Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Henrik Müller
Challenging Economic Journalism
Henrik Müller
Challenging Economic
Journalism
Covering Business and Politics in an Age
of Uncertainty
Henrik Müller
Institute of Journalism and Mass Media
TU Dortmund University
Dortmund, Germany
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer
Nature Switzerland AG 2023
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the
Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of
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Contents
3 Good,
Bad or Ugly: On the Quality of Economic
Journalism 41
5 Media
Coverage and Animal Spirits: The Interplay
Between Economic Journalism and the Economy105
6 Here,
There and Everywhere: Economic Globalization
and National Media143
7 The
Case of Europe: A Common Currency Without a
Common Public Sphere179
8 From
Gate Keeping to Scouting: the Changing Role of
Journalism211
v
vi Contents
References275
Index295
About the Author
vii
List of Figures
ix
x List of Figures
Fig. 5.6 Selected IPI topics related to the causes of inflation, selected
events [Relative to entire corpus, three-month backward-
looking moving averages, Jan 2001–Jan 2023. Source: the
author (after Müller et al., 2022)] 134
Fig. 6.1 Most read media brands by economic experts worldwide
(shares) [677 respondents, up to three media brands could be
named, Source: Boumans et al. (2023)] 168
Fig. 7.1 Europe-related Content as a Share of overall News
Coverage. Source: Bergammi and Mourlon-Druol (2021).
Note: E/T = European news as a share of total news 190
Fig. 7.2 ECB Coverage in European Newspapers, Shares Relative to
Corpora. Three-month moving averages. Source: Müller et al.
(2018, p. 10) 193
Fig. 7.3 Reform-related News Content, shares of entire coverage of
Europe (Shares relative to European corpora, three-month
moving averages). Source: Mourlon-Druol et al. (2022) 196
Fig. 7.4 Topics capturing EU-level Reforms [Share relative to
reform-related corpus; topics 12 (LM), 17 (HB), 10 (Sole);
three-month moving averages, and monthly values
(dotted lines)] and related events. Source: Mourlon-Druol
et al. (2022) 198
Fig. 9.1 Seven stages of research. Source: the author 232
Fig. 9.2 The issue attention cycle and its phases. 1: Pre-problem
stage, 2: alarmed discovery and euphoric enthusiasm, 3:
Realizing the cost of significant progress, 4: Gradual decline
of intense public interest, 5: Post-problem stage;
Source: after Downs (1972, p. 39–41) 241
List of Tables
xi
CHAPTER 1
factual and timely manner. The final part of this book proposes some con-
cepts on how to reconcile these two conflicting objectives.
100
less corruption
New Zeland 90
Norway
Sweden
Germany UK Canada 80
Australia
USA
70
60
Corruption
50
China
40
Russia
30
20
10
y = -0.5696x + 71.912
R² = 0.4908
0
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Freedom of the Press more freedom
Fig. 1.1 Freedom of the Press vs. Corruption Perception. Source: Freedom
House, Transparency International (2017 data)
Note
1. https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/meet-the-press-70-years/wh-spokesman-
gave-alternative-facts-inauguration-crowd-n710466
References
Donsbach, W. (2014). Journalism as the new knowledge profession and conse-
quences for journalism education. Journalism, 15(6), 661–677.
Frankfurt, H. G. (2005). On bullshit. Princeton University Press.
Frankfurt, H. G. (2006). On truth. Princeton University Press.
Mazzoleni, G. (2008). Populism and the media. In D. Albertazzi & D. McDonnell
(Eds.), Twenty-first century populism. The spectre of Western European democracy
(pp. 49–67). Palgrave Macmillan.
Moffitt, B., & Tormey, S. (2014). Rethinking populism: Politics, mediatisation
and political style. Political Studies, 62, 381–397.
Müller, H. (2017). Populism, de-globalisation, and media competition: The spiral
of noise. Central European Journal of Communication, 9(1 (18)), 64–78.
Müller, H. (2020). Kurzschlusspolitik. Wie ständige Erregung unsere Demokratie
zerstört. Piper.
