Topic: Trip Generation Model

- Simple Linear Regression Analysis

Prepared By: Mr. Ishan Trivedi
 Content
• Models for Trip Generation
• Simple Linear Regression Analysis
• Example

Presented by: Mr. Ishan Trivedi ǀ Civil Engineering Department

 Models for Trip Generation
• to estimate the trips generated by a zone for each trip purpose depending on the
future land use, socio-economic characteristics and nature of transportation
facility in the zone.

Trip Generation Analysis

Zonal Regression Analysis Category Analysis

Single Linear Multiple Linear

Regression Analysis Regression Analysis

Presented by: Mr. Ishan Trivedi ǀ Civil Engineering Department

 Simple Linear Regression Analysis
• Linear relation exists between dependent variable with one independent variable
• Independent variable: planning factors
• Dependent variable: no. of zonal trip ends(Productions & attractions) by mode & trip purpose.
• Let, 2 variables: = independent variable, = dependent variable
• Then, 1 Where, & are constants

• Summation of equation (1) Summation of this equation,

• Multiplying 𝒙 to equation (1),

2

3 5
4

Presented by: Mr. Ishan Trivedi ǀ Civil Engineering Department

 Simple Linear Regression Analysis
• Solving the equation (4) & (5) r= 1, perfect relationship b/w variable,
n n n
r= 0, no relation b/w variables,
n xi yi   xi  yi
b i 1 i 1 i 1 r> 0.8, significant relation
n 2 6
n 
n xi    xi 
2

i 1  i 1 
• Additive constant, a  y  bx 7

x
x , i
y
y i

n n

𝑛 Σ 𝑥𝑖 𝑦𝑖 − Σ 𝑥𝑖∙ Σ 𝑦𝑖
𝑟= 8
√ [ 𝑖 𝑖 ][ 𝑖 − ( Σ 𝑦𝑖)
𝑛 Σ 𝑥 2
− ( Σ 𝑥 ) 𝑛Σ
2
𝑦 2 2
]
5

Presented by: Mr. Ishan Trivedi ǀ Civil Engineering Department

 Example -Simple Linear Regression Analysis
The following data shows average household size and total trips made per day
for a particular zone of study area. Develop the trip production equation and
check its validity.

Avg. Household Total trips made

size per day
Dependent variable, = Trips per day
Independent variable, = persons in household
2 4 number of observation, n = 5
3 6
𝑦 =𝑎+𝑏𝑥
4 7
5 8
6 10

Presented by: Mr. Ishan Trivedi ǀ Civil Engineering Department

 Example -Simple Linear Regression Analysis

𝒙𝒚 𝟐
𝒚𝟐
Avg. Household Total trips made
size per day
𝒙 Additive constant (a),
𝑎= 𝑦 − 𝑏 𝑥¿ 7 −1.4 × 4 ¿ 1.4
2 4 8 4 16 Correlation coefficient (r),
3 6 18 9 36
4 7 28 16 49
5 8 40 25 64
6 10 60 36 100
70
 𝒙=𝟐𝟎  𝒚=𝟑𝟓  𝒙𝒚=𝟏𝟓𝟒  𝒙 𝟐=𝟗𝟎  𝒚 𝟐=𝟐𝟔𝟓 ¿
70.71
¿ 0.989> 0.8
Multiplying constant (b), \ Trip production equation is

As correlation coefficient r = 0.9890.8,

¿ 1.4 strong relationship exist between
7
variables.

Presented by: Mr. Ishan Trivedi ǀ Civil Engineering Department

 Thank You
8

Presented by: Mr. Ishan Trivedi ǀ Civil Engineering Department