CBS News November Battleground Tracker South Carolina

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1509 Registered Voters

November 15-19, 2015
4.6%
1. Would you say things in this country today are...

Generally headed in the right direction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Off on the wrong track . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .78%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

South Carolina
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .72%

Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%
6. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters
Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%

Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

South Carolina
7. Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Asked of Trump supporters
His outlook for America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%

He says things others are afraid to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
His personal success story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hes not a typical politician . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
His faith and religious beliefs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
8. Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Asked of Carson supporters
His outlook for America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%

He says things others are afraid to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
His personal success story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Hes not a typical politician . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
His faith and religious beliefs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
9. Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you
feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Ready
44%
52%
55%
49%
40%
Not ready
36%
35%
24%
30%
44%
Not sure
20%
12%
21%
21%
16%
10. Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you
feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin OMalley
Ready
88%
48%
17%
Not ready
7%
32%
42%
Not sure
5%
20%
41%

South Carolina
11. If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could
actually do the things theyre talking about?
Very confident he/she could do them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%

Somewhat confident, and would give him/her a chance to try . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Not confident yet, but electing him/her would at least send a message about the
direction we need . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
12. How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to
support for President in 2016?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Somewhat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
13. Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Favor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

South Carolina
14. Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants?
Illegal immigrants...
Fill jobs Americans

wont do
Drive down
Americans wages
Are generally
hard-working people
Have broken the law
and should be
penalized or
deported
Harm national
security
Agree
Disagree
55%
45%
77%
23%
75%
25%
90%
10%
83%
17%
15. If elected, how much change would Hillary Clinton bring to the country?
A big change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%

Some change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .56%
Not much change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
16. If elected, how much change would Bernie Sanders bring to the country?
A big change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

Some change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47%
Not much change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%

South Carolina
17. On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on
which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Immigration
Matters of faith and
religion
Handling ISIS
Same sex marriage
Must agree with you

64%
Okay with some

differences
36%
42%
71%
54%
58%
29%
46%
18. On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on
which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Guns
Healthcare
Campaign Finance
Rights and equality
Handling ISIS
Okay with some

differences
43%
26%
54%
15%
54%
Must agree with you

57%
74%
46%
85%
46%
19. Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin OMalley
Too tough
5%
14%
8%
Too easy
33%
22%
51%
About right
62%
64%
41%

South Carolina
20. Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Invite
49%
60%
46%
50%
33%
34%
33%
Not Invite
51%
40%
54%
50%
67%
66%
67%
21. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
22. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
23. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

South Carolina
24. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
25. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
26. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
27. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
28. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

South Carolina
1. Direction of country
Would you say things in this country today are...
Gender
Generally headed in the right direction
Off on the wrong track
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
29%
62%
9%
35%
57%
8%
24%
66%
11%
23%
60%
18%
30%
61%
9%
29%
63%
8%
30%
62%
8%
18%
74%
8%
58%
26%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,506)
(677)
(830)
(210)
(387)
(623)
(286)
(1,096)
(374)
(18)
(18)

South Carolina
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
78%
9%
7%
2%
3%
1%
85%
5%
5%
1%
3%
2%
72%
11%
9%
3%
2%
2%
60%
9%
21%
4%
3%
2%
72%
9%
11%
4%
3%
1%
82%
9%
2%
1%
3%
3%
88%
6%
3%
1%
1%
0%
76%
9%
8%
3%
3%
1%
85%
8%
3%
0%
1%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,508)
(679)
(829)
(209)
(387)
(625)
(286)
(1,098)
(374)
(16)
(18)

South Carolina
3. 2016 Primary Turnout

In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
35%
8%
19%
36%
42%
8%
13%
39%
28%
9%
24%
38%
22%
16%
25%
38%
26%
8%
28%
40%
37%
8%
15%
34%
51%
4%
11%
23%
46%
9%
22%
84%
2%
4%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,509)
(679)
(830)
(210)
(387)
(625)
(286)
(1,099)
(374)
(18)
(18)

South Carolina
4. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
5%
19%
1%
13%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
1%
35%
0%
3%
16%
1%
15%
1%
0%
4%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
18%
1%
35%
0%
8%
23%
1%
10%
3%
0%
2%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
13%
0%
35%
0%
0%
26%
0%
8%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
7%
0%
0%
28%
5%
23%
0%
5%
19%
0%
15%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
11%
0%
39%
1%
6%
21%
1%
12%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
12%
1%
38%
0%
6%
15%
2%
13%
3%
0%
5%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
19%
0%
32%
0%
5%
19%
1%
13%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
1%
35%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(859)
(438)
(421)
(77)
(163)
(335)
(283)
(832)
(6)
(8)
(11)

South Carolina
5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
72%
2%
25%
1%
62%
1%
36%
0%
79%
3%
17%
1%
71%
0%
28%
1%
84%
2%
13%
1%
62%
8%
29%
1%
57%
1%
42%
0%
82%
3%
14%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(239)
100%
(420)
(109)
(185)
(76)
(166)
(252)
(50)
(1)
(1)

South Carolina
6. Enthusiasm for First Choice

How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
58%
35%
7%
62%
32%
6%
54%
38%
8%
69%
25%
7%
55%
38%
7%
57%
36%
7%
58%
35%
7%
56%
39%
5%
66%
21%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,267)
(617)
(651)
(127)
(271)
(515)
(353)
(989)
(256)
(9)
(11)