Stiglitz, J. (2002). Transparency in government. In World Bank (Eds.), The right
to tell. The role of mass media in economic development (pp. 27–44).
van Dalen, A., Svensson, H., Kalogeropoulos, A., Albaek, E., & de Vreese,
C. H. (2019). Economic news. Informing the inattentive audience. Routledge.
CHAPTER 2
These papers were archived early on, the oldest editions dating from 1568,
and are well documented; today, they are kept at the Austrian National
Library (Keller, 2012). The Fugger papers were authored by writers in a
range of European cities, such as Antwerp, Cologne, Rome, or Venice.
Actually, they hardly resembled modern-day newspapers at all, but were
mostly hand-written, though some printed editions are conveyed as well.
They were shared rather than published, directed at an insider-expert
readership. After all, a reading mass audiences did not exist at the time due
to low literacy rates—although printed pamphlets containing mostly sen-
sationalist and religious stories, that were read out loud on public squares,
were prevalent during the reformation and thereafter (Schlögl, 2008,
p. 606). The Fugger newspapers can be interpreted as a precursor of the
modern newspaper, as early twentieth century scholars emphasized (e.g.,
Kempter, 1936), that is, writings directed at members of a business net-
work to share market-relevant information. They contained reports writ-
ten by correspondents of the family’s pan-European business network and
were distributed through this network. The purpose was to share informa-
tion to the readers’ mutual advantage. In terms of content, they catered to
business instincts as well as to general curiosity, comprising a wide array of
issues that ranged from specifically business-related matters, such as the
provision of grain, the European flow of trade from the Mediterranean to
the Rhine, transcontinental linkages such as the trade in spices and pre-
cious metals, but also aspects of economic policy, for instance changes in
tax laws, British piracy, the establishment of European colonies in Asia and
the Americas, as well as financial market news like exchange rates or the
emission of bonds (Keller, 2012, p. 189).
The Fugger newspapers’ accuracy and reliability have been called into
question; Matthews (1959) referred to them as a mix of “true reports and
false rumors, trivial occurrences and important events”; Habermas (1962)
saw them as an example of “news merchants” collaborating with state cen-
sors to control news flows. More recent research, though, has put the
Fugger newspapers into a more favourable light. Bauer’s (2011) content
analysis concludes that while business information was their original pur-
pose, economic news only contributed 6 per cent to their overall content,
25 per cent dealt with politics and 51 per cent with matters concerning the
military and violence. Furthermore, accuracy increased over the decades,
as correspondents became more professional; among them were employ-
ees of the Fugger organization, friends and acquaintances of the family as
well as professional news writers.
2 PECULIAR PRODUCTS: THE BUSINESS OF ECONOMIC NEWS 13
just its financial news service that was of value to newspapers, but also the
breadth and speed with which it was able to cover international events
(Encyclopedia Britannica, 2023b) Reuters’ founder, German-born entre-
preneur Paul Reuter, was among the first to exploit the opportunities aris-
ing from the hottest technology at the time, the telegraph. More than a
century later, Michael Bloomberg was following a similar path, when the
personal computer became the main instrument of data processing in the
1980s and 90s. His agency started as a financial data provider, later ven-
tured into financial news and eventually emerged as a general news service,
including television channels (Palmer, 2019, p. 180). The Financial
Times, launched in 1888, targeted the financial community of the City of
London at first. Over the years, it turned itself into the leading global
newspaper covering politics and business around the world, but also sci-
ence, arts, entertainment, and style. The Wall Street Journal is another
case in point: launched a year after the FT on the other side of the Atlantic,
it was an offspring of financial data provider Dow Jones that decided to
assemble its smallish specialized newsletters (“flimsies”) to form a proper
newspaper; today, it is among the US dailies with the largest circulation,
not just known for world-class business and politics journalism, but also
for distinctly conservative commentary.
Business and finance first, other issues later—the broad pattern has
repeated itself over and over again. Today highly specialized “verticals”
(newsletters providing the business and lobbyism community with expert
knowledge on politics, finance or technology) cross-finance newspapers
and website directed at the mass market, a business-model pioneered by
Washington-based Politico.
