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Slide 3.

Some factors influencing the overall


level of capacity

Forecast
Availability of
level of
capital
demand
Cost structure Changes in
of capacity future
increment demand

OPERATIONS Overall level of MARKET


RESOURCES capacity REQUIREMENTS

Uncertainty
Economie
of future
s of scale
demand
Flexibility of Consequences
capacity of over/under-
provisions supply

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.2

Capacity strategy issues include…..

NUMBER OF
SITES

CAPACITY OF LOCATION OF
EACH SITE EACH SITE

LONG-TERM
ALLOCATION CAPACITY
OF TASKS CHANGE
TO EACH SITE STRATEGY

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.3

Questions Options
NUMBER OF SITES and Many small sites?
CAPACITY OF SITES Few larger sites?

Supply side dominated?


LOCATION
OF SITES Demand side dominated?

ALLOCATION OF TASKS All sites make all products/services?


TO SITES Each site focuses on a few products/
services?

LONG-TERM CAPACITY Capacity leads demand?


CHANGE STRATEGY Capacity lags demand?

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.4

Why is capacity strategy important?

Without an appropriate capacity


strategy, operations will always be
struggling to supply markets in a
competitive manner

Getting capacity strategy right is the


starting point for developing
competitive operations

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.5

How should one judge a capacity strategy ?

NUMBER
OF SITES
Costs

CAPACITY OF LOCATION OF
What performance Revenues
EACH SITE EACH SITE
measures will all
these decisions
have a major Cash
impact on? requirements
LONG-TERM
ALLOCATION CAPACITY
OF TASKS CHANGE
TO SITES STRATEGY Service levels

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.6

Some factors influencing the number and


size of sites

Economies of Required
scale service level

OPERATIONS Size and number MARKET


RESOURCES of sites REQUIREMENTS

Geographical
Supply
distribution of
costs
demand

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.7

Cost, volume, profit illustration

12

10
Costs / Revenue

8
Cost
($)

4
Revenue
2

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Volume in
thousands of units Forecast demand
= 9,000 units
Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.8

Unit cost curve


(a)
Unit cost (total cost / volume)

Nominal
4
capacity limit

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Volume in thousands of units

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.9

Unit cost curve


(b)
Unit cost (total cost/volume)

Diseconomies
4
of scale kick in

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Volume in thousands of units

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.10

Expanding physical capacity in advance of effective


capacity can bring greater returns in the longer term

Physical
capacity of
facilities Demand
Volume

Effective capacity

Time

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.11

Expanding physical capacity in advance of effective


capacity can bring greater returns in the longer term
Cash flow with
extended physical
capacity

Cumulative cash flow


Cash flow with two identical
capacity increments

Time

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.12

Some factors influencing the location of sites

Resource Required
costs service level
Land and Suitability of
facilities site
investment

OPERATIONS Location of MARKET


RESOURCES sites REQUIREMENTS

Resource Image of
availability location

Community
factors

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.13

The cost breakdown of a shirt made in various


countries and sold in France

France 15.55€

Portugal 14.33€

Turkey 11.43€

Thailand 11.43€
Labour
Morocco 11.13€
Transport
Romania 10.82€
Fabric
China 10.37€ Supplies

Myanmar 9.60€ Customs duties

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Cost in euros
Source: Slack, N., Chambers, S. and Johnston, R. (2007) Operations Management, 5th edn. Harlow: financial Times Prentice Hall. Reproduced with permission from Pearson Education Ltd.

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.14

Some factors influencing the timing of


capacity change

Lead-time of Forecast
capacity level of
change demand
Ability to
Competitor
cope with
activity
change

OPERATIONS Overall level of MARKET


RESOURCES capacity REQUIREMENTS

Uncertainty
Economies
of future
of scale
demand

Required level
of service

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.15

Capacity plans for meeting demand using


either 800- or 400-unit capacity plants
Capacity plan using
800-unit plants
2,400
Capacity plan
using 400-unit Demand
2,000 plants
Volume (Units / week)

1,600

1,200

800

400

Time
Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.16

Smaller-scale capacity increments allow the capacity plan


to be adjusted to accommodate changes in demand
Capacity plan using
800-unit plants
2,400
Capacity plan Forecast demand
using 400-unit
2,000 plants
Actual demand
Volume (Units/week)

1,600

1,200

800

400

Time
Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.17

Rarely does each stage of a supply chain have perfectly


balanced capacity because of different optimum
capacity increments
Parts Assembly
manufacture Warehouse Distribution
plant

Current capacity Current capacity Current capacity Current capacity


= 1,010 units = 1,000 units = 900 units = 1,100 units

Required new Required new Required new Required new


capacity capacity capacity capacity
= 1,800 units = 1,800 units = 1,800 units = 1,800 units

Operating cost
Operating cost
Operating cost

Operating cost
800 units 600 units

Capacity increment Capacity increment Capacity increment Capacity increment

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.18

Cost, volume, profit illustration

12

Forecast demand = 9,000 units


10
Costs / Revenue ($)

8
Cost
6

4
Revenue
2

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Volume in thousands of units

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.19

The three options …..


Demand
y

Volume
a pacit Capacity
C ding
Lea tegy
Stra
Time Time

Demand

city

Volume
a Capacity
p
Ca ging
Lag tegy
Stra
Time

Demand
Volume

city g Capacity
p a
Ca othin
o
Sm tegy
Stra
Time

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.20

Capacity planning with certain forecasts and


capacity introduction

Output
Planned
capacity
Forecast
demand

Time
Capacity Capacity Capacity Capacity
increment increment increment increment
1 2 3 4
Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.21

Decision tree for simple capacity expansion example


$10m

gr ows
e mand )
D (0.5
A

d Yr1 Dem (0.5)


an
Exp $8m) and
leve
( l
$3m

$5m
Do
n’ gr ows
t Ex and
)
pan
d Dem (0.5
Yr1

B
Dem (0.5)
and
l ev e
l
$5m

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008
Slide 3.22

Decision tree for ) Expa


nd Yr
2
Growth
(0.3)
(0.7)
$32m

0.5 ) Level
two-year analysis ow
s (
C
($8m
Don
$18m
gr expa ’t
d Growth $24m
an n
m Yr 2 d (0.3)
De (0.7)
A Level $24m

De (0.5 Growth $15m


m ) r2 (0.7)
r1 and Y
Y lev and Exp ) (0.3)
a nd m ) el ($8m Level $8m
p 8
Ex ($ D Don
expa ’t Growth $17m
n (0.7)
Yr2 d (0.3)
Level $9m
Growth $18m
r2 (0.3)
nd Y
Do

x pa (0.7)
n’ Yr1

E )
($8m
te

) Level $18m
0.5
xp

s (
an

E Don
ow expa ’t Growth
d

r
dg n (0.3)
$8m
n Yr2 d
ema (0.7)
D Level $8m
B
De (0.5 2 Growth $18m
m ) nd Y
r (0.7)
lev and Expa m) (0.3)
el ( $8 Level $14m
F D
expa on’t Growth
nd Y $8m
r2 (0.7)
( 0 . 3)
Level $8m

Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis, Operations Strategy, 2nd Edition, © Nigel Slack and Michael Lewis 2008

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