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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Michigan
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1415 Registered Voters


March 2-4, 2016

4.1%

1. Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Very interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Somewhat interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Not too interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Michigan?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .69%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%

5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55%


Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
8. As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

What big donors want


30%
47%
66%
48%

What regular people


want
70%
53%
34%
52%

9. Do you feel each of these candidates is...?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

Too
conservative
14%
38%
20%
15%

About right
42%
49%
46%
55%

Not
conservative
enough
44%
13%
34%
30%

10. If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

More likely to vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%


Less likely to vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
It doesnt affect my vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Never heard the term . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

11. Do you think the US should try to put more or fewer trade restrictions on China?
Asked of Republican primary voters

More trade restrictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%


Fewer trade restrictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Keep trade as it is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
12. Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Honest and Trustworthy


48%
51%
53%
74%

NOT Honest and


Trustworthy
52%
49%
47%
26%

13. Which of these candidates do you feel is...?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Most able to bring


needed change
Most prepared to be
president
Most able to win in
November
Most focused on
issues
Most focused on
personal attacks
Best understands the
middle class
Most likely to get
things done

Donald
Trump

Marco
Rubio

Ted
Cruz

John
Kasich

50%

11%

22%

17%

31%

10%

28%

30%

53%

19%

19%

8%

32%

11%

30%

27%

65%

22%

12%

1%

31%

17%

21%

31%

49%

11%

21%

18%

14. Which do you feel the Republican party needs to do more of right now...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Reach out to include new groups and new people . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%


Pay more attention to its regular voters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
15. Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Taxes
Federal spending
and budgets
Immigration
Trade policy

Donald
Trump
42%

Marco
Rubio
12%

Ted
Cruz
26%

John
Kasich
20%

44%
52%
54%

6%
12%
9%

25%
23%
18%

25%
13%
19%

16. Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been
getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Getting better
31%
18%
25%
39%

Getting worse
41%
49%
38%
14%

Staying about
the same
28%
33%
37%
47%

17. If Donald Trump wins more primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Do all they can to stop him from getting nominated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%


Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

18. Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering
the United States, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Should ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70%


Should not ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
19. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Understands
70%
84%

Doesnt understand
30%
16%

20. As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

What regular people


want
50%
82%

What big donors want


50%
18%

21. Who do you think would do a better job on...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Improving race
relations in America
Gun policy
Being Commander in
Chief
Health care
Standing up to a
Republican Congress
Fixing income
inequality

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

54%
57%

46%
43%

61%
51%

39%
49%

56%

44%

39%

61%

22. Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Principled
49%
80%

Qualified
81%
59%

Honest
33%
69%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
23. When you vote in the Michigan primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance
to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Support an historic candidacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%


Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Get progressive things done . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Give the Democrats a good chance to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%

24. Should the next president...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Generally continue Barack Obamas policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%


Change to more progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%
Change to less progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

25. These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21%


Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Not too well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Not well, but at least more than the Republicans do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

26. If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting
for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%


Somewhat enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Probably wont vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
27. Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been
getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Getting better
38%
45%

Getting worse
19%
8%

Staying about
the same
43%
47%

28. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?


Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

29. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

30. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in a previous
recruitment wave. Earlier responses were used where available.

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
31. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

32. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%

33. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%

34. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?


White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

35. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan
1. Interest in Presidential Campaign
Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
29%
15%

64%
22%
14%

48%
35%
17%

71%
18%
11%

46%
32%
22%

54%
29%
17%

59%
31%
10%

58%
28%
13%

41%
33%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,414)

(662)

(752)

(188)

(242)

(648)

(336)

(1,203)

(158)

(11)

(43)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Michigan?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
I already voted early in-person or by
mail (absentee)
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

69%
10%
5%
4%
3%

72%
9%
3%
4%
4%

67%
11%
7%
5%
2%

65%
19%
7%
4%
1%

65%
10%
7%
5%
10%

73%
11%
4%
5%
2%

68%
5%
5%
1%
1%

68%
10%
6%
3%
4%

70%
11%
3%
11%
0%

7%
1%

7%
1%

7%
2%

4%
0%

2%
1%

4%
1%

17%
2%

7%
2%

5%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,414)

(663)

(751)

(188)

(242)

(648)

(335)

(1,202)

(158)

(11)

(43)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

3. 2016 Primary Turnout


In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
42%
5%
9%

39%
49%
5%
7%

50%
35%
5%
10%

59%
31%
4%
6%

44%
31%
8%
16%

42%
45%
6%
7%

42%
48%
3%
7%

38%
47%
6%
9%

93%
1%
2%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,405)

(663)

(743)

(188)

(242)

(648)

(326)

(1,194)

(158)

(11)

(43)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

4. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

5%
24%
15%
16%
39%
0%

4%
24%
18%
14%
41%
0%

7%
25%
12%
18%
38%
0%

2%
34%
20%
32%
12%
0%

11%
19%
8%
21%
41%
0%

4%
26%
15%
11%
44%
0%

4%
22%
18%
15%
41%
1%

6%
25%
15%
16%
38%
0%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(637)

(330)

(308)

(62)

(119)

(305)

(151)

(602)

(2)

(4)

(30)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
44%
1%

48%
52%
1%

60%
39%
1%

33%
65%
1%

42%
56%
2%

65%
35%
0%

70%
29%
1%

46%
53%
1%

80%
19%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(260)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(256)

(90)

(416)

(141)

(15)

(26)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

6. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
28%

57%
25%

43%
32%

55%
27%

51%
27%

49%
28%

49%
29%

16%

12%

19%

12%

17%

19%

15%

6%

6%

6%

5%

5%

4%

6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(298)

(281)

100%

(580)

(118)

(293)

(122)

(545)

(47)

(2)

(4)

(29)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

7. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
20%

60%
26%

72%
15%

78%
11%

70%
23%

63%
21%

61%
23%

64%
24%

69%
14%

12%

14%

12%

11%

6%

16%

16%

12%

16%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(552)

(242)

(311)

(92)

(148)

(243)

(70)

(381)

(130)

(15)

(26)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

8. Republican Candidate Attention Donald Trump


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%
70%

27%
73%

34%
66%

58%
42%

41%
59%

25%
75%

21%
79%

30%
70%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(606)

(314)

(292)

(61)

(105)

(292)

(148)

(571)

(2)

(4)

(30)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

9. Republican Candidate Attention Ted Cruz


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%
53%

51%
49%

43%
57%

61%
39%

39%
61%

45%
55%

50%
50%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(598)

(316)

(282)

(62)

(93)

(297)

(146)

(572)

(2)

(4)