Notwithstanding the general media crisis, that has been simmering due
to digitalization and falling ad revenues since the late 2000s, many busi-
ness news outlets are still in rather decent shape. The Economist, founded
in 1843 in London, was initially aimed at fostering free trade in the UK; it
fiercely opposed the protectionist Corn Laws in place at the time. Under
its editor Walter Bagehot, who led the paper from 1861–77, it arguably
became the most influential publication of Victorian Britain. The Economist
has since morphed into one of the leading global media brands, covering
a broad range of issues and virtually every country on the planet. In non-
English language markets, too, business media retain a strong presence;
NRC Handelsbladet in the Netherlands, Il Sole 24 Ore in Italy, Les Échos in
France or Handelsblatt in Germany are among the most influential papers
2 PECULIAR PRODUCTS: THE BUSINESS OF ECONOMIC NEWS 17
Positive Externalities
An informed citizenry is a precondition for democracy and the market
economy to work. More precisely, people need to concern themselves
with issues that are of relevance to society as a whole; if individuals were
just pursuing their own short-term interests, popular government would
be doomed. Without some knowledge and well-founded opinions on
pressing current issues, democracy is hardly conceivable, as public debates
would go astray, election outcomes may turn self-destructive, and the
Public Opinion Tribunal would cease to function. As early as 1904 US
justice Louis D. Brandeis postulated that the people could only govern
“by taking the trouble to inform themselves as to the facts necessary for a
correct decision, and then by recording that decision through a public
vote” (quoted after Goldstein, 2017). Citizens need to devote time, effort,
and potentially some money, to stay informed. In doing so, they contrib-
ute to the well-being of society as a whole, thus creating what economists
call positive externalities, i.e., individuals bear the costs of news absorp-
tion, but the associated benefits go far beyond the personal sphere. People
obtain information from the news media. The media contribute to setting
the public agenda, thereby channelling society’s collective attention.
Seen this way, quality journalism is systemically relevant for modern-
day mass democracies to function properly. Still, more than a century after
Brandeis’ assertion, populism and political aggressiveness are on the rise,
particularly in the US. Partisan media stir discontent and outrage. These
developments point to the familiar result of economics that wherever posi-
tive externalities arise, demand and supply tend to remain below socially
desirable levels. As a merit good—a good characterized by positive exter-
nalities—news may deserve extra support.
Cognitive Disadvantages
The problematic effects of positive externalities are aggravated by the cog-
nitive disadvantages hard news suffer from. Occupying oneself with com-
plex political and economic issues is cumbersome. As dual process theory
(most prominently: Kahneman, 2011, economics Nobel laureate of 2002)
20 H. MÜLLER
Asymmetric Information
The paradox of news as a product is that users purchase or obtain it, and
devote a portion of their time budgets to it, without being able to judge
its quality ex ante. After all, the very meaning of news is that users are
informed of stuff they didn’t know before. Asymmetric information
(between reporters/editors and readers) is a crucial property of news,
making it a credence good based on trustworthiness and consequently the
ultimate experience good (Nelson, 1970; Fengler & Ruß-Mohl, 2005,
pp. 78–80): only when users have consumed the same product over and
over again, they can judge its quality, albeit imperfectly, since the product
is somewhat different each time they turn to it (a newspaper, for instance,
contains different stories every day). Still, people have to rely on the media
2 PECULIAR PRODUCTS: THE BUSINESS OF ECONOMIC NEWS 21
to emphasize the most pressing social issues and to report the relevant
facts correctly.