South Carolina
7. Favorite Trump Characteristic

Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
Hes not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
29%
43%
1%
26%
0%
23%
42%
0%
36%
0%
36%
45%
3%
16%
0%
34%
22%
5%
39%
0%
23%
49%
1%
28%
0%
36%
45%
0%
19%
0%
28%
44%
1%
27%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(151)
(149)
100%
(299)
(63)
(129)
(89)
(288)
(18)
(1)
(5)
(5)

South Carolina
8. Favorite Carson Characteristic

Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
24%
8%
2%
47%
19%
11%
8%
1%
54%
26%
34%
7%
3%
43%
13%
18%
13%
2%
34%
33%
25%
8%
2%
47%
19%
100%
100%
100%
(94)
100%
(70)
100%
(164)
(20)
(30)
(71)
(43)
(158)
(5)
(0)
(1)

South Carolina
9. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ben Carson

Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
44%
36%
20%
37%
40%
23%
51%
31%
18%
44%
56%
0%
52%
25%
23%
43%
32%
26%
41%
42%
17%
44%
36%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(835)
(420)
(415)
(74)
(161)
(335)
(265)
(809)
(6)
(8)
(11)

South Carolina
10. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Donald Trump

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
52%
35%
12%
51%
37%
13%
53%
34%
12%
33%
67%
0%
55%
33%
12%
54%
31%
15%
53%
34%
13%
52%
36%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(832)
(416)
(416)
(74)
(161)
(337)
(260)
(806)
(6)
(8)
(11)
10

South Carolina
11. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ted Cruz

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
55%
24%
21%
59%
22%
18%
51%
26%
24%
50%
19%
31%
55%
23%
22%
53%
26%
21%
60%
23%
17%
55%
24%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(834)
(416)
(419)
(74)
(161)
(331)
(267)
(808)
(6)
(8)
(11)
11

South Carolina
12. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Marco Rubio

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
49%
30%
21%
54%
32%
15%
45%
29%
26%
70%
16%
13%
32%
37%
31%
47%
32%
21%
56%
28%
16%
49%
30%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(838)
(418)
(420)
(74)
(161)
(336)
(266)
(811)
(6)
(8)
(11)
12

South Carolina
13. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Jeb Bush

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
44%
16%
40%
46%
14%
40%
43%
17%
49%
47%
3%
22%
55%
22%
41%
40%
19%
47%
42%
11%
41%
43%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(830)
(413)
(417)
(74)
(160)
(334)
(262)
(804)
(6)
(8)
(11)
13

South Carolina
14. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Hillary Clinton

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
88%
7%
5%
87%
5%
9%
88%
8%
3%
95%
4%
1%
92%
3%
4%
85%
9%
6%
85%
10%
5%
89%
5%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(236)
100%
(413)
(108)
(182)
(73)
(163)
(247)
(50)
(1)
(1)
14

South Carolina
15. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Bernie Sanders

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
48%
32%
20%
56%
33%
11%
41%
32%
27%
51%
27%
23%
41%
43%
16%
44%
34%
22%
68%
23%
9%
34%
38%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(224)
100%
(401)
(102)
(179)
(69)
(158)
(241)
(50)
(1)
(1)
15

South Carolina
16. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Martin OMalley

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
17%
42%
41%
28%
46%
26%
9%
39%
52%
17%
39%
44%
10%
51%
38%
27%
32%
41%
29%
43%
28%
10%
41%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(174)
(223)
100%
(397)
(99)
(179)
(68)
(153)
(241)
(50)
(1)
(1)
16

South Carolina
17. Confidence in Candidate Choice

If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could actually do the things theyre talking about?
Gender
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
43%
6%
51%
43%
5%
51%
42%
6%
64%
35%
0%
57%
39%
4%
49%
44%
7%
45%
47%
8%
49%
46%
5%
59%
32%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,272)
(616)
(656)
(127)
(270)
(518)
(357)
(994)
(256)
(9)
(11)
17

South Carolina
18. Paris Attacks Effect on Vote

How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to support for President in 2016?
Gender
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
18%
24%
40%
17%
17%
24%
42%
18%
19%
25%
38%
13%
16%
33%
38%
23%
18%
20%
39%
17%
19%
26%
38%
17%
18%
22%
43%
18%
18%
26%
37%
14%
17%
18%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,281)
(617)
(663)
(128)
(272)
(521)
(359)
(1,000)
(258)
(9)
(12)
18

South Carolina
19. Troops to Fight ISIS

Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Gender
Favor
Oppose
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
79%
21%
82%
18%
75%
25%
77%
23%
82%
18%
81%
19%
74%
26%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(851)
(435)
(416)
(77)
(163)
(329)
(281)
(825)
(6)
(8)
(11)
19

South Carolina
20. Agree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Gender
Fill jobs Americans wont do
Drive down Americans wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
55%
77%
75%
90%
83%
55%
76%
78%
88%
78%
53%
76%
69%
90%
87%
49%
79%
85%
94%
86%
61%
78%
84%
86%
81%
50%
77%
69%
90%
83%
56%
73%
70%
89%
81%
55%
76%
74%
89%
82%
(862)
(438)
(424)
(77)
(163)
(338)
(283)
(836)
(6)
(8)
(11)
20

South Carolina
21. Disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Gender
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
23%
25%
10%
17%
43%
23%
19%
12%
21%
45%
22%
30%
9%
12%
51%
21%
15%
6%
14%
38%
22%
16%
13%
18%
47%
21%
29%
10%
16%
42%
26%
27%
11%
17%
43%
23%
25%
10%
17%
(862)
(438)
(424)
(77)
(163)
(338)
(283)
(836)
(6)
(8)
(11)
21

