I HC QUC GIA THNH PH H CH MINH

TRNG I HC BCH KHOA

KHOA KHOA HC - K THUT MY TNH

CU TRC RI RC CHO KHMT (CO1007)

bi tp ln cho Nhm n

Thng k m t v
Xc sut ri rc vi R

GVHD:
SV thc hin:

Nguyn An Khng
Hunh Tng Nguyn
Nguyn Vn A 22102134
Trn Vn B 88471475
L Th C 36811334
Phm Ngc D 97501334
Kiu Th E 12341334

Tp. H Ch Minh, Thng .../2016

Trng i Hc Bch Khoa Tp.H Ch Minh

Khoa Khoa Hc v K Thut My Tnh

Mc lc
1 Hng dn v yu
1.1 Hng dn . .
1.2 Yu cu . . . .
1.3 Np bi . . . .

cu
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

2
2
2
2

2 bi

3 Cch nh gi v x l gian ln
3.1 nh gi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
3.2 X l gian ln . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

4
4
4

Ti liu

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Khoa Khoa Hc v K Thut My Tnh

Hng dn v yu cu

1.1

Hng dn

Ci t ng thi c R v Rstudio.
c k v x l li tt c nhng th d c trong file mu.
Tm hiu k cch son tho vn bn bng LaTeX v cch s dng phn mm R trong cc
file hng dn v tm hiu thm trong cc ti liu khc.
To chung mt folder chung cha mi th cn thit share gia cc thnh vin trong
nhm trn cc cloud services nh Google Drive hay Dropbox,...
i vi Bi ton 4, cn tham kho k c php tnh ra cc s liu bng website Wolfram
Alpha c nhng lin kt v kt qu trong Bi tp mu s 3.

1.2

Yu cu

Thi gian lm bi: T 12/12/2015-29/1/2016.

i vi mi bi ton, yu cu sinh vin trnh by li gii theo li truyn thng, s dng
cc cng thc, kt qu l thuyt trong phn kin thc chun b. ng thi, sau trnh
by kt qu tnh ton v biu minh ha bng R.
Trnh by c code R v kt qu tnh ton trong R gng nh file mu.
Vit bo co theo ng b cc nh trong file mu bng LaTeX.
Mi nhm khi np bi cn phi np theo file log (nht k) ghi r: tin cng vic,
phn cng nhim v, trao i ca cc thnh vin,...

1.3

Np bi

SV ch np bi qua h thng Sakai: nn tt c cc file cn thit (file .tex, file .R, . . . ) thnh
mt file tn l BTL-CO1007-MT151-Nhom-n.zip v np trong mc Assignment.
Lu : mi nhm ch cn mt thnh vin l nhm trng np bi.

bi

Bi ton 1. Trong gi mistat, tp tin FILMSP.csv cha d liu c thu thp t 217 cun
phim. D liu cha tc phim c o trong mt phng c bit.
Cc lnh R sau s ci t cc gi mistat, c tp d liu FILMSP v tc phim o c,
v hin th chng trn mn hnh my tnh.
> # Sau du ny l mt comment
> install.packages("mistat",
# Ci t gi mistat
dependencies=TRUE) # v tt c cc gi c lin quan n n
> library(mistat) # Gi ra cc tp d liu v hm c trong gi
> data(FILMSP)
# Gi ra tp d liu v tc phim o c
> help(FILMSP)
# c tt c cc thng tin h tr v tp d liu FILMSP
> FILMSP
# a ra cc s liu FILMSP trn mn hnh my tnh

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Khoa Khoa Hc v K Thut My Tnh

1. Hy trch xut ra tc phim o c ca 30 cun phim u tin trong s 217 cun phim
trong tp d liu k t cun phim th 100 + n? (n l s th t ca nhm.)
2. Tnh tn s, tn sut v tn sut tch ly ca mu 30 cun phim trn.
3. V biu tn s ca mu 30 cun phim trn.
4. V biu tn sut ca mu 30 cun phim trn.
5. V biu tn sut tch ly ca mu 30 cun phim trn.
6. Tnh tc trung bnh, trung v mu, cc i mu, cc tiu mu ca 30 cun phim trn.
7. Hy o mc phn tn ca tc phim (xung quanh gi tr trung bnh) ca 30 cun
phim trn.
8. Tnh mo lch (skewness), v nhn (kurtosis) ca d liu trong 30 cun phim trn.
9. Tnh t phn v (quartile) th nht (Q1 ) v th ba (Q3 ) ca mu 30 cun phim trn.
10. Tnh phn v th (100 n)%, phn v th n%, phn v th (50 n)% ca mu 30 cun
phim trn.
Bi ton 2. Mt ci my dng kim tra tnh trng ca mt mn hng (khim khuyt D,
hoc tt G) c th b li. Xc sut cc li c cho nh sau
P(A|G) = (100

