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IB9AX0
WBSLive Lecture 9
Outline Capital
budgeting
5. Profitability 4. Internal
Index or NPV rate of
Index return (IRR)
Note: for each method you should know - calculations, decision criteria,
advantages and disadvantages (for more refer to topic materials).
Example
Project ‘A’ requires initial investment in plant £20,000 (UEL
4 years, RV=0, depreciated SLM).
Additional project details:
Year Net Cash Depreciation Profit
Flow (£) (£)
(£)
1 9,000 5,000 4,000
2 8,000 5,000 3,000
3 7,000 5,000 2,000
4 5,500 5,000
500
29,500 20,000 9,500
The standard non discounted payback period (PBP) set by directors
is 3 years. The required rate of return (RRR) or cost of capital is 18%.
Accounting rate of return (ARR)
Project A:
• ARR = (Average Annual Profits /Average Capital
Employed) x 100%
• Average Annual Profits years 1 to 4 = 4,000 + 3,000 +
2,000 + 500 =9,500 / 4 =£2,375;
• Average CE=(£20,000+0)/2 =£10,000
• ARR = (2,375 / 10,000) x 100% = 23.75% (> 18% RRR;
so accept project A)
NPV or DCF approach – how to get the 18% DFs?
NPV or DCF approach
Project A:
Year Net Cash 18% PV
Present
Flow Factor Value
0 (20,000) 1.000
(20,000)
1 9,000 0.847
7,623
2 8,000 0.718
5,744
3 7,000 0.609
4,263
4 5,500 0.516
2,838
Non- discounted payback period (PBP) method
Project A:
Year Net Cash Cumulative Net
Flow Cash Flow
0 (20,000) (20,000)
1 9,000 (11,000)
2 8,000 (3,000)
3 7,000 4,000
4 5,500 9,500
Payback period is: 2 years plus in year 3, (£3,000/£7,000) x
12 months=2+ (3,000/7000) x 12m = 2 years 5 months
(within standard set by management, so accept project
A).
Discounted Payback Period (DPB)
Net cash flows are first discounted to PV.
Project A:
Year Net Cash 18% PV PV
Cum. PV
Flow Factor
0 (20,000) 1.000 (20,000)
(20,000)
1 9,000 0.847 7,623
(12,377)
2 8,000 0.718 5,744
(6,633)
3 7,000 0.609 4,263
(2,370)
4 5,500 0.516 2,838
Profitability index (or NPV index)
Project A:
• Initial investment = £20,000; PV of project cash
flows = £20,468; NPV=+468.
• PI = NPV/investment=(468/20,000)=0. 023; PI is
+, accept project A.
• PI=PV of CFs/Initial Investment
(20,468/20,000)=1.023; PI>+1 accept project A.
Internal Rate of Return – Project A
LRNPV = Project NPV at LDR (18%) = £468 (as calculated)
IRR (19.3%) > 18% RRR (cost of capital), so project A is potentially viable,
accept project A.
IRR Solution (Project A & B): using graphical approach.
Project A
600
500
NPV
DF 18 20 A 200
NPV 468 -247 A
100
0
DF 18 16 B
17.5 18 18.5 19 19.5 20
NPV -202 715 B -100
-200
-300
Discount factor
Project B
800
600
400 IRR
IRR
NPV
200
0
15.5 16 16.5 17 17.5 18
-200
-400
Discount factor
Mutually exclusive projects
Project risk
attributes (Abdel-
Sustainability Kader and
performance of the Dugdale, 2001;
project: social, ethical
Alkaraan and
and environmental
impact of project. Northcott, 2006).
Investment Appraisal in Practice: What the
researchers have found?
Methods Graham & Brounen et al. (2004)-European study Alkaraan
Harvey &
Survey on 313 CEOs Northcott
(2001) (2006)-
US study UK Netherlands Germany France ranking
Payback 57% 70% 65% 50% 51% 2