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Lecture 1
Introduction
Simple Power System
Value was
about 280
ppm in 1800;
in 2011 it is
394 ppm
ppm: parts per
million
Source: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
As Has Been Worldwide Temperature
Source: http://www.isws.illinois.edu/atmos/statecli/Climate_change/ustrends.htm
But Average Temperatures are Not
Increasing Everywhere Equally
Source: http://www.isws.illinois.edu/atmos/statecli/Climate_change/iltrends.htm
And Where Might Temps Go?
The models
show rate of
increase values
of between
0.15 to 0.4 C
per decade.
The rate from
1975 to 2005
was about
0.2 C per
decade.
Source: http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/futuretc.html#projections
Energy Economics
Nuclear:$15/MWh
Coal: $22/MWh
Wind: $50/MWh
Hydro: varies but usually water constrained
Solar: $150 to 200/MWh
Natural Gas: 8 to 10 times fuel cost in $/MBtu
Within its service territory each utility was the only game
in town
Neighboring utilities functioned more as colleagues than
competitors
Utilities gradually interconnected their systems so by 1970
transmission lines crisscrossed North America, with
voltages up to 765 kV
Economies of scale keep resulted in decreasing rates, so
most every one was happy
History, cont’d -- 1970’s
OFF
OFF
The California-Enron Effect
WA
MT ND VT ME
MN
OR NH
ID SD WI NY MA
WY MI RI
IA PA CT
NV NE NJ
IN OH DE
UT IL W MD
DC
CO VA VA
CA KS MO KY
AZ TN NC
OK
NM AR SC
MS AL GA
TX
LA
AK
FL
HI
Currently
about 4%
of our
electric
capacity
is wind
The up/downs
in 2001/2 and
2003/4 were
caused by
expiring tax
credits