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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

New York
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

2050 Registered Voters


April 13-15, 2016

3.3%

1. How would you rate the condition of the economy in New York today?
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New York?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%


John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6%

5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53%


Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

8. Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally
been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

It has been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%


It has NOT been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
9. As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in
the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but Trump still has more
delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans
should do at the convention this summer?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Select Trump, because hell still have more delegates than any other candidate
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Let Trump, Cruz and Kasich fight for delegate support at the convention to
decide the winner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Turn to someone new who isnt running right now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%

10. Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...


Asked of Republican primary voters

Electable in
november
Understanding of
people like you
Effective at getting
things done
Authentic
Conservative
Optimistic

Donald Trump

Ted Cruz

John Kasich

57%

17%

26%

53%

20%

27%

63%
51%
22%
51%

15%
21%
62%
17%

21%
28%
16%
32%

11. If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Jobs and the economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
Immigration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Faith and values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

12. Do you agree or disagree with the following: We need a President who will do whatever it
takes to stop terrorism, including things that might restrict some peoples civil liberties
Asked of Republican primary voters

Agree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .70%
Disagree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
13. Do you think the Republican partys platform on same-sex marriage should:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Oppose same-sex marriages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%


Accept same-sex marriages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not comment on same-sex marriage either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%

14. The next Republican President needs to:


Asked of Republican primary voters

Stand up to Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%


Negotiate with Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%

15. If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the
General election campaign this fall?
Asked of Republican primary voters

He will continue to be as outspoken as he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66%


He will be less outspoken than he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
He will become more outspoken than he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

16. For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Your own financial


outlook
Your ability to
practice your faith as
you wish
Your freedom to say
and do what you
want
Your feeling of safety
from terrorism

More secure

Staying the
same

Less secure

9%

40%

51%

7%

52%

40%

7%

33%

59%

7%

29%

64%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
17. Do you think of your vote as mainly supporting...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

An individual candidate for President that you like . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%


A larger movement that youre a part of . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%

18. Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally
been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

It has been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70%


It has NOT been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%

19. As you may know, the Democratic party uses delegates that are chosen in primaries and
caucuses, and also "superdelegates" who are party leaders and Democratic elected officials.
How much say do you feel these superdelegates should have in choosing the nominee?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
None at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%

20. Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Electable in
november
Understanding of
people like you
Effective at getting
things done
Authentic
Specific about their
policy ideas
Honest and
trustworthy

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

67%

33%

46%

54%

66%
37%

34%
63%

61%

39%

38%

62%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
21. Do you think Bernie Sanders has been too critical of Hillary Clinton, not critical enough, or
has his approach been about right?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Too critical . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%


Not critical enough . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
About right . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47%

22. Do you think Hillary Clinton has been too critical of Bernie Sanders, not critical enough, or
has her approach been about right?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Too critical . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%


Not critical enough . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
About right . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .56%

23. If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Jobs and the economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Wall street reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Rights and equality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Criminal justice and sentencing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

24. For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Your own financial


outlook
Your ability to
practice your faith as
you wish
Your freedom to say
and do what you
want
Your feeling of safety
from terrorism

More secure

Staying the
same

Less secure

17%

58%

26%

16%

70%

13%

13%

60%

26%

14%

61%

25%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
25. Does Bill Clintons involvement in Hillary Clintons Presidential campaign make you...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

More likely to support Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%


Less likely to support Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
It doesnt make a difference to you . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%

26. Who do you think would do a better job on...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Improving race
relations in America
Health care
Fixing income
inequality

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

59%
55%

41%
45%

46%

54%

27. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?


Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%

28. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

29. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
30. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

31. Are you registered as a ...


Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Not affiliated with any party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

32. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%

33. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
34. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

35. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York
1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in New York today?
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

6%
40%
34%
14%
5%

7%
42%
34%
13%
4%

6%
38%
35%
15%
6%

11%
42%
29%
8%
10%

11%
40%
37%
6%
6%

3%
38%
37%
17%
4%

3%
43%
31%
19%
4%

5%
38%
37%
15%
4%

11%
48%
25%
8%
9%

6%
38%
36%
13%
7%

5%
45%
26%
16%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(2,040)

(921)

(1,119)

(343)

(383)

(937)

(377)

(1,407)

(250)

(227)

(157)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New York?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
10%
7%
3%
6%
2%
1%

71%
12%
5%
3%
6%
2%
2%

70%
8%
8%
3%
6%
2%
2%

68%
7%
11%
3%
5%
3%
2%

61%
21%
6%
2%
7%
1%
3%

72%
8%
7%
4%
6%
1%
3%

80%
5%
2%
1%
7%
3%
1%

71%
9%
6%
3%
7%
2%
2%

74%
12%
5%
4%
1%
1%
3%

72%
11%
5%
4%
6%
1%
2%

63%
16%
12%
4%
3%
1%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(2,048)

(928)

(1,121)

(343)

(392)

(936)

(377)

(1,407)

(256)

(227)

(159)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

3. 2016 Primary Turnout


In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

53%
32%
10%
5%

49%
37%
11%
3%

56%
28%
9%
7%

66%
22%
9%
3%

56%
28%
9%
7%

51%
34%
9%
6%

43%
40%
13%
4%

43%
40%
11%
5%

90%
3%
3%
5%

67%
17%
10%
6%

56%
29%
10%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(2,050)

(929)

(1,121)

(343)

(392)

(938)

(377)

(1,407)

(258)

(227)

(159)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

4. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

21%
19%
54%
6%

22%
21%
53%
4%

20%
17%
54%
9%

33%
34%
22%
12%

28%
12%
52%
8%

17%
17%
59%
7%

15%
23%
60%
2%

20%
18%
57%
5%

43%
24%
20%
13%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(370)

(335)

(76)

(141)

(341)

(146)

(611)

100%

(705)

(7)

(34)

(52)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

53%
43%
4%

54%
43%
2%

52%
42%
6%

28%
66%
6%

63%
33%
4%

52%
44%
4%

62%
33%
4%

49%
47%
4%

60%
32%
8%

64%
34%
2%

60%
37%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,030)