Asymmetries are aggravated by the fact that much of journalism is
rooted in abstractions, that construct a societal collective beyond human
cognitive capabilities. People cannot sense whether national unemploy-
ment is going up or down, crime rates are falling or rising, health stan-
dards improve or deteriorate, if distributional fairness increases or
decreases, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grows or shrinks, let alone if
the “output gap”3 is positive or negative. All these abstractions matter,
though, in the sense that they inform governments, civil society, compa-
nies, or investors whether or not to take certain actions (e.g., raise the
minimum wage, prop up the police, invest in automation, or sell a particu-
lar asset class). In a market-democracy, citizens should be able to judge the
appropriateness of measures taken. And the media should provide them
with the relevant information (news), discussions concerning the underly-
ing rationale (analysis) and opinions about the adequacy of policies (com-
mentary). Hence, there are different levels of information asymmetries:
neither do laymen media users know whether the reporters got the facts
straight, nor can they assess whether the reported rationale is correct, nor
can they evaluate the viability of the arguments presented in an opinion
piece. The abstractions of modern societies are beyond people’s sensual
grasp. “The world that we have to deal with politically is out of reach, out
of sight, out of mind. It has to be explored, reported, and imagined,” as
Lippmann (1922, p. 18) put it. Hence, it is all the more difficult to judge
the quality of news.
In economics, the effects of asymmetric information between buyers
and sellers have been discussed under the headline of the “market for lem-
ons” analogy (Akerlof, 1970), that can be applied to highlight some of the
problems of news markets as well (Fengler & Ruß-Mohl, 2005; Fengler,
2016). Since buyers cannot judge the quality of the individual product,
they have to rely on “(…) some market statistic to judge the quality of
prospective purchases” (p. 488). In news markets, it may be the reputa-
tion of “the media” in general that informs potential buyers of the assumed
quality of the individual product, and thus of the anticipated utility accru-
ing to the buyer. If you live in a society where people trust the media in
general, it is reasonable to assume that you will be inclined to purchase an
individual media product, say, a particular newspaper. Note that consum-
ers have to resort to “some market statistic” in this setting. This, in turn,
implies that the individual producer is (partly) off the hook; his or her
22 H. MÜLLER
of reporters and editors were built up to cover a wide range of issues from
different angles and perspectives. Fixed costs would rise with an increasing
number of people on the payroll and more printing presses running, but
once these outlays were covered, handsome profits could be made.
The result was the already mentioned model of the general newspaper,
the first truly mass media, catering to as many people as possible from dif-
ferent walks of life with a variety of political tastes. Editorial neutrality and
impartiality, later aggrandized as journalistic ideals, became a business
imperative. Strong ideological leanings, in contrast, stood in the way of
the pursuit of profit. Better still, the attention of a large readership could
be sold to advertisers, creating a second stream of income.
The three mutually enforcing factors were at work in other parts of the
media industry as well. The economies of scale facilitated by a new tech-
nology, the telegraph, helped the news wire industry in the second half the
nineteenth century to grow from highly specialized financial data provid-
ers to general news agencies, with Reuters being its long-time frontrunner
(see above). Radio and later television broadcasting were run either by
national public-service (or government) corporations (mostly in Europe)
or by a small number of national networks of commercial local stations
that shared centrally-produced news and entertainment content (in the
USA). Another technological innovation, the introduction of cable and
satellite TV in the 1970s and 80s, shook up the television market again,
opening inroads to new competitors such as 24/7 news channels, pio-
neered by CNN.
the other hand, if a company is able to somehow charge for its product, it
is poised for substantial profits. That’s why platform companies have
grown to become money-making behemoths.
The likes of Alphabet (Google, YouTube) and Meta (Facebook, Instagram)
profit from yet another economies-of-scale effect: the more users they can
attract, the more data they accumulate, the better their algorithms get at
targeting users, whose attention they sell to advertisers. Unfortunately,
news publishers are in a less favourable position. Ad revenues have largely
migrated to the platforms. Compared with the digital giants even the big-
gest news providers are small companies, and many struggle to survive in
the digital era. Problematically, many of them cannot help but rely on
distributing their content via Google or Facebook, thereby being effectively
forced to adapt to social media’s attention-grabbing logic and tailor their
stories to it (von Nordheim, 2019). Moreover, the platforms are able to
use their algorithms to produce individualized news streams tailored to
the tastes of each user, akin to what communication scholar Nicolas
Negroponte (1995) foresaw early on: the coming of the “daily me”—a
personalized news supply, that is pretty much the opposite of the general
news that thus far has laid the foundation of democratic discourse, where
everybody is served the same news diet and has the chance to be con-
fronted with stories that she or he hasn’t thought about before. Sunstein
(2017) calls the latter property of traditional public spheres “serendipity”:
encountering issues that one would not have bothered to look for, but
that are important as they constitute the basis for compassionate compro-
mise in society. Only if citizens concern themselves with what’s important
to others as well, there’s a chance to reconcile opposing interests.
