+--~ ['...:0.5 0.308.'> 0.3050 0.3015 0.2981 0.294G 0.2!!12 0.2877 0.2843 0.2810 0.277(; 2.9 0.9981 0.9982 0.!)(J82 0.91J83 0.998-1 0.998·1 O.!l985 0.998
~llll
~ ~
111ll
0.998~
*
[-0.4 0.3-14!1 0.341YJ 0.3372 0.3.'l36 0.:1:300 0.326<1 0.3228 0.3192 0.3156 0.:1121 3.0 O.!J!l87 O.!J!l87 O.!I'JSi 0.9988 0.9988 0.9C.J8tl O.!JIJSU
i§
w i§ l1'~~a 1'-0.3
t:-0.2
n.:.1s21
0.4207
o.J7S:J
OAIG8
o.3745
0..! 121J
o.3707
O.·IOUO
o.3669
0.4052
o.:.w:12
0.4013
o.359·1
0.3974
o.3557
0.3936
o.3520
0.3897
o.34&3
0.3859
3.1 o.9900 o.99m o.m1
3.2 0.9993 0.9993 O.!l!I'J•t
o.m1
0.9!l9·1
o.99!l2
0.9994
0.9992
O.!l!.~JI
o.!I!J92
0.\l!.J"JI
O.!)(.J!t25
O.!)(.JlJ
;1j:j l-0.1 0.460'~ 0.4562 0.4522 0.448:1 0.44-13 0.'14().1 0.4364 0.4325 0.4286 0..12·17 3.3 0.9995 0.!)995 0.9!195 0.99'.16 0.!)(JlJ6 O.!)(.l'J6 O.!)(J96 O.!l9\l6
!III ~ll!i
~"=1 [-o.o 0.5000 0..1960 0.4920 OA8SO o.41HO o..JS()I U.4761 o.mt 0.<1081 o..tfi4l 3.4 o.9997 0.9997 0.9997 O.!}(J!:I7 0.9997 O.!I'J97 o.9tl97 0.9997 ... w,-·. ··· _.
?it :IJi
C'l[].Q
.. ~
~
~bi: ~
~~
*'I*