South Carolina
22. Clinton Change

If elected, how much change would Hillary Clinton bring to the country?
Gender
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
29%
56%
15%
26%
54%
20%
32%
57%
11%
37%
49%
14%
27%
63%
11%
17%
63%
21%
18%
57%
25%
37%
56%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(240)
100%
(420)
(109)
(185)
(76)
(166)
(252)
(50)
(1)
(1)
22

South Carolina
23. Sanders Change

If elected, how much change would Bernie Sanders bring to the country?
Gender
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
28%
47%
25%
41%
38%
21%
18%
53%
29%
36%
41%
23%
21%
46%
33%
23%
50%
28%
45%
36%
18%
16%
53%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(236)
100%
(416)
(108)
(182)
(75)
(166)
(249)
(50)
(1)
(1)
23

South Carolina
24. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Immigration

On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
64%
36%
63%
37%
65%
35%
46%
54%
59%
41%
68%
32%
67%
33%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(852)
(437)
(415)
(77)
(160)
(336)
(278)
(826)
(6)
(8)
(11)
24

South Carolina
25. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Matters of faith and religion

Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
42%
58%
44%
56%
40%
60%
31%
69%
52%
48%
43%
57%
38%
62%
41%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(853)
(433)
(421)
(77)
(163)
(336)
(277)
(828)
(6)
(8)
(10)
25

South Carolina
26. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS

Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
71%
29%
66%
34%
75%
25%
51%
49%
67%
33%
74%
26%
74%
26%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(849)
(434)
(415)
(77)
(160)
(335)
(276)
(823)
(6)
(8)
(11)
26

South Carolina
27. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Same sex marriage

Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
54%
46%
56%
44%
52%
48%
42%
58%
60%
40%
54%
46%
54%
46%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(849)
(433)
(416)
(77)
(160)
(336)
(275)
(823)
(6)
(8)
(10)
27

South Carolina
28. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Guns

Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
43%
52%
48%
60%
40%
46%
54%
63%
37%
60%
40%
46%
54%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(229)
100%
(408)
(103)
(180)
(74)
(166)
(240)
(50)
(1)
(1)
28

South Carolina
29. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Healthcare

Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
74%
26%
73%
27%
75%
25%
66%
34%
81%
19%
76%
24%
68%
32%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(237)
100%
(415)
(107)
(183)
(74)
(166)
(247)
(50)
(1)
(1)
29

South Carolina
30. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Campaign Finance

Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
46%
54%
54%
46%
41%
59%
58%
42%
43%
57%
47%
53%
63%
37%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(232)
100%
(412)
(105)
(180)
(76)
(166)
(244)
(50)
(1)
(1)
30

South Carolina
31. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Rights and equality

Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
85%
15%
86%
14%
85%
15%
93%
7%
88%
12%
77%
23%
82%
18%
88%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(226)
100%
(405)
(104)
(176)
(74)
(165)
(238)
(50)
(1)
(1)
31

South Carolina
32. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS

Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
46%
54%
39%
61%
51%
49%
51%
49%
46%
54%
37%
63%
38%
62%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(231)
100%
(410)
(104)
(180)
(75)
(165)
(242)
(50)
(1)
(1)
32

South Carolina
33. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Hillary Clinton

Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
5%
33%
62%
2%
44%
54%
7%
25%
68%
8%
32%
60%
5%
22%
73%
3%
50%
47%
1%
51%
49%
8%
21%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(227)
100%
(408)
(108)
(177)
(73)
(163)
(242)
(50)
(1)
(1)
33

South Carolina
34. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Bernie Sanders

Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
22%
64%
14%
23%
64%
14%
22%
64%
6%
20%
74%
19%
27%
54%
21%
28%
51%
13%
12%
75%
15%
29%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(223)
100%
(403)
(103)
(178)
(72)
(164)
(237)
(50)
(1)
(1)
34

South Carolina
35. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Martin OMalley

Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
8%
51%
41%
4%
53%
43%
11%
49%
40%
2%
59%
39%
13%
45%
41%
5%
49%
45%
3%
45%
53%
11%
55%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(176)
(221)
100%
(397)
(101)
(178)
(69)
(155)
(240)
(49)
(1)
(1)
35

South Carolina
36. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Donald Trump

Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
49%
51%
52%
48%
46%
54%
30%
70%
52%
48%
47%
53%
58%
42%
57%
43%
16%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,221)
(597)
(624)
(124)
(264)
(503)
(330)
(955)
(245)
(9)
(10)
36

South Carolina
37. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Ben Carson

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
60%
40%
62%
38%
59%
41%
57%
43%
58%
42%
58%
42%
68%
32%
68%
32%
27%
73%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,227)
(592)
(636)
(128)
(270)
(500)
(329)
(969)
(238)
(9)
(10)
37

South Carolina
38. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Ted Cruz

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
46%
54%
49%
51%
43%
57%
42%
58%
41%
59%
42%
58%
59%
41%
55%
45%
11%
89%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,216)
(594)
(623)
(128)
(263)
(496)
(330)
(949)
(246)
(9)
(10)
38

South Carolina
39. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Marco Rubio

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
50%
52%
48%
47%
53%
47%
53%
38%
62%
46%
54%
64%
36%
60%
40%
9%
91%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,227)
(598)
(629)
(128)
(261)
(507)
(332)
(964)
(243)
(9)
(10)
39

