Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Systems Planning
1
Dilemma of IS Planning
• Most organization's survival now depends on IT
– Planning of its effective use is a matter of
organizational life and death
• IT is changing so fast
– Is it useless to do IS planning?
2
Mindset for Planning
• Traditional view
– Determining what decisions to make in the future
• A better view
– Developing a view of the future that guides
decision making today
5
Why Planning Is So Difficult? (2)
• Companies need portfolios rather than projects
– Evaluation on more than their individual merit
– How they fit into other projects and how they balance
the portfolio of projects
6
Why Planning Is So Difficult? (3)
• Responsibility Needs to be Joint
– Systems planning has become business planning, not
just a technology issue
– It is better done by a full partnership of C-level officers
8
Traditional Strategy Making (2)
• Assumptions
– The future can be predicted
– Time is available to do these 3 parts
– IS supports and follows the business
– Top management knows best (broadest view
of firm)
– Company - like an ‘Army’
9
A World of Rapid Change (1)
10
A World of Rapid Change (2)
11
A World of Rapid Change (3)
– An organization is not like an army
• Industrial era metaphor no longer
always applies
12
Today's Sense-and-Response Approach
14
Old-era and New-era Strategy
Comparison
• Old-era strategy:
– One big choice, long commitment
• New-era strategy:
– Many small choices, short commitments
• Guide Strategy Making with Strategy Envelope
15
Case Example: Microsoft
• Abandoned proprietary network despite big
investment when it did not capture enough
customers
• Moved on to buying Internet companies as well
as aligning with Sun to promote Java
• Over time, they moved into a variety of
technologies:
– Web, Cable news, Digital movies, Cable modems,
Handheld OS, Video server, Music, Xbox, .Net,
Search engines...
• Not all strategies came from top management
– e.g. first server came from a rebel's unofficial project
• Getting its fingers into every pie that might
become important 16
Seven Planning Techniques
• Stages of Growth
• Critical Success Factors
• Competitive Forces Model
• Value Chain Analysis
• E-business Value Matrix
• Linkage Analysis Planning
• Scenario Planning
17
Stages of Growth (1)
• Richard Nolan observed four stages in the
introduction and assimilations of a new
technology
– Early Successes
• Increased interest and experimentation
– Contagion
• Interest grows rapidly; growth is uncontrolled; learning
period for the field
– Control
• Efforts begun toward cost reduction and standardization
– Integration
• Dominant design mastered; setting the stage for newer
technology
18
Stages of Growth (3)
19
Critical Success Factors
•Developing a method for defining
individual executive information needs.
•Has become a popular planning approach
and used to help companies identify ISs
they need.
•For each executive, CSFs are the few key
areas of the job where things must go right
for the org to flourish
•Usually fewer than 10 of these fctors
Competitive Forces Model (1)
• Michael Porter's Five Forces Model
– A model that determines the relative
attractiveness (competition) of an industry.
– The five forces:
• Bargaining power of customers and buyers
• Bargaining power of suppliers
• Threat of substitute products or services
• Threat of new entrants
• The intensity of rivalry among competitors
21
Competitive Forces Model (3)
• Five forces
– Bargaining power of customers and buyers
• High when buyers have many choices of whom to
buy from, and low when the choices are few.
– Bargaining power of suppliers
• High when buyers have few choices of whom to
buy from, and low when there are many choices.
22
Competitive Forces Model (4)
24
Five Forces Analysis of the Internet
27
Linkage Analysis Planning
28
Linkage Analysis Planning (2)
– Examines the links orgs have with one
another with the goal of creating a strategy for
utilizing electronic channels.
– Three steps:
• Define power relationships among the various
players and stakeholders.
• Map out your extended enterprise to include
suppliers, buyers, and strategic partners
– The enterprise’s success depends on the relationships
among everyone involved
29
Linkage Analysis Planning (3)
30
Scenario Planning
• Long-term planning has traditionally
extrapolated from the past and has not factored
in low-probability events that could significantly
alter trends
– Straight-line projections have provided little help!
• Four steps in Scenario Planning:
– Define a decision problem and time frame to bound
the analysis
– Identify the major known trends that will affect the
decision problem
– Identify just a few driving uncertainties
– Construct the scenarios
31