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2.

FORECASTING:

Month

Demand

ES FC

Trend

Adj E
S FC

DC-ES
FC

DC-FC
(absol)

DC-AES
FC

DC-AES
F
(absol)

OCT

800

800.00

800.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

NOV

725

800.00

800.00

-75.00

75.00

-75.00

75.00

DEC

630

777.50

-4.50

773.00

-147.50

147.50

-143.00

143.00

JAN

500

733.25

-12.45

720.80

-233.25

233.25

-220.80

220.80

FEB

645

663.28

-23.96

639.32

-18.28

18.28

5.68

5.68

MAR

690

657.79

-20.26

637.53

32.21

32.21

52.47

52.47

APR

730

667.45

-14.28

653.18

62.55

62.55

76.82

76.82

MAY

810

686.22

-7.67

678.55

123.78

123.78

131.45

131.45

JUNE

1200

723.35

1.29

724.65

476.65

476.65

475.35

475.35

JULY

980

866.35

29.63

895.98

113.65

113.65

84.02

84.02

900.44

30.53

930.97

-52.18 7323.01

334.81 1282.86

386.99

1264.59

MAD

142.54

AUG
TOTAL
AVE

7710 7375.19

140.51

10.FORECASTING

The Willow River Mining


Company
Coat Sales
(tons)

year

Trend

DC-FC

DC-Adj
EsFC

4260

4260

0.00

4260.00

0.00

0.00

4510

4260

0.00

0.00

4260.00

250.00

250.00

4050

4335.00

15.00

15.00

4350.00

285.00

300.00

3720

4249.50

-5.10

5.10

4244.40

529.50

524.40

3900

4090.65

-35.85

35.85

4054.80

190.65

154.80

3470

4033.46

-40.12

40.12

3993.34

563.45

523.34

2890

3864.42

-65.90

65.90

3798.52

974.42

908.52

3100

3572.09

-111.19

111.19

3460.91

472.09

360.91

3430.47

-117.28

117.28

3313.19

32665.12

-243.16

273.16

32421.96

3265.12

3021.96

4083.14

-40.53

45.53

4052.74

466.45

431.71

TOTAL

AVE.

FC

Adj. Ex
Sm FC

29900.00

3.FORECASTING: LINEAR REGRESSION METHOD.

M.construction
Permit
M.Carpet Sale

17

30

12

12

14

18

10

38

14

20

16

31

16

Total = 206

88

Ave =

20.6

8.8

XY

X^2

y^2

85

25

289

360

144

900

72

36

144

70

25

196

144

64

324

40

16

100

532

196

1444

180

81

400

144

81

256

496

256

961

2123

924

5014

212.3

92.4

501.4

3.FORECASTING: WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE METHOD.

Lawn Plus Fertilizers


MONTH

3-month
Moving ave.
FC

DEMAND

3-month
Weighted
Moving ave. FC

105 _

150 _

93 _

DC-FC
(absol)

DC-WFC
(absol)

121

116.00

113.85

5.00

7.15

140

121.33

116.69

18.67

23.31

170

118.00

125.74

52.00

44.26

105

143.67

151.77

38.67

46.77

150

138.33

132.4

11.67

17.6

150

141.67

138.55

8.33

11.45

10

170

135.00

142.35

35.00

27.65

11

110

156.67

160

46.67

50

12

130

143.33

136.6

13.33

6.6

136.67

130.2

136.67

130.2

15.19

14.47

MAD

4.LOCATION MODEL:

Location
factors

Scores
weight

south

west A

west B

East

Proximity to
housing
Student traffic
Parking
availability
Plot,size,terrain
Infra structure
Off-campus
accessibility
Proximity to
dining
Visitor traffic
Landscape/
aesthetics

0.23
0.22

70
75

90
80

65
60

80
85

0.16
0.12
0.1

90
80
50

60
70
60

80
90
40

70
65
60

0.06

90

70

70

70

0.05
0.04

60
70

80
80

70
65

80
55

0.02

50

40

60

70

weighted score
south
west A
west B
East
16.1
20.7
14.95
18.4
16.5
17.6
13.2
18.7
14.4
9.6
12.8
11.2
9.6
8.4
10.8
7.8
5
6
4
6
5.4
4.2
4.2
4.2
3
4
3.5
4
2.8
3.2
2.6
2.2
1
0.8
1.2
1.4
Total=
73.8
74.5
67.25
73.9

5.LOCATION MODEL: cost analysis

Locations

fixed
cost

variable
cost for
2000 units

variable
cost/unit

Total
cost

sales (2000
units)

sales-Total
cost

25000

50

100000

125000

200000

75000

50000

25

50000

100000

200000

100000

80000

15

30000

110000

200000

90000

7.MATERIAL REQUIREMENT PLANNING:

Period

Gross Requirements

Item: Rod

Lot Size: L4L

30

50

20

10

40

LLC: 0
LT: 1

Period
1

Gross Requirements

30

50

20

10

40

Net Requirements

50

20

10

40

Planned Order Receipts

50

20

10

40

20

10

40

Scheduled Receipts
Projected on Hand

30

Planned Order Releases

Item: Rod

50

LLC: 0

Lot Size: EOQ 60

LT: 1
Period
1

Gross Requirements

30

50

20

10

40

10

50

40

Net Requirements

50

10

Planned Order Receipts

60

60

Scheduled Receipts
Projected on Hand

30

Planned Order Releases

Item: Rod

Lot Size: POQ 2

60

60

LLC: 0
LT: 1

period

1
Gross Requirements

30

50

20

10

40

20

40

Scheduled Receipts
Projected on Hand

30

Net Requirements

50

10

Planned Order Receipts

70

50

Planned Order Releases

5. LOCATION MODEL:
MEGA-MART

70

50

Column1

Wt

X(Wt)

Y(Wt)

Whitesburg

12

20

26000

312000

520000

Altonville

18

15

12000

216000

180000

Camburg

30

18300

549000

128100

Milligan

32

25

9700

310400

242500

66000

1387400

1070600

Total

X(Wt)/Wt

Y(Wt)/Wt

8.Plant layout:

21.02

16.22

Department

70

50

100

70

80

40

50

100

8.PLANT LAYOUT:

3. a. F4 _ 116.00, F5 _ 121.33, F6 _ 118.00, F7 _ 143.67, F8 _ 138.33, F9 _ 141.67, F10 _


135.00, F11 _ 156.67, F12 _ 143.33, F13 _ 136.67;
b. F6 _ 121.80, F7 _ 134.80, F8 _
125.80, F9 _ 137.20, F10 _ 143.00, F11 _ 149.00, F12 _ 137.00, F13 _ 142.00;
c. F4 _113.95, F5 _ 116.69, F6 _ 125.74, F7 _ 151.77, F8 _ 132.4, F9 _ 138.55; F10 _ 142.35,
F11 _ 160.00, F12 _ 136.69, F13 _ 130.20;
d. 3-qtr MA: E _ 32.0, 5-qtr MA: E _ 36.4,weighted MA: E _ 28.05

29. a. y _ 0.51+ 0.403x,


y(x _ 25) _ 10.57;
b. R _ .914
10. 15. F9 (adjusted) _ 3,313.19, F9 (linear trend) _ 2,785.00; adjusted: MAD _ 431.71, E__2,522;
linear trend: MAD _ 166.25
3. South _ 73.80,West A _ 74.50,West B _ 67.25, East _ 73.90; select East

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