(435)

(595)

(155)

(224)

(444)

(207)

(677)

(163)

(100)

(91)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

6. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

58%
28%
12%
2%

60%
28%
11%
1%

56%
28%
13%
4%

46%
42%
9%
3%

67%
15%
15%
3%

55%
33%
11%
1%

61%
22%
12%
5%

57%
27%
13%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(349)

(300)

(62)

(130)

(315)

(141)

(570)

(7)

(26)

(45)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

7. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
23%

63%
24%

63%
22%

69%
19%

65%
23%

60%
24%

64%
21%

64%
20%

63%
29%

62%
15%

61%
38%

11%

9%

13%

10%

11%

11%

12%

12%

6%

23%

1%

3%

4%

3%

2%

0%

5%

3%

4%

2%

0%

0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(950)

(411)

(539)

(137)

(213)

(416)

(184)

(621)

(146)

(97)

(86)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

8. Republican Selection of Nominees


Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

48%
52%

43%
57%

52%
48%

49%
51%

52%
48%

50%
50%

36%
64%

47%
53%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(370)

(329)

(72)

(141)

(339)

(146)

(605)

100%

(698)

(7)

(34)

(52)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

9. Republican Convention
As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but
Trump still has more delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans should do at the convention this summer?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Select Trump, because hell still have
more delegates than any other
candidate
Let Trump, Cruz and Kasich fight for
delegate support at the convention to
decide the winner
Turn to someone new who isnt
running right now
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%

55%

58%

33%

48%

63%

59%

60%

21%

36%

38%

34%

46%

42%

32%

37%

32%

71%

8%

7%

8%

21%

10%

5%

4%

7%

9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(370)

(331)

(72)

(141)

(341)

(146)

(607)

100%

(701)

(7)

(34)

(52)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

10. Republican Candidate Traits Electable in november


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
17%
26%

51%
15%
34%

64%
19%
17%

18%
36%
46%

55%
16%
28%

63%
15%
22%

61%
16%
23%

61%
17%
22%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(662)

(352)

(310)

(57)

(135)

(329)

(141)

(575)

(7)

(29)

(50)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

11. Republican Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
20%
27%

53%
20%
26%

53%
19%
28%

24%
35%
41%

44%
33%
23%

60%
15%
25%

58%
13%
29%

56%
18%
26%

21%
48%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(355)

(311)

(57)

(134)

(331)

(143)

(578)

100%

(665)

(7)

(29)

(51)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

12. Republican Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

63%
15%
21%

61%
14%
25%

66%
17%
17%

24%
36%
40%

57%
22%
20%

70%
12%
18%

67%
10%
23%

66%
15%
19%

35%
29%
36%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(359)

(306)

(57)

(128)

(337)

(143)

(573)

100%

(665)

(7)

(34)

(51)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

13. Republican Candidate Traits Authentic


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
21%
28%

49%
20%
31%

53%
21%
26%

28%
34%
38%

50%
27%
23%

54%
19%
28%

54%
13%
32%

54%
19%
27%

31%
38%
31%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(359)

(305)

(57)

(129)

(337)

(141)

(572)

100%

(664)

(7)

(34)

(51)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

14. Republican Candidate Traits Conservative


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

22%
62%
16%

17%
71%
12%

27%
52%
21%

9%
72%
19%

22%
68%
10%

22%
61%
17%

26%
57%
18%

22%
61%
17%

7%
89%
4%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(360)

(312)

(57)

(134)

(338)

(143)

(580)

100%

(672)

(7)

(34)

(51)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

15. Republican Candidate Traits Optimistic


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
17%
32%

48%
16%
36%

54%
18%
27%

13%
35%
52%

46%
23%
31%

56%
14%
30%

59%
13%
28%

53%
16%
31%

33%
38%
28%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(361)

(307)

(57)

(129)

(338)

(144)

(577)

100%

(668)

(7)

(34)

(51)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

16. Republican Vote Reasons


If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Terrorism
Jobs and the economy
Immigration
Faith and values
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

21%
52%
19%
8%

16%
60%
17%
7%

27%
43%
20%
9%

22%
62%
3%
13%

18%
61%
14%
6%

22%
49%
21%
8%

20%
48%
25%
8%

23%
47%
21%
9%

8%
83%
6%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(369)

(317)

(64)

(141)

(338)

(143)

(594)

100%

(686)

(7)

(34)

(51)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

17. Republican Stop Terrorism


Do you agree or disagree with the following: We need a President who will do whatever it takes to stop terrorism, including things that might restrict some peoples
civil liberties
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Agree
Disagree
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

70%
30%

60%
40%

81%
19%

50%
50%

66%
34%

73%
27%

77%
23%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(693)

(365)

(328)

(76)

(139)

(332)

(146)

(602)

(7)

(34)

(50)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

18. Republican Same-sex Marriage


Do you think the Republican partys platform on same-sex marriage should:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Oppose same-sex marriages
Accept same-sex marriages
Not comment on same-sex marriage
either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

25%
34%

27%
31%

22%
37%

27%
46%

24%
41%

23%
32%

29%
26%

25%
34%

16%
34%

41%

41%

41%

28%

35%

45%

46%

42%

50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(367)

(335)

(76)

(141)

(340)

(146)

(610)

100%

(703)

(7)

(34)

(51)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

19. Republican Candidate Actions


The next Republican President needs to:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Stand up to Democrats more
effectively
Negotiate with Democrats more
effectively
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%

54%

45%

32%

50%

52%

56%

52%

48%

50%

46%

55%

68%

50%

48%

44%

48%

52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(369)

(326)

(72)

(141)

(336)

(146)

(602)

100%

(696)

(7)

(34)

(52)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

20. Trump General Election


If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the General election campaign this fall?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
He will continue to be as outspoken
as he is now
He will be less outspoken than he is
now
He will become more outspoken than
he is now
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

66%

68%

64%

62%

68%

71%

54%

65%

63%

18%

20%

16%

8%

18%

17%

27%

20%

12%

16%

13%

20%

29%

14%

12%

19%

15%

25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(370)