(20)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

10. Republican Candidate Attention Marco Rubio


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

66%
34%

75%
25%

57%
43%

42%
58%

49%
51%

74%
26%

72%
28%

66%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(314)

(283)

(62)

(95)

(293)

(148)

(572)

(2)

(4)

(20)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

11. Republican Candidate Attention John Kasich


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

48%
52%

51%
49%

45%
55%

45%
55%

49%
51%

54%
46%

38%
62%

48%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(585)

(312)

(273)

(61)

(85)

(292)

(148)

(559)

(2)

(4)

(20)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

12. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Donald Trump


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
42%
44%

16%
41%
43%

11%
44%
46%

47%
12%
40%

14%
40%
46%

8%
47%
45%

11%
46%
43%

14%
41%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(610)

(316)

(294)

(61)

(102)

(297)

(149)

(574)

(2)

(4)

(30)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

13. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Ted Cruz


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
49%
13%

45%
45%
10%

32%
53%
16%

56%
35%
8%

57%
40%
2%

35%
50%
16%

24%
59%
17%

38%
49%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(606)

(311)

(296)

(61)

(104)

(292)

(148)

(571)

(2)

(4)

(30)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

14. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Marco Rubio


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
46%
34%

24%
43%
33%

15%
51%
34%

27%
65%
8%

20%
67%
13%

19%
40%
41%

17%
39%
44%

20%
45%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(604)

(312)

(292)

(61)

(100)

(294)

(148)

(569)

(2)

(4)

(30)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

15. Republican Candidate Conservative Level John Kasich


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

15%
55%
30%

15%
54%
31%

14%
56%
29%

17%
73%
9%

21%
58%
21%

17%
47%
37%

5%
64%
31%

14%
57%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(607)

(315)

(292)

(61)

(100)

(296)

(149)

(571)

(2)

(4)

(30)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

16. Establishment Republican Candidate


If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

10%
46%
36%
8%

11%
55%
32%
3%

9%
36%
40%
14%

20%
26%
32%
21%

21%
25%
44%
10%

6%
50%
37%
7%

6%
60%
29%
5%

9%
46%
37%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(326)

(304)

(62)

(112)

(304)

(151)

(594)

(2)

(4)

(30)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

17. Trade with China


Do you think the US should try to put more or fewer trade restrictions on China?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
More trade restrictions
Fewer trade restrictions
Keep trade as it is
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
7%
18%
16%

61%
8%
19%
11%

58%
5%
16%
22%

39%
10%
32%
19%

28%
14%
21%
37%

70%
5%
13%
12%

70%
2%
18%
9%

60%
7%
16%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(628)

(324)

(303)

(62)

(113)

(303)

(150)

(592)

(2)

(4)

(30)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

18. Republican Candidate Trust Donald Trump


Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

48%
52%

52%
48%

44%
56%

25%
75%

43%
57%

52%
48%

52%
48%

46%
54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(323)

(296)

(62)

(106)

(302)

(148)

(583)

(2)

(4)

(30)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

19. Republican Candidate Trust Marco Rubio


Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
49%

49%
51%

54%
46%

52%
48%

58%
42%

50%
50%

50%
50%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(618)

(320)

(298)

(62)

(105)

(302)

(149)

(582)

(2)

(4)

(30)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

20. Republican Candidate Trust Ted Cruz


Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

53%
47%

51%
49%

56%
44%

41%
59%

55%
45%

55%
45%

53%
47%

52%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(321)

(298)

(62)

(105)

(303)

(149)

(584)

(2)

(4)

(30)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

21. Republican Candidate Trust John Kasich


Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

74%
26%

77%
23%

72%
28%

63%
37%

66%
34%

74%
26%

85%
15%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(613)

(321)

(293)

(62)

(101)

(301)

(150)

(577)

(2)

(4)

(30)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

22. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most able to bring needed change
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

50%
11%
22%
17%

52%
13%
15%
19%

47%
9%
28%
15%

26%
23%
11%
40%

50%
20%
28%
3%

55%
8%
21%
15%

48%
8%
22%
22%

48%
12%
22%
17%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(618)

(323)

(295)

(57)

(111)

(299)

(150)

(582)

(2)

(4)

(30)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

23. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most prepared to be president


Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
10%
28%
30%

27%
11%
26%
37%

36%
10%
31%
23%

27%
20%
14%
40%

39%
9%
28%
25%

31%
8%
33%
28%

27%
13%
25%
35%

30%
11%
28%
31%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(615)

(321)

(294)

(56)

(111)

(300)

(148)

(580)

(2)

(4)

(29)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

24. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most able to win in November
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
19%
19%
8%

50%
21%
17%
12%

57%
17%
22%
4%

33%
30%
13%
24%

55%
28%
16%
1%

56%
16%
22%
6%

56%
13%
18%
14%

53%
19%
19%
9%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(320)

(294)

(57)

(111)

(297)

(149)

(578)

(2)

(4)

(30)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

25. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most focused on issues


Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

32%
11%
30%
27%

31%
12%
26%
31%

32%
11%
34%
23%

6%
19%
26%
48%

39%
10%
26%
25%

35%
11%
32%
23%

30%
11%
29%
30%

30%
12%
30%
28%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(319)

(298)

(57)

(108)

(302)

(150)

(581)

(2)

(4)

(30)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

26. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most focused on personal attacks
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

65%
22%
12%
1%

62%
25%
13%
0%

68%
20%
11%
1%

79%
10%
10%
0%

69%
17%
14%
0%

63%
25%
11%
1%

58%
26%
15%
0%

65%
22%
12%
0%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(322)

(295)

(56)

(112)

(303)

(146)

(582)

(2)

(4)

(30)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

27. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Best understands the middle class
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
17%
21%
31%

31%
14%
17%
39%

32%
20%
25%
23%

14%
38%
4%
44%

41%
20%
15%
23%

32%
15%
25%
27%

30%
9%
21%
40%

30%
18%
21%
31%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(613)

(320)

(293)

(57)

(110)

(299)

(147)

(578)

(2)

(4)

(30)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

28. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most likely to get things done
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

49%
11%
21%
18%

51%
10%
18%
21%

48%
13%
24%
15%

24%
21%
5%
50%

47%
21%
18%
14%

54%
7%
26%
13%

51%
11%
19%
20%

48%
12%
22%
18%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(616)

(321)

(296)

(52)

(112)

(302)

(150)

(581)

(2)

(4)

(30)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

29. Republican Party Priority


Which do you feel the Republican party needs to do more of right now...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Reach out to include new groups and
new people
Pay more attention to its regular
voters
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%

54%

50%

58%

55%

49%

53%

51%

48%

46%

50%

42%

45%

51%

47%

49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(624)

(323)

(301)

(60)

(112)