Note that the root cause of the loss of serendipity is the shifting of
economies of scale—from product to process. In the old days of the gen-
eral newspaper, it was cost-efficient to print voluminous issues, in which
different groups of people found articles of interest to them, and, maybe,
browsed through the rest (thereby producing serendipity as a by-product).
Publishers did not have to know much about their customers tastes, inter-
ests and habits, as long as they bought the papers and advertisers paid for
the space between articles. Now that the process of production and distri-
bution involves algorithms and databases, the economies of scale lay in the
information that media suppliers accumulate and employ to sell ads and
other products. Hence, the more engagement the better—the more
detailed information media companies can retrieve from their customers,
the more money they can make of them. Personalizing news feeds and ads
furthers this goal.
2 PECULIAR PRODUCTS: THE BUSINESS OF ECONOMIC NEWS 25
Spelling out the properties of news as a product may look like painting
a rather bleak picture. But pessimism is tempered by a host of practices
journalists, publishers, and policymakers have adopted to make news a
viable product; this approach worked fairly well in the past—to work in
the future still, an update is needed. Moreover, economic journalism dif-
fers somewhat from the general variety. Let’s proceed with the latter and
then turn to the former.
„General“
Economic
Political
Policy
Journalism
Declining willingness to pay
User motivation
Business
Journalism,
Financial
Market
Journalism
Personal
Fig. 2.1 Varieties of economic journalism by user motivation and market size.
Source: the author
30 H. MÜLLER
shown in Fig. 2.1) that has grown considerably in scope. As the political
fringes in western societies have grown, media catering to these more
extreme parts of the public have increased in number. These publications,
too, carry content concerning the economy; some of them sport econom-
ics or business and finance sections. This sub-segment of the news market
encompasses a wide array of media, ranging from hard-right publications
such as Breitbart (USA) or Compact (Germany) and Russian government-
linked media Sputnik News and Russia Today, operating in a range of
countries, to leftist outlets like Les Crises or Rebellyon in France (Institut
Montaigne, 2019). Due to digitalization, barriers to market-entry have
been lowered considerably; anybody can set up a website and a social
media account. Furthermore, running an “alternative” outlet is a rela-
tively low-cost business, as producing opinionated pieces about a narrow
range of issues does not require large specialized staffs, limiting fixed costs.
Therefore, small audiences suffice to generate revenues (from advertising,
subscriptions, or merchandise products) that cover operating costs.
This type of media can be sorted into two categories: “reactive” and
“autonomous” (von Nordheim et al., 2019), the former reflecting largely
on what mainstream, or “core”, media report, but framing it from dis-
tinctly ideological points of view; the latter striving to present an alterna-
tive version of reality covering aspects and issues that are neglected by
mainstream media. User motivation in this sphere can be expected to be
mainly driven by social objectives; inhabitants of “echo chambers” gain
status among their peers if they are aware of the latest twists in stories
popular in their respective social group (Sunstein, 2017), in contrast to
staying informed about factual developments. In countries where political
polarization remains limited, only niche audiences are inclined to use
“alternative” media. However, increased polarization of the citizenry may
prompt some traditional media to pivot to more extreme edges, following
the audience and reinforcing their views, as has been the case with US
cable program Fox News (Institut Montaigne, 2019, p. 35). While “alter-
native” media are not the focus of this book, they clearly pose a challenge
to economic quality journalism: they vie for attention and have the poten-
tial to deform public discourse on economic issues. The next chapter deals
with the question how to define and measure the quality of economic
journalism. Here, the focus is on the economics of media supply.
