IE 212/0223 Applied Statistics

Fall 2023
Exam 1
75 min

OPEN BOOK, OPEN NOTES EXAM

APPROVED CALCULATORS ALLOWED

Read all questions carefully before providing an answer. Use only the paper provided (exam
sheets). Good Luck.
The final grade will be out of 21 points.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

YOU MUST SHOW ALL YOUR WORK & CALCULATIONS CLEARLY FOR
QUESTIONS 2, 3, 4.
ANSWERS WITHOUT SHOWING ALL WORK LEGIBLY WILL RESULT IN ZERO
CREDIT FOR THE PROBLEM.

ALL WORK IN THIS EXAM MUST BE YOUR OWN. ANY DISCUSSION WITH OR
COPYING OF SOLUTIONS FROM OTHER STUDENTS WILL RESULT IN ZERO CREDIT
FOR THE ENTIRE EXAM.

Good luck.

Name: …………………………….
ID #: …………………………….

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QUESTION 1: A MULTIPLE CHOICE AND ONLY ONE CORRECT ANSWER IS POSSIBLE FOR EACH PART.

ALL QUESTIONS CARRY EQUAL MARKS-NO PARTIAL CREDITS (I.E. EITHER 1 OR 0). (8 points)

1. Suppose flaws (cracks, chips, specks, etc.) occur on the surface of glass with density of 3 per square meter.
What is the probability of there being exactly 4 flaws on a sheet of glass of area 0.5 square meter?
a) 0.047
b) 0.168
c) 0.981
d) 0.647

2. For some value of Z, the value of the cumulative standardized normal distribution is 0.975. The value of Z is
a) -0.31
b) 1.96
c) -0.81
d) 0.31

3. The shape of the Normal Curve is__________.

a) Bell Shaped
b) Flat
c) Circular
d) Spiked

4. Which of the following best describes the Power of a test?

a) The null hypothesis is true, but we mistakenly reject it.
b) The null hypothesis is false, but we mistakenly fail to reject it.
c) The null hypothesis is false, and we reject it.
d) The null hypothesis is true, and we fail to reject it.

5. In a Binomial Distribution, if p, q and n are probability of success, failure and number of trials respectively then
the mean is given by.
a) npq
b) 𝑛𝑝𝑞
c) np
d) npq2

6. A coin is tossed 6 times. The probability of getting exactly 2 heads is:

a) 0.33
b) 0.5
c) 0.23
d) None of these.

7. The standard deviation of exponential distribution is given as __________

e) 1/λ
f) λ
g) λ2
h) 1/λ2

8. If a Poisson Distribution has a mean of 2, the P(0) is:

a) 0.271
b) 0.135
c) 0.180
d) -0.135

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QUESTION 2: A machine produces metal rods used in an automobile suspension system. A random
sample of 15 rods is selected, and the diameter is measured. The resulting data (in millimeters) are as
follows: (7 points)

8.24 8.25 8.20 8.23 8.24

8.21 8.26 8.26 8.20 8.25
8.23 8.23 8.19 8.28 8.24

If the sample standard deviation, s = 0.0253.

a. Find the sample mean.
b. Find the sample variance.
c. Calculate a 95% two-sided confidence interval on mean rod diameter.
d. Calculate a 95% upper confidence bound on the mean.
e. If the true value of the variance of rod diameter is σ 2 = 0.04. Determine how many rods must be
tested to ensure that the 95% CI on μ has a length of at most 0.1 millimeters.

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QUESTION 3: A rivet is to be inserted into a hole. A random sample of n = 15 parts is selected, and the
hole diameter is measured. The sample standard deviation of the hole diameter measurements is s = 0.008
millimeters. (4 points)
a. Find the sample variance.
b. Find a 95% lower one-sided confidence interval on σ 2.
c. Find a 95% two-sided confidence interval on σ2.

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QUESTION 4: An engineer is interested in studying super-cavitation of vehicles, eight tests were
conducted on a scale model of an undersea vehicle in a towing basin with the average observed speed
𝑥̅ = 102.2 meters per second. Assume that speed is normally distributed with known standard deviation
σ = 4 meters per second. (3 points)
a. Test the hypothesis H0: μ = 100 versus H1: μ < 100 using α = 0.05.
b. What is the P-value for the test in part (a)?

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