(303)

(149)

(590)

(2)

(2)

(30)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

30. Republican Candidate Best Job Taxes


Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

42%
12%
26%
20%

40%
10%
26%
24%

44%
15%
26%
15%

29%
29%
11%
31%

46%
15%
26%
13%

45%
11%
29%
16%

38%
9%
24%
29%

41%
13%
25%
21%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(326)

(291)

(52)

(115)

(299)

(150)

(582)

(2)

(4)

(30)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

31. Republican Candidate Best Job Federal spending and budgets


Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

44%
6%
25%
25%

42%
5%
23%
29%

46%
8%
26%
20%

35%
5%
7%
54%

50%
10%
31%
10%

44%
6%
27%
23%

43%
5%
21%
31%

43%
7%
25%
25%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(323)

(292)

(52)

(115)

(297)

(150)

(579)

(2)

(4)

(30)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

32. Republican Candidate Best Job Immigration


Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

52%
12%
23%
13%

55%
12%
17%
16%

47%
13%
30%
10%

28%
30%
7%
36%

49%
21%
27%
3%

55%
8%
25%
12%

56%
8%
22%
14%

51%
13%
23%
13%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(326)

(296)

(52)

(117)

(301)

(151)

(586)

(2)

(4)

(30)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

33. Republican Candidate Best Job Trade policy


Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

54%
9%
18%
19%

56%
7%
16%
21%

52%
11%
21%
17%

20%
17%
14%
49%

58%
12%
19%
12%

59%
7%
19%
16%

54%
8%
17%
20%

53%
9%
18%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(326)

(293)

(52)

(115)

(300)

(151)

(583)

(2)

(4)

(30)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

34. Opinion of Republican Candidates Donald Trump


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

31%
41%
28%

34%
41%
25%

28%
41%
32%

12%
72%
16%

32%
38%
29%

34%
38%
28%

30%
37%
33%

29%
43%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(623)

(324)

(299)

(57)

(110)

(304)

(151)

(586)

(2)

(4)

(30)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

35. Opinion of Republican Candidates Marco Rubio


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

18%
49%
33%

15%
57%
28%

21%
40%
39%

26%
50%
24%

18%
26%
55%

15%
52%
32%

20%
57%
23%

18%
49%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(620)

(322)

(297)

(56)

(110)

(304)

(149)

(583)

(2)

(4)

(30)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

36. Opinion of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

25%
38%
37%

24%
38%
37%

26%
38%
37%

14%
51%
34%

17%
34%
49%

27%
37%
35%

30%
38%
32%

25%
38%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(324)

(298)

(56)

(112)

(303)

(151)

(586)

(2)

(4)

(30)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

37. Opinion of Republican Candidates John Kasich


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
14%
47%

43%
17%
40%

35%
10%
54%

64%
4%
32%

26%
19%
55%

35%
15%
50%

49%
12%
39%

40%
14%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(620)

(324)

(297)

(56)

(110)

(303)

(151)

(584)

(2)

(4)

(30)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

38. Republican Response to Trump


If Donald Trump wins more primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Gender
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%

39%

47%

71%

58%

32%

36%

43%

37%
20%

42%
19%

32%
21%

14%
15%

18%
24%

47%
22%

48%
16%

36%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(387)

(196)

(191)

(54)

(71)

(172)

(90)

(373)

(1)

(2)

(12)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

39. Ban Muslims from Entering US


Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering the United States, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

70%
30%

68%
32%

71%
29%

50%
50%

53%
47%

77%
23%

74%
26%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(324)

(298)

(62)

(108)

(302)

(151)

(587)

(2)

(4)

(30)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

40. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

70%
30%

66%
34%

73%
27%

57%
43%

64%
36%

75%
25%

82%
18%

66%
34%

87%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(254)

(89)

(415)

(139)

(15)

(26)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

41. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

84%
16%

86%
14%

83%
17%

91%
9%

92%
8%

81%
19%

71%
29%

86%
14%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(583)

(251)

(333)

(98)

(152)

(243)

(89)

(414)

(129)

(15)

(26)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

42. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
50%

59%
41%

44%
56%

69%
31%

66%
34%

39%
61%

34%
66%

58%
42%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(584)

(251)

(334)

(98)

(152)

(246)

(88)

(411)

(133)

(15)

(26)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

43. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

18%
82%

8%
92%

26%
74%

9%
91%

13%
87%

25%
75%

17%
83%

12%
88%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(587)

(257)

(330)

(98)

(152)

(249)

(88)

(413)

(134)

(15)

(25)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

44. Democratic Candidate Job Improving race relations in America


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
46%

46%
54%

60%
40%

34%
66%

40%
60%

63%
37%

76%
24%

47%
53%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(591)

(254)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(251)

(89)

(415)

(135)

(15)

(26)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

45. Democratic Candidate Job Gun policy


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
43%

44%
56%

67%
33%

39%
61%

49%
51%

65%
35%

70%
30%

48%
52%

85%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(254)

(89)

(415)

(139)

(15)

(26)

45

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

46. Democratic Candidate Job Being Commander in Chief


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

51%
49%

68%
32%

54%
46%

46%
54%

66%
34%

79%
21%

56%
44%

79%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(593)

(258)

(335)

(98)

(152)

(252)

(90)

(416)

(137)

(15)

(26)

46

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

47. Democratic Candidate Job Health care


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
49%

38%
62%

61%
39%

33%
67%

42%
58%

60%
40%

62%
38%

42%
58%

80%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(592)

(258)

(335)

(98)

(152)

(253)

(89)

(415)

(137)

(15)

(26)

47

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

48. Democratic Candidate Job Standing up to a Republican Congress


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
44%

42%
58%

66%
34%

41%
59%

44%
56%

63%
37%

71%
29%

48%
52%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(258)

(336)

(98)

(152)

(255)

(88)

(416)

(138)

(15)

(26)

48

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

49. Democratic Candidate Job Fixing income inequality


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
61%

24%
76%

50%
50%

12%
88%

30%
70%

53%
47%

40%
60%

27%
73%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(257)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(254)

(89)

(415)

(139)

(15)

(26)

49

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

50. Democratic Candidate Qualities Hillary Clinton


Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

49%
81%
33%

47%
78%
30%

50%
84%
35%

45%
81%
36%

34%
83%
19%

54%
78%
35%

63%
89%
48%

45%
81%
32%

55%
85%
30%

(597)

(260)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(256)

(90)

(416)

(141)

(15)

(26)

50

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

51. Democratic Candidate Qualities Bernie Sanders


Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

80%
59%
69%

83%
63%
83%

77%
56%
59%

89%
76%
99%

81%
73%
67%

76%
47%
57%

77%
52%
75%

84%
68%
78%

68%
34%
45%

(597)