South Carolina
40. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Jeb Bush

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
67%
34%
66%
33%
67%
42%
58%
19%
81%
35%
65%
38%
62%
38%
62%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,209)
(588)
(621)
(127)
(263)
(493)
(326)
(945)
(243)
(9)
(10)
40

South Carolina
41. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Hillary Clinton

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
34%
66%
32%
68%
36%
64%
31%
69%
42%
58%
37%
63%
25%
75%
19%
81%
91%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,197)
(583)
(614)
(124)
(266)
(496)
(311)
(930)
(247)
(9)
(10)
41

South Carolina
42. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Bernie Sanders

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
67%
37%
63%
30%
70%
44%
56%
33%
67%
36%
64%
26%
74%
27%
73%
59%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,203)
(579)
(624)
(124)
(264)
(498)
(316)
(929)
(253)
(9)
(10)
42

South Carolina Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
862 Likely Republican Primary Voters

5.4%
1. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
5%
19%
1%
13%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
1%
35%
0%
7%
18%
0%
19%
1%
0%
2%
3%
0%
0%
0%
1%
9%
2%
39%
0%
5%
24%
1%
14%
3%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%
19%
0%
28%
0%
3%
15%
1%
2%
3%
0%
9%
0%
0%
9%
0%
1%
16%
0%
40%
0%
2%
16%
1%
22%
3%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
12%
0%
42%
0%
8%
20%
1%
7%
2%
0%
5%
2%
0%
4%
0%
1%
18%
1%
30%
0%
6%
25%
0%
15%
1%
0%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
13%
1%
32%
0%
3%
8%
3%
10%
5%
0%
6%
0%
0%
5%
0%
2%
18%
0%
40%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(859)
(273)
(362)
(152)
(333)
(483)
(554)
(234)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
5%
19%
1%
13%
2%
0%
3%
16%
1%
15%
1%
0%
8%
23%
1%
10%
3%
0%
0%
26%
0%
8%
0%
0%
5%
19%
0%
15%
1%
0%
6%
21%
1%
12%
2%
0%
6%
15%
2%
13%
3%
0%
6%
21%
1%
12%
2%
0%
5%
18%
1%
17%
4%
0%
continued on the next page . . .

continued from previous page

Age group
Gender
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
1%
35%
0%
4%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
18%
1%
35%
0%
2%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
13%
0%
35%
0%
0%
3%
0%
7%
0%
0%
28%
5%
23%
0%
2%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
11%
0%
39%
1%
3%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
12%
1%
38%
0%
5%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
19%
0%
32%
0%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
18%
1%
33%
0%
0%
1%
1%
2%
0%
2%
11%
0%
39%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(859)
(438)
(421)
(77)
(163)
(335)
(283)
(617)
(199)


Ideology
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
55%
39%
6%
59%
37%
4%
58%
38%
4%
50%
39%
11%
64%
32%
4%
50%
44%
6%
58%
38%
4%
50%
43%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(850)
(271)
(357)
(152)
(331)
(477)
(546)
(233)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Tea Party
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
55%
39%
6%
57%
37%
6%
52%
42%
6%
70%
22%
8%
49%
43%
8%
51%
44%
5%
58%
37%
5%
54%
40%
6%
54%
41%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(850)
(437)
(414)
(77)
(162)
(332)
(279)
(613)
(195)

3. Favorite Trump Characteristic

Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
29%
43%
1%
26%
0%
36%
45%
0%
18%
0%
24%
42%
3%
31%
0%
22%
51%
2%
26%
0%
28%
50%
1%
21%
0%
33%
37%
2%
28%
0%
33%
41%
2%
24%
0%
28%
45%
1%
25%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(299)
(108)
(100)
(60)
(140)
(144)
(178)
(91)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
29%
43%
1%
26%
0%
23%
42%
0%
36%
0%
36%
45%
3%
16%
0%
34%
22%
5%
39%
0%
23%
49%
1%
28%
0%
36%
45%
0%
19%
0%
32%
37%
2%
29%
0%
23%
58%
0%
19%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(151)
(149)
100%
(299)
(63)
(129)
(89)
(202)
(78)
(18)

4. Favorite Carson Characteristic

Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
24%
8%
2%
47%
19%
24%
10%
1%
50%
15%
29%
17%
2%
35%
16%
22%
3%
2%
56%
16%
24%
6%
1%
48%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(54)
(97)
(135)
100%
(164)
(48)
(86)
(21)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Age group
(19)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
24%
8%
2%
47%
19%
11%
8%
1%
54%
26%
34%
7%
3%
43%
13%
18%
13%
2%
34%
33%
27%
6%
2%
48%
17%
100%
100%
100%
(94)
100%
(70)
100%
(164)
(20)
(30)
(71)
(43)
(125)
(35)

5. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ben Carson

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
44%
36%
20%
48%
27%
25%
47%
36%
17%
34%
48%
18%
50%
29%
21%
39%
40%
21%
50%
30%
20%
33%
48%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(835)
(272)
(349)
(147)
(323)
(471)
(540)
(226)
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
44%
36%
20%
37%
40%
23%
51%
31%
18%
44%
56%
0%
52%
25%
23%
43%
32%
26%
41%
42%
17%
46%
33%
21%
41%
40%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(835)
(420)
(415)
(74)
(161)
(335)
(265)
(602)
(190)

6. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Donald Trump

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
52%
35%
12%
62%
27%
11%
47%
38%
15%
46%
46%
8%
64%
25%
11%
44%
42%
14%
52%
34%
14%
53%
38%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(832)
(271)
(344)
(146)
(324)
(466)
(534)
(228)
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
52%
35%
12%
51%
37%
13%
53%
34%
12%
33%
67%
0%
55%
33%
12%
54%
31%
15%
53%
34%
13%
51%
36%
13%
56%
32%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(832)
(416)
(416)
(74)
(161)
(337)
(260)
(598)
(191)

7. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ted Cruz

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
55%
24%
21%
65%
17%
18%
61%
17%
22%
30%
48%
22%
81%
10%
9%
39%
33%
28%
58%
19%
22%
54%
31%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(834)
(273)
(345)
(148)
(324)
(469)
(541)
(224)
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
55%
24%
21%
59%
22%
18%
51%
26%
24%
50%
19%
31%
55%
23%
22%
53%
26%
21%
60%
23%
17%
55%
19%
26%
60%
30%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(834)
(416)
(419)
(74)
(161)
(331)
(267)
(599)
(192)

8. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Marco Rubio

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
49%
30%
21%
42%
36%
22%
57%
22%
21%
43%
40%
18%
47%
34%
20%
50%
28%
22%
48%
30%
21%
51%
29%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(838)
(272)
(346)
(151)
(322)
(473)
(539)
(230)
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
49%
30%
21%
54%
32%
15%
45%
29%
26%
70%
16%
13%
32%
37%
31%
47%
32%
21%
56%
28%
16%
52%
27%
21%
49%
31%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(838)
(418)
(420)
(74)
(161)
(336)
(266)
(597)
(198)

9. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Jeb Bush

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
40%
44%
16%
31%
50%
19%
46%
41%
13%
46%
43%
11%
26%
54%
20%
49%
38%
13%
38%
45%
17%
44%
42%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(830)
(272)
(343)
(148)
(320)
(470)
(536)
(226)
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
40%
44%
16%
40%
46%
14%
40%
43%
17%
49%
47%
3%
22%
55%
22%
41%
40%
19%
47%
42%
11%
42%
40%
17%
35%
53%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(830)
(413)
(417)
(74)
(160)
(334)
(262)
(593)
(195)
10


Ideology
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
50%
45%
5%
59%
38%
2%
48%
46%
5%
44%
49%
8%
62%
36%
2%
44%
50%
7%
54%
43%
3%
43%
50%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(855)
(273)
(360)
(152)
(333)
(480)
(552)
(233)
Gender
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Tea Party
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
50%
45%
5%
49%
46%
4%
51%
44%
5%
69%
31%
0%
52%
44%
4%
47%
48%
5%
47%
48%
6%
51%
46%
3%
44%
48%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(855)
(436)
(419)
(77)
(162)
(334)
(282)
(615)
(198)
11


Ideology
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
20%
19%
27%
34%
17%
15%
25%
43%
19%
24%
29%
28%
28%
18%
21%
34%
21%
18%
21%
40%
19%
20%
33%
28%
19%
16%
30%
35%
19%
27%
23%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(861)
(275)
(363)
(152)
(334)
(485)
(556)
(234)
Gender
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Tea Party
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
20%
19%
27%
34%
17%
20%
26%
38%
22%
18%
29%
31%
13%
18%
40%
29%
24%
16%
24%
35%
19%
18%
28%
34%
19%
21%
24%
36%
17%
20%
29%
34%
25%
16%
25%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(861)
(437)
(424)
(77)
(163)
(337)
(283)
(619)
(199)
12

12. Troops to Fight ISIS

Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Ideology
Favor
Oppose
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
79%
21%
79%
21%
83%
17%
65%
35%
83%
17%
75%
25%
78%
22%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(851)
(269)
(362)
(150)
(332)
(477)
(549)
(232)
Gender
Favor
Oppose
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
79%
21%
82%
18%
75%
25%
77%
23%
82%
18%
81%
19%
74%
26%
81%
19%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(851)
(435)
(416)
(77)
(163)
(329)
(281)
(611)
(199)
13

13. Agree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Ideology
(Weighted N)
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
55%
77%
75%
90%
83%
46%
88%
75%
94%
88%
58%
75%
70%
88%
86%
59%
59%
81%
81%
69%
45%
85%
72%
95%
90%
61%
70%
75%
84%
77%
54%
81%
76%
92%
86%
55%
63%
72%
81%
74%
(862)
(275)
(363)
(153)
(334)
(486)
(556)
(234)
Gender
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
55%
77%
75%
90%
83%
55%
76%
78%
88%
78%
53%
76%
69%
90%
87%
49%
79%
85%
94%
86%
61%
78%
84%
86%
81%
50%
77%
69%
90%
83%
56%
73%
70%
89%
81%
59%
79%
75%
90%
83%
41%
73%
71%
90%
84%
(862)
(438)
(424)
(77)
(163)
(338)
(283)
(620)
(199)
14

14. Disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Ideology
(Weighted N)
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
45%
23%
25%
10%
17%
52%
11%
23%
6%
11%
40%
23%
28%
12%
13%
41%
40%
18%
16%
30%
52%
14%
25%
5%
9%
38%
29%
24%
15%
21%
44%
18%
23%
7%
13%
43%
36%
27%
19%
26%
(862)
(275)
(363)
(153)
(334)
(486)
(556)
(234)
Gender
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
45%
23%
25%
10%
17%
43%
23%
19%
12%
21%
45%
22%
30%
9%
12%
51%
21%
15%
6%
14%
38%
22%
16%
13%
18%
47%
21%
29%
10%
16%
42%
26%
27%
11%
17%
39%
20%
23%
9%
16%
58%
26%
28%
9%
15%
(862)
(438)
(424)
(77)
(163)
(338)
(283)
(620)
(199)
15

15. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Immigration

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
64%
36%
72%
28%
65%
35%
46%
54%
76%
24%
57%
43%
63%
37%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(852)
(273)
(359)
(149)
(334)
(476)
(549)
(231)
Gender
Must agree with you
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
64%
36%
63%
37%
65%
35%
46%
54%
59%
41%
68%
32%
67%
33%
63%
37%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(852)
(437)
(415)
(77)
(160)
(336)
(278)
(615)
(194)
16

16. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Matters of faith and religion

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
42%
58%
56%
44%
42%
58%
18%
82%
44%
56%
41%
59%
54%
46%
18%
82%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(853)
(274)
(360)
(149)
(332)
(480)
(552)
(230)
Gender
Must agree with you
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
42%
58%
44%
56%
40%
60%
31%
69%
52%
48%
43%
57%
38%
62%
45%
55%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(853)
(433)
(421)
(77)
(163)
(336)
(277)
(616)
(196)
17

17. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
71%
29%
75%
25%
67%
33%
68%
32%
82%
18%
64%
36%
69%
31%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(849)
(275)
(358)
(146)
(333)
(475)
(550)
(228)
Gender
Must agree with you
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
71%
29%
66%
34%
75%
25%
51%
49%
67%
33%
74%
26%
74%
26%
73%
27%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(849)
(434)
(415)
(77)
(160)
(335)
(276)
(614)
(193)
18

18. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Same sex marriage

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
54%
46%
72%
28%
54%
46%
25%
75%
60%
40%
50%
50%
67%
33%
28%
72%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(849)
(273)
(356)
(149)
(331)
(476)
(548)
(230)
Gender
Must agree with you
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
54%
46%
56%
44%
52%
48%
42%
58%
60%
40%
54%
46%
54%
46%
57%
43%
48%
52%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(849)
(433)
(416)
(77)
(160)
(336)
(275)
(613)
(194)
19


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
66%
34%
73%
27%
63%
37%
63%
37%
76%
24%
61%
39%
66%
34%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(821)
(269)
(340)
(143)
(320)
(460)
(533)
(222)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
66%
34%
69%
31%
64%
36%
48%
52%
68%
32%
67%
33%
70%
30%
66%
34%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(821)
(422)
(399)
(74)
(158)
(327)
(263)
(591)
(188)
20


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
80%
20%
83%
17%
85%
15%
65%
35%
89%
11%
73%
27%
83%
17%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(834)
(267)
(353)
(144)
(324)
(468)
(537)
(227)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
80%
20%
80%
20%
80%
20%
79%
21%
79%
21%
78%
22%
83%
17%
82%
18%
80%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(834)
(423)
(411)
(77)
(163)
(332)
(262)
(600)
(191)
21


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
66%
34%
78%
22%
70%
30%
39%
61%
83%
17%
54%
46%
69%
31%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(816)
(271)
(343)
(140)
(316)
(458)
(526)
(219)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
66%
34%
69%
31%
62%
38%
63%
37%
63%
37%
62%
38%
72%
28%
68%
32%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(816)
(419)
(397)
(77)
(158)
(317)
(264)
(583)
(189)
22


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
67%
33%
64%
36%
75%
25%
51%
49%
65%
35%
68%
32%
66%
34%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(831)
(269)
(349)
(144)
(319)
(471)
(536)
(226)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
67%
33%
68%
32%
66%
34%
72%
28%
48%
52%
68%
32%
77%
23%
70%
30%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(831)
(425)
(406)
(77)
(156)
(331)
(267)
(593)
(195)
23


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
41%
59%
40%
60%
44%
56%
37%
63%
34%
66%
45%
55%
40%
60%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(809)
(265)
(343)
(140)
(310)
(459)
(515)
(224)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
41%
59%
41%
59%
42%
58%
44%
56%
26%
74%
46%
54%
44%
56%
47%
53%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(809)
(411)
(398)
(77)
(158)
(317)
(258)
(580)
(186)
24


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
7%
93%
3%
97%
6%
94%
18%
82%
3%
97%
10%
90%
5%
95%
12%
88%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(792)
(265)
(331)
(140)
(301)
(451)
(510)
(214)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
7%
93%
8%
92%
6%
94%
1%
99%
10%
90%
5%
95%
10%
90%
5%
95%
9%
91%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(792)
(405)
(387)
(74)
(158)
(315)
(245)
(562)
(187)
25


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
14%
86%
7%
93%
12%
88%
33%
67%
5%
95%
20%
80%
12%
88%
18%
82%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(791)
(261)
(330)
(138)
(297)
(453)
(505)
(218)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
14%
86%
19%
81%
10%
90%
12%
88%
12%
88%
15%
85%
15%
85%
13%
87%
14%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(791)
(400)
(391)
(74)
(157)
(316)
(243)
(562)
(187)
26

South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
420 Likely Democratic Primary Voters

8.7%
1. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
72%
2%
25%
1%
58%
0%
42%
0%
68%
1%
30%
1%
70%
4%
25%
1%
57%
1%
42%
0%
82%
3%
14%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(420)
(62)
(116)
(161)
(166)
(252)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
72%
2%
25%
1%
62%
1%
36%
0%
79%
3%
17%
1%
71%
0%
28%
1%
84%
2%
13%
1%
62%
8%
29%
1%
79%
3%
17%
1%
37%
0%
62%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(239)
100%
(420)
(109)
(185)
(76)
(325)
(63)
(50)