(332)

(76)

(141)

(339)

(145)

(609)

100%

(701)

(7)

(34)

(51)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

21. Republican Personal Changes Your own financial outlook


For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

9%
40%
51%

8%
41%
51%

11%
38%
51%

11%
37%
53%

18%
47%
35%

9%
39%
53%

2%
37%
61%

9%
41%
50%

7%
34%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(370)

(317)

(64)

(139)

(338)

(145)

(593)

100%

(686)

(7)

(34)

(52)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

22. Republican Personal Changes Your ability to practice your faith as you wish
For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
52%
40%

8%
51%
41%

7%
54%
40%

8%
52%
40%

12%
50%
38%

5%
52%
43%

7%
56%
37%

7%
54%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(685)

(367)

(318)

(64)

(139)

(337)

(145)

(593)

(7)

(34)

(50)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

23. Republican Personal Changes Your freedom to say and do what you want
For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
33%
59%

7%
30%
62%

7%
37%
56%

8%
23%
69%

10%
34%
56%

6%
34%
59%

7%
36%
57%

7%
35%
59%

11%
14%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(369)

(318)

(64)

(139)

(339)

(145)

(593)

100%

(686)

(7)

(34)

(52)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

24. Republican Personal Changes Your feeling of safety from terrorism


For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
29%
64%

8%
34%
57%

6%
23%
71%

10%
50%
40%

10%
45%
45%

5%
22%
73%

7%
21%
72%

6%
28%
66%

12%
34%
54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(369)

(319)

(64)

(139)

(340)

(146)

(594)

100%

(688)

(7)

(34)

(52)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

25. Democratic Vote Support


Do you think of your vote as mainly supporting...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
An individual candidate for President
that you like
A larger movement that youre a part
of
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%

42%

36%

17%

52%

38%

42%

36%

41%

46%

45%

22%
39%

22%
37%

23%
41%

33%
50%

19%
29%

22%
41%

20%
39%

25%
39%

15%
44%

23%
31%

14%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,026)

(434)

(592)

(154)

(224)

(442)

(205)

(673)

(163)

(100)

(91)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

26. Democrats Selection of Nominees


Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

70%
30%

72%
28%

67%
33%

56%
44%

75%
25%

69%
31%

75%
25%

67%
33%

82%
18%

56%
44%

81%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(433)

(590)

(150)

(220)

(444)

(207)

(675)

(159)

(98)

(91)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

27. Democratic Superdelegates


As you may know, the Democratic party uses delegates that are chosen in primaries and caucuses, and also "superdelegates" who are party leaders and Democratic
elected officials. How much say do you feel these superdelegates should have in choosing the nominee?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

11%
42%
22%
25%

10%
43%
16%
31%

11%
41%
26%
22%

6%
27%
30%
36%

8%
50%
25%
17%

14%
38%
20%
28%

10%
51%
15%
24%

8%
40%
22%
30%

17%
54%
17%
12%

7%
39%
26%
29%

25%
39%
19%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,025)

(435)

(590)

(151)

(222)

(446)

(206)

(676)

(159)

(100)

(91)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

28. Democratic Candidate Traits Electable in november


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
33%

65%
35%

68%
32%

41%
59%

74%
26%

67%
33%

76%
24%

66%
34%

68%
32%

62%
38%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(993)

(426)

(567)

(144)

(215)

(434)

(200)

(653)

(154)

(96)

(90)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

29. Democratic Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
54%

48%
52%

45%
55%

14%
86%

58%
42%

48%
52%

55%
45%

42%
58%

58%
42%

57%
43%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(980)

(420)

(560)

(150)

(215)

(420)

(195)

(643)

(152)

(96)

(89)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

30. Democratic Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

66%
34%

67%
33%

65%
35%

51%
49%

74%
26%

63%
37%

76%
24%

66%
34%

66%
34%

61%
39%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(968)

(417)

(551)

(144)

(209)

(418)

(197)

(640)

(146)

(96)

(86)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

31. Democratic Candidate Traits Authentic


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%
63%

35%
65%

38%
62%

17%
83%

43%
57%

37%
63%

45%
55%

32%
68%

47%
53%

43%
57%

46%
54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(982)

(423)

(559)

(150)

(216)

(418)

(198)

(654)

(146)

(93)

(89)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

32. Democratic Candidate Traits Specific about their policy ideas


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

61%
39%

61%
39%

41%
59%

69%
31%

60%
40%

67%
33%

58%
42%

67%
33%

56%
44%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,001)

(428)

(572)

(150)

(219)

(432)

(199)

(660)

(154)

(96)

(91)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

33. Democratic Candidate Traits Honest and trustworthy


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
62%

38%
62%

39%
61%

14%
86%

45%
55%

40%
60%

46%
54%

33%
67%

52%
48%

45%
55%

46%
54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(964)

(421)

(543)

(142)

(214)

(413)

(196)

(631)

(147)

(95)

(90)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

34. Sanders Critiques


Do you think Bernie Sanders has been too critical of Hillary Clinton, not critical enough, or has his approach been about right?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

32%
21%
47%

33%
26%
41%

32%
17%
51%

19%
35%
46%

36%
18%
46%

31%
20%
50%

42%
18%
40%

32%
23%
44%

33%
14%
53%

28%
19%
53%

36%
18%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,022)

(434)

(589)

(151)

(220)

(445)

(206)

(674)

(159)

(99)

(90)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

35. Clinton Critiques


Do you think Hillary Clinton has been too critical of Bernie Sanders, not critical enough, or has her approach been about right?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%
17%
56%

27%
16%
57%

26%
18%
56%

35%
7%
58%

28%
16%
55%

24%
19%
57%

24%
20%
56%

28%
15%
57%

20%
16%
64%

26%
27%
47%

31%
21%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,018)

(434)

(584)

(151)

(217)

(446)

(204)

(673)

(156)

(100)

(89)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

36. Democratic Vote Reasons


If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Terrorism
Jobs and the economy
Wall street reform
Rights and equality
Criminal justice and sentencing
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

12%
43%
13%
28%
4%

8%
50%
18%
21%
3%

16%
38%
9%
32%
5%

1%
34%
15%
44%
7%

12%
46%
7%
30%
6%

12%
47%
16%
22%
3%

21%
39%
11%
25%
4%

14%
38%
16%
30%
1%

5%
46%
7%
31%
11%

16%
61%
7%
10%
7%

6%
53%
3%
24%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,027)

(434)

(593)

(153)

(221)

(446)

(206)

(675)

(162)

(98)

(91)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

37. Democratic Personal Changes Your own financial outlook


For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%
58%
26%

19%
58%
23%

15%
58%
27%

28%
45%
27%

29%
53%
17%

10%
60%
30%

9%
69%
23%

17%
57%
26%

15%
69%
16%

11%
54%
35%

24%
46%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,024)

(433)

(591)

(153)

(221)

(444)

(205)

(676)

(159)

(98)

(91)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

38. Democratic Personal Changes Your ability to practice your faith as you wish
For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
70%
13%

18%
73%
9%

15%
68%
17%

17%
67%
16%

23%
69%
8%

15%
69%
16%

10%
77%
13%

12%
74%
14%

34%
53%
13%

13%
81%
5%

19%
65%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,022)

(433)

(589)

(153)

(221)

(443)

(204)

(673)

(160)

(98)

(91)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

39. Democratic Personal Changes Your freedom to say and do what you want
For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
60%
26%

15%
62%
23%

12%
59%
29%

18%
51%
31%

20%
58%
22%

11%
61%
28%

8%
68%
24%

10%
62%
28%

20%
58%
22%

19%
62%
18%

23%
46%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(434)

(589)

(152)

(221)

(444)

(205)

(673)

(160)

(98)

(91)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

40. Democratic Personal Changes Your feeling of safety from terrorism


For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
61%
25%

16%
64%
20%

12%
60%
28%

23%
61%
16%

23%
62%
15%

9%
63%
28%

8%
58%
34%

12%
61%
28%

19%
70%
12%

15%
64%
20%

19%
51%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(433)

(590)

(153)

(221)

(443)

(205)

(675)

(160)

(97)

(91)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

41. Bill Clinton Involvement


Does Bill Clintons involvement in Hillary Clintons Presidential campaign make you...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
More likely to support Hillary Clinton
Less likely to support Hillary Clinton
It doesnt make a difference to you
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

24%
16%
60%

24%
14%
61%

24%
17%
58%

14%
37%
49%

41%
8%
51%

21%
15%
64%

20%
12%
68%

21%
19%
60%

25%
8%
66%

22%
13%
65%

47%
14%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,027)

(435)

(592)

(151)

(224)

(444)

(207)

(675)

(161)

(100)

(91)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

42. Democratic Candidate Better Job Improving race relations in America


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
41%

59%
41%

59%
41%

34%
66%

67%
33%

58%
42%

69%
31%

58%
42%

63%
37%

61%
39%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(995)

(426)

(570)

(150)

(217)

(430)

(199)

(658)

(151)

(96)

(90)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

43. Democratic Candidate Better Job Health care


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
45%

54%
46%

55%
45%

36%
64%

58%
42%

55%
45%

64%
36%

53%
47%

63%
37%

51%
49%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(994)

(423)

(570)

(150)

(213)

(432)

(199)

(657)

(151)

(96)

(89)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York

44. Democratic Candidate Better Job Fixing income inequality


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
54%

40%
60%

50%
50%

24%
76%

50%
50%

47%
53%

55%
45%

43%
57%

56%
44%

48%
52%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(999)

(425)

(574)

(150)

(218)

(431)

(200)

(659)

(154)

(96)

(90)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

705 Likely Republican Primary Voters


April 13-15, 2016

5.9%

1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in New York today?
Ideology
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

2%
26%
47%
22%
3%

6%
13%
48%
32%
1%

0%
23%
50%
25%
2%

0%
34%
51%
12%
3%

2%
10%
53%
34%
1%

1%
36%
44%
14%
5%

3%
18%
39%
39%
1%

1%
27%
49%
19%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(705)

(153)

(229)

(222)

(269)

(436)

(97)

(577)

Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

2%
26%
47%
22%
3%

2%
27%
52%
17%
3%

2%
25%
42%
27%
4%

4%
41%
49%
6%
0%

6%
18%
61%
12%
3%

0%
25%
43%
28%
4%

0%
29%
43%
25%
3%

1%
25%
47%
23%
3%

2%
27%
48%
17%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(705)

(370)

(335)

(76)

(141)

(341)

(146)

(496)

(133)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

21%
19%
54%
6%

40%
6%
53%
1%

22%
15%
58%
5%

13%
30%
48%
10%

37%
5%
57%
1%

10%
28%
51%
10%

35%
13%
49%
3%

19%
19%
55%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(705)

(153)

(229)

(222)

(269)

(436)

(97)

(577)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

21%
19%
54%
6%

22%
21%
53%
4%

20%
17%
54%
9%

33%
34%
22%
12%

28%
12%
52%
8%

17%
17%
59%
7%

15%
23%
60%
2%

19%
18%
57%
7%

21%
22%
49%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(705)

(370)

(335)

(76)

(141)

(341)

(146)

(496)

(133)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

58%
28%
12%
2%

66%
25%
7%
2%

60%
26%
12%
1%

46%
32%
20%
2%

68%
22%
8%
1%

51%
32%
14%
3%

62%
23%
12%
4%

59%
28%
11%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(149)

(217)

(200)

(261)

(388)

(94)

(526)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

58%
28%
12%
2%

60%
28%
11%
1%

56%
28%
13%
4%

46%
42%
9%
3%

67%
15%
15%
3%

55%
33%
11%
1%

61%
22%
12%
5%

59%
26%
13%
2%

45%
42%
11%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(349)

(300)

(62)

(130)

(315)

(141)

(457)

(120)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Selection of Nominees


Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

48%
52%

44%
56%

46%
54%

47%
53%

48%
52%

48%
52%

49%
51%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(698)

(153)

(228)

(221)

(265)

(433)

(96)

(572)

Gender
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

48%
52%

43%
57%

52%
48%

49%
51%

52%
48%

50%
50%

36%
64%

49%
51%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(698)

(370)

(329)

(72)

(141)

(339)

(146)

(489)

(133)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Convention
As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but
Trump still has more delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans should do at the convention this summer?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Select Trump, because hell still have
more delegates than any other
candidate
Let Trump, Cruz and Kasich fight for
delegate support at the convention to
decide the winner
Turn to someone new who isnt
running right now
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

56%

54%

52%

58%

61%

53%

54%

57%

36%

41%

45%

27%

38%

35%

39%

36%

8%

5%

3%

15%

1%

11%

6%

7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(701)

(153)

(229)

(222)

(265)

(436)

(97)

(573)

Gender
Select Trump, because hell still have
more delegates than any other
candidate
Let Trump, Cruz and Kasich fight for
delegate support at the convention to
decide the winner
Turn to someone new who isnt
running right now

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

56%

55%

58%

33%

48%

63%

59%

57%

59%

36%

38%

34%

46%

42%

32%

37%

36%

34%

8%

7%

8%

21%

10%

5%

4%

8%

7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(701)

(370)

(331)

(72)

(141)

(341)

(146)

(491)

(133)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

6. Republican Candidate Traits Electable in november


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
17%
26%

56%
30%
14%

55%
18%
27%

62%
10%
27%

61%
25%
14%

55%
12%
33%

50%
28%
22%

59%
15%
25%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(662)

(153)

(226)

(201)

(264)

(398)

(93)

(544)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
17%
26%

51%
15%
34%

64%
19%
17%

18%
36%
46%

55%
16%
28%

63%
15%
22%

61%
16%
23%

63%
17%
21%

45%
13%
42%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(662)

(352)

(310)

(57)

(135)

(329)

(141)

(463)

(126)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
20%
27%

52%
35%
13%

55%
24%
21%

48%
11%
41%

57%
32%
11%

51%
12%
38%

45%
35%
20%

55%
17%
28%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(665)

(151)

(226)

(207)

(263)

(402)

(92)

(549)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
20%
27%

53%
20%
26%

53%
19%
28%

24%
35%
41%

44%
33%
23%

60%
15%
25%

58%
13%
29%

57%
20%
23%

49%
13%
37%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(665)

(355)

(311)

(57)

(134)

(331)

(143)

(464)

(129)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

63%
15%
21%

59%
30%
11%

63%
16%
22%

64%
11%
25%

66%
24%
10%

61%
10%
28%

55%
20%
26%

66%
14%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(665)

(151)

(222)

(209)

(257)

(408)

(94)

(546)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

63%
15%
21%

61%
14%
25%

66%
17%
17%

24%
36%
40%

57%
22%
20%

70%
12%
18%

67%
10%
23%

67%
17%
17%

59%
11%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(665)

(359)

(306)

(57)

(128)

(337)

(143)

(466)

(127)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Traits Authentic


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
21%
28%

51%
31%
18%

54%
22%
24%

44%
16%
40%

56%
30%
14%

48%
14%
37%

52%
28%
20%

52%
19%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(664)

(151)

(220)

(210)

(256)

(408)

(94)

(546)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
21%
28%

49%
20%
31%

53%
21%
26%

28%
34%
38%

50%
27%
23%

54%
19%
28%

54%
13%
32%

54%
20%
27%

47%
20%
33%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(664)

(359)

(305)

(57)

(129)

(337)

(141)

(464)

(127)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Traits Conservative


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

22%
62%
16%

25%
67%
8%

18%
64%
18%

19%
61%
20%

22%
73%
5%

21%
56%
23%

24%
60%
16%

21%
63%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(151)

(228)

(211)

(261)

(411)

(94)

(554)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

22%
62%
16%

17%
71%
12%

27%
52%
21%

9%
72%
19%

22%
68%
10%

22%
61%
17%

26%
57%
18%

26%
56%
18%

12%
76%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(360)

(312)

(57)

(134)

(338)

(143)

(471)

(128)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidate Traits Optimistic


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
17%
32%

50%
34%
16%

49%
19%
32%

51%
9%
41%

51%
28%
21%

51%
10%
39%

57%
26%
17%

50%
16%
34%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(151)

(229)

(206)

(262)

(406)

(94)

(550)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
17%
32%

48%
16%
36%

54%
18%
27%

13%
35%
52%

46%
23%
31%

56%
14%
30%

59%
13%
28%

54%
17%
29%

47%
12%
41%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(361)

(307)

(57)

(129)

(338)

(144)

(467)

(129)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Vote Reasons


If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Terrorism
Jobs and the economy
Immigration
Faith and values
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

21%
52%
19%
8%

19%
41%
25%
16%

22%
50%
19%
8%

20%
62%
15%
2%

18%
48%
27%
8%

23%
55%
14%
8%

19%
44%
11%
26%

22%
54%
19%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(686)

(152)

(228)

(221)

(265)

(421)

(94)

(567)

Gender
Terrorism
Jobs and the economy
Immigration
Faith and values

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

21%
52%
19%
8%

16%
60%
17%
7%

27%
43%
20%
9%

22%
62%
3%
13%

18%
61%
14%
6%

22%
49%
21%
8%

20%
48%
25%
8%

24%
49%
18%
9%

16%
58%
22%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(686)

(369)

(317)

(64)

(141)

(338)

(143)

(481)

(133)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Stop Terrorism


Do you agree or disagree with the following: We need a President who will do whatever it takes to stop terrorism, including things that might restrict some peoples
civil liberties
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Agree
Disagree
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

70%
30%

72%
28%

78%
22%

62%
38%

74%
26%

68%
32%

75%
25%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(693)

(149)

(227)

(221)

(263)

(430)

(95)

(568)

Gender
Agree
Disagree

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

70%
30%

60%
40%

81%
19%

50%
50%

66%
34%

73%
27%

77%
23%

79%
21%

53%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(693)

(365)

(328)

(76)

(139)

(332)

(146)

(491)

(127)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Same-sex Marriage


Do you think the Republican partys platform on same-sex marriage should:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Oppose same-sex marriages
Accept same-sex marriages
Not comment on same-sex marriage
either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

25%
34%

55%
10%

27%
21%

11%
54%

39%
17%

16%
44%

46%
13%

21%
37%

41%

35%

52%

35%

44%

40%

41%

42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(703)

(151)

(229)

(222)

(268)

(434)

(97)

(575)

Gender
Oppose same-sex marriages
Accept same-sex marriages
Not comment on same-sex marriage
either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

25%
34%

27%
31%

22%
37%

27%
46%

24%
41%

23%
32%

29%
26%

25%
34%

20%
36%

41%

41%

41%

28%

35%

45%

46%

41%

44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(703)

(367)

(335)

(76)

(141)

(340)

(146)

(494)

(133)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Actions


The next Republican President needs to:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Stand up to Democrats more
effectively
Negotiate with Democrats more
effectively
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%

77%

63%

30%

77%

33%

62%

49%

50%

23%

37%

70%

23%

67%

38%

51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(696)

(152)

(229)

(222)

(265)

(431)

(97)

(568)

Gender
Stand up to Democrats more
effectively
Negotiate with Democrats more
effectively

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

50%

54%

45%

32%

50%

52%

56%

51%

43%

50%

46%

55%

68%

50%

48%

44%

49%

57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(696)

(369)

(326)

(72)

(141)

(336)

(146)

(491)

(129)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

16. Trump General Election


If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the General election campaign this fall?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
He will continue to be as outspoken
as he is now
He will be less outspoken than he is
now
He will become more outspoken than
he is now
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

66%

70%

69%

61%

70%

63%

67%

67%

18%

14%

16%

22%

15%

20%

15%

19%

16%

16%

15%

17%

15%

17%

18%

14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(701)

(153)

(228)

(222)

(269)

(432)

(94)

(577)

Gender
He will continue to be as outspoken
as he is now
He will be less outspoken than he is
now
He will become more outspoken than
he is now
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

66%

68%

64%

62%

68%

71%

54%

66%

63%

18%

20%

16%

8%

18%

17%

27%

18%

19%

16%

13%

20%

29%

14%

12%

19%

16%

18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(701)

(370)

(332)

(76)

(141)

(339)

(145)

(494)

(132)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Personal Changes Your own financial outlook


For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

9%
40%
51%

7%
32%
61%

12%
29%
59%

8%
52%
41%

9%
24%
66%

9%
50%
41%

12%
28%
60%

8%
42%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(686)

(152)

(229)

(220)

(265)

(421)

(94)

(568)

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

9%
40%
51%

8%
41%
51%

11%
38%
51%

11%
37%
53%

18%
47%
35%

9%
39%
53%

2%
37%
61%

11%
40%
49%

1%
37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(686)

(370)

(317)

(64)

(139)

(338)

(145)

(478)

(133)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Personal Changes Your ability to practice your faith as you wish
For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
52%
40%

6%
29%
64%

9%
42%
49%

8%
71%
21%

7%
29%
64%

8%
67%
25%

9%
27%
64%

7%
57%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(685)

(153)

(229)

(218)

(265)

(420)

(94)

(566)

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

7%
52%
40%

8%
51%
41%

7%
54%
40%

8%
52%
40%

12%
50%
38%

5%
52%
43%

7%
56%
37%

9%
55%
36%

4%
44%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(685)

(367)

(318)

(64)

(139)

(337)

(145)

(479)

(131)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Personal Changes Your freedom to say and do what you want
For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
33%
59%

7%
17%
76%

8%
23%
69%

7%
47%
45%

8%
14%
78%

7%
46%
48%

11%
16%
73%

6%
37%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(686)

(153)

(228)

(220)

(264)

(422)

(94)

(568)

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

7%
33%
59%

7%
30%
62%

7%
37%
56%

8%
23%
69%

10%
34%
56%

6%
34%
59%

7%
36%
57%

8%
37%
55%

4%
21%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(686)

(369)

(318)

(64)

(139)

(339)

(145)

(478)

(133)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Personal Changes Your feeling of safety from terrorism


For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
29%
64%

7%
18%
76%

5%
28%
67%

7%
32%
61%

7%
18%
75%

7%
36%
57%

15%
18%
67%

6%
31%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(688)

(153)

(229)

(221)

(265)

(423)

(94)

(569)

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

7%
29%
64%

8%
34%
57%

6%
23%
71%

10%
50%
40%

10%
45%
45%

5%
22%
73%

7%
21%
72%

7%
27%
66%

5%
29%
66%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(688)

(369)

(319)

(64)

(139)

(340)

(146)

(480)

(133)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1033 Likely Democratic Primary Voters


April 13-15, 2016

4.4%

1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in New York today?
Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

9%
57%
23%
6%
5%

14%
63%
17%
2%
4%

7%
60%
22%
3%
8%

8%
57%
24%
9%
2%

9%
60%
21%
5%
5%

8%
53%
21%
5%
13%

7%
36%
41%
11%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,033)

(269)

(309)

(326)

(768)

(165)

(100)

Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

9%
57%
23%
6%
5%

10%
62%
22%
2%
3%

7%
53%
24%
8%
8%

15%
51%
18%
5%
11%

12%
57%
22%
3%
6%

5%
55%
27%
8%
5%

8%
64%
19%
5%
4%

8%
59%
21%
6%
6%

7%
44%
40%
6%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,033)

(435)

(598)

(155)

(224)

(447)

(207)

(897)

(95)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

53%
43%
4%

44%
55%
1%

55%
41%
4%

62%
33%
5%

50%
46%
4%

60%
32%
8%

64%
34%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,030)

(269)

(309)

(326)

(768)

(163)

(100)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

53%
43%
4%

54%
43%
2%

52%
42%
6%

28%
66%
6%

63%
33%
4%

52%
44%
4%

62%
33%
4%

57%
38%
4%

26%
72%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,030)

(435)

(595)

(155)

(224)

(444)

(207)

(894)

(95)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

63%
23%

78%
11%

60%
29%

54%
29%

63%
22%

63%
29%

62%
15%

11%

9%

11%

13%

10%

6%

23%

3%

2%

0%

5%

4%

2%

0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(950)

(251)

(289)

(303)

(707)

(146)

(97)

Very strong Ive decided


Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

63%
23%

63%
24%

63%
22%

69%
19%

65%
23%

60%
24%

64%
21%

65%
22%

49%
32%

11%

9%

13%

10%

11%

11%

12%

12%

9%

3%

4%

3%

2%

0%

5%

3%

2%

11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(950)

(411)

(539)

(137)

(213)

(416)

(184)

(828)

(91)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Vote Support


Do you think of your vote as mainly supporting...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

39%

26%

40%

42%

37%

41%

46%

22%
39%

28%
46%

20%
40%

19%
38%

24%
39%

15%
44%

23%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,026)

(269)

(306)

(323)

(763)

(163)

(100)

An individual candidate for President


that you like
A larger movement that youre a part
of
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
An individual candidate for President
that you like
A larger movement that youre a part
of
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

39%

42%

36%

17%

52%

38%

42%

40%

29%

22%
39%

22%
37%

23%
41%

33%
50%

19%
29%

22%
41%

20%
39%

22%
39%

25%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,026)

(434)

(592)

(154)

(224)

(442)

(205)

(893)

(93)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democrats Selection of Nominees


Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

70%
30%

61%
39%

79%
21%

72%
28%

69%
31%

82%
18%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(268)

(304)

(326)

(766)

(159)

(98)

It has been fair


It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

70%
30%

72%
28%

67%
33%

56%
44%

75%
25%

69%
31%

75%
25%

74%
26%

43%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(433)

(590)

(150)

(220)

(444)

(207)

(888)

(94)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Superdelegates
As you may know, the Democratic party uses delegates that are chosen in primaries and caucuses, and also "superdelegates" who are party leaders and Democratic
elected officials. How much say do you feel these superdelegates should have in choosing the nominee?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

11%
42%
22%
25%

13%
33%
24%
30%

6%
48%
25%
20%

11%
46%
18%
24%

10%
40%
22%
29%

17%
54%
17%
12%

7%
39%
26%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,025)

(269)

(305)

(325)

(766)

(159)

(100)

A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

11%
42%
22%
25%

10%
43%
16%
31%

11%
41%
26%
22%

6%
27%
30%
36%

8%
50%
25%
17%

14%
38%
20%
28%

10%
51%
15%
24%

11%
45%
22%
22%

6%
20%
20%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,025)

(435)

(590)

(151)

(222)

(446)

(206)

(889)

(95)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Traits Electable in november


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

67%
33%

55%
45%

68%
32%

78%
22%

67%
33%

68%
32%

62%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(993)

(262)

(302)

(315)

(743)

(154)

(96)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

67%
33%

65%
35%

68%
32%

41%
59%

74%
26%

67%
33%

76%
24%

69%
31%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(993)

(426)

(567)

(144)

(215)

(434)

(200)

(865)

(93)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

46%
54%

36%
64%

45%
55%

56%
44%

43%
57%

58%
42%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(980)

(265)

(302)

(304)

(732)

(152)

(96)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

46%
54%

48%
52%

45%
55%

14%
86%

58%
42%

48%
52%

55%
45%

50%
50%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(980)

(420)

(560)

(150)

(215)

(420)

(195)

(860)

(89)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

9. Democratic Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

66%
34%

60%
40%

72%
28%

70%
30%

67%
33%

66%
34%

61%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(968)

(259)

(296)

(306)

(726)

(146)

(96)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

66%
34%

67%
33%

65%
35%

51%
49%

74%
26%

63%
37%

76%
24%

70%
30%

40%
60%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(968)

(417)

(551)

(144)

(209)

(418)

(197)

(852)

(86)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

10. Democratic Candidate Traits Authentic


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

37%
63%

29%
71%

30%
70%

49%
51%

34%
66%

47%
53%

43%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(982)

(266)

(298)

(312)

(743)

(146)

(93)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

37%
63%

35%
65%

38%
62%

17%
83%

43%
57%

37%
63%

45%
55%

40%
60%

19%
81%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(982)

(423)

(559)

(150)

(216)

(418)

(198)

(858)

(93)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

11. Democratic Candidate Traits Specific about their policy ideas


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

61%
39%

53%
47%

62%
38%

67%
33%

60%
40%

67%
33%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,001)

(268)

(302)

(317)

(751)

(154)

(96)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

61%
39%

61%
39%

61%
39%

41%
59%

69%
31%

60%
40%

67%
33%

64%
36%

43%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,001)

(428)

(572)

(150)

(219)

(432)

(199)

(873)

(93)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democratic Candidate Traits Honest and trustworthy


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

38%
62%

32%
68%

34%
66%

48%
52%

35%
65%

52%
48%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(964)

(256)

(295)

(304)

(721)

(147)

(95)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

38%
62%

38%
62%

39%
61%

14%
86%

45%
55%

40%
60%

46%
54%

42%
58%

15%
85%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(964)

(421)

(543)

(142)

(214)

(413)

(196)

(847)

(86)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

13. Sanders Critiques


Do you think Bernie Sanders has been too critical of Hillary Clinton, not critical enough, or has his approach been about right?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

32%
21%
47%

34%
21%
45%

34%
14%
52%

32%
21%
47%

33%
23%
44%

33%
14%
53%

28%
19%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,022)

(268)

(305)

(324)

(764)

(159)

(99)

Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

32%
21%
47%

33%
26%
41%

32%
17%
51%

19%
35%
46%

36%
18%
46%

31%
20%
50%

42%
18%
40%

35%
16%
49%

16%
49%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,022)

(434)

(589)

(151)

(220)

(445)

(206)

(888)

(95)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

14. Clinton Critiques


Do you think Hillary Clinton has been too critical of Bernie Sanders, not critical enough, or has her approach been about right?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

27%
17%
56%

36%
9%
54%

24%
14%
62%

21%
21%
58%

28%
16%
56%

20%
16%
64%

26%
27%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,018)

(268)

(305)

(323)

(762)

(156)

(100)

Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

27%
17%
56%

27%
16%
57%

26%
18%
56%

35%
7%
58%

28%
16%
55%

24%
19%
57%

24%
20%
56%

25%
17%
58%

36%
16%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,018)

(434)

(584)

(151)

(217)

(446)

(204)

(884)

(95)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Vote Reasons


If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

12%
43%
13%
28%
4%

3%
27%
20%
47%
3%

9%
48%
10%
29%
4%

21%
48%
12%
15%
5%

13%
40%
15%
29%
2%

5%
46%
7%
31%
11%

16%
61%
7%
10%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,027)

(269)

(309)

(324)

(766)

(162)

(98)

Terrorism
Jobs and the economy
Wall street reform
Rights and equality
Criminal justice and sentencing
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Terrorism
Jobs and the economy
Wall street reform
Rights and equality
Criminal justice and sentencing
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

12%
43%
13%
28%
4%

8%
50%
18%
21%
3%

16%
38%
9%
32%
5%

1%
34%
15%
44%
7%

12%
46%
7%
30%
6%

12%
47%
16%
22%
3%

21%
39%
11%
25%
4%

11%
44%
12%
28%
5%

14%
38%
18%
29%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,027)

(434)

(593)

(153)

(221)

(446)

(206)

(892)

(94)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

16. Democratic Personal Changes Your own financial outlook


For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

17%
58%
26%

25%
50%
25%

15%
58%
27%

12%
64%
24%

18%
56%
26%

15%
69%
16%

11%
54%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,024)

(268)

(307)

(325)

(767)

(159)

(98)

More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

17%
58%
26%

19%
58%
23%

15%
58%
27%

28%
45%
27%

29%
53%
17%

10%
60%
30%

9%
69%
23%

17%
59%
24%

8%
55%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,024)

(433)

(591)

(153)

(221)

(444)

(205)

(888)

(95)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

17. Democratic Personal Changes Your ability to practice your faith as you wish
For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

16%
70%
13%

20%
70%
10%

11%
78%
12%

15%
73%
12%

13%
73%
14%

34%
53%
13%

13%
81%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,022)

(268)

(307)

(326)

(764)

(160)

(98)

More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

16%
70%
13%

18%
73%
9%

15%
68%
17%

17%
67%
16%

23%
69%
8%

15%
69%
16%

10%
77%
13%

16%
71%
12%

13%
65%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,022)

(433)

(589)

(153)

(221)

(443)

(204)

(886)

(95)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

18. Democratic Personal Changes Your freedom to say and do what you want
For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

13%
60%
26%

16%
54%
30%

12%
63%
25%

13%
64%
23%

11%
60%
28%

20%
58%
22%

19%
62%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(268)

(307)

(326)

(764)

(160)

(98)

More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

13%
60%
26%

15%
62%
23%

12%
59%
29%

18%
51%
31%

20%
58%
22%

11%
61%
28%

8%
68%
24%

14%
62%
25%

13%
50%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(434)

(589)

(152)

(221)

(444)

(205)

(888)

(94)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

19. Democratic Personal Changes Your feeling of safety from terrorism


For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

14%
61%
25%

19%
71%
11%

9%
64%
27%

15%
56%
29%

13%
60%
28%

19%
70%
12%

15%
64%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(269)

(307)

(325)

(765)

(160)

(97)

More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

14%
61%
25%

16%
64%
20%

12%
60%
28%

23%
61%
16%

23%
62%
15%

9%
63%
28%

8%
58%
34%

15%
62%
23%

7%
56%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,023)

(433)

(590)

(153)

(221)

(443)

(205)

(887)

(95)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

20. Bill Clinton Involvement


Does Bill Clintons involvement in Hillary Clintons Presidential campaign make you...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

24%
16%
60%

17%
22%
61%

25%
14%
61%

27%
11%
62%

24%
18%
57%

25%
8%
66%

22%
13%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,027)

(269)

(306)

(326)

(765)

(161)

(100)

More likely to support Hillary Clinton


Less likely to support Hillary Clinton
It doesnt make a difference to you
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
More likely to support Hillary Clinton
Less likely to support Hillary Clinton
It doesnt make a difference to you
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

24%
16%
60%

24%
14%
61%

24%
17%
58%

14%
37%
49%

41%
8%
51%

21%
15%
64%

20%
12%
68%

27%
12%
61%

8%
46%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,027)

(435)

(592)

(151)

(224)

(444)

(207)

(893)

(95)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

21. Democratic Candidate Better Job Improving race relations in America


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

59%
41%

51%
49%

63%
37%

64%
36%

58%
42%

63%
37%

61%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(995)

(268)

(302)

(315)

(748)

(151)

(96)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

59%
41%

59%
41%

59%
41%

34%
66%

67%
33%

58%
42%

69%
31%

63%
37%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(995)

(426)

(570)

(150)

(217)

(430)

(199)

(870)

(89)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

22. Democratic Candidate Better Job Health care


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

55%
45%

47%
53%

59%
41%

59%
41%

53%
47%

63%
37%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(994)

(268)

(304)

(312)

(746)

(151)

(96)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

55%
45%

54%
46%

55%
45%

36%
64%

58%
42%

55%
45%

64%
36%

59%
41%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(994)

(423)

(570)

(150)

(213)

(432)

(199)

(866)

(93)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


New York Likely Democratic Voters

23. Democratic Candidate Better Job Fixing income inequality


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

46%
54%

40%
60%

43%
57%

50%
50%

43%
57%

56%
44%

48%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(999)

(268)

(304)

(314)

(749)

(154)

(96)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

46%
54%

40%
60%

50%
50%

24%
76%

50%
50%

47%
53%

55%
45%

50%
50%

18%
82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(999)

(425)

(574)

(150)

(218)

(431)

(200)

(871)

(90)

23