Solve Routine and Non -

Routine Problems Involving

Experimental and Theoretical
Probability
Presented by: Group 5
In the end of this lesson, you will learn:

● Describe what is Probability

● Describe what is Theoretical and Experimental Probability

● Solve routine and non – routine problems involving theoretical and experimental

probability
 Did you know?

Probabilities can be expressed as proportions that range from 0 to 1, and they can also be
expressed as percentages ranging from 0% to 100%.

Probability tells you how likely it is that an event will occur.

A probability is a number that reflects the chance or likelihood that a particular event will
occur.
 Theoretical Probablity of an
event is the number of ways
that an event can occur divided
by the total number of
outcomes.
 number of favorable outcomes
Theoritical Probability (event) = ______________________________
number of possible outcomes
 Experimental Probability

Experimental Probability of an We can also find the

event is the ratio of the
number of times an event
occurs to the total nuber of
trails or times the activity if
performed.
probability of an event by
doing an experiment. When
we do this, we are finding
experimental probability.
 number of times favorable outcomes occurs
Experimental Probability (event) = _____________________________________
number of trials in the experiments
The manager of Great Adventure Amusement Park took
a random survey of 100 visitors to the park. They
summarized the result in the following table:
FAVORITE RIDE No. of Visitors Age No. of Visitors

Dragon Express 40 3-11 23

Bump Cars 30 12-20 35

Star Frisbee 18 21-40 26

Others 12 41-above 16
 A crowd of 5000 visitors is expected at Great Adventure over the weekend.
Predict how many of these visitors will be under 21 years of age.

1. To find the probability:

a. Add the number of visitors ages 3-11 and 12-20, that is;
23
+ 35
58
b. Use theoretical probability formula

number of favorable outcomes 58

Probability (under 21) = = =
0.58
number of possible outcomes 100
1. To find the probability:
a. Add the number of visitors ages 3-11 and 12-20, that is;
23
+ 35
58
b. Use theoretical probability formula

number of favorable outcomes 58

Probability (under 21) = = =
0.58
number of possible outcomes 100

2. Multiply the probability by the number of expected visitors.

5000 X 0.58 = 2900.00 =2900

Great Adventure can expect 2900 of these visitors to be under 21 years of age
 A medical study tests a new medicine on 4800 participants. It is
effective for 4200 participants. Find the experimental probability that
the medicine is effective.

number of times favorable outcomes occur

Experimental Probability (effective) =
number of trials in the experiments
4200 7 87.5%
4800 8
The experimental probability that the medicine is effective is 7 , or 87.5%.
8
Thank you!
Do you have any questions?