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Michael Lacewing
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© Michael Lacewing
Determinism defined
• Syllabus: ‘the belief that a determinate set
of conditions can only produce one possible
outcome given fixed laws of nature’
• Universal causation: every event – everything
that happens or occurs – has a cause
– Even if we don’t know the cause, we don’t allow
that something ‘just happened’
• Causal necessity: given the total set of
conditions under which the cause occurs,
only one effect is possible
Causal necessity
• Regularity: the same cause will operate in
the same way on different occasions (laws of
nature)
• If the usual effect fails to follow, there must
be something different about the situation
• We need to consider anything that could
have an effect. The situation in which effect
must follow cause is the entire state of the
universe at that moment.
Physical determinism
• Everything that happens in the physical
universe is causally determined by the state
of the universe + laws of nature.
– E.g. every decision is determined by the
previous state of my brain
• If we could know the position of every
particle in the universe + the laws of nature,
every future physical event could be
predicted in principle.
– E.g. every movement of your body
Prediction and freedom