Ideology
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
65%
26%
9%
88%
12%
1%
73%
23%
4%
62%
29%
9%
64%
33%
2%
65%
22%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(417)
(62)
(115)
(160)
(165)
(250)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
65%
26%
9%
74%
20%
7%
58%
31%
11%
64%
30%
5%
67%
22%
12%
59%
30%
11%
64%
25%
10%
61%
33%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(237)
100%
(417)
(108)
(184)
(75)
(323)
(62)
(50)

3. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
88%
7%
5%
87%
11%
2%
92%
4%
4%
84%
8%
7%
85%
10%
5%
89%
5%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(413)
(63)
(114)
(158)
(163)
(247)
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
88%
7%
5%
87%
5%
9%
88%
8%
3%
95%
4%
1%
92%
3%
4%
85%
9%
6%
92%
6%
2%
64%
11%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(236)
100%
(413)
(108)
(182)
(73)
(321)
(61)
(50)

4. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
48%
32%
20%
61%
31%
8%
59%
25%
16%
45%
34%
21%
68%
23%
9%
34%
38%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(401)
(62)
(112)
(154)
(158)
(241)
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
48%
32%
20%
56%
33%
11%
41%
32%
27%
51%
27%
23%
41%
43%
16%
44%
34%
22%
45%
33%
22%
70%
14%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(224)
100%
(401)
(102)
(179)
(69)
(309)
(61)
(50)

5. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Martin OMalley

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
17%
42%
41%
33%
40%
27%
17%
44%
40%
17%
34%
49%
29%
43%
28%
10%
41%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(397)
(62)
(110)
(151)
(153)
(241)
Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
17%
42%
41%
28%
46%
26%
9%
39%
52%
17%
39%
44%
10%
51%
38%
27%
32%
41%
15%
41%
44%
37%
25%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(174)
(223)
100%
(397)
(99)
(179)
(68)
(307)
(59)
(50)


Ideology
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
54%
38%
8%
62%
28%
10%
52%
44%
4%
57%
32%
11%
47%
46%
7%
59%
32%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(417)
(62)
(115)
(160)
(165)
(250)
Gender
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
54%
38%
8%
56%
37%
8%
53%
38%
9%
65%
31%
5%
53%
37%
10%
40%
45%
15%
54%
39%
8%
39%
49%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(237)
100%
(417)
(108)
(184)
(75)
(323)
(62)
(50)


Ideology
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
14%
17%
19%
50%
19%
9%
8%
64%
13%
19%
18%
50%
14%
13%
21%
52%
14%
15%
20%
52%
14%
18%
19%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(419)
(63)
(115)
(161)
(165)
(252)
Gender
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
14%
17%
19%
50%
17%
11%
21%
51%
11%
21%
18%
50%
21%
21%
13%
46%
12%
19%
23%
46%
10%
6%
17%
67%
17%
18%
16%
49%
5%
9%
17%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(239)
100%
(419)
(109)
(184)
(76)
(325)
(63)
(50)

8. Clinton Change
If elected, how much change would Hillary Clinton bring to the country?
Ideology
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
29%
56%
15%
33%
42%
25%
23%
59%
18%
27%
62%
11%
18%
57%
25%
37%
56%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(420)
(62)
(116)
(161)
(166)
(252)
Gender
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
29%
56%
15%
26%
54%
20%
32%
57%
11%
37%
49%
14%
27%
63%
11%
17%
63%
21%
36%
53%
11%
9%
59%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(240)
100%
(420)
(109)
(185)
(76)
(325)
(63)
(50)

9. Sanders Change
If elected, how much change would Bernie Sanders bring to the country?
Ideology
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
28%
47%
25%
44%
35%
20%
35%
55%
9%
23%
47%
30%
45%
36%
18%
16%
53%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(416)
(63)
(115)
(161)
(166)
(249)
Gender
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
28%
47%
25%
41%
38%
21%
18%
53%
29%
36%
41%
23%
21%
46%
33%
23%
50%
28%
26%
49%
25%
39%
50%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(236)
100%
(416)
(108)
(182)
(75)
(322)
(63)
(50)

10. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Guns

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
57%
43%
59%
41%
47%
53%
57%
43%
46%
54%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(408)
(63)
(112)
(159)
(166)
(240)
Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
57%
43%
52%
48%
60%
40%
46%
54%
63%
37%
60%
40%
58%
42%
43%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(229)
100%
(408)
(103)
(180)
(74)
(313)
(63)
(50)
10

11. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Healthcare

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
74%
26%
86%
14%
71%
29%
72%
28%
68%
32%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(415)
(63)
(114)
(161)
(166)
(247)
Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
74%
26%
73%
27%
75%
25%
66%
34%
81%
19%
76%
24%
75%
25%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(237)
100%
(415)
(107)
(183)
(74)
(321)
(62)
(50)
11

12. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Campaign Finance

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
46%
54%
75%
25%
44%
56%
36%
64%
63%
37%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(412)
(63)
(116)
(159)
(166)
(244)
Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
54%
54%
46%
41%
59%
58%
42%
43%
57%
47%
53%
48%
52%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(232)
100%
(412)
(105)
(180)
(76)
(317)
(63)
(50)
12

13. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Rights and equality

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
85%
15%
96%
4%
85%
15%
85%
15%
82%
18%
88%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(405)
(62)
(114)
(154)
(165)
(238)
Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
85%
15%
86%
14%
85%
15%
93%
7%
88%
12%
77%
23%
86%
14%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(226)
100%
(405)
(104)
(176)
(74)
(312)
(61)
(50)
13

14. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS

Ideology
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
46%
54%
47%
53%
42%
58%
42%
58%
38%
62%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(410)
(63)
(114)
(158)
(165)
(242)
Gender
Must agree with you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
54%
39%
61%
51%
49%
51%
49%
46%
54%
37%
63%
52%
48%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(231)
100%
(410)
(104)
(180)
(75)
(316)
(62)
(50)
14

15. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
5%
33%
62%
0%
50%
50%
2%
35%
64%
3%
33%
64%
1%
51%
49%
8%
21%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(408)
(63)
(114)
(160)
(163)
(242)
Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
5%
33%
62%
2%
44%
54%
7%
25%
68%
8%
32%
60%
5%
22%
73%
3%
50%
47%
6%
26%
69%
1%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(227)
100%
(408)
(108)
(177)
(73)
(317)
(59)
(50)
15

16. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
14%
22%
64%
6%
18%
76%
18%
10%
72%
15%
29%
56%
13%
12%
75%
15%
29%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(403)
(63)
(114)
(159)
(164)
(237)
Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
14%
22%
64%
14%
23%
64%
14%
22%
64%
6%
20%
74%
19%
27%
54%
21%
28%
51%
17%
22%
61%
7%
10%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(223)
100%
(403)
(103)
(178)
(72)
(312)
(60)
(50)
16

17. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Martin OMalley

Ideology
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
8%
51%
41%
4%
48%
48%
8%
41%
51%
7%
60%
33%
3%
45%
53%
11%
55%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(397)
(62)
(110)
(156)
(155)
(240)
Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
8%
51%
41%
4%
53%
43%
11%
49%
40%
2%
59%
39%
13%
45%
41%
5%
49%
45%
9%
46%
45%
6%
61%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(176)
(221)
100%
(397)
(101)
(178)
(69)
(310)
(56)
(49)
17


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
13%
87%
8%
92%
7%
93%
20%
80%
11%
89%
14%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(400)
(61)
(107)
(155)
(159)
(239)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
13%
87%
13%
87%
14%
86%
27%
73%
9%
91%
7%
93%
14%
86%
8%
92%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(175)
(225)
100%
(400)
(107)
(176)
(67)
(306)
(61)
(50)
18


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
19%
81%
9%
91%
10%
90%
22%
78%
10%
90%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(393)
(54)
(107)
(155)
(160)
(232)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
19%
81%
17%
83%
20%
80%
26%
74%
17%
83%
8%
92%
23%
77%
5%
95%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(168)
(225)
100%
(393)
(107)
(169)
(67)
(299)
(62)
(50)
19


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
7%
93%
4%
96%
3%
97%
6%
94%
3%
97%
10%
90%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(401)
(61)
(107)
(155)
(159)
(240)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
7%
93%
3%
97%
10%
90%
8%
92%
7%
93%
5%
95%
9%
91%
1%
99%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(175)
(226)
100%
(401)
(105)
(179)
(67)
(307)
(62)
(50)
20


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
12%
88%
16%
84%
23%
77%
5%
95%
20%
80%
7%
93%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(396)
(61)
(107)
(155)
(157)
(237)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
12%
88%
12%
88%
12%
88%
24%
76%
6%
94%
12%
88%
13%
87%
14%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(173)
(223)
100%
(396)
(105)
(176)
(65)
(302)
(62)
(50)
21


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
17%
83%
23%
77%
15%
85%
10%
90%
22%
78%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(399)
(62)
(107)
(155)
(161)
(237)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
17%
83%
17%
83%
17%
83%
9%
91%
15%
85%
16%
84%
15%
85%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(176)
(223)
100%
(399)
(105)
(176)
(68)
(305)
(62)
(50)
22


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
87%
13%
82%
18%
87%
13%
92%
8%
77%
23%
93%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(405)
(61)
(115)
(152)
(162)
(241)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
87%
13%
85%
15%
88%
12%
90%
10%
91%
9%
79%
21%
90%
10%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(228)
100%
(405)
(109)
(180)
(65)
(311)
(62)
(50)
23


Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
70%
30%
84%
16%
87%
13%
67%
33%
85%
15%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(412)
(63)
(114)
(158)
(163)
(247)
Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
70%
30%
78%
22%
64%
36%
64%
36%
72%
28%
61%
39%
71%
29%
83%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(233)
100%
(412)
(107)
(182)
(73)
(317)
(62)
(50)
24

CBS News November Battleground Tracker South Carolina

Uploaded by

Document Information

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

CBS News November Battleground Tracker South Carolina

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

1509 Registered Voters

1. Would you say things in this country today are...

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .72%

Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

His outlook for America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%

His outlook for America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Very confident he/she could do them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Fill jobs Americans

A big change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%

A big change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Must agree with you

Okay with some

Okay with some

Must agree with you

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

21. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

22. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

25. Are you male or female?

27. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

28. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

3. 2016 Primary Turnout

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

4. First Choice Republican Candidate

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

6. Enthusiasm for First Choice

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

7. Favorite Trump Characteristic

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

8. Favorite Carson Characteristic

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

9. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ben Carson

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

10. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Donald Trump

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

11. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ted Cruz

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

12. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Marco Rubio

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

13. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Jeb Bush

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

14. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Hillary Clinton

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

15. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Bernie Sanders

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

16. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Martin OMalley

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

17. Confidence in Candidate Choice

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

18. Paris Attacks Effect on Vote

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

19. Troops to Fight ISIS

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker