LESLIE MODELS

MC203 LINEAR By Eremas Tade &

Jirehbless Suve

ALGEBRA
OBJECTIVES
Be able to construct Leslie Matrix
Use eigenvectors and eigenvalues to solve
Solve for stable age distribution vector
Find solutions manually using Excel and RStudio
WHAT IT IS?
Is a discrete, age-structured model of population growth
One of the best known ways to describe the growth of populations
Projected age distribution
Invented and named after Patrick. H. Leslie
PROBLEM
The female population of a certain species with three age classes of two year’s
duration has the following characteristics.
i. The survival rate from class 1 to class 2 is 50% and from class 2 to class 3 is
40%. The maximum life span is six years.
ii. On average, each female in class 2 and class 3 produces four and two female
offspring, respectively, while females in class 1 produce no female offspring.
Model this situation.
Find a stable age distribution vector.
SOLUTIONS
0 4 2

L  0.5 0 0 
 0 0.4 0
 SOLUTIONS CONT.
LX  X
LX  XI
( L  I ) X  0
0 4 2  0 0   x  0 
0.5 0 0   0  0  *    0
1

     x2  
 0 0.4 0  0 0    x3  0

  4 2   x1  0
 0.5  
   0  *  x 2   0
 0 0.4     x3  0
 4 2
 0 0.5 0 0.5  
0 .5   0   4 2
0 .4   0  0 0.4
0 0.4  
 4 2
0   ( )  2  0.4
2
0 .5 
0 0.4 
 0     2  0.4
3

 1
 1.5052371,  2  1.3009760,  3  0.2042612
SOLUTIONS CONT.
x
x x
 1.5052371  4  2  0
1 2 3

0.5 x  1.5052371 x  0
1 2

0.4 x  1.5052371 x  0
2 3

a solution is,
0.5 x1
x 2

1.5052371
0.4 x2
x 3

1.5052371
 x1  1, x2  0.332173582, x3  0.88271431
SOLUTIONS CONT.
Therefore, a stable age distribution vector is;

 1 

X   0.332173582 
 0.88271431
excel_majorProject.xlsx
SOLUTIONS CONT.
CONCLUSION
Used to solve for rate of population increase from age-specific demographic
parameters
Once population has reached stable age distribution
THANK YOU AND ANY
QUESTIONS?
REFERENCE
(n.d.).
Explorations of Mathematical Models in Biology
with Maple. (n.d.). Retrieved from
https://books.google.com/books?
id=DTusBgAAQBAJ&pg=PA239&lpg=PA239&dq=les
lie+model+exercise&source=bl&ots=hNhdi09F0U&
sig=Usn0cbNv9T98chTC5xhn_f_EwkY&hl=en&sa=X
&ved=0ahUKEwiWr6vS2JbbAhWwtlkKHajjAvoQ6A
EIfjAN#v=onepage&q=leslie%20model
%20exercise&f=false

Power Point Presentation. (2001). Retrieved from

http://www.ag.unr.edu/sedinger/Courses/ERS488-
688/lectures/ers485lecture9.pdf