Tropical Cyclones

05/11/20 Juma Al-Maskari, j.almaskari@met.gov.om 1

 What are Tropical Cyclones (TC) ?

A low-pressure weather system in which the

central core is warmer than the surrounding
atmosphere. For this reason they are classified
as “warm core” systems. They are also called
Hurricanes, Typhoons.

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 What are Tropical Cyclones (TC) ?
 Forms over a tropical ocean.
 Center of storm is warmer than the surrounding air.
 Has no fronts.
 Strongest winds are near the Earth's surface.
 Main energy source is the latent heat of condensation
 Air sinks at the center of a TC
 They are moved by steering winds in the troposphere.
 TC weaken rapidly over land

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 How do they develop ?
 Warm ocean surface (Tsea>26.5 oC) to a depth of ~ 50 m
(evaporation)
 Surface low pressure (convergence)
 Surface winds are strongly cyclonic weakens with height
 Moist air rises  condenses into water droplets and rain
(latent heat released) higher wind speed (mechanical
energy)
 Faster winds and lower pressure associated with them 
increase evaporation and more condensation
 Released energy increases updrafts
 Divergence at upper levels
 Weak vertical shear
 Earth rotation (Coriolis force) causes the system to spin
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Map of Tropical Cyclones © Wikipedia

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 Anatomy of a TC
 The Eye
 The Eye-wall
 Rain-bands
 Storm surge
 Landfall

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Anatomy of a TC

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Airflow Patterns
 Anatomy of a TC
 The Eye: The low pressure centre of a tropical
cyclone. Winds are normally calm and sometimes the
sky clears. The eye of a storm is a roughly circular
area and typically 30-65 km in diameter. It is
surrounded by the eyewall

 The Eye-wall: The ring of thunderstorms that

surrounds a storm’s eye. The heaviest rain, strongest
winds and worst turbulence are normally in the eye
wall.
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 Anatomy of a TC
 Storm Surge: is enhanced by high winds and greater
storm size.

 Rainbands : Rainbands are bands of showers and

thunderstorms that spiral cyclonically toward the
storm center.

 Landfall: Officially, landfall is when a storm's center

(the center of its circulation, not its edge) crosses the
coastline.

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 Classification

 Low Pressure
 Tropical Depression
 Tropical Storm
 Tropical Cyclone

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Categories/Classification

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 Why do we need to name TC ?

Storms were initially given names to eliminate

confusion when there are multiple systems in
any individual basin at the same time which
assist in warning people of the coming storm

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 Is Gonu an Indian Goddess ?

Gonu meaning 'bag made from palm leaves' in Dhivehi,

the Maldivian language. The name was one of the
Maldivian contribution to the Panel on Tropical
Cyclones

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Frequency of Cyclones in Arabian
Sea

Juma Al-Maskari

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 Formation probability

Juma Al-Maskari
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 Application: Track Forecasting

 Initial position/storm structure analysis

 Improvement of numerical models
• Assimilation of satellite data
 “Evaluation” of numerical models
• Synoptic feature identification for qualitative
prediction
• Model analysis/satellite loop overlays provide
assessment of t=0 hr accuracy

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 How are they forecasted ?
 Forecast models, increased understanding of the forces that act
on TC, as well as wealth of data from satellites and other
sensors  lead to increase the accuracy of track forecasts.

 Accurate track predication depend on determining the position

and strength of high and low-pressure areas, and Predicting
how those areas will change during the life of a tropical
system.

 However, prediction of TC intensity is still a challenge due to

the complexity and incomplete understanding of factors that
affect the development of these systems.

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Coverage of satellite observations
used in NWP
AMSUA/B, HIRS, AIRS DMSP SSM/I

Scatterometers GEOS

Satellite Winds Ozone

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