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Gregory Mankiw
Principles of
Macroeconomics Sixth Edition
16
The Monetary System
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Ron Cronovich
In this chapter,
look for the answers to these questions:
• What assets are considered “money”? What are
the functions of money? The types of money?
• What is the Federal Reserve?
• What role do banks play in the monetary
system? How do banks “create money”?
• How does the Federal Reserve control the
money supply?
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What Money Is and Why It’s Important
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The 2 Kinds of Money
Commodity money:
takes the form of a commodity
with intrinsic value
Examples: gold coins,
cigarettes in POW camps
Fiat money:
money without intrinsic value,
used as money because of
govt decree
Example: the U.S. dollar
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The Money Supply
The money supply (or money stock):
the quantity of money available in the economy
What assets should be considered part of the
money supply? Two candidates:
Currency: the paper bills and coins in the
hands of the (non-bank) public
Demand deposits: balances in bank accounts
that depositors can access on demand by
writing a check
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Measures of the U.S. Money Supply
M1: currency, demand deposits,
traveler’s checks, and other checkable deposits.
M1 = $1.9 trillion (February 2011)
M2: everything in M1 plus savings deposits,
small time deposits, money market mutual funds,
and a few minor categories.
M2 = $8.9 trillion (February 2011)
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M1. The first measure of money supply, M1 consists of:
(i) Currency with the public which includes notes and coins of all
denominations in circulation excluding cash on hand with banks:
(ii) Demand deposits with commercial and cooperative banks,
excluding inter-bank deposits; and
(iii) ‘Other deposits’ with RBI which include current deposits of
foreign central banks, financial institutions and quasi-financial
institutions such as IDBI, IFCI, etc., other than of banks, IMF, IBRD,
etc. The RBI characterizes as narrow money.
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M2. The second measure of money supply is M 2 which consists of
M1 plus post office savings bank deposits. Since savings bank deposits
of commercial and cooperative banks are included in the money supply,
it is essential to include post office savings bank deposits. The majority
of people in rural and urban India have preference for post office
deposits from the safety viewpoint than bank deposits.
M3. The third measure of money supply in India is M 3, which consists of
M1, plus time deposits with commercial and cooperative banks,
excluding interbank time deposits. The RBI calls M 3 as broad money.
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Of the four inter-related measures of money supply for which the
RBI publishes data, it is M3 which is of special significance. It is
M3 which is taken into account in formulating macroeconomic
objectives of the economy every year. Since M1 is narrow
money and includes only demand deposits of banks along-with
currency held by the public, it overlooks the importance of time
deposits in policy making. That is why, the RBI prefers M3 which
includes total deposits of banks and currency with the public in
credit budgeting for its credit policy.
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It is on the estimates of increase in M3 that the effects of money
supply on prices and growth of national income are estimated.
In fact is an empirical measure of money supply in India, as is the
practice in developed countries. The Chakravarty Committee also
recommended the use of M3 for monetary targeting without any
reason.
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Central Banks & Monetary Policy
Central bank: an institution that oversees the
banking system and regulates the money supply
Monetary policy: the setting of the money
supply by policymakers in the central bank
Federal Reserve (Fed): the central bank of the
U.S.
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The Structure of the Fed
The Federal Reserve System
consists of:
Board of Governors
(7 members),
located in Washington, DC
12 regional Fed banks,
located around the U.S. Ben S. Bernanke
Federal Open Market Chair of FOMC,
Committee (FOMC), Feb 2006 – present
includes the Bd of Govs and
presidents of some of the regional Fed banks
The FOMC decides monetary policy.
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Organizational Structure of RBI
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Bank Reserves
In a fractional reserve banking system,
banks keep a fraction of deposits as reserves
and use the rest to make loans.
The Fed establishes reserve requirements,
regulations on the minimum amount of reserves
that banks must hold against deposits.
Banks may hold more than this minimum amount
if they choose.
The reserve ratio, R
= fraction of deposits that banks hold as reserves
= total reserves as a percentage of total deposits
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Bank T-Account
T-account: a simplified accounting statement
that shows a bank’s assets & liabilities.
Example:
FIRST NATIONAL BANK
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ 10 Deposits $100
Loans $ 90
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Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 1: No banking system
Public holds the $100 as currency.
Money supply = $100.
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Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 2: 100% reserve banking system
Public deposits the $100 at First National Bank (FNB).
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Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 3: Fractional reserve banking system
SNB’s borrower deposits the $81 at Third National
Bank.
THIRD NATIONAL BANK
Initially, TNB’s
Assets Liabilities
T-account Reserves $ $8.10
81 Deposits $ 81
looks like this: Loans $ $72.90
0
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Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 3: Fractional reserve banking system
The process continues, and money is created with
each new loan.
In this
$
100.00 example,
Original deposit = $ $100 of
FNB lending = 90.00 reserves
SNB lending = $ generates
TNB lending = 81.00 $1000 of
.. money.
. $
72.90
.. 25
.
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The Money Multiplier
Money multiplier: the amount of money the
banking system generates with each dollar of
reserves
The money multiplier equals 1/R.
In our example,
R = 10%
money multiplier = 1/R = 10
$100 of reserves creates $1000 of money
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Money Multiplier
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Suppose banks keep a reserve ratio of 10%.
Therefore, if someone deposits $100, the bank will keep $10 as reserves
and lend out $90.
However, because $90 has been lent out – other banks will see future
deposits of $90.
Therefore, the process of lending out deposits can start again.
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ACTIVE LEARNING 1
Banks and the money supply
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ACTIVE LEARNING 1
Answers
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How the Fed Influences Reserves
Open-Market Operations (OMOs):
the purchase and sale of U.S. government bonds by the Fed.
If the Fed buys a government bond from a bank, it pays by depositing
new reserves in that bank’s reserve account.
With more reserves, the bank can make more loans, increasing the
money supply.
To increase the money supply, the Fed instructs its bond traders at the
New York Fed to buy bonds from the public in the nation’s bond markets.
The dollars the Fed pays for the bonds increase the number of dollars in
the economy.
Some of these new dollars are held as currency, and some are deposited
in banks. Each new dollar held as currency increases the money supply
by exactly $1. Each new dollar deposited in a bank increases the money
supply by more than a dollar because it increases reserves and, thereby,
the amount of money that the banking system can create. 34
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To decrease bank reserves and the money supply, the Fed sells
government bonds.
To reduce the money supply, the Fed does just the opposite: It sells
government bonds to the public in the nation’s bond markets. The
public pays for these bonds with its holdings of currency and bank
deposits, directly reducing the amount of money in circulation.
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How the Fed Influences Reserves
If the Fed buys a bond, the bank swaps its bond
for an equivalent amount in currency.
The bond can’t be broken up and loaned out, but
the equivalent amount in currency can.
Some of the currency is retained as reserves, the
rest is loaned out and expands according to the
money multiplier.
This is how the Fed can increase the money
supply by swapping its cash for a bond held by a
bank.
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How the Fed Influences Reserves
The Fed makes loans to banks, increasing their
reserves.
Traditional method: adjusting the discount rate
—the interest rate on loans the Fed makes to
banks—to influence the amount of reserves
banks borrow
New method: Term Auction Facility—the Fed
chooses the quantity of reserves it will loan, then
banks bid against each other for these loans.
The more banks borrow, the more reserves they
have for funding new loans and increasing the
money supply. 37
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How the Fed Influences the Reserve Ratio
Recall: reserve ratio = reserves/deposits,
which inversely affects the money multiplier.
The Fed sets reserve requirements: regulations
on the minimum amount of reserves banks must
hold against deposits.
Reducing reserve requirements would lower the
reserve ratio and increase the money multiplier.
Since 10/2008, the Fed has paid interest on
reserves banks keep in accounts at the Fed.
Raising this interest rate would increase the
reserve ratio and lower the money multiplier.
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Problems Controlling the Money Supply
If households hold more of their money as
currency, banks have fewer reserves,
make fewer loans, and money supply falls.
If banks hold more reserves than required,
they make fewer loans, and money supply falls.
Yet, Fed can compensate for household
and bank behavior to retain fairly precise control
over the money supply.
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Bank Runs and the Money Supply
A run on banks:
When people suspect their banks are in trouble,
they may “run” to the bank to withdraw their funds,
holding more currency and less deposits.
Under fractional-reserve banking, banks don’t
have enough reserves to pay off ALL depositors all
at once, hence banks may have to close.
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Bank Runs and the Money Supply
This can happen even if the bank is not bankrupt,
meaning that the assets are equal in value to the
liabilities. The problem is that many of the assets
are in illiquid form, such as loans that can’t be
called in instantaneously. These assets can’t be
converted to cash quickly enough to satisfy the
demand for withdrawals.
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Bank Runs and the Money Supply
Banks that fear runs may make fewer loans and
hold more reserves to satisfy depositors.
These events increase R, reverse the process of
money creation, cause money supply to fall.
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Bank Runs and the Money Supply
During 1929–1933, a wave of bank runs and
bank closings caused money supply to fall 28%.
Many economists believe this contributed to the
severity of the Great Depression.
Since then, federal deposit insurance has
helped prevent bank runs in the U.S.
In the U.K., though, Northern Rock bank
experienced a classic bank run in 2007 and was
eventually taken over by the British government.
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Clicker question
Reducing R, the reserve requirement
A. Makes monetary policy more powerful and
reduces the likelihood of a bank run.
B. Makes monetary policy less powerful and
reduces the likelihood of a bank run.
C. Makes monetary policy less powerful and
increases the likelihood of a bank run.
D. Makes monetary policy more powerful and
increases the likelihood of a bank run.
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The Federal Funds Rate
On any given day, banks with insufficient reserves
can borrow from banks with excess reserves.
The interest rate on these loans is the federal
funds rate.
Changes in the fed funds rate cause changes in
other rates and have a big impact on the economy.
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The Fed Funds rate and other rates, 1970–2011
20 Fed Funds
Prime
3 Month T-Bill
15
Mortgage
(%)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
46
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Monetary Policy and the Fed Funds Rate
The Federal
To raise fed funds
rf Funds market
rate, Fed sells Federal
funds rate
govt bonds (OMO). S2 S1
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S U M MA RY
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S U M MA RY
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