34 H. MÜLLER
Branding
A key issue for dealing with asymmetric information is trust. If users
believe that the media choose relevant issues and report on them accu-
rately, timely, impartially, and intelligibly, it adds to the value of news as a
product. The periodical nature of media means that they tend to be
2 PECULIAR PRODUCTS: THE BUSINESS OF ECONOMIC NEWS 35
Media Accountability
Eurobarometer data show that levels of trust differ greatly even between
European countries: in Northern Europe large majorities still trust the
written press, TV and radio, while the corresponding values are low for
southern and eastern (formerly socialist) European countries (European
Parliament, 2022, p. 37). These observations are in line with international
comparisons of media systems (Hallin & Mancini, 2004), that derive at
the general conclusion that trust in the media is greatest where news orga-
nizations are independent, highly professionalized and well-managed
practices of transparency-enhancing self-governance are pursued.
The need to apply effective measures of media accountability directly
follows from the notion of media independence and non-interference of
government. Instruments are based both at the level of individual media
outlets and at the sectoral level. Frequently used instruments include
media councils run by publishers associations; publicly accessible codes of
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III.
Royaume de Kiev.
Les princes puînés, tout autant que les boïards Kiéviens, qui
allaient assumer des fonctions dans les provinces, avaient tout
intérêt à ne point être regardés comme des étrangers, mais à se
trouver partout comme chez eux. Il en était de même du clergé
métropolitain qui recueillait les prébendes provinciales, avec l’espoir
d’être rappelé à Kiev pour y remplir de plus hautes fonctions.
Aussi la nouvelle littérature, qui naît dans les monastères de la
métropole, se met-elle au service de ces tendances. Elle s’attache à
des thèmes d’un intérêt général, elle met en avant la notion du
« bien des pays russes », entendant par là les intérêts et les
aspirations du royaume entier, écartant toute manifestation du
particularisme.
La littérature laïque, cultivée à la cour du prince et chez les plus
puissants boïards, soutenait évidemment les mêmes principes. Nous
en trouvons la preuve un siècle et demi plus tard dans la chanson
d’Igor, œuvre anonyme, composée par un poète de la cour aux
environs de 1186. C’est l’intérêt des « pays russes », qui l’inspire,
elle fait entendre des admonitions aux princes, qui négligent la vieille
tradition de Kiev. Sans doute l’auteur ne fait que suivre les traces
des anciens poètes de la cour, dont il fait mention à plusieurs
reprises.
Après l’établissement du métropolite à Kiev, les premiers groupes
de personnes versées dans les lettres se réunirent sous son
influence et un des premiers essais littéraires fut le commencement
de la chronique de Kiev.
Jusqu’à la fin de cette période, toute la production littéraire du
royaume vient de Kiev. C’est là que se forme une langue littéraire
commune (κοινή). D’abord ce travail d’unification se trouvait facilité
par la présence à Kiev, aussi bien dans les monastères que dans les
rangs du clergé séculier, de personnes lettrées attirées à dessein de
toutes les parties du royaume et qui, dans ce nouveau milieu,
apportaient pour les polir et les fondre ensemble, leurs particularités
dialectiques provinciales. En outre, on s’appliquait sciemment à cette
uniformisation en s’attachant à imiter le plus fidèlement possible les
modèles fournis par la Bulgarie. C’est pourquoi les monuments écrits
de Kiev se distinguent nettement de ceux de Novogorod par
exemple, en ce qu’ils n’offrent guère de particularités dialectiques [6]
et qu’ils manifestent une tendance à demeurer toujours sur le terrain
commun des intérêts généraux de la « terre russe ». Ceci leur assura
une large pénétration dans les provinces. Ce qui nous en reste
aujourd’hui a été préservé presque exclusivement dans les pays du
nord, qui ont été moins éprouvés par les catastrophes postérieures
qui désolèrent l’Ukraine.
[6] C’est justement ce qui a fait naître l’hypothèse
mentionnée plus haut, d’après laquelle la population de
Kiev aux XIe et XIIe siècles, aurait eu un tout autre
caractère ethnographique, bien plus ressemblant à celui
des Grands-Russiens d’aujourd’hui, et qu’elle aurait été
remplacée plus tard par une émigration ukrainienne
venant de l’ouest. Nous l’avons dit, cette hypothèse ne
résiste pas à une critique sérieuse.