n
)%,
1000

P(A|D) = f rac2n1000,
trong A l bin c mn hng c xem l tt (G) sau khi kim tra. Nu P(G) =
3n
(100 1000
)%, th xc sut ca D khi bit A l bao nhiu?
Bi ton 3. C1000 n bo mch in t c ng trong mt hp, bit rng c 3 bo mch b
li. Ly ngu nhin khng hon li ln lt tng bo mch. Tnh xc sut tm thy chnh xc
100 n bo mch tt gia ln rt c bo li u tin v ln rt c bo li th hai?
Bi ton 4. Mt khi tn hiu gm 1024 bit c dn theo mt knh truyn vi xc sut b li
ca mi bit l p = n 103 . Bit rng kh nng b li ca mi bit c lp vi nhau.
1. S bit li ca khi tn hiu tun theo lut phn phi xc sut no? Ni cch khc, n
tun theo m hnh xc sut no? V sao?
2. Hy v biu minh ha phn phi xc sut (im) ca s bit li trong khi tn hiu
vi X 30?
3. Hy v th ca hm phn phi xc sut (tch ly) ca s bit li trong khi tn hiu
vi X 30?
4. Tnh xc sut khi tn hiu c t nht 100 n bit li?
5. Tnh xc sut khi tn hiu c ti a n + 10 bit li?
6. Tnh xc sut khi tn hiu c nhiu hn n + 5 bit li?
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Trng i Hc Bch Khoa Tp.H Ch Minh

Khoa Khoa Hc v K Thut My Tnh

7. Tnh xc sut khi tn hiu c ng 100 + n bit li?

8. Tnh xc sut khi tn hiu c t 100 n 200 n bit li?
9. Tnh s bit li trung bnh trong khi tn hiu ?
10. Tnh phn tn ca s bit li trong khi tn hiu ?
Bi ton 5. Mt l hng gm N = 5000 n sn phm c cha M = 100 n sn phm li. Ly
mu ngu nhin khng hon li n + 50 sn phm. Tnh xc sut c nhiu hn n sn phm li
trong mu?
Bi ton 6 (Ty chn). 1 c k Birthday Problem v Birthday Attack trong slides Chng
7 (t slide 7.18-7.22). Sau , hy tm cng thc tnh xc sut v cng thc xp x bng hm
m ca cng thc cho mt bin th ca Bi ton sinh nht di y.
C mt nhm gm k nam gii v mt nhm khc gm ` ph n (k, ` 1). Hy tnh xc sut
c t nht mt i nam n c cng ngy sinh.

Cch nh gi v x l gian ln

3.1

nh gi

Mi bi lm s c nh gi nh sau.
Ni dung
Gii ng cc bi ton bng cng thc v lp lun
Cc lnh (hm) R c s dng ng n v hp l
Trnh by kin thc chun b r rng, ph hp
Trnh by vn bn p, ng chun

3.2

T l im (%)
30%
30%
20%
20%

X l gian ln

Bi tp ln phi c sinh vin (nhm) T LM. Sinh vin (nhm) s b coi l gian ln nu:
C s ging nhau bt thng gia cc bi thu hoch (nht l phn kin thc chun b).
Trong trng hp ny, TT C cc bi np c s ging nhau u b coi l gian ln. Do
vy sinh vin (nhm) phi bo v bi lm ca mnh.
Sinh vin (nhm) khng hiu bi lm do chnh mnh vit. Sinh vin (nhm) c th tham
kho t bt k ngun ti liu no, tuy nhin phi m bo rng mnh hiu r ngha ca
tt c nhng g mnh vit.
Bi b pht hin gian ln th sinh vin s b x theo quy nh ca nh trng.
1 y l bi lm thm, dnh cho nhng bn yu thch t hp. C th np ring theo tng SV ly im
thng.

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Khoa Khoa Hc v K Thut My Tnh

Ti liu
[Dal]

Dalgaard, P. Introductory Statistics with R. Springer 2008.

[K-Z]

Kenett, R. S. and Zacks, S. Modern Industrial Statistics: with applications in R,

MINITAB and JMP, 2nd ed., John Wiley and Sons, 2014.

[Ker]

Kerns, G. J. Introduction to Probability and Statistics Using R, 2nd ed., CRC 2015.

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