(260)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(256)

(90)

(416)

(141)

(15)

(26)

51

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

52. Democratic Vote Reasons


When you vote in the Michigan primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
11%
34%

4%
12%
37%

10%
10%
31%

15%
6%
58%

1%
17%
51%

9%
8%
18%

3%
15%
20%

7%
12%
41%

8%
7%
11%

48%

47%

49%

21%

30%

65%

61%

40%

74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(595)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(255)

(90)

(416)

(139)

(15)

(26)

52

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

53. Next President Policies


Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Generally continue Barack Obamas
policies
Change to more progressive policies
than Barack Obama
Change to less progressive policies
than Barack Obama
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%

31%

45%

26%

46%

40%

38%

34%

56%

58%

64%

53%

71%

54%

54%

59%

63%

44%

4%

6%

2%

3%

0%

7%

3%

4%

0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(591)

(258)

(333)

(98)

(152)

(251)

(89)

(415)

(135)

(15)

(26)

53

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

54. Democratic Party Representation


These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but at least more than the
Republicans do
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

21%
56%
6%

22%
56%
6%

20%
56%
6%

8%
79%
1%

15%
59%
4%

25%
51%
8%

33%
42%
9%

21%
59%
5%

21%
47%
11%

17%

16%

18%

12%

21%

16%

17%

15%

21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(595)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(255)

(90)

(416)

(139)

(15)

(26)

54

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

55. Enthusiasm for Other Candidate


If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
28%

15%
35%

13%
22%

8%
28%

10%
34%

18%
26%

17%
20%

12%
31%

20%
20%

44%
14%

34%
16%

52%
13%

37%
27%

39%
17%

48%
8%

48%
15%

39%
18%

56%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(588)

(256)

(332)

(97)

(149)

(254)

(88)

(410)

(138)

(15)

(26)

55

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

56. Opinion of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
19%
43%

29%
22%
49%

45%
17%
38%

23%
29%
48%

31%
30%
40%

45%
12%
44%

44%
14%
42%

32%
23%
45%

56%
6%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(254)

(90)

(416)

(139)

(15)

(25)

56

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan

57. Opinion of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
8%
47%

49%
4%
47%

43%
11%
47%

38%
17%
45%

61%
6%
33%

43%
5%
52%

34%
11%
55%

49%
9%
42%

32%
6%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(590)

(258)

(333)

(98)

(152)

(250)

(89)

(415)

(135)

(15)

(26)

57

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

638 Likely Republican Primary Voters


March 2-4, 2016

5.9%

1. Interest in Presidential Campaign


Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

65%
27%
7%

70%
21%
10%

60%
31%
8%

66%
29%
4%

68%
26%
7%

64%
29%
8%

61%
34%
4%

68%
22%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(638)

(197)

(198)

(163)

(269)

(369)

(260)

(352)

Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

65%
27%
7%

71%
23%
7%

60%
32%
8%

65%
29%
6%

51%
33%
16%

68%
27%
5%

71%
24%
5%

63%
30%
7%

69%
25%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(638)

(330)

(308)

(62)

(119)

(306)

(151)

(348)

(184)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

5%
24%
15%
16%
39%
0%

6%
39%
5%
17%
32%
0%

8%
26%
11%
14%
42%
0%

2%
10%
19%
24%
44%
1%

5%
39%
5%
13%
38%
0%

6%
14%
22%
18%
40%
0%

5%
29%
9%
22%
35%
0%

6%
21%
20%
11%
42%
0%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(637)

(197)

(198)

(163)

(269)

(369)

(260)

(352)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

5%
24%
15%
16%
39%
0%

4%
24%
18%
14%
41%
0%

7%
25%
12%
18%
38%
0%

2%
34%
20%
32%
12%
0%

11%
19%
8%
21%
41%
0%

4%
26%
15%
11%
44%
0%

4%
22%
18%
15%
41%
1%

5%
23%
11%
19%
41%
0%

8%
22%
16%
12%
41%
0%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(637)

(330)

(308)

(62)

(119)

(305)

(151)

(348)

(184)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%
28%
16%
6%

64%
24%
10%
3%

40%
32%
24%
4%

47%
35%
12%
6%

57%
27%
14%
2%

45%
29%
17%
9%

46%
28%
19%
7%

51%
29%
14%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(580)

(181)

(180)

(149)

(245)

(335)

(239)

(316)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

50%
28%
16%
6%

57%
25%
12%
6%

43%
32%
19%
6%

55%
27%
12%
5%

51%
27%
17%
5%

49%
28%
19%
4%

48%
29%
15%
8%

52%
29%
16%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(298)

(281)

100%

(580)

(118)

(293)

(122)

(321)

(171)

(47)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Attention Donald Trump


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

30%
70%

27%
73%

24%
76%

29%
71%

21%
79%

36%
64%

33%
67%

29%
71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(606)

(184)

(190)

(160)

(250)

(357)

(244)

(336)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

30%
70%

27%
73%

34%
66%

58%
42%

41%
59%

25%
75%

21%
79%

28%
72%

31%
69%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(606)

(314)

(292)

(61)

(105)

(292)

(148)

(324)

(178)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Candidate Attention Ted Cruz


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

47%
53%

29%
71%

40%
60%

64%
36%

28%
72%

63%
37%

37%
63%

53%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(598)

(197)

(181)

(157)

(263)

(334)

(244)

(328)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

47%
53%

51%
49%

43%
57%

61%
39%

39%
61%

45%
55%

50%
50%

42%
58%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(598)

(316)

(282)

(62)

(93)

(297)

(146)

(314)

(181)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

6. Republican Candidate Attention Marco Rubio


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

66%
34%

66%
34%

65%
35%

62%
38%

69%
31%

64%
36%

54%
46%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(193)

(182)

(159)

(259)

(338)

(242)

(329)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

66%
34%

75%
25%

57%
43%

42%
58%

49%
51%

74%
26%

72%
28%

59%
41%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(314)

(283)

(62)

(95)

(293)

(148)

(312)

(180)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Attention John Kasich


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

48%
52%

56%
44%

40%
60%

42%
58%

50%
50%

47%
53%

45%
55%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(585)

(187)

(178)

(156)

(253)

(332)

(233)

(327)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

48%
52%

51%
49%

45%
55%

45%
55%

49%
51%

54%
46%

38%
62%

47%
53%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(585)

(312)

(273)

(61)

(85)

(292)

(148)

(302)

(180)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Donald Trump


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

14%
42%
44%

1%
37%
62%

4%
50%
46%

19%
46%
35%

0%
43%
56%

23%
41%
36%

8%
37%
55%

17%
45%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(610)

(185)

(192)

(161)

(252)

(357)

(243)

(341)

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

14%
42%
44%

16%
41%
43%

11%
44%
46%

47%
12%
40%

14%
40%
46%

8%
47%
45%

11%
46%
43%

9%
44%
46%

10%
43%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(610)

(316)

(294)

(61)

(102)

(297)

(149)

(324)

(181)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Ted Cruz


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

38%
49%
13%

10%
75%
15%

28%
57%
14%

60%
27%
13%

12%
75%
12%

56%
30%
13%

27%
57%
16%

47%
44%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(606)

(186)

(188)

(160)

(250)

(356)

(243)

(338)

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

38%
49%
13%

45%
45%
10%

32%
53%
16%

56%
35%
8%

57%
40%
2%

35%
50%
16%

24%
59%
17%

34%
55%
11%

42%
43%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(606)

(311)

(296)

(61)

(104)

(292)

(148)

(320)

(181)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Marco Rubio


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
46%
34%

2%
44%
54%

11%
56%
33%

27%
51%
22%

4%
45%
51%

31%
48%
21%

9%
52%
39%

28%
43%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(604)

(184)

(188)

(159)

(250)

(354)

(237)

(341)

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

20%
46%
34%

24%
43%
33%

15%
51%
34%

27%
65%
8%

20%
67%
13%

19%
40%
41%

17%
39%
44%

16%
51%
33%

18%
47%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(604)

(312)

(292)

(61)

(100)

(294)

(148)

(319)

(180)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidate Conservative Level John Kasich


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

15%
55%
30%

1%
44%
55%

5%
69%
26%

19%
66%
15%

2%
48%
50%

23%
61%
16%

4%
63%
33%

23%
50%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(607)

(184)

(191)

(159)

(250)

(357)

(241)

(340)

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

15%
55%
30%

15%
54%
31%

14%
56%
29%

17%
73%
9%

21%
58%
21%

17%
47%
37%

5%
64%
31%

14%
58%
29%

11%
59%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(607)

(315)

(292)

(61)

(100)

(296)

(149)

(321)

(181)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

12. Establishment Republican Candidate


If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

10%
46%
36%
8%

8%
57%
31%
4%

3%
48%
41%
8%

4%
39%
43%
15%

3%
63%
31%
3%

15%
33%
40%
12%

6%
46%
38%
9%

14%
45%
34%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(196)

(198)

(163)

(268)

(362)

(260)

(344)

Gender
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

10%
46%
36%
8%

11%
55%
32%
3%

9%
36%
40%
14%

20%
26%
32%
21%

21%
25%
44%
10%

6%
50%
37%
7%

6%
60%
29%
5%

12%
41%
37%
10%

2%
54%
35%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(326)

(304)

(62)

(112)

(304)

(151)

(340)

(184)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

13. Trade with China


Do you think the US should try to put more or fewer trade restrictions on China?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
More trade restrictions
Fewer trade restrictions
Keep trade as it is
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

59%
7%
18%
16%

67%
7%
10%
16%

64%
3%
16%
17%

60%
11%
14%
15%

70%
4%
12%
14%

52%
9%
21%
18%

61%
8%
14%
18%

57%
6%
21%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(628)

(193)

(196)

(163)

(266)

(362)

(255)

(347)

Gender
More trade restrictions
Fewer trade restrictions
Keep trade as it is
Dont know

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

59%
7%
18%
16%

61%
8%
19%
11%

58%
5%
16%
22%

39%
10%
32%
19%

28%
14%
21%
37%

70%
5%
13%
12%

70%
2%
18%
9%

60%
6%
17%
17%

62%
8%
13%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(628)

(324)

(303)

(62)

(113)

(303)

(150)

(340)

(184)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Trust Donald Trump


Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

48%
52%

45%
55%

54%
46%

52%
48%

54%
46%

43%
57%

46%
54%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(194)

(190)

(162)

(265)

(354)

(251)

(342)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

48%
52%

52%
48%

44%
56%

25%
75%

43%
57%

52%
48%

52%
48%

51%
49%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(323)

(296)

(62)

(106)

(302)

(148)

(330)

(183)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Trust Marco Rubio


Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

51%
49%

48%
52%

50%
50%

50%
50%

46%
54%

55%
45%

57%
43%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(618)

(193)

(191)

(160)

(262)

(356)

(250)

(343)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

51%
49%

49%
51%

54%
46%

52%
48%

58%
42%

50%
50%

50%
50%

57%
43%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(618)

(320)

(298)

(62)

(105)

(302)

(149)

(333)

(182)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Trust Ted Cruz


Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

53%
47%

68%
32%

59%
41%

41%
59%

71%
29%

40%
60%

64%
36%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(197)

(188)

(162)

(263)

(356)

(249)

(344)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

53%
47%

51%
49%

56%
44%

41%
59%

55%
45%

55%
45%

53%
47%

60%
40%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(321)

(298)

(62)

(105)

(303)

(149)

(334)

(184)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Trust John Kasich


Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

74%
26%

69%
31%

78%
22%

77%
23%

74%
26%

75%
25%

75%
25%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(613)

(190)

(190)

(161)

(260)

(353)

(246)

(342)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

74%
26%

77%
23%

72%
28%

63%
37%

66%
34%

74%
26%

85%
15%

82%
18%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(613)

(321)

(293)

(62)

(101)

(301)

(150)

(325)

(182)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most able to bring needed change
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

50%
11%
22%
17%

45%
13%
36%
7%

58%
11%
20%
11%

53%
17%
12%
19%

54%
8%
32%
6%

47%
14%
14%
25%

46%
16%
26%
12%

52%
7%
19%
21%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(618)

(195)

(189)

(160)

(263)

(355)

(251)

(340)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

50%
11%
22%
17%

52%
13%
15%
19%

47%
9%
28%
15%

26%
23%
11%
40%

50%
20%
28%
3%

55%
8%
21%
15%

48%
8%
22%
22%

51%
14%
21%
14%

55%
10%
21%
14%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(618)

(323)

(295)

(57)

(111)

(299)

(150)

(331)

(181)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most prepared to be president


Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
10%
28%
30%

28%
11%
46%
15%

35%
9%
25%
30%

33%
11%
14%
42%

30%
4%
45%
21%

32%
15%
16%
37%

32%
14%
34%
20%

30%
8%
24%
37%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(615)

(195)

(187)

(160)

(265)

(349)

(250)

(339)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
10%
28%
30%

27%
11%
26%
37%

36%
10%
31%
23%

27%
20%
14%
40%

39%
9%
28%
25%

31%
8%
33%
28%

27%
13%
25%
35%

36%
13%
31%
21%

29%
7%
26%
37%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(615)

(321)

(294)

(56)

(111)

(300)

(148)

(329)

(180)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most able to win in November
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
19%
19%
8%

49%
15%
33%
3%

65%
12%
17%
6%

57%
24%
11%
8%

54%
13%
30%
3%

53%
23%
11%
13%

51%
20%
25%
4%

55%
18%
15%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(194)

(190)

(158)

(266)

(348)

(249)

(339)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
19%
19%
8%

50%
21%
17%
12%

57%
17%
22%
4%

33%
30%
13%
24%

55%
28%
16%
1%

56%
16%
22%
6%

56%
13%
18%
14%

55%
19%
19%
6%

57%
18%
20%
6%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(320)

(294)

(57)

(111)

(297)

(149)

(330)

(178)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most focused on issues


Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

32%
11%
30%
27%

29%
14%
45%
12%

36%
8%
29%
27%

31%
12%
22%
35%

32%
8%
46%
13%

31%
14%
17%
38%

30%
13%
35%
23%

32%
11%
26%
31%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(193)

(191)

(160)

(263)

(354)

(248)

(343)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

32%
11%
30%
27%

31%
12%
26%
31%

32%
11%
34%
23%

6%
19%
26%
48%

39%
10%
26%
25%

35%
11%
32%
23%

30%
11%
29%
30%

34%
16%
32%
18%

32%
7%
27%
34%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(319)

(298)

(57)

(108)

(302)

(150)

(334)

(178)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

22. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most focused on personal attacks
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

65%
22%
12%
1%

64%
24%
10%
1%

60%
29%
11%
0%

62%
22%
16%
1%

60%
30%
9%
0%

68%
17%
14%
1%

69%
21%
10%
0%

62%
24%
14%
1%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(195)

(187)

(162)

(264)

(353)

(251)

(340)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

65%
22%
12%
1%

62%
25%
13%
0%

68%
20%
11%
1%

79%
10%
10%
0%

69%
17%
14%
0%

63%
25%
11%
1%

58%
26%
15%
0%

62%
24%
13%
1%

65%
21%
14%
0%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(322)

(295)

(56)

(112)

(303)

(146)

(328)

(184)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

23. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Best understands the middle class
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
17%
21%
31%

31%
17%
37%
16%

34%
17%
16%
34%

31%
18%
13%
38%

31%
13%
34%
21%

32%
19%
10%
39%

27%
18%
27%
29%

33%
16%
16%
34%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(613)

(195)

(189)

(157)

(263)

(350)

(250)

(336)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
17%
21%
31%

31%
14%
17%
39%

32%
20%
25%
23%

14%
38%
4%
44%

41%
20%
15%
23%

32%
15%
25%
27%

30%
9%
21%
40%

36%
18%
20%
25%

28%
15%
19%
37%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(613)

(320)

(293)

(57)

(110)

(299)

(147)

(330)

(178)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

24. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most likely to get things done
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

49%
11%
21%
18%

48%
12%
34%
6%

57%
10%
18%
16%

52%
18%
9%
21%

54%
7%
33%
7%

46%
15%
12%
27%

49%
16%
23%
13%

49%
7%
21%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(616)

(197)

(190)

(159)

(265)

(351)

(249)

(341)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

49%
11%
21%
18%

51%
10%
18%
21%

48%
13%
24%
15%

24%
21%
5%
50%

47%
21%
18%
14%

54%
7%
26%
13%

51%
11%
19%
20%

50%
14%
23%
13%

53%
10%
19%
17%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(616)

(321)

(296)

(52)

(112)

(302)

(150)

(329)

(182)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

25. Republican Party Priority


Which do you feel the Republican party needs to do more of right now...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Reach out to include new groups and
new people
Pay more attention to its regular
voters
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

52%

34%

56%

62%

42%

59%

51%

54%

48%

66%

44%

38%

58%

41%

49%

46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(624)

(195)

(196)

(162)

(266)

(359)

(254)

(344)

Gender
Reach out to include new groups and
new people
Pay more attention to its regular
voters

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

52%

54%

50%

58%

55%

49%

53%

53%

54%

48%

46%

50%

42%

45%

51%

47%

47%

46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(624)

(323)

(301)

(60)

(112)

(303)

(149)

(337)

(182)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

26. Republican Candidate Best Job Taxes


Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

42%
12%
26%
20%

37%
12%
42%
9%

47%
10%
24%
19%

46%
14%
15%
24%

42%
7%
41%
11%

42%
17%
15%
27%

40%
15%
30%
14%

43%
10%
23%
24%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(192)

(191)

(156)

(263)

(354)

(244)

(347)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

42%
12%
26%
20%

40%
10%
26%
24%

44%
15%
26%
15%

29%
29%
11%
31%

46%
15%
26%
13%

45%
11%
29%
16%

38%
9%
24%
29%

44%
13%
26%
17%

46%
9%
25%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(617)

(326)

(291)

(52)

(115)

(299)

(150)

(331)

(181)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

27. Republican Candidate Best Job Federal spending and budgets


Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

44%
6%
25%
25%

38%
11%
38%
13%

50%
6%
24%
20%

46%
5%
16%
33%

42%
5%
38%
15%

45%
7%
15%
32%

45%
9%
28%
18%

42%
5%
23%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(191)

(191)

(155)

(263)

(352)

(242)

(347)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

44%
6%
25%
25%

42%
5%
23%
29%

46%
8%
26%
20%

35%
5%
7%
54%

50%
10%
31%
10%

44%
6%
27%
23%

43%
5%
21%
31%

47%
8%
24%
21%

44%
6%
25%
26%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(323)

(292)

(52)

(115)

(297)

(150)

(332)

(178)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

28. Republican Candidate Best Job Immigration


Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

52%
12%
23%
13%

48%
12%
37%
3%

64%
10%
20%
6%

52%
20%
14%
14%

55%
6%
37%
1%

49%
17%
13%
21%

51%
17%
25%
7%

52%
8%
23%
18%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(195)

(191)

(159)

(264)

(358)

(247)

(349)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

52%
12%
23%
13%

55%
12%
17%
16%

47%
13%
30%
10%

28%
30%
7%
36%

49%
21%
27%
3%

55%
8%
25%
12%

56%
8%
22%
14%

53%
13%
25%
9%

57%
15%
20%
9%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(326)

(296)

(52)

(117)

(301)

(151)

(334)

(182)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

29. Republican Candidate Best Job Trade policy


Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

54%
9%
18%
19%

51%
11%
30%
7%

61%
10%
16%
13%

60%
9%
8%
23%

56%
7%
31%
6%

53%
10%
8%
29%

52%
11%
23%
14%

55%
7%
15%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(194)

(191)

(157)

(264)

(355)

(244)

(349)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

54%
9%
18%
19%

56%
7%
16%
21%

52%
11%
21%
17%

20%
17%
14%
49%

58%
12%
19%
12%

59%
7%
19%
16%

54%
8%
17%
20%

55%
12%
19%
14%

62%
6%
14%
18%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(326)

(293)

(52)

(115)

(300)

(151)

(333)

(181)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

30. Opinion of Republican Candidates Donald Trump


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

31%
41%
28%

28%
40%
32%

32%
35%
33%

36%
40%
24%

32%
36%
32%

30%
45%
25%

26%
46%
29%

33%
39%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(623)

(195)

(192)

(162)

(266)

(357)

(252)

(344)

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

31%
41%
28%

34%
41%
25%

28%
41%
32%

12%
72%
16%

32%
38%
29%

34%
38%
28%

30%
37%
33%

32%
39%
29%

33%
35%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(623)

(324)

(299)

(57)

(110)

(304)

(151)

(333)

(183)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

31. Opinion of Republican Candidates Marco Rubio


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

18%
49%
33%

19%
47%
34%

19%
47%
35%

17%
51%
31%

16%
54%
30%

20%
45%
36%

25%
41%
34%

14%
54%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(620)

(195)

(189)

(163)

(265)

(355)

(252)

(341)

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

18%
49%
33%

15%
57%
28%

21%
40%
39%

26%
50%
24%

18%
26%
55%

15%
52%
32%

20%
57%
23%

21%
43%
36%

14%
53%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(620)

(322)

(297)

(56)

(110)

(304)

(149)

(330)

(184)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

32. Opinion of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

25%
38%
37%

39%
29%
31%

28%
37%
35%

13%
47%
40%

41%
27%
32%

13%
46%
41%

31%
31%
38%

22%
42%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(195)

(191)

(163)

(267)

(355)

(252)

(343)

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

25%
38%
37%

24%
38%
37%

26%
38%
37%

14%
51%
34%

17%
34%
49%

27%
37%
35%

30%
38%
32%

30%
32%
38%

20%
40%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(324)

(298)

(56)

(112)

(303)

(151)

(334)

(182)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

33. Opinion of Republican Candidates John Kasich


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

39%
14%
47%

27%
19%
54%

43%
12%
45%

47%
11%
42%

31%
16%
53%

45%
12%
42%

36%
14%
50%

42%
14%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(620)

(194)

(191)

(163)

(264)

(356)

(251)

(342)

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

39%
14%
47%

43%
17%
40%

35%
10%
54%

64%
4%
32%

26%
19%
55%

35%
15%
50%

49%
12%
39%

35%
14%
51%

42%
13%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(620)

(324)

(297)

(56)

(110)

(303)

(151)

(331)

(184)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

34. Republican Response to Trump


If Donald Trump wins more primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Ideology
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

43%

29%

36%

56%

24%

57%

47%

39%

37%
20%

54%
17%

45%
20%

21%
23%

58%
18%

21%
21%

35%
18%

39%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(387)

(134)

(116)

(92)

(167)

(221)

(169)

(205)

Gender
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

43%

39%

47%

71%

58%

32%

36%

38%

38%

37%
20%

42%
19%

32%
21%

14%
15%

18%
24%

47%
22%

48%
16%

38%
24%

43%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(387)

(196)

(191)

(54)

(71)

(172)

(90)

(206)

(109)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Republican Voters

35. Ban Muslims from Entering US


Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering the United States, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

70%
30%

82%
18%

79%
21%

60%
40%

85%
15%

58%
42%

71%
29%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(190)

(197)

(162)

(267)

(355)

(258)

(338)

Gender
Should ban
Should not ban

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

70%
30%

68%
32%

71%
29%

50%
50%

53%
47%

77%
23%

74%
26%

77%
23%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(324)

(298)

(62)

(108)

(302)

(151)

(335)

(182)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

597 Likely Democratic Primary Voters


March 2-4, 2016

7.7%

1. Interest in Presidential Campaign


Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

61%
28%
11%

75%
21%
4%

59%
29%
13%

58%
31%
11%

65%
27%
8%

51%
33%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(415)

(141)

Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

61%
28%
11%

66%
25%
9%

57%
31%
12%

84%
14%
2%

59%
35%
5%

56%
28%
17%

52%
35%
13%

60%
31%
10%

76%
16%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(259)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(256)

(90)

(481)

(72)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

55%
44%
1%

25%
75%
0%

54%
46%
0%

62%
38%
1%

46%
53%
1%

80%
19%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(416)

(141)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

55%
44%
1%

48%
52%
1%

60%
39%
1%

33%
65%
1%

42%
56%
2%

65%
35%
0%

70%
29%
1%

59%
40%
1%

30%
68%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(260)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(256)

(90)

(482)

(72)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

67%
20%
12%
0%

82%
11%
6%
1%

69%
20%
11%
0%

58%
30%
11%
1%

64%
24%
12%
1%

69%
14%
16%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(552)

(94)

(183)

(174)

(381)

(130)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

67%
20%
12%
0%

60%
26%
14%
0%

72%
15%
12%
1%

78%
11%
11%
0%

70%
23%
6%
1%

63%
21%
16%
1%

61%
23%
16%
0%

68%
19%
12%
0%

62%
30%
8%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(552)

(242)

(311)

(92)

(148)

(243)

(70)

(443)

(67)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

70%
30%

57%
43%

79%
21%

70%
30%

66%
34%

87%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(415)

(139)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

70%
30%

66%
34%

73%
27%

57%
43%

64%
36%

75%
25%

82%
18%

77%
23%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(254)

(89)

(481)

(72)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

84%
16%

97%
3%

93%
7%

75%
25%

86%
14%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(583)

(100)

(190)

(196)

(414)

(129)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

84%
16%

86%
14%

83%
17%

91%
9%

92%
8%

81%
19%

71%
29%

84%
16%

93%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(583)

(251)

(333)

(98)

(152)

(243)

(89)

(470)

(72)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

50%
50%

72%
28%

52%
48%

48%
52%

58%
42%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(584)

(101)

(189)

(194)

(411)

(133)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

50%
50%

59%
41%

44%
56%

69%
31%

66%
34%

39%
61%

34%
66%

46%
54%

81%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(584)

(251)

(334)

(98)

(152)

(246)

(88)

(471)

(72)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

18%
82%

6%
94%

8%
92%

23%
77%

12%
88%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(587)

(100)

(190)

(193)

(413)

(134)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

18%
82%

8%
92%

26%
74%

9%
91%

13%
87%

25%
75%

17%
83%

17%
83%

12%
88%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(587)

(257)

(330)

(98)

(152)

(249)

(88)

(474)

(72)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Job Improving race relations in America


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

54%
46%

33%
67%

53%
47%

57%
43%

47%
53%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(591)

(101)

(190)

(193)

(415)

(135)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

54%
46%

46%
54%

60%
40%

34%
66%

40%
60%

63%
37%

76%
24%

57%
43%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(591)

(254)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(251)

(89)

(478)

(72)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

9. Democratic Candidate Job Gun policy


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

57%
43%

44%
56%

55%
45%

63%
37%

48%
52%

85%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(415)

(139)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

57%
43%

44%
56%

67%
33%

39%
61%

49%
51%

65%
35%

70%
30%

61%
39%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(254)

(89)

(481)

(72)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

10. Democratic Candidate Job Being Commander in Chief


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

61%
39%

49%
51%

63%
37%

65%
35%

56%
44%

79%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(593)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(416)

(137)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

61%
39%

51%
49%

68%
32%

54%
46%

46%
54%

66%
34%

79%
21%

65%
35%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(593)

(258)

(335)

(98)

(152)

(252)

(90)

(481)

(72)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

11. Democratic Candidate Job Health care


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

51%
49%

27%
73%

52%
48%

55%
45%

42%
58%

80%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(592)

(99)

(190)

(195)

(415)

(137)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

51%
49%

38%
62%

61%
39%

33%
67%

42%
58%

60%
40%

62%
38%

55%
45%

30%
70%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(592)

(258)

(335)

(98)

(152)

(253)

(89)

(479)

(72)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democratic Candidate Job Standing up to a Republican Congress


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

56%
44%

30%
70%

57%
43%

59%
41%

48%
52%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(100)

(190)

(196)

(416)

(138)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

56%
44%

42%
58%

66%
34%

41%
59%

44%
56%

63%
37%

71%
29%

60%
40%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(258)

(336)

(98)

(152)

(255)

(88)

(480)

(72)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

13. Democratic Candidate Job Fixing income inequality


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

39%
61%

17%
83%

27%
73%

45%
55%

27%
73%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(101)

(190)

(195)

(415)

(139)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

39%
61%

24%
76%

50%
50%

12%
88%

30%
70%

53%
47%

40%
60%

41%
59%

15%
85%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(257)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(254)

(89)

(481)

(71)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

14. Democratic Candidate Qualities Hillary Clinton


Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

49%
81%
33%

47%
85%
25%

53%
89%
39%

45%
80%
35%

45%
81%
32%

55%
85%
30%

(597)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(416)

(141)

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

49%
81%
33%

47%
78%
30%

50%
84%
35%

45%
81%
36%

34%
83%
19%

54%
78%
35%

63%
89%
48%

52%
87%
34%

23%
61%
15%

(597)

(260)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(256)

(90)

(482)

(72)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Candidate Qualities Bernie Sanders


Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

80%
59%
69%

90%
78%
81%

96%
68%
86%

70%
49%
65%

84%
68%
78%

68%
34%
45%

(597)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(416)

(141)

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

80%
59%
69%

83%
63%
83%

77%
56%
59%

89%
76%
99%

81%
73%
67%

76%
47%
57%

77%
52%
75%

78%
57%
68%

95%
69%
85%

(597)

(260)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(256)

(90)

(482)

(72)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

16. Democratic Vote Reasons


When you vote in the Michigan primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

7%
11%
34%

7%
13%
52%

7%
10%
41%

8%
12%
26%

7%
12%
41%

8%
7%
11%

48%

28%

43%

54%

40%

74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(595)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(416)

(139)

Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

7%
11%
34%

4%
12%
37%

10%
10%
31%

15%
6%
58%

1%
17%
51%

9%
8%
18%

3%
15%
20%

7%
11%
33%

3%
15%
41%

48%

47%

49%

21%

30%

65%

61%

50%

41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(595)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(255)

(90)

(482)

(72)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

17. Next President Policies


Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

38%
58%
4%

20%
77%
3%

42%
58%
0%

42%
57%
2%

34%
63%
4%

56%
44%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(591)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(415)

(135)

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

38%
58%
4%

31%
64%
6%

45%
53%
2%

26%
71%
3%

46%
54%
0%

40%
54%
7%

38%
59%
3%

41%
56%
4%

34%
63%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(591)

(258)

(333)

(98)

(152)

(251)

(89)

(477)

(72)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

18. Democratic Party Representation


These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

21%
56%
6%

19%
45%
4%

22%
65%
5%

24%
54%
9%

21%
59%
5%

21%
47%
11%

17%

32%

9%

13%

15%

21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(595)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(416)

(139)

Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

21%
56%
6%

22%
56%
6%

20%
56%
6%

8%
79%
1%

15%
59%
4%

25%
51%
8%

33%
42%
9%

24%
56%
5%

4%
56%
8%

17%

16%

18%

12%

21%

16%

17%

14%

33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(595)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(255)

(90)

(482)

(72)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

19. Enthusiasm for Other Candidate


If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

14%
28%

23%
33%

19%
39%

11%
15%

12%
31%

20%
20%

44%
14%

26%
18%

35%
7%

51%
22%

39%
18%

56%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(588)

(101)

(190)

(194)

(410)

(138)

Gender
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

14%
28%

15%
35%

13%
22%

8%
28%

10%
34%

18%
26%

17%
20%

16%
32%

8%
8%

44%
14%

34%
16%

52%
13%

37%
27%

39%
17%

48%
8%

48%
15%

44%
7%

40%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(588)

(256)

(332)

(97)

(149)

(254)

(88)

(476)

(71)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

20. Opinion of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

38%
19%
43%

33%
28%
39%

23%
18%
58%

47%
16%
37%

32%
23%
45%

56%
6%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(101)

(190)

(196)

(416)

(139)

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

38%
19%
43%

29%
22%
49%

45%
17%
38%

23%
29%
48%

31%
30%
40%

45%
12%
44%

44%
14%
42%

42%
14%
43%

8%
47%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(258)

(337)

(98)

(152)

(254)

(90)

(482)

(72)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Michigan Likely Democratic Voters

21. Opinion of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders


Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

45%
8%
47%

52%
4%
44%

47%
12%
41%

43%
9%
48%

49%
9%
42%

32%
6%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(590)

(100)

(190)

(196)

(415)

(135)

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

45%
8%
47%

49%
4%
47%

43%
11%
47%

38%
17%
45%

61%
6%
33%

43%
5%
52%

34%
11%
55%

44%
8%
48%

66%
7%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(590)

(258)

(333)

(98)

(152)

(250)

(89)

(477)

(72)

21