Decline W

YRS
YRS
t
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
14.0
15.0
16.0
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
Qo=Qoi*e^(-D*(t-to))
Qo=Qoi / (1+D*(t-to))
BBL/YR
Bbls
Np=Qo/(-D*(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
Np=(Qoi/D)*LN(Qo/Qoi)
Qo {Bbl/Yr} Np {Bbls} LExponential
{ n=0.000 }
Harmonic
Qoi {Bbl/Yr} Linear Est.
Qo
Np
Qo
99,200
99,200
99,200
88,210
93,705
85,458
92,158
86,328
73,240
174,430
73,620
171,550
76,412
63,990
243,045
63,422
239,944
68,540
54,910
302,495
54,636
298,864
62,138
47,400
353,650
47,067
349,622
56,830
41,580
398,140
40,547
393,348
52,357
34,930
431,017
48,538
30,092
463,468
45,237
25,923
491,424
42,357
22,332
515,507
39,822
19,239
536,254
37,573
16,573
554,127
35,564
14,278
569,524
33,759
12,300
582,788
32,129
10,596
594,214
30,649
9,128
604,058
29,299
7,864
612,538
28,063
6,774
619,844
26,927
5,836
626,137
25,880
5,027
631,559
24,911
4,331
636,229
24,012
3,731
640,253
23,175
3,214
643,719
22,395
0.9983
< =R^2 Exp
0.9917
Qo = Qoi {Bbl/Yr} * e ** ( -0.1491 * dYRS ) Di = 14.91 %/Yr Exp R^2 = 0.9983

Np = Qoi {Bbl/Yr} / ( -0.1491*(1 - e ** ( -0.1491 * dYRS ))) Di = 14.91 %/Yr
R^2 = 0.9983
dYRS = ( LN ( Qoi {Bbl/Yr} ) ) / ( -0.1491 * LN ( Qo {Bbl/Yr} ) ) R^2 = 0.9983
oi / (1+D*(t-to))
Qoi/D)*LN(Qo/Qoi)
{ n=1.000 }
Np
92,466
173,634
245,968
311,202
370,607
425,140
475,539
522,387
566,153
607,216
645,891
682,441
717,087
750,018
781,395
811,359
840,031
867,518
893,915
919,304
943,760
967,348
990,129
< =R^2 Har
Qo=Qoi / (1+D*n*(t-to) )^(1/n)

Np=[(Qoi^n)*(t-to)*(Qoi^(1-n)-Qo^(1-n))]/[(((1-n)/n)*((Qoi/Qo)^n)-1)]
Hyperbolic
0.055
<= n
FLAG
Qo
Np
Econ Limit {Bbl/Yr}
99,200
7,305
0
85,510
92,176
0
73,798
171,679
1
0
63,766
240,332
1
0
55,162
299,686
1
0
47,773
351,060
1
41,421
395,578 -395,578
1
0
35,953
434,197
1
0
31,242
467,736
1
0
27,177
496,895
1
0
23,666
522,273
1
0
20,630
544,384
1
0
18,002
563,669
1
0
15,725
580,505
1
0
13,749
595,218
1
0
12,034
608,089
1
0
10,542
619,360
1
0
9,245
629,239
1
0
8,115
637,906
1
7,129
645,517 645,517
1
0
6,269
652,206
0
0
5,518
658,091
0
0
4,861
663,273
0
0
4,286
667,841
0
0.9985
< =R^2 Hyp
R_Reserves {Bbls}
0 < n < 1 =>
0.055
249,900
1,000,000
Qo
Qo == Qoi
Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
{Bbl/Yr} ** ee **
** (( -0.1491
-0.1491 ** dYRS
dYRS )) Di
Di == 14.91
14.91 %/Yr
%/Yr
Np
Np == Qoi
Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
{Bbl/Yr} // (( -0.1491*(1
-0.1491*(1 -- ee **
** (( -0.1491
-0.1491 ** dYRS
dYRS )))
))) Di
Di = 14.91
14.91 %
%
Qo {Bbl/Yr}
100,000
10,000
1,000
0.0
5.0
Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
Qo=Qoi / (1+D*n*(t-to) )^(1/n)
10.0
15.0
20.0
Np {Bbls} Linear Est.
Np=Qo/(-D*(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
Np=[(Qoi^n)*(t-to)*(Qoi^(1-n)-Qo^(1-n))]/[(((1-n)/n)*((Qoi
** ee **
** (( -0.1491
-0.1491 ** dYRS
dYRS )) Di
Di == 14.91
14.91 %/Yr
%/Yr Exp
Exp
R^2
R^2 == 0.9983
0.9983
(1
(1 -- ee **
** (( -0.1491
-0.1491 ** dYRS
dYRS )))
))) Di
Di = 14.91
14.91 %/Yr
%/Yr
R^2
R^2 == 0.9983
0.9983
15.0
20.0
near Est.
(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
*LN(Qo/Qoi)
*(t-to)*(Qoi^(1-n)-Qo^(1-n))]/[(((1-n)/n)*((Qoi/Qo)^n)-1)]
25.0
Qo {Bbl/Yr}
100,000
Qo
Qo == Qoi
Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
{Bbl/Yr} ** ee **
** (( -0.1491
-0.1491 ** dYRS
dYRS )) Di
Di == 14.91
14.91 %/Yr
%/Yr
10,000
1,000
0.0
Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Qo=Qoi / (
** ee **
** (( -0.1491
-0.1491 ** dYRS
dYRS )) Di
Di == 14.91
14.91 %/Yr
%/Yr Exp
Exp
15.0
oi / (1+D*(t-to))
R^2
R^2 == 0.9983
0.9983
20.0
Qo=Qoi / (1+D*n*(t-to) )^(1/n)
25.0
Bbls
1,000,000
Np
Np == Qoi
Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
{Bbl/Yr} // (( -0.1491*(1
-0.1491*(1 -- ee **
** (( -0.1491
-0.1491 ** dYRS
dYRS )))
))) Di
Di == 14.91
100,000
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Np=Qo/(-D*(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
20.0
1*(1
1*(1 -- ee **
** (( -0.1491
-0.1491 ** dYRS
dYRS )))
))) Di
Di == 14.91 %/Yr
%/Yr
15.0
(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
R^2
R^2 == 0.9983
0.9983
20.0
)*(t-to)*(Qoi^(1-n)-Qo^(1-n))]/[(((1-n)/n)*((Qoi/Qo)^n)-1)]
25.0
YRS
YRS
t
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
14.0
15.0
16.0
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
BBL/YR
Bbls
Np=Qo/(-D*(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
Qo {Bbl/Yr} Np {Bbls} LExponential
{ n=0.000 }
Harmonic
Qoi {Bbl/Yr} Linear Est.
Qo
Np
Qo
177,000
177,000
177,000
96,600
136,800
81,703
123,273
99,828
59,460
214,830
37,714
180,176
69,518
40,920
265,020
17,409
206,442
53,327
30,090
300,525
8,036
218,567
43,253
23,130
327,135
3,709
224,163
36,380
18,300
347,850
1,712
226,747
31,392
14,850
364,425
790
227,939
27,607
12,300
378,000
365
228,490
24,637
10,320
389,310
168
228,744
22,243
8,790
398,865
78
228,861
20,274
7,578
407,049
36
228,915
18,625
6,594
416,264
17
228,940
17,223
8
228,952
16,019
4
228,957
14,971
2
228,960
14,052
1
228,961
13,240
0
228,961
12,516
0
228,961
11,867
0
228,962
11,282
0
228,962
10,753
0
228,962
10,270
0
228,962
9,829
0
228,962
9,425
0.9477
< =R^2 Exp
0.9933
Qo=Qoi {Bbl/Yr} / (1-0.7731*0.555*)**(1/ 0.555) Di = 77.31 %/Yr Hyp R^2 = 0.9998

Np=[(Qoi {Bbl/Yr}**0.555 )/(-0.7731)*(1-0.555 )]*[Qoi {Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo {Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)] Di = 77.31 %/Yr
dYRS=[((Qoi {Bbl/Yr} / Qo {Bbl/Yr} )**0.555) - 1 ] / (-0.7731 * 0.555)
R^2 = 0.9998
R^2 = 0.9998
oi / (1+D*(t-to))
Qoi/D)*LN(Qo/Qoi)
{ n=1.000 }
Np
131,127
213,980
274,688
322,627
362,246
396,009
425,428
451,494
474,893
496,121
515,546
533,452
550,059
565,542
580,044
593,681
606,552
618,738
630,308
641,322
651,829
661,876
671,500
< =R^2 Har
55)] Di = 77.31 %/Yr
Qo=Qoi / (1+D*n*(t-to) )^(1/n)

Np=[(Qoi^n)*(t-to)*(Qoi^(1-n)-Qo^(1-n))]/[(((1-n)/n)*((Qoi/Qo)^n)-1)]
Hyperbolic
0.555
<= n
FLAG
n
Qo
Np
Econ Limit {Bbl/Yr} Estimate
177,000
3,650
0
93,027
128,077
0
57,965
201,434
1
0.399
0
39,866
249,474
1
0.606
0
29,246
283,605
1
0.571
0
22,454
309,223
1
0.545
0
17,834
329,229
1
0.466
0
14,539
345,328
1
0.516
0
12,102
358,591
1
0.519
0
10,246
369,725
1
0.389
0
8,798
379,218
1
0.533
0
7,645
387,419
1
0.507
6,711
394,581 -394,581
1
0.449
0
5,943
400,895
1
0
5,303
406,509
1
0
4,765
411,535
1
0
4,307
416,065
1
0
3,913
420,170
1
3,574
423,909 423,909
1
0
3,277
427,331
0
0
3,018
430,476
0
0
2,789
433,377
0
0
2,586
436,062
0
0
2,405
438,555
0
0.9998
< =R^2 Hyp
R_Reserves {Bbls}
<n>
0 < n < 1 =>
0.555
29,300
0.524
R^2 = 0.9998
1,000,000
Qo {Bbl/Yr}
100,000
10,000
1,000
Qo=Qoi
Qo=Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
{Bbl/Yr} // (1-0.7731*0.555*)**(1/
(1-0.7731*0.555*)**(1/ 0.555)
0.555) Di
Di == 77.31
77.31 %/Yr
%/Yr
Np=[(Qoi
Np=[(Qoi {Bbl/Yr}**0.555
{Bbl/Yr}**0.555 )/(-0.7731)*(1-0.555
)/(-0.7731)*(1-0.555 )]*[Qoi
)]*[Qoi {Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo
{Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo {Bb
{Bb
77.31
77.31 %
%
100
0.0
5.0
Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
Qo=Qoi / (1+D*n*(t-to) )^(1/n)
10.0
15.0
20.0
Np=Qo/(-D*(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
731*0.555*)**(1/
731*0.555*)**(1/ 0.555)
0.555) Di
Di == 77.31
77.31 %/Yr
%/Yr Hyp
Hyp
R^2
R^2 == 0.9998
0.9998
-0.555
-0.555 )]*[Qoi
)]*[Qoi {Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo
{Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo {Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)]
{Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)] Di
Di ==
77.31
77.31 %/Yr
%/Yr R^2
R^2 == 0.9998
0.9998
15.0
20.0
near Est.
(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
*LN(Qo/Qoi)
*(t-to)*(Qoi^(1-n)-Qo^(1-n))]/[(((1-n)/n)*((Qoi/Qo)^n)-1)]
25.0
1,000,000
Qo=Qoi
Qo=Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
{Bbl/Yr} // (1-0.7731*0.555*)**(1/
(1-0.7731*0.555*)**(1/ 0.555)
0.555) Di
Di == 77.31
77.31 %/Y
%/Y
Qo {Bbl/Yr}
100,000
10,000
1,000
100
0.0
Qoi {Bbl/Yr}
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Qo=Qoi / (
7731*0.555*)**(1/
7731*0.555*)**(1/ 0.555)
0.555) Di
Di == 77.31
77.31 %/Yr
%/Yr Hyp
Hyp
15.0
oi / (1+D*(t-to))
R^2
R^2 == 0.9998
0.9998
20.0
Qo=Qoi / (1+D*n*(t-to) )^(1/n)
25.0
Bbls
1,000,000
Np=[(Qoi
Np=[(Qoi {Bbl/Yr}**0.555
{Bbl/Yr}**0.555 )/(-0.7731)*(1-0.555
)/(-0.7731)*(1-0.555 )]*[Qoi
)]*[Qoi {Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo
{Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo
== 77.3
77.3
100,000
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Np=Qo/(-D*(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
20.0
1)*(1-0.555
1)*(1-0.555 )]*[Qoi
)]*[Qoi {Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo
{Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)-Qo {Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)]
{Bbl/Yr}**(1-0.555)] Di
Di
== 77.31
77.31 %/Yr
%/Yr R^2
R^2 == 0.9998
0.9998
15.0
(1-e^(D*(t-to))))
20.0
)*(t-to)*(Qoi^(1-n)-Qo^(1-n))]/[(((1-n)/n)*((Qoi/Qo)^n)-1)]
25.0

Decline W

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Decline W

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YRS

Qo = Qoi {Bbl/Yr} * e ** ( -0.1491 * dYRS ) Di = 14.91 %/Yr Exp R^2 = 0.9983

Qo=Qoi / (1+Dn(t-to) )^(1/n)

Qo=Qoi {Bbl/Yr} / (1-0.77310.555)**(1/ 0.555) Di = 77.31 %/Yr Hyp R^2 = 0.9998

55)] Di = 77.31 %/Yr

Qo=Qoi / (1+Dn(t-to) )^(1/n)

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