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FORECASTING:
Month
Demand
ES FC
Trend
Adj E
S FC
DC-ES
FC
DC-FC
(absol)
DC-AES
FC
DC-AES
F
(absol)
OCT
800
800.00
800.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
NOV
725
800.00
800.00
-75.00
75.00
-75.00
75.00
DEC
630
777.50
-4.50
773.00
-147.50
147.50
-143.00
143.00
JAN
500
733.25
-12.45
720.80
-233.25
233.25
-220.80
220.80
FEB
645
663.28
-23.96
639.32
-18.28
18.28
5.68
5.68
MAR
690
657.79
-20.26
637.53
32.21
32.21
52.47
52.47
APR
730
667.45
-14.28
653.18
62.55
62.55
76.82
76.82
MAY
810
686.22
-7.67
678.55
123.78
123.78
131.45
131.45
JUNE
1200
723.35
1.29
724.65
476.65
476.65
475.35
475.35
JULY
980
866.35
29.63
895.98
113.65
113.65
84.02
84.02
900.44
30.53
930.97
-52.18 7323.01
334.81 1282.86
386.99
1264.59
MAD
142.54
AUG
TOTAL
AVE
7710 7375.19
140.51
10.FORECASTING
year
Trend
DC-FC
DC-Adj
EsFC
4260
4260
0.00
4260.00
0.00
0.00
4510
4260
0.00
0.00
4260.00
250.00
250.00
4050
4335.00
15.00
15.00
4350.00
285.00
300.00
3720
4249.50
-5.10
5.10
4244.40
529.50
524.40
3900
4090.65
-35.85
35.85
4054.80
190.65
154.80
3470
4033.46
-40.12
40.12
3993.34
563.45
523.34
2890
3864.42
-65.90
65.90
3798.52
974.42
908.52
3100
3572.09
-111.19
111.19
3460.91
472.09
360.91
3430.47
-117.28
117.28
3313.19
32665.12
-243.16
273.16
32421.96
3265.12
3021.96
4083.14
-40.53
45.53
4052.74
466.45
431.71
TOTAL
AVE.
FC
Adj. Ex
Sm FC
29900.00
M.construction
Permit
M.Carpet Sale
17
30
12
12
14
18
10
38
14
20
16
31
16
Total = 206
88
Ave =
20.6
8.8
XY
X^2
y^2
85
25
289
360
144
900
72
36
144
70
25
196
144
64
324
40
16
100
532
196
1444
180
81
400
144
81
256
496
256
961
2123
924
5014
212.3
92.4
501.4
3-month
Moving ave.
FC
DEMAND
3-month
Weighted
Moving ave. FC
105 _
150 _
93 _
DC-FC
(absol)
DC-WFC
(absol)
121
116.00
113.85
5.00
7.15
140
121.33
116.69
18.67
23.31
170
118.00
125.74
52.00
44.26
105
143.67
151.77
38.67
46.77
150
138.33
132.4
11.67
17.6
150
141.67
138.55
8.33
11.45
10
170
135.00
142.35
35.00
27.65
11
110
156.67
160
46.67
50
12
130
143.33
136.6
13.33
6.6
136.67
130.2
136.67
130.2
15.19
14.47
MAD
4.LOCATION MODEL:
Location
factors
Scores
weight
south
west A
west B
East
Proximity to
housing
Student traffic
Parking
availability
Plot,size,terrain
Infra structure
Off-campus
accessibility
Proximity to
dining
Visitor traffic
Landscape/
aesthetics
0.23
0.22
70
75
90
80
65
60
80
85
0.16
0.12
0.1
90
80
50
60
70
60
80
90
40
70
65
60
0.06
90
70
70
70
0.05
0.04
60
70
80
80
70
65
80
55
0.02
50
40
60
70
weighted score
south
west A
west B
East
16.1
20.7
14.95
18.4
16.5
17.6
13.2
18.7
14.4
9.6
12.8
11.2
9.6
8.4
10.8
7.8
5
6
4
6
5.4
4.2
4.2
4.2
3
4
3.5
4
2.8
3.2
2.6
2.2
1
0.8
1.2
1.4
Total=
73.8
74.5
67.25
73.9
Locations
fixed
cost
variable
cost for
2000 units
variable
cost/unit
Total
cost
sales (2000
units)
sales-Total
cost
25000
50
100000
125000
200000
75000
50000
25
50000
100000
200000
100000
80000
15
30000
110000
200000
90000
Period
Gross Requirements
Item: Rod
30
50
20
10
40
LLC: 0
LT: 1
Period
1
Gross Requirements
30
50
20
10
40
Net Requirements
50
20
10
40
50
20
10
40
20
10
40
Scheduled Receipts
Projected on Hand
30
Item: Rod
50
LLC: 0
LT: 1
Period
1
Gross Requirements
30
50
20
10
40
10
50
40
Net Requirements
50
10
60
60
Scheduled Receipts
Projected on Hand
30
Item: Rod
60
60
LLC: 0
LT: 1
period
1
Gross Requirements
30
50
20
10
40
20
40
Scheduled Receipts
Projected on Hand
30
Net Requirements
50
10
70
50
5. LOCATION MODEL:
MEGA-MART
70
50
Column1
Wt
X(Wt)
Y(Wt)
Whitesburg
12
20
26000
312000
520000
Altonville
18
15
12000
216000
180000
Camburg
30
18300
549000
128100
Milligan
32
25
9700
310400
242500
66000
1387400
1070600
Total
X(Wt)/Wt
Y(Wt)/Wt
8.Plant layout:
21.02
16.22
Department
70
50
100
70
80
40
50
100
8.PLANT